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2021-12-20 · +7d

gru_s5 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 135 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.2171
135 of 135 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+12.78%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
26.7%
in alpha space · 8.9% on raw price
BTC over horizon
+8.08%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (135 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▴pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.53720.50477-6.04%0.8843+64.61%0.4181✗1.8310.2M2021-12-27
YFIyearn.financeEthereum36,818.4335,000.80-4.94%31,759.20-13.74%0.1435✓0.606.2M2021-12-27
LCXLCXEthereum0.2190.209822-4.19%0.21-4.11%0.0898✓1.173.9M2021-12-27
SPELLSpellEthereum0.018090.017338-4.16%0.0262+44.83%0.3352✗1.0030.7M2021-12-27
MASKMask NetworkEthereum10.4510.089-3.45%12.74+21.91%0.1948✗0.504.2M2021-12-27
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.0358470.034673-3.27%0.037325+4.12%0.0045✓1.0115.0M2021-12-27
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.019250.018744-2.63%0.02154+11.90%0.0963✗0.5567k2021-12-27
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum10.2419.9773-2.58%9.799-4.32%0.0696✓0.66388k2021-12-27
BFCBifrostEthereum0.194660.189877-2.46%0.22849+17.38%0.0578✗1.6434k2021-12-27
CRVCurve DAOEthereum4.114.0111-2.41%5.28+28.47%0.1722✗1.3228.7M2021-12-27
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000031220.000030484-2.36%0.00003905+25.08%0.1699✗1.001.9M2021-12-27
MANADecentralandEthereum3.19013.115-2.36%3.7429+17.33%0.1158✗0.8710.9M2021-12-27
LPTLivepeerEthereum34.0933.2979-2.32%43.58+27.84%0.1332✗1.756.0M2021-12-27
HIVEHivenative1.41.3675-2.32%1.852+32.29%0.2004✗1.3212.4M2021-12-27
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.8013.7139-2.29%4.312+13.44%0.0716✗1.003.7M2021-12-27
SCSiacoinnative0.014930.0146-2.21%0.01713+14.74%0.0888✗0.911.9M2021-12-27
GTCGitcoinEthereum9.018.8155-2.16%14.16+57.16%0.4865✗-0.163.7M2021-12-27
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum40.3739.5038-2.15%44.44+10.08%0.0325✓1.9313.8M2021-12-27
API3Api3Ethereum4.794.688-2.13%5.13+7.10%0.0124✓1.001.8M2021-12-27
UMAUMAEthereum8.758.5694-2.06%10.75+22.86%0.1410✗1.103.9M2021-12-27
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche113.55111.224-2.05%113.96+0.36%0.0642✓1.14164.3M2021-12-27
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum1.191.1659-2.03%1.32+10.92%0.0464✗1.002.3M2021-12-27
UOSUltraEthereum1.38951.3616-2.01%1.7264+24.25%0.1602✗0.997.8M2021-12-27
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum5.765.6473-1.96%5.06-12.15%0.1875✓1.009.3M2021-12-27
DEXEDeXeEthereum12.1411.9039-1.95%13.03+7.33%0.1161✗-0.335.9M2021-12-27
BATBasic AttentionEthereum1.10761.0861-1.94%1.3823+24.80%0.1035✗1.771.5M2021-12-27
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.6070.59532-1.92%0.723+19.11%0.0978✗1.243.4M2021-12-27
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana15.315.013-1.88%16.81+9.87%0.0591✗0.691.6M2021-12-27
GITCOINGITCOIN8.9558.7902-1.84%14.106+57.52%0.4900✗-0.22119k2021-12-27
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain3.16673.1085-1.84%3.6103+14.01%0.0540✗1.234.7M2021-12-27
STORJStorjEthereum1.62641.5969-1.81%2.0541+26.30%0.2016✗0.651.4M2021-12-27
RADRadworksEthereum9.539.3605-1.78%11.09+16.37%0.0951✗0.962.0M2021-12-27
MINAMina Protocolnative3.163.106-1.71%3.86+22.15%0.1411✗0.98821k2021-12-27
IMXImmutableEthereum4.284.207-1.71%5.5+28.50%0.1903✗1.002.8M2021-12-27
LEOLEO TokenEthereum3.57423.515-1.66%3.4608-3.17%0.0080✓-0.10372k2021-12-27
ZECZcashZcash157.02154.4774-1.62%169.76+8.11%0.0132✓1.3813.6M2021-12-27
IOTAIOTAIOTA1.07991.0625-1.61%1.3793+27.72%0.1867✗0.9623.6M2021-12-27
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana7.947.8133-1.60%8.01+0.88%0.0272✓0.671.1M2021-12-27
AMPAmpEthereum0.046640.045899-1.59%0.05341+14.52%0.0775✗0.9515.8M2021-12-27
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.054060.053211-1.57%0.05816+7.58%0.0011✓1.1322k2021-12-27
LRCLoopringEthereum2.01891.9872-1.57%2.2578+11.83%0.0246✓1.962.3M2021-12-27
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum2.3122.2757-1.57%3.08+33.22%0.2315✗0.923.3M2021-12-27
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.099140.097641-1.51%0.11486+15.86%0.1215✗0.53143k2021-12-27
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain4.8884.8167-1.46%5.2921+8.27%0.0129✓1.385.2M2021-12-27
FTTFTXEthereum40.5739.9796-1.46%42.6+5.00%0.0195✓1.0725.2M2021-12-27
CTSICartesiEthereum0.62860.619603-1.43%0.8111+29.03%0.1741✗1.227.7M2021-12-27
CVCCivicEthereum0.31750.312958-1.43%0.3756+18.30%0.1144✗0.88693k2021-12-27
KCSKuCoinnative21.10320.8121-1.38%22.976+8.88%0.0350✓1.7223.4M2021-12-27
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.62220.613821-1.35%0.7375+18.53%0.0881✗1.2314.9M2021-12-27
TRACOriginTrailEthereum1.04831.0346-1.31%1.3056+24.54%0.1147✗1.523.4M2021-12-27
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV121.71120.1431-1.29%127.41+4.68%0.0187✓1.002.5M2021-12-27
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.08360.082532-1.28%0.0897+7.30%0.0031✓1.1124k2021-12-27
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.35320.348713-1.27%0.4183+18.43%0.0805✗1.306.8M2021-12-27
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0579810.057255-1.25%0.063833+10.09%0.0076✓1.5013.8M2021-12-27
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum92.6391.4828-1.24%107.04+15.56%0.0831✗0.9510.6M2021-12-27
GTGateEthereum5.83545.7639-1.23%6.8395+17.21%0.1076✗0.825.1M2021-12-27
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.20370.201252-1.20%0.2194+7.71%0.0181✗0.88756k2021-12-27
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana9.659.534-1.20%11.16+15.65%0.1004✗0.741.9M2021-12-27
CTKShentuOsmosis1.6711.6513-1.18%1.884+12.75%0.0318✗1.297.6M2021-12-27
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.017280.017077-1.17%0.01876+8.56%0.0035✓1.263.6M2021-12-27
XTZTezosTezos4.10644.0584-1.17%5.1016+24.24%0.1264✗1.324.7M2021-12-27
XVGVergenative0.016640.016449-1.15%0.01908+14.66%0.0565✗1.183.1M2021-12-27
LSKLiskEthereum2.25632.2308-1.13%2.5471+12.89%0.0406✗1.18169k2021-12-27
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.089010.088005-1.13%0.09816+10.28%0.0036✓1.456.7M2021-12-27
AUCTIONBounceEthereum23.7523.4844-1.12%26.71+12.46%0.0463✗1.062.9M2021-12-27
COTICOTIEthereum0.30170.298411-1.09%0.4014+33.05%0.1823✗1.474.9M2021-12-27
ETCEthereum Classicnative34.5434.1656-1.08%37.61+8.89%0.0139✗1.066.5M2021-12-27
NMRNumeraireEthereum31.9931.6469-1.07%34.59+8.13%0.0376✗0.66754k2021-12-27
XYMSymbolnative0.24050.237925-1.07%0.2391-0.58%0.0308✓0.46434k2021-12-27
METRONOMEMETRONOME4.9014.8505-1.03%4.9574+1.15%0.0383✓0.7731k2021-12-27
ZENHorizenBase61.4960.857-1.03%70.72+15.01%0.0310✗1.532.2M2021-12-27
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.13030.128973-1.02%0.1453+11.51%0.0345✗1.09603k2021-12-27
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana8.698.6039-0.99%9.33+7.36%0.0195✗0.79838k2021-12-27
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum3.233.1989-0.96%3.6+11.46%0.0411✗0.991.3M2021-12-27
KSMKusamaHydration263.85261.3455-0.95%322.27+22.14%0.1237✗1.101.5M2021-12-27
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.2391.2273-0.95%1.415+14.21%0.0582✗1.081.6M2021-12-27
BANDBandEthereum5.065.012-0.95%5.87+16.01%0.0663✗1.182.8M2021-12-27
XEMNEMnative0.12490.123727-0.94%0.1391+11.37%0.0315✗1.10202k2021-12-27
XMRMoneroMonero188.84187.1311-0.90%220.72+16.88%0.0890✗0.982.9M2021-12-27
BTCBitcoinBitcoin46,926.0746,502.14-0.90%50,717.77+8.08%0.0091✓1.00750.8M2021-12-27
SOLSolanaSolana174.06172.496-0.90%195.74+12.46%0.0473✗1.02281.0M2021-12-27
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.1671790.165681-0.90%0.187814+12.34%0.0387✗1.125.3M2021-12-27
XECeCashnative0.000106380.000105438-0.89%0.00011859+11.48%0.0398✗1.0013.4M2021-12-27
LTCLitecoinLitecoin152.71151.369-0.88%155.78+2.01%0.0826✓1.4360.7M2021-12-27
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.42130.417638-0.87%0.4709+11.77%0.0119✗1.391.8M2021-12-27
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum46,868.2046,469.51-0.85%51,195.60+9.23%0.0199✗0.9915k2021-12-27
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand1.29781.2868-0.85%1.6631+28.15%0.1751✗1.0535.8M2021-12-27
RLCiExec RLCEthereum2.772.7469-0.84%3.39+22.38%0.1107✗1.283.0M2021-12-27
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum5.86295.8154-0.81%6.874+17.24%0.0752✗1.18833k2021-12-27
TRXTRONTron0.077610.077013-0.77%0.081167+4.58%0.0237✓0.98798k2021-12-27
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain1.1951.1858-0.77%1.325+10.88%0.0339✗0.994.6M2021-12-27
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.7550840.749325-0.76%0.876137+16.03%0.0728✗1.074.8M2021-12-27
DASHDashDash127.33126.361-0.76%151.04+18.62%0.0813✗1.252.2M2021-12-27
BELBella ProtocolEthereum1.4091.3983-0.76%1.686+19.66%0.0846✗1.325.6M2021-12-27
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos21.5321.3672-0.76%29.68+37.85%0.2643✗0.8342.5M2021-12-27
ETHEthereumEthereum3,946.163,916.36-0.76%4,038.64+2.34%0.0534✓1.08768.5M2021-12-27
MOVRMoonriverBase176.9138175.6152-0.73%211.5789+19.59%0.0975✗1.141.1M2021-12-27
SUNSun TokenTron0.0222820.022123-0.71%0.024165+8.45%0.0074✓1.231.9M2021-12-27
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana5.0334.9971-0.71%5.5+9.28%0.0460✗0.641.0M2021-12-27
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana8.468.4058-0.64%9.45+11.70%0.0650✗0.671.1M2021-12-27
DKAdKargoEthereum0.108770.108075-0.64%0.12484+14.77%0.0575✗1.1231k2021-12-27
OGOG Fan TokenSolana3.9393.914-0.64%4.744+20.44%0.1284✗0.82780k2021-12-27
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash430.28427.5693-0.63%465.3+8.14%0.0030✓1.0514.2M2021-12-27
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.66920.665075-0.62%0.7943+18.69%0.0842✗1.207.8M2021-12-27
ADACardanoCardano1.23811.2305-0.61%1.5164+22.48%0.1288✗1.03131.8M2021-12-27
XLMStellarStellar0.258390.256833-0.60%0.300288+16.22%0.0794✗0.9940.4M2021-12-27
ARPAARPAEthereum0.0950.094435-0.60%0.1161+22.21%0.1009✗1.363.4M2021-12-27
COMPCompoundEthereum188.43187.4061-0.54%237.34+25.96%0.1538✗1.06236k2021-12-27
CBKCobakEthereum2.8382.8231-0.53%3.267+15.12%0.0800✗0.85104k2021-12-27
QNTQuantEthereum174.01173.0969-0.52%206.05+18.41%0.1051✗0.8912.3M2021-12-27
AAVEAaveEthereum181.01180.0779-0.51%277.6+53.36%0.3570✗0.9811.0M2021-12-27
UNIUniswapEthereum14.5214.4491-0.49%19.11+31.61%0.1800✗1.2814.2M2021-12-27
SKLSKALEEthereum0.19910.198157-0.47%0.2396+20.34%0.0958✗1.218.9M2021-12-27
FILFilecoinFilecoin34.8634.7108-0.43%39.2+12.45%0.0416✗1.0321.2M2021-12-27
MTLMetal DAOMetal L22.042.0314-0.42%2.337+14.56%0.0536✗1.113.4M2021-12-27
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.06520.064946-0.39%0.0741+13.65%0.0263✗1.362.9M2021-12-27
DODODODOEthereum0.8110.807959-0.37%1.017+25.40%0.1161✗1.4710.9M2021-12-27
QTUMQtumQtum8.97188.9387-0.37%9.9988+11.45%0.0023✓1.47356k2021-12-27
XVSVenusEthereum14.8414.7859-0.36%16.84+13.48%0.0406✗1.156.6M2021-12-27
SNXSynthetixEthereum5.115.0916-0.36%6.44+26.03%0.1513✗1.085.5M2021-12-27
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum1.511.5048-0.35%2.01+33.11%0.1583✗1.692.0M2021-12-27
1INCH1INCHEthereum2.392.3821-0.33%2.8+17.15%0.0872✗0.964.9M2021-12-27
NANOnanopayBase3.28883.2792-0.29%3.9652+20.57%0.1091✗1.04798k2021-12-27
TRBTellor TributesEthereum30.3830.3008-0.26%39.59+30.32%0.1501✗1.511.6M2021-12-27
LINKChainlinkEthereum18.7818.735-0.24%23.02+22.58%0.1060✗1.2969.7M2021-12-27
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana3.7113.7042-0.18%4.361+17.52%0.1105✗0.68544k2021-12-27
SUSHISushiEthereum5.485.4705-0.17%9.15+66.97%0.4129✗1.3112.7M2021-12-27
CHZChilizEthereum0.26740.267043-0.13%0.3372+26.10%0.1348✗1.277.0M2021-12-27
DOTPolkadotPolkadot24.0824.0524-0.11%30.97+28.61%0.1559✗1.2575.1M2021-12-27
BICOBiconomyEthereum3.23.209+0.28%5.18+61.87%0.4011✓1.0011.9M2021-12-27
DYDXdYdXCosmos7.4117.4483+0.50%10.034+35.39%0.1933✓1.35635k2021-12-27
PHAPHALAEthereum0.3490.350941+0.56%0.466+33.52%0.2259✓0.7454k2021-12-27
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum21.7521.909+0.73%28.24+29.84%0.1506✓1.3320.8M2021-12-27
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon1.52211.5485+1.74%2.0783+36.54%0.2577✓0.478.8M2021-12-27
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.065580.066817+1.89%0.08443+28.74%0.1570✓0.9922.6M2021-12-27
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.