8=======>

2022-01-18 · +7d

gru_s5 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 139 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.0455
139 of 139 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+0.82%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
91.4%
in alpha space · 99.3% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-12.72%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (139 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▴pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.91540.88093-3.77%0.5541-39.47%0.2231✓1.7748.9M2022-01-25
API3Api3Ethereum4.644.4954-3.12%3.79-18.32%0.0408✓0.95471k2022-01-25
COTICOTIEthereum0.40920.39691-3.00%0.2593-36.63%0.2234✓1.494.1M2022-01-25
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.3783.2809-2.88%2.615-22.59%0.0082✓1.731.2M2022-01-25
METRONOMEMETRONOME4.08033.9651-2.82%2.8609-29.89%0.2246✓0.752,2572022-01-25
GTCGitcoinEthereum11.4111.1002-2.71%6.89-39.61%0.4568✓0.152.8M2022-01-25
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0760240.07404-2.61%0.052323-31.18%0.2111✓1.001.1M2022-01-25
GITCOINGITCOIN11.38211.0874-2.59%6.883-39.53%0.4655✓0.0844k2022-01-25
CELLCellframeEthereum1.03521.0085-2.58%0.8523-17.67%0.0209✓1.08108k2022-01-25
BFCBifrostEthereum0.197790.192756-2.55%0.16966-14.22%0.0862✗1.576,4462022-01-25
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos38.2737.3095-2.51%35.92-6.14%0.0936✗0.9798.5M2022-01-25
MINAMina Protocolnative3.453.3698-2.32%2.32-32.75%0.2254✓1.09811k2022-01-25
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.60270.58887-2.29%0.523-13.22%0.0702✗1.391.5M2022-01-25
BICOBiconomyEthereum3.543.4605-2.25%1.94-45.20%0.4042✓1.288.5M2022-01-25
CRVCurve DAOEthereum4.564.4606-2.18%3.01-33.99%0.2027✓1.4032.4M2022-01-25
ETCEthereum Classicnative32.6431.9362-2.16%24.07-26.26%0.1369✓1.073.0M2022-01-25
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum2.2772.2282-2.14%1.532-32.72%0.2211✓1.132.0M2022-01-25
MASKMask NetworkEthereum8.788.5938-2.12%5.54-36.90%0.3407✓0.72995k2022-01-25
LPTLivepeerEthereum34.0933.3877-2.06%23.69-30.51%0.1169✓1.662.7M2022-01-25
FTTFTXEthereum44.9744.0609-2.02%36.46-18.92%0.0376✓1.1223.6M2022-01-25
CTSICartesiEthereum0.60930.597444-1.95%0.4382-28.08%0.1217✓1.382.7M2022-01-25
ADACardanoCardano1.45891.4309-1.92%1.043-28.51%0.1646✓1.1198.5M2022-01-25
YFIyearn.financeEthereum32,596.4131,978.18-1.90%24,507.83-24.81%0.1733✓0.6822.2M2022-01-25
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.016790.016475-1.88%0.01209-27.99%0.2089✓0.7423k2022-01-25
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum3.253.1894-1.86%2.37-27.08%0.1285✓1.242.8M2022-01-25
HIVEHivenative1.21491.1927-1.83%0.8391-30.93%0.1615✓1.403.7M2022-01-25
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain3.22333.1644-1.83%2.6858-16.68%0.0036✓1.182.3M2022-01-25
IOTAIOTAIOTA1.10151.0814-1.82%0.8103-26.44%0.1547✓0.9823.2M2022-01-25
LUNATerraTerra 280.4979.0323-1.81%62.78-22.00%0.0257✗1.887.6M2022-01-25
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.4731.4468-1.78%1.6576+12.53%0.2515✗0.851.1M2022-01-25
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum7.3557.225-1.77%6.296-14.40%0.0427✓0.70170k2022-01-25
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.4990.490247-1.75%0.322-35.47%0.2426✓1.311.8M2022-01-25
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum5.94295.8401-1.73%4.2137-29.10%0.1608✓1.22457k2022-01-25
CVCCivicEthereum0.31280.307506-1.69%0.2141-31.55%0.2220✓1.03397k2022-01-25
GTGateEthereum7.04646.9281-1.68%6.2549-11.23%0.0148✓0.864.1M2022-01-25
MANADecentralandEthereum2.8592.8112-1.67%2.1037-26.42%0.1499✓1.034.6M2022-01-25
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.68160.670239-1.67%0.513-24.74%0.0928✓1.283.5M2022-01-25
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0520760.051223-1.64%0.038883-25.33%0.1119✓1.209.0M2022-01-25
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana14.7414.4995-1.63%12.48-15.33%0.0572✓0.68916k2022-01-25
LSKLiskEthereum2.08162.048-1.61%1.7009-18.29%0.0341✓1.1189k2022-01-25
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana4.9364.8565-1.61%3.801-22.99%0.1538✓0.67469k2022-01-25
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain4.11974.0536-1.61%3.0512-25.94%0.1126✓1.264.1M2022-01-25
SCSiacoinnative0.01330.013089-1.59%0.00946-28.87%0.1891✓1.00654k2022-01-25
DYDXdYdXCosmos76.8891-1.58%5.904-15.66%0.0223✗1.30271k2022-01-25
RADRadworksEthereum7.447.3222-1.58%4.9-34.14%0.2820✓0.881.1M2022-01-25
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand1.31791.2972-1.57%0.9223-30.02%0.1806✓1.1830.5M2022-01-25
UMAUMAEthereum7.947.8161-1.56%5.92-25.44%0.1462✓0.973.9M2022-01-25
DEXEDeXeEthereum8.798.6549-1.54%6.12-30.38%0.3490✓-0.021.3M2022-01-25
AAVEAaveEthereum232.45228.8867-1.53%152.06-34.58%0.2465✓1.1917.6M2022-01-25
SNXSynthetixEthereum5.034.9537-1.52%4.28-14.91%0.0165✗1.203.2M2022-01-25
UOSUltraEthereum1.2361.2174-1.51%0.99943-19.14%0.0537✓1.062.6M2022-01-25
IMXImmutableEthereum3.723.6647-1.49%2.35-36.83%0.2474✓1.452.2M2022-01-25
BATBasic AttentionEthereum1.00430.98942-1.48%0.79477-20.86%0.0236✗1.78896k2022-01-25
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.064790.063855-1.44%0.04971-23.28%0.0831✓1.2312.4M2022-01-25
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.95930.945458-1.44%0.5734-40.23%0.3095✓1.401.5M2022-01-25
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.07960.078452-1.44%0.0592-25.63%0.1328✓1.0921k2022-01-25
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.53090.523444-1.40%0.4145-21.93%0.0550✓1.3111.7M2022-01-25
ZENHorizenBase52.3251.5883-1.40%34.97-33.16%0.1859✓1.49642k2022-01-25
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.048140.047467-1.40%0.03703-23.08%0.0992✓1.1023k2022-01-25
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum73.8672.8379-1.38%50.79-31.23%0.2136✓1.086.4M2022-01-25
XECeCashnative0.000095650.000094335-1.37%0.00007213-24.59%0.1303✓1.016.5M2022-01-25
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.075140.074112-1.37%0.04882-35.03%0.2235✓1.432.3M2022-01-25
PHAPHALAEthereum0.3760.370892-1.36%0.243-35.37%0.3172✓0.7847k2022-01-25
DODODODOEthereum0.7390.729054-1.35%0.502-32.07%0.1707✓1.498.0M2022-01-25
SKLSKALEEthereum0.15410.152033-1.34%0.1133-26.48%0.1222✓1.264.2M2022-01-25
ZECZcashZcash131.97130.201-1.34%90.46-31.45%0.1885✓1.2910.6M2022-01-25
BANDBandEthereum5.054.9826-1.33%3.5-30.69%0.2024✓1.112.1M2022-01-25
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV108.41106.9653-1.33%90.34-16.67%0.0389✓0.961.9M2022-01-25
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000028110.000027736-1.33%0.00002106-25.08%0.0913✓1.351.8M2022-01-25
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.0271640.026805-1.32%0.020821-23.35%0.1129✓1.035.2M2022-01-25
TRBTellor TributesEthereum27.8427.4747-1.31%18.99-31.79%0.1587✓1.551.0M2022-01-25
SUSHISushiEthereum6.216.1295-1.30%4.54-26.89%0.1240✓1.3017.7M2022-01-25
LEOLEO TokenEthereum3.67093.6234-1.29%3.525-3.97%0.0363✓-0.06361k2022-01-25
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.17490.172683-1.27%0.1273-27.22%0.1807✓0.91397k2022-01-25
DASHDashDash130.54128.8969-1.26%89.59-31.37%0.2014✓1.192.8M2022-01-25
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.7200570.711117-1.24%0.520192-27.76%0.1564✓1.152.4M2022-01-25
STORJStorjEthereum1.55021.5311-1.23%1.0136-34.61%0.2924✓0.88423k2022-01-25
OGOG Fan TokenSolana4.1174.0662-1.23%3.073-25.36%0.1723✓0.791.1M2022-01-25
CHZChilizEthereum0.2590.255841-1.22%0.1718-33.67%0.2166✓1.334.0M2022-01-25
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.980.968064-1.22%0.68-30.61%0.0933✓1.911.5M2022-01-25
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.1651550.163191-1.19%0.142925-13.46%0.0166✗1.106.0M2022-01-25
AUCTIONBounceEthereum19.5619.3316-1.17%13.07-33.18%0.2473✓1.06841k2022-01-25
XVGVergenative0.013220.013067-1.16%0.00972-26.48%0.1266✓1.242.0M2022-01-25
LTCLitecoinLitecoin141.53139.8968-1.15%107.9-23.76%0.0760✓1.3531.1M2022-01-25
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana10.3410.2217-1.14%8.63-16.54%0.0673✓0.75872k2022-01-25
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.31290.309324-1.14%0.2283-27.04%0.1293✓1.282.0M2022-01-25
XMRMoneroMonero204.44202.1048-1.14%144.83-29.16%0.1989✓0.993.1M2022-01-25
KCSKuCoinnative20.37120.1425-1.12%16.01-21.41%0.0108✓1.6110.7M2022-01-25
MOVRMoonriverBase126.385124.9751-1.12%77.9071-38.36%0.3194✓1.13489k2022-01-25
BELBella ProtocolEthereum1.2731.2589-1.11%0.852-33.07%0.2045✓1.372.4M2022-01-25
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum29.3829.0547-1.11%20.06-31.72%0.1784✓1.4134.3M2022-01-25
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum42,495.4042,025.88-1.10%36,572.80-13.94%0.0045✓0.9914k2022-01-25
LINKChainlinkEthereum22.9822.7271-1.10%15.49-32.59%0.2207✓1.2072.8M2022-01-25
UNIUniswapEthereum15.9815.808-1.08%10.59-33.73%0.2222✓1.3112.4M2022-01-25
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.014250.014098-1.07%0.01045-26.67%0.1209✓1.312.1M2022-01-25
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain1.0080.997321-1.06%0.709-29.66%0.2087✓0.972.2M2022-01-25
XTZTezosTezos4.11624.0729-1.05%2.9206-29.05%0.1456✓1.373.3M2022-01-25
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.1050.103917-1.03%0.0797-24.10%0.1124✓1.12244k2022-01-25
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana7.797.7096-1.03%5.59-28.24%0.2352✓0.63680k2022-01-25
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum3.022.989-1.03%2.33-22.85%0.1145✓0.99891k2022-01-25
ARPAARPAEthereum0.08080.079981-1.01%0.0566-29.95%0.1559✓1.40990k2022-01-25
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.088430.087541-1.01%0.06302-28.73%0.2293✓0.7350k2022-01-25
AMPAmpEthereum0.038870.038481-1.00%0.02893-25.57%0.1616✓0.918.4M2022-01-25
QTUMQtumQtum7.83077.7541-0.98%5.5513-29.11%0.1383✓1.44263k2022-01-25
SPELLSpellEthereum0.012740.012617-0.97%0.00833-34.62%0.0858✓2.4223.7M2022-01-25
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.04990.049422-0.96%0.0337-32.46%0.1968✓1.371.3M2022-01-25
SUNSun TokenTron0.0194690.019288-0.93%0.014419-25.94%0.1241✓1.232.7M2022-01-25
COMPCompoundEthereum178.35176.6914-0.93%127.15-28.71%0.1698✓1.17100k2022-01-25
NMRNumeraireEthereum27.2627.0097-0.92%20.45-24.98%0.1817✓0.71353k2022-01-25
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana7.817.7388-0.91%5.6-28.30%0.2194✓0.77652k2022-01-25
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana3.7273.6933-0.91%2.907-22.00%0.1431✓0.71526k2022-01-25
BTCBitcoinBitcoin42,369.7441,996.97-0.88%36,980.00-12.72%0.0088✗1.00636.6M2022-01-25
XEMNEMnative0.11420.113199-0.88%0.0957-16.20%0.0240✓1.0643k2022-01-25
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche86.0285.2756-0.87%68.08-20.86%0.0635✓1.19100.4M2022-01-25
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash381.47378.1762-0.86%291.7-23.53%0.1215✓1.027.0M2022-01-25
1INCH1INCHEthereum2.192.1712-0.86%1.59-27.40%0.1660✓1.072.7M2022-01-25
DKAdKargoEthereum0.105410.104513-0.85%0.08097-23.19%0.1004✓1.1430k2022-01-25
DOTPolkadotPolkadot25.1524.9371-0.85%18.32-27.16%0.1244✓1.3560.5M2022-01-25
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum1.281.2693-0.84%0.81-36.72%0.2229✓1.66556k2022-01-25
CBKCobakEthereum2.6912.6685-0.83%2.039-24.23%0.1459✓0.9125k2022-01-25
RLCiExec RLCEthereum2.552.5289-0.83%1.76-30.98%0.1826✓1.323.2M2022-01-25
TRXTRONTron0.0684190.067888-0.78%0.055872-18.34%0.0654✓0.95494k2022-01-25
XLMStellarStellar0.2539950.252074-0.76%0.196794-22.52%0.1068✓1.0324.4M2022-01-25
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana6.436.3821-0.74%4.91-23.64%0.1724✓0.66564k2022-01-25
KSMKusamaHydration253.4251.5234-0.74%173.57-31.50%0.2091✓1.191.4M2022-01-25
XYMSymbolnative0.18640.185021-0.74%0.1597-14.32%0.0550✓0.68577k2022-01-25
XVSVenusEthereum13.0412.9444-0.73%8.13-37.65%0.3098✓1.142.7M2022-01-25
FILFilecoinFilecoin28.4828.2762-0.72%18.16-36.24%0.2946✓1.0915.1M2022-01-25
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.7941.7821-0.66%1.425-20.57%0.0664✓1.162.0M2022-01-25
SOLSolanaSolana141.35140.4255-0.65%94.76-32.96%0.2389✓1.14152.8M2022-01-25
CTKShentuOsmosis1.3481.3395-0.63%1.245-7.64%0.1132✗1.373.8M2022-01-25
QNTQuantEthereum146.04145.3857-0.45%103.44-29.17%0.2140✓0.936.7M2022-01-25
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum23.423.2975-0.44%16.59-29.10%0.0859✓1.863.9M2022-01-25
LCXLCXEthereum0.12930.128837-0.36%0.1006-22.20%0.0726✓1.282.1M2022-01-25
ETHEthereumEthereum3,160.813,151.25-0.30%2,460.68-22.15%0.1012✓1.07496.9M2022-01-25
NANOnanopayBase2.92482.9169-0.27%2.3437-19.87%0.0634✓1.14665k2022-01-25
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.06310.062964-0.21%0.04-36.61%0.3176✓1.0024.6M2022-01-25
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.86480.864067-0.08%0.4433-48.74%0.5273✓1.032.6M2022-01-25
LRCLoopringEthereum1.16121.1612-0.00%1.0337-10.98%0.1445✗1.921.3M2022-01-25
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.