2022-01-26 · +7d

gru_s5 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 143 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.

+1d +7d +30d asset cohort only

rank IC

+0.0078

143 of 143 tokens assessed

long-short decile

+9.44%

realised beta-adjusted alpha

direction hit

46.2%

in alpha space · 42.1% on raw price

BTC over horizon

+0.22%

the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (143 rows, sorted by pred)

token	name	chain	anchor px	pred px ▾	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d	vol 30d	target
NAKA	Nakamoto Games	Polygon	0.4593	0.475554	+3.54%	0.37	-19.44%	0.2544	✗	1.53	2.2M	2022-02-02
BICO	Biconomy	Ethereum	1.91	1.9611	+2.67%	1.9	-0.52%	0.0349	✗	1.46	5.2M	2022-02-02
SPELL	Spell	Ethereum	0.0078	0.007992	+2.46%	0.00607	-22.18%	0.2804	✗	2.40	21.3M	2022-02-02
TRAC	OriginTrail	Ethereum	0.5576	0.56965	+2.16%	0.6281	+12.64%	0.0942	✓	1.53	1.4M	2022-02-02
MOVR	Moonriver	Base	78.4855	79.7478	+1.61%	73.5972	-6.23%	0.0830	✗	1.22	445k	2022-02-02
AGLD	Adventure Gold	Ethereum	0.8	0.812035	+1.50%	1.36	+70.00%	0.5121	✓	1.59	538k	2022-02-02
SUSHI	Sushi	Ethereum	4.26	4.3101	+1.18%	4.09	-3.99%	0.0555	✗	1.36	13.0M	2022-02-02
ENS	Ethereum Name Service	Ethereum	17.02	17.1984	+1.05%	18.01	+5.82%	0.0420	✓	1.81	4.0M	2022-02-02
XVS	Venus	Ethereum	7.92	8.0029	+1.05%	7.83	-1.14%	0.0248	✗	1.31	3.0M	2022-02-02
RAD	Radworks	Ethereum	5.05	5.1016	+1.02%	5.22	+3.37%	0.0207	✓	0.98	1.1M	2022-02-02
CERE	Cere Network	Ethereum	0.034	0.034294	+0.87%	0.034	+0.00%	0.0119	✗	1.47	927k	2022-02-02
MASK	Mask Network	Ethereum	5.64	5.6877	+0.85%	5.77	+2.30%	0.0123	✓	0.94	990k	2022-02-02
OG	OG Fan Token	Solana	3.038	3.0557	+0.58%	3.166	+4.21%	0.0335	✓	0.87	993k	2022-02-02
PEOPLE	ConstitutionDAO	Ethereum	0.0439	0.044155	+0.58%	0.0786	+79.04%	0.5721	✓	2.02	22.4M	2022-02-02
FIL	Filecoin	Filecoin	19.28	19.3892	+0.57%	20.19	+4.72%	0.0378	✓	1.18	14.0M	2022-02-02
DEXE	DeXe	Ethereum	6.13	6.1624	+0.53%	6.53	+6.53%	0.0575	✓	0.21	1.2M	2022-02-02
CWEB	Coinweb	Ethereum	0.052469	0.052738	+0.51%	0.037204	-29.09%	0.3512	✗	1.00	363k	2022-02-02
SOL	Solana	Solana	92.18	92.6349	+0.49%	101.99	+10.64%	0.0935	✓	1.19	164.2M	2022-02-02
DNT	district0x	Ethereum	0.0799	0.08027	+0.46%	0.0794	-0.63%	0.0137	✗	1.24	342k	2022-02-02
RIF	Rootstock Infrastructure Framework	Ethereum	0.115	0.115418	+0.36%	0.1348	+17.22%	0.1531	✓	0.95	349k	2022-02-02
SUPER	SuperVerse	Ethereum	0.67	0.672172	+0.32%	0.64	-4.48%	0.0533	✗	1.89	1.2M	2022-02-02
ZEC	Zcash	Zcash	89.84	90.1277	+0.32%	98.35	+9.47%	0.0843	✓	1.32	7.8M	2022-02-02
QNT	Quant	Ethereum	97.63	97.9115	+0.29%	113.54	+16.30%	0.1458	✓	1.03	7.5M	2022-02-02
TRB	Tellor Tributes	Ethereum	18.91	18.9632	+0.28%	20.09	+6.24%	0.0542	✓	1.55	871k	2022-02-02
OGN	Origin Token	Ethereum	0.322	0.322793	+0.25%	0.316	-1.86%	0.0244	✗	1.42	1.6M	2022-02-02
QTUM	Qtum	Qtum	5.5942	5.6048	+0.19%	6.025	+7.70%	0.0691	✓	1.42	229k	2022-02-02
COMP	Compound	Ethereum	125.05	125.2822	+0.19%	121.22	-3.06%	0.0358	✗	1.29	80k	2022-02-02
AUCTION	Bounce	Ethereum	13	13.0206	+0.16%	13.76	+5.85%	0.0530	✓	1.01	841k	2022-02-02
ASM	Assemble AI	Ethereum	0.0491	0.049164	+0.13%	0.05325	+8.45%	0.0764	✓	1.51	1.8M	2022-02-02
RLC	iExec RLC	Ethereum	1.73	1.7315	+0.09%	1.87	+8.09%	0.0739	✓	1.36	2.9M	2022-02-02
GTC	Gitcoin	Ethereum	7.03	7.0353	+0.08%	7.54	+7.25%	0.0686	✓	0.30	2.2M	2022-02-02
LCX	LCX	Ethereum	0.0991	0.099157	+0.06%	0.11	+11.00%	0.1004	✓	1.49	1.9M	2022-02-02
CRV	Curve DAO	Ethereum	2.87	2.8715	+0.05%	3.11	+8.36%	0.0767	✓	1.38	27.8M	2022-02-02
GODS	Gods Unchained	Ethereum	2.3	2.3006	+0.03%	2.18	-5.22%	0.0573	✗	1.56	2.6M	2022-02-02
LINK	Chainlink	Ethereum	15.24	15.2433	+0.02%	15.79	+3.61%	0.0325	✓	1.21	84.2M	2022-02-02
AXS	Axie Infinity	Ethereum	49.62	49.6294	+0.02%	49.12	-1.01%	0.0130	✗	1.21	7.8M	2022-02-02
HIVE	Hive	native	0.8673	0.867449	+0.02%	0.9455	+9.02%	0.0828	✓	1.50	3.5M	2022-02-02
XYO	XYO Network	Ethereum	0.020906	0.020909	+0.01%	0.020246	-3.16%	0.0347	✗	1.13	3.4M	2022-02-02
STORJ	Storj	Ethereum	1.068	1.0678	-0.02%	1.1125	+4.17%	0.0388	✗	0.99	402k	2022-02-02
DODO	DODO	Ethereum	0.501	0.500917	-0.02%	0.465	-7.19%	0.0779	✓	1.56	6.4M	2022-02-02
UMA	UMA	Ethereum	5.87	5.8686	-0.02%	5.49	-6.47%	0.0691	✓	1.06	2.6M	2022-02-02
ZEN	Horizen	Base	36.62	36.607	-0.04%	38.13	+4.12%	0.0372	✗	1.57	626k	2022-02-02
BEL	Bella Protocol	Ethereum	0.856	0.855543	-0.05%	0.883	+3.15%	0.0285	✗	1.38	2.4M	2022-02-02
GITCOIN	GITCOIN		6.982	6.9716	-0.15%	7.564	+8.34%	0.0810	✗	0.26	38k	2022-02-02
ALGO	Algorand	Algorand	0.9233	0.92178	-0.16%	0.9235	+0.02%	0.0007	✓	1.16	38.4M	2022-02-02
AAVE	Aave	Ethereum	146.64	146.3818	-0.18%	151.26	+3.15%	0.0298	✗	1.34	14.8M	2022-02-02
UNI	Uniswap	Ethereum	10.58	10.5608	-0.18%	10.53	-0.47%	0.0059	✓	1.33	12.5M	2022-02-02
SKL	SKALE	Ethereum	0.1184	0.118142	-0.22%	0.1092	-7.77%	0.0817	✓	1.32	4.1M	2022-02-02
VSYS	V.SYSTEMS	native	0.01218	0.012152	-0.23%	0.0126	+3.45%	0.0342	✗	0.89	19k	2022-02-02
KSM	Kusama	Hydration	165.32	164.9073	-0.25%	162.31	-1.82%	0.0186	✓	1.19	1.3M	2022-02-02
1INCH	1INCH	Ethereum	1.63	1.6255	-0.28%	1.63	+0.00%	0.0001	✓	1.26	2.3M	2022-02-02
YFI	yearn.finance	Ethereum	24,190.20	24,120.28	-0.29%	23,029.36	-4.80%	0.0484	✓	0.93	20.9M	2022-02-02
GRT	The Graph	Ethereum	0.4047	0.403522	-0.29%	0.4048	+0.02%	0.0003	✓	1.28	11.7M	2022-02-02
BCH	Bitcoin Cash	Bitcoin Cash	289.23	288.3618	-0.30%	278	-3.88%	0.0389	✓	1.04	8.5M	2022-02-02
NMR	Numeraire	Ethereum	20.41	20.345	-0.32%	23.57	+15.48%	0.1455	✗	0.74	377k	2022-02-02
MINA	Mina Protocol	native	2.31	2.3025	-0.33%	2.46	+6.49%	0.0635	✗	1.18	667k	2022-02-02
SHIB	Shiba Inu	Ethereum	0.00002111	0.000021037	-0.35%	0.00002064	-2.23%	0.0222	✓	1.42	1.8M	2022-02-02
XEM	NEM	native	0.0977	0.097359	-0.35%	0.1015	+3.89%	0.0393	✗	1.05	43k	2022-02-02
JUV	Juventus Fan Token	Solana	5.68	5.6599	-0.35%	6.05	+6.51%	0.0648	✗	0.84	561k	2022-02-02
JASMY	JasmyCoin	Ethereum	0.0472	0.047024	-0.37%	0.0418	-11.44%	0.1207	✓	1.33	9.9M	2022-02-02
ETH	Ethereum	Ethereum	2,465.00	2,455.58	-0.38%	2,682.66	+8.83%	0.0860	✗	1.11	569.1M	2022-02-02
XVG	Verge	native	0.00978	0.00974	-0.40%	0.00978	+0.00%	0.0011	✓	1.32	1.7M	2022-02-02
PHA	PHALA	Ethereum	0.247	0.245982	-0.41%	0.25	+1.21%	0.0140	✗	0.96	70k	2022-02-02
ACH	Alchemy Pay	Ethereum	0.041779	0.041605	-0.42%	0.035872	-14.14%	0.1511	✓	1.26	10.8M	2022-02-02
TRX	TRON	Tron	0.056164	0.055927	-0.42%	0.058639	+4.41%	0.0452	✗	0.95	491k	2022-02-02
BAR	FC Barcelona Fan Token	Solana	5.62	5.5962	-0.42%	6.02	+7.12%	0.0713	✗	0.78	531k	2022-02-02
BAND	Band	Ethereum	3.44	3.4253	-0.43%	3.37	-2.03%	0.0191	✓	1.24	2.5M	2022-02-02
TKO	Tokocrypto	Binance Smart Chain	0.746	0.74277	-0.43%	0.719	-3.62%	0.0350	✓	1.11	2.0M	2022-02-02
LRC	Loopring	Ethereum	1.0722	1.0674	-0.44%	0.8664	-19.19%	0.2131	✓	1.98	1.2M	2022-02-02
ATM	Atletico Madrid Fan Token	Solana	4.91	4.8877	-0.45%	5.04	+2.65%	0.0291	✗	0.72	457k	2022-02-02
XEC	eCash	native	0.00007183	0.000071502	-0.46%	0.00007582	+5.55%	0.0562	✗	1.11	5.9M	2022-02-02
NANO	nanopay	Base	2.3802	2.3693	-0.46%	2.1064	-11.51%	0.1205	✓	1.29	841k	2022-02-02
SUN	Sun Token	Tron	0.014587	0.014519	-0.47%	0.014783	+1.34%	0.0153	✗	1.19	2.7M	2022-02-02
BAT	Basic Attention	Ethereum	0.80993	0.806089	-0.47%	0.81012	+0.02%	0.0010	✓	1.78	698k	2022-02-02
ASR	AS Roma Fan Token	Solana	2.887	2.8726	-0.50%	3.03	+4.95%	0.0516	✗	0.79	478k	2022-02-02
LAZIO	Lazio Fan Token	Binance Smart Chain	3.0743	3.059	-0.50%	3.1357	+2.00%	0.0223	✗	1.12	3.7M	2022-02-02
ACM	AC Milan Fan Token	Solana	3.788	3.7691	-0.50%	3.998	+5.54%	0.0572	✗	0.79	396k	2022-02-02
ENJ	Enjin Coin	Ethereum	1.552	1.5441	-0.51%	1.696	+9.28%	0.0909	✗	1.30	1.8M	2022-02-02
LTC	Litecoin	Litecoin	107	106.4268	-0.54%	108.36	+1.27%	0.0150	✗	1.34	35.8M	2022-02-02
MANA	Decentraland	Ethereum	2.1607	2.149	-0.54%	2.537	+17.41%	0.1636	✗	1.08	3.1M	2022-02-02
BTC	Bitcoin	Bitcoin	36,840.63	36,634.69	-0.56%	36,923.39	+0.22%	0.0056	✓	1.00	734.4M	2022-02-02
TWT	Trust Wallet	Binance Smart Chain	0.5015	0.498672	-0.56%	0.5398	+7.64%	0.0762	✗	1.35	2.9M	2022-02-02
CHZ	Chiliz	Ethereum	0.1727	0.171711	-0.57%	0.1803	+4.40%	0.0457	✗	1.38	4.1M	2022-02-02
ORBS	Orbs	Ethereum	0.0618	0.06144	-0.58%	0.0643	+4.05%	0.0430	✗	1.12	21k	2022-02-02
XLM	Stellar	Stellar	0.196933	0.195724	-0.61%	0.193151	-1.92%	0.0156	✓	1.05	27.5M	2022-02-02
ICP	Internet Computer	Ethereum	19.86	19.7376	-0.62%	21.59	+8.71%	0.0869	✗	1.26	34.9M	2022-02-02
AMP	Amp	Ethereum	0.02988	0.029694	-0.62%	0.02927	-2.04%	0.0165	✓	0.93	9.2M	2022-02-02
DASH	Dash	Dash	93.16	92.5658	-0.64%	93.05	-0.12%	0.0026	✓	1.18	3.1M	2022-02-02
ZRX	0x Protocol	Ethereum	0.530813	0.527421	-0.64%	0.5718	+7.72%	0.0780	✗	1.23	3.4M	2022-02-02
IOTA	IOTA	IOTA	0.8025	0.797331	-0.64%	0.8404	+4.72%	0.0501	✗	1.10	20.8M	2022-02-02
LPT	Livepeer	Ethereum	24.1	23.9397	-0.67%	26.55	+10.17%	0.0998	✗	1.66	2.7M	2022-02-02
MTL	Metal DAO	Metal L2	1.401	1.3915	-0.68%	1.589	+13.42%	0.1301	✗	1.18	1.8M	2022-02-02
AVAX	Avalanche	Avalanche	65.89	65.4423	-0.68%	67.87	+3.01%	0.0335	✗	1.31	92.3M	2022-02-02
OMG	OMG Network	Ethereum	4.2234	4.1946	-0.68%	4.6307	+9.64%	0.0962	✗	1.21	403k	2022-02-02
WBTC	Wrapped Bitcoin	Ethereum	36,316.90	36,062.72	-0.70%	37,883.40	+4.31%	0.0470	✗	1.01	53k	2022-02-02
XMR	Monero	Monero	148.42	147.3728	-0.71%	145.08	-2.25%	0.0179	✓	1.00	2.3M	2022-02-02
OXT	Orchid Protocol	Ethereum	0.235	0.233249	-0.74%	0.2314	-1.53%	0.0107	✓	1.23	1.9M	2022-02-02
CVC	Civic	Ethereum	0.2242	0.222521	-0.75%	0.278	+24.00%	0.2201	✗	1.11	469k	2022-02-02
DOT	Polkadot	Polkadot	18.05	17.9137	-0.76%	18.76	+3.93%	0.0431	✗	1.39	58.4M	2022-02-02
XPR	XPR Network	Ethereum	0.01035	0.010271	-0.76%	0.00952	-8.02%	0.0788	✓	1.27	2.3M	2022-02-02
SANTOS	Santos FC Fan Token	Binance Smart Chain	2.541	2.5216	-0.76%	2.582	+1.61%	0.0202	✗	1.52	1.0M	2022-02-02
SC	Siacoin	native	0.00956	0.009487	-0.76%	0.00983	+2.82%	0.0331	✗	1.06	630k	2022-02-02
XYM	Symbol	native	0.1625	0.161252	-0.77%	0.1756	+8.06%	0.0838	✗	0.65	570k	2022-02-02
LSK	Lisk	Ethereum	1.6506	1.6379	-0.77%	1.6005	-3.04%	0.0256	✓	1.11	93k	2022-02-02
MED	Medibloc	Osmosis	0.03832	0.038021	-0.78%	0.03913	+2.11%	0.0262	✗	1.12	30k	2022-02-02
DOGE	Dogecoin	Dogecoin	0.143059	0.141933	-0.79%	0.137104	-4.16%	0.0369	✓	1.03	7.1M	2022-02-02
BNT	Bancor Network	Ethereum	2.32	2.3017	-0.79%	2.41	+3.88%	0.0437	✗	1.02	800k	2022-02-02
CTSI	Cartesi	Ethereum	0.4503	0.44671	-0.80%	0.4277	-5.02%	0.0466	✓	1.38	2.6M	2022-02-02
ETC	Ethereum Classic	native	24.34	24.1446	-0.80%	26.29	+8.01%	0.0827	✗	1.08	4.1M	2022-02-02
XTZ	Tezos	Tezos	2.9426	2.9189	-0.80%	3.7524	+27.52%	0.2481	✗	1.37	2.6M	2022-02-02
EWT	Energy Web Token	Ethereum	6.051	6.0011	-0.82%	5.754	-4.91%	0.0439	✓	0.81	156k	2022-02-02
LEO	LEO Token	Ethereum	3.594	3.5629	-0.86%	4.1355	+15.07%	0.1490	✗	-0.01	375k	2022-02-02
ANKR	Ankr Network	Ethereum	0.06885	0.068234	-0.89%	0.07379	+7.18%	0.0765	✗	0.79	60k	2022-02-02
BCHSV	Bitcoin Cash SV		90.62	89.8041	-0.90%	90	-0.68%	0.0001	✓	0.95	1.7M	2022-02-02
LUNA	Terra	Terra 2	58.8	58.2549	-0.93%	47.6	-19.05%	0.2059	✓	1.75	8.6M	2022-02-02
IMX	Immutable	Ethereum	3	2.972	-0.93%	3.03	+1.00%	0.0158	✗	1.56	2.2M	2022-02-02
KCS	KuCoin	native	16.167	16.0158	-0.94%	17.776	+9.95%	0.1009	✗	1.53	10.9M	2022-02-02
UOS	Ultra	Ethereum	1.0283	1.0186	-0.94%	1.0423	+1.36%	0.0201	✗	1.27	2.4M	2022-02-02
CBK	Cobak	Ethereum	2.086	2.0653	-0.99%	2.235	+7.14%	0.0765	✗	1.10	23k	2022-02-02
POKT	Pocket Network	Ethereum	1.2547	1.2421	-1.00%	1.24	-1.17%	0.0039	✓	1.00	3.7M	2022-02-02
PSG	Paris Saint-Germain Fan Token	Solana	12.63	12.5027	-1.01%	14.09	+11.56%	0.1180	✗	0.68	801k	2022-02-02
COTI	COTI	Ethereum	0.2561	0.253263	-1.11%	0.2783	+8.67%	0.0908	✗	1.53	4.3M	2022-02-02
ARPA	ARPA	Ethereum	0.0645	0.063767	-1.14%	0.0599	-7.13%	0.0658	✓	1.47	605k	2022-02-02
DYDX	dYdX	Cosmos	5.876	5.8084	-1.15%	5.883	+0.12%	0.0106	✓	0.98	320k	2022-02-02
CITY	Manchester City Fan Token	Solana	8.86	8.7575	-1.16%	9.36	+5.64%	0.0649	✗	0.74	744k	2022-02-02
CELL	Cellframe	Ethereum	0.8612	0.85102	-1.18%	0.8666	+0.63%	0.0148	✗	1.51	107k	2022-02-02
ADA	Cardano	Cardano	1.0784	1.065	-1.24%	1.0268	-4.78%	0.0391	✓	1.13	113.2M	2022-02-02
DKA	dKargo	Ethereum	0.08331	0.082256	-1.26%	0.08941	+7.32%	0.0807	✗	1.18	45k	2022-02-02
PORTO	FC Porto	Binance Smart Chain	2.6906	2.656	-1.29%	3.0352	+12.81%	0.1312	✗	1.02	1.9M	2022-02-02
FTT	FTX	Ethereum	36.48	35.9991	-1.32%	42.9	+17.60%	0.1727	✗	1.20	33.0M	2022-02-02
METRONOME	METRONOME		2.8665	2.8266	-1.39%	3.3042	+15.27%	0.1542	✗	0.86	4,332	2022-02-02
CTK	Shentu	Osmosis	1.333	1.3138	-1.44%	1.279	-4.05%	0.0297	✓	1.27	3.6M	2022-02-02
GT	Gate	Ethereum	6.3615	6.2688	-1.46%	6.8016	+6.92%	0.0795	✗	0.94	4.3M	2022-02-02
SNX	Synthetix	Ethereum	4.63	4.5614	-1.48%	5.33	+15.12%	0.1529	✗	1.26	3.1M	2022-02-02
NCT	PolySwarm	Ethereum	0.05048	0.049687	-1.57%	0.04359	-13.65%	0.1332	✓	1.00	9.1M	2022-02-02
GLMR	Moonbeam	Base	7.333	7.2143	-1.62%	5.081	-30.71%	0.3528	✓	1.00	1.6M	2022-02-02
API3	Api3	Ethereum	3.78	3.7181	-1.64%	3.4	-10.05%	0.0900	✓	0.23	493k	2022-02-02
DUSK	DUSK	Ethereum	0.6029	0.592573	-1.71%	0.4666	-22.61%	0.2432	✓	1.88	52.0M	2022-02-02
BFC	Bifrost	Ethereum	0.16532	0.162278	-1.84%	0.19118	+15.64%	0.1604	✗	1.57	16k	2022-02-02
ATOM	Cosmos Hub	Cosmos	32.35	31.684	-2.06%	26.33	-18.61%	0.1877	✓	1.15	125.9M	2022-02-02
PRO	Propy	Ethereum	2.48	2.4253	-2.21%	2.12	-14.52%	0.1368	✓	1.00	4.3M	2022-02-02
POWR	Powerledger	Ethereum	0.5301	0.515855	-2.69%	0.5361	+1.13%	0.0359	✗	1.16	2.1M	2022-02-02
KNC	Kyber Network Crystal	Ethereum	1.7265	1.6763	-2.91%	1.8613	+7.81%	0.1029	✗	0.80	2.4M	2022-02-02

Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.