XCH

Chia · native · gru_s4

token id: #626
symbol: XCH
variant: –
chain: native
address
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2023-05-06
predictions: 3,642

Track record at +30d

assessed

370

of 400 predictions shown

direction hit

70.8%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.1555

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

+0.0012

actual -0.0875

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-21	oos	1.4765	1.4393	-2.52%	–	pending	–	–	0.83
2026-10-20	oos	1.512	1.4787	-2.20%	–	pending	–	–	0.85
2026-10-19	oos	1.5675	1.5243	-2.76%	–	pending	–	–	0.86
2026-10-18	oos	1.57	1.5279	-2.68%	–	pending	–	–	0.85
2026-10-17	oos	1.6035	1.5539	-3.09%	–	pending	–	–	0.84
2026-10-16	oos	1.6015	1.5486	-3.30%	–	pending	–	–	0.85
2026-10-15	oos	1.5965	1.5444	-3.26%	–	pending	–	–	0.84
2026-10-14	oos	1.576	1.5212	-3.48%	–	pending	–	–	0.84
2026-10-13	oos	1.6315	1.5772	-3.33%	–	pending	–	–	0.85
2026-10-12	oos	1.586	1.5275	-3.69%	–	pending	–	–	0.83
2026-10-11	oos	1.5905	1.5422	-3.03%	–	pending	–	–	0.81
2026-10-10	oos	1.5935	1.5391	-3.41%	–	pending	–	–	0.81
2026-10-09	oos	1.521	1.4817	-2.58%	–	pending	–	–	0.81
2026-10-08	oos	1.469	1.4393	-2.02%	–	pending	–	–	0.81
2026-10-07	oos	1.495	1.4737	-1.43%	–	pending	–	–	0.80
2026-10-06	oos	1.5675	1.5427	-1.58%	–	pending	–	–	0.78
2026-10-05	oos	1.5835	1.5474	-2.28%	–	pending	–	–	0.78
2026-10-04	oos	1.5855	1.554	-1.99%	–	pending	–	–	0.80
2026-10-03	oos	1.5745	1.5423	-2.04%	–	pending	–	–	0.80
2026-10-02	oos	1.534	1.5089	-1.63%	–	pending	–	–	0.80
2026-10-01	oos	1.599	1.5608	-2.39%	–	pending	–	–	0.79
2026-09-30	oos	1.625	1.5844	-2.50%	–	pending	–	–	0.78
2026-09-29	oos	1.593	1.5588	-2.15%	–	pending	–	–	0.77
2026-09-28	oos	1.558	1.5417	-1.05%	–	pending	–	–	0.77
2026-09-27	oos	1.5795	1.564	-0.98%	–	pending	–	–	0.67
2026-09-26	oos	1.649	1.6115	-2.27%	–	pending	–	–	0.66
2026-09-25	oos	1.6535	1.6163	-2.25%	–	pending	–	–	0.65
2026-09-24	oos	1.63	1.6134	-1.02%	–	pending	–	–	0.66
2026-09-23	oos	1.544	1.5518	+0.50%	–	pending	–	–	0.67
2026-09-22	oos	1.626	1.6334	+0.45%	–	pending	–	–	0.63
2026-09-21	oos	1.721	1.7276	+0.38%	1.4765	-14.21%	0.1269	✗	0.66
2026-09-20	oos	1.5395	1.5353	-0.28%	1.512	-1.79%	0.0272	✓	0.55
2026-09-19	oos	1.5355	1.5376	+0.14%	1.5675	+2.08%	0.0152	✓	0.55
2026-09-18	oos	1.5045	1.5112	+0.44%	1.57	+4.35%	0.0307	✓	0.54
2026-09-17	oos	1.4215	1.4184	-0.22%	1.6035	+12.80%	0.0919	✗	0.48
2026-09-16	oos	1.3805	1.3798	-0.05%	1.6015	+16.01%	0.1169	✗	0.47
2026-09-15	oos	1.367	1.3702	+0.23%	1.5965	+16.79%	0.1142	✓	0.47
2026-09-14	oos	1.471	1.473	+0.14%	1.576	+7.14%	0.0500	✓	0.41
2026-09-13	oos	1.479	1.4756	-0.23%	1.6315	+10.31%	0.0675	✗	0.42
2026-09-12	oos	1.494	1.5021	+0.54%	1.586	+6.16%	0.0311	✓	0.41
2026-09-11	oos	1.489	1.4962	+0.49%	1.5905	+6.82%	0.0286	✓	0.40
2026-09-10	oos	1.493	1.5061	+0.88%	1.5935	+6.73%	0.0221	✓	0.43
2026-09-09	oos	1.5705	1.5874	+1.08%	1.521	-3.15%	0.0640	✗	0.40
2026-09-08	oos	1.6185	1.6346	+1.00%	1.469	-9.24%	0.1232	✗	0.40
2026-09-07	oos	1.645	1.6758	+1.87%	1.495	-9.12%	0.1351	✗	0.41
2026-09-06	oos	1.4935	1.549	+3.72%	1.5675	+4.95%	0.0197	✓	0.50
2026-09-05	oos	1.4495	1.5093	+4.13%	1.5835	+9.24%	0.0123	✓	0.50
2026-09-04	oos	1.416	1.4838	+4.79%	1.5855	+11.97%	0.0186	✓	0.58
2026-09-03	oos	1.441	1.5226	+5.66%	1.5745	+9.26%	0.0087	✓	0.59
2026-09-02	oos	1.419	1.4742	+3.89%	1.534	+8.10%	0.0111	✓	0.57
2026-09-01	oos	1.448	1.5047	+3.92%	1.599	+10.43%	0.0085	✓	0.57
2026-08-31	oos	1.4235	1.4724	+3.43%	1.625	+14.16%	0.0632	✓	0.57
2026-08-30	oos	1.413	1.471	+4.10%	1.593	+12.74%	0.0312	✓	0.65
2026-08-29	oos	1.3835	1.4614	+5.63%	1.558	+12.61%	0.0254	✓	0.60
2026-08-28	oos	1.3995	1.4978	+7.02%	1.5795	+12.86%	0.0043	✓	0.60
2026-08-27	oos	1.411	1.547	+9.64%	1.649	+16.87%	0.0333	✓	0.61
2026-08-26	oos	1.3785	1.4978	+8.66%	1.6535	+19.95%	0.0619	✓	0.60
2026-08-25	oos	1.387	1.5065	+8.62%	1.63	+17.52%	0.0340	✓	0.62
2026-08-24	oos	1.388	1.5341	+10.53%	1.544	+11.24%	0.0357	✓	0.64
2026-08-23	oos	1.495	1.6152	+8.04%	1.626	+8.76%	0.0656	✓	0.70
2026-08-22	oos	1.506	1.6318	+8.35%	1.721	+14.28%	0.0293	✓	0.71
2026-08-21	oos	1.5215	1.6947	+11.39%	1.5395	+1.18%	0.1211	✗	0.70
2026-08-20	oos	1.4405	1.5107	+4.88%	1.5355	+6.59%	0.0561	✗	0.68
2026-08-19	oos	1.446	1.4513	+0.37%	1.5045	+4.05%	0.0899	✗	0.81
2026-08-18	oos	1.379	1.3478	-2.27%	1.4215	+3.08%	0.0808	✓	0.81
2026-08-17	oos	1.383	1.362	-1.52%	1.3805	-0.18%	0.1263	✓	0.84
2026-08-16	oos	1.3765	1.3397	-2.68%	1.367	-0.69%	0.1366	✓	0.85
2026-08-15	oos	1.328	1.2931	-2.62%	1.471	+10.77%	0.0522	✓	0.84
2026-08-14	oos	1.3045	1.2734	-2.39%	1.479	+13.38%	0.0151	✓	0.83
2026-08-13	oos	1.315	1.2839	-2.36%	1.494	+13.61%	0.0053	✓	0.79
2026-08-12	oos	1.301	1.2735	-2.11%	1.489	+14.45%	0.0056	✓	0.82
2026-08-11	oos	1.3435	1.3254	-1.35%	1.493	+11.13%	0.0333	✓	0.82
2026-08-10	oos	1.373	1.3524	-1.50%	1.5705	+14.38%	0.0035	✓	0.75
2026-08-09	oos	1.333	1.3134	-1.47%	1.6185	+21.42%	0.0592	✗	0.79
2026-08-08	oos	1.4055	1.3885	-1.21%	1.645	+17.04%	0.0128	✗	0.79
2026-08-07	oos	1.3115	1.3097	-0.14%	1.4935	+13.88%	0.0409	✓	0.81
2026-08-06	oos	1.364	1.3683	+0.32%	1.4495	+6.27%	0.1194	✗	0.82
2026-08-05	oos	1.4595	1.4603	+0.06%	1.416	-2.98%	0.2041	✗	0.83
2026-08-04	oos	1.5125	1.5076	-0.33%	1.441	-4.73%	0.2394	✓	0.82
2026-08-03	oos	1.5395	1.5296	-0.64%	1.419	-7.83%	0.2374	✓	0.82
2026-08-02	oos	1.73	1.6957	-1.98%	1.448	-16.30%	0.3216	✓	0.83
2026-08-01	oos	1.456	1.4354	-1.41%	1.4235	-2.23%	0.1735	✓	0.74
2026-07-31	oos	1.416	1.393	-1.62%	1.413	-0.21%	0.1414	✓	0.73
2026-07-30	oos	1.4355	1.4181	-1.21%	1.3835	-3.62%	0.1651	✓	0.74
2026-07-29	oos	1.3685	1.3592	-0.68%	1.3995	+2.27%	0.1034	✓	0.67
2026-07-28	oos	1.334	1.3357	+0.13%	1.411	+5.77%	0.0980	✗	0.67
2026-07-27	oos	1.2615	1.2607	-0.07%	1.3785	+9.27%	0.0523	✓	0.66
2026-07-26	oos	1.32	1.3223	+0.18%	1.387	+5.08%	0.0688	✗	0.63
2026-07-25	oos	1.2785	1.2831	+0.36%	1.388	+8.56%	0.0510	✗	0.63
2026-07-24	oos	1.156	1.1718	+1.36%	1.495	+29.33%	0.1255	✓	0.61
2026-07-23	oos	1.1585	1.1835	+2.16%	1.506	+30.00%	0.1373	✓	0.61
2026-07-22	oos	1.2395	1.2696	+2.43%	1.5215	+22.75%	0.0789	✓	0.60
2026-07-21	oos	1.2055	1.2373	+2.63%	1.4405	+19.49%	0.0960	✓	0.60
2026-07-20	oos	1.206	1.2342	+2.33%	1.446	+19.90%	0.1181	✓	0.66
2026-07-19	oos	1.2805	1.3021	+1.69%	1.379	+7.69%	0.0574	✓	0.70
2026-07-18	oos	1.3235	1.3428	+1.46%	1.383	+4.50%	0.0330	✓	0.71
2026-07-17	oos	1.367	1.3826	+1.14%	1.3765	+0.69%	0.0078	✓	0.73
2026-07-16	oos	1.3915	1.4047	+0.95%	1.328	-4.56%	0.0480	✗	0.69
2026-07-15	oos	1.4815	1.4918	+0.69%	1.3045	-11.95%	0.1164	✗	0.65
2026-07-14	oos	1.4045	1.4319	+1.95%	1.315	-6.37%	0.0690	✗	0.66
2026-07-13	oos	1.4	1.4159	+1.14%	1.301	-7.07%	0.0975	✗	0.70
2026-07-12	oos	1.427	1.4525	+1.79%	1.3435	-5.85%	0.0757	✗	0.70
2026-07-11	oos	1.4505	1.4706	+1.39%	1.373	-5.34%	0.0701	✗	0.66
2026-07-10	oos	1.4865	1.512	+1.72%	1.333	-10.33%	0.1335	✗	0.67
2026-07-09	oos	1.537	1.5606	+1.53%	1.4055	-8.56%	0.1233	✗	0.69
2026-07-08	oos	1.5135	1.5392	+1.70%	1.3115	-13.35%	0.1873	✗	0.65
2026-07-07	oos	1.5565	1.5911	+2.22%	1.364	-12.37%	0.1637	✗	0.66
2026-07-06	oos	1.6195	1.6505	+1.92%	1.4595	-9.88%	0.1291	✗	0.65
2026-07-05	oos	1.601	1.6345	+2.09%	1.5125	-5.53%	0.0824	✗	0.66
2026-07-04	oos	1.656	1.693	+2.23%	1.5395	-7.04%	0.0991	✗	0.67
2026-07-03	oos	1.6795	1.7126	+1.97%	1.73	+3.01%	0.0003	✓	0.67
2026-07-02	oos	1.7305	1.7628	+1.87%	1.456	-15.86%	0.2053	✗	0.69
2026-07-01	oos	1.753	1.7738	+1.18%	1.416	-19.22%	0.2582	✗	0.71
2026-06-30	oos	1.7225	1.7396	+0.99%	1.4355	-16.66%	0.2640	✗	0.71
2026-06-29	oos	1.5645	1.5833	+1.20%	1.3685	-12.53%	0.1945	✗	0.81
2026-06-28	oos	1.617	1.625	+0.50%	1.334	-17.50%	0.2551	✗	0.81
2026-06-27	oos	1.611	1.6315	+1.27%	1.2615	-21.69%	0.3065	✗	0.81
2026-06-26	oos	1.692	1.7118	+1.17%	1.32	-21.99%	0.3291	✗	0.81
2026-06-25	oos	1.705	1.7247	+1.16%	1.2785	-25.01%	0.3597	✗	0.81
2026-06-24	oos	1.706	1.7332	+1.60%	1.156	-32.24%	0.4482	✗	0.87
2026-06-23	oos	1.813	1.8367	+1.31%	1.1585	-36.10%	0.4918	✗	0.82
2026-06-22	oos	1.902	1.9209	+0.99%	1.2395	-34.83%	0.4645	✗	0.81
2026-06-21	oos	1.9005	1.911	+0.55%	1.2055	-36.57%	0.5014	✗	0.80
2026-06-20	oos	1.889	1.8859	-0.16%	1.206	-36.16%	0.4597	✓	0.83
2026-06-19	oos	1.9255	1.9126	-0.67%	1.2805	-33.50%	0.4169	✓	0.83
2026-06-18	oos	1.999	1.983	-0.80%	1.3235	-33.79%	0.4296	✓	0.84
2026-06-17	oos	2.022	2.0129	-0.45%	1.367	-32.39%	0.3797	✓	0.84
2026-06-16	oos	2.0645	2.0581	-0.31%	1.3915	-32.60%	0.3671	✓	0.85
2026-06-15	oos	2.088	2.0876	-0.02%	1.4815	-29.05%	0.3211	✓	0.92
2026-06-14	oos	2.1335	2.1231	-0.49%	1.4045	-34.17%	0.4033	✓	0.90
2026-06-13	oos	2.164	2.138	-1.20%	1.4	-35.30%	0.3907	✓	0.96
2026-06-12	oos	2.022	2.0107	-0.56%	1.427	-29.43%	0.3458	✓	0.93
2026-06-11	oos	2.037	2.0207	-0.80%	1.4505	-28.79%	0.3346	✓	0.94
2026-06-10	oos	2.0015	1.9798	-1.08%	1.4865	-25.73%	0.3273	✓	0.95
2026-06-09	oos	2.0585	2.0336	-1.21%	1.537	-25.33%	0.3027	✓	0.95
2026-06-08	oos	2.193	2.1428	-2.29%	1.5135	-30.98%	0.3354	✓	0.93
2026-06-07	oos	2.216	2.1557	-2.72%	1.5565	-29.76%	0.3260	✓	0.92
2026-06-06	oos	2.026	1.9804	-2.25%	1.6195	-20.06%	0.2423	✓	0.81
2026-06-05	oos	2.179	2.1087	-3.23%	1.601	-26.53%	0.3079	✓	0.79
2026-06-04	oos	2.201	2.1172	-3.81%	1.656	-24.76%	0.2363	✓	0.83
2026-06-03	oos	2.203	2.1159	-3.95%	1.6795	-23.76%	0.2105	✓	0.85
2026-06-02	oos	2.25	2.1477	-4.55%	1.7305	-23.09%	0.1446	✓	0.88
2026-06-01	oos	2.469	2.3468	-4.95%	1.753	-29.00%	0.1454	✓	0.84
2026-05-31	oos	2.3375	2.2497	-3.75%	1.7225	-26.31%	0.0576	✓	0.91
2026-05-30	oos	2.356	2.2665	-3.80%	1.5645	-33.60%	0.1906	✓	0.88
2026-05-29	oos	2.447	2.3463	-4.12%	1.617	-33.92%	0.1833	✓	0.90
2026-05-28	oos	2.33	2.254	-3.26%	1.611	-30.86%	0.1510	✓	0.91
2026-05-27	oos	2.5915	2.4877	-4.00%	1.692	-34.71%	0.2039	✓	0.85
2026-05-26	oos	2.707	2.6035	-3.82%	1.705	-37.02%	0.2248	✓	0.83
2026-05-25	oos	2.9605	2.8299	-4.41%	1.706	-42.37%	0.3048	✓	0.85
2026-05-24	oos	2.755	2.6573	-3.55%	1.813	-34.19%	0.2035	✓	0.87
2026-05-23	oos	2.946	2.8154	-4.43%	1.902	-35.44%	0.2322	✓	0.88
2026-05-22	oos	2.939	2.7945	-4.92%	1.9005	-35.34%	0.2297	✓	0.88
2026-05-21	oos	3.3705	3.1798	-5.66%	1.889	-43.95%	0.3693	✓	0.80
2026-05-20	oos	3.6355	3.3841	-6.91%	1.9255	-47.04%	0.4038	✓	0.80
2026-05-19	oos	3.3495	3.1374	-6.33%	1.999	-40.32%	0.2946	✓	0.78
2026-05-18	oos	2.8305	2.7401	-3.19%	2.022	-28.56%	0.1582	✓	0.82
2026-05-17	oos	2.6575	2.5945	-2.37%	2.0645	-22.31%	0.0920	✓	0.83
2026-05-16	oos	2.614	2.5575	-2.16%	2.088	-20.12%	0.0661	✓	0.83
2026-05-15	oos	2.3905	2.3941	+0.15%	2.1335	-10.75%	0.0468	✓	0.88
2026-05-14	oos	2.5435	2.5607	+0.68%	2.164	-14.92%	0.0314	✓	0.87
2026-05-13	oos	2.524	2.5242	+0.01%	2.022	-19.89%	0.0281	✗	0.87
2026-05-12	oos	2.214	2.304	+4.07%	2.037	-7.99%	0.1010	✓	0.95
2026-05-11	oos	2.32	2.4382	+5.10%	2.0015	-13.73%	0.0694	✓	0.94
2026-05-10	oos	2.433	2.5006	+2.78%	2.0585	-15.39%	0.0693	✓	0.92
2026-05-09	oos	2.34	2.4073	+2.87%	2.193	-6.28%	0.1315	✓	0.91
2026-05-08	oos	2.404	2.4572	+2.21%	2.216	-7.82%	0.1090	✓	0.90
2026-05-07	oos	2.1825	2.261	+3.60%	2.026	-7.17%	0.1294	✓	0.87
2026-05-06	oos	2.1115	2.243	+6.23%	2.179	+3.20%	0.2199	✓	0.86
2026-05-05	oos	2.1215	2.258	+6.44%	2.201	+3.75%	0.1559	✓	0.76
2026-05-04	oos	2.115	2.1981	+3.93%	2.203	+4.16%	0.1680	✓	0.75
2026-05-03	oos	2.138	2.1951	+2.67%	2.25	+5.24%	0.1481	✓	0.75
2026-05-02	oos	2.148	2.2243	+3.55%	2.469	+14.94%	0.1781	✓	0.75
2026-05-01	oos	2.174	2.2557	+3.76%	2.3375	+7.52%	0.0819	✓	0.75
2026-04-30	oos	2.2595	2.3018	+1.87%	2.356	+4.27%	0.0493	✓	0.77
2026-04-29	oos	2.269	2.2859	+0.75%	2.447	+7.84%	0.0928	✓	0.77
2026-04-28	oos	2.262	2.2997	+1.66%	2.33	+3.01%	0.0417	✓	0.76
2026-04-27	oos	2.2705	2.3383	+2.99%	2.5915	+14.14%	0.1335	✓	0.76
2026-04-26	oos	2.366	2.4238	+2.44%	2.707	+14.41%	0.1385	✓	0.76
2026-04-25	oos	2.354	2.4152	+2.60%	2.9605	+25.76%	0.2076	✓	0.77
2026-04-24	oos	2.456	2.5348	+3.21%	2.755	+12.17%	0.0882	✓	0.78
2026-04-23	oos	2.5985	2.6907	+3.55%	2.946	+13.37%	0.1069	✓	0.77
2026-04-22	oos	2.781	2.8535	+2.61%	2.939	+5.68%	0.0574	✓	0.77
2026-04-21	oos	2.5855	2.6563	+2.74%	3.3705	+30.36%	0.2264	✓	0.76
2026-04-20	oos	2.4755	2.5333	+2.34%	3.6355	+46.86%	0.3454	✓	0.75
2026-04-19	oos	2.393	2.4462	+2.22%	3.3495	+39.97%	0.2855	✓	0.74
2026-04-18	oos	2.4445	2.5367	+3.77%	2.8305	+15.79%	0.0979	✓	0.74
2026-04-17	oos	2.288	2.4298	+6.20%	2.6575	+16.15%	0.0866	✓	0.76
2026-04-16	oos	2.315	2.4247	+4.74%	2.614	+12.92%	0.0458	✓	0.76
2026-04-15	oos	2.1945	2.2744	+3.64%	2.3905	+8.93%	0.0081	✓	0.76
2026-04-14	oos	2.156	2.2227	+3.09%	2.5435	+17.97%	0.0670	✓	0.76
2026-04-13	oos	2.2415	2.3077	+2.95%	2.524	+12.60%	0.0417	✓	0.76
2026-04-12	oos	2.2345	2.2483	+0.62%	2.214	-0.92%	0.1168	✗	0.79
2026-04-11	oos	2.3175	2.3671	+2.14%	2.32	+0.11%	0.1075	✗	0.78
2026-04-10	oos	2.278	2.3194	+1.82%	2.433	+6.80%	0.0459	✗	0.79
2026-04-09	oos	2.3985	2.412	+0.56%	2.34	-2.44%	0.1236	✗	0.80
2026-04-08	oos	2.3195	2.3515	+1.38%	2.404	+3.64%	0.0737	✗	0.80
2026-04-07	oos	2.3875	2.4239	+1.52%	2.1825	-8.59%	0.1896	✗	0.79
2026-04-06	oos	2.316	2.3176	+0.07%	2.1115	-8.83%	0.2250	✗	0.79
2026-04-05	oos	2.3695	2.3785	+0.38%	2.1215	-10.47%	0.2393	✗	0.79
2026-04-04	oos	2.3455	2.3477	+0.09%	2.115	-9.83%	0.2437	✗	0.81
2026-04-03	oos	2.391	2.3723	-0.78%	2.138	-10.58%	0.2343	✓	0.82
2026-04-02	oos	2.4115	2.3944	-0.71%	2.148	-10.93%	0.2406	✓	0.81
2026-04-01	oos	2.504	2.4919	-0.48%	2.174	-13.18%	0.2491	✓	0.81
2026-03-31	oos	2.606	2.5836	-0.86%	2.2595	-13.30%	0.2257	✓	0.82
2026-03-30	oos	2.6065	2.5766	-1.15%	2.269	-12.95%	0.2314	✓	0.82
2026-03-29	oos	2.6315	2.5822	-1.87%	2.262	-14.04%	0.2525	✓	0.82
2026-03-28	oos	2.673	2.6141	-2.20%	2.2705	-15.06%	0.2679	✓	0.82
2026-03-27	oos	2.605	2.5575	-1.82%	2.366	-9.17%	0.2177	✓	0.82
2026-03-26	oos	2.8185	2.7718	-1.66%	2.354	-16.48%	0.2621	✓	0.81
2026-03-25	oos	2.842	2.8223	-0.69%	2.456	-13.58%	0.2070	✓	0.82
2026-03-24	oos	2.818	2.7808	-1.32%	2.5985	-7.79%	0.1534	✓	0.82
2026-03-23	oos	2.7335	2.7012	-1.18%	2.781	+1.74%	0.0520	✓	0.82
2026-03-22	oos	2.6205	2.5793	-1.57%	2.5855	-1.34%	0.0940	✓	0.82
2026-03-21	oos	2.6535	2.6355	-0.68%	2.4755	-6.71%	0.1412	✓	0.82
2026-03-20	oos	2.6915	2.6931	+0.06%	2.393	-11.09%	0.1559	✗	0.82
2026-03-19	oos	2.731	2.718	-0.48%	2.4445	-10.49%	0.1717	✓	0.82
2026-03-18	oos	2.837	2.8485	+0.41%	2.288	-19.35%	0.2856	✗	0.84
2026-03-17	oos	3.1505	3.1772	+0.85%	2.315	-26.52%	0.3300	✗	0.81
2026-03-16	oos	2.982	3.0524	+2.36%	2.1945	-26.41%	0.3294	✗	0.83
2026-03-15	oos	2.779	2.8483	+2.49%	2.156	-22.42%	0.2932	✗	0.81
2026-03-14	oos	2.734	2.7876	+1.96%	2.2415	-18.01%	0.2536	✗	0.81
2026-03-13	oos	2.655	2.6949	+1.50%	2.2345	-15.84%	0.1852	✗	0.81
2026-03-12	oos	2.6	2.6468	+1.80%	2.3175	-10.87%	0.1615	✗	0.81
2026-03-11	oos	2.569	2.6077	+1.51%	2.278	-11.33%	0.1666	✗	0.81
2026-03-10	oos	2.5265	2.5714	+1.78%	2.3985	-5.07%	0.0904	✗	0.80
2026-03-09	oos	2.5375	2.5666	+1.15%	2.3195	-8.59%	0.1320	✗	0.81
2026-03-08	oos	2.558	2.5731	+0.59%	2.3875	-6.67%	0.1468	✗	0.83
2026-03-07	oos	2.5055	2.5354	+1.19%	2.316	-7.56%	0.1102	✗	0.84
2026-03-06	oos	2.6015	2.6404	+1.50%	2.3695	-8.92%	0.1192	✗	0.84
2026-03-05	oos	2.74	2.7915	+1.88%	2.3455	-14.40%	0.1308	✗	0.83
2026-03-04	oos	2.873	2.9427	+2.43%	2.391	-16.78%	0.1397	✗	0.83
2026-03-03	oos	2.694	2.7495	+2.06%	2.4115	-10.49%	0.1138	✗	0.81
2026-03-02	oos	2.6565	2.6962	+1.49%	2.504	-5.74%	0.0656	✗	0.80
2026-03-01	oos	2.6205	2.6503	+1.14%	2.606	-0.55%	0.0483	✗	0.86
2026-02-28	oos	2.7305	2.7674	+1.35%	2.6065	-4.54%	0.0569	✗	0.87
2026-02-27	oos	2.6915	2.6891	-0.09%	2.6315	-2.23%	0.0229	✓	0.87
2026-02-26	oos	2.6535	2.6644	+0.41%	2.673	+0.73%	0.0186	✓	0.88
2026-02-25	oos	2.631	2.6577	+1.01%	2.605	-0.99%	0.0014	✓	0.88
2026-02-24	oos	2.4055	2.4462	+1.69%	2.8185	+17.17%	0.0824	✓	0.84
2026-02-23	oos	2.605	2.6379	+1.26%	2.842	+9.10%	0.0061	✓	0.82
2026-02-22	oos	2.7395	2.808	+2.50%	2.818	+2.87%	0.0310	✗	0.82
2026-02-21	oos	2.665	2.735	+2.63%	2.7335	+2.57%	0.0349	✗	0.82
2026-02-20	oos	2.656	2.726	+2.64%	2.6205	-1.34%	0.0378	✗	0.81
2026-02-19	oos	2.6135	2.6955	+3.14%	2.6535	+1.53%	0.0388	✗	0.81
2026-02-18	oos	2.717	2.7731	+2.06%	2.6915	-0.94%	0.0788	✗	0.82
2026-02-17	oos	2.919	2.9665	+1.63%	2.731	-6.44%	0.1110	✗	0.79
2026-02-16	oos	2.927	2.9755	+1.66%	2.837	-3.07%	0.0750	✗	0.80
2026-02-15	oos	2.9665	3.0061	+1.33%	3.1505	+6.20%	0.0108	✓	0.80
2026-02-14	oos	3.097	3.1114	+0.46%	2.982	-3.71%	0.0987	✗	0.80
2026-02-13	oos	2.907	2.9249	+0.62%	2.779	-4.40%	0.0958	✗	0.79
2026-02-12	oos	2.814	2.8213	+0.26%	2.734	-2.84%	0.0881	✗	0.77
2026-02-11	oos	2.993	2.9922	-0.03%	2.655	-11.29%	0.1617	✓	0.74
2026-02-10	oos	3.068	3.088	+0.65%	2.6	-15.25%	0.1903	✗	0.74
2026-02-09	oos	3.0715	3.0994	+0.91%	2.569	-16.36%	0.1888	✗	0.74
2026-02-08	oos	3.255	3.246	-0.28%	2.5265	-22.38%	0.2471	✓	0.76
2026-02-07	oos	3.4235	3.3787	-1.31%	2.5375	-25.88%	0.2774	✓	0.76
2026-02-06	oos	3.331	3.2913	-1.19%	2.558	-23.21%	0.1970	✓	0.82
2026-02-05	oos	3.074	3.0551	-0.62%	2.5055	-18.49%	0.2564	✓	0.85
2026-02-04	oos	3.346	3.3192	-0.80%	2.6015	-22.25%	0.1637	✓	1.15
2026-02-03	oos	3.36	3.3397	-0.60%	2.74	-18.45%	0.1239	✓	1.14
2026-02-02	oos	3.4535	3.4068	-1.35%	2.873	-16.81%	0.0788	✓	1.16
2026-02-01	oos	3.429	3.3902	-1.13%	2.694	-21.43%	0.0881	✓	1.20
2026-01-31	oos	3.547	3.5052	-1.18%	2.6565	-25.11%	0.1146	✓	1.22
2026-01-30	oos	3.751	3.6931	-1.54%	2.6205	-30.14%	0.0315	✓	1.27
2026-01-29	oos	3.924	3.8516	-1.85%	2.7305	-30.42%	0.0467	✓	1.28
2026-01-28	oos	4.0465	3.9752	-1.76%	2.6915	-33.49%	0.0103	✓	1.32
2026-01-27	oos	4.2235	4.1388	-2.01%	2.6535	-37.17%	0.0733	✓	1.34
2026-01-26	oos	4.199	4.1301	-1.64%	2.631	-37.34%	0.1088	✓	1.31
2026-01-25	oos	4.0075	3.9295	-1.95%	2.4055	-39.98%	0.0991	✓	1.30
2026-01-24	oos	4.211	4.1557	-1.31%	2.605	-38.14%	0.0519	✓	1.29
2026-01-23	oos	4.183	4.1391	-1.05%	2.7395	-34.51%	0.0483	✓	1.30
2026-01-22	oos	4.332	4.2977	-0.79%	2.665	-38.48%	0.1214	✓	1.30
2026-01-21	oos	4.5925	4.5078	-1.84%	2.656	-42.17%	0.1754	✓	1.29
2026-01-20	oos	4.52	4.448	-1.59%	2.6135	-42.18%	0.1787	✓	1.28
2026-01-19	oos	4.6155	4.5934	-0.48%	2.717	-41.13%	0.0840	✓	1.33
2026-01-18	oos	4.9	4.865	-0.72%	2.919	-40.43%	0.0789	✓	1.32
2026-01-17	oos	4.973	4.9279	-0.91%	2.927	-41.14%	0.0993	✓	1.31
2026-01-16	oos	4.9755	4.9316	-0.88%	2.9665	-40.38%	0.0790	✓	1.31
2026-01-15	oos	5.1055	5.07	-0.70%	3.097	-39.34%	0.0820	✓	1.31
2026-01-14	oos	5.4265	5.3731	-0.98%	2.907	-46.43%	0.1675	✓	1.30
2026-01-13	oos	5.465	5.371	-1.72%	2.814	-48.51%	0.1733	✓	1.30
2026-01-12	oos	5.2145	5.0749	-2.68%	2.993	-42.60%	0.1273	✓	1.30
2026-01-11	oos	5.5495	5.3081	-4.35%	3.068	-44.72%	0.1829	✓	1.31
2026-01-10	oos	5.079	4.9007	-3.51%	3.0715	-39.53%	0.1386	✓	1.29
2026-01-09	oos	5.2175	5.0076	-4.02%	3.255	-37.61%	0.0894	✓	1.35
2026-01-08	oos	4.982	4.7669	-4.32%	3.4235	-31.28%	0.0252	✓	1.30
2026-01-07	oos	5.072	4.8452	-4.47%	3.331	-34.33%	0.0441	✓	1.62
2026-01-06	oos	5.076	4.879	-3.88%	3.074	-39.44%	0.1983	✗	1.65
2026-01-05	oos	5.218	5.005	-4.08%	3.346	-35.88%	0.0112	✓	1.65
2026-01-04	oos	4.747	4.6041	-3.01%	3.36	-29.22%	0.0118	✓	1.60
2026-01-03	oos	4.73	4.6476	-1.74%	3.4535	-26.99%	0.0701	✓	1.61
2026-01-02	oos	4.828	4.7506	-1.60%	3.429	-28.98%	0.0729	✓	1.61
2026-01-01	oos	4.732	4.6852	-0.99%	3.547	-25.04%	0.0838	✓	1.61
2025-12-31	oos	4.5695	4.5128	-1.24%	3.751	-17.91%	0.1220	✓	1.59
2025-12-30	oos	4.6425	4.5909	-1.11%	3.924	-15.48%	0.0855	✓	1.59
2025-12-29	oos	4.6655	4.6294	-0.77%	4.0465	-13.27%	0.1716	✓	1.59
2025-12-28	oos	4.8	4.7805	-0.41%	4.2235	-12.01%	0.1462	✓	1.59
2025-12-27	oos	5.0015	4.98	-0.43%	4.199	-16.05%	0.1785	✓	1.57
2025-12-26	oos	4.573	4.5933	+0.44%	4.0075	-12.37%	0.1234	✗	1.54
2025-12-25	oos	4.7875	4.7915	+0.08%	4.211	-12.04%	0.1626	✗	1.54
2025-12-24	oos	4.957	4.8947	-1.26%	4.183	-15.61%	0.1897	✓	1.55
2025-12-23	oos	4.8195	4.7716	-0.99%	4.332	-10.12%	0.1321	✓	1.54
2025-12-22	oos	4.836	4.7975	-0.80%	4.5925	-5.04%	0.0577	✓	1.54
2025-12-21	oos	4.821	4.7794	-0.86%	4.52	-6.24%	0.0501	✓	1.54
2025-12-20	oos	4.882	4.8222	-1.22%	4.6155	-5.46%	0.1165	✓	1.55
2025-12-19	oos	4.9075	4.8575	-1.02%	4.9	-0.15%	0.0859	✓	1.55
2025-12-18	oos	4.5095	4.4918	-0.39%	4.973	+10.28%	0.0609	✓	1.52
2025-12-17	oos	4.5915	4.584	-0.16%	4.9755	+8.36%	0.0738	✓	1.52
2025-12-16	oos	4.8285	4.8239	-0.09%	5.1055	+5.74%	0.0711	✓	1.52
2025-12-15	oos	4.872	4.8972	+0.52%	5.4265	+11.38%	0.0733	✗	1.53
2025-12-14	oos	5.046	5.0181	-0.55%	5.465	+8.30%	0.0339	✓	1.52
2025-12-13	oos	5.239	5.2071	-0.61%	5.2145	-0.47%	0.0142	✓	1.52
2025-12-12	oos	5.2955	5.2802	-0.29%	5.5495	+4.80%	0.0398	✗	1.52
2025-12-11	oos	5.487	5.4639	-0.42%	5.079	-7.44%	0.0370	✓	1.52
2025-12-10	oos	5.652	5.623	-0.51%	5.2175	-7.69%	0.0493	✓	1.53
2025-12-09	oos	5.751	5.6766	-1.29%	4.982	-13.37%	0.1028	✓	1.53
2025-12-08	oos	5.4915	5.4251	-1.21%	5.072	-7.64%	0.0777	✓	1.52
2025-12-07	oos	5.517	5.4399	-1.40%	5.076	-7.99%	0.1239	✓	1.52
2025-12-06	oos	5.589	5.5057	-1.49%	5.218	-6.64%	0.1302	✓	1.52
2025-12-05	oos	5.5295	5.4669	-1.13%	4.747	-14.15%	0.1774	✓	1.52
2025-12-04	oos	5.752	5.6899	-1.08%	4.73	-17.77%	0.1598	✓	1.53
2025-12-03	oos	5.891	5.8447	-0.79%	4.828	-18.04%	0.1328	✓	1.53
2025-12-02	oos	6.0995	6.0207	-1.29%	4.732	-22.42%	0.1962	✓	1.57
2025-12-01	oos	5.5045	5.4922	-0.22%	4.5695	-16.99%	0.2055	✓	1.54
2025-11-30	oos	5.899	5.8533	-0.78%	4.6425	-21.30%	0.1980	✓	1.53
2025-11-29	oos	5.9695	5.9388	-0.51%	4.6655	-21.84%	0.1776	✓	1.52
2025-11-28	oos	5.8865	5.8487	-0.64%	4.8	-18.46%	0.1460	✓	1.52
2025-11-27	oos	5.9625	5.9378	-0.41%	5.0015	-16.12%	0.1121	✓	1.52
2025-11-26	oos	6.1045	6.0541	-0.82%	4.573	-25.09%	0.2286	✓	1.45
2025-11-25	oos	6.1065	6.0467	-0.98%	4.7875	-21.60%	0.2309	✓	1.51
2025-11-24	oos	6.259	6.1617	-1.55%	4.957	-20.80%	0.2063	✓	1.51
2025-11-23	oos	6.237	6.1648	-1.16%	4.8195	-22.73%	0.2572	✓	1.54
2025-11-22	oos	6.247	6.1637	-1.33%	4.836	-22.59%	0.3136	✓	1.59
2025-11-21	oos	6.4365	6.3169	-1.86%	4.821	-25.10%	0.3354	✓	1.58
2025-11-20	oos	6.7905	6.636	-2.28%	4.882	-28.11%	0.3389	✓	1.56
2025-11-19	oos	6.9525	6.7806	-2.47%	4.9075	-29.41%	0.2620	✓	1.63
2025-11-18	oos	7.2165	6.9967	-3.05%	4.5095	-37.51%	0.3032	✓	1.63
2025-11-17	oos	7.2635	7.0341	-3.16%	4.5915	-36.79%	0.3188	✓	1.63
2025-11-16	oos	7.48	7.2619	-2.92%	4.8285	-35.45%	0.2960	✓	1.61
2025-11-15	oos	7.709	7.4952	-2.77%	4.872	-36.80%	0.2693	✓	1.61
2025-11-14	oos	7.9205	7.681	-3.02%	5.046	-36.29%	0.3074	✓	1.63
2025-11-13	oos	7.9425	7.7756	-2.10%	5.239	-34.04%	0.2226	✓	1.75
2025-11-12	oos	8.0225	7.8917	-1.63%	5.2955	-33.99%	0.1898	✓	1.76
2025-11-11	oos	8.044	7.8902	-1.91%	5.487	-31.79%	0.1789	✓	1.72
2025-11-10	oos	8.6855	8.4852	-2.31%	5.652	-34.93%	0.1701	✓	1.67
2025-11-09	oos	9.31	8.9353	-4.02%	5.751	-38.23%	0.2309	✓	1.72
2025-11-08	oos	7.776	7.6495	-1.63%	5.4915	-29.38%	0.1353	✓	1.63
2025-11-07	oos	8.262	8.0477	-2.59%	5.517	-33.22%	0.1651	✓	1.59
2025-11-06	oos	6.3575	6.349	-0.13%	5.589	-12.09%	0.0563	✗	1.45
2025-11-05	oos	5.9865	5.9976	+0.19%	5.5295	-7.63%	0.1469	✓	1.51
2025-11-04	oos	5.8015	5.8517	+0.86%	5.752	-0.85%	0.1304	✓	1.52
2025-11-03	oos	6.351	6.4156	+1.02%	5.891	-7.24%	0.1115	✓	1.50
2025-11-02	oos	6.8345	6.8877	+0.78%	6.0995	-10.75%	0.1624	✓	1.49
2025-11-01	oos	6.798	6.8356	+0.55%	5.5045	-19.03%	0.1476	✓	1.50
2025-10-31	oos	6.3335	6.3633	+0.47%	5.899	-6.86%	0.2099	✓	1.48
2025-10-30	oos	6.438	6.4698	+0.49%	5.9695	-7.28%	0.1821	✓	1.49
2025-10-29	oos	6.7925	6.8182	+0.38%	5.8865	-13.34%	0.1323	✓	1.46
2025-10-28	oos	6.761	6.8369	+1.12%	5.9625	-11.81%	0.1814	✓	1.50
2025-10-27	oos	6.979	7.0483	+0.99%	6.1045	-12.53%	0.2033	✓	1.50
2025-10-26	oos	6.848	6.9421	+1.37%	6.1065	-10.83%	0.2785	✓	1.50
2025-10-25	oos	6.5785	6.6545	+1.16%	6.259	-4.86%	0.2946	✓	1.51
2025-10-24	oos	6.7495	6.8184	+1.02%	6.237	-7.59%	0.2853	✓	1.52
2025-10-23	oos	6.898	6.9743	+1.11%	6.247	-9.44%	0.2920	✓	1.53
2025-10-22	oos	6.8625	6.9639	+1.48%	6.4365	-6.21%	0.2851	✓	1.55
2025-10-21	oos	6.979	7.0199	+0.59%	6.7905	-2.70%	0.3159	✓	1.55
2025-10-20	oos	7.1875	7.2227	+0.49%	6.9525	-3.27%	0.2598	✓	1.57
2025-10-19	oos	7.2525	7.2471	-0.08%	7.2165	-0.50%	0.2387	✗	1.55
2025-10-18	oos	7.099	7.0325	-0.94%	7.2635	+2.32%	0.2672	✗	1.55
2025-10-17	oos	7.1315	7.0481	-1.17%	7.48	+4.89%	0.2484	✗	1.54
2025-10-16	oos	7.506	7.3656	-1.87%	7.709	+2.70%	0.2358	✗	1.53
2025-10-15	oos	7.5005	7.3687	-1.76%	7.9205	+5.60%	0.3164	✗	1.53
2025-10-14	oos	7.594	7.4906	-1.36%	7.9425	+4.59%	0.2550	✗	1.55
2025-10-13	oos	7.798	7.6673	-1.68%	8.0225	+2.88%	0.2430	✗	1.57
2025-10-12	oos	7.799	7.653	-1.87%	8.044	+3.14%	0.2211	✗	1.55
2025-10-11	oos	7.0715	7.0346	-0.52%	8.6855	+22.82%	0.2756	✗	1.47
2025-10-10	oos	6.5135	6.6261	+1.73%	9.31	+42.93%	0.4612	✓	1.59
2025-10-09	oos	8.6805	8.8223	+1.63%	7.776	-10.42%	0.0489	✓	1.01
2025-10-08	oos	8.906	9.0172	+1.25%	8.262	-7.23%	0.0957	✓	1.03
2025-10-07	oos	8.751	8.8996	+1.70%	6.3575	-27.35%	0.1625	✗	0.96
2025-10-06	oos	8.952	9.2139	+2.93%	5.9865	-33.13%	0.2459	✗	1.01
2025-10-05	oos	8.6195	8.8957	+3.20%	5.8015	-32.69%	0.2307	✗	1.00
2025-10-04	oos	8.5425	8.8387	+3.47%	6.351	-25.65%	0.1914	✗	1.00
2025-10-03	oos	8.7265	8.8997	+1.98%	6.8345	-21.68%	0.1627	✗	1.00
2025-10-02	oos	8.787	8.9469	+1.82%	6.798	-22.64%	0.1820	✗	1.01
2025-10-01	oos	8.6355	8.7345	+1.15%	6.3335	-26.66%	0.2400	✗	1.02
2025-09-30	oos	8.1965	8.2535	+0.69%	6.438	-21.45%	0.1972	✗	0.99
2025-09-29	oos	8.4545	8.4626	+0.10%	6.7925	-19.66%	0.1804	✗	1.02
2025-09-28	oos	8.698	8.6252	-0.84%	6.761	-22.27%	0.2503	✓	1.08
2025-09-27	oos	8.565	8.4272	-1.61%	6.979	-18.52%	0.2313	✓	1.09
2025-09-26	oos	8.7575	8.6078	-1.71%	6.848	-21.80%	0.2756	✓	1.08
2025-09-25	oos	8.533	8.3854	-1.73%	6.5785	-22.91%	0.2684	✓	1.08
2025-09-24	oos	9.082	8.9015	-1.99%	6.7495	-25.68%	0.2554	✓	1.04
2025-09-23	oos	9.0605	8.8469	-2.36%	6.898	-23.87%	0.2309	✓	1.05
2025-09-22	oos	9.1175	8.9446	-1.90%	6.8625	-24.73%	0.2169	✓	1.03
2025-09-21	oos	9.628	9.4398	-1.96%	6.979	-27.51%	0.2394	✓	1.01
2025-09-20	oos	9.532	9.3753	-1.64%	7.1875	-24.60%	0.2187	✓	1.03
2025-09-19	oos	9.596	9.3964	-2.08%	7.2525	-24.42%	0.1931	✓	1.05
2025-09-18	oos	9.864	9.5998	-2.68%	7.099	-28.03%	0.2079	✓	1.06
2025-09-17	oos	9.817	9.6058	-2.15%	7.1315	-27.36%	0.2030	✓	1.05

predicted and realised values are beta-adjusted unless labelled otherwise: alpha = r_token − β_90d · r_BTC, so every figure means “performance versus this token’s own BTC beta”, not market direction. Prices are reconstructed under the flat-BTC assumption P̂ = P_last exp(clip(α̂, ±3)). In-sample (train) rows are excluded by default because the model trained on them. Read-only view of predictions.db.