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2021-12-28 · +7d

gru_s5 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 137 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.1970
137 of 137 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+4.93%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
27.7%
in alpha space · 59.9% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-3.64%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (137 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▴pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
BICOBiconomyEthereum4.384.1532-5.18%3.92-10.50%0.0207✓1.0015.2M2022-01-04
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.78960.752003-4.76%0.8381+6.14%0.1743✗1.7828.3M2022-01-04
SPELLSpellEthereum0.021870.020834-4.74%0.02111-3.48%0.0502✗1.0039.8M2022-01-04
MASKMask NetworkEthereum11.5711.0339-4.63%12.29+6.22%0.1293✗0.581.5M2022-01-04
GITCOINGITCOIN14.5913.934-4.50%15.672+7.42%0.1133✗-0.11129k2022-01-04
GTCGitcoinEthereum14.6414.0065-4.33%15.7+7.24%0.1120✗-0.064.8M2022-01-04
OGOG Fan TokenSolana5.3495.1544-3.64%4.673-12.64%0.0727✓0.68734k2022-01-04
SUSHISushiEthereum9.068.7407-3.52%8.07-10.93%0.0310✓1.3215.8M2022-01-04
RADRadworksEthereum11.6611.2516-3.50%11.27-3.34%0.0332✓0.851.3M2022-01-04
LPTLivepeerEthereum38.4537.1282-3.44%42.83+11.39%0.2069✗1.733.0M2022-01-04
HIVEHivenative1.61151.5584-3.30%1.5925-1.18%0.0729✗1.387.1M2022-01-04
TRACOriginTrailEthereum1.25691.2167-3.20%1.1872-5.55%0.0286✓1.432.3M2022-01-04
IOTAIOTAIOTA1.42911.3838-3.17%1.2788-10.52%0.0433✓0.9623.6M2022-01-04
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon1.711.6598-2.94%1.4484-15.30%0.1064✓0.805.9M2022-01-04
SCSiacoinnative0.015630.015178-2.89%0.01547-1.02%0.0546✗0.961.2M2022-01-04
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.8913.7823-2.79%3.363-13.57%0.0805✓1.003.0M2022-01-04
MANADecentralandEthereum3.33993.2475-2.76%3.1744-4.95%0.0123✓0.958.0M2022-01-04
CVCCivicEthereum0.3420.332567-2.76%0.3574+4.50%0.1069✗0.94328k2022-01-04
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum2.7542.6781-2.76%2.693-2.21%0.0434✗1.022.2M2022-01-04
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.640.622584-2.72%0.662+3.44%0.1085✗1.272.9M2022-01-04
BFCBifrostEthereum0.20850.202827-2.72%0.20404-2.14%0.0654✗1.6113k2022-01-04
UMAUMAEthereum9.599.3332-2.68%9.03-5.84%0.0086✓1.124.1M2022-01-04
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum39.738.6856-2.56%38.67-2.59%0.0675✗1.837.2M2022-01-04
CRVCurve DAOEthereum4.724.601-2.52%6.08+28.81%0.3282✗1.3426.8M2022-01-04
MINAMina Protocolnative3.523.4324-2.49%3.71+5.40%0.1166✗1.05787k2022-01-04
CTSICartesiEthereum0.71060.693068-2.47%0.7133+0.38%0.0779✗1.333.4M2022-01-04
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.019930.01944-2.46%0.01973-1.00%0.0379✗0.6245k2022-01-04
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum9.7989.5754-2.27%9.36-4.47%0.0008✓0.59455k2022-01-04
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000034920.000034128-2.27%0.00003245-7.07%0.0134✓1.002.2M2022-01-04
LSKLiskEthereum2.48462.4288-2.25%2.3398-5.83%0.0048✓1.14147k2022-01-04
CELLCellframeEthereum1.0271.0043-2.21%1.0351+0.79%0.0673✗1.00151k2022-01-04
MOVRMoonriverBase190.178186.0136-2.19%185.4543-2.48%0.0401✗1.16674k2022-01-04
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.0339670.033255-2.10%0.033406-1.65%0.0433✗1.059.3M2022-01-04
UOSUltraEthereum1.68261.6474-2.09%1.4602-13.22%0.0846✓0.975.3M2022-01-04
LUNATerraTerra 285.1783.4091-2.07%84.56-0.72%0.0507✗1.007.4M2022-01-04
BATBasic AttentionEthereum1.22031.1953-2.05%1.2829+5.13%0.1367✗1.781.5M2022-01-04
DEXEDeXeEthereum12.0511.8083-2.01%11.51-4.48%0.0330✓-0.204.3M2022-01-04
LCXLCXEthereum0.19230.188514-1.97%0.1943+1.04%0.0726✗1.143.6M2022-01-04
IMXImmutableEthereum4.874.7759-1.93%4.74-2.67%0.0295✗1.002.5M2022-01-04
STORJStorjEthereum1.81351.7788-1.91%1.7918-1.20%0.0360✗0.781.1M2022-01-04
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana4.5644.4773-1.90%4.112-9.90%0.0616✓0.63502k2022-01-04
AMPAmpEthereum0.050630.049669-1.90%0.04929-2.65%0.0263✗0.9210.4M2022-01-04
COTICOTIEthereum0.37810.37098-1.88%0.3934+4.05%0.1137✗1.494.7M2022-01-04
DYDXdYdXCosmos10.1289.9442-1.81%8.239-18.65%0.1419✓1.25411k2022-01-04
ZECZcashZcash149.45146.7752-1.79%147.34-1.41%0.0540✗1.3511.8M2022-01-04
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum4.54.4199-1.78%3.89-13.56%0.0907✓1.004.4M2022-01-04
AAVEAaveEthereum252.64248.2869-1.72%251.96-0.27%0.0552✗1.0911.4M2022-01-04
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum1.181.16-1.70%1.15-2.54%0.0284✗1.002.4M2022-01-04
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.66590.654693-1.68%0.6784+1.88%0.0836✗1.3012.5M2022-01-04
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana5.6955.6002-1.66%5.107-10.32%0.0708✓0.58798k2022-01-04
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.103160.101454-1.65%0.11+6.63%0.1044✗0.6392k2022-01-04
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain3.36613.3108-1.64%3.0903-8.19%0.0236✓1.223.3M2022-01-04
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.054270.0534-1.60%0.05513+1.58%0.0730✗1.1116k2022-01-04
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.059230.058287-1.59%0.0623+5.18%0.1201✗1.458.2M2022-01-04
ZENHorizenBase63.3262.312-1.59%64.42+1.74%0.0896✗1.521.2M2022-01-04
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana16.1715.9198-1.55%15.04-6.99%0.0316✓0.681.4M2022-01-04
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum47,383.6046,651.36-1.55%46,006.00-2.91%0.0229✗0.9910k2022-01-04
API3Api3Ethereum4.564.4897-1.54%4.1-10.09%0.0538✓1.001.2M2022-01-04
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum99.7498.2104-1.53%92.88-6.88%0.0201✓0.967.6M2022-01-04
LEOLEO TokenEthereum3.63.5452-1.52%3.7795+4.99%0.0596✗-0.12405k2022-01-04
YFIyearn.financeEthereum28,691.2228,257.73-1.51%36,282.47+26.46%0.2715✗0.589.0M2022-01-04
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.38420.378522-1.48%0.3673-4.40%0.0175✗1.284.4M2022-01-04
XVGVergenative0.01760.01734-1.48%0.01721-2.22%0.0367✗1.192.8M2022-01-04
LRCLoopringEthereum2.07522.0454-1.44%2.0651-0.49%0.0812✗1.931.5M2022-01-04
FTTFTXEthereum40.0139.4353-1.44%41.35+3.35%0.0863✗1.0520.7M2022-01-04
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.075380.074297-1.44%0.08388+11.28%0.1671✗1.2421.1M2022-01-04
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos26.5726.1915-1.42%42.05+58.26%0.5071✗0.9140.2M2022-01-04
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.13580.13389-1.41%0.1324-2.50%0.0280✗1.06344k2022-01-04
AUCTIONBounceEthereum25.4225.0638-1.40%24.02-5.51%0.0036✓1.051.6M2022-01-04
GTGateEthereum6.4596.3689-1.39%6.4901+0.48%0.0490✗0.824.3M2022-01-04
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain5.02924.9592-1.39%4.507-10.38%0.0472✓1.315.2M2022-01-04
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand1.46671.4465-1.38%1.6714+13.96%0.1861✗1.1231.7M2022-01-04
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.30111.2837-1.34%1.3427+3.20%0.0851✗1.081.1M2022-01-04
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche107.05105.6299-1.33%103.3-3.50%0.0196✗1.13136.0M2022-01-04
UNIUniswapEthereum18.418.1608-1.30%18.21-1.03%0.0500✗1.2815.5M2022-01-04
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain1.281.2637-1.27%1.223-4.45%0.0021✓0.943.1M2022-01-04
KCSKuCoinnative21.50621.2339-1.27%22.046+2.51%0.0988✗1.6518.6M2022-01-04
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.06590.065081-1.24%0.0695+5.46%0.1149✗1.331.9M2022-01-04
KSMKusamaHydration294.8291.1698-1.23%296.29+0.51%0.0589✗1.121.5M2022-01-04
SKLSKALEEthereum0.21990.217217-1.22%0.1995-9.28%0.0396✓1.236.1M2022-01-04
METRONOMEMETRONOME4.80474.7465-1.21%4.72-1.76%0.0214✗0.7326k2022-01-04
DODODODOEthereum0.9110.900054-1.20%0.873-4.17%0.0244✗1.489.2M2022-01-04
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum6.26836.1934-1.19%6.0617-3.30%0.0227✗1.19724k2022-01-04
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum1.771.7489-1.19%1.64-7.34%0.0004✓1.731.5M2022-01-04
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.71650.708075-1.18%0.6945-3.07%0.0276✗1.276.6M2022-01-04
NMRNumeraireEthereum33.5133.119-1.17%31.27-6.68%0.0331✓0.66572k2022-01-04
BANDBandEthereum5.345.2779-1.16%5.66+5.99%0.1146✗1.212.5M2022-01-04
SNXSynthetixEthereum5.855.7827-1.15%6.6+12.82%0.1743✗1.145.1M2022-01-04
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana9.79.5887-1.15%8.76-9.69%0.0681✓0.601.1M2022-01-04
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.089770.088744-1.14%0.08927-0.56%0.0600✗1.464.1M2022-01-04
RLCiExec RLCEthereum3.032.9957-1.13%3.42+12.87%0.1810✗1.313.0M2022-01-04
XTZTezosTezos4.49094.44-1.13%5.039+12.20%0.1760✗1.335.4M2022-01-04
ARPAARPAEthereum0.10450.103324-1.13%0.0991-5.17%0.0094✓1.382.0M2022-01-04
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV121.77120.4014-1.12%120.8-0.80%0.0392✗0.973.7M2022-01-04
BELBella ProtocolEthereum1.5371.5198-1.12%1.646+7.09%0.1283✗1.314.1M2022-01-04
ETCEthereum Classicnative34.9634.5724-1.11%34.11-2.43%0.0253✗1.055.1M2022-01-04
XMRMoneroMonero208.62206.3502-1.09%222.22+6.52%0.1105✗0.982.8M2022-01-04
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.08380.082911-1.06%0.0856+2.15%0.0722✗1.0916k2022-01-04
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.19980.197716-1.04%0.1957-2.05%0.0230✗0.90701k2022-01-04
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.7986870.790463-1.03%0.888431+11.24%0.1576✗1.103.0M2022-01-04
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.43010.425677-1.03%0.6206+44.29%0.4291✗1.411.0M2022-01-04
TRBTellor TributesEthereum35.0234.6613-1.02%35.83+2.31%0.0898✗1.531.3M2022-01-04
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana10.7610.65-1.02%10.56-1.86%0.0195✗0.761.4M2022-01-04
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum3.343.3059-1.02%3.39+1.50%0.0621✗1.001.2M2022-01-04
XECeCashnative0.000109510.000108394-1.02%0.00011292+3.11%0.0779✗1.009.9M2022-01-04
CHZChilizEthereum0.30330.300234-1.01%0.3025-0.26%0.0558✗1.305.8M2022-01-04
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana9.088.9926-0.96%8.5-6.39%0.0285✓0.751.1M2022-01-04
CTKShentuOsmosis1.6641.648-0.96%1.678+0.84%0.0680✗1.358.3M2022-01-04
DASHDashDash134.75133.4546-0.96%134.69-0.04%0.0571✗1.292.0M2022-01-04
ADACardanoCardano1.39981.387-0.91%1.3092-6.47%0.0180✓1.07120.2M2022-01-04
XEMNEMnative0.12840.127272-0.88%0.1252-2.49%0.0246✗1.11175k2022-01-04
COMPCompoundEthereum209207.1944-0.86%223.02+6.71%0.1161✗1.15236k2022-01-04
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.016510.016368-0.86%0.01947+17.93%0.2210✗1.282.7M2022-01-04
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.1737450.172277-0.85%0.168474-3.03%0.0188✗1.116.0M2022-01-04
CBKCobakEthereum2.982.9552-0.83%3.15+5.70%0.0961✗0.8792k2022-01-04
BTCBitcoinBitcoin47,543.0947,172.80-0.78%45,814.61-3.64%0.0078✗1.00750.8M2022-01-04
NANOnanopayBase3.74653.718-0.76%3.7143-0.86%0.0380✗1.05819k2022-01-04
SOLSolanaSolana177.27175.9415-0.75%167.72-5.39%0.0089✓1.05257.1M2022-01-04
XYMSymbolnative0.21580.214245-0.72%0.2101-2.64%0.0000✓0.53392k2022-01-04
DKAdKargoEthereum0.114460.113641-0.72%0.11972+4.60%0.0933✗1.1129k2022-01-04
TRXTRONTron0.0772180.076683-0.69%0.075989-1.59%0.0261✗0.95648k2022-01-04
LTCLitecoinLitecoin145.67144.7145-0.66%146.44+0.53%0.0625✗1.3753.2M2022-01-04
SUNSun TokenTron0.0219780.021839-0.63%0.022317+1.54%0.0667✗1.222.4M2022-01-04
DOTPolkadotPolkadot27.8427.6651-0.63%28.69+3.05%0.0837✗1.2877.1M2022-01-04
FILFilecoinFilecoin36.2536.0306-0.61%36.13-0.33%0.0407✗1.0222.1M2022-01-04
XLMStellarStellar0.2741010.272458-0.60%0.279308+1.90%0.0628✗1.0332.3M2022-01-04
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash438.74436.1423-0.59%427.38-2.59%0.0174✗1.0210.8M2022-01-04
QNTQuantEthereum188.78187.7061-0.57%179.48-4.93%0.0092✓0.9611.5M2022-01-04
PHAPHALAEthereum0.4230.4207-0.54%0.409-3.31%0.0004✓0.7546k2022-01-04
XVSVenusEthereum15.5415.4568-0.54%15.92+2.45%0.0717✗1.144.8M2022-01-04
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana7.577.5295-0.53%7.16-5.42%0.0267✓0.641.1M2022-01-04
1INCH1INCHEthereum2.542.5268-0.52%2.48-2.36%0.0199✗1.044.4M2022-01-04
QTUMQtumQtum9.09239.0459-0.51%8.9939-1.08%0.0476✗1.44285k2022-01-04
ETHEthereumEthereum3,793.673,775.04-0.49%3,785.00-0.23%0.0412✗1.04766.3M2022-01-04
MTLMetal DAOMetal L22.1082.0988-0.44%2.228+5.69%0.1016✗1.133.3M2022-01-04
LINKChainlinkEthereum20.3620.2965-0.31%23.43+15.08%0.1933✗1.3469.7M2022-01-04
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum24.7124.6952-0.06%33.82+36.87%0.3675✗1.4322.9M2022-01-04
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.