8=======>

2021-12-22 · +7d

gru_s5 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 136 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.1193
136 of 136 tokens assessed
long-short decile
-1.32%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
39.0%
in alpha space · 74.3% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-4.40%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (136 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▾pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
PHAPHALAEthereum0.3570.357285+0.08%0.405+13.45%0.1581✓0.7349k2021-12-29
OGOG Fan TokenSolana4.0244.0189-0.13%4.796+19.18%0.2120✗0.78714k2021-12-29
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon1.76541.761-0.25%1.6398-7.11%0.0448✓0.598.5M2021-12-29
LINKChainlinkEthereum19.9219.8341-0.43%19.74-0.90%0.0487✗1.1967.0M2021-12-29
XVSVenusEthereum15.5615.4907-0.45%15.01-3.53%0.0192✗1.135.7M2021-12-29
1INCH1INCHEthereum2.472.4581-0.48%2.41-2.43%0.0209✗0.904.7M2021-12-29
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana3.8623.8411-0.54%4.115+6.55%0.0994✗0.68487k2021-12-29
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.1731880.172181-0.58%0.167974-3.01%0.0240✗1.085.5M2021-12-29
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana5.1515.1209-0.58%5.14-0.21%0.0314✗0.61936k2021-12-29
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash438.3435.4288-0.66%430.11-1.87%0.0330✗1.0114.2M2021-12-29
NANOnanopayBase3.47533.4515-0.68%3.4827+0.22%0.0549✗1.02819k2021-12-29
FILFilecoinFilecoin35.6335.3753-0.71%34.21-3.99%0.0116✗1.0022.5M2021-12-29
XEMNEMnative0.13050.129551-0.73%0.1244-4.67%0.0062✓1.04202k2021-12-29
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum1.61.5882-0.74%1.69+5.62%0.1367✗1.661.6M2021-12-29
QNTQuantEthereum182.5181.1429-0.74%175.55-3.81%0.0087✗0.8912.1M2021-12-29
QTUMQtumQtum9.42999.3593-0.75%8.7853-6.83%0.0016✓1.37349k2021-12-29
DYDXdYdXCosmos8.2588.1946-0.77%8.678+5.09%0.1145✗1.27635k2021-12-29
BTCBitcoinBitcoin48,608.6248,231.92-0.77%46,471.24-4.40%0.0078✓1.00750.8M2021-12-29
RLCiExec RLCEthereum3.073.0456-0.79%3.03-1.30%0.0519✗1.273.2M2021-12-29
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana8.798.7174-0.83%9.02+2.62%0.0631✗0.641.1M2021-12-29
SOLSolanaSolana178.45176.9611-0.83%170.64-4.38%0.0042✓0.90265.5M2021-12-29
UNIUniswapEthereum16.2116.0707-0.86%17.13+5.68%0.1195✗1.2414.1M2021-12-29
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.08650.085744-0.87%0.0817-5.55%0.0008✓1.0622k2021-12-29
TRBTellor TributesEthereum33.7633.4598-0.89%33.2-1.66%0.0563✗1.431.6M2021-12-29
ETHEthereumEthereum3,981.123,945.51-0.89%3,630.59-8.80%0.0367✓1.03768.5M2021-12-29
SNXSynthetixEthereum5.535.4805-0.89%5.44-1.63%0.0405✗1.075.3M2021-12-29
LTCLitecoinLitecoin155.44154.0408-0.90%145.62-6.32%0.0056✓1.3760.2M2021-12-29
BELBella ProtocolEthereum1.5691.5546-0.91%1.576+0.45%0.0723✗1.305.4M2021-12-29
MTLMetal DAOMetal L22.2272.2064-0.93%2.015-9.52%0.0414✓1.103.4M2021-12-29
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum23.3423.1225-0.93%24.05+3.04%0.0981✗1.3121.2M2021-12-29
XLMStellarStellar0.2677240.265222-0.93%0.266803-0.34%0.0499✗0.9839.0M2021-12-29
XECeCashnative0.000110550.00010951-0.94%0.00010763-2.64%0.0268✗0.9812.0M2021-12-29
TRXTRONTron0.0790460.078278-0.97%0.076395-3.35%0.0182✗0.95787k2021-12-29
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum48,803.2048,317.73-0.99%48,010.00-1.63%0.0376✗0.9812k2021-12-29
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana8.838.7383-1.04%8.64-2.15%0.0216✗0.73934k2021-12-29
ADACardanoCardano1.32791.3141-1.04%1.3322+0.32%0.0584✗0.99128.9M2021-12-29
SKLSKALEEthereum0.20770.20554-1.04%0.2068-0.43%0.0580✗1.157.6M2021-12-29
XMRMoneroMonero190.53188.4858-1.07%214.5+12.58%0.1685✗0.872.8M2021-12-29
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain1.2711.2571-1.09%1.223-3.78%0.0154✗0.964.4M2021-12-29
NMRNumeraireEthereum33.0832.7192-1.09%31.67-4.26%0.0042✓0.63711k2021-12-29
DASHDashDash135.16133.6526-1.12%133.27-1.40%0.0514✗1.212.2M2021-12-29
SUNSun TokenTron0.0229890.022732-1.12%0.021726-5.49%0.0099✓1.232.0M2021-12-29
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV123.67122.2746-1.13%121.4-1.84%0.0361✗0.962.8M2021-12-29
DOTPolkadotPolkadot27.2426.9228-1.16%26.81-1.58%0.0501✗1.2175.5M2021-12-29
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand1.36411.3481-1.18%1.5828+16.03%0.2056✗1.0035.5M2021-12-29
DODODODOEthereum0.8980.887391-1.18%0.862-4.01%0.0351✗1.439.7M2021-12-29
FTTFTXEthereum41.3340.8411-1.18%38.54-6.75%0.0127✓1.0123.4M2021-12-29
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.20780.205331-1.19%0.1965-5.44%0.0057✓0.85776k2021-12-29
COMPCompoundEthereum206.65204.1014-1.23%197-4.67%0.0103✓1.02236k2021-12-29
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana15.7915.593-1.25%15.52-1.71%0.0247✗0.651.5M2021-12-29
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana10.3710.2405-1.25%10.3-0.68%0.0393✗0.741.6M2021-12-29
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.8242080.813891-1.25%0.759647-7.83%0.0234✓1.014.7M2021-12-29
ETCEthereum Classicnative35.6735.2201-1.26%34.13-4.32%0.0133✗1.006.2M2021-12-29
LEOLEO TokenEthereum3.59953.5538-1.27%3.7411+3.93%0.0473✗-0.09372k2021-12-29
AUCTIONBounceEthereum24.5124.1982-1.27%23.93-2.37%0.0198✗0.692.7M2021-12-29
TRACOriginTrailEthereum1.08891.0746-1.31%1.2537+15.13%0.2224✗1.523.0M2021-12-29
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum3.393.3454-1.31%3.23-4.72%0.0079✓0.961.3M2021-12-29
AAVEAaveEthereum206.48203.7585-1.32%236.52+14.55%0.1906✗0.9211.4M2021-12-29
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.69440.685207-1.32%0.6329-8.86%0.0268✓1.1714.9M2021-12-29
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.73670.726902-1.33%0.7006-4.90%0.0167✗1.197.7M2021-12-29
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.13650.134674-1.34%0.1285-5.86%0.0017✓1.08508k2021-12-29
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana7.937.8238-1.34%7.25-8.58%0.0479✓0.631.1M2021-12-29
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.07120.070245-1.34%0.0651-8.57%0.0147✓1.372.7M2021-12-29
SUSHISushiEthereum6.366.2746-1.34%9.26+45.60%0.4474✗1.2913.8M2021-12-29
DKAdKargoEthereum0.115070.113519-1.35%0.10818-5.99%0.0003✓1.0830k2021-12-29
CBKCobakEthereum2.9732.9324-1.36%2.862-3.73%0.0132✓0.83103k2021-12-29
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum1.211.1934-1.38%1.13-6.61%0.0096✓1.002.3M2021-12-29
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain3.23723.1926-1.38%3.2326-0.14%0.0666✗1.214.0M2021-12-29
METRONOMEMETRONOME5.00794.9373-1.41%4.5321-9.50%0.0547✓0.6931k2021-12-29
GTGateEthereum6.1256.0376-1.43%6.3273+3.30%0.0806✗0.754.7M2021-12-29
IMXImmutableEthereum4.534.4651-1.43%4.84+6.84%0.1256✗1.002.8M2021-12-29
LSKLiskEthereum2.45672.4213-1.44%2.3803-3.11%0.0328✗1.11147k2021-12-29
MINAMina Protocolnative3.313.2621-1.45%3.34+0.91%0.0659✗0.94807k2021-12-29
BANDBandEthereum5.365.2817-1.46%5.08-5.22%0.0122✓1.142.8M2021-12-29
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.09420.092804-1.48%0.08784-6.75%0.0129✓1.516.4M2021-12-29
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0609370.060029-1.49%0.0617+1.25%0.0922✗1.4411.0M2021-12-29
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.056850.055999-1.50%0.05381-5.35%0.0079✓1.0620k2021-12-29
DEXEDeXeEthereum12.1811.9954-1.52%11.58-4.93%0.0484✓-0.295.4M2021-12-29
COTICOTIEthereum0.32930.324267-1.53%0.375+13.88%0.2071✗1.374.4M2021-12-29
XYMSymbolnative0.24240.238694-1.53%0.1955-19.35%0.1783✓0.47428k2021-12-29
CTKShentuOsmosis1.8011.7731-1.55%1.589-11.77%0.0523✓1.286.8M2021-12-29
MOVRMoonriverBase181.9072178.9681-1.62%185.3722+1.90%0.0789✗0.97748k2021-12-29
API3Api3Ethereum5.044.9566-1.65%4.49-10.91%0.0539✓1.001.8M2021-12-29
KSMKusamaHydration273.22268.6719-1.66%283.66+3.82%0.1014✗1.051.5M2021-12-29
ZECZcashZcash165.84162.9896-1.72%146.64-11.58%0.0484✓1.2813.6M2021-12-29
CHZChilizEthereum0.28560.280686-1.72%0.287+0.49%0.0780✗1.246.6M2021-12-29
ZENHorizenBase6866.8102-1.75%61.88-9.00%0.0131✓1.411.7M2021-12-29
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum101.5699.7604-1.77%93.8-7.64%0.0183✓0.969.8M2021-12-29
XVGVergenative0.017240.016934-1.77%0.01691-1.91%0.0513✗1.172.9M2021-12-29
BICOBiconomyEthereum3.593.5255-1.80%4.84+34.82%0.3618✗1.0011.9M2021-12-29
ARPAARPAEthereum0.10260.10075-1.80%0.0988-3.70%0.0417✗1.363.3M2021-12-29
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.7593.6912-1.80%3.653-2.82%0.0346✗1.003.6M2021-12-29
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.36281.3378-1.83%1.2952-4.96%0.0150✓1.051.5M2021-12-29
KCSKuCoinnative21.43521.0367-1.86%20.666-3.59%0.0570✗1.6622.7M2021-12-29
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum5.455.3482-1.87%4.3-21.10%0.1732✓1.006.8M2021-12-29
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos27.3926.8715-1.89%27.98+2.15%0.0792✗0.8641.0M2021-12-29
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.106020.103886-2.01%0.09831-7.27%0.0302✓0.56143k2021-12-29
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.08770.085922-2.03%0.0724-17.45%0.1162✓1.2222.6M2021-12-29
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.37740.369741-2.03%0.3698-2.01%0.0584✗1.296.6M2021-12-29
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.01790.017536-2.03%0.01559-12.91%0.0625✓1.233.6M2021-12-29
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum10.149.9338-2.03%9.485-6.46%0.0156✓0.68455k2021-12-29
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain5.06554.9623-2.04%4.8341-4.57%0.0353✗1.375.0M2021-12-29
AMPAmpEthereum0.050290.049264-2.04%0.04918-2.21%0.0397✗0.9216.3M2021-12-29
YFIyearn.financeEthereum31,630.7130,973.67-2.08%28,569.89-9.68%0.0559✓0.556.8M2021-12-29
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum6.54026.4042-2.08%5.9148-9.56%0.0293✓1.12833k2021-12-29
LCXLCXEthereum0.21190.207478-2.09%0.1817-14.25%0.0811✓1.154.2M2021-12-29
XTZTezosTezos4.54184.4464-2.10%4.3759-3.65%0.0415✗1.285.1M2021-12-29
RADRadworksEthereum10.029.8027-2.17%10.96+9.38%0.1542✗0.951.9M2021-12-29
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.45110.441252-2.18%0.4107-8.96%0.0079✓1.421.6M2021-12-29
IOTAIOTAIOTA1.27091.2428-2.21%1.482+16.61%0.2224✗1.0323.6M2021-12-29
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.01940.01897-2.22%0.01939-0.05%0.0432✗0.4761k2021-12-29
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum2.5792.5214-2.23%2.644+2.52%0.0881✗0.902.8M2021-12-29
BATBasic AttentionEthereum1.18651.1598-2.25%1.1508-3.00%0.0686✗1.701.6M2021-12-29
CTSICartesiEthereum0.68930.673727-2.26%0.6824-1.00%0.0681✗1.236.5M2021-12-29
SCSiacoinnative0.016010.015638-2.32%0.01516-5.31%0.0101✓0.911.5M2021-12-29
CVCCivicEthereum0.34090.332905-2.35%0.331-2.90%0.0342✗0.89401k2021-12-29
CELLCellframeEthereum1.311.2787-2.39%0.961-26.64%0.2407✓1.00196k2021-12-29
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum45.0343.9503-2.40%38.51-14.48%0.0488✓1.8510.6M2021-12-29
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.6340.618654-2.42%0.628-0.95%0.0690✗1.203.2M2021-12-29
MASKMask NetworkEthereum11.0810.8054-2.48%11.9+7.40%0.1192✗0.513.4M2021-12-29
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.0000350.000034132-2.48%0.00003365-3.86%0.0308✗1.001.9M2021-12-29
BFCBifrostEthereum0.203510.198426-2.50%0.20423+0.35%0.1008✗1.6034k2021-12-29
HIVEHivenative1.50551.4666-2.58%1.4918-0.91%0.0750✗1.2911.9M2021-12-29
UMAUMAEthereum9.469.2044-2.70%9.3-1.69%0.0594✗1.094.1M2021-12-29
LPTLivepeerEthereum41.4940.3126-2.84%42.53+2.51%0.1311✗1.725.2M2021-12-29
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.0368870.035835-2.85%0.03331-9.70%0.0270✓1.0213.9M2021-12-29
STORJStorjEthereum1.96551.9084-2.90%1.7101-13.00%0.0780✓0.711.3M2021-12-29
LRCLoopringEthereum2.19982.136-2.90%1.9662-10.62%0.0060✓1.982.3M2021-12-29
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche116.66113.094-3.06%103.11-11.61%0.0436✓1.09158.3M2021-12-29
CRVCurve DAOEthereum5.054.8951-3.07%4.85-3.96%0.0502✗1.3228.7M2021-12-29
MANADecentralandEthereum3.28953.1879-3.09%3.2569-0.99%0.0600✗0.869.3M2021-12-29
UOSUltraEthereum1.60781.5548-3.30%1.5398-4.23%0.0356✗1.017.8M2021-12-29
GITCOINGITCOIN10.5810.2241-3.36%13.512+27.71%0.2731✗-0.13129k2021-12-29
SPELLSpellEthereum0.023880.023035-3.54%0.02115-11.43%0.0404✓1.0034.3M2021-12-29
GTCGitcoinEthereum10.6210.1824-4.12%13.54+27.50%0.2818✗-0.074.2M2021-12-29
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.67210.641801-4.51%0.9819+46.09%0.5065✗1.8112.6M2021-12-29
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.