8=======>

2022-05-29 · +30d

gru_s5 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 169 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.1566
169 of 169 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+10.27%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
74.6%
in alpha space · 27.2% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-31.22%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (169 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▾pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche26.1328.7075+9.86%18.08-30.81%0.1309✓1.5852.8M2022-06-28
YFIyearn.financeEthereum7,435.408,150.16+9.61%5,637.11-24.19%0.1110✓1.283.5M2022-06-28
WOOWOOEthereum0.1620.177411+9.51%0.1888+16.54%0.5964✓1.431,7182022-06-28
LINKChainlinkEthereum6.717.3193+9.08%6.303-6.07%0.3899✓1.4419.8M2022-06-28
MASKMask NetworkEthereum1.852.0177+9.06%1.49-19.46%0.3942✓1.86602k2022-06-28
DYDXdYdXCosmos1.7571.9156+9.03%1.365-22.31%0.2638✓1.61110k2022-06-28
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.206070.224119+8.76%0.13391-35.02%0.1741✓1.84293k2022-06-28
LCXLCXEthereum0.06310.068586+8.69%0.0607-3.80%0.3566✓1.28406k2022-06-28
MINAMina Protocolnative0.8880.961972+8.33%0.656-26.13%0.2319✓1.64749k2022-06-28
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum2.9663.2121+8.30%2.717-8.40%0.4595✓1.67271k2022-06-28
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000011480.000012428+8.26%0.00000995-13.33%0.3175✓1.441.0M2022-06-28
SPELLSpellEthereum0.001290.001395+8.16%0.0008908-30.95%0.1915✓1.712.2M2022-06-28
GTCGitcoinEthereum2.522.7254+8.15%2.7+7.14%0.7214✓1.95354k2022-06-28
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum7.127.696+8.09%5.472-23.15%0.2473✓1.578.0M2022-06-28
BANDBandEthereum1.5471.6705+7.98%1.367-11.64%0.4056✓1.62418k2022-06-28
SOLSolanaSolana44.9148.4129+7.80%35.3-21.40%0.2556✓1.53104.0M2022-06-28
FILFilecoinFilecoin7.618.2019+7.78%5.516-27.52%0.1591✓1.494.6M2022-06-28
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.008450.009097+7.66%0.006893-18.43%0.0187✓0.79146k2022-06-28
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos9.5910.3146+7.56%7.34-23.46%0.2053✓1.4618.8M2022-06-28
HIVEHivenative0.47270.508237+7.52%0.6213+31.44%0.7123✓1.371.3M2022-06-28
COMPCompoundEthereum56.0860.2757+7.48%46.65-16.82%0.3113✓1.5230k2022-06-28
KSMKusamaHydration71.5576.8763+7.44%50.26-29.76%0.0743✓1.331.6M2022-06-28
XVSVenusEthereum4.664.9967+7.23%4.68+0.43%0.6405✓1.891.9M2022-06-28
MOVRMoonriverBase21.929523.5031+7.18%11.0131-49.78%0.1590✗1.60247k2022-06-28
BFCBifrostEthereum0.065480.07014+7.12%0.06235-4.78%0.3123✓1.1516k2022-06-28
UOSUltraEthereum0.363020.38858+7.04%0.268-26.17%0.1857✓1.49751k2022-06-28
GALAGALAEthereum0.07860.084096+6.99%0.0563-28.37%0.3087✓1.90173k2022-06-28
ORCAOrcaSolana0.850.908074+6.83%0.8133-4.32%0.3157✓1.1487k2022-06-28
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.004220.004504+6.74%0.002893-31.45%0.0123✓1.222.1M2022-06-28
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.14230.151841+6.70%0.0999-29.80%0.1919✓1.637.2M2022-06-28
PHAPHALAEthereum0.13060.139348+6.70%0.1008-22.82%0.1471✓1.2616k2022-06-28
NMRNumeraireEthereum12.2713.0895+6.68%9.27-24.45%0.0204✓0.98473k2022-06-28
GLMRMoonbeamBase1.2281.3098+6.66%0.648-47.23%0.0126✓1.85478k2022-06-28
STXStacksnative0.520.553975+6.53%0.4147-20.25%0.1374✓1.14217k2022-06-28
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum0.6120.65172+6.49%0.531-13.24%0.3942✓1.60210k2022-06-28
BTTCBTTC0.000001030.000001097+6.46%9.20e-7-10.68%0.1435✓0.857.6M2022-06-28
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.5210.554218+6.38%0.4373-16.07%0.4435✓1.82785k2022-06-28
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.036650.038932+6.23%0.02843-22.43%0.2355✓1.4736k2022-06-28
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.32790.34822+6.20%0.2751-16.10%0.2823✓1.388.2M2022-06-28
API3Api3Ethereum1.631.7302+6.15%1.657+1.66%0.5925✓1.701.6M2022-06-28
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.1340.142179+6.10%0.1264-5.67%0.5278✓1.725.4M2022-06-28
SCSiacoinnative0.00540.005728+6.07%0.00393-27.22%0.2566✓1.69329k2022-06-28
CHZChilizEthereum0.11360.120443+6.02%0.1024-9.86%0.3600✓1.40998k2022-06-28
STORJStorjEthereum0.550150.583258+6.02%0.75096+36.50%0.8591✓1.6265k2022-06-28
CVCCivicEthereum0.16350.173273+5.98%0.1434-12.29%0.3788✓1.52314k2022-06-28
XVGVergenative0.004950.005243+5.92%0.00303-38.79%0.0339✓1.56807k2022-06-28
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.3720.393888+5.88%0.285-23.39%0.1311✓1.21970k2022-06-28
ETHEthereumEthereum1,811.101,917.41+5.87%1,142.65-36.91%0.1158✗1.07383.9M2022-06-28
SKLSKALEEthereum0.06630.070082+5.70%0.0529-20.21%0.3927✓1.802.2M2022-06-28
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash184.88195.4142+5.70%103.04-44.27%0.1772✗1.244.6M2022-06-28
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.25990.27456+5.64%0.2321-10.70%0.3417✓1.36318k2022-06-28
LPTLivepeerEthereum12.6613.3718+5.62%9.07-28.36%0.1029✓1.31655k2022-06-28
COTICOTIEthereum0.11470.12096+5.46%0.0971-15.34%0.4230✓1.721.3M2022-06-28
UMAUMAEthereum3.1863.3597+5.45%2.591-18.68%0.2820✓1.452.2M2022-06-28
DOTPolkadotPolkadot9.9810.5223+5.43%7.301-26.84%0.1933✓1.4913.8M2022-06-28
SUSHISushiEthereum1.51.5805+5.37%1.09-27.33%0.2369✓1.632.3M2022-06-28
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.37860.398603+5.28%0.3124-17.49%0.2508✓1.3217.7M2022-06-28
AVTAventusEthereum1.11.158+5.27%1.57+42.73%0.5725✓0.72174k2022-06-28
LTCLitecoinLitecoin63.5866.8447+5.13%52.65-17.19%0.2376✓1.2719.8M2022-06-28
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum18.4819.4122+5.04%15.29-17.26%0.3113✓1.473.1M2022-06-28
CELLCellframeEthereum0.3140.329667+4.99%0.2323-26.02%0.2055✓1.4845k2022-06-28
MANADecentralandEthereum0.972981.0213+4.97%0.88757-8.78%0.4988✓1.711.2M2022-06-28
ADACardanoCardano0.48170.505572+4.96%0.469-2.64%0.4682✓1.4544.7M2022-06-28
ARPAARPAEthereum0.03770.039537+4.87%0.0423+12.20%0.6626✓1.59269k2022-06-28
AAVEAaveEthereum95.3399.9498+4.85%60.04-37.02%0.1179✓1.688.3M2022-06-28
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.009290.009736+4.80%0.00669-27.99%0.0330✓1.09997k2022-06-28
QNTQuantEthereum66.3669.5341+4.78%57.6-13.20%0.2353✓1.132.6M2022-06-28
NANOnanopayBase1.12051.1735+4.73%0.810935-27.63%0.1337✓1.34167k2022-06-28
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.15930.166734+4.67%0.1286-19.27%0.0603✓0.85313k2022-06-28
SNXSynthetixEthereum2.62.72+4.62%2.488-4.31%0.6255✓1.914.0M2022-06-28
DASHDashDash57.6960.3518+4.61%46.27-19.80%0.1916✓1.221.2M2022-06-28
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.14620.152926+4.60%0.1188-18.74%0.3677✓1.6689k2022-06-28
DIADIAEthereum0.45460.47546+4.59%0.37305-17.94%0.0140✓0.61121k2022-06-28
FIDABonfidaSolana0.5030.525544+4.48%0.348-30.82%0.0695✓1.2930k2022-06-28
LRCLoopringEthereum0.49440.516456+4.46%0.3874-21.64%0.3057✓1.58217k2022-06-28
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum1.271.3261+4.42%0.4962-60.93%0.5618✗1.1399k2022-06-28
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.02250.023492+4.41%0.02343+4.13%0.8883✓2.3826.5M2022-06-28
AMPAmpEthereum0.01180.01231+4.32%0.00876-25.76%0.0681✓1.092.1M2022-06-28
GITCOINGITCOIN2.4962.6037+4.32%2.7158+8.81%0.7874✓1.9916k2022-06-28
UNIUniswapEthereum4.945.1506+4.26%4.917-0.47%0.4671✓1.373.0M2022-06-28
CRVCurve DAOEthereum1.2531.3062+4.25%0.6951-44.53%0.1076✗1.406.8M2022-06-28
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.27840.290119+4.21%0.1952-29.89%0.1002✓1.33420k2022-06-28
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.372280.387534+4.10%0.3695-0.75%0.4709✓1.39168k2022-06-28
XEMNEMnative0.04910.051067+4.01%0.040352-17.82%0.3358✓1.5331k2022-06-28
CTSICartesiEthereum0.19960.207432+3.92%0.1502-24.75%0.2845✓1.62493k2022-06-28
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0171580.017822+3.87%0.011804-31.20%0.0265✓1.173.2M2022-06-28
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum2.55842.6566+3.84%1.855-27.49%0.1475✓1.3588k2022-06-28
XECeCashnative0.000047790.000049582+3.75%0.00003938-17.60%0.3031✓1.434.7M2022-06-28
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0143290.014856+3.68%0.015124+5.55%0.2970✓0.75176k2022-06-28
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.004480.004643+3.64%0.002688-40.00%0.0891✗1.229,8712022-06-28
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.130.134647+3.57%0.1018-21.69%0.2060✓1.30951k2022-06-28
XLMStellarStellar0.1309160.135577+3.56%0.114237-12.74%0.2669✓1.1710.5M2022-06-28
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.0825980.085506+3.52%0.065943-20.16%0.1988✓1.232.8M2022-06-28
TRBTellor TributesEthereum10.0910.4366+3.44%10.58+4.86%0.7048✓1.85188k2022-06-28
BICOBiconomyEthereum0.6470.669213+3.43%0.5306-17.99%0.3732✓1.621.7M2022-06-28
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.62180.642127+3.27%0.7367+18.48%0.6990✓1.504.8M2022-06-28
DEXEDeXeEthereum3.153.2458+3.04%2.51-20.32%0.1379✓1.06660k2022-06-28
QTUMQtumQtum3.85673.9734+3.03%2.8847-25.20%0.1423✓1.2463k2022-06-28
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum2.7532.8341+2.95%2.463-10.53%0.2651✓1.0884k2022-06-28
ZECZcashZcash92.395.0109+2.94%58.81-36.28%0.0248✓1.354.9M2022-06-28
RLCiExec RLCEthereum0.840.864129+2.87%0.7251-13.68%0.4444✓1.66329k2022-06-28
LSKLiskEthereum1.24411.2796+2.85%1.1426-8.16%0.3508✓1.2454k2022-06-28
RADRadworksEthereum2.172.2289+2.71%1.76-18.89%0.2259✓1.23247k2022-06-28
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.0870.089348+2.70%0.0526-39.54%0.2430✗0.77239k2022-06-28
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.10830.111142+2.62%0.1012-6.56%0.6096✓1.88501k2022-06-28
AUCTIONBounceEthereum6.626.7927+2.61%5.12-22.66%0.2614✓1.45535k2022-06-28
ZENHorizenBase20.2520.7738+2.59%13.58-32.94%0.1954✓1.6696k2022-06-28
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana5.375.4941+2.31%4.63-13.78%0.1188✓0.772.8M2022-06-28
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.3900590.398707+2.22%0.317444-18.62%0.3228✓1.473.6M2022-06-28
HIGHHighstreetEthereum1.9051.947+2.20%1.224-35.75%0.2604✓1.94508k2022-06-28
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.2050.209261+2.08%0.271+32.20%0.9267✓1.791.4M2022-06-28
XTZTezosTezos1.98462.0249+2.03%1.5132-23.75%0.2078✓1.331.1M2022-06-28
BTCBitcoinBitcoin29,447.0730,019.40+1.94%20,252.89-31.22%0.0192✓1.00676.2M2022-06-28
APEApeCoinEthereum6.2326.3256+1.50%4.897-21.42%0.6161✓2.3341.9M2022-06-28
FTTFTXEthereum27.2827.6887+1.50%25.63-6.05%0.2969✓1.0010.2M2022-06-28
GLMGolemEthereum0.25730.26099+1.43%0.2406-6.49%0.4333✓1.37105k2022-06-28
CTKShentuOsmosis0.8460.857887+1.41%0.772-8.75%0.3482✓1.212.5M2022-06-28
1INCH1INCHEthereum0.9180.930535+1.37%0.74-19.39%0.2103✓1.17658k2022-06-28
ASTRAstarEthereum0.05730.05805+1.31%0.0466-18.67%0.3964✓1.6573k2022-06-28
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.08710.087862+0.88%0.0556-36.17%0.1462✓1.61162k2022-06-28
BRISEBitgertEthereum6.90e-76.96e-7+0.77%3.70e-7-46.35%0.3013✗0.881.5M2022-06-28
XYMSymbolnative0.0560.056386+0.69%0.052599-6.07%0.2318✓0.81119k2022-06-28
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.04930.049613+0.64%0.0448-9.13%0.4265✓1.411.0M2022-06-28
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum29,404.7029,536.50+0.45%20,284.10-31.02%0.0132✗0.9778k2022-06-28
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana3.3323.3454+0.40%2.859-14.20%0.2184✓1.001.7M2022-06-28
IMXImmutableEthereum1.0111.0149+0.39%0.8635-14.59%0.4951✓1.754.2M2022-06-28
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum10.1410.1624+0.22%8.81-13.12%0.4808✓1.676.1M2022-06-28
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.029950.030009+0.20%0.02025-32.39%0.0043✓1.06188k2022-06-28
KCSKuCoinnative16.47416.4943+0.12%10.181-38.20%0.0874✗1.066.6M2022-06-28
XMRMoneroMonero185.63185.7596+0.07%117.52-36.69%0.0342✗1.132.5M2022-06-28
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV52.58252.5095-0.14%57.136+8.66%0.4774✗1.051.2M2022-06-28
CBKCobakEthereum1.16931.1665-0.24%0.98938-15.39%0.2763✗1.187,1582022-06-28
GTGateEthereum5.41485.4017-0.24%4.1715-22.96%0.0585✓0.534.4M2022-06-28
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.012390.012351-0.32%0.00936-24.46%0.3190✗1.5922.3M2022-06-28
LEOLEO TokenEthereum5.13635.1104-0.50%5.7501+11.95%0.2313✗0.30289k2022-06-28
ETCEthereum Classicnative23.6523.5172-0.56%15.41-34.84%0.0757✗1.333.9M2022-06-28
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.0268990.026711-0.70%0.02148-20.15%0.2050✗1.1313k2022-06-28
SUNSun TokenTron0.009240.00917-0.76%0.005802-37.21%0.0334✓1.135,3132022-06-28
NEXONEXOEthereum1.2471.2372-0.79%0.621-50.20%0.2647✓1.131.8M2022-06-28
BORABORAKlay Token0.428760.425142-0.84%0.30824-28.11%0.3140✗1.7021k2022-06-28
DODODODOEthereum0.1780.17648-0.85%0.1208-32.13%0.2854✗1.782.6M2022-06-28
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.047910.047379-1.11%0.0434-9.41%0.3098✗1.064,9292022-06-28
ROSEOasisBinance Smart Chain0.06550.064567-1.43%0.05048-22.93%0.6164✗2.302.9M2022-06-28
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana3.723.6655-1.46%3.06-17.74%0.1721✗0.94741k2022-06-28
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum0.6170.606928-1.63%0.647+4.86%0.6913✗1.6811k2022-06-28
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.94911.913-1.85%1.3393-31.29%0.1238✗1.285.5M2022-06-28
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.023830.023374-1.91%0.01995-16.28%0.0551✗0.57582k2022-06-28
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.34812.2979-2.14%2.2052-6.09%0.3628✗1.083.0M2022-06-28
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana4.444.3297-2.48%3.93-11.49%0.1962✗0.78829k2022-06-28
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.2513.1658-2.62%2.5339-22.06%0.4105✗1.696.5M2022-06-28
TRXTRONTron0.0804590.07817-2.84%0.065755-18.28%0.1577✗0.881.5M2022-06-28
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.616560.598507-2.93%0.49508-19.70%0.5217✗1.90397k2022-06-28
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana4.284.1534-2.96%3.64-14.95%0.1494✗0.75921k2022-06-28
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana2.4362.3629-3.00%3.039+24.75%0.6380✗1.03811k2022-06-28
FETArtificial Superintelligence AllianceEthereum0.15780.152434-3.40%0.0762-51.71%0.3191✓1.003,0542022-06-28
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana7.617.319-3.82%6.25-17.87%0.0068✓0.401.3M2022-06-28
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.3161.2634-4.00%1.308-0.61%0.6175✗1.567.3M2022-06-28
FLOWFlownative2.4312.3293-4.18%1.608-33.85%0.0037✓1.001.1M2022-06-28
DKAdKargoEthereum0.05450.052205-4.21%0.04874-10.57%0.3585✗1.1414k2022-06-28
GMTGMTEthereum1.0781.0308-4.38%0.876-18.74%0.7301✗2.393.8M2022-06-28
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain2.21712.1158-4.57%1.81-18.36%0.2119✗0.984.2M2022-06-28
STEEMSteemnative0.24660.234597-4.87%0.219-11.19%0.5721✗1.71782k2022-06-28
PROPropyEthereum0.980.92951-5.15%0.89-9.18%0.2707✗0.84246k2022-06-28
OGOG Fan TokenSolana2.6042.4688-5.19%3.055+17.32%0.4906✗0.741.3M2022-06-28
METRONOMEMETRONOME1.48631.4036-5.57%0.78691-47.06%0.2813✓0.795,6992022-06-28
RUNETHORChainTHORChain2.5932.4345-6.11%1.957-24.53%0.1560✗1.00132k2022-06-28
LUNATerraTerra 20.000103280.000093107-9.85%0.00010791+4.48%1.2577✗2.974.9M2022-06-28
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain4.2773.8166-10.76%3.8-11.15%0.1992✗0.544.3M2022-06-28
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.9720.805022-17.18%0.989+1.75%1.0400✗2.232.0M2022-06-28
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.