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2022-01-11 · +7d

gru_s5 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 139 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.1099
139 of 139 tokens assessed
long-short decile
-1.95%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
58.3%
in alpha space · 67.6% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-0.90%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (139 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▾pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.93890.959997+2.25%0.8648-7.89%0.0964✗0.893.1M2022-01-18
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum2.932.9391+0.31%3.25+10.92%0.1113✓1.193.2M2022-01-18
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum26.7526.6898-0.23%23.4-12.52%0.1150✓1.835.0M2022-01-18
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.0770.076748-0.33%0.0631-18.05%0.1868✓1.0030.6M2022-01-18
FILFilecoinFilecoin28.8928.7914-0.34%28.48-1.42%0.0014✓1.0518.5M2022-01-18
1INCH1INCHEthereum2.152.1417-0.38%2.19+1.86%0.0320✗1.083.3M2022-01-18
NANOnanopayBase3.03123.0179-0.44%2.9248-3.51%0.0214✓1.10699k2022-01-18
SOLSolanaSolana140.27139.5772-0.49%141.35+0.77%0.0226✗1.11194.0M2022-01-18
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash369.84367.9729-0.50%381.47+3.14%0.0452✗1.018.5M2022-01-18
XVSVenusEthereum13.7113.6362-0.54%13.04-4.89%0.0344✓1.143.3M2022-01-18
QTUMQtumQtum7.5217.4805-0.54%7.8307+4.12%0.0586✗1.42273k2022-01-18
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.1537220.152892-0.54%0.165155+7.44%0.0871✗1.115.1M2022-01-18
TRXTRONTron0.0649340.06457-0.56%0.068419+5.37%0.0665✗0.95552k2022-01-18
XEMNEMnative0.11450.113803-0.61%0.1142-0.26%0.0129✗1.0567k2022-01-18
RLCiExec RLCEthereum2.82.7803-0.70%2.55-8.93%0.0746✓1.323.2M2022-01-18
LTCLitecoinLitecoin131.67130.7373-0.71%141.53+7.49%0.0915✗1.3535.0M2022-01-18
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum1.361.3502-0.72%1.28-5.88%0.0383✓1.67738k2022-01-18
BTCBitcoinBitcoin42,753.4442,443.35-0.73%42,369.74-0.90%0.0073✗1.00754.4M2022-01-18
PHAPHALAEthereum0.3610.358343-0.74%0.376+4.16%0.0547✗0.7339k2022-01-18
ETHEthereumEthereum3,240.833,215.28-0.79%3,160.81-2.47%0.0075✓1.06591.9M2022-01-18
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.11020.109291-0.82%0.105-4.72%0.0301✓1.10304k2022-01-18
API3Api3Ethereum3.543.5105-0.83%4.64+31.07%0.2851✗0.68486k2022-01-18
BELBella ProtocolEthereum1.2731.2624-0.84%1.273+0.00%0.0205✗1.342.9M2022-01-18
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.861.8444-0.84%1.794-3.55%0.0173✓1.152.3M2022-01-18
SPELLSpellEthereum0.014580.014455-0.86%0.01274-12.62%0.1050✓2.3626.8M2022-01-18
ZECZcashZcash141.38140.1441-0.87%131.97-6.66%0.0482✓1.3210.9M2022-01-18
SUNSun TokenTron0.0186970.018532-0.88%0.019469+4.13%0.0603✗1.222.5M2022-01-18
COMPCompoundEthereum188.96187.266-0.90%178.35-5.61%0.0383✓1.17161k2022-01-18
QNTQuantEthereum169.57168.0235-0.91%146.04-13.88%0.1317✓0.957.5M2022-01-18
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.960.95116-0.92%0.98+2.08%0.0455✗1.731.6M2022-01-18
XECeCashnative0.000093560.000092697-0.92%0.00009565+2.23%0.0404✗1.006.7M2022-01-18
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain1.0451.035-0.95%1.008-3.54%0.0179✓0.952.2M2022-01-18
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.0760.075271-0.96%0.0796+4.74%0.0657✗1.0819k2022-01-18
LRCLoopringEthereum1.49151.4772-0.96%1.1612-22.15%0.2235✓1.911.4M2022-01-18
OGOG Fan TokenSolana4.3824.338-1.00%4.117-6.05%0.0451✓0.791.1M2022-01-18
SKLSKALEEthereum0.16050.158889-1.00%0.1541-3.99%0.0195✓1.234.2M2022-01-18
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.17780.176007-1.01%0.1749-1.63%0.0019✓0.91463k2022-01-18
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana3.8183.7794-1.01%3.727-2.38%0.0077✓0.70526k2022-01-18
XLMStellarStellar0.2631770.26046-1.03%0.253995-3.49%0.0159✓1.0224.9M2022-01-18
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV110.22109.079-1.04%108.41-1.64%0.0024✓0.952.6M2022-01-18
UNIUniswapEthereum15.9815.8139-1.04%15.98+0.00%0.0222✗1.3013.1M2022-01-18
SNXSynthetixEthereum5.085.0268-1.05%5.03-0.98%0.0110✗1.153.3M2022-01-18
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.047650.047149-1.05%0.04814+1.03%0.0309✗1.1217k2022-01-18
CTKShentuOsmosis1.3981.3831-1.06%1.348-3.58%0.0135✓1.365.2M2022-01-18
ETCEthereum Classicnative29.6929.3737-1.07%32.64+9.94%0.1149✗1.053.2M2022-01-18
LEOLEO TokenEthereum3.73233.6919-1.08%3.6709-1.65%0.0064✓-0.08371k2022-01-18
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.56910.562924-1.09%0.5309-6.71%0.0468✓1.3012.5M2022-01-18
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.7186320.710749-1.10%0.720057+0.20%0.0233✗1.142.6M2022-01-18
NMRNumeraireEthereum28.4228.1064-1.10%27.26-4.08%0.0242✓0.70363k2022-01-18
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum5.3285.2691-1.11%5.9429+11.54%0.1312✗1.20446k2022-01-18
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana87.9113-1.11%7.79-2.62%0.0098✓0.62714k2022-01-18
XYMSymbolnative0.20620.20391-1.11%0.1864-9.60%0.0836✓0.69428k2022-01-18
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.65110.643833-1.12%0.6816+4.68%0.0683✗1.254.4M2022-01-18
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.016440.016255-1.13%0.01679+2.13%0.0387✗0.7027k2022-01-18
ADACardanoCardano1.18791.1745-1.13%1.4589+22.81%0.2268✗1.1195.6M2022-01-18
TRBTellor TributesEthereum29.4329.0936-1.14%27.84-5.40%0.0303✓1.521.0M2022-01-18
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana6.786.702-1.15%6.43-5.16%0.0356✓0.65645k2022-01-18
IMXImmutableEthereum3.613.5682-1.16%3.72+3.05%0.0539✗1.362.4M2022-01-18
DEXEDeXeEthereum9.739.6137-1.19%8.79-9.66%0.0901✓-0.061.6M2022-01-18
LCXLCXEthereum0.14710.145337-1.20%0.1293-12.10%0.1057✓1.242.1M2022-01-18
AUCTIONBounceEthereum20.3920.1395-1.23%19.56-4.07%0.0198✓1.041.0M2022-01-18
FTTFTXEthereum39.7839.2913-1.23%44.97+13.05%0.1449✗1.1020.7M2022-01-18
DODODODOEthereum0.7470.737822-1.23%0.739-1.07%0.0146✗1.447.7M2022-01-18
XMRMoneroMonero193.01190.6069-1.25%204.44+5.92%0.0794✗1.033.0M2022-01-18
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.31010.306218-1.25%0.3129+0.90%0.0330✗1.262.2M2022-01-18
DOTPolkadotPolkadot25.5525.2283-1.26%25.15-1.57%0.0088✓1.3270.4M2022-01-18
AAVEAaveEthereum213.29210.6009-1.26%232.45+8.98%0.1092✗1.1717.6M2022-01-18
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana4.8144.7528-1.27%4.936+2.53%0.0437✗0.65481k2022-01-18
KCSKuCoinnative19.37819.1312-1.27%20.371+5.12%0.0774✗1.6113.0M2022-01-18
DYDXdYdXCosmos7.0947.0021-1.30%7-1.33%0.0113✓1.29271k2022-01-18
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana14.7814.5882-1.30%14.74-0.27%0.0164✗0.671.1M2022-01-18
ZENHorizenBase56.1155.3751-1.31%52.32-6.75%0.0433✓1.49736k2022-01-18
XVGVergenative0.013860.013677-1.32%0.01322-4.62%0.0231✓1.222.1M2022-01-18
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum72.7571.7893-1.32%73.86+1.53%0.0379✗1.056.4M2022-01-18
DKAdKargoEthereum0.104960.103573-1.32%0.10541+0.43%0.0278✗1.1423k2022-01-18
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000027620.000027253-1.33%0.00002811+1.77%0.0422✗1.241.7M2022-01-18
RADRadworksEthereum8.017.903-1.34%7.44-7.12%0.0523✓0.891.1M2022-01-18
BATBasic AttentionEthereum1.05481.0406-1.34%1.0043-4.79%0.0195✓1.781.0M2022-01-18
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.079760.078663-1.38%0.07514-5.79%0.0330✓1.432.6M2022-01-18
UOSUltraEthereum1.23651.2195-1.38%1.236-0.04%0.0227✗1.023.3M2022-01-18
AMPAmpEthereum0.041840.041259-1.39%0.03887-7.10%0.0515✓0.918.4M2022-01-18
DASHDashDash141.85139.8752-1.39%130.54-7.97%0.0581✓1.222.2M2022-01-18
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum42,770.2042,174.07-1.39%42,495.40-0.64%0.0165✗0.9814k2022-01-18
ARPAARPAEthereum0.08240.08125-1.40%0.0808-1.94%0.0069✓1.381.2M2022-01-18
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana10.1910.0459-1.41%10.34+1.47%0.0356✗0.75994k2022-01-18
STORJStorjEthereum1.59241.5698-1.42%1.5502-2.65%0.0048✓0.86610k2022-01-18
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche89.6688.34-1.47%86.02-4.06%0.0162✓1.16115.7M2022-01-18
MINAMina Protocolnative3.453.3985-1.49%3.45+0.00%0.0246✗1.05715k2022-01-18
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum3.23.1521-1.50%3.02-5.62%0.0339✓0.98977k2022-01-18
LSKLiskEthereum2.10252.0709-1.51%2.0816-1.00%0.0152✗1.1283k2022-01-18
METRONOMEMETRONOME3.84243.7842-1.51%4.0803+6.19%0.0821✗0.753,1162022-01-18
CBKCobakEthereum2.7652.7231-1.52%2.691-2.68%0.0037✓0.9029k2022-01-18
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana8.17.9764-1.53%7.81-3.58%0.0141✓0.77741k2022-01-18
GTGateEthereum6.41296.3145-1.54%7.0464+9.88%0.1173✗0.853.7M2022-01-18
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.05740.056518-1.54%0.0499-13.07%0.1125✓1.341.5M2022-01-18
TRACOriginTrailEthereum1.0251.0086-1.60%0.9593-6.41%0.0376✓1.391.6M2022-01-18
CELLCellframeEthereum0.89210.877805-1.60%1.0352+16.04%0.1723✗0.82122k2022-01-18
CTSICartesiEthereum0.57990.570569-1.61%0.6093+5.07%0.0779✗1.362.7M2022-01-18
YFIyearn.financeEthereum32,768.9632,241.20-1.61%32,596.41-0.53%0.0167✗0.6426.4M2022-01-18
LUNATerraTerra 273.5772.3659-1.64%80.49+9.41%0.1154✗1.007.4M2022-01-18
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum8.2218.0861-1.64%7.355-10.53%0.0888✓0.66221k2022-01-18
BANDBandEthereum5.145.0535-1.68%5.05-1.75%0.0093✓1.112.2M2022-01-18
CHZChilizEthereum0.26410.259621-1.70%0.259-1.93%0.0095✓1.324.6M2022-01-18
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.070760.06956-1.70%0.06479-8.44%0.0600✓1.2216.9M2022-01-18
COTICOTIEthereum0.33630.330586-1.70%0.4092+21.68%0.2269✗1.503.8M2022-01-18
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand1.44671.4221-1.70%1.3179-8.90%0.0657✓1.1532.1M2022-01-18
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.091340.089786-1.70%0.08843-3.19%0.0089✓0.7052k2022-01-18
KSMKusamaHydration260.77256.3228-1.71%253.4-2.83%0.0009✓1.171.3M2022-01-18
BFCBifrostEthereum0.173030.170024-1.74%0.19779+14.31%0.1653✗1.565,3602022-01-18
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0649250.063793-1.74%0.052076-19.79%0.1918✓1.237.3M2022-01-18
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.0292650.028751-1.76%0.027164-7.18%0.0475✓1.036.3M2022-01-18
LINKChainlinkEthereum26.626.1239-1.79%22.98-13.61%0.1175✓1.1970.9M2022-01-18
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.014750.014486-1.79%0.01425-3.39%0.0046✓1.312.2M2022-01-18
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum2.3112.2693-1.81%2.277-1.47%0.0132✓1.091.9M2022-01-18
SCSiacoinnative0.01350.013254-1.82%0.0133-1.48%0.0123✓0.98756k2022-01-18
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum34.4533.8156-1.84%29.38-14.72%0.1280✓1.3929.9M2022-01-18
MANADecentralandEthereum2.93122.877-1.85%2.859-2.47%0.0027✓1.005.4M2022-01-18
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0864230.084819-1.86%0.076024-12.03%0.1005✓1.002.8M2022-01-18
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain3.18573.1262-1.87%3.2233+1.18%0.0415✗1.212.5M2022-01-18
SUSHISushiEthereum6.996.8586-1.88%6.21-11.16%0.0875✓1.3118.2M2022-01-18
IOTAIOTAIOTA1.1411.1193-1.90%1.1015-3.46%0.0072✓0.9823.2M2022-01-18
MOVRMoonriverBase165.565162.3782-1.92%126.385-23.66%0.2404✓1.13540k2022-01-18
XTZTezosTezos4.17524.0939-1.95%4.1162-1.41%0.0176✓1.354.6M2022-01-18
UMAUMAEthereum8.658.4813-1.95%7.94-8.21%0.0573✓0.954.4M2022-01-18
MASKMask NetworkEthereum9.679.4811-1.95%8.78-9.20%0.0707✓0.681.2M2022-01-18
HIVEHivenative1.31021.2845-1.96%1.2149-7.27%0.0432✓1.394.5M2022-01-18
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain4.17684.0949-1.96%4.1197-1.37%0.0176✓1.284.2M2022-01-18
LPTLivepeerEthereum36.8436.1117-1.98%34.09-7.46%0.0428✓1.642.8M2022-01-18
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.5160.505533-2.03%0.499-3.29%0.0014✓1.292.1M2022-01-18
CVCCivicEthereum0.32280.316062-2.09%0.3128-3.10%0.0013✓1.00397k2022-01-18
GITCOINGITCOIN11.20310.9659-2.12%11.382+1.60%0.0379✗0.0756k2022-01-18
BICOBiconomyEthereum3.573.4881-2.29%3.54-0.84%0.0261✗1.269.3M2022-01-18
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.37091.339-2.33%1.473+7.45%0.1032✗0.87922k2022-01-18
CRVCurve DAOEthereum4.614.4936-2.53%4.56-1.08%0.0274✗1.4130.4M2022-01-18
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos38.7137.6446-2.75%38.27-1.14%0.0247✓0.9265.3M2022-01-18
GTCGitcoinEthereum11.2310.9196-2.76%11.41+1.60%0.0451✗0.132.8M2022-01-18
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.68260.662057-3.01%0.9154+34.10%0.3401✗1.7938.7M2022-01-18
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.62610.603537-3.60%0.6027-3.74%0.0117✓1.45736k2022-01-18
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.7663.6135-4.05%3.378-10.30%0.0512✓1.801.2M2022-01-18
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.