8=======>

2022-06-02 · +30d

gru_s5 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 169 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.2112
169 of 169 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+2.54%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
75.1%
in alpha space · 29.6% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-36.83%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (169 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▴pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
LUNATerraTerra 20.000101210.000089051-12.01%0.00012312+21.65%1.8256✗3.274.2M2022-07-02
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain4.5093.983-11.66%3.721-17.48%0.2347✗0.664.1M2022-07-02
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.846830.761289-10.10%0.43217-48.97%0.4290✗2.17498k2022-07-02
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.7230.671566-7.11%0.875+21.02%1.2721✗2.192.2M2022-07-02
RUNETHORChainTHORChain2.7372.5499-6.83%1.829-33.18%0.1271✗1.00132k2022-07-02
PROPropyEthereum0.960.904774-5.75%0.83-13.54%0.3127✗0.87195k2022-07-02
METRONOMEMETRONOME1.53361.4455-5.74%0.71554-53.34%0.3337✓0.804,8222022-07-02
STEEMSteemnative0.27280.25769-5.54%0.2145-21.37%0.5506✗1.60660k2022-07-02
OGOG Fan TokenSolana2.6522.5075-5.45%3.272+23.38%0.5709✗0.661.6M2022-07-02
DKAdKargoEthereum0.06170.058435-5.29%0.04414-28.46%0.2497✗1.1515k2022-07-02
GLMGolemEthereum0.33540.317946-5.20%0.2245-33.06%0.2754✗1.36116k2022-07-02
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain2.26032.1527-4.76%1.7595-22.16%0.2625✗1.013.6M2022-07-02
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.2940.280432-4.61%0.27-8.16%0.8398✗1.911.4M2022-07-02
GMTGMTEthereum1.0531.0053-4.53%0.809-23.17%0.8581✗2.343.3M2022-07-02
FLOWFlownative2.5542.4463-4.22%1.535-39.90%0.0066✓1.00872k2022-07-02
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.4071.351-3.98%1.242-11.73%0.6222✗1.545.4M2022-07-02
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana7.37.0188-3.85%6.12-16.16%0.0928✗0.501.3M2022-07-02
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana2.4642.3742-3.64%2.977+20.82%0.6522✗0.93953k2022-07-02
FETArtificial Superintelligence AllianceEthereum0.16270.157274-3.33%0.0764-53.04%0.2626✓1.003,4622022-07-02
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.46842.3904-3.16%2.142-13.22%0.3687✗1.043.0M2022-07-02
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.028960.028171-2.73%0.020601-28.86%0.2191✗1.1613k2022-07-02
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.051710.05031-2.71%0.04019-22.28%0.2630✗1.064,6802022-07-02
CBKCobakEthereum1.3381.3019-2.70%0.92699-30.72%0.2026✗1.187,1582022-07-02
TRXTRONTron0.0843340.082148-2.59%0.064647-23.34%0.1565✗0.861.4M2022-07-02
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana4.374.2581-2.56%3.86-11.67%0.2785✗0.82824k2022-07-02
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum2.08022.03-2.42%1.2504-39.89%0.1439✗1.374.4M2022-07-02
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana3.793.6995-2.39%3.12-17.68%0.2519✗0.921.0M2022-07-02
SUNSun TokenTron0.009990.009752-2.38%0.005702-42.92%0.0261✓1.112,5562022-07-02
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.21353.1441-2.16%2.4435-23.96%0.4995✗1.646.1M2022-07-02
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana4.053.9638-2.13%3.63-10.37%0.2597✗0.761.2M2022-07-02
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum0.640.629275-1.68%0.683+6.72%0.8852✗1.759,1622022-07-02
BORABORAKlay Token0.434870.429666-1.20%0.29804-31.46%0.3732✗1.6118k2022-07-02
XMRMoneroMonero201.25198.8894-1.17%115.95-42.39%0.0366✓1.092.5M2022-07-02
NEXONEXOEthereum1.2591.2458-1.05%0.569-54.81%0.2829✓1.091.3M2022-07-02
ROSEOasisBinance Smart Chain0.06850.067805-1.01%0.04887-28.66%0.6983✗2.232.8M2022-07-02
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV53.90953.4121-0.92%53.894-0.03%0.4983✗1.071.2M2022-07-02
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum11.311.2022-0.87%8.51-24.69%0.5986✗1.905.4M2022-07-02
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.02090.020775-0.60%0.02025-3.11%0.2716✗0.65516k2022-07-02
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum30,442.4030,281.95-0.53%19,272.40-36.69%0.0043✓0.9777k2022-07-02
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.05450.054222-0.51%0.045-17.43%0.4777✗1.45720k2022-07-02
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana3.4933.4809-0.35%2.791-20.10%0.2041✗0.931.7M2022-07-02
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.011940.011909-0.26%0.0093-22.11%0.5149✗1.6620.9M2022-07-02
KCSKuCoinnative17.52117.477-0.25%8.651-50.62%0.2204✓1.056.9M2022-07-02
GTGateEthereum5.45045.4384-0.22%4.1037-24.71%0.0168✓0.584.1M2022-07-02
LEOLEO TokenEthereum4.94614.9404-0.11%5.73+15.85%0.3025✗0.34289k2022-07-02
IMXImmutableEthereum0.9890.98869-0.03%0.8876-10.25%0.7257✗1.814.0M2022-07-02
BRISEBitgertEthereum7.16e-77.17e-7+0.12%3.29e-7-54.09%0.3285✗0.981.1M2022-07-02
ETCEthereum Classicnative22.4222.4829+0.28%14.76-34.17%0.1882✓1.333.4M2022-07-02
BICOBiconomyEthereum0.7480.750674+0.36%0.4908-34.39%0.3613✓1.711.5M2022-07-02
ASTRAstarEthereum0.06360.063946+0.54%0.043-32.39%0.3864✓1.7064k2022-07-02
LSKLiskEthereum1.38641.3947+0.60%1.0423-24.82%0.2537✓1.1952k2022-07-02
XYMSymbolnative0.0582130.05862+0.70%0.052801-9.30%0.2720✓0.82106k2022-07-02
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.027860.028082+0.80%0.01947-30.11%0.1005✓1.02188k2022-07-02
DODODODOEthereum0.16980.171158+0.80%0.1257-25.97%0.4547✓1.662.6M2022-07-02
APEApeCoinEthereum6.3966.4535+0.90%4.515-29.41%0.6826✓2.2631.4M2022-07-02
HIGHHighstreetEthereum1.9962.0147+0.94%1.275-36.12%0.4119✓1.89390k2022-07-02
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.08270.083486+0.95%0.0498-39.78%0.1886✓1.54166k2022-07-02
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.17280.174773+1.14%0.1159-32.93%0.3051✓1.5693k2022-07-02
FTTFTXEthereum27.1527.5143+1.34%24.62-9.32%0.3440✓0.9910.2M2022-07-02
ZENHorizenBase20.7621.0594+1.44%13.64-34.30%0.3228✓1.6591k2022-07-02
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.31810.322757+1.46%0.1806-43.23%0.0465✓1.37392k2022-07-02
XTZTezosTezos1.9842.0141+1.52%1.4544-26.69%0.2870✓1.331.0M2022-07-02
BTCBitcoinBitcoin30,433.7530,899.13+1.53%19,224.03-36.83%0.0152✓1.00749.9M2022-07-02
1INCH1INCHEthereum0.930.945655+1.68%0.635-31.72%0.1343✓1.16487k2022-07-02
RLCiExec RLCEthereum0.920.935753+1.71%1.1402+23.93%0.9865✓1.72274k2022-07-02
GITCOINGITCOIN2.7712.819+1.73%2.5-9.78%0.8612✓2.1416k2022-07-02
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.4145170.421741+1.74%0.299812-27.67%0.3357✓1.472.9M2022-07-02
CTKShentuOsmosis0.8020.816072+1.75%0.808+0.75%0.5537✓1.232.4M2022-07-02
ADACardanoCardano0.5870.597337+1.76%0.4552-22.45%0.4557✓1.5849.8M2022-07-02
SNXSynthetixEthereum3.023.0739+1.78%2.602-13.84%0.7829✓2.073.9M2022-07-02
AAVEAaveEthereum110.87113.1564+2.06%57.8-47.87%0.1522✓1.799.0M2022-07-02
TRBTellor TributesEthereum10.811.0246+2.08%10.21-5.46%0.8431✓2.00252k2022-07-02
XLMStellarStellar0.1429830.145996+2.11%0.108439-24.16%0.2649✓1.2211.9M2022-07-02
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana5.345.4532+2.12%4.45-16.67%0.1626✓0.802.6M2022-07-02
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum2.8612.9254+2.25%2.242-21.64%0.2561✓1.1463k2022-07-02
AUCTIONBounceEthereum6.536.6784+2.27%5.24-19.75%0.4491✓1.51427k2022-07-02
LRCLoopringEthereum0.55520.56815+2.33%0.3821-31.18%0.3617✓1.65193k2022-07-02
SUSHISushiEthereum1.681.7206+2.42%0.97-42.26%0.2148✓1.721.8M2022-07-02
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.08740.08955+2.46%0.0495-43.36%0.2503✗0.75299k2022-07-02
QTUMQtumQtum3.97324.0725+2.50%2.7989-29.56%0.2010✓1.2558k2022-07-02
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.13260.135946+2.52%0.1028-22.47%0.3194✓1.30997k2022-07-02
RADRadworksEthereum2.082.1337+2.58%1.59-23.56%0.2876✓1.27233k2022-07-02
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.63370.650603+2.67%0.7435+17.33%0.8076✓1.473.7M2022-07-02
ZECZcashZcash91.293.6844+2.72%54-40.79%0.0605✓1.334.6M2022-07-02
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.00460.004729+2.80%0.00199-56.74%0.2773✗1.289,1402022-07-02
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.30020.308663+2.82%0.224-25.38%0.3114✓1.38318k2022-07-02
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.398850.410209+2.85%0.41244+3.41%0.6381✓1.38147k2022-07-02
DEXEDeXeEthereum3.143.2312+2.90%2.54-19.11%0.2579✓1.09642k2022-07-02
UNIUniswapEthereum5.2985.4549+2.96%4.91-7.32%0.5589✓1.452.6M2022-07-02
XECeCashnative0.000049190.000050665+3.00%0.0000382-22.34%0.3811✓1.443.9M2022-07-02
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0155450.016032+3.13%0.014552-6.39%0.2290✓0.71198k2022-07-02
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.0827090.085313+3.15%0.066549-19.54%0.3186✓1.231.9M2022-07-02
HIVEHivenative0.57850.597022+3.20%0.4554-21.28%0.3709✓1.401.4M2022-07-02
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum21.1121.8109+3.32%13.91-34.11%0.3048✓1.643.1M2022-07-02
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum2.55112.6359+3.32%1.8386-27.93%0.2708✓1.3781k2022-07-02
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum9.449.7542+3.33%5.236-44.53%0.1463✓1.679.4M2022-07-02
XEMNEMnative0.0515340.05328+3.39%0.04783-7.19%0.5960✓1.5342k2022-07-02
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.09490.098255+3.54%0.086-9.38%0.7264✓1.87468k2022-07-02
NANOnanopayBase1.16821.2101+3.58%0.811141-30.57%0.2136✓1.34174k2022-07-02
CTSICartesiEthereum0.19810.205434+3.70%0.1485-25.04%0.4038✓1.59493k2022-07-02
DASHDashDash59.8362.0645+3.73%42.83-28.41%0.2060✓1.261.0M2022-07-02
QNTQuantEthereum68.3270.9747+3.89%55.8-18.33%0.3048✓1.192.5M2022-07-02
CRVCurve DAOEthereum1.2551.3055+4.03%0.7773-38.06%0.1212✓1.396.8M2022-07-02
FIDABonfidaSolana0.4790.498378+4.05%0.385-19.62%0.3223✓1.2620k2022-07-02
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum1.261.3121+4.13%0.4878-61.29%0.4659✗1.1499k2022-07-02
CVCCivicEthereum0.18010.187578+4.15%0.1406-21.93%0.3982✓1.49260k2022-07-02
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.009470.009865+4.17%0.00629-33.58%0.0679✓1.13943k2022-07-02
DIADIAEthereum0.442370.460885+4.19%0.3728-15.73%0.0953✓0.67165k2022-07-02
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.35660.37163+4.21%0.2696-24.40%0.3235✓1.407.3M2022-07-02
COTICOTIEthereum0.1240.129233+4.22%0.0919-25.89%0.4540✓1.731.3M2022-07-02
MANADecentralandEthereum1.03751.0821+4.29%0.83424-19.59%0.5555✓1.78958k2022-07-02
AMPAmpEthereum0.011840.012352+4.33%0.00912-22.97%0.2113✓1.121.9M2022-07-02
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0155150.016188+4.34%0.012077-22.16%0.2611✓1.213.1M2022-07-02
LTCLitecoinLitecoin64.3867.2309+4.43%50.5-21.56%0.3108✓1.3019.8M2022-07-02
STXStacksnative0.5670.592145+4.43%0.3856-31.99%0.1069✓1.17197k2022-07-02
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.03930.04105+4.45%0.02773-29.44%0.2705✓1.4422k2022-07-02
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.39470.41228+4.45%0.3073-22.14%0.3399✓1.3818.0M2022-07-02
SCSiacoinnative0.005730.005995+4.62%0.00383-33.16%0.3262✓1.69291k2022-07-02
CHZChilizEthereum0.12470.13048+4.64%0.097-22.21%0.3673✓1.451.1M2022-07-02
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.15140.158567+4.73%0.1026-32.23%0.0037✓0.96307k2022-07-02
STORJStorjEthereum0.594720.623239+4.80%0.67442+13.40%0.8096✓1.5968k2022-07-02
UMAUMAEthereum3.1733.326+4.82%2.539-19.98%0.3883✓1.431.6M2022-07-02
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.020920.021941+4.88%0.02298+9.85%1.1411✓2.3841.1M2022-07-02
BTTCBTTC0.000001090.000001143+4.89%8.10e-7-25.69%0.0656✓0.897.6M2022-07-02
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.14130.148288+4.95%0.1126-20.31%0.5110✓1.713.8M2022-07-02
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash188.75198.1376+4.97%106.4-43.63%0.0399✓1.274.7M2022-07-02
XVGVergenative0.004990.00524+5.02%0.00285-42.89%0.1376✓1.63793k2022-07-02
CELLCellframeEthereum0.33850.355509+5.02%0.2545-24.82%0.3916✓1.5836k2022-07-02
DOTPolkadotPolkadot9.8810.3989+5.25%6.814-31.03%0.2673✓1.5014.7M2022-07-02
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.3740.393744+5.28%0.274-26.74%0.2070✓1.241.0M2022-07-02
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum0.6510.686284+5.42%0.477-26.73%0.3799✓1.62190k2022-07-02
GLMRMoonbeamBase1.3481.4224+5.52%0.679-49.63%0.1900✓2.02467k2022-07-02
ETHEthereumEthereum1,832.451,933.84+5.53%1,065.61-41.85%0.0945✗1.09393.0M2022-07-02
ARPAARPAEthereum0.03530.037264+5.56%0.0374+5.95%0.7361✓1.59276k2022-07-02
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.5210.550344+5.63%0.3936-24.45%0.5023✓1.82739k2022-07-02
AVTAventusEthereum1.051.1109+5.80%1.41+34.29%0.6665✓0.93168k2022-07-02
API3Api3Ethereum1.6361.7312+5.82%1.776+8.56%0.7976✓1.681.1M2022-07-02
LPTLivepeerEthereum12.2212.9359+5.86%8.33-31.83%0.1460✓1.28563k2022-07-02
GTCGitcoinEthereum2.772.9352+5.96%2.52-9.03%0.8109✓2.10311k2022-07-02
BFCBifrostEthereum0.070820.075052+5.98%0.05454-22.99%0.2478✓1.2318k2022-07-02
ORCAOrcaSolana0.830.879991+6.02%0.7342-11.54%0.3456✓1.1591k2022-07-02
XVSVenusEthereum4.95.2072+6.27%4.61-5.92%0.7443✓1.891.8M2022-07-02
UOSUltraEthereum0.37410.397637+6.29%0.25487-31.87%0.2226✓1.45681k2022-07-02
SKLSKALEEthereum0.06870.073023+6.29%0.045-34.50%0.3370✓1.791.9M2022-07-02
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.15220.161935+6.40%0.0942-38.11%0.2357✓1.696.6M2022-07-02
NMRNumeraireEthereum11.9812.7638+6.54%18.11+51.17%0.8212✓1.03446k2022-07-02
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.004160.004434+6.58%0.00266-36.06%0.0440✓1.212.2M2022-07-02
PHAPHALAEthereum0.12830.136754+6.59%0.1043-18.71%0.2960✓1.2314k2022-07-02
GALAGALAEthereum0.07630.081541+6.87%0.0533-30.14%0.4529✓1.91159k2022-07-02
BANDBandEthereum1.681.7956+6.88%1.308-22.14%0.4648✓1.70389k2022-07-02
MOVRMoonriverBase21.639723.154+7.00%11.6269-46.27%0.0408✓1.59239k2022-07-02
LCXLCXEthereum0.06720.071926+7.03%0.0586-12.80%0.3438✓1.19410k2022-07-02
KSMKusamaHydration73.5778.7722+7.07%48.79-33.68%0.1324✓1.331.7M2022-07-02
FILFilecoinFilecoin7.738.2849+7.18%5.331-31.03%0.2614✓1.533.3M2022-07-02
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos9.62910.3297+7.28%8.055-16.35%0.4464✓1.5117.6M2022-07-02
COMPCompoundEthereum57.461.608+7.33%47-18.12%0.4405✓1.5532k2022-07-02
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.008480.009125+7.61%0.00655-22.76%0.0624✓0.86180k2022-07-02
LINKChainlinkEthereum7.1917.7456+7.71%6.216-13.56%0.4627✓1.4926.4M2022-07-02
DYDXdYdXCosmos1.8411.9831+7.72%1.44-21.78%0.4425✓1.66110k2022-07-02
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum2.8873.1127+7.82%2.21-23.45%0.4400✓1.70271k2022-07-02
SOLSolanaSolana40.8244.1259+8.10%33.33-18.35%0.4314✓1.55117.0M2022-07-02
SPELLSpellEthereum0.0012670.001371+8.19%0.0009498-25.04%0.3933✓1.651.8M2022-07-02
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.209530.226752+8.22%0.12309-41.25%0.2371✓1.85298k2022-07-02
MINAMina Protocolnative0.8740.946085+8.25%0.62-29.06%0.3739✓1.73710k2022-07-02
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.00001120.000012132+8.32%0.00001006-10.18%0.4722✓1.441.0M2022-07-02
MASKMask NetworkEthereum1.821.9776+8.66%1.54-15.38%0.6310✓1.92602k2022-07-02
YFIyearn.financeEthereum7,580.118,303.87+9.55%6,015.98-20.63%0.2844✓1.323.9M2022-07-02
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche24.6327.0883+9.98%16.3-33.82%0.2381✓1.6253.9M2022-07-02
WOOWOOEthereum0.16080.177821+10.59%0.1549-3.67%0.5385✓1.471,8812022-07-02
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.