8=======>

2022-05-07 · +30d

gru_s5 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 165 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.2875
165 of 165 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+19.06%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
87.9%
in alpha space · 94.5% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-11.60%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (165 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▴pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.21650.192383-11.14%0.1106-48.91%0.3449✓1.691.1M2022-06-06
APEApeCoinEthereum12.35311.1962-9.36%6.382-48.34%0.3158✓2.0075.7M2022-06-06
BORABORAKlay Token0.541590.491297-9.29%0.42235-22.02%0.0014✓1.2148k2022-06-06
GMTGMTEthereum2.5622.3359-8.82%1.005-60.77%0.7201✓1.009.0M2022-06-06
ZENHorizenBase35.3832.347-8.57%20.95-40.79%0.2693✓1.34173k2022-06-06
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.5770.529458-8.24%0.369-36.05%0.2653✓0.781.3M2022-06-06
CELLCellframeEthereum0.6640.609892-8.15%0.3392-48.92%0.4389✓1.2097k2022-06-06
PROPropyEthereum1.681.5448-8.05%1.07-36.31%0.2906✓0.62507k2022-06-06
CRVCurve DAOEthereum2.2272.0511-7.90%1.286-42.25%0.3002✓1.355.1M2022-06-06
1INCH1INCHEthereum1.2991.1967-7.88%0.874-32.72%0.1889✓1.02501k2022-06-06
MASKMask NetworkEthereum3.523.2512-7.64%1.75-50.28%0.4389✓1.46349k2022-06-06
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.74840.692097-7.52%0.4126-44.87%0.3957✓0.9910.9M2022-06-06
ETCEthereum Classicnative26.8724.8596-7.48%22.51-16.23%0.0508✓1.224.6M2022-06-06
MINAMina Protocolnative1.721.5915-7.47%0.873-49.24%0.4564✓1.17835k2022-06-06
SNXSynthetixEthereum4.3163.9965-7.40%2.776-35.68%0.1760✓1.537.1M2022-06-06
SPELLSpellEthereum0.003070.002843-7.40%0.001275-58.47%0.6592✓1.163.9M2022-06-06
STEEMSteemnative0.38560.357376-7.32%0.284-26.35%0.1065✓1.003.5M2022-06-06
ROSEOasisBinance Smart Chain0.15410.142901-7.27%0.06821-55.74%0.6162✓1.003.4M2022-06-06
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum18.316.9835-7.19%12.17-33.50%0.1650✓1.362.3M2022-06-06
ASTRAstarEthereum0.1330.123467-7.17%0.0634-52.33%0.5977✓0.56134k2022-06-06
AVTAventusEthereum1.941.8032-7.05%1.06-45.36%0.4626✓0.56264k2022-06-06
SKLSKALEEthereum0.13480.125312-7.04%0.069-48.81%0.4332✓1.333.8M2022-06-06
GLMRMoonbeamBase2.2182.0624-7.02%1.349-39.18%0.2324✓1.56665k2022-06-06
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.29180.272021-6.78%0.1585-45.68%0.3851✓1.266.3M2022-06-06
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.12030.112158-6.77%0.0925-23.11%0.0892✓0.84136k2022-06-06
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.03960.036968-6.65%0.02849-28.06%0.1574✓0.84227k2022-06-06
XECeCashnative0.000069860.000065277-6.56%0.00005296-24.19%0.0818✓1.037.2M2022-06-06
LPTLivepeerEthereum21.7920.373-6.50%12.56-42.36%0.3285✓1.26532k2022-06-06
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.0610.057064-6.45%0.05285-13.36%0.0283✓0.859,8712022-06-06
COMPCompoundEthereum99.0692.7094-6.41%59.38-40.06%0.2933✓1.2331k2022-06-06
TRXTRONTron0.0833540.07802-6.40%0.081464-2.27%0.1347✗0.74304k2022-06-06
YFIyearn.financeEthereum16,364.7315,319.64-6.39%7,455.25-54.44%0.5948✓1.022.3M2022-06-06
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.390.365991-6.16%0.281-27.95%0.1256✓1.124.3M2022-06-06
UNIUniswapEthereum7.176.73-6.14%5.369-25.12%0.0876✓1.124.2M2022-06-06
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.667580.626918-6.09%0.428069-35.88%0.2425✓1.135.6M2022-06-06
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.036220.034036-6.03%0.029571-18.36%0.0335✓0.8731k2022-06-06
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV70.3366.1067-6.00%57.654-18.02%0.0310✓0.862.1M2022-06-06
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.7321.6284-5.98%1.559-9.99%0.0978✗1.1517.4M2022-06-06
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain4.82654.5382-5.97%3.2249-33.18%0.2043✓1.118.6M2022-06-06
BRISEBitgertEthereum8.69e-78.18e-7-5.89%6.31e-7-27.38%0.2587✓0.00717k2022-06-06
XVGVergenative0.007690.007239-5.87%0.00484-37.06%0.2608✓1.15898k2022-06-06
SUNSun TokenTron0.0125430.011812-5.83%0.00958-23.62%0.0992✓0.8939k2022-06-06
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana5.3155.0055-5.82%3.611-32.06%0.2464✓0.651.4M2022-06-06
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.013920.01311-5.82%0.00924-33.62%0.2385✓0.901.0M2022-06-06
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.016270.015324-5.81%0.01214-25.38%0.0333✓1.6248.2M2022-06-06
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.08580.080817-5.81%0.0536-37.53%0.3055✓0.852.4M2022-06-06
LRCLoopringEthereum0.69460.654703-5.74%0.5543-20.20%0.0027✓1.33296k2022-06-06
UMAUMAEthereum5.2744.9735-5.70%3.103-41.16%0.2922✓1.461.6M2022-06-06
LUNATerraTerra 268.0264.1767-5.65%0.00008059-100.00%13.4230✓1.346.9M2022-06-06
RADRadworksEthereum3.443.249-5.55%2.22-35.47%0.2741✓0.87541k2022-06-06
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum3.63373.433-5.52%2.565-29.41%0.1547✓1.11173k2022-06-06
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.37050.350078-5.51%0.1442-61.08%0.8338✓0.43540k2022-06-06
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.556810.526515-5.44%0.40356-27.52%0.1287✓1.11129k2022-06-06
HIGHHighstreetEthereum3.4563.2691-5.41%1.98-42.71%0.2901✓1.711.2M2022-06-06
XYMSymbolnative0.08410.079586-5.37%0.059309-29.48%0.2095✓0.69657k2022-06-06
COTICOTIEthereum0.18190.172209-5.33%0.1224-32.71%0.1679✓1.411.8M2022-06-06
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum28.6527.13-5.31%20.69-27.78%0.1036✓1.363.5M2022-06-06
LCXLCXEthereum0.10110.095804-5.24%0.0684-32.34%0.2330✓0.84416k2022-06-06
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum12.0511.4204-5.22%7.576-37.13%0.2570✓1.248.3M2022-06-06
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum4.0613.8491-5.22%2.833-30.24%0.1796✓1.0367k2022-06-06
BICOBiconomyEthereum0.9640.914572-5.13%0.719-25.41%0.0867✓1.251.9M2022-06-06
GTCGitcoinEthereum4.524.2902-5.08%2.84-37.17%0.2227✓1.54335k2022-06-06
WOOWOOEthereum0.32810.311434-5.08%0.1941-40.84%0.3936✓0.643,2632022-06-06
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000019280.000018306-5.05%0.00001106-42.63%0.3734✓1.061.2M2022-06-06
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.6130.582095-5.04%1.053+71.78%0.7715✗1.451.6M2022-06-06
DODODODOEthereum0.2740.260205-5.03%0.1715-37.41%0.2573✓1.294.9M2022-06-06
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.01550.01472-5.03%0.00859-44.58%0.4324✓0.86209k2022-06-06
DYDXdYdXCosmos3.4253.2543-4.98%1.794-47.62%0.4177✓1.4475k2022-06-06
FILFilecoinFilecoin13.2512.6006-4.90%7.563-42.92%0.3684✓1.156.5M2022-06-06
DASHDashDash83.4179.3413-4.88%60.01-28.05%0.1469✓1.071.1M2022-06-06
FTTFTXEthereum35.0933.4056-4.80%27.37-22.00%0.0856✓0.9211.7M2022-06-06
AMPAmpEthereum0.017810.01696-4.77%0.01186-33.41%0.2652✓0.752.9M2022-06-06
XMRMoneroMonero204.44194.6856-4.77%189.44-7.34%0.0869✗0.933.0M2022-06-06
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.77262.641-4.75%2.5863-6.72%0.0615✗0.672.8M2022-06-06
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum2.63622.5126-4.69%1.9814-24.84%0.1157✓0.9910.0M2022-06-06
ADACardanoCardano0.75980.724698-4.62%0.6087-19.89%0.0305✓1.1740.5M2022-06-06
NMRNumeraireEthereum20.2119.2858-4.57%12.09-40.18%0.3720✓0.77445k2022-06-06
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum0.9960.950851-4.53%0.652-34.54%0.2162✓1.31344k2022-06-06
STORJStorjEthereum0.807880.77174-4.47%0.6076-24.79%0.0847✓1.2588k2022-06-06
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.19130.182744-4.47%0.1323-30.84%0.2150✓0.881.2M2022-06-06
NANOnanopayBase1.73281.6557-4.45%1.1816-31.81%0.1983✓1.13145k2022-06-06
CTSICartesiEthereum0.25650.245206-4.40%0.2146-16.34%0.0323✓1.34675k2022-06-06
GLMGolemEthereum0.33160.317018-4.40%0.306-7.72%0.1059✗1.15188k2022-06-06
LSKLiskEthereum1.63191.561-4.34%1.43-12.37%0.0259✓0.9280k2022-06-06
DIADIAEthereum0.690.660085-4.34%0.45239-34.44%0.3196✓0.4770k2022-06-06
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.87460.837202-4.28%0.6122-30.00%0.1492✓1.336.3M2022-06-06
AAVEAaveEthereum132.21126.5659-4.27%105.84-19.95%0.0133✓1.348.3M2022-06-06
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.18950.18159-4.17%0.1709-9.82%0.1085✗1.37109k2022-06-06
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana2.722.6066-4.17%3.017+10.92%0.2368✗0.73788k2022-06-06
CHZChilizEthereum0.16740.160477-4.14%0.1296-22.58%0.0673✓1.191.3M2022-06-06
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.14190.136032-4.14%0.0872-38.55%0.2024✓1.96256k2022-06-06
BANDBandEthereum2.7842.669-4.13%1.72-38.22%0.2784✓1.31499k2022-06-06
DEXEDeXeEthereum4.454.2666-4.12%3.21-27.87%0.2078✓0.62851k2022-06-06
GTGateEthereum6.30716.0505-4.07%5.4841-13.05%0.0436✓0.444.1M2022-06-06
ORCAOrcaSolana1.531.4679-4.06%0.84-45.10%0.4694✓0.72142k2022-06-06
SUSHISushiEthereum2.142.0535-4.04%1.62-24.30%0.0701✓1.353.3M2022-06-06
OGOG Fan TokenSolana2.7212.6127-3.98%3.162+16.21%0.2721✗0.661.1M2022-06-06
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.1273390.122288-3.97%0.082485-35.22%0.2777✓0.947.1M2022-06-06
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.36540.350929-3.96%0.3225-11.74%0.0549✗1.13487k2022-06-06
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.00780.007491-3.96%0.00431-44.74%0.4102✓1.161.7M2022-06-06
SCSiacoinnative0.007570.007271-3.95%0.00581-23.25%0.0710✓1.24373k2022-06-06
AUCTIONBounceEthereum10.49.9895-3.95%6.61-36.44%0.2834✓1.05748k2022-06-06
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash267.87257.3037-3.94%185.41-30.78%0.2023✓1.024.9M2022-06-06
HIVEHivenative0.74230.713306-3.91%0.5692-23.32%0.0950✓1.061.4M2022-06-06
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.056110.053935-3.88%0.03982-29.03%0.1659✓1.1155k2022-06-06
TRBTellor TributesEthereum13.412.8856-3.84%10.96-18.21%0.0145✓1.43136k2022-06-06
BTCBitcoinBitcoin35,458.0034,098.38-3.83%31,343.61-11.60%0.0391✗1.00542.5M2022-06-06
KSMKusamaHydration117.99113.478-3.82%70.26-40.45%0.3418✓1.121.0M2022-06-06
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum1.871.7997-3.76%1.29-31.02%0.2050✓1.04134k2022-06-06
GITCOINGITCOIN4.4914.3239-3.72%2.804-37.56%0.2471✓1.5118k2022-06-06
SOLSolanaSolana78.8375.9029-3.71%42.35-46.28%0.4306✓1.2482.2M2022-06-06
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.03450.03322-3.71%0.02403-30.35%0.0898✓1.9022.0M2022-06-06
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos16.4315.8212-3.71%9.457-42.44%0.3717✓1.1618.8M2022-06-06
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum4.5724.4035-3.69%2.866-37.31%0.2803✓1.21174k2022-06-06
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana8.648.3216-3.68%7.53-12.85%0.0404✓0.481.2M2022-06-06
BTTCBTTC0.000001620.000001561-3.63%0.00000109-32.72%0.2719✓0.717.6M2022-06-06
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana4.484.319-3.59%4.21-6.03%0.0589✗0.68497k2022-06-06
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum1.1331.093-3.53%0.602-46.87%0.4514✓1.1836k2022-06-06
RLCiExec RLCEthereum1.371.3217-3.52%0.88-35.77%0.2364✓1.38875k2022-06-06
XVSVenusEthereum7.437.1685-3.52%4.57-38.49%0.3096✓1.142.6M2022-06-06
ZECZcashZcash112.65108.7222-3.49%94.38-16.22%0.0042✓1.185.1M2022-06-06
DOTPolkadotPolkadot13.7513.2712-3.48%9.492-30.97%0.1985✓1.1111.6M2022-06-06
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.47650.460032-3.46%0.3639-23.63%0.0957✓1.127.9M2022-06-06
XTZTezosTezos2.51172.4253-3.44%2.061-17.94%0.0241✓1.12847k2022-06-06
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.20940.202292-3.39%0.1476-29.51%0.1328✓1.486.3M2022-06-06
QTUMQtumQtum5.2285.051-3.39%4.0349-22.82%0.0811✓1.1698k2022-06-06
LTCLitecoinLitecoin94.2791.0804-3.38%64.38-31.71%0.2194✓1.0317.3M2022-06-06
CVCCivicEthereum0.23550.227579-3.36%0.1942-17.54%0.0094✓1.21372k2022-06-06
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.3763.2627-3.36%4.612+36.61%0.3910✗0.362.4M2022-06-06
LEOLEO TokenEthereum5.27335.1008-3.27%5.1334-2.65%0.0434✗0.30278k2022-06-06
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.70.677175-3.26%0.84358+20.51%0.3764✗1.27412k2022-06-06
MOVRMoonriverBase34.658833.5597-3.17%20.5584-40.68%0.3127✓1.44173k2022-06-06
XEMNEMnative0.08060.078062-3.15%0.053095-34.13%0.2632✓0.9954k2022-06-06
ARPAARPAEthereum0.04940.047916-3.00%0.035-29.15%0.1648✓1.21176k2022-06-06
MANADecentralandEthereum1.37041.3299-2.95%1.0154-25.90%0.1203✓1.21760k2022-06-06
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum35,568.5034,518.47-2.95%31,441.50-11.60%0.0261✓0.9726k2022-06-06
STXStacksnative0.810.786444-2.91%0.5587-31.02%0.2186✓1.00260k2022-06-06
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0173340.01683-2.90%0.015286-11.81%0.0239✓0.59193k2022-06-06
KCSKuCoinnative16.73116.2518-2.86%16.559-1.03%0.1149✗0.784.0M2022-06-06
IMXImmutableEthereum1.4221.3816-2.84%1.04-26.86%0.1089✓1.428.3M2022-06-06
PHAPHALAEthereum0.2170.210949-2.79%0.1275-41.24%0.4148✓0.7222k2022-06-06
XLMStellarStellar0.1675110.162928-2.74%0.144814-13.55%0.0061✓1.0113.6M2022-06-06
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche55.0353.5494-2.69%25.98-52.79%0.5729✓1.2243.7M2022-06-06
CTKShentuOsmosis0.9480.922628-2.68%0.813-14.24%0.0114✓1.123.3M2022-06-06
FIDABonfidaSolana0.9570.932773-2.53%0.485-49.32%0.5165✓1.1143k2022-06-06
METRONOMEMETRONOME2.22422.1697-2.45%1.5277-31.31%0.2693✓0.6614k2022-06-06
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.38830.378803-2.45%0.3228-16.87%0.0424✓0.95297k2022-06-06
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.00710.006929-2.41%0.0051-28.17%0.2308✓0.6121k2022-06-06
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.024720.024129-2.39%0.02592+4.85%0.1300✗0.47405k2022-06-06
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.9040.883236-2.30%0.504-44.25%0.3999✓1.311.0M2022-06-06
GALAGALAEthereum0.13580.132892-2.14%0.0879-35.27%0.2502✓1.32180k2022-06-06
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana4.083.9996-1.97%4.09+0.25%0.1172✗0.77585k2022-06-06
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana4.874.7821-1.81%4.97+2.05%0.1284✗0.73930k2022-06-06
UOSUltraEthereum0.630660.619697-1.74%0.36796-41.65%0.3563✓1.341.3M2022-06-06
CBKCobakEthereum1.6581.6297-1.71%1.3642-17.72%0.0785✓0.8024k2022-06-06
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.370.364043-1.61%0.20236-45.31%0.4111✓1.43268k2022-06-06
QNTQuantEthereum87.0985.7754-1.51%67.76-22.20%0.1128✓1.003.4M2022-06-06
DKAdKargoEthereum0.073660.072628-1.40%0.06463-12.26%0.0082✓0.8829k2022-06-06
ETHEthereumEthereum2,634.802,605.46-1.11%1,858.21-29.47%0.2139✓1.01437.0M2022-06-06
API3Api3Ethereum3.1223.0879-1.09%1.562-49.97%0.5472✓1.092.6M2022-06-06
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0224810.022242-1.06%0.01521-32.34%0.2594✓0.984.2M2022-06-06
LINKChainlinkEthereum10.2110.1135-0.94%7.971-21.93%0.0906✓1.2017.5M2022-06-06
BFCBifrostEthereum0.110270.10934-0.84%0.07063-35.95%0.3489✓0.7117k2022-06-06
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain2.76562.7468-0.68%2.3293-15.78%0.0855✓0.645.0M2022-06-06
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana8.888.9249+0.51%5.58-37.16%0.4099✗0.482.5M2022-06-06
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.