8=======>

2021-12-21 · +7d

gru_s5 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 136 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.2004
136 of 136 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+10.44%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
22.1%
in alpha space · 35.3% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-2.80%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (136 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▾pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon1.68661.699+0.74%1.71+1.39%0.0232✓0.598.7M2021-12-28
PHAPHALAEthereum0.3570.35747+0.13%0.423+18.49%0.1890✓0.7354k2021-12-28
OGOG Fan TokenSolana3.9463.9425-0.09%5.349+35.55%0.3274✗0.78734k2021-12-28
LINKChainlinkEthereum19.4419.3604-0.41%20.36+4.73%0.0842✗1.1969.7M2021-12-28
DYDXdYdXCosmos7.5127.479-0.44%10.128+34.82%0.3394✗1.27635k2021-12-28
XVSVenusEthereum15.2815.2118-0.45%15.54+1.70%0.0534✗1.136.2M2021-12-28
1INCH1INCHEthereum2.442.4285-0.47%2.54+4.10%0.0706✗0.904.8M2021-12-28
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana3.7993.7768-0.59%4.564+20.14%0.2086✗0.68544k2021-12-28
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.1709060.169903-0.59%0.173745+1.66%0.0532✗1.095.5M2021-12-28
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana5.0775.0464-0.60%5.695+12.17%0.1384✗0.621.0M2021-12-28
XEMNEMnative0.1280.127198-0.63%0.1284+0.31%0.0390✗1.04202k2021-12-28
QTUMQtumQtum9.21859.1575-0.66%9.0923-1.37%0.0319✗1.37349k2021-12-28
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash437.94434.9903-0.67%438.74+0.18%0.0373✗1.0114.2M2021-12-28
UNIUniswapEthereum15.0614.9546-0.70%18.4+22.18%0.2426✗1.2414.2M2021-12-28
TRBTellor TributesEthereum32.0331.805-0.70%35.02+9.33%0.1369✗1.431.5M2021-12-28
FILFilecoinFilecoin35.3135.0609-0.71%36.25+2.66%0.0619✗1.0021.2M2021-12-28
RLCiExec RLCEthereum2.942.9181-0.75%3.03+3.06%0.0737✗1.273.1M2021-12-28
NANOnanopayBase3.43083.4052-0.75%3.7465+9.20%0.1245✗1.02819k2021-12-28
BELBella ProtocolEthereum1.4821.4703-0.79%1.537+3.71%0.0815✗1.315.6M2021-12-28
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum1.631.6171-0.79%1.77+8.59%0.1375✗1.661.8M2021-12-28
MTLMetal DAOMetal L22.1282.1109-0.81%2.108-0.94%0.0299✗1.103.3M2021-12-28
SNXSynthetixEthereum5.365.3162-0.82%5.85+9.14%0.1260✗1.075.5M2021-12-28
QNTQuantEthereum186.26184.7139-0.83%188.78+1.35%0.0471✗0.8912.3M2021-12-28
BTCBitcoinBitcoin48,914.7048,502.55-0.84%47,543.09-2.80%0.0085✓1.00754.4M2021-12-28
SOLSolanaSolana179.75178.227-0.85%177.27-1.38%0.0203✗0.90275.4M2021-12-28
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana8.478.3971-0.86%9.7+14.52%0.1626✗0.641.2M2021-12-28
XECeCashnative0.000109280.000108289-0.91%0.00010951+0.21%0.0391✗0.9812.6M2021-12-28
AAVEAaveEthereum186.16184.4438-0.92%252.64+35.71%0.3409✗0.9211.0M2021-12-28
LTCLitecoinLitecoin154.8153.3698-0.92%145.67-5.90%0.0124✓1.3860.7M2021-12-28
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain1.2211.2097-0.93%1.28+4.83%0.0837✗0.964.4M2021-12-28
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.08610.085302-0.93%0.0838-2.67%0.0123✗1.0624k2021-12-28
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.06880.068162-0.93%0.0659-4.22%0.0051✓1.362.7M2021-12-28
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum23.1122.8911-0.95%24.71+6.92%0.1137✗1.3120.8M2021-12-28
TRXTRONTron0.078850.0781-0.95%0.077218-2.07%0.0156✗0.95787k2021-12-28
XLMStellarStellar0.2679720.265412-0.96%0.274101+2.29%0.0600✗0.9840.4M2021-12-28
ETHEthereumEthereum4,017.113,978.61-0.96%3,793.67-5.56%0.0182✓1.03768.5M2021-12-28
ADACardanoCardano1.28011.2676-0.97%1.3998+9.35%0.1275✗1.00131.8M2021-12-28
SKLSKALEEthereum0.20390.201913-0.97%0.2199+7.85%0.1182✗1.158.6M2021-12-28
DOTPolkadotPolkadot25.1724.9171-1.00%27.84+10.61%0.1453✗1.2175.1M2021-12-28
DODODODOEthereum0.8650.855933-1.05%0.911+5.32%0.1029✗1.439.9M2021-12-28
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum48,448.3047,937.42-1.05%47,383.60-2.20%0.0162✗0.9815k2021-12-28
COMPCompoundEthereum194.4192.3459-1.06%209+7.51%0.1120✗1.02228k2021-12-28
DASHDashDash133.6132.1782-1.06%134.75+0.86%0.0536✗1.212.2M2021-12-28
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.7830710.774663-1.07%0.798687+1.99%0.0594✗1.014.8M2021-12-28
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana8.698.5946-1.10%9.08+4.49%0.0758✗0.73934k2021-12-28
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV124.64123.2357-1.13%121.77-2.30%0.0154✗0.962.5M2021-12-28
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand1.35771.3423-1.13%1.4667+8.03%0.1171✗1.0035.7M2021-12-28
NMRNumeraireEthereum33.1632.7847-1.13%33.51+1.06%0.0399✗0.63744k2021-12-28
SUNSun TokenTron0.022750.02249-1.14%0.021978-3.39%0.0118✗1.231.9M2021-12-28
XMRMoneroMonero188.96186.7995-1.14%208.62+10.40%0.1353✗0.872.9M2021-12-28
SUSHISushiEthereum5.855.7824-1.15%9.06+54.87%0.4859✗1.3013.8M2021-12-28
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.1350.13334-1.23%0.1358+0.59%0.0490✗1.08559k2021-12-28
FTTFTXEthereum41.9641.4424-1.23%40.01-4.65%0.0066✓1.0125.2M2021-12-28
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.20990.207297-1.24%0.1998-4.81%0.0126✓0.85756k2021-12-28
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana15.0514.8631-1.24%16.17+7.44%0.1029✗0.651.6M2021-12-28
ETCEthereum Classicnative35.3334.8893-1.25%34.96-1.05%0.0303✗1.006.5M2021-12-28
DKAdKargoEthereum0.111840.110433-1.26%0.11446+2.34%0.0665✗1.0830k2021-12-28
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.720.710911-1.26%0.7165-0.49%0.0417✗1.197.7M2021-12-28
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum3.333.288-1.26%3.34+0.30%0.0429✗0.961.3M2021-12-28
AUCTIONBounceEthereum24.7424.4198-1.29%25.42+2.75%0.0597✗0.692.8M2021-12-28
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana9.969.831-1.29%10.76+8.03%0.1114✗0.741.9M2021-12-28
LEOLEO TokenEthereum3.6013.5543-1.30%3.6-0.03%0.0102✓-0.09372k2021-12-28
CBKCobakEthereum2.9072.869-1.31%2.98+2.51%0.0617✗0.83104k2021-12-28
MINAMina Protocolnative3.243.1964-1.34%3.52+8.64%0.1232✗0.94807k2021-12-28
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain3.19063.1467-1.38%3.3661+5.50%0.1017✗1.214.7M2021-12-28
TRACOriginTrailEthereum1.10441.0891-1.39%1.2569+13.81%0.1865✗1.523.3M2021-12-28
COTICOTIEthereum0.31320.308814-1.40%0.3781+20.72%0.2415✗1.374.9M2021-12-28
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum1.191.1733-1.40%1.18-0.84%0.0341✗1.002.4M2021-12-28
LSKLiskEthereum2.43472.4004-1.41%2.4846+2.05%0.0660✗1.11169k2021-12-28
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.05620.0554-1.42%0.05427-3.43%0.0096✓1.0622k2021-12-28
METRONOMEMETRONOME4.97794.9068-1.43%4.8047-3.48%0.0015✓0.6931k2021-12-28
GTGateEthereum6.04465.9574-1.44%6.459+6.86%0.1022✗0.754.9M2021-12-28
IMXImmutableEthereum4.614.5432-1.45%4.87+5.64%0.0979✗1.002.5M2021-12-28
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos23.6523.3052-1.46%26.57+12.35%0.1557✗0.8741.0M2021-12-28
BANDBandEthereum5.325.2422-1.46%5.34+0.38%0.0508✗1.142.8M2021-12-28
DEXEDeXeEthereum12.2412.0562-1.50%12.05-1.55%0.0089✓-0.295.7M2021-12-28
ZENHorizenBase64.3763.4034-1.50%63.32-1.63%0.0389✗1.421.9M2021-12-28
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.70970.698906-1.52%0.6659-6.17%0.0151✓1.1715.1M2021-12-28
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0616640.060725-1.52%0.05923-3.95%0.0160✗1.4413.0M2021-12-28
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.28421.2642-1.56%1.3011+1.32%0.0588✗1.061.6M2021-12-28
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana7.77.5798-1.56%7.57-1.69%0.0166✗0.631.1M2021-12-28
CTKShentuOsmosis1.7761.7482-1.57%1.664-6.31%0.0131✓1.286.8M2021-12-28
XYMSymbolnative0.24310.239282-1.57%0.2158-11.23%0.0898✓0.47428k2021-12-28
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum97.2795.7265-1.59%99.74+2.54%0.0685✗0.969.8M2021-12-28
ZECZcashZcash162.44159.8519-1.59%149.45-8.00%0.0310✓1.2813.6M2021-12-28
MOVRMoonriverBase183.964180.9754-1.62%190.178+3.38%0.0773✗0.97853k2021-12-28
KSMKusamaHydration267.01262.6557-1.63%294.8+10.41%0.1453✗1.051.5M2021-12-28
CHZChilizEthereum0.28030.275721-1.63%0.3033+8.21%0.1306✗1.247.0M2021-12-28
ARPAARPAEthereum0.09920.097575-1.64%0.1045+5.34%0.1073✗1.363.3M2021-12-28
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum6.13546.0272-1.76%6.2683+2.17%0.0710✗1.12833k2021-12-28
XVGVergenative0.017350.017033-1.82%0.0176+1.44%0.0661✗1.173.1M2021-12-28
API3Api3Ethereum4.944.8495-1.83%4.56-7.69%0.0331✓1.001.9M2021-12-28
BICOBiconomyEthereum3.613.5437-1.84%4.38+21.33%0.2403✗1.0012.1M2021-12-28
AMPAmpEthereum0.048380.04748-1.86%0.05063+4.65%0.0904✗0.9215.8M2021-12-28
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.8333.7611-1.88%3.891+1.51%0.0624✗1.003.6M2021-12-28
KCSKuCoinnative21.87521.4597-1.90%21.506-1.69%0.0494✗1.6622.7M2021-12-28
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum5.665.552-1.91%4.5-20.49%0.1816✓1.007.1M2021-12-28
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.102290.10032-1.93%0.08977-12.24%0.0683✓1.516.8M2021-12-28
LPTLivepeerEthereum36.5335.8263-1.93%38.45+5.26%0.1198✗1.735.5M2021-12-28
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.36970.36248-1.95%0.3842+3.92%0.0950✗1.306.6M2021-12-28
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum40.9240.1131-1.97%39.7-2.98%0.0424✗1.8513.1M2021-12-28
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.104310.102245-1.98%0.10316-1.10%0.0247✗0.56143k2021-12-28
XTZTezosTezos4.23564.1516-1.98%4.4909+6.03%0.1150✗1.284.7M2021-12-28
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum10.25810.0506-2.02%9.798-4.48%0.0061✓0.68388k2021-12-28
RADRadworksEthereum9.799.5905-2.04%11.66+19.10%0.2223✗0.951.9M2021-12-28
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum2.4372.3867-2.06%2.754+13.01%0.1689✗0.913.2M2021-12-28
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.018060.017685-2.08%0.01651-8.58%0.0338✓1.233.6M2021-12-28
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain5.01094.9055-2.10%5.0292+0.37%0.0638✗1.375.2M2021-12-28
CELLCellframeEthereum1.1321.108-2.12%1.027-9.28%0.0475✓1.00215k2021-12-28
CTSICartesiEthereum0.67120.656956-2.12%0.7106+5.87%0.1135✗1.237.1M2021-12-28
CVCCivicEthereum0.33280.325607-2.16%0.342+2.76%0.0744✗0.89544k2021-12-28
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.44850.438785-2.17%0.4301-4.10%0.0204✓1.421.8M2021-12-28
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000032850.000032125-2.21%0.00003492+6.30%0.1119✗1.001.8M2021-12-28
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.6240.61014-2.22%0.64+2.56%0.0819✗1.203.2M2021-12-28
SCSiacoinnative0.015760.015408-2.23%0.01563-0.82%0.0403✗0.911.6M2021-12-28
BATBasic AttentionEthereum1.16641.1403-2.24%1.2203+4.62%0.1161✗1.701.5M2021-12-28
GITCOINGITCOIN9.4639.2491-2.26%14.59+54.18%0.4522✗-0.13119k2021-12-28
UMAUMAEthereum98.7861-2.38%9.59+6.56%0.1186✗1.094.1M2021-12-28
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.019710.019241-2.38%0.01993+1.12%0.0486✗0.4761k2021-12-28
HIVEHivenative1.47581.4407-2.38%1.6115+9.20%0.1487✗1.2911.9M2021-12-28
MASKMask NetworkEthereum10.9310.6694-2.38%11.57+5.86%0.0954✗0.514.1M2021-12-28
IOTAIOTAIOTA1.31471.2817-2.51%1.4291+8.70%0.1381✗1.0323.6M2021-12-28
BFCBifrostEthereum0.2060.200744-2.55%0.2085+1.21%0.0834✗1.6034k2021-12-28
YFIyearn.financeEthereum34,696.9933,810.58-2.55%28,691.22-17.31%0.1485✓0.556.8M2021-12-28
LCXLCXEthereum0.22240.216547-2.63%0.1923-13.53%0.0861✓1.154.2M2021-12-28
STORJStorjEthereum1.80941.7614-2.65%1.8135+0.22%0.0492✗0.711.4M2021-12-28
CRVCurve DAOEthereum4.624.4971-2.66%4.72+2.16%0.0860✗1.3228.7M2021-12-28
UOSUltraEthereum1.50071.4569-2.91%1.6826+12.13%0.1727✗1.017.8M2021-12-28
GTCGitcoinEthereum9.549.2617-2.92%14.64+53.46%0.4559✗-0.073.7M2021-12-28
MANADecentralandEthereum3.28693.1898-2.95%3.3399+1.61%0.0703✗0.8610.1M2021-12-28
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.097770.094797-3.04%0.07538-22.90%0.1945✓1.2222.6M2021-12-28
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.0382970.037059-3.23%0.033967-11.31%0.0580✓1.0215.0M2021-12-28
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche123.27119.168-3.33%107.05-13.16%0.0764✓1.09164.3M2021-12-28
LRCLoopringEthereum2.40152.3177-3.49%2.0752-13.59%0.0544✓1.972.4M2021-12-28
SPELLSpellEthereum0.022940.022123-3.56%0.02187-4.66%0.0169✓1.0033.0M2021-12-28
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.6020.576772-4.19%0.7896+31.16%0.3655✗1.8112.4M2021-12-28
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.