2023-08-05 · +30d
gru_s4 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 145 tokens predicted
These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
rank IC
–
0 of 145 tokens assessed
long-short decile
–
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
–
in alpha space · – on raw price
BTC over horizon
–
the unhedgeable market factor
Predicted vs actual (145 rows, sorted by pred)
| token | name | chain | anchor px | pred px ▴ | pred Δ | actual px | actual Δ | alpha err | hit | β90d | vol 30d | target |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| YGG | Yield Guild Games | Ethereum | 0.458 | 0.427827 | -6.59% | – | pending | – | – | 1.29 | 5,609 | 2023-09-04 |
| SHIB | Shiba Inu | Ethereum | 0.00000998 | 0.000009469 | -5.12% | – | pending | – | – | 0.93 | 370k | 2023-09-04 |
| LUNC | Terra Luna Classic | native | 0.00007707 | 0.000073284 | -4.91% | – | pending | – | – | 1.00 | 3,383 | 2023-09-04 |
| STEEM | Steem | native | 0.1865 | 0.177393 | -4.88% | – | pending | – | – | 0.64 | 405k | 2023-09-04 |
| ORDI | ORDI | Solana | 5.622 | 5.3636 | -4.60% | – | pending | – | – | 0.54 | 239 | 2023-09-04 |
| QTUM | Qtum | Qtum | 2.5282 | 2.4123 | -4.59% | – | pending | – | – | 1.15 | 8,795 | 2023-09-04 |
| POKT | Pocket Network | Ethereum | 0.0264 | 0.025202 | -4.54% | – | pending | – | – | 0.91 | 31k | 2023-09-04 |
| POR | Portugal National Team Fan Token | Solana | 0.9632 | 0.920688 | -4.41% | – | pending | – | – | 0.49 | 14k | 2023-09-04 |
| STORJ | Storj | Ethereum | 0.2889 | 0.27647 | -4.30% | – | pending | – | – | 1.04 | 19k | 2023-09-04 |
| XEC | eCash | native | 0.00002907 | 0.000027822 | -4.29% | – | pending | – | – | 0.92 | 4.3M | 2023-09-04 |
| GALA | GALA | Ethereum | 0.0244 | 0.023385 | -4.16% | – | pending | – | – | 1.56 | 407k | 2023-09-04 |
| USTC | TerraClassicUSD | Terra | 0.015079 | 0.014459 | -4.11% | – | pending | – | – | 1.22 | 4.1M | 2023-09-04 |
| PROM | Prom | Ethereum | 4.05 | 3.887 | -4.02% | – | pending | – | – | 0.91 | 142k | 2023-09-04 |
| LSK | Lisk | Ethereum | 0.857192 | 0.822838 | -4.01% | – | pending | – | – | 0.78 | 30k | 2023-09-04 |
| GMX | GMX | Arbitrum | 52.5 | 50.4164 | -3.97% | – | pending | – | – | 1.32 | 31k | 2023-09-04 |
| ADX | heyAura | Ethereum | 0.13649 | 0.131083 | -3.96% | – | pending | – | – | 0.86 | 401 | 2023-09-04 |
| MINA | Mina Protocol | native | 0.436 | 0.418851 | -3.93% | – | pending | – | – | 1.45 | 50k | 2023-09-04 |
| NANO | nanopay | Base | 0.680102 | 0.653397 | -3.93% | – | pending | – | – | 0.52 | 21k | 2023-09-04 |
| DYDX | dYdX | Cosmos | 2.06 | 1.9794 | -3.91% | – | pending | – | – | 1.44 | 76k | 2023-09-04 |
| CTK | Shentu | Osmosis | 0.564 | 0.542131 | -3.88% | – | pending | – | – | 0.85 | 363k | 2023-09-04 |
| TWT | Trust Wallet | Binance Smart Chain | 0.9019 | 0.867585 | -3.80% | – | pending | – | – | 0.78 | 1.3M | 2023-09-04 |
| ALPINE | Alpine F1 Team Fan Token | Binance Smart Chain | 2.024 | 1.9474 | -3.79% | – | pending | – | – | 0.84 | 898k | 2023-09-04 |
| XEM | NEM | native | 0.02963 | 0.028512 | -3.77% | – | pending | – | – | 1.07 | 19k | 2023-09-04 |
| MTL | Metal DAO | Metal L2 | 1.416 | 1.3628 | -3.76% | – | pending | – | – | 0.84 | 4.2M | 2023-09-04 |
| NAKA | Nakamoto Games | Polygon | 0.49066 | 0.472265 | -3.75% | – | pending | – | – | 1.39 | 2.0M | 2023-09-04 |
| JUV | Juventus Fan Token | Solana | 2.328 | 2.2409 | -3.74% | – | pending | – | – | 0.81 | 561k | 2023-09-04 |
| NIM | Nimiq | native | 0.0008803 | 0.000847572 | -3.72% | – | pending | – | – | 0.76 | 8,568 | 2023-09-04 |
| BAT | Basic Attention | Ethereum | 0.20789 | 0.200243 | -3.68% | – | pending | – | – | 1.20 | 35k | 2023-09-04 |
| ENJ | Enjin Coin | Ethereum | 0.288 | 0.277543 | -3.63% | – | pending | – | – | 1.34 | 21k | 2023-09-04 |
| IOST | IOST | Binance Smart Chain | 0.008777 | 0.00846 | -3.61% | – | pending | – | – | 1.22 | 9 | 2023-09-04 |
| PSG | Paris Saint-Germain Fan Token | Solana | 3.72 | 3.587 | -3.58% | – | pending | – | – | 0.73 | 885k | 2023-09-04 |
| UOS | Ultra | Ethereum | 0.17904 | 0.172694 | -3.54% | – | pending | – | – | 1.00 | 84k | 2023-09-04 |
| CHR | Chromia | Ethereum | 0.1109 | 0.107013 | -3.51% | – | pending | – | – | 1.68 | 524 | 2023-09-04 |
| IQ | IQ | Ethereum | 0.00558 | 0.005387 | -3.46% | – | pending | – | – | 1.00 | 4 | 2023-09-04 |
| IOTX | IoTeX | Ethereum | 0.017091 | 0.016502 | -3.44% | – | pending | – | – | 1.00 | 144 | 2023-09-04 |
| POND | Marlin | Ethereum | 0.00832 | 0.008034 | -3.44% | – | pending | – | – | 1.13 | 4,410 | 2023-09-04 |
| MAV | Maverick Protocol | Ethereum | 0.2666 | 0.257486 | -3.42% | – | pending | – | – | 1.03 | 6.0M | 2023-09-04 |
| XCH | Chia | native | 30.558 | 29.5153 | -3.41% | – | pending | – | – | 1.00 | 56 | 2023-09-04 |
| DUSK | DUSK | Ethereum | 0.1199 | 0.115824 | -3.40% | – | pending | – | – | 1.74 | 1.0M | 2023-09-04 |
| DEXE | DeXe | Ethereum | 2.218 | 2.1439 | -3.34% | – | pending | – | – | 0.79 | 176k | 2023-09-04 |
| METRONOME | METRONOME | 1.2238 | 1.1833 | -3.31% | – | pending | – | – | -0.10 | 9,775 | 2023-09-04 | |
| WAXP | WAX | Ethereum | 0.049917 | 0.048303 | -3.23% | – | pending | – | – | 0.72 | 160 | 2023-09-04 |
| HIVE | Hive | native | 0.3508 | 0.339507 | -3.22% | – | pending | – | – | 0.92 | 428k | 2023-09-04 |
| BCHSV | Bitcoin Cash SV | 35.984 | 34.8372 | -3.19% | – | pending | – | – | 1.34 | 492k | 2023-09-04 | |
| MBL | MovieBloc | Ontology | 0.003583 | 0.003469 | -3.18% | – | pending | – | – | 0.33 | 159 | 2023-09-04 |
| LUNA | Terra | Terra 2 | 0.00007772 | 0.000075259 | -3.17% | – | pending | – | – | 1.17 | 96k | 2023-09-04 |
| ETHW | EthereumPoW | native | 1.7169 | 1.6626 | -3.16% | – | pending | – | – | 1.00 | 127 | 2023-09-04 |
| PEOPLE | ConstitutionDAO | Ethereum | 0.01273 | 0.012329 | -3.15% | – | pending | – | – | 1.55 | 779k | 2023-09-04 |
| GLMR | Moonbeam | Base | 0.227 | 0.219878 | -3.14% | – | pending | – | – | 1.08 | 16k | 2023-09-04 |
| CELR | Celer Network | Ethereum | 0.013971 | 0.013535 | -3.12% | – | pending | – | – | 1.67 | 1,379 | 2023-09-04 |
| WBETH | Wrapped Beacon ETH | Ethereum | 1,858.89 | 1,801.23 | -3.10% | – | pending | – | – | 1.00 | 27k | 2023-09-04 |
| EWT | Energy Web Token | Ethereum | 2.404 | 2.3302 | -3.07% | – | pending | – | – | 0.44 | 56k | 2023-09-04 |
| CBK | Cobak | Ethereum | 0.63456 | 0.61522 | -3.05% | – | pending | – | – | 0.66 | 11k | 2023-09-04 |
| VSYS | V.SYSTEMS | native | 0.00104 | 0.001008 | -3.05% | – | pending | – | – | 1.10 | 4,077 | 2023-09-04 |
| OMG | OMG Network | Ethereum | 0.549496 | 0.532927 | -3.02% | – | pending | – | – | 1.70 | 26k | 2023-09-04 |
| RUNE | THORChain | THORChain | 0.936 | 0.907814 | -3.01% | – | pending | – | – | 1.31 | 38k | 2023-09-04 |
| TKO | Tokocrypto | Binance Smart Chain | 0.2409 | 0.233661 | -3.01% | – | pending | – | – | 1.07 | 399k | 2023-09-04 |
| DKA | dKargo | Ethereum | 0.03064 | 0.029735 | -2.95% | – | pending | – | – | 0.71 | 9,689 | 2023-09-04 |
| GNS | Syli | 4.605 | 4.4692 | -2.95% | – | pending | – | – | 1.20 | 615k | 2023-09-04 | |
| ONT | Ontology | native | 0.18848 | 0.182995 | -2.91% | – | pending | – | – | 1.00 | 33 | 2023-09-04 |
| MOVR | Moonriver | Base | 4.8827 | 4.7407 | -2.91% | – | pending | – | – | 1.20 | 11k | 2023-09-04 |
| BTT | BitTorrent | Ethereum | 4.60e-7 | 4.47e-7 | -2.89% | – | pending | – | – | 0.17 | 6,599 | 2023-09-04 |
| REQ | Request | Ethereum | 0.07633 | 0.074145 | -2.86% | – | pending | – | – | 0.97 | 66 | 2023-09-04 |
| ATM | Atletico Madrid Fan Token | Solana | 2.687 | 2.6102 | -2.86% | – | pending | – | – | 0.79 | 1.0M | 2023-09-04 |
| QKC | QuarkChain | Ethereum | 0.009822 | 0.009542 | -2.85% | – | pending | – | – | 1.05 | 318k | 2023-09-04 |
| ORBS | Orbs | Ethereum | 0.02635 | 0.025601 | -2.84% | – | pending | – | – | 0.88 | 3,942 | 2023-09-04 |
| BONE | Bone ShibaSwap | Ethereum | 1.7285 | 1.6794 | -2.84% | – | pending | – | – | 1.00 | 2,583 | 2023-09-04 |
| HOT | Holo | Ethereum | 0.001261 | 0.001225 | -2.83% | – | pending | – | – | 0.72 | 318 | 2023-09-04 |
| CRO | Cronos | Ethereum | 0.05763 | 0.056006 | -2.82% | – | pending | – | – | 0.38 | 7,434 | 2023-09-04 |
| FIS | Stafi | Ethereum | 0.2716 | 0.263992 | -2.80% | – | pending | – | – | 1.62 | 654 | 2023-09-04 |
| MANA | Decentraland | Ethereum | 0.36916 | 0.358823 | -2.80% | – | pending | – | – | 1.42 | 62k | 2023-09-04 |
| TFUEL | Theta Fuel | native | 0.041607 | 0.040445 | -2.79% | – | pending | – | – | 1.77 | 12 | 2023-09-04 |
| XTZ | Tezos | Tezos | 0.8038 | 0.781378 | -2.79% | – | pending | – | – | 1.05 | 73k | 2023-09-04 |
| VRA | Verasity | Ethereum | 0.004633 | 0.004504 | -2.78% | – | pending | – | – | 1.33 | 3,295 | 2023-09-04 |
| FIDA | Bonfida | Solana | 0.218 | 0.211969 | -2.77% | – | pending | – | – | 1.23 | 2,075 | 2023-09-04 |
| SC | Siacoin | native | 0.00384 | 0.003734 | -2.75% | – | pending | – | – | 1.14 | 76k | 2023-09-04 |
| KCS | KuCoin | native | 5.575 | 5.4229 | -2.73% | – | pending | – | – | 0.69 | 541k | 2023-09-04 |
| IOTA | IOTA | IOTA | 0.1704 | 0.165793 | -2.70% | – | pending | – | – | 1.03 | 812k | 2023-09-04 |
| BEL | Bella Protocol | Ethereum | 0.6492 | 0.631747 | -2.69% | – | pending | – | – | 1.18 | 1.5M | 2023-09-04 |
| SUN | Sun Token | Tron | 0.005493 | 0.005346 | -2.68% | – | pending | – | – | 0.68 | 8,070 | 2023-09-04 |
| LRC | Loopring | Ethereum | 0.213 | 0.207336 | -2.66% | – | pending | – | – | 1.27 | 16k | 2023-09-04 |
| KSM | Kusama | Hydration | 21.61 | 21.0377 | -2.65% | – | pending | – | – | 1.18 | 82k | 2023-09-04 |
| NEO | NEO | Neo | 8.4419 | 8.2203 | -2.62% | – | pending | – | – | 1.00 | 18 | 2023-09-04 |
| LQTY | Liquity | Ethereum | 1.046 | 1.0186 | -2.62% | – | pending | – | – | 1.12 | 355 | 2023-09-04 |
| SLP | Smooth Love Potion | Ethereum | 0.001592 | 0.001551 | -2.60% | – | pending | – | – | 1.43 | 109 | 2023-09-04 |
| ZIL | Zilliqa | Binance Smart Chain | 0.02024 | 0.019714 | -2.60% | – | pending | – | – | 1.00 | 126 | 2023-09-04 |
| DOGE | Dogecoin | Dogecoin | 0.075634 | 0.073684 | -2.58% | – | pending | – | – | 0.97 | 4.5M | 2023-09-04 |
| BORA | BORA | Klay Token | 0.14254 | 0.138901 | -2.55% | – | pending | – | – | 0.95 | 13k | 2023-09-04 |
| PHA | PHALA | Ethereum | 0.0915 | 0.089228 | -2.48% | – | pending | – | – | 1.08 | 4,576 | 2023-09-04 |
| GITCOIN | GITCOIN | 1.0172 | 0.992103 | -2.47% | – | pending | – | – | 1.64 | 14k | 2023-09-04 | |
| XYM | Symbol | native | 0.027997 | 0.027309 | -2.46% | – | pending | – | – | 0.54 | 13k | 2023-09-04 |
| OBI | Orbofi AI | Ethereum | 0.010065 | 0.00982 | -2.43% | – | pending | – | – | 0.98 | 4,006 | 2023-09-04 |
| SYN | Synapse | Ethereum | 0.5714 | 0.557521 | -2.43% | – | pending | – | – | 1.23 | 27k | 2023-09-04 |
| RDNT | Radiant Capital | Ethereum | 0.28174 | 0.274989 | -2.40% | – | pending | – | – | 1.80 | 488k | 2023-09-04 |
| ID | SPACE ID | Ethereum | 0.24225 | 0.236461 | -2.39% | – | pending | – | – | 1.85 | 4.9M | 2023-09-04 |
| TLM | Alien Worlds | Ethereum | 0.01067 | 0.010415 | -2.39% | – | pending | – | – | 1.74 | 501 | 2023-09-04 |
| WOO | WOO | Ethereum | 0.1723 | 0.168258 | -2.35% | – | pending | – | – | 1.86 | 9,791 | 2023-09-04 |
| DODO | DODO | Ethereum | 0.0932 | 0.091015 | -2.34% | – | pending | – | – | 1.50 | 539k | 2023-09-04 |
| BRISE | Bitgert | Ethereum | 2.58e-7 | 2.52e-7 | -2.32% | – | pending | – | – | 0.89 | 492k | 2023-09-04 |
| ONG | Ontology Gas | native | 0.2383 | 0.232812 | -2.30% | – | pending | – | – | 1.00 | 13 | 2023-09-04 |
| FET | Artificial Superintelligence Alliance | Ethereum | 0.1943 | 0.189839 | -2.30% | – | pending | – | – | 1.73 | 88k | 2023-09-04 |
| QUICK | Quickswap | Ethereum | 0.045803 | 0.044755 | -2.29% | – | pending | – | – | 1.19 | 177 | 2023-09-04 |
| OG | OG Fan Token | Solana | 3.717 | 3.6325 | -2.27% | – | pending | – | – | 1.36 | 1.4M | 2023-09-04 |
| XPR | XPR Network | Ethereum | 0.000888 | 0.000868298 | -2.22% | – | pending | – | – | 0.61 | 271k | 2023-09-04 |
| CKB | Nervos Network | native | 0.00292 | 0.002856 | -2.19% | – | pending | – | – | 0.90 | 701 | 2023-09-04 |
| NUM | Numbers Protocol | Ethereum | 0.025668 | 0.025127 | -2.11% | – | pending | – | – | 0.95 | 127 | 2023-09-04 |
| DGB | DigiByte | native | 0.007867 | 0.007702 | -2.10% | – | pending | – | – | 0.88 | 256 | 2023-09-04 |
| POLYX | Polymesh | native | 0.13059 | 0.127871 | -2.08% | – | pending | – | – | 1.00 | 524 | 2023-09-04 |
| JOE | JOE | Arbitrum | 0.30911 | 0.302728 | -2.06% | – | pending | – | – | 1.27 | 59 | 2023-09-04 |
| BTTC | BTTC | 4.70e-7 | 4.60e-7 | -2.02% | – | pending | – | – | 0.46 | 306k | 2023-09-04 | |
| XNO | Nano | native | 0.67969 | 0.665969 | -2.02% | – | pending | – | – | 1.00 | 13 | 2023-09-04 |
| CERE | Cere Network | Ethereum | 0.00307 | 0.003009 | -2.00% | – | pending | – | – | 0.38 | 36k | 2023-09-04 |
| BAR | FC Barcelona Fan Token | Solana | 2.639 | 2.5872 | -1.96% | – | pending | – | – | 0.31 | 594k | 2023-09-04 |
| LEO | LEO Token | Ethereum | 4.0426 | 3.9649 | -1.92% | – | pending | – | – | 0.26 | 111k | 2023-09-04 |
| ANKR | Ankr Network | Ethereum | 0.02445 | 0.023982 | -1.92% | – | pending | – | – | 1.48 | 17k | 2023-09-04 |
| AGI | Delysium | Ethereum | 0.054602 | 0.053556 | -1.92% | – | pending | – | – | 0.50 | 61k | 2023-09-04 |
| STRAX | Xertra | native | 0.46894 | 0.460114 | -1.88% | – | pending | – | – | 1.00 | 4 | 2023-09-04 |
| ACM | AC Milan Fan Token | Solana | 2.138 | 2.0979 | -1.88% | – | pending | – | – | 0.78 | 387k | 2023-09-04 |
| ELON | Dogelon Mars | Ethereum | 1.55e-7 | 1.52e-7 | -1.87% | – | pending | – | – | 1.54 | 1,147 | 2023-09-04 |
| XMR | Monero | Monero | 159.57 | 156.6031 | -1.86% | – | pending | – | – | 0.54 | 455k | 2023-09-04 |
| NEXO | NEXO | Ethereum | 0.643 | 0.631317 | -1.82% | – | pending | – | – | 0.57 | 494k | 2023-09-04 |
| SANTOS | Santos FC Fan Token | Binance Smart Chain | 3.114 | 3.0581 | -1.79% | – | pending | – | – | 1.01 | 969k | 2023-09-04 |
| PORTO | FC Porto | Binance Smart Chain | 2.191 | 2.1518 | -1.79% | – | pending | – | – | 0.87 | 911k | 2023-09-04 |
| RONIN | RONIN | Solana | 0.68422 | 0.672099 | -1.77% | – | pending | – | – | 0.92 | 10 | 2023-09-04 |
| LMWR | LimeWire | Ethereum | 0.0628 | 0.061689 | -1.77% | – | pending | – | – | 0.89 | 1,224 | 2023-09-04 |
| XVG | Verge | native | 0.004209 | 0.004137 | -1.72% | – | pending | – | – | 0.76 | 8.6M | 2023-09-04 |
| THETA | Theta Network | native | 0.7494 | 0.736565 | -1.71% | – | pending | – | – | 1.00 | 8 | 2023-09-04 |
| COMP | Compound | Ethereum | 57.31 | 56.3915 | -1.60% | – | pending | – | – | 1.20 | 14k | 2023-09-04 |
| LADYS | Milady Meme Coin | Ethereum | 2.91e-8 | 2.87e-8 | -1.56% | – | pending | – | – | 1.48 | 3,098 | 2023-09-04 |
| RVN | Ravencoin | native | 0.01781 | 0.017544 | -1.49% | – | pending | – | – | 2.00 | 85 | 2023-09-04 |
| CELL | Cellframe | Ethereum | 0.2049 | 0.201882 | -1.47% | – | pending | – | – | 1.33 | 34k | 2023-09-04 |
| CITY | Manchester City Fan Token | Solana | 3.337 | 3.2884 | -1.46% | – | pending | – | – | 0.76 | 804k | 2023-09-04 |
| ASTR | Astar | Ethereum | 0.0487 | 0.048019 | -1.40% | – | pending | – | – | 1.35 | 38k | 2023-09-04 |
| WBTC | Wrapped Bitcoin | Ethereum | 28,961.20 | 28,571.29 | -1.35% | – | pending | – | – | 0.97 | 4,494 | 2023-09-04 |
| GNO | Gnosis | Ethereum | 111.303 | 109.8315 | -1.32% | – | pending | – | – | 1.00 | 11 | 2023-09-04 |
| MED | Medibloc | Osmosis | 0.01225 | 0.012109 | -1.15% | – | pending | – | – | 0.61 | 10k | 2023-09-04 |
| RIF | Rootstock Infrastructure Framework | Ethereum | 0.0776 | 0.076735 | -1.12% | – | pending | – | – | 1.84 | 739k | 2023-09-04 |
| TRX | TRON | Tron | 0.07743 | 0.076601 | -1.07% | – | pending | – | – | 0.49 | 356k | 2023-09-04 |
| XVS | Venus | Ethereum | 4.42 | 4.3812 | -0.88% | – | pending | – | – | 1.42 | 870k | 2023-09-04 |
| BFC | Bifrost | Ethereum | 0.04169 | 0.041371 | -0.77% | – | pending | – | – | 0.61 | 9,832 | 2023-09-04 |
| LAZIO | Lazio Fan Token | Binance Smart Chain | 2.193 | 2.1794 | -0.62% | – | pending | – | – | 1.01 | 646k | 2023-09-04 |
| ASR | AS Roma Fan Token | Solana | 2.586 | 2.5702 | -0.61% | – | pending | – | – | 0.75 | 612k | 2023-09-04 |
| CWEB | Coinweb | Ethereum | 0.017873 | 0.017785 | -0.49% | – | pending | – | – | 0.34 | 54k | 2023-09-04 |
| GT | Gate | Ethereum | 4.1331 | 4.1307 | -0.06% | – | pending | – | – | 0.77 | 317k | 2023-09-04 |
| IDEX | IDEX | Ethereum | 0.04958 | 0.049583 | +0.01% | – | pending | – | – | 1.45 | 1,014 | 2023-09-04 |
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add
&limit=2000 to widen.