2022-01-26 · +1d

gru_s4 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 143 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.

+1d +7d +30d asset cohort only

rank IC

-0.0483

143 of 143 tokens assessed

long-short decile

-3.14%

realised beta-adjusted alpha

direction hit

30.8%

in alpha space · 42.0% on raw price

BTC over horizon

+0.94%

the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (143 rows, sorted by pred)

token	name	chain	anchor px	pred px ▾	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d	vol 30d	target
NAKA	Nakamoto Games	Polygon	0.4593	0.465279	+1.30%	0.4535	-1.26%	0.0400	✗	1.53	2.2M	2022-01-27
AGLD	Adventure Gold	Ethereum	0.8	0.808039	+1.00%	0.81	+1.25%	0.0125	✗	1.59	538k	2022-01-27
AAVE	Aave	Ethereum	146.64	148.0043	+0.93%	144.54	-1.43%	0.0362	✗	1.34	14.8M	2022-01-27
POKT	Pocket Network	Ethereum	1.2547	1.2663	+0.92%	1.2041	-4.03%	0.0598	✗	1.00	3.7M	2022-01-27
TRAC	OriginTrail	Ethereum	0.5576	0.562671	+0.91%	0.5781	+3.68%	0.0127	✓	1.53	1.4M	2022-01-27
SPELL	Spell	Ethereum	0.0078	0.007869	+0.89%	0.00534	-31.54%	0.4103	✗	2.40	21.3M	2022-01-27
MOVR	Moonriver	Base	78.4855	79.1555	+0.85%	73.6045	-6.22%	0.0842	✗	1.22	445k	2022-01-27
NCT	PolySwarm	Ethereum	0.05048	0.050904	+0.84%	0.04444	-11.97%	0.1452	✗	1.00	9.1M	2022-01-27
CERE	Cere Network	Ethereum	0.034	0.034268	+0.79%	0.0357	+5.00%	0.0272	✓	1.47	927k	2022-01-27
BICO	Biconomy	Ethereum	1.91	1.9245	+0.76%	1.95	+2.09%	0.0006	✓	1.46	5.2M	2022-01-27
XVS	Venus	Ethereum	7.92	7.9788	+0.74%	8.39	+5.93%	0.0379	✓	1.31	3.0M	2022-01-27
RLC	iExec RLC	Ethereum	1.73	1.7428	+0.74%	1.76	+1.73%	0.0029	✓	1.36	2.9M	2022-01-27
TKO	Tokocrypto	Binance Smart Chain	0.746	0.75138	+0.72%	0.725	-2.82%	0.0462	✗	1.11	2.0M	2022-01-27
MASK	Mask Network	Ethereum	5.64	5.6805	+0.72%	5.62	-0.35%	0.0195	✗	0.94	990k	2022-01-27
LAZIO	Lazio Fan Token	Binance Smart Chain	3.0743	3.096	+0.71%	3.0464	-0.91%	0.0267	✗	1.12	3.7M	2022-01-27
QNT	Quant	Ethereum	97.63	98.3137	+0.70%	93.16	-4.58%	0.0635	✗	1.03	7.5M	2022-01-27
CRV	Curve DAO	Ethereum	2.87	2.8899	+0.69%	2.79	-2.79%	0.0482	✗	1.38	27.8M	2022-01-27
AUCTION	Bounce	Ethereum	13	13.0894	+0.69%	13.95	+7.31%	0.0542	✓	1.01	841k	2022-01-27
DODO	DODO	Ethereum	0.501	0.504416	+0.68%	0.482	-3.79%	0.0601	✗	1.56	6.4M	2022-01-27
LINK	Chainlink	Ethereum	15.24	15.3409	+0.66%	15.23	-0.07%	0.0186	✗	1.21	84.2M	2022-01-27
COMP	Compound	Ethereum	125.05	125.8735	+0.66%	121.94	-2.49%	0.0438	✗	1.29	80k	2022-01-27
RIF	Rootstock Infrastructure Framework	Ethereum	0.115	0.115757	+0.66%	0.1146	-0.35%	0.0190	✗	0.95	349k	2022-01-27
ENS	Ethereum Name Service	Ethereum	17.02	17.132	+0.66%	16.82	-1.18%	0.0354	✗	1.81	4.0M	2022-01-27
ATM	Atletico Madrid Fan Token	Solana	4.91	4.9423	+0.66%	5.12	+4.28%	0.0286	✓	0.72	457k	2022-01-27
ALGO	Algorand	Algorand	0.9233	0.929357	+0.66%	0.9364	+1.42%	0.0033	✓	1.16	38.4M	2022-01-27
RAD	Radworks	Ethereum	5.05	5.0828	+0.65%	5.07	+0.40%	0.0117	✗	0.98	1.1M	2022-01-27
KSM	Kusama	Hydration	165.32	166.38	+0.64%	164.64	-0.41%	0.0217	✗	1.19	1.3M	2022-01-27
ZEC	Zcash	Zcash	89.84	90.413	+0.64%	88.89	-1.06%	0.0294	✗	1.32	7.8M	2022-01-27
ICP	Internet Computer	Ethereum	19.86	19.9827	+0.62%	19.61	-1.26%	0.0307	✗	1.26	34.9M	2022-01-27
VSYS	V.SYSTEMS	native	0.01218	0.012255	+0.61%	0.01439	+18.14%	0.1522	✓	0.89	19k	2022-01-27
GRT	The Graph	Ethereum	0.4047	0.407165	+0.61%	0.4054	+0.17%	0.0164	✗	1.28	11.7M	2022-01-27
SOL	Solana	Solana	92.18	92.7381	+0.61%	89.55	-2.85%	0.0461	✗	1.19	164.2M	2022-01-27
XVG	Verge	native	0.00978	0.009838	+0.60%	0.00965	-1.33%	0.0318	✗	1.32	1.7M	2022-01-27
HIVE	Hive	native	0.8673	0.872464	+0.60%	0.8838	+1.90%	0.0012	✓	1.50	3.5M	2022-01-27
CHZ	Chiliz	Ethereum	0.1727	0.173718	+0.59%	0.1754	+1.56%	0.0034	✓	1.38	4.1M	2022-01-27
XMR	Monero	Monero	148.42	149.2906	+0.59%	144.6	-2.57%	0.0413	✗	1.00	2.3M	2022-01-27
JASMY	JasmyCoin	Ethereum	0.0472	0.047476	+0.59%	0.04646	-1.57%	0.0341	✗	1.33	9.9M	2022-01-27
MANA	Decentraland	Ethereum	2.1607	2.1733	+0.58%	2.2527	+4.26%	0.0258	✓	1.08	3.1M	2022-01-27
BAND	Band	Ethereum	3.44	3.4599	+0.58%	3.38	-1.74%	0.0351	✗	1.24	2.5M	2022-01-27
PEOPLE	ConstitutionDAO	Ethereum	0.0439	0.044152	+0.57%	0.0541	+23.23%	0.1843	✓	2.02	22.4M	2022-01-27
UNI	Uniswap	Ethereum	10.58	10.6398	+0.57%	10.32	-2.46%	0.0430	✗	1.33	12.5M	2022-01-27
STORJ	Storj	Ethereum	1.068	1.0739	+0.56%	1.0754	+0.69%	0.0080	✗	0.99	402k	2022-01-27
TRB	Tellor Tributes	Ethereum	18.91	19.0146	+0.55%	18.67	-1.27%	0.0328	✗	1.55	871k	2022-01-27
XPR	XPR Network	Ethereum	0.01035	0.010406	+0.54%	0.01041	+0.58%	0.0116	✗	1.27	2.3M	2022-01-27
GTC	Gitcoin	Ethereum	7.03	7.0677	+0.54%	6.75	-3.98%	0.0488	✗	0.30	2.2M	2022-01-27
OGN	Origin Token	Ethereum	0.322	0.323717	+0.53%	0.314	-2.48%	0.0438	✗	1.42	1.6M	2022-01-27
LCX	LCX	Ethereum	0.0991	0.099615	+0.52%	0.0947	-4.44%	0.0646	✗	1.49	1.9M	2022-01-27
SHIB	Shiba Inu	Ethereum	0.00002111	0.000021219	+0.52%	0.00002125	+0.66%	0.0119	✗	1.42	1.8M	2022-01-27
DEXE	DeXe	Ethereum	6.13	6.1615	+0.51%	6.37	+3.92%	0.0313	✓	0.21	1.2M	2022-01-27
DASH	Dash	Dash	93.16	93.639	+0.51%	91.73	-1.53%	0.0317	✗	1.18	3.1M	2022-01-27
SUN	Sun Token	Tron	0.014587	0.014661	+0.51%	0.014097	-3.36%	0.0505	✗	1.19	2.7M	2022-01-27
GITCOIN	GITCOIN		6.982	7.017	+0.50%	6.745	-3.39%	0.0420	✗	0.26	38k	2022-01-27
PSG	Paris Saint-Germain Fan Token	Solana	12.63	12.6921	+0.49%	12.75	+0.95%	0.0019	✓	0.68	801k	2022-01-27
1INCH	1INCH	Ethereum	1.63	1.638	+0.49%	1.59	-2.45%	0.0416	✗	1.26	2.3M	2022-01-27
AXS	Axie Infinity	Ethereum	49.62	49.8632	+0.49%	47.47	-4.33%	0.0605	✗	1.21	7.8M	2022-01-27
MTL	Metal DAO	Metal L2	1.401	1.4078	+0.48%	1.399	-0.14%	0.0174	✗	1.18	1.8M	2022-01-27
UMA	UMA	Ethereum	5.87	5.898	+0.48%	5.67	-3.41%	0.0494	✗	1.06	2.6M	2022-01-27
PHA	PHALA	Ethereum	0.247	0.248177	+0.48%	0.243	-1.62%	0.0301	✗	0.96	70k	2022-01-27
AMP	Amp	Ethereum	0.02988	0.030022	+0.48%	0.02909	-2.64%	0.0403	✗	0.93	9.2M	2022-01-27
SUSHI	Sushi	Ethereum	4.26	4.2801	+0.47%	4.05	-4.93%	0.0680	✗	1.36	13.0M	2022-01-27
BAR	FC Barcelona Fan Token	Solana	5.62	5.6459	+0.46%	5.84	+3.91%	0.0265	✓	0.78	531k	2022-01-27
GT	Gate	Ethereum	6.3615	6.3904	+0.45%	6.5312	+2.67%	0.0130	✓	0.94	4.3M	2022-01-27
TWT	Trust Wallet	Binance Smart Chain	0.5015	0.503769	+0.45%	0.5092	+1.54%	0.0020	✓	1.35	2.9M	2022-01-27
FIL	Filecoin	Filecoin	19.28	19.3653	+0.44%	19.21	-0.36%	0.0192	✗	1.18	14.0M	2022-01-27
BEL	Bella Protocol	Ethereum	0.856	0.859768	+0.44%	0.861	+0.58%	0.0115	✗	1.38	2.4M	2022-01-27
LPT	Livepeer	Ethereum	24.1	24.2061	+0.44%	24.3	+0.83%	0.0117	✗	1.66	2.7M	2022-01-27
ACH	Alchemy Pay	Ethereum	0.041779	0.041961	+0.44%	0.038232	-8.49%	0.1049	✗	1.26	10.8M	2022-01-27
BAT	Basic Attention	Ethereum	0.80993	0.813456	+0.44%	0.83214	+2.74%	0.0060	✓	1.78	698k	2022-01-27
COTI	COTI	Ethereum	0.2561	0.257202	+0.43%	0.2772	+8.24%	0.0605	✓	1.53	4.3M	2022-01-27
MINA	Mina Protocol	native	2.31	2.3198	+0.43%	2.26	-2.16%	0.0372	✗	1.18	667k	2022-01-27
DKA	dKargo	Ethereum	0.08331	0.083663	+0.42%	0.08437	+1.27%	0.0027	✓	1.18	45k	2022-01-27
ZEN	Horizen	Base	36.62	36.7746	+0.42%	36.7	+0.22%	0.0168	✗	1.57	626k	2022-01-27
LRC	Loopring	Ethereum	1.0722	1.0767	+0.42%	0.9645	-10.04%	0.1286	✗	1.98	1.2M	2022-01-27
BTC	Bitcoin	Bitcoin	36,840.63	36,995.16	+0.42%	37,188.37	+0.94%	0.0042	✓	1.00	734.4M	2022-01-27
ETH	Ethereum	Ethereum	2,465.00	2,475.22	+0.41%	2,425.82	-1.59%	0.0306	✗	1.11	569.1M	2022-01-27
NMR	Numeraire	Ethereum	20.41	20.4932	+0.41%	26.76	+31.11%	0.2599	✓	0.74	377k	2022-01-27
SUPER	SuperVerse	Ethereum	0.67	0.672722	+0.41%	0.65	-2.99%	0.0521	✗	1.89	1.2M	2022-01-27
DOGE	Dogecoin	Dogecoin	0.143059	0.143639	+0.41%	0.141443	-1.13%	0.0251	✗	1.03	7.1M	2022-01-27
TRX	TRON	Tron	0.056164	0.056391	+0.40%	0.056453	+0.51%	0.0078	✗	0.95	491k	2022-01-27
IOTA	IOTA	IOTA	0.8025	0.805742	+0.40%	0.8032	+0.09%	0.0135	✗	1.10	20.8M	2022-01-27
ENJ	Enjin Coin	Ethereum	1.552	1.5582	+0.40%	1.58	+1.80%	0.0017	✓	1.30	1.8M	2022-01-27
SC	Siacoin	native	0.00956	0.009598	+0.40%	0.00962	+0.63%	0.0077	✗	1.06	630k	2022-01-27
JUV	Juventus Fan Token	Solana	5.68	5.7023	+0.39%	5.9	+3.87%	0.0262	✓	0.84	561k	2022-01-27
MED	Medibloc	Osmosis	0.03832	0.03847	+0.39%	0.0403	+5.17%	0.0359	✓	1.12	30k	2022-01-27
ETC	Ethereum Classic	native	24.34	24.4352	+0.39%	24.33	-0.04%	0.0144	✗	1.08	4.1M	2022-01-27
CTK	Shentu	Osmosis	1.333	1.3382	+0.39%	1.42	+6.53%	0.0474	✓	1.27	3.6M	2022-01-27
DNT	district0x	Ethereum	0.0799	0.080207	+0.38%	0.0794	-0.63%	0.0217	✗	1.24	342k	2022-01-27
EWT	Energy Web Token	Ethereum	6.051	6.0738	+0.38%	5.873	-2.94%	0.0413	✗	0.81	156k	2022-01-27
UOS	Ultra	Ethereum	1.0283	1.0321	+0.37%	0.99692	-3.05%	0.0467	✗	1.27	2.4M	2022-01-27
BCH	Bitcoin Cash	Bitcoin Cash	289.23	290.2971	+0.37%	289.64	+0.14%	0.0121	✗	1.04	8.5M	2022-01-27
XYM	Symbol	native	0.1625	0.16309	+0.36%	0.1614	-0.68%	0.0165	✗	0.65	570k	2022-01-27
ORBS	Orbs	Ethereum	0.0618	0.062023	+0.36%	0.0638	+3.24%	0.0178	✓	1.12	21k	2022-01-27
LSK	Lisk	Ethereum	1.6506	1.6564	+0.36%	1.5616	-5.39%	0.0693	✗	1.11	93k	2022-01-27
XYO	XYO Network	Ethereum	0.020906	0.020979	+0.35%	0.020242	-3.18%	0.0463	✗	1.13	3.4M	2022-01-27
DOT	Polkadot	Polkadot	18.05	18.1132	+0.35%	18.13	+0.44%	0.0121	✗	1.39	58.4M	2022-01-27
XLM	Stellar	Stellar	0.196933	0.197622	+0.35%	0.194019	-1.48%	0.0282	✗	1.05	27.5M	2022-01-27
ASM	Assemble AI	Ethereum	0.0491	0.049271	+0.35%	0.04978	+1.38%	0.0039	✗	1.51	1.8M	2022-01-27
BNT	Bancor Network	Ethereum	2.32	2.328	+0.34%	2.3	-0.86%	0.0216	✗	1.02	800k	2022-01-27
YFI	yearn.finance	Ethereum	24,190.20	24,273.00	+0.34%	23,910.78	-1.16%	0.0238	✗	0.93	20.9M	2022-01-27
ASR	AS Roma Fan Token	Solana	2.887	2.8969	+0.34%	2.955	+2.36%	0.0124	✓	0.79	478k	2022-01-27
CVC	Civic	Ethereum	0.2242	0.224964	+0.34%	0.2367	+5.58%	0.0404	✓	1.11	469k	2022-01-27
ZRX	0x Protocol	Ethereum	0.530813	0.532559	+0.33%	0.530399	-0.08%	0.0156	✗	1.23	3.4M	2022-01-27
GLMR	Moonbeam	Base	7.333	7.3568	+0.32%	6.617	-9.76%	0.1154	✗	1.00	1.6M	2022-01-27
NANO	nanopay	Base	2.3802	2.388	+0.32%	2.3156	-2.71%	0.0428	✗	1.29	841k	2022-01-27
OG	OG Fan Token	Solana	3.038	3.0479	+0.32%	3.107	+2.27%	0.0111	✓	0.87	993k	2022-01-27
XEC	eCash	native	0.00007183	0.000072063	+0.32%	0.00007022	-2.24%	0.0363	✗	1.11	5.9M	2022-01-27
OMG	OMG Network	Ethereum	4.2234	4.2369	+0.32%	4.2126	-0.25%	0.0171	✗	1.21	403k	2022-01-27
CWEB	Coinweb	Ethereum	0.052469	0.052632	+0.31%	0.050557	-3.64%	0.0496	✗	1.00	363k	2022-01-27
SKL	SKALE	Ethereum	0.1184	0.118756	+0.30%	0.1127	-4.81%	0.0647	✗	1.32	4.1M	2022-01-27
XEM	NEM	native	0.0977	0.097991	+0.30%	0.0984	+0.72%	0.0057	✗	1.05	43k	2022-01-27
GODS	Gods Unchained	Ethereum	2.3	2.3068	+0.30%	2.23	-3.04%	0.0485	✗	1.56	2.6M	2022-01-27
ANKR	Ankr Network	Ethereum	0.06885	0.069049	+0.29%	0.07195	+4.50%	0.0337	✓	0.79	60k	2022-01-27
CBK	Cobak	Ethereum	2.086	2.092	+0.29%	2.121	+1.68%	0.0035	✓	1.10	23k	2022-01-27
CTSI	Cartesi	Ethereum	0.4503	0.451591	+0.29%	0.4474	-0.64%	0.0223	✗	1.38	2.6M	2022-01-27
XTZ	Tezos	Tezos	2.9426	2.9508	+0.28%	2.9095	-1.12%	0.0270	✗	1.37	2.6M	2022-01-27
LUNA	Terra	Terra 2	58.8	58.9578	+0.27%	54.08	-8.03%	0.1028	✗	1.75	8.6M	2022-01-27
DYDX	dYdX	Cosmos	5.876	5.8916	+0.27%	5.722	-2.62%	0.0384	✗	0.98	320k	2022-01-27
PORTO	FC Porto	Binance Smart Chain	2.6906	2.6977	+0.27%	2.7628	+2.68%	0.0142	✓	1.02	1.9M	2022-01-27
AVAX	Avalanche	Avalanche	65.89	66.0621	+0.26%	64.73	-1.76%	0.0327	✗	1.31	92.3M	2022-01-27
BCHSV	Bitcoin Cash SV		90.62	90.8552	+0.26%	89.31	-1.45%	0.0261	✗	0.95	1.7M	2022-01-27
OXT	Orchid Protocol	Ethereum	0.235	0.235596	+0.25%	0.2343	-0.30%	0.0171	✗	1.23	1.9M	2022-01-27
QTUM	Qtum	Qtum	5.5942	5.6081	+0.25%	5.5654	-0.51%	0.0210	✗	1.42	229k	2022-01-27
ARPA	ARPA	Ethereum	0.0645	0.064649	+0.23%	0.065	+0.78%	0.0084	✗	1.47	605k	2022-01-27
ACM	AC Milan Fan Token	Solana	3.788	3.7964	+0.22%	3.89	+2.69%	0.0169	✓	0.79	396k	2022-01-27
WBTC	Wrapped Bitcoin	Ethereum	36,316.90	36,397.11	+0.22%	37,269.30	+2.62%	0.0142	✓	1.01	53k	2022-01-27
SANTOS	Santos FC Fan Token	Binance Smart Chain	2.541	2.5464	+0.21%	2.637	+3.78%	0.0206	✓	1.52	1.0M	2022-01-27
LTC	Litecoin	Litecoin	107	107.2235	+0.21%	106.92	-0.07%	0.0154	✗	1.34	35.8M	2022-01-27
CELL	Cellframe	Ethereum	0.8612	0.862966	+0.21%	0.8569	-0.50%	0.0212	✗	1.51	107k	2022-01-27
ADA	Cardano	Cardano	1.0784	1.0803	+0.18%	1.0428	-3.30%	0.0460	✗	1.13	113.2M	2022-01-27
SNX	Synthetix	Ethereum	4.63	4.638	+0.17%	4.57	-1.30%	0.0266	✗	1.26	3.1M	2022-01-27
DUSK	DUSK	Ethereum	0.6029	0.603646	+0.12%	0.6525	+8.23%	0.0601	✓	1.88	52.0M	2022-01-27
FTT	FTX	Ethereum	36.48	36.5237	+0.12%	38.35	+5.13%	0.0376	✓	1.20	33.0M	2022-01-27
KCS	KuCoin	native	16.167	16.186	+0.12%	16.064	-0.64%	0.0219	✗	1.53	10.9M	2022-01-27
LEO	LEO Token	Ethereum	3.594	3.5981	+0.11%	3.4851	-3.03%	0.0319	✗	-0.01	375k	2022-01-27
CITY	Manchester City Fan Token	Solana	8.86	8.8698	+0.11%	8.93	+0.79%	0.0002	✓	0.74	744k	2022-01-27
ATOM	Cosmos Hub	Cosmos	32.35	32.3613	+0.04%	30	-7.26%	0.0866	✗	1.15	125.9M	2022-01-27
BFC	Bifrost	Ethereum	0.16532	0.165202	-0.07%	0.17087	+3.36%	0.0190	✗	1.57	16k	2022-01-27
API3	Api3	Ethereum	3.78	3.777	-0.08%	3.97	+5.03%	0.0477	✗	0.23	493k	2022-01-27
IMX	Immutable	Ethereum	3	2.9974	-0.09%	2.65	-11.67%	0.1379	✓	1.56	2.2M	2022-01-27
POWR	Powerledger	Ethereum	0.5301	0.529589	-0.10%	0.5303	+0.04%	0.0096	✓	1.16	2.1M	2022-01-27
METRONOME	METRONOME		2.8665	2.862	-0.16%	2.7225	-5.02%	0.0580	✓	0.86	4,332	2022-01-27
KNC	Kyber Network Crystal	Ethereum	1.7265	1.722	-0.26%	1.8043	+4.51%	0.0392	✗	0.80	2.4M	2022-01-27
PRO	Propy	Ethereum	2.48	2.4723	-0.31%	2.38	-4.03%	0.0474	✓	1.00	4.3M	2022-01-27

Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.