2022-01-27 · +30d

gru_s4 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 144 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.

+1d +7d +30d asset cohort only

rank IC

+0.0355

144 of 144 tokens assessed

long-short decile

+18.48%

realised beta-adjusted alpha

direction hit

35.4%

in alpha space · 44.8% on raw price

BTC over horizon

+5.24%

the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (144 rows, sorted by pred)

token	name	chain	anchor px	pred px ▾	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d	vol 30d	target
AGLD	Adventure Gold	Ethereum	0.81	0.873783	+7.87%	1.139	+40.62%	0.1880	✓	1.51	532k	2022-02-26
LRC	Loopring	Ethereum	0.9645	1.0275	+6.53%	0.7651	-20.67%	0.3955	✗	1.97	1.1M	2022-02-26
TKO	Tokocrypto	Binance Smart Chain	0.725	0.76855	+6.01%	0.679	-6.34%	0.1804	✗	1.11	1.9M	2022-02-26
QNT	Quant	Ethereum	93.16	98.2041	+5.41%	110.79	+18.92%	0.0679	✓	1.03	7.5M	2022-02-26
LAZIO	Lazio Fan Token	Binance Smart Chain	3.0464	3.1943	+4.86%	2.7102	-11.04%	0.2202	✗	1.09	3.6M	2022-02-26
XVG	Verge	native	0.00965	0.010117	+4.84%	0.00985	+2.07%	0.0946	✗	1.33	1.6M	2022-02-26
AUCTION	Bounce	Ethereum	13.95	14.6063	+4.70%	12.91	-7.46%	0.1742	✗	0.99	841k	2022-02-26
RIF	Rootstock Infrastructure Framework	Ethereum	0.1146	0.119944	+4.66%	0.1506	+31.41%	0.1791	✓	0.95	349k	2022-02-26
XVS	Venus	Ethereum	8.39	8.7769	+4.61%	8.98	+7.03%	0.0446	✓	1.32	2.9M	2022-02-26
SOL	Solana	Solana	89.55	93.6669	+4.60%	90.32	+0.86%	0.0967	✗	1.18	164.2M	2022-02-26
ENS	Ethereum Name Service	Ethereum	16.82	17.5802	+4.52%	14.09	-16.23%	0.3137	✗	1.81	3.9M	2022-02-26
DEXE	DeXe	Ethereum	6.37	6.6525	+4.44%	6.27	-1.57%	0.0701	✗	0.21	1.2M	2022-02-26
COMP	Compound	Ethereum	121.94	127.2219	+4.33%	113.35	-7.04%	0.1806	✗	1.28	74k	2022-02-26
NAKA	Nakamoto Games	Polygon	0.4535	0.473142	+4.33%	0.4281	-5.60%	0.1739	✗	1.45	2.1M	2022-02-26
ATM	Atletico Madrid Fan Token	Solana	5.12	5.3368	+4.23%	4.68	-8.59%	0.1685	✗	0.73	457k	2022-02-26
AAVE	Aave	Ethereum	144.54	150.6032	+4.19%	136.67	-5.44%	0.1664	✗	1.36	14.3M	2022-02-26
STORJ	Storj	Ethereum	1.0754	1.1192	+4.07%	0.99036	-7.90%	0.1725	✗	0.98	387k	2022-02-26
LCX	LCX	Ethereum	0.0947	0.098314	+3.82%	0.0854	-9.82%	0.2165	✗	1.48	1.9M	2022-02-26
MASK	Mask Network	Ethereum	5.62	5.8333	+3.80%	4.46	-20.64%	0.3170	✗	0.95	960k	2022-02-26
GRT	The Graph	Ethereum	0.4054	0.420488	+3.72%	0.3486	-14.01%	0.2531	✗	1.28	10.9M	2022-02-26
UOS	Ultra	Ethereum	0.99692	1.0339	+3.71%	1.2108	+21.46%	0.0923	✓	1.28	2.4M	2022-02-26
MTL	Metal DAO	Metal L2	1.399	1.45	+3.65%	1.524	+8.93%	0.0104	✓	1.18	1.6M	2022-02-26
VSYS	V.SYSTEMS	native	0.01439	0.014903	+3.56%	0.01217	-15.43%	0.2503	✗	0.93	19k	2022-02-26
UMA	UMA	Ethereum	5.67	5.8717	+3.56%	4.934	-12.98%	0.2283	✗	1.06	2.6M	2022-02-26
OGN	Origin Token	Ethereum	0.314	0.325098	+3.53%	0.29	-7.64%	0.1848	✗	1.38	1.6M	2022-02-26
AMP	Amp	Ethereum	0.02909	0.030103	+3.48%	0.02842	-2.30%	0.1049	✗	0.93	8.7M	2022-02-26
NANO	nanopay	Base	2.3156	2.3953	+3.44%	1.8651	-19.46%	0.3136	✗	1.24	841k	2022-02-26
SC	Siacoin	native	0.00962	0.009949	+3.42%	0.00906	-5.82%	0.1470	✗	1.05	611k	2022-02-26
RLC	iExec RLC	Ethereum	1.76	1.8174	+3.26%	1.67	-5.11%	0.1541	✗	1.36	2.9M	2022-02-26
JASMY	JasmyCoin	Ethereum	0.04646	0.04797	+3.25%	0.01784	-61.60%	1.0568	✗	1.32	9.5M	2022-02-26
TRAC	OriginTrail	Ethereum	0.5781	0.596844	+3.24%	0.4599	-20.45%	0.3390	✗	1.53	1.4M	2022-02-26
XPR	XPR Network	Ethereum	0.01041	0.010747	+3.24%	0.00997	-4.23%	0.1405	✗	1.28	2.2M	2022-02-26
HIVE	Hive	native	0.8838	0.912421	+3.24%	0.9533	+7.86%	0.0334	✗	1.51	3.2M	2022-02-26
ZEC	Zcash	Zcash	88.89	91.7304	+3.20%	107.8	+21.27%	0.0940	✓	1.32	7.5M	2022-02-26
ALGO	Algorand	Algorand	0.9364	0.965685	+3.13%	0.8598	-8.18%	0.1756	✗	1.16	37.9M	2022-02-26
LSK	Lisk	Ethereum	1.5616	1.6105	+3.13%	1.5733	+0.74%	0.0801	✗	1.11	89k	2022-02-26
SHIB	Shiba Inu	Ethereum	0.00002125	0.000021884	+2.98%	0.00002435	+14.59%	0.0344	✓	1.42	1.8M	2022-02-26
MANA	Decentraland	Ethereum	2.2527	2.3184	+2.91%	2.6813	+19.02%	0.0973	✓	0.94	3.1M	2022-02-26
DODO	DODO	Ethereum	0.482	0.496032	+2.91%	0.438	-9.13%	0.2027	✗	1.53	5.5M	2022-02-26
SKL	SKALE	Ethereum	0.1127	0.115971	+2.90%	0.1212	+7.54%	0.0225	✓	1.30	3.9M	2022-02-26
1INCH	1INCH	Ethereum	1.59	1.6359	+2.88%	1.437	-9.62%	0.1946	✗	1.27	2.3M	2022-02-26
XMR	Monero	Monero	144.6	148.7311	+2.86%	157.91	+9.20%	0.0086	✓	1.00	2.2M	2022-02-26
XYM	Symbol	native	0.1614	0.166005	+2.85%	0.1441	-10.72%	0.1750	✗	0.66	573k	2022-02-26
BAT	Basic Attention	Ethereum	0.83214	0.855776	+2.84%	0.69949	-15.94%	0.2897	✗	1.72	681k	2022-02-26
BCH	Bitcoin Cash	Bitcoin Cash	289.64	297.7796	+2.81%	315.57	+8.95%	0.0048	✓	1.04	8.5M	2022-02-26
RAD	Radworks	Ethereum	5.07	5.2118	+2.80%	4.47	-11.83%	0.2038	✗	0.98	1.1M	2022-02-26
DNT	district0x	Ethereum	0.0794	0.08158	+2.75%	0.0685	-13.73%	0.2379	✗	1.24	352k	2022-02-26
ORBS	Orbs	Ethereum	0.0638	0.065548	+2.74%	0.0674	+5.64%	0.0295	✗	1.12	21k	2022-02-26
JUV	Juventus Fan Token	Solana	5.9	6.0613	+2.73%	5.7	-3.39%	0.1047	✗	0.85	561k	2022-02-26
PSG	Paris Saint-Germain Fan Token	Solana	12.75	13.0978	+2.73%	14.7	+15.29%	0.0806	✓	0.68	801k	2022-02-26
TRX	TRON	Tron	0.056453	0.057988	+2.72%	0.059459	+5.32%	0.0229	✓	0.94	478k	2022-02-26
CERE	Cere Network	Ethereum	0.0357	0.036653	+2.67%	0.0274	-23.25%	0.3664	✗	1.48	887k	2022-02-26
UNI	Uniswap	Ethereum	10.32	10.5931	+2.65%	9.06	-12.21%	0.2240	✗	1.33	12.5M	2022-02-26
CHZ	Chiliz	Ethereum	0.1754	0.179942	+2.59%	0.1751	-0.17%	0.0969	✗	1.36	4.0M	2022-02-26
PHA	PHALA	Ethereum	0.243	0.249195	+2.55%	0.232	-4.53%	0.1204	✗	0.96	67k	2022-02-26
ACH	Alchemy Pay	Ethereum	0.038232	0.039154	+2.41%	0.048351	+26.47%	0.1486	✓	1.22	10.8M	2022-02-26
XEC	eCash	native	0.00007022	0.000071905	+2.40%	0.00007538	+7.35%	0.0093	✓	1.11	5.8M	2022-02-26
LPT	Livepeer	Ethereum	24.3	24.8817	+2.39%	24.45	+0.62%	0.1029	✗	1.67	2.7M	2022-02-26
ZRX	0x Protocol	Ethereum	0.530399	0.542416	+2.27%	0.544581	+2.67%	0.0580	✗	1.21	3.7M	2022-02-26
ARPA	ARPA	Ethereum	0.065	0.066456	+2.24%	0.073	+12.31%	0.0204	✓	1.44	605k	2022-02-26
XEM	NEM	native	0.0984	0.1006	+2.24%	0.101	+2.64%	0.0494	✗	1.04	43k	2022-02-26
MED	Medibloc	Osmosis	0.0403	0.041193	+2.22%	0.04014	-0.40%	0.0839	✗	1.14	30k	2022-02-26
TRB	Tellor Tributes	Ethereum	18.67	19.0754	+2.17%	21.2	+13.55%	0.0265	✓	1.55	841k	2022-02-26
BTC	Bitcoin	Bitcoin	37,188.37	37,992.71	+2.16%	39,137.80	+5.24%	0.0214	✗	1.00	734.4M	2022-02-26
BEL	Bella Protocol	Ethereum	0.861	0.879061	+2.10%	0.895	+3.95%	0.0519	✗	1.37	2.4M	2022-02-26
BAR	FC Barcelona Fan Token	Solana	5.84	5.9611	+2.07%	5.38	-7.88%	0.1426	✗	0.78	504k	2022-02-26
KSM	Kusama	Hydration	164.64	168.0161	+2.05%	124.78	-24.21%	0.3588	✗	1.20	1.3M	2022-02-26
DKA	dKargo	Ethereum	0.08437	0.086095	+2.05%	0.08727	+3.44%	0.0473	✗	1.19	46k	2022-02-26
EWT	Energy Web Token	Ethereum	5.873	5.9914	+2.02%	5.009	-14.71%	0.2217	✗	0.83	145k	2022-02-26
MOVR	Moonriver	Base	73.6045	75.0842	+2.01%	64.8155	-11.94%	0.2092	✗	1.22	442k	2022-02-26
SUN	Sun Token	Tron	0.014097	0.014378	+2.00%	0.01194	-15.30%	0.2465	✗	1.19	2.7M	2022-02-26
DOGE	Dogecoin	Dogecoin	0.141443	0.144262	+1.99%	0.127595	-9.79%	0.1765	✗	1.05	7.1M	2022-02-26
IMX	Immutable	Ethereum	2.65	2.702	+1.96%	1.5	-43.40%	0.6661	✗	1.52	2.2M	2022-02-26
TWT	Trust Wallet	Binance Smart Chain	0.5092	0.518995	+1.92%	0.504	-1.02%	0.0990	✗	1.36	2.8M	2022-02-26
OXT	Orchid Protocol	Ethereum	0.2343	0.238684	+1.87%	0.226	-3.54%	0.1180	✗	1.24	1.8M	2022-02-26
GITCOIN	GITCOIN		6.745	6.8708	+1.86%	6.245	-7.41%	0.1076	✗	0.24	38k	2022-02-26
ETH	Ethereum	Ethereum	2,425.82	2,470.96	+1.86%	2,780.71	+14.63%	0.0618	✓	1.10	569.1M	2022-02-26
CTK	Shentu	Osmosis	1.42	1.4463	+1.85%	1.148	-19.15%	0.2969	✗	1.29	3.6M	2022-02-26
AXS	Axie Infinity	Ethereum	47.47	48.3364	+1.83%	50.44	+6.26%	0.0168	✓	1.16	7.5M	2022-02-26
GT	Gate	Ethereum	6.5312	6.6496	+1.81%	6.4106	-1.85%	0.0841	✗	0.93	4.2M	2022-02-26
DASH	Dash	Dash	91.73	93.3919	+1.81%	93.68	+2.13%	0.0571	✗	1.18	3.0M	2022-02-26
BAND	Band	Ethereum	3.38	3.4391	+1.75%	3.6	+6.51%	0.0175	✗	1.24	2.5M	2022-02-26
DYDX	dYdX	Cosmos	5.722	5.8219	+1.75%	5.391	-5.78%	0.1270	✗	0.98	320k	2022-02-26
LTC	Litecoin	Litecoin	106.92	108.7777	+1.74%	108.29	+1.28%	0.0727	✗	1.33	35.7M	2022-02-26
ETC	Ethereum Classic	native	24.33	24.7503	+1.73%	28.91	+18.82%	0.1005	✓	1.07	3.8M	2022-02-26
XLM	Stellar	Stellar	0.194019	0.19736	+1.72%	0.192899	-0.58%	0.0756	✗	1.03	26.2M	2022-02-26
ZEN	Horizen	Base	36.7	37.3291	+1.71%	33.26	-9.37%	0.1956	✗	1.57	626k	2022-02-26
SPELL	Spell	Ethereum	0.00534	0.005431	+1.71%	0.00431	-19.29%	0.3472	✗	2.27	21.3M	2022-02-26
DOT	Polkadot	Polkadot	18.13	18.4145	+1.57%	18.04	-0.50%	0.0909	✗	1.38	54.6M	2022-02-26
IOTA	IOTA	IOTA	0.8032	0.814841	+1.45%	0.7459	-7.13%	0.1445	✗	1.10	20.0M	2022-02-26
XYO	XYO Network	Ethereum	0.020242	0.020514	+1.34%	0.01882	-7.02%	0.1434	✗	1.12	3.2M	2022-02-26
MINA	Mina Protocol	native	2.26	2.2897	+1.32%	2.05	-9.29%	0.1712	✗	1.19	626k	2022-02-26
ANKR	Ankr Network	Ethereum	0.07195	0.072831	+1.22%	0.06611	-8.12%	0.1369	✗	0.78	60k	2022-02-26
BCHSV	Bitcoin Cash SV		89.31	90.3844	+1.20%	84.76	-5.09%	0.1125	✗	0.94	1.7M	2022-02-26
QTUM	Qtum	Qtum	5.5654	5.6295	+1.15%	6.1323	+10.19%	0.0127	✓	1.43	227k	2022-02-26
CTSI	Cartesi	Ethereum	0.4474	0.452379	+1.11%	0.3655	-18.31%	0.2838	✗	1.38	2.5M	2022-02-26
SUPER	SuperVerse	Ethereum	0.65	0.656802	+1.05%	0.7	+7.69%	0.0322	✗	1.88	1.2M	2022-02-26
WBTC	Wrapped Bitcoin	Ethereum	37,269.30	37,620.31	+0.94%	39,589.70	+6.23%	0.0008	✓	1.01	47k	2022-02-26
BNT	Bancor Network	Ethereum	2.3	2.3207	+0.90%	2.3	+0.00%	0.0608	✗	1.02	800k	2022-02-26
ASR	AS Roma Fan Token	Solana	2.955	2.98	+0.85%	2.576	-12.83%	0.1863	✗	0.79	431k	2022-02-26
CBK	Cobak	Ethereum	2.121	2.1356	+0.69%	2.285	+7.73%	0.0125	✓	1.08	23k	2022-02-26
NMR	Numeraire	Ethereum	26.76	26.9436	+0.69%	30.18	+12.78%	0.0732	✓	0.79	377k	2022-02-26
AVAX	Avalanche	Avalanche	64.73	65.1668	+0.67%	81.79	+26.36%	0.1597	✓	1.32	92.3M	2022-02-26
COTI	COTI	Ethereum	0.2772	0.278942	+0.63%	0.2129	-23.20%	0.3490	✗	1.54	4.2M	2022-02-26
ACM	AC Milan Fan Token	Solana	3.89	3.9129	+0.59%	4.058	+4.32%	0.0036	✓	0.78	396k	2022-02-26
OMG	OMG Network	Ethereum	4.2126	4.2361	+0.56%	4.0234	-4.49%	0.1131	✗	1.21	403k	2022-02-26
PORTO	FC Porto	Binance Smart Chain	2.7628	2.7778	+0.54%	2.7384	-0.88%	0.0668	✗	1.03	1.9M	2022-02-26
CVC	Civic	Ethereum	0.2367	0.237912	+0.51%	0.2767	+16.90%	0.0940	✓	1.12	469k	2022-02-26
ASM	Assemble AI	Ethereum	0.04978	0.050016	+0.47%	0.04782	-3.94%	0.1174	✗	1.42	1.7M	2022-02-26
ENJ	Enjin Coin	Ethereum	1.58	1.5871	+0.45%	1.441	-8.80%	0.1626	✗	1.29	1.8M	2022-02-26
SNX	Synthetix	Ethereum	4.57	4.5871	+0.38%	3.874	-15.23%	0.2325	✗	1.24	3.1M	2022-02-26
LINK	Chainlink	Ethereum	15.23	15.2549	+0.16%	14.72	-3.35%	0.0976	✗	1.21	81.3M	2022-02-26
KCS	KuCoin	native	16.064	16.081	+0.11%	19.708	+22.68%	0.1264	✓	1.51	10.9M	2022-02-26
GTC	Gitcoin	Ethereum	6.75	6.7495	-0.01%	6.27	-7.11%	0.0879	✓	0.28	2.0M	2022-02-26
GODS	Gods Unchained	Ethereum	2.23	2.2285	-0.07%	1.24	-44.39%	0.6653	✓	1.55	2.6M	2022-02-26
FIL	Filecoin	Filecoin	19.21	19.1636	-0.24%	19.06	-0.78%	0.0657	✓	1.18	13.6M	2022-02-26
XTZ	Tezos	Tezos	2.9095	2.9014	-0.28%	3.4172	+17.45%	0.0942	✗	1.36	2.6M	2022-02-26
CITY	Manchester City Fan Token	Solana	8.93	8.896	-0.38%	9.33	+4.48%	0.0095	✗	0.75	724k	2022-02-26
ADA	Cardano	Cardano	1.0428	1.0381	-0.45%	0.8873	-14.91%	0.2148	✓	1.13	113.2M	2022-02-26
CRV	Curve DAO	Ethereum	2.79	2.7768	-0.47%	2.394	-14.19%	0.2198	✓	1.40	26.3M	2022-02-26
LUNA	Terra	Terra 2	54.08	53.6937	-0.71%	78.15	+44.51%	0.2885	✗	1.70	8.6M	2022-02-26
LEO	LEO Token	Ethereum	3.4851	3.4596	-0.73%	6.0612	+73.92%	0.5618	✗	-0.02	371k	2022-02-26
CELL	Cellframe	Ethereum	0.8569	0.850579	-0.74%	1.6235	+89.46%	0.5695	✗	1.50	107k	2022-02-26
OG	OG Fan Token	Solana	3.107	3.0821	-0.80%	2.874	-7.50%	0.1138	✓	0.86	944k	2022-02-26
PEOPLE	ConstitutionDAO	Ethereum	0.0541	0.0536	-0.92%	0.0712	+31.61%	0.1737	✗	2.16	22.4M	2022-02-26
BICO	Biconomy	Ethereum	1.95	1.9263	-1.21%	1.276	-34.56%	0.4870	✓	1.47	4.6M	2022-02-26
FTT	FTX	Ethereum	38.35	37.8095	-1.41%	43.29	+12.88%	0.0737	✗	1.21	35.1M	2022-02-26
SANTOS	Santos FC Fan Token	Binance Smart Chain	2.637	2.5971	-1.51%	2.305	-12.59%	0.1978	✓	1.54	1.0M	2022-02-26
METRONOME	METRONOME		2.7225	2.6793	-1.59%	2.2359	-17.87%	0.2241	✓	0.85	8,523	2022-02-26
SUSHI	Sushi	Ethereum	4.05	3.979	-1.75%	3.25	-19.75%	0.2710	✓	1.34	12.5M	2022-02-26
YFI	yearn.finance	Ethereum	23,910.78	23,336.80	-2.40%	20,876.08	-12.69%	0.1587	✓	0.93	19.5M	2022-02-26
BFC	Bifrost	Ethereum	0.17087	0.166537	-2.54%	0.15626	-8.55%	0.1438	✓	1.57	18k	2022-02-26
ICP	Internet Computer	Ethereum	19.61	19.0653	-2.78%	17.73	-9.59%	0.1365	✓	1.25	34.3M	2022-02-26
CWEB	Coinweb	Ethereum	0.050557	0.048821	-3.43%	0.02263	-55.24%	0.8200	✓	1.00	332k	2022-02-26
ATOM	Cosmos Hub	Cosmos	30	28.9199	-3.60%	29.89	-0.37%	0.0251	✓	1.14	130.3M	2022-02-26
POWR	Powerledger	Ethereum	0.5303	0.510361	-3.76%	0.5505	+3.81%	0.0164	✓	1.16	2.1M	2022-02-26
API3	Api3	Ethereum	3.97	3.8095	-4.04%	6.528	+64.43%	0.5260	✗	0.25	570k	2022-02-26
KNC	Kyber Network Crystal	Ethereum	1.8043	1.7208	-4.63%	1.8532	+2.71%	0.0344	✓	0.78	2.6M	2022-02-26
NCT	PolySwarm	Ethereum	0.04444	0.042324	-4.76%	0.03453	-22.30%	0.2546	✓	1.00	6.4M	2022-02-26
ASTR	Astar	Ethereum	0.093	0.086748	-6.72%	0.141	+51.61%	0.4347	✗	1.00	141k	2022-02-26
GLMR	Moonbeam	Base	6.617	6.1522	-7.02%	2.581	-60.99%	0.9197	✓	1.00	1.6M	2022-02-26
PRO	Propy	Ethereum	2.38	2.2009	-7.53%	1.86	-21.85%	0.2194	✓	1.00	3.8M	2022-02-26
DUSK	DUSK	Ethereum	0.6525	0.600781	-7.93%	0.3507	-46.25%	0.6358	✓	1.91	52.0M	2022-02-26
POKT	Pocket Network	Ethereum	1.2041	1.0986	-8.76%	0.794	-34.06%	0.3758	✓	1.00	3.6M	2022-02-26

Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.