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2022-01-24 · +30d

gru_s4 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 143 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.1851
143 of 143 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+27.20%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
56.6%
in alpha space · 55.7% on raw price
BTC over horizon
+1.57%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (143 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▴pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum1.211.1069-8.52%0.9299-23.15%0.1897✓1.003.9M2022-02-23
PROPropyEthereum2.562.3665-7.56%1.78-30.47%0.3004✓1.005.4M2022-02-23
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.57320.532126-7.17%0.3293-42.55%0.5091✓1.8852.0M2022-02-23
GLMRMoonbeamBase7.4176.8888-7.12%2.27-69.39%1.1257✓1.001.6M2022-02-23
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.55421.4594-6.10%1.7207+10.71%0.1517✗0.842.2M2022-02-23
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos36.0333.9054-5.90%25.15-30.20%0.3172✓1.19115.0M2022-02-23
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.53150.501111-5.72%0.4849-8.77%0.0510✓1.172.1M2022-02-23
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.056260.053612-4.71%0.0366-34.94%0.3973✓1.0012.6M2022-02-23
API3Api3Ethereum3.943.7577-4.63%6.357+61.35%0.5220✗0.24481k2022-02-23
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0530670.050624-4.60%0.022758-57.11%0.8151✓1.00419k2022-02-23
YFIyearn.financeEthereum23,944.8422,867.27-4.50%20,320.95-15.13%0.1326✓0.9420.9M2022-02-23
METRONOMEMETRONOME2.90842.8107-3.36%2.1538-25.95%0.2796✓0.873,3552022-02-23
SUSHISushiEthereum4.44.2638-3.10%3.28-25.45%0.2839✓1.3913.3M2022-02-23
LUNATerraTerra 265.9263.9197-3.03%59.54-9.68%0.0987✓1.798.2M2022-02-23
BFCBifrostEthereum0.166040.161574-2.69%0.14949-9.97%0.1022✓1.589,0202022-02-23
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain2.70442.636-2.53%2.8418+5.08%0.0593✗1.022.1M2022-02-23
DYDXdYdXCosmos5.8985.7546-2.43%5.363-9.07%0.0864✓1.03320k2022-02-23
CRVCurve DAOEthereum2.822.758-2.20%2.285-18.97%0.2097✓1.3830.7M2022-02-23
LEOLEO TokenEthereum3.54763.4723-2.12%6.0975+71.88%0.5627✗0.02375k2022-02-23
CELLCellframeEthereum0.81420.798368-1.94%1.7484+114.74%0.7607✗1.49107k2022-02-23
BANDBandEthereum3.373.3073-1.86%3.655+8.46%0.0808✗1.232.4M2022-02-23
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.03760.036922-1.80%0.0476+26.60%0.2238✗1.9423.4M2022-02-23
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana2.9412.8883-1.79%2.599-11.63%0.1181✓0.81514k2022-02-23
XEMNEMnative0.09770.096022-1.72%0.0943-3.48%0.0351✓1.0943k2022-02-23
GTCGitcoinEthereum6.716.5964-1.69%5.85-12.82%0.1257✓0.362.5M2022-02-23
GTGateEthereum6.24316.1382-1.68%6.1482-1.52%0.0133✓0.964.5M2022-02-23
FTTFTXEthereum35.5934.9932-1.68%40.78+14.58%0.1343✗1.2032.3M2022-02-23
ADACardanoCardano1.06641.0492-1.61%0.8664-18.75%0.2094✓1.16109.4M2022-02-23
XLMStellarStellar0.1981060.194933-1.60%0.181888-8.19%0.0860✓1.0725.6M2022-02-23
CTKShentuOsmosis1.1631.1447-1.57%1.038-10.75%0.1180✓1.303.8M2022-02-23
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum20.7320.4053-1.57%17.29-16.59%0.1859✓1.3034.9M2022-02-23
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana8.648.5059-1.55%9.28+7.41%0.0755✗0.74768k2022-02-23
IMXImmutableEthereum2.312.2756-1.49%1.554-32.73%0.4055✓1.552.2M2022-02-23
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.749570.738503-1.48%0.65943-12.03%0.1411✓1.79792k2022-02-23
1INCH1INCHEthereum1.581.5569-1.46%1.383-12.47%0.1350✓1.072.5M2022-02-23
LSKLiskEthereum1.61271.5892-1.45%1.5861-1.65%0.0194✓1.1295k2022-02-23
HIVEHivenative0.84850.83653-1.41%0.8185-3.54%0.0455✓1.533.8M2022-02-23
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.1374270.135611-1.32%0.127361-7.32%0.0803✓1.137.0M2022-02-23
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV91.7890.6339-1.25%82.17-10.47%0.1134✓0.991.7M2022-02-23
MINAMina Protocolnative2.342.3116-1.21%2.12-9.40%0.1053✓1.21721k2022-02-23
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.05780.057126-1.17%0.0622+7.61%0.0674✗1.1421k2022-02-23
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum1.5041.487-1.13%1.389-7.65%0.0884✓1.301.9M2022-02-23
COTICOTIEthereum0.26190.258962-1.12%0.2039-22.15%0.2644✓1.634.6M2022-02-23
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.91250.902412-1.11%0.7853-13.94%0.1573✓1.1837.0M2022-02-23
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.5682.5401-1.09%2.318-9.74%0.1151✓1.521.2M2022-02-23
UMAUMAEthereum5.945.8765-1.07%4.977-16.21%0.1826✓1.063.3M2022-02-23
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.79060.782192-1.06%0.7126-9.87%0.1108✓1.1322.4M2022-02-23
OGOG Fan TokenSolana3.0813.0484-1.06%2.878-6.59%0.0711✓0.871.1M2022-02-23
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana12.5312.4063-0.99%14.35+14.53%0.1346✗0.71806k2022-02-23
DKAdKargoEthereum0.081580.080813-0.94%0.08287+1.58%0.0062✓1.2245k2022-02-23
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.50790.503236-0.92%0.4922-3.09%0.0427✓1.323.0M2022-02-23
FILFilecoinFilecoin18.4318.2641-0.90%18.43+0.00%0.0098✓1.2114.5M2022-02-23
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.670.66412-0.88%0.67+0.00%0.0206✓1.891.2M2022-02-23
TRBTellor TributesEthereum19.0218.8599-0.84%18.81-1.10%0.0270✓1.56940k2022-02-23
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum2.62.5782-0.84%1.19-54.23%0.7979✓1.592.8M2022-02-23
KCSKuCoinnative15.59115.4652-0.81%18.749+20.26%0.1682✗1.5610.9M2022-02-23
LINKChainlinkEthereum15.6115.4883-0.78%13.34-14.54%0.1685✓1.2479.0M2022-02-23
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana5.595.5474-0.76%5.76+3.04%0.0243✗0.85591k2022-02-23
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum2.342.3233-0.71%2.17-7.26%0.0843✓1.03819k2022-02-23
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.03370.033465-0.70%0.0253-24.93%0.3025✓1.47962k2022-02-23
LPTLivepeerEthereum23.4723.3106-0.68%22.18-5.50%0.0756✓1.662.7M2022-02-23
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.4741.4642-0.66%1.331-9.70%0.1145✓1.231.9M2022-02-23
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.011920.011847-0.61%0.01223+2.60%0.0183✗0.8720k2022-02-23
ETCEthereum Classicnative24.1724.0276-0.59%26.53+9.76%0.0818✗1.113.4M2022-02-23
XMRMoneroMonero147.04146.1802-0.58%149.01+1.34%0.0032✓1.032.5M2022-02-23
CTSICartesiEthereum0.42580.423358-0.57%0.3651-14.26%0.1697✓1.392.7M2022-02-23
XTZTezosTezos2.96412.9477-0.55%2.9331-1.05%0.0268✓1.403.1M2022-02-23
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum6.1286.095-0.54%5.181-15.45%0.1757✓0.85170k2022-02-23
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.010250.010195-0.54%0.01006-1.85%0.0324✓1.232.3M2022-02-23
SPELLSpellEthereum0.007950.007912-0.48%0.00444-44.15%0.6150✓2.4021.3M2022-02-23
ETHEthereumEthereum2,441.742,430.24-0.47%2,580.97+5.70%0.0426✗1.13557.7M2022-02-23
UOSUltraEthereum0.88260.878605-0.45%1.1954+35.44%0.2880✗1.282.4M2022-02-23
DODODODOEthereum0.4770.474975-0.42%0.443-7.13%0.0940✓1.568.0M2022-02-23
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.050180.049968-0.42%0.01802-64.09%1.0411✓1.3611.1M2022-02-23
SNXSynthetixEthereum4.224.2027-0.41%3.748-11.18%0.1344✓1.283.2M2022-02-23
ZECZcashZcash94.4994.1267-0.38%97.51+3.20%0.0143✗1.358.4M2022-02-23
BTCBitcoinBitcoin36,693.3236,553.33-0.38%37,268.19+1.57%0.0038✗1.00682.8M2022-02-23
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana3.7113.697-0.38%4.135+11.43%0.0996✗0.79420k2022-02-23
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.3120.310837-0.37%0.282-9.62%0.1199✓1.451.7M2022-02-23
QTUMQtumQtum5.44875.4287-0.37%5.7401+5.35%0.0330✗1.47251k2022-02-23
PHAPHALAEthereum0.2540.253075-0.36%0.234-7.87%0.0934✓0.9770k2022-02-23
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.45910.457466-0.36%0.4331-5.66%0.0777✓1.482.3M2022-02-23
NMRNumeraireEthereum20.7920.7247-0.31%28.53+37.23%0.3079✗0.75360k2022-02-23
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.14260.142157-0.31%0.1335-6.38%0.0778✓0.97337k2022-02-23
SUNSun TokenTron0.0143370.0143-0.26%0.01214-15.32%0.1827✓1.222.7M2022-02-23
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.07590.075756-0.19%0.0693-8.70%0.1082✓1.23317k2022-02-23
XECeCashnative0.000071950.000071819-0.18%0.00007022-2.40%0.0399✓1.126.3M2022-02-23
CVCCivicEthereum0.21210.211796-0.14%0.2396+12.97%0.1062✗1.11469k2022-02-23
DASHDashDash90.4990.3983-0.10%88.28-2.44%0.0425✓1.212.9M2022-02-23
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche63.0563.0057-0.07%73.5+16.57%0.1335✗1.3287.3M2022-02-23
BICOBiconomyEthereum2.022.0188-0.06%1.294-35.94%0.4676✓1.476.0M2022-02-23
COMPCompoundEthereum124.78124.7513-0.02%109.49-12.25%0.1507✓1.3080k2022-02-23
SCSiacoinnative0.009360.009359-0.01%0.0084-10.26%0.1251✓1.09641k2022-02-23
MANADecentralandEthereum2.082.0805+0.02%2.5516+22.67%0.1860✓1.163.7M2022-02-23
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.5540.554135+0.02%0.4391-20.74%0.2564✗1.521.4M2022-02-23
LCXLCXEthereum0.10230.102362+0.06%0.0845-17.40%0.2150✗1.492.0M2022-02-23
KSMKusamaHydration174.93175.0596+0.07%123.58-29.35%0.3669✗1.201.4M2022-02-23
RADRadworksEthereum5.075.0764+0.13%4.86-4.14%0.0595✗1.031.1M2022-02-23
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana5.55.5131+0.24%5.27-4.18%0.0571✗0.77640k2022-02-23
CBKCobakEthereum2.0072.012+0.25%2.007+0.00%0.0200✗1.1324k2022-02-23
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum4.11384.1246+0.26%3.8658-6.03%0.0838✗1.22443k2022-02-23
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.04653.0552+0.28%2.7875-8.50%0.1090✗1.123.9M2022-02-23
SKLSKALEEthereum0.11110.111434+0.30%0.1206+8.55%0.0580✓1.364.2M2022-02-23
ZENHorizenBase34.1134.2175+0.32%32.84-3.72%0.0656✗1.58626k2022-02-23
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000021230.000021302+0.34%0.00002484+17.00%0.1316✓1.421.8M2022-02-23
ARPAARPAEthereum0.05570.055903+0.36%0.0687+23.34%0.1830✓1.49638k2022-02-23
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana4.864.8779+0.37%4.68-3.70%0.0527✗0.73480k2022-02-23
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.037660.037799+0.37%0.03744-0.58%0.0274✗1.1528k2022-02-23
DEXEDeXeEthereum6.186.2035+0.38%6.71+8.58%0.0748✓0.231.2M2022-02-23
XYMSymbolnative0.15720.157809+0.39%0.147-6.49%0.0817✗0.69573k2022-02-23
MASKMask NetworkEthereum5.275.2944+0.46%4.23-19.73%0.2386✗0.91968k2022-02-23
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum51.2451.4925+0.49%48.79-4.78%0.0728✗1.216.5M2022-02-23
GITCOINGITCOIN6.7126.7515+0.59%5.858-12.72%0.1468✗0.3137k2022-02-23
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum36,642.3036,860.20+0.59%37,524.20+2.41%0.0022✓1.0153k2022-02-23
DOTPolkadotPolkadot18.0318.1392+0.61%15.97-11.43%0.1491✗1.4060.5M2022-02-23
AMPAmpEthereum0.027330.0275+0.62%0.02593-5.12%0.0738✗0.978.7M2022-02-23
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.0209190.021055+0.65%0.01876-10.32%0.1331✗1.143.6M2022-02-23
MOVRMoonriverBase75.7576.2427+0.65%67.7591-10.55%0.1373✗1.24465k2022-02-23
RLCiExec RLCEthereum1.761.772+0.68%1.59-9.66%0.1298✗1.383.1M2022-02-23
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.22270.224249+0.70%0.221-0.76%0.0342✗1.261.9M2022-02-23
STORJStorjEthereum1.0231.031+0.79%0.90329-11.70%0.1482✗1.03416k2022-02-23
QNTQuantEthereum102.9103.7331+0.81%108.35+5.30%0.0273✓1.057.3M2022-02-23
CHZChilizEthereum0.17560.177238+0.93%0.1703-3.02%0.0620✗1.424.3M2022-02-23
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.5050920.510141+1.00%0.526579+4.25%0.0122✓1.263.1M2022-02-23
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.39320.397132+1.00%0.3536-10.07%0.1362✗1.2911.3M2022-02-23
TRXTRONTron0.0550670.055667+1.09%0.060784+10.38%0.0728✓0.97491k2022-02-23
AAVEAaveEthereum152.41154.0957+1.11%130.67-14.26%0.1855✗1.3315.3M2022-02-23
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.820.829863+1.20%0.779-5.00%0.0852✗1.412.4M2022-02-23
AUCTIONBounceEthereum12.8112.9802+1.33%12.71-0.78%0.0374✗1.06947k2022-02-23
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum16.4716.6998+1.40%14.24-13.54%0.1875✗1.813.9M2022-02-23
UNIUniswapEthereum10.710.877+1.65%8.75-18.22%0.2384✗1.3412.7M2022-02-23
LTCLitecoinLitecoin109.65111.5711+1.75%105.41-3.87%0.0779✗1.3633.8M2022-02-23
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.050590.051486+1.77%0.04486-11.33%0.1624✗1.591.9M2022-02-23
LRCLoopringEthereum0.85980.875317+1.80%0.7513-12.62%0.1853✗2.091.1M2022-02-23
NANOnanopayBase2.28252.324+1.82%1.9093-16.35%0.2165✗1.28791k2022-02-23
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.7030.715834+1.83%0.667-5.12%0.0880✗1.122.0M2022-02-23
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.062120.063367+2.01%0.06016-3.16%0.0650✗0.8467k2022-02-23
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0369570.037701+2.01%0.049178+33.07%0.2450✓1.3410.8M2022-02-23
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.80.817512+2.19%0.938+17.25%0.1124✓1.62569k2022-02-23
XVGVergenative0.009340.009576+2.53%0.00938+0.43%0.0416✗1.341.8M2022-02-23
SOLSolanaSolana91.9694.3221+2.57%84.64-7.96%0.1270✗1.20147.7M2022-02-23
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash292.51302.3109+3.35%288.37-1.42%0.0639✗1.077.8M2022-02-23
XVSVenusEthereum7.938.3806+5.68%8.34+5.17%0.0248✓1.283.1M2022-02-23
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.