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2022-01-26 · +30d

gru_s4 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 143 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.1182
143 of 143 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+27.45%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
60.1%
in alpha space · 55.2% on raw price
BTC over horizon
+6.51%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (143 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▴pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
PROPropyEthereum2.482.2886-7.72%1.96-20.97%0.2181✓1.004.3M2022-02-25
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum1.25471.159-7.62%0.8833-29.60%0.3347✓1.003.7M2022-02-25
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.60290.557071-7.60%0.3513-41.73%0.5798✓1.8852.0M2022-02-25
GLMRMoonbeamBase7.3336.8042-7.21%2.39-67.41%1.1093✓1.001.6M2022-02-25
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.72651.6116-6.65%1.8595+7.70%0.0928✗0.802.4M2022-02-25
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.53010.500356-5.61%0.533+0.55%0.0101✓1.162.1M2022-02-25
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0524690.049672-5.33%0.022712-56.71%0.8456✓1.00363k2022-02-25
YFIyearn.financeEthereum24,190.2022,908.42-5.30%20,170.96-16.62%0.1858✓0.9320.9M2022-02-25
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.050480.047815-5.28%0.03546-29.75%0.3620✓1.009.1M2022-02-25
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos32.3530.715-5.05%27.3-15.61%0.1907✓1.15125.9M2022-02-25
API3Api3Ethereum3.783.6239-4.13%7.09+87.57%0.6567✗0.23493k2022-02-25
SUSHISushiEthereum4.264.1182-3.33%3.3-22.54%0.3071✓1.3613.0M2022-02-25
METRONOMEMETRONOME2.86652.7728-3.27%2.1201-26.04%0.3225✓0.864,3322022-02-25
LUNATerraTerra 258.857.1261-2.85%73.2+24.49%0.1377✗1.758.6M2022-02-25
CRVCurve DAOEthereum2.872.7894-2.81%2.365-17.60%0.2523✓1.3827.8M2022-02-25
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain2.69062.6169-2.74%2.7311+1.51%0.0218✓1.021.9M2022-02-25
DYDXdYdXCosmos5.8765.7212-2.63%5.635-4.10%0.0772✓0.98320k2022-02-25
BFCBifrostEthereum0.165320.161142-2.53%0.15869-4.01%0.1142✓1.5716k2022-02-25
CTKShentuOsmosis1.3331.2995-2.51%1.145-14.10%0.2069✓1.273.6M2022-02-25
CELLCellframeEthereum0.86120.839584-2.51%1.6442+90.92%0.5769✗1.51107k2022-02-25
IMXImmutableEthereum32.9264-2.45%1.536-48.80%0.7432✓1.562.2M2022-02-25
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.04390.042838-2.42%0.0696+58.54%0.3582✗2.0222.4M2022-02-25
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum19.8619.3906-2.36%17.68-10.98%0.1719✓1.2634.9M2022-02-25
GTCGitcoinEthereum7.036.87-2.28%6.32-10.10%0.1025✓0.302.2M2022-02-25
LEOLEO TokenEthereum3.5943.5138-2.23%5.9173+64.64%0.5216✗-0.01375k2022-02-25
FTTFTXEthereum36.4835.6857-2.18%43.09+18.12%0.1132✗1.2033.0M2022-02-25
ADACardanoCardano1.07841.0551-2.16%0.8997-16.57%0.2308✓1.13113.2M2022-02-25
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana2.8872.826-2.11%2.571-10.95%0.1446✓0.79478k2022-02-25
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.809930.793755-2.00%0.7023-13.29%0.2345✓1.78698k2022-02-25
GTGateEthereum6.36156.2353-1.98%6.3134-0.76%0.0466✓0.944.3M2022-02-25
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana8.868.6908-1.91%9.37+5.76%0.0283✗0.74744k2022-02-25
XEMNEMnative0.09770.095854-1.89%0.0985+0.82%0.0392✓1.0543k2022-02-25
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.06180.060695-1.79%0.0646+4.53%0.0080✓1.1221k2022-02-25
BANDBandEthereum3.443.3787-1.78%3.679+6.95%0.0066✓1.242.5M2022-02-25
1INCH1INCHEthereum1.631.6018-1.73%1.453-10.86%0.1769✓1.262.3M2022-02-25
SNXSynthetixEthereum4.634.5509-1.71%4.017-13.24%0.2042✓1.263.1M2022-02-25
XLMStellarStellar0.1969330.193575-1.71%0.191142-2.94%0.0787✓1.0527.5M2022-02-25
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.1430590.140678-1.66%0.127781-10.68%0.1611✓1.037.1M2022-02-25
HIVEHivenative0.86730.853453-1.60%0.9019+3.99%0.0396✓1.503.5M2022-02-25
LSKLiskEthereum1.65061.6243-1.59%1.6127-2.29%0.0769✓1.1193k2022-02-25
FILFilecoinFilecoin19.2819.0067-1.42%18.94-1.76%0.0782✓1.1814.0M2022-02-25
ARPAARPAEthereum0.06450.063589-1.41%0.0734+13.80%0.0510✗1.47605k2022-02-25
OGOG Fan TokenSolana3.0382.9952-1.41%2.9-4.54%0.0871✓0.87993k2022-02-25
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum1.5521.5303-1.40%1.45-6.57%0.1358✓1.301.8M2022-02-25
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.0340.033526-1.40%0.0277-18.53%0.2834✓1.47927k2022-02-25
COTICOTIEthereum0.25610.252635-1.35%0.2121-17.18%0.2716✓1.534.3M2022-02-25
DKAdKargoEthereum0.083310.082193-1.34%0.08597+3.19%0.0298✓1.1845k2022-02-25
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana12.6312.4618-1.33%14.74+16.71%0.1249✗0.68801k2022-02-25
UMAUMAEthereum5.875.792-1.33%4.938-15.88%0.2265✓1.062.6M2022-02-25
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.92330.911043-1.33%0.8312-9.98%0.1647✓1.1638.4M2022-02-25
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.80250.791968-1.31%0.7386-7.96%0.1394✓1.1020.8M2022-02-25
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana5.685.6055-1.31%5.65-0.53%0.0448✓0.84561k2022-02-25
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV90.6289.4597-1.28%84.8-6.42%0.1133✓0.951.7M2022-02-25
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.45930.453424-1.28%0.419-8.77%0.1754✓1.532.2M2022-02-25
DODODODOEthereum0.5010.494745-1.25%0.447-10.78%0.1996✓1.566.4M2022-02-25
LINKChainlinkEthereum15.2415.0528-1.23%14.39-5.58%0.1213✓1.2184.2M2022-02-25
CTSICartesiEthereum0.45030.444967-1.18%0.3727-17.23%0.2641✓1.382.6M2022-02-25
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.5412.5109-1.18%2.336-8.07%0.1683✓1.521.0M2022-02-25
UOSUltraEthereum1.02831.0163-1.16%1.2474+21.31%0.1246✗1.272.4M2022-02-25
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.010350.010238-1.09%0.01016-1.84%0.0878✓1.272.3M2022-02-25
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.012180.012048-1.08%0.01202-1.31%0.0587✓0.8919k2022-02-25
KCSKuCoinnative16.16716.0033-1.01%19.466+20.41%0.0997✗1.5310.9M2022-02-25
MINAMina Protocolnative2.312.2875-0.97%2.09-9.52%0.1646✓1.18667k2022-02-25
XMRMoneroMonero148.42146.9827-0.97%153.74+3.58%0.0183✓1.002.3M2022-02-25
TRBTellor TributesEthereum18.9118.7342-0.93%21.16+11.90%0.0240✗1.55871k2022-02-25
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana3.7883.7543-0.89%4.091+8.00%0.0359✗0.79396k2022-02-25
ETCEthereum Classicnative24.3424.1271-0.87%28.01+15.08%0.0813✗1.084.1M2022-02-25
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.50150.497539-0.79%0.4821-3.87%0.1169✓1.352.9M2022-02-25
QTUMQtumQtum5.59425.5513-0.77%6.1326+9.63%0.0099✗1.42229k2022-02-25
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.670.664957-0.75%0.72+7.46%0.0398✓1.891.2M2022-02-25
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.07990.079366-0.67%0.0689-13.77%0.2195✓1.24342k2022-02-25
XTZTezosTezos2.94262.9233-0.66%3.2131+9.19%0.0078✗1.372.6M2022-02-25
CVCCivicEthereum0.22420.22278-0.63%0.2632+17.40%0.0969✗1.11469k2022-02-25
LPTLivepeerEthereum24.123.9499-0.62%25.27+4.85%0.0509✓1.662.7M2022-02-25
BTCBitcoinBitcoin36,840.6336,623.27-0.59%39,238.48+6.51%0.0059✗1.00734.4M2022-02-25
DASHDashDash93.1692.6261-0.57%92.9-0.28%0.0714✓1.183.1M2022-02-25
ETHEthereumEthereum2,465.002,451.62-0.54%2,769.52+12.35%0.0521✗1.11569.1M2022-02-25
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum2.322.3082-0.51%2.28-1.72%0.0764✓1.02800k2022-02-25
XECeCashnative0.000071830.000071503-0.46%0.00007523+4.73%0.0190✓1.115.9M2022-02-25
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana5.625.5967-0.41%5.3-5.69%0.1036✓0.78531k2022-02-25
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.3220.320753-0.39%0.297-7.76%0.1662✓1.421.6M2022-02-25
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum4.22344.2072-0.38%3.9392-6.73%0.1419✓1.21403k2022-02-25
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.4011.396-0.35%1.445+3.14%0.0401✓1.181.8M2022-02-25
SUNSun TokenTron0.0145870.014541-0.32%0.011713-19.70%0.2915✓1.192.7M2022-02-25
SPELLSpellEthereum0.00780.007777-0.30%0.00434-44.36%0.7348✓2.4021.3M2022-02-25
NMRNumeraireEthereum20.4120.3534-0.28%30.26+48.26%0.3501✗0.74377k2022-02-25
SKLSKALEEthereum0.11840.118086-0.27%0.1292+9.12%0.0067✗1.324.1M2022-02-25
MANADecentralandEthereum2.16072.1551-0.26%2.7367+26.66%0.1711✗1.083.1M2022-02-25
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum6.0516.0363-0.24%4.933-18.48%0.2531✓0.81156k2022-02-25
CBKCobakEthereum2.0862.0811-0.23%2.187+4.84%0.0195✓1.1023k2022-02-25
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche65.8965.7372-0.23%81.05+23.01%0.1265✗1.3192.3M2022-02-25
PHAPHALAEthereum0.2470.246439-0.23%0.229-7.29%0.1342✓0.9670k2022-02-25
SCSiacoinnative0.009560.009538-0.23%0.0088-7.95%0.1471✓1.06630k2022-02-25
MOVRMoonriverBase78.485578.3147-0.22%67.1249-14.47%0.2312✓1.22445k2022-02-25
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.07433.0677-0.21%2.7299-11.20%0.1872✓1.123.7M2022-02-25
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum2.32.2964-0.15%1.21-47.39%0.7391✓1.562.6M2022-02-25
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.04720.047136-0.13%0.01819-61.46%1.0358✓1.339.9M2022-02-25
AMPAmpEthereum0.029880.029841-0.13%0.02922-2.21%0.0798✓0.939.2M2022-02-25
ZENHorizenBase36.6236.5908-0.08%34.73-5.16%0.1511✓1.57626k2022-02-25
ZECZcashZcash89.8489.8236-0.02%106.72+18.79%0.0893✗1.327.8M2022-02-25
BICOBiconomyEthereum1.911.9097-0.02%1.315-31.15%0.4652✓1.465.2M2022-02-25
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.038320.038314-0.02%0.0389+1.51%0.0555✓1.1230k2022-02-25
COMPCompoundEthereum125.05125.0647+0.01%112.66-9.91%0.1856✗1.2980k2022-02-25
RADRadworksEthereum5.055.0509+0.02%4.51-10.69%0.1750✗0.981.1M2022-02-25
LCXLCXEthereum0.09910.099165+0.07%0.082-17.26%0.2841✗1.491.9M2022-02-25
MASKMask NetworkEthereum5.645.6439+0.07%4.62-18.09%0.2592✗0.94990k2022-02-25
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum36,316.9036,343.33+0.07%39,386.50+8.45%0.0166✓1.0153k2022-02-25
XYMSymbolnative0.16250.162637+0.08%0.1469-9.60%0.1426✗0.65570k2022-02-25
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.55760.558156+0.10%0.4634-16.89%0.2824✗1.531.4M2022-02-25
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana4.914.9161+0.12%4.61-6.11%0.1097✗0.72457k2022-02-25
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.2350.235516+0.22%0.2233-4.98%0.1311✗1.231.9M2022-02-25
GITCOINGITCOIN6.9827.0007+0.27%6.282-10.03%0.1248✗0.2638k2022-02-25
RLCiExec RLCEthereum1.731.736+0.34%1.66-4.05%0.1305✗1.362.9M2022-02-25
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.0209060.02098+0.36%0.01813-13.28%0.2170✗1.133.4M2022-02-25
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000021110.000021196+0.41%0.00002483+17.62%0.0688✓1.421.8M2022-02-25
STORJStorjEthereum1.0681.0733+0.49%0.95596-10.49%0.1780✗0.99402k2022-02-25
DEXEDeXeEthereum6.136.1605+0.50%6.33+3.26%0.0139✓0.211.2M2022-02-25
DOTPolkadotPolkadot18.0518.1444+0.52%17.28-4.27%0.1362✗1.3958.4M2022-02-25
KSMKusamaHydration165.32166.21+0.54%124.6-24.63%0.3634✗1.191.3M2022-02-25
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum49.6249.8948+0.55%51.16+3.10%0.0511✗1.217.8M2022-02-25
NANOnanopayBase2.38022.3939+0.58%1.8773-21.13%0.3242✗1.29841k2022-02-25
TRXTRONTron0.0561640.056504+0.60%0.059479+5.90%0.0084✗0.95491k2022-02-25
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.5308130.534464+0.69%0.539539+1.64%0.0682✗1.233.4M2022-02-25
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.40470.407654+0.73%0.3611-10.77%0.2023✗1.2811.7M2022-02-25
LRCLoopringEthereum1.07221.0802+0.74%0.7733-27.88%0.4588✗1.981.2M2022-02-25
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.8560.862808+0.80%0.882+3.04%0.0648✗1.382.4M2022-02-25
CHZChilizEthereum0.17270.174178+0.86%0.1741+0.81%0.0877✗1.384.1M2022-02-25
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0417790.042138+0.86%0.048666+16.48%0.0648✓1.2610.8M2022-02-25
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum17.0217.1806+0.94%14.87-12.63%0.2588✗1.814.0M2022-02-25
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.068850.069503+0.95%0.0649-5.74%0.1186✗0.7960k2022-02-25
AUCTIONBounceEthereum1313.1239+0.95%12.83-1.31%0.0864✗1.01841k2022-02-25
QNTQuantEthereum97.6398.6331+1.03%112.52+15.25%0.0670✓1.037.5M2022-02-25
AAVEAaveEthereum146.64148.1556+1.03%139.7-4.73%0.1430✗1.3414.8M2022-02-25
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.7460.754461+1.13%0.654-12.33%0.2129✗1.112.0M2022-02-25
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.04910.049815+1.46%0.04609-6.13%0.1730✗1.511.8M2022-02-25
UNIUniswapEthereum10.5810.7364+1.48%9.25-12.57%0.2327✗1.3312.5M2022-02-25
LTCLitecoinLitecoin107108.8524+1.73%109.33+2.18%0.0799✗1.3435.8M2022-02-25
XVGVergenative0.009780.009954+1.78%0.00953-2.56%0.1270✗1.321.7M2022-02-25
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.80.81499+1.87%1.168+46.00%0.2598✓1.59538k2022-02-25
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.1150.117587+2.25%0.1468+27.65%0.1620✓0.95349k2022-02-25
SOLSolanaSolana92.1894.4611+2.47%92.84+0.72%0.0921✗1.19164.2M2022-02-25
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash289.23298.5411+3.22%309.04+6.85%0.0312✓1.048.5M2022-02-25
XVSVenusEthereum7.928.3348+5.24%9.2+16.16%0.0160✓1.313.0M2022-02-25
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.