8=======>

2022-05-06 · +30d

gru_s5 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 164 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.2573
164 of 164 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+19.04%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
87.8%
in alpha space · 96.3% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-16.94%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (164 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▴pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.21570.191482-11.23%0.1129-47.66%0.2019✓1.761.1M2022-06-05
BORABORAKlay Token0.584460.52579-10.04%0.41162-29.57%0.0224✓1.2053k2022-06-05
APEApeCoinEthereum13.25911.9477-9.89%6.092-54.05%0.3064✓1.9875.7M2022-06-05
1INCH1INCHEthereum1.3561.2301-9.29%0.858-36.73%0.1715✓1.02462k2022-06-05
ZENHorizenBase36.3933.0398-9.21%19.72-45.81%0.2675✓1.34173k2022-06-05
PROPropyEthereum1.751.5958-8.81%1.23-29.71%0.1483✓0.60507k2022-06-05
MINAMina Protocolnative1.841.6805-8.67%0.837-54.51%0.4803✓1.17929k2022-06-05
ETCEthereum Classicnative27.9525.5772-8.49%21.8-22.00%0.0647✓1.214.8M2022-06-05
MASKMask NetworkEthereum3.713.397-8.44%1.72-53.64%0.4093✓1.46355k2022-06-05
CRVCurve DAOEthereum2.2952.1025-8.39%1.209-47.32%0.3046✓1.345.1M2022-06-05
ASTRAstarEthereum0.1410.129326-8.28%0.0607-56.95%0.6553✓0.54148k2022-06-05
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.570.522838-8.27%0.387-32.11%0.1546✓0.791.3M2022-06-05
CELLCellframeEthereum0.64550.593726-8.02%0.3423-46.97%0.3213✓1.24101k2022-06-05
SNXSynthetixEthereum4.5964.2326-7.91%2.609-43.23%0.2027✓1.527.3M2022-06-05
SPELLSpellEthereum0.003140.002892-7.89%0.001262-59.81%0.6137✓1.164.0M2022-06-05
SKLSKALEEthereum0.14160.13057-7.79%0.068-51.98%0.4082✓1.324.3M2022-06-05
GLMRMoonbeamBase2.3272.1473-7.72%1.371-41.08%0.1585✓1.56713k2022-06-05
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.40720.375933-7.68%0.1403-65.55%0.9059✓0.43565k2022-06-05
AVTAventusEthereum1.931.7861-7.46%1.05-45.60%0.4281✓0.56272k2022-06-05
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum18.417.0648-7.26%11.05-39.95%0.1807✓1.372.2M2022-06-05
STEEMSteemnative0.37590.348664-7.25%0.3016-19.77%0.0406✓1.003.9M2022-06-05
ROSEOasisBinance Smart Chain0.16150.149914-7.17%0.06666-58.72%0.6249✓1.003.8M2022-06-05
UNIUniswapEthereum7.597.0478-7.14%5.092-32.91%0.1171✓1.124.3M2022-06-05
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.29520.2742-7.11%0.156-47.15%0.3292✓1.276.5M2022-06-05
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.12160.11295-7.11%0.088-27.63%0.0950✓0.83146k2022-06-05
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.69790.648492-7.08%0.3914-43.92%0.3199✓1.0010.9M2022-06-05
TRXTRONTron0.0864820.080432-7.00%0.081368-5.91%0.1485✗0.74297k2022-06-05
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.062910.058519-6.98%0.05212-17.15%0.0412✓0.8510k2022-06-05
XECeCashnative0.000071540.000066554-6.97%0.00004817-32.67%0.1318✓1.037.6M2022-06-05
UMAUMAEthereum5.4675.0896-6.90%3.077-43.72%0.2349✓1.451.6M2022-06-05
YFIyearn.financeEthereum16,718.3215,572.60-6.85%7,431.12-55.55%0.5533✓1.012.5M2022-06-05
COMPCompoundEthereum103.596.4276-6.83%58.45-43.53%0.2722✓1.2330k2022-06-05
LUNATerraTerra 277.3672.1299-6.76%0.000079-100.00%13.4806✓1.316.9M2022-06-05
XVGVergenative0.008050.007506-6.76%0.00493-38.76%0.2077✓1.15926k2022-06-05
LPTLivepeerEthereum21.7920.3235-6.73%12.33-43.41%0.2648✓1.27532k2022-06-05
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.4140.38673-6.59%0.273-34.06%0.1405✓1.124.3M2022-06-05
LRCLoopringEthereum0.72480.677599-6.51%0.5059-30.20%0.0406✓1.36307k2022-06-05
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.8381.7183-6.51%1.424-22.52%0.0228✓1.1417.4M2022-06-05
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.7019970.656326-6.51%0.407448-41.96%0.2693✓1.125.5M2022-06-05
BRISEBitgertEthereum8.90e-78.33e-7-6.41%6.49e-7-27.14%0.2505✓-0.00717k2022-06-05
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.08960.083954-6.30%0.0534-40.40%0.2947✓0.852.5M2022-06-05
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.014130.013255-6.19%0.00895-36.66%0.2261✓0.901.0M2022-06-05
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV72.4467.9838-6.15%56.443-22.08%0.0272✓0.862.1M2022-06-05
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.579870.544211-6.15%0.382-34.12%0.1481✓1.11129k2022-06-05
HIGHHighstreetEthereum3.5993.3781-6.14%1.946-45.93%0.2344✓1.711.3M2022-06-05
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.038340.036004-6.09%0.02841-25.90%0.0807✓0.84222k2022-06-05
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum12.4711.7186-6.03%7.34-41.14%0.2361✓1.258.5M2022-06-05
SUNSun TokenTron0.0129840.012203-6.02%0.009685-25.41%0.0655✓0.8940k2022-06-05
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana5.2174.9038-6.00%3.53-32.34%0.2081✓0.651.5M2022-06-05
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.99352.8146-5.98%2.5379-15.22%0.0191✓0.662.9M2022-06-05
BICOBiconomyEthereum1.0410.978867-5.97%0.73-29.88%0.0650✓1.232.1M2022-06-05
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.036940.03474-5.95%0.028859-21.88%0.0250✓0.8632k2022-06-05
RADRadworksEthereum3.583.3672-5.94%2.11-41.06%0.3056✓0.87555k2022-06-05
COTICOTIEthereum0.19130.180018-5.90%0.1188-37.90%0.1565✓1.401.9M2022-06-05
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.6410.603214-5.89%0.804+25.43%0.5562✗1.451.7M2022-06-05
GTCGitcoinEthereum4.74.4252-5.85%2.73-41.91%0.1969✓1.54339k2022-06-05
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.01720.016199-5.82%0.01211-29.59%0.0076✓1.6148.2M2022-06-05
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain4.69874.428-5.76%3.1878-32.16%0.1205✓1.128.6M2022-06-05
FILFilecoinFilecoin13.8713.0896-5.63%7.358-46.95%0.3629✓1.157.4M2022-06-05
LCXLCXEthereum0.10440.098535-5.62%0.0646-38.12%0.2631✓0.86425k2022-06-05
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum28.5126.9223-5.57%20.08-29.57%0.0330✓1.403.8M2022-06-05
WOOWOOEthereum0.33970.320823-5.56%0.1601-52.87%0.5765✓0.643,3932022-06-05
DYDXdYdXCosmos3.4733.2815-5.51%1.742-49.84%0.3614✓1.4679k2022-06-05
DASHDashDash87.6382.8087-5.50%58.53-33.21%0.1475✓1.081.2M2022-06-05
GLMGolemEthereum0.35210.332792-5.48%0.3001-14.77%0.1072✗1.13188k2022-06-05
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum3.67213.4715-5.46%2.4897-32.20%0.1272✓1.11173k2022-06-05
SUSHISushiEthereum2.252.1273-5.45%1.54-31.56%0.0722✓1.353.6M2022-06-05
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum4.0943.873-5.40%2.722-33.51%0.1608✓1.0373k2022-06-05
DODODODOEthereum0.2880.27259-5.35%0.1652-42.64%0.2605✓1.295.0M2022-06-05
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000020040.000018975-5.31%0.00001078-46.21%0.3595✓1.111.3M2022-06-05
CTSICartesiEthereum0.26810.25404-5.24%0.2192-18.24%0.1013✗1.34722k2022-06-05
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum3.02752.8693-5.23%1.9583-35.32%0.2028✓0.9710.0M2022-06-05
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.016290.015442-5.21%0.00902-44.63%0.3812✓0.84223k2022-06-05
XMRMoneroMonero218.44207.1426-5.17%187.77-14.04%0.0725✗0.923.1M2022-06-05
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum1.0480.993998-5.15%0.63-39.89%0.2121✓1.31357k2022-06-05
ADACardanoCardano0.78310.743523-5.05%0.5669-27.61%0.0554✓1.1641.1M2022-06-05
FTTFTXEthereum35.8934.0785-5.05%26.13-27.19%0.0952✓0.9211.7M2022-06-05
AMPAmpEthereum0.017960.017058-5.02%0.01146-36.19%0.2575✓0.763.2M2022-06-05
STORJStorjEthereum0.850450.80778-5.02%0.57798-32.04%0.1035✓1.2588k2022-06-05
TRBTellor TributesEthereum14.2313.5244-4.96%10.3-27.62%0.0048✓1.44140k2022-06-05
ORCAOrcaSolana1.711.6256-4.93%0.85-50.29%0.5182✓0.70146k2022-06-05
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.008470.008054-4.91%0.00419-50.53%0.4357✓1.172.0M2022-06-05
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.0370.035185-4.90%0.01983-46.41%0.2314✓1.8423.0M2022-06-05
NMRNumeraireEthereum20.3319.3366-4.89%11.72-42.35%0.3591✓0.76412k2022-06-05
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos17.6616.7987-4.88%9.166-48.10%0.3923✓1.1518.8M2022-06-05
XYMSymbolnative0.08670.0825-4.84%0.05681-34.48%0.2453✓0.69657k2022-06-05
LSKLiskEthereum1.68681.6053-4.83%1.3849-17.90%0.0230✓0.9280k2022-06-05
DIADIAEthereum0.710.675913-4.80%0.44367-37.51%0.3342✓0.4770k2022-06-05
BANDBandEthereum2.9262.7857-4.80%1.629-44.33%0.2956✓1.30504k2022-06-05
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.19550.186248-4.73%0.1294-33.81%0.2031✓0.871.1M2022-06-05
AAVEAaveEthereum138.23131.6935-4.73%103.57-25.07%0.0087✓1.348.9M2022-06-05
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.19770.188535-4.64%0.1655-16.29%0.1233✗1.37110k2022-06-05
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum4.8944.6673-4.63%2.813-42.52%0.2833✓1.20184k2022-06-05
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum1.2411.1836-4.63%0.596-51.97%0.4697✓1.1743k2022-06-05
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.22630.215902-4.59%0.1408-37.78%0.1547✓1.476.5M2022-06-05
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.058520.055832-4.59%0.03855-34.13%0.1635✓1.1170k2022-06-05
OGOG Fan TokenSolana2.8252.6955-4.58%2.754-2.51%0.1430✗0.651.1M2022-06-05
DEXEDeXeEthereum4.854.6276-4.58%3.38-30.31%0.2009✓0.61851k2022-06-05
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.91910.877593-4.52%0.6064-34.02%0.1261✓1.316.5M2022-06-05
SCSiacoinnative0.00790.007543-4.51%0.00559-29.24%0.0706✓1.23373k2022-06-05
CHZChilizEthereum0.17310.165356-4.47%0.1262-27.09%0.0466✓1.201.3M2022-06-05
AUCTIONBounceEthereum10.9510.4717-4.37%6.47-40.91%0.2877✓1.04887k2022-06-05
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana2.7572.6368-4.36%2.923+6.02%0.2389✗0.73824k2022-06-05
KSMKusamaHydration126.34120.8516-4.34%67.69-46.42%0.3723✓1.121.0M2022-06-05
HIVEHivenative0.77030.737174-4.30%0.551-28.47%0.0940✓1.061.5M2022-06-05
ZECZcashZcash123.65118.3532-4.28%90.36-26.92%0.0506✓1.185.1M2022-06-05
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash274.77263.0232-4.28%179.67-34.61%0.1932✓1.015.0M2022-06-05
GTGateEthereum6.34966.086-4.15%5.401-14.94%0.0367✓0.454.2M2022-06-05
DOTPolkadotPolkadot14.3213.7318-4.11%9.339-34.78%0.1803✓1.1111.7M2022-06-05
BTCBitcoinBitcoin35,999.1034,520.32-4.11%29,901.54-16.94%0.0419✗1.00553.2M2022-06-05
RLCiExec RLCEthereum1.491.429-4.09%0.87-41.61%0.2427✓1.37909k2022-06-05
SOLSolanaSolana81.6678.3343-4.07%38.49-52.87%0.4816✓1.2385.8M2022-06-05
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.36220.347516-4.05%0.3297-8.97%0.1570✗1.13486k2022-06-05
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.4673.3272-4.03%4.537+30.86%0.3775✗0.362.4M2022-06-05
QTUMQtumQtum5.44765.2281-4.03%3.8688-28.98%0.0857✓1.1698k2022-06-05
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.1277160.122589-4.01%0.081039-36.55%0.2380✓0.957.1M2022-06-05
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum1.931.8525-4.01%1.26-34.72%0.1931✓1.04134k2022-06-05
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.49360.473905-3.99%0.3487-29.36%0.0989✓1.127.9M2022-06-05
MANADecentralandEthereum1.4491.3912-3.99%0.97643-32.61%0.1266✓1.23805k2022-06-05
GITCOINGITCOIN4.6974.5112-3.96%2.731-41.86%0.2223✓1.5118k2022-06-05
BTTCBTTC0.000001670.000001604-3.95%0.00000109-34.73%0.2556✓0.707.7M2022-06-05
MOVRMoonriverBase37.03735.5848-3.92%20.9153-43.53%0.2637✓1.44173k2022-06-05
XVSVenusEthereum7.557.2556-3.90%4.53-40.00%0.2595✓1.142.8M2022-06-05
ARPAARPAEthereum0.05240.050388-3.84%0.0341-34.92%0.1666✓1.21179k2022-06-05
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana4.544.366-3.83%4.12-9.25%0.0693✗0.69515k2022-06-05
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana8.648.3097-3.82%7.43-14.00%0.0209✓0.491.3M2022-06-05
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.13780.132577-3.79%0.0869-36.94%0.0549✓1.98256k2022-06-05
CVCCivicEthereum0.24720.238001-3.72%0.1822-26.29%0.0440✓1.20380k2022-06-05
NANOnanopayBase1.68051.618-3.72%1.1647-30.69%0.1186✓1.13145k2022-06-05
LTCLitecoinLitecoin96.6993.1066-3.71%63.1-34.74%0.1963✓1.0417.5M2022-06-05
XTZTezosTezos2.50782.4172-3.61%1.9503-22.23%0.0068✓1.12847k2022-06-05
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.01820.017568-3.47%0.01482-18.57%0.0637✓0.57193k2022-06-05
STXStacksnative0.860.830155-3.47%0.5329-38.03%0.2566✓1.01274k2022-06-05
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.70.676079-3.42%0.82431+17.76%0.4342✗1.27424k2022-06-05
LEOLEO TokenEthereum5.37675.1995-3.30%5.1091-4.98%0.0402✗0.31278k2022-06-05
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche5755.154-3.24%24.15-57.63%0.6001✓1.2244.2M2022-06-05
IMXImmutableEthereum1.5071.4597-3.14%0.977-35.17%0.1414✓1.408.3M2022-06-05
XEMNEMnative0.08310.080512-3.11%0.051007-38.62%0.2742✓0.9855k2022-06-05
GALAGALAEthereum0.14380.139424-3.04%0.0746-48.12%0.3808✓1.32180k2022-06-05
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.390.378325-2.99%0.20206-48.19%0.3606✓1.44278k2022-06-05
KCSKuCoinnative16.94316.4365-2.99%16.331-3.61%0.1381✗0.784.1M2022-06-05
CTKShentuOsmosis0.9880.958757-2.96%0.796-19.43%0.0188✓1.103.5M2022-06-05
PHAPHALAEthereum0.2180.211605-2.93%0.1274-41.56%0.3737✓0.7222k2022-06-05
XLMStellarStellar0.1714840.166454-2.93%0.143326-16.42%0.0380✗1.0113.8M2022-06-05
FIDABonfidaSolana0.9780.949702-2.89%0.477-51.23%0.4826✓1.1147k2022-06-05
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain3.18733.0957-2.87%2.3523-26.20%0.1589✓0.625.0M2022-06-05
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum36,069.7035,051.95-2.82%29,859.60-17.22%0.0188✓0.9726k2022-06-05
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.39850.387845-2.67%0.294-26.22%0.1012✓0.95299k2022-06-05
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.024630.024031-2.43%0.0255+3.53%0.1458✗0.47405k2022-06-05
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.9130.891948-2.31%0.504-44.80%0.3292✓1.301.1M2022-06-05
METRONOMEMETRONOME2.18862.1395-2.24%1.4874-32.04%0.2411✓0.6614k2022-06-05
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.007070.006913-2.22%0.00487-31.12%0.2367✓0.6124k2022-06-05
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana4.14.0116-2.16%4.07-0.73%0.1565✗0.77630k2022-06-05
UOSUltraEthereum0.667440.653636-2.07%0.36717-44.99%0.3282✓1.341.3M2022-06-05
QNTQuantEthereum90.2688.48-1.97%64.76-28.25%0.1274✓1.003.3M2022-06-05
CBKCobakEthereum1.7371.7039-1.91%1.3104-24.56%0.1143✓0.8024k2022-06-05
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana4.884.7878-1.89%4.51-7.58%0.0752✗0.73987k2022-06-05
LINKChainlinkEthereum10.7910.6214-1.56%7.64-29.19%0.1088✓1.1918.3M2022-06-05
DKAdKargoEthereum0.076010.074875-1.49%0.06424-15.48%0.0087✓0.8730k2022-06-05
API3Api3Ethereum3.2843.238-1.40%1.508-54.08%0.5634✓1.082.8M2022-06-05
ETHEthereumEthereum2,691.722,657.67-1.26%1,804.70-32.95%0.2010✓1.00438.2M2022-06-05
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0224190.022168-1.12%0.015252-31.97%0.1935✓0.974.2M2022-06-05
BFCBifrostEthereum0.112350.111447-0.80%0.0666-40.72%0.3763✓0.7517k2022-06-05
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana8.238.3397+1.33%5.42-34.14%0.3387✗0.502.5M2022-06-05
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.