2022-01-19 · +7d

gru_s5 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 139 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.

+1d +7d +30d asset cohort only

rank IC

+0.0082

139 of 139 tokens assessed

long-short decile

+1.65%

realised beta-adjusted alpha

direction hit

89.9%

in alpha space · 96.4% on raw price

BTC over horizon

-11.60%

the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (139 rows, sorted by pred)

token	name	chain	anchor px	pred px ▾	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d	vol 30d	target
NAKA	Nakamoto Games	Polygon	0.7592	0.76457	+0.71%	0.4593	-39.50%	0.3805	✗	1.05	2.5M	2022-01-26
PEOPLE	ConstitutionDAO	Ethereum	0.0575	0.05754	+0.07%	0.0439	-23.65%	0.1473	✗	1.00	24.3M	2022-01-26
LCX	LCX	Ethereum	0.1191	0.119178	+0.07%	0.0991	-16.79%	0.0252	✗	1.29	2.1M	2022-01-26
LRC	Loopring	Ethereum	1.1835	1.1827	-0.07%	1.0722	-9.40%	0.1376	✗	1.91	1.3M	2022-01-26
ENS	Ethereum Name Service	Ethereum	22.14	22.0945	-0.21%	17.02	-23.13%	0.0306	✓	1.87	3.9M	2022-01-26
ETH	Ethereum	Ethereum	3,085.27	3,076.53	-0.28%	2,465.00	-20.10%	0.0891	✓	1.08	485.8M	2022-01-26
QNT	Quant	Ethereum	135.59	135.1285	-0.34%	97.63	-28.00%	0.2095	✓	0.94	6.7M	2022-01-26
XYM	Symbol	native	0.1786	0.177771	-0.46%	0.1625	-9.01%	0.0058	✓	0.68	573k	2022-01-26
AGLD	Adventure Gold	Ethereum	1.17	1.1641	-0.51%	0.8	-31.62%	0.1689	✓	1.67	556k	2022-01-26
MTL	Metal DAO	Metal L2	1.709	1.6989	-0.59%	1.401	-18.02%	0.0498	✓	1.16	1.9M	2022-01-26
CTK	Shentu	Osmosis	1.294	1.2862	-0.60%	1.333	+3.01%	0.2049	✗	1.37	3.8M	2022-01-26
SOL	Solana	Solana	135.33	134.5111	-0.61%	92.18	-31.89%	0.2374	✓	1.14	147.7M	2022-01-26
NANO	nanopay	Base	3.0555	3.0348	-0.68%	2.3802	-22.10%	0.1033	✓	1.13	665k	2022-01-26
KSM	Kusama	Hydration	243.71	241.9954	-0.70%	165.32	-32.17%	0.2340	✓	1.19	1.3M	2022-01-26
AVAX	Avalanche	Avalanche	82.64	82.0407	-0.73%	65.89	-20.27%	0.0722	✓	1.19	92.3M	2022-01-26
DKA	dKargo	Ethereum	0.10044	0.099706	-0.73%	0.08331	-17.05%	0.0387	✓	1.14	31k	2022-01-26
XLM	Stellar	Stellar	0.245567	0.243768	-0.73%	0.196933	-19.80%	0.0855	✓	1.04	23.9M	2022-01-26
SPELL	Spell	Ethereum	0.01172	0.011634	-0.74%	0.0078	-33.45%	0.0992	✓	2.44	23.2M	2022-01-26
BCH	Bitcoin Cash	Bitcoin Cash	369.1	366.3413	-0.75%	289.23	-21.64%	0.1109	✓	1.02	6.6M	2022-01-26
ATM	Atletico Madrid Fan Token	Solana	6.36	6.3124	-0.75%	4.91	-22.80%	0.1699	✓	0.66	524k	2022-01-26
XVS	Venus	Ethereum	12.52	12.4251	-0.76%	7.92	-36.74%	0.3093	✓	1.14	2.7M	2022-01-26
PHA	PHALA	Ethereum	0.349	0.346335	-0.76%	0.247	-29.23%	0.2412	✓	0.79	51k	2022-01-26
DOT	Polkadot	Polkadot	24.06	23.8706	-0.79%	18.05	-24.98%	0.1124	✓	1.36	58.5M	2022-01-26
FIL	Filecoin	Filecoin	27.59	27.3719	-0.79%	19.28	-30.12%	0.2160	✓	1.09	14.5M	2022-01-26
RLC	iExec RLC	Ethereum	2.47	2.4503	-0.80%	1.73	-29.96%	0.1849	✓	1.32	3.2M	2022-01-26
CBK	Cobak	Ethereum	2.623	2.6019	-0.81%	2.086	-20.47%	0.1092	✓	0.91	25k	2022-01-26
JUV	Juventus Fan Token	Solana	7.57	7.5089	-0.81%	5.68	-24.97%	0.1845	✓	0.77	638k	2022-01-26
1INCH	1INCH	Ethereum	2.09	2.0729	-0.82%	1.63	-22.01%	0.1080	✓	1.07	2.7M	2022-01-26
QTUM	Qtum	Qtum	7.4032	7.3421	-0.83%	5.5942	-24.44%	0.0938	✓	1.44	263k	2022-01-26
TRX	TRON	Tron	0.069192	0.068616	-0.83%	0.056164	-18.83%	0.0835	✓	0.95	489k	2022-01-26
XEM	NEM	native	0.1126	0.111637	-0.86%	0.0977	-13.23%	0.0030	✓	1.06	41k	2022-01-26
BTC	Bitcoin	Bitcoin	41,674.27	41,312.64	-0.87%	36,840.63	-11.60%	0.0087	✗	1.00	636.6M	2022-01-26
MOVR	Moonriver	Base	120.5322	119.4714	-0.88%	78.4855	-34.88%	0.2810	✓	1.13	489k	2022-01-26
SUN	Sun Token	Tron	0.01895	0.01878	-0.90%	0.014587	-23.02%	0.1014	✓	1.23	2.7M	2022-01-26
ARPA	ARPA	Ethereum	0.0774	0.076705	-0.90%	0.0645	-16.67%	0.0009	✓	1.40	949k	2022-01-26
ASR	AS Roma Fan Token	Solana	3.627	3.5944	-0.90%	2.887	-20.40%	0.1317	✓	0.71	523k	2022-01-26
ICP	Internet Computer	Ethereum	26.53	26.2913	-0.90%	19.86	-25.14%	0.1051	✓	1.42	34.3M	2022-01-26
CERE	Cere Network	Ethereum	0.0486	0.048159	-0.91%	0.034	-30.04%	0.1796	✓	1.37	1.3M	2022-01-26
XTZ	Tezos	Tezos	3.8849	3.8495	-0.91%	2.9426	-24.26%	0.0986	✓	1.38	3.2M	2022-01-26
DNT	district0x	Ethereum	0.1012	0.100265	-0.92%	0.0799	-21.05%	0.0881	✓	1.13	240k	2022-01-26
NMR	Numeraire	Ethereum	26.81	26.5621	-0.92%	20.41	-23.87%	0.1759	✓	0.71	353k	2022-01-26
AMP	Amp	Ethereum	0.03718	0.036832	-0.94%	0.02988	-19.63%	0.0965	✓	0.91	8.4M	2022-01-26
UNI	Uniswap	Ethereum	15.12	14.9769	-0.95%	10.58	-30.03%	0.1853	✓	1.32	12.4M	2022-01-26
ANKR	Ankr Network	Ethereum	0.0853	0.084492	-0.95%	0.06885	-19.28%	0.1142	✓	0.73	55k	2022-01-26
TKO	Tokocrypto	Binance Smart Chain	0.96	0.950875	-0.95%	0.746	-22.29%	0.1220	✓	0.98	2.1M	2022-01-26
OXT	Orchid Protocol	Ethereum	0.2982	0.295299	-0.97%	0.235	-21.19%	0.0698	✓	1.29	2.0M	2022-01-26
COMP	Compound	Ethereum	172.8	171.1081	-0.98%	125.05	-27.63%	0.1691	✓	1.17	95k	2022-01-26
LINK	Chainlink	Ethereum	21.56	21.3472	-0.99%	15.24	-29.31%	0.1888	✓	1.20	72.8M	2022-01-26
BNT	Bancor Network	Ethereum	2.91	2.881	-1.00%	2.32	-20.27%	0.0942	✓	0.99	855k	2022-01-26
BAR	FC Barcelona Fan Token	Solana	7.67	7.5924	-1.01%	5.62	-26.73%	0.2226	✓	0.63	660k	2022-01-26
STORJ	Storj	Ethereum	1.462	1.447	-1.02%	1.068	-26.95%	0.1940	✓	0.89	423k	2022-01-26
XVG	Verge	native	0.01267	0.01254	-1.03%	0.00978	-22.81%	0.0948	✓	1.25	1.9M	2022-01-26
XPR	XPR Network	Ethereum	0.01394	0.013795	-1.04%	0.01035	-25.75%	0.1257	✓	1.31	2.1M	2022-01-26
SUPER	SuperVerse	Ethereum	0.93	0.920218	-1.05%	0.67	-27.96%	0.0809	✓	1.92	1.4M	2022-01-26
BEL	Bella Protocol	Ethereum	1.222	1.2089	-1.07%	0.856	-29.95%	0.1764	✓	1.37	2.4M	2022-01-26
CHZ	Chiliz	Ethereum	0.2463	0.243649	-1.08%	0.1727	-29.88%	0.1790	✓	1.34	4.0M	2022-01-26
ORBS	Orbs	Ethereum	0.0761	0.075278	-1.08%	0.0618	-18.79%	0.0620	✓	1.10	21k	2022-01-26
LTC	Litecoin	Litecoin	136.2	134.7269	-1.08%	107	-21.44%	0.0637	✓	1.35	31.1M	2022-01-26
CITY	Manchester City Fan Token	Solana	10.22	10.1088	-1.09%	8.86	-13.31%	0.0395	✓	0.75	808k	2022-01-26
KCS	KuCoin	native	19.951	19.7324	-1.10%	16.167	-18.97%	0.0009	✓	1.61	10.6M	2022-01-26
AUCTION	Bounce	Ethereum	19.03	18.8159	-1.12%	13	-31.69%	0.2391	✓	1.06	841k	2022-01-26
AAVE	Aave	Ethereum	210.15	207.7754	-1.13%	146.64	-30.22%	0.1997	✓	1.21	17.6M	2022-01-26
ZRX	0x Protocol	Ethereum	0.684968	0.677151	-1.14%	0.530813	-22.51%	0.1013	✓	1.15	2.3M	2022-01-26
ZEC	Zcash	Zcash	125.87	124.3869	-1.18%	89.84	-28.62%	0.1657	✓	1.30	9.5M	2022-01-26
OG	OG Fan Token	Solana	3.956	3.9091	-1.19%	3.038	-23.21%	0.1540	✓	0.80	1.1M	2022-01-26
XMR	Monero	Monero	201.62	199.225	-1.19%	148.42	-26.39%	0.1727	✓	0.99	2.9M	2022-01-26
DOGE	Dogecoin	Dogecoin	0.161705	0.159763	-1.20%	0.143059	-11.53%	0.0248	✗	1.10	6.4M	2022-01-26
ZEN	Horizen	Base	49.93	49.3254	-1.21%	36.62	-26.66%	0.1135	✓	1.49	636k	2022-01-26
DEXE	DeXe	Ethereum	8.35	8.2485	-1.22%	6.13	-26.59%	0.2982	✓	-0.01	1.3M	2022-01-26
XYO	XYO Network	Ethereum	0.026624	0.026297	-1.23%	0.020906	-21.48%	0.1027	✓	1.03	4.4M	2022-01-26
DASH	Dash	Dash	126.8	125.2339	-1.24%	93.16	-26.53%	0.1486	✓	1.19	2.8M	2022-01-26
TRB	Tellor Tributes	Ethereum	26.13	25.8063	-1.24%	18.91	-27.63%	0.1194	✓	1.55	1.0M	2022-01-26
SUSHI	Sushi	Ethereum	6.05	5.9749	-1.24%	4.26	-29.59%	0.1786	✓	1.30	17.7M	2022-01-26
ASM	Assemble AI	Ethereum	0.07218	0.071274	-1.25%	0.0491	-31.98%	0.1966	✓	1.43	2.3M	2022-01-26
SHIB	Shiba Inu	Ethereum	0.00002726	0.000026912	-1.28%	0.00002111	-22.56%	0.0758	✓	1.35	1.7M	2022-01-26
IMX	Immutable	Ethereum	3.56	3.5143	-1.28%	3	-15.73%	0.0211	✗	1.45	2.2M	2022-01-26
RIF	Rootstock Infrastructure Framework	Ethereum	0.1712	0.168982	-1.30%	0.115	-32.83%	0.2722	✓	0.91	380k	2022-01-26
DODO	DODO	Ethereum	0.701	0.691916	-1.30%	0.501	-28.53%	0.1390	✓	1.49	8.0M	2022-01-26
WBTC	Wrapped Bitcoin	Ethereum	41,724.00	41,177.20	-1.31%	36,316.90	-12.96%	0.0038	✓	0.99	16k	2022-01-26
XEC	eCash	native	0.00009227	0.000091047	-1.33%	0.00007183	-22.15%	0.1117	✓	1.02	6.5M	2022-01-26
LEO	LEO Token	Ethereum	3.6546	3.6061	-1.33%	3.594	-1.66%	0.0111	✓	-0.06	371k	2022-01-26
SKL	SKALE	Ethereum	0.151	0.148986	-1.33%	0.1184	-21.59%	0.0741	✓	1.26	4.2M	2022-01-26
UOS	Ultra	Ethereum	1.1693	1.1537	-1.34%	1.0283	-12.06%	0.0159	✗	1.06	2.4M	2022-01-26
AXS	Axie Infinity	Ethereum	71.82	70.8554	-1.34%	49.62	-30.91%	0.2230	✓	1.08	6.4M	2022-01-26
TRAC	OriginTrail	Ethereum	0.9271	0.914448	-1.36%	0.5576	-39.86%	0.3219	✓	1.40	1.5M	2022-01-26
MED	Medibloc	Osmosis	0.04692	0.046277	-1.37%	0.03832	-18.33%	0.0535	✓	1.10	23k	2022-01-26
BAT	Basic Attention	Ethereum	0.95676	0.943561	-1.38%	0.80993	-15.35%	0.0677	✗	1.79	866k	2022-01-26
GRT	The Graph	Ethereum	0.5244	0.517139	-1.38%	0.4047	-22.83%	0.0838	✓	1.31	11.3M	2022-01-26
BCHSV	Bitcoin Cash SV		109.45	107.9151	-1.40%	90.62	-17.20%	0.0573	✓	0.95	1.8M	2022-01-26
BAND	Band	Ethereum	4.91	4.841	-1.41%	3.44	-29.94%	0.2048	✓	1.11	2.2M	2022-01-26
RAD	Radworks	Ethereum	7.01	6.9108	-1.41%	5.05	-27.96%	0.2045	✓	0.89	1.1M	2022-01-26
ACM	AC Milan Fan Token	Solana	4.793	4.725	-1.42%	3.788	-20.97%	0.1381	✓	0.67	457k	2022-01-26
HIVE	Hive	native	1.1386	1.1222	-1.44%	0.8673	-23.83%	0.0844	✓	1.41	3.7M	2022-01-26
GODS	Gods Unchained	Ethereum	3.1	3.0549	-1.46%	2.3	-25.81%	0.1300	✓	1.25	2.7M	2022-01-26
OMG	OMG Network	Ethereum	5.4486	5.3693	-1.46%	4.2234	-22.49%	0.0888	✓	1.23	446k	2022-01-26
SC	Siacoin	native	0.0127	0.012515	-1.46%	0.00956	-24.72%	0.1459	✓	1.00	641k	2022-01-26
LAZIO	Lazio Fan Token	Binance Smart Chain	4	3.9413	-1.47%	3.0743	-23.14%	0.0932	✓	1.26	4.0M	2022-01-26
OGN	Origin Token	Ethereum	0.469	0.461941	-1.51%	0.322	-31.34%	0.1991	✓	1.31	1.8M	2022-01-26
MANA	Decentraland	Ethereum	2.7346	2.693	-1.52%	2.1607	-20.98%	0.0925	✓	1.04	4.5M	2022-01-26
ADA	Cardano	Cardano	1.3366	1.3163	-1.52%	1.0784	-19.32%	0.0606	✓	1.13	99.0M	2022-01-26
ALGO	Algorand	Algorand	1.2659	1.2466	-1.52%	0.9233	-27.06%	0.1543	✓	1.18	30.5M	2022-01-26
SNX	Synthetix	Ethereum	4.9	4.8246	-1.54%	4.63	-5.51%	0.1063	✗	1.20	3.2M	2022-01-26
LSK	Lisk	Ethereum	2.0509	2.0191	-1.55%	1.6506	-19.52%	0.0643	✓	1.11	89k	2022-01-26
CVC	Civic	Ethereum	0.2983	0.293636	-1.56%	0.2242	-24.84%	0.1423	✓	1.03	397k	2022-01-26
ACH	Alchemy Pay	Ethereum	0.051115	0.050314	-1.57%	0.041779	-18.26%	0.0375	✓	1.20	8.4M	2022-01-26
DYDX	dYdX	Cosmos	7.009	6.8959	-1.61%	5.876	-16.16%	0.0006	✓	1.29	271k	2022-01-26
VSYS	V.SYSTEMS	native	0.01585	0.015585	-1.67%	0.01218	-23.15%	0.1545	✓	0.75	22k	2022-01-26
IOTA	IOTA	IOTA	1.0492	1.0316	-1.68%	0.8025	-23.51%	0.1291	✓	0.99	23.2M	2022-01-26
PSG	Paris Saint-Germain Fan Token	Solana	14.85	14.5999	-1.68%	12.63	-14.95%	0.0612	✓	0.68	862k	2022-01-26
PORTO	FC Porto	Binance Smart Chain	3.1421	3.0887	-1.70%	2.6906	-14.37%	0.0073	✓	1.18	2.1M	2022-01-26
TWT	Trust Wallet	Binance Smart Chain	0.6838	0.672056	-1.72%	0.5015	-26.66%	0.1350	✓	1.28	3.3M	2022-01-26
CTSI	Cartesi	Ethereum	0.5784	0.568429	-1.72%	0.4503	-22.15%	0.0618	✓	1.39	2.7M	2022-01-26
GT	Gate	Ethereum	7.1	6.9757	-1.75%	6.3615	-10.40%	0.0136	✓	0.86	4.3M	2022-01-26
EWT	Energy Web Token	Ethereum	7.272	7.1444	-1.76%	6.051	-16.79%	0.0801	✓	0.70	170k	2022-01-26
LUNA	Terra	Terra 2	81.27	79.8127	-1.79%	58.8	-27.65%	0.0759	✓	1.86	7.7M	2022-01-26
ETC	Ethereum Classic	native	31.27	30.6971	-1.83%	24.34	-22.16%	0.0995	✓	1.08	3.2M	2022-01-26
LPT	Livepeer	Ethereum	32.43	31.8348	-1.84%	24.1	-25.69%	0.0728	✓	1.67	2.7M	2022-01-26
CRV	Curve DAO	Ethereum	4.19	4.1129	-1.84%	2.87	-31.50%	0.1857	✓	1.41	32.4M	2022-01-26
YFI	yearn.finance	Ethereum	32,142.29	31,544.45	-1.86%	24,190.20	-24.74%	0.1813	✓	0.68	21.5M	2022-01-26
MASK	Mask Network	Ethereum	8.43	8.2715	-1.88%	5.64	-33.10%	0.2933	✓	0.73	995k	2022-01-26
UMA	UMA	Ethereum	8.26	8.0982	-1.96%	5.87	-28.93%	0.2035	✓	0.96	4.1M	2022-01-26
GITCOIN	GITCOIN		10.274	10.0725	-1.96%	6.982	-32.04%	0.3543	✓	0.10	40k	2022-01-26
GTC	Gitcoin	Ethereum	10.21	10.0063	-2.00%	7.03	-31.15%	0.3328	✓	0.16	2.8M	2022-01-26
COTI	COTI	Ethereum	0.366	0.358617	-2.02%	0.2561	-30.03%	0.1517	✓	1.50	4.1M	2022-01-26
BICO	Biconomy	Ethereum	3.33	3.2617	-2.05%	1.91	-42.64%	0.3764	✓	1.29	8.5M	2022-01-26
POWR	Powerledger	Ethereum	0.5701	0.558206	-2.09%	0.5301	-7.02%	0.1201	✗	1.39	1.5M	2022-01-26
ENJ	Enjin Coin	Ethereum	2.219	2.1721	-2.11%	1.552	-30.06%	0.1967	✓	1.13	1.9M	2022-01-26
MINA	Mina Protocol	native	3.39	3.3183	-2.11%	2.31	-31.86%	0.2282	✓	1.09	808k	2022-01-26
KNC	Kyber Network Crystal	Ethereum	1.537	1.5043	-2.13%	1.7265	+12.33%	0.2414	✗	0.84	1.2M	2022-01-26
FTT	FTX	Ethereum	46.67	45.5694	-2.36%	36.48	-21.83%	0.0860	✓	1.11	24.3M	2022-01-26
ATOM	Cosmos Hub	Cosmos	37.07	36.195	-2.36%	32.35	-12.73%	0.0073	✓	0.97	98.5M	2022-01-26
SANTOS	Santos FC Fan Token	Binance Smart Chain	3.282	3.2042	-2.37%	2.541	-22.58%	0.0193	✓	1.72	1.2M	2022-01-26
BFC	Bifrost	Ethereum	0.19913	0.194284	-2.43%	0.16532	-16.98%	0.0318	✗	1.57	6,519	2022-01-26
JASMY	JasmyCoin	Ethereum	0.07162	0.06987	-2.44%	0.0472	-34.10%	0.2427	✓	1.21	12.4M	2022-01-26
API3	Api3	Ethereum	4.35	4.2419	-2.49%	3.78	-13.10%	0.0053	✓	0.98	471k	2022-01-26
CWEB	Coinweb	Ethereum	0.07511	0.073238	-2.49%	0.052469	-30.14%	0.2102	✓	1.00	719k	2022-01-26
METRONOME	METRONOME		3.9939	3.8896	-2.61%	2.8665	-28.23%	0.2128	✓	0.75	2,257	2022-01-26
CELL	Cellframe	Ethereum	1.0457	1.0179	-2.66%	0.8612	-17.64%	0.0358	✓	1.07	108k	2022-01-26
DUSK	DUSK	Ethereum	0.8466	0.819215	-3.23%	0.6029	-28.79%	0.0872	✓	1.78	46.2M	2022-01-26

Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.