2022-01-28 · +30d

gru_s4 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 144 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.

+1d +7d +30d asset cohort only

rank IC

+0.0999

144 of 144 tokens assessed

long-short decile

+28.50%

realised beta-adjusted alpha

direction hit

59.7%

in alpha space · 60.4% on raw price

BTC over horizon

-0.07%

the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (144 rows, sorted by pred)

token	name	chain	anchor px	pred px ▾	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d	vol 30d	target
XVS	Venus	Ethereum	8.42	8.7718	+4.18%	8.4	-0.24%	0.0424	✗	1.32	2.8M	2022-02-27
BCH	Bitcoin Cash	Bitcoin Cash	296.79	304.4994	+2.60%	304.19	+2.49%	0.0003	✓	1.04	7.8M	2022-02-27
SOL	Solana	Solana	91.35	93.3188	+2.16%	85.7	-6.19%	0.0844	✗	1.18	164.2M	2022-02-27
SPELL	Spell	Ethereum	0.00547	0.00554	+1.29%	0.00404	-26.14%	0.3143	✗	2.27	21.3M	2022-02-27
RIF	Rootstock Infrastructure Framework	Ethereum	0.1177	0.119188	+1.26%	0.1447	+22.94%	0.1946	✓	0.95	337k	2022-02-27
LTC	Litecoin	Litecoin	109.49	110.8628	+1.25%	103.05	-5.88%	0.0722	✗	1.34	33.8M	2022-02-27
XVG	Verge	native	0.00986	0.009967	+1.09%	0.00923	-6.39%	0.0760	✗	1.33	1.6M	2022-02-27
UNI	Uniswap	Ethereum	10.67	10.775	+0.98%	9.77	-8.43%	0.0970	✗	1.33	12.5M	2022-02-27
TKO	Tokocrypto	Binance Smart Chain	0.736	0.742845	+0.93%	0.648	-11.96%	0.1359	✗	1.11	1.9M	2022-02-27
LRC	Loopring	Ethereum	0.9906	0.998307	+0.78%	0.7266	-26.65%	0.3164	✗	1.97	1.1M	2022-02-27
AGLD	Adventure Gold	Ethereum	0.85	0.856298	+0.74%	1.179	+38.71%	0.3208	✓	1.52	528k	2022-02-27
ASM	Assemble AI	Ethereum	0.05152	0.051843	+0.63%	0.04436	-13.90%	0.1550	✗	1.43	1.7M	2022-02-27
QNT	Quant	Ethereum	97.25	97.75	+0.51%	105.8	+8.79%	0.0798	✓	1.04	7.5M	2022-02-27
AXS	Axie Infinity	Ethereum	47.09	47.3312	+0.51%	47.98	+1.89%	0.0144	✓	1.16	7.5M	2022-02-27
ACH	Alchemy Pay	Ethereum	0.038917	0.039085	+0.43%	0.046151	+18.59%	0.1670	✓	1.22	10.1M	2022-02-27
ANKR	Ankr Network	Ethereum	0.07192	0.072196	+0.38%	0.06333	-11.94%	0.1305	✗	0.78	67k	2022-02-27
BEL	Bella Protocol	Ethereum	0.899	0.902284	+0.37%	0.812	-9.68%	0.1045	✗	1.37	2.4M	2022-02-27
ZRX	0x Protocol	Ethereum	0.544057	0.545474	+0.26%	0.521555	-4.14%	0.0440	✗	1.22	3.7M	2022-02-27
TRAC	OriginTrail	Ethereum	0.5887	0.590066	+0.23%	0.4426	-24.82%	0.2866	✗	1.53	1.4M	2022-02-27
XYO	XYO Network	Ethereum	0.020623	0.02066	+0.18%	0.01839	-10.83%	0.1157	✗	1.12	3.2M	2022-02-27
NANO	nanopay	Base	2.3494	2.3529	+0.15%	1.7425	-25.83%	0.2995	✗	1.24	884k	2022-02-27
ENS	Ethereum Name Service	Ethereum	17.9	17.925	+0.14%	13.22	-26.15%	0.3033	✗	1.82	3.9M	2022-02-27
LCX	LCX	Ethereum	0.0927	0.092827	+0.14%	0.0773	-16.61%	0.1821	✗	1.47	1.7M	2022-02-27
STORJ	Storj	Ethereum	1.1266	1.128	+0.13%	0.9359	-16.93%	0.1861	✗	0.99	385k	2022-02-27
GRT	The Graph	Ethereum	0.4141	0.414304	+0.05%	0.3363	-18.79%	0.2078	✗	1.28	10.2M	2022-02-27
AUCTION	Bounce	Ethereum	14.23	14.2361	+0.04%	12	-15.67%	0.1702	✗	0.99	886k	2022-02-27
GITCOIN	GITCOIN		7.091	7.0928	+0.03%	5.854	-17.44%	0.1918	✗	0.25	38k	2022-02-27
DEXE	DeXe	Ethereum	6.49	6.4915	+0.02%	6.06	-6.63%	0.0686	✗	0.22	1.2M	2022-02-27
CHZ	Chiliz	Ethereum	0.1798	0.179836	+0.02%	0.1674	-6.90%	0.0708	✗	1.37	3.9M	2022-02-27
DOT	Polkadot	Polkadot	18.34	18.343	+0.02%	17.5	-4.58%	0.0461	✗	1.38	51.5M	2022-02-27
TRX	TRON	Tron	0.057631	0.057604	-0.05%	0.058112	+0.83%	0.0094	✗	0.94	478k	2022-02-27
OXT	Orchid Protocol	Ethereum	0.2434	0.243137	-0.11%	0.2326	-4.44%	0.0435	✓	1.24	1.9M	2022-02-27
AAVE	Aave	Ethereum	149.11	148.9427	-0.11%	131.61	-11.74%	0.1228	✓	1.36	13.3M	2022-02-27
SHIB	Shiba Inu	Ethereum	0.00002134	0.000021313	-0.13%	0.00002342	+9.75%	0.0952	✗	1.41	1.7M	2022-02-27
KSM	Kusama	Hydration	169	168.5615	-0.26%	117.66	-30.38%	0.3587	✓	1.20	1.3M	2022-02-27
ZEC	Zcash	Zcash	91.3	91.0423	-0.28%	102.66	+12.44%	0.1210	✗	1.32	7.0M	2022-02-27
ATM	Atletico Madrid Fan Token	Solana	5.14	5.123	-0.33%	4.64	-9.73%	0.0985	✓	0.73	437k	2022-02-27
RAD	Radworks	Ethereum	5.11	5.0928	-0.34%	4.3	-15.85%	0.1686	✓	0.98	1.0M	2022-02-27
OGN	Origin Token	Ethereum	0.328	0.326415	-0.48%	0.28	-14.63%	0.1525	✓	1.39	1.7M	2022-02-27
SKL	SKALE	Ethereum	0.1183	0.117689	-0.52%	0.115	-2.79%	0.0223	✓	1.31	3.8M	2022-02-27
GODS	Gods Unchained	Ethereum	2.25	2.2381	-0.53%	1.31	-41.78%	0.5346	✓	1.54	2.4M	2022-02-27
MANA	Decentraland	Ethereum	2.2835	2.271	-0.55%	2.5576	+12.00%	0.1195	✗	0.95	2.8M	2022-02-27
AVAX	Avalanche	Avalanche	67.06	66.6917	-0.55%	75.09	+11.97%	0.1195	✗	1.32	87.3M	2022-02-27
AMP	Amp	Ethereum	0.03024	0.030073	-0.55%	0.02689	-11.08%	0.1113	✓	0.93	8.7M	2022-02-27
EWT	Energy Web Token	Ethereum	6.131	6.0969	-0.56%	4.682	-23.63%	0.2635	✓	0.84	133k	2022-02-27
ZEN	Horizen	Base	38.97	38.7512	-0.56%	32.64	-16.24%	0.1706	✓	1.58	626k	2022-02-27
XYM	Symbol	native	0.177	0.175946	-0.60%	0.141	-20.34%	0.2210	✓	0.68	573k	2022-02-27
JASMY	JasmyCoin	Ethereum	0.04731	0.047025	-0.60%	0.01609	-65.99%	1.0716	✓	1.33	9.2M	2022-02-27
RLC	iExec RLC	Ethereum	1.82	1.8088	-0.62%	1.6	-12.09%	0.1218	✓	1.36	2.8M	2022-02-27
COMP	Compound	Ethereum	124.2	123.418	-0.63%	108.08	-12.98%	0.1319	✓	1.28	74k	2022-02-27
MASK	Mask Network	Ethereum	5.91	5.8716	-0.65%	4.21	-28.76%	0.3320	✓	0.96	953k	2022-02-27
SUPER	SuperVerse	Ethereum	0.64	0.635297	-0.73%	0.67	+4.69%	0.0544	✗	1.86	1.2M	2022-02-27
ETH	Ethereum	Ethereum	2,546.84	2,527.75	-0.75%	2,618.01	+2.79%	0.0358	✗	1.11	569.1M	2022-02-27
BNT	Bancor Network	Ethereum	2.4	2.3817	-0.76%	2.17	-9.58%	0.0924	✓	1.02	794k	2022-02-27
SC	Siacoin	native	0.0101	0.010016	-0.83%	0.00867	-14.16%	0.1437	✓	1.05	598k	2022-02-27
MED	Medibloc	Osmosis	0.04014	0.039792	-0.87%	0.03926	-2.19%	0.0127	✓	1.13	31k	2022-02-27
XEC	eCash	native	0.00007277	0.000072101	-0.92%	0.00007235	-0.58%	0.0042	✓	1.11	5.8M	2022-02-27
LAZIO	Lazio Fan Token	Binance Smart Chain	3.1165	3.0874	-0.93%	2.8883	-7.32%	0.0659	✓	1.10	3.4M	2022-02-27
BAR	FC Barcelona Fan Token	Solana	5.81	5.7549	-0.95%	6.32	+8.78%	0.0942	✗	0.78	481k	2022-02-27
MOVR	Moonriver	Base	77.0062	76.2613	-0.97%	61.5448	-20.08%	0.2136	✓	1.22	437k	2022-02-27
LPT	Livepeer	Ethereum	25.85	25.5995	-0.97%	23.96	-7.31%	0.0651	✓	1.68	2.7M	2022-02-27
CBK	Cobak	Ethereum	2.181	2.1592	-1.00%	2.379	+9.08%	0.0976	✗	1.08	23k	2022-02-27
MTL	Metal DAO	Metal L2	1.438	1.4233	-1.02%	1.43	-0.56%	0.0054	✓	1.18	1.6M	2022-02-27
TWT	Trust Wallet	Binance Smart Chain	0.5223	0.516747	-1.06%	0.4859	-6.97%	0.0607	✓	1.36	2.7M	2022-02-27
BTC	Bitcoin	Bitcoin	37,741.90	37,324.96	-1.10%	37,717.08	-0.07%	0.0111	✗	1.00	734.4M	2022-02-27
XTZ	Tezos	Tezos	3.0264	2.991	-1.17%	3.1219	+3.16%	0.0437	✗	1.36	2.5M	2022-02-27
ACM	AC Milan Fan Token	Solana	3.923	3.8751	-1.22%	4.06	+3.49%	0.0471	✗	0.78	381k	2022-02-27
BICO	Biconomy	Ethereum	1.97	1.9457	-1.23%	1.197	-39.24%	0.4848	✓	1.47	4.2M	2022-02-27
KCS	KuCoin	native	16.846	16.6366	-1.24%	19.035	+12.99%	0.1357	✗	1.51	10.9M	2022-02-27
UOS	Ultra	Ethereum	1.0442	1.031	-1.27%	1.1719	+12.23%	0.1290	✗	1.29	2.4M	2022-02-27
DNT	district0x	Ethereum	0.0812	0.080158	-1.28%	0.0675	-16.87%	0.1711	✓	1.24	338k	2022-02-27
OMG	OMG Network	Ethereum	4.5826	4.5237	-1.28%	3.8286	-16.45%	0.1660	✓	1.22	430k	2022-02-27
QTUM	Qtum	Qtum	5.7966	5.7199	-1.32%	5.8667	+1.21%	0.0263	✗	1.43	224k	2022-02-27
MINA	Mina Protocol	native	2.29	2.2585	-1.38%	1.97	-13.97%	0.1359	✓	1.19	611k	2022-02-27
ARPA	ARPA	Ethereum	0.0629	0.062023	-1.39%	0.0698	+10.97%	0.1191	✗	1.43	605k	2022-02-27
DASH	Dash	Dash	95.64	94.287	-1.41%	88.3	-7.67%	0.0648	✓	1.18	3.0M	2022-02-27
PHA	PHALA	Ethereum	0.247	0.243453	-1.44%	0.217	-12.15%	0.1144	✓	0.96	67k	2022-02-27
ETC	Ethereum Classic	native	25.23	24.8626	-1.46%	27.37	+8.48%	0.0968	✗	1.08	3.4M	2022-02-27
BCHSV	Bitcoin Cash SV		90.37	89.0027	-1.51%	81.71	-9.58%	0.0849	✓	0.94	1.7M	2022-02-27
SUN	Sun Token	Tron	0.014181	0.013965	-1.53%	0.011286	-20.41%	0.2122	✓	1.19	2.7M	2022-02-27
DODO	DODO	Ethereum	0.491	0.483444	-1.54%	0.416	-15.27%	0.1492	✓	1.53	5.3M	2022-02-27
VSYS	V.SYSTEMS	native	0.01255	0.012354	-1.56%	0.01158	-7.73%	0.0641	✓	0.90	20k	2022-02-27
LSK	Lisk	Ethereum	1.6203	1.5945	-1.59%	1.5293	-5.61%	0.0410	✓	1.12	82k	2022-02-27
CTSI	Cartesi	Ethereum	0.4527	0.445447	-1.60%	0.3419	-24.48%	0.2637	✓	1.38	2.4M	2022-02-27
UMA	UMA	Ethereum	6.01	5.9079	-1.70%	4.795	-20.22%	0.2080	✓	1.07	2.4M	2022-02-27
XPR	XPR Network	Ethereum	0.01046	0.010281	-1.71%	0.00965	-7.74%	0.0625	✓	1.28	2.2M	2022-02-27
WBTC	Wrapped Bitcoin	Ethereum	37,761.00	37,114.20	-1.71%	37,686.70	-0.20%	0.0160	✓	1.01	53k	2022-02-27
JUV	Juventus Fan Token	Solana	6.04	5.9363	-1.72%	5.65	-6.46%	0.0489	✓	0.85	529k	2022-02-27
IOTA	IOTA	IOTA	0.8173	0.803071	-1.74%	0.7097	-13.17%	0.1229	✓	1.10	19.5M	2022-02-27
FIL	Filecoin	Filecoin	19.63	19.2808	-1.78%	20.38	+3.82%	0.0562	✗	1.18	13.3M	2022-02-27
XMR	Monero	Monero	149.15	146.4738	-1.79%	150.62	+0.99%	0.0286	✗	1.01	2.2M	2022-02-27
TRB	Tellor Tributes	Ethereum	20.08	19.7115	-1.84%	19.91	-0.85%	0.0110	✓	1.56	814k	2022-02-27
ENJ	Enjin Coin	Ethereum	1.639	1.6082	-1.88%	1.377	-15.99%	0.1543	✓	1.30	1.7M	2022-02-27
SANTOS	Santos FC Fan Token	Binance Smart Chain	2.647	2.5969	-1.89%	3.224	+21.80%	0.2173	✗	1.53	986k	2022-02-27
CVC	Civic	Ethereum	0.2523	0.247459	-1.92%	0.2684	+6.38%	0.0820	✗	1.13	532k	2022-02-27
DKA	dKargo	Ethereum	0.08808	0.086369	-1.94%	0.08363	-5.05%	0.0314	✓	1.20	46k	2022-02-27
PSG	Paris Saint-Germain Fan Token	Solana	12.86	12.6097	-1.95%	14.64	+13.84%	0.1497	✗	0.68	774k	2022-02-27
1INCH	1INCH	Ethereum	1.65	1.6176	-1.96%	1.384	-16.12%	0.1551	✓	1.28	2.2M	2022-02-27
XEM	NEM	native	0.0999	0.097848	-2.05%	0.1	+0.10%	0.0224	✗	1.05	43k	2022-02-27
ALGO	Algorand	Algorand	0.9591	0.939216	-2.07%	0.7983	-16.77%	0.1618	✓	1.17	37.7M	2022-02-27
SNX	Synthetix	Ethereum	4.57	4.4743	-2.09%	3.741	-18.14%	0.1782	✓	1.24	3.0M	2022-02-27
XLM	Stellar	Stellar	0.198646	0.194452	-2.11%	0.181008	-8.88%	0.0710	✓	1.03	26.2M	2022-02-27
HIVE	Hive	native	0.931	0.910908	-2.16%	0.8849	-4.95%	0.0280	✓	1.52	2.6M	2022-02-27
IMX	Immutable	Ethereum	2.82	2.7591	-2.16%	1.412	-49.93%	0.6689	✓	1.54	2.2M	2022-02-27
ORBS	Orbs	Ethereum	0.0647	0.063279	-2.20%	0.0644	-0.46%	0.0183	✓	1.12	21k	2022-02-27
LEO	LEO Token	Ethereum	3.4691	3.3929	-2.20%	5.951	+71.54%	0.5619	✗	-0.02	350k	2022-02-27
BAND	Band	Ethereum	3.46	3.3822	-2.25%	3.452	-0.23%	0.0213	✓	1.24	2.5M	2022-02-27
DOGE	Dogecoin	Dogecoin	0.141603	0.138392	-2.27%	0.123115	-13.06%	0.1163	✓	1.05	7.1M	2022-02-27
NAKA	Nakamoto Games	Polygon	0.482	0.470995	-2.28%	0.4116	-14.61%	0.1338	✓	1.46	2.1M	2022-02-27
CITY	Manchester City Fan Token	Solana	9.05	8.8354	-2.37%	9.35	+3.31%	0.0571	✗	0.75	709k	2022-02-27
OG	OG Fan Token	Solana	3.294	3.2152	-2.39%	3.002	-8.86%	0.0681	✓	0.87	944k	2022-02-27
CERE	Cere Network	Ethereum	0.0353	0.034454	-2.40%	0.0267	-24.36%	0.2540	✓	1.47	852k	2022-02-27
GT	Gate	Ethereum	6.5861	6.4237	-2.47%	6.3355	-3.80%	0.0132	✓	0.93	4.3M	2022-02-27
BAT	Basic Attention	Ethereum	0.86446	0.842974	-2.49%	0.66823	-22.70%	0.2312	✓	1.73	643k	2022-02-27
ADA	Cardano	Cardano	1.0486	1.0204	-2.69%	0.8569	-18.28%	0.1739	✓	1.13	113.2M	2022-02-27
LINK	Chainlink	Ethereum	16.16	15.7184	-2.73%	13.65	-15.53%	0.1403	✓	1.22	81.3M	2022-02-27
ASR	AS Roma Fan Token	Solana	3.011	2.9268	-2.80%	2.647	-12.09%	0.1000	✓	0.80	407k	2022-02-27
LUNA	Terra	Terra 2	50.6	49.1579	-2.85%	72.51	+43.30%	0.3898	✗	1.64	8.8M	2022-02-27
DYDX	dYdX	Cosmos	5.923	5.7536	-2.86%	5.036	-14.98%	0.1326	✓	0.99	320k	2022-02-27
CELL	Cellframe	Ethereum	0.8915	0.865186	-2.95%	1.541	+72.85%	0.5782	✗	1.52	107k	2022-02-27
GTC	Gitcoin	Ethereum	7.1	6.8841	-3.04%	5.93	-16.48%	0.1490	✓	0.29	1.9M	2022-02-27
CTK	Shentu	Osmosis	1.436	1.3923	-3.05%	1.081	-24.72%	0.2522	✓	1.29	3.6M	2022-02-27
PORTO	FC Porto	Binance Smart Chain	2.7962	2.7075	-3.17%	2.859	+2.25%	0.0551	✗	1.03	1.9M	2022-02-27
COTI	COTI	Ethereum	0.3094	0.29946	-3.21%	0.1985	-35.84%	0.4102	✓	1.56	4.2M	2022-02-27
NMR	Numeraire	Ethereum	27.6	26.6394	-3.48%	29.13	+5.54%	0.0899	✗	0.79	407k	2022-02-27
FTT	FTX	Ethereum	40.01	38.6155	-3.49%	41.51	+3.75%	0.0731	✗	1.21	35.1M	2022-02-27
SUSHI	Sushi	Ethereum	4.16	3.9966	-3.93%	3.12	-25.00%	0.2467	✓	1.35	11.6M	2022-02-27
CRV	Curve DAO	Ethereum	2.93	2.8136	-3.97%	2.185	-25.43%	0.2519	✓	1.40	25.6M	2022-02-27
API3	Api3	Ethereum	3.75	3.5932	-4.18%	6.6	+76.00%	0.6082	✗	0.22	720k	2022-02-27
PEOPLE	ConstitutionDAO	Ethereum	0.0567	0.054308	-4.22%	0.0605	+6.70%	0.1094	✗	2.18	23.2M	2022-02-27
ICP	Internet Computer	Ethereum	20.31	19.4374	-4.30%	17.24	-15.12%	0.1191	✓	1.25	34.3M	2022-02-27
METRONOME	METRONOME		3.0715	2.9225	-4.85%	2.23	-27.40%	0.2699	✓	0.87	16k	2022-02-27
BFC	Bifrost	Ethereum	0.1835	0.174438	-4.94%	0.15123	-17.59%	0.1417	✓	1.58	21k	2022-02-27
ATOM	Cosmos Hub	Cosmos	29.5	27.9658	-5.20%	26.8	-9.15%	0.0418	✓	1.13	130.3M	2022-02-27
CWEB	Coinweb	Ethereum	0.046901	0.044294	-5.56%	0.022401	-52.24%	0.6811	✓	1.00	321k	2022-02-27
NCT	PolySwarm	Ethereum	0.0541	0.050819	-6.06%	0.03182	-41.18%	0.4675	✓	1.00	5.9M	2022-02-27
POWR	Powerledger	Ethereum	0.5555	0.521685	-6.09%	0.5151	-7.27%	0.0119	✓	1.17	2.1M	2022-02-27
ASTR	Astar	Ethereum	0.114	0.107053	-6.09%	0.14	+22.81%	0.2690	✗	1.00	149k	2022-02-27
YFI	yearn.finance	Ethereum	23,506.67	21,962.55	-6.57%	19,385.43	-17.53%	0.1242	✓	0.92	19.5M	2022-02-27
KNC	Kyber Network Crystal	Ethereum	1.7954	1.6711	-6.92%	1.897	+5.66%	0.1273	✗	0.77	2.8M	2022-02-27
POKT	Pocket Network	Ethereum	1.2839	1.1777	-8.27%	0.7935	-38.20%	0.3942	✓	1.00	3.5M	2022-02-27
DUSK	DUSK	Ethereum	0.6272	0.574931	-8.33%	0.3174	-49.39%	0.5928	✓	1.89	50.8M	2022-02-27
PRO	Propy	Ethereum	2.39	2.1882	-8.44%	1.81	-24.27%	0.1891	✓	1.00	3.6M	2022-02-27
GLMR	Moonbeam	Base	6.452	5.8616	-9.15%	2.358	-63.45%	0.9100	✓	1.00	1.5M	2022-02-27

Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.