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2022-01-23 · +30d

gru_s4 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 143 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.1645
143 of 143 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+30.25%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
37.1%
in alpha space · 44.8% on raw price
BTC over horizon
+5.43%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (143 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▾pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.850.899284+5.80%0.943+10.94%0.0367✓1.59569k2022-02-22
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.50180.524321+4.49%0.453-9.72%0.2160✗1.322.3M2022-02-22
LRCLoopringEthereum0.85910.896777+4.39%0.8019-6.66%0.2209✗2.06984k2022-02-22
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.7310.762185+4.27%0.707-3.28%0.1339✗1.112.0M2022-02-22
XVGVergenative0.009690.010024+3.44%0.00963-0.62%0.1111✗1.341.8M2022-02-22
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum17.1717.7469+3.36%14.82-13.69%0.2768✗1.833.9M2022-02-22
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana5.025.188+3.35%4.94-1.59%0.0874✗0.73483k2022-02-22
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.14363.2452+3.23%2.8677-8.78%0.1838✗1.143.9M2022-02-22
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.012580.012985+3.22%0.01237-1.67%0.0942✗0.8621k2022-02-22
NANOnanopayBase2.2272.2912+2.88%1.964-11.81%0.2211✗1.27739k2022-02-22
AAVEAaveEthereum158.72163.2092+2.83%134.74-15.11%0.2600✗1.2916.2M2022-02-22
XVSVenusEthereum8.178.3997+2.81%8.66+6.00%0.0373✗1.283.0M2022-02-22
AUCTIONBounceEthereum14.0514.3965+2.47%12.96-7.76%0.1625✗1.09886k2022-02-22
CTKShentuOsmosis1.1541.1824+2.46%1.078-6.59%0.1582✗1.253.8M2022-02-22
UOSUltraEthereum0.902240.924413+2.46%1.272+40.98%0.2515✓1.282.4M2022-02-22
MASKMask NetworkEthereum5.96.0415+2.40%4.43-24.92%0.3592✗0.93995k2022-02-22
SOLSolanaSolana99.82102.2139+2.40%86.43-13.41%0.2320✗1.22142.2M2022-02-22
COMPCompoundEthereum128.28131.3406+2.39%112.33-12.43%0.2228✗1.2688k2022-02-22
RLCiExec RLCEthereum1.821.8625+2.34%1.69-7.14%0.1693✗1.363.1M2022-02-22
STORJStorjEthereum1.09451.1201+2.34%0.92764-15.25%0.2430✗1.03402k2022-02-22
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.03790.038783+2.33%0.03793+0.08%0.0826✗1.1426k2022-02-22
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.03350.034272+2.30%0.0265-20.90%0.3347✗1.471.0M2022-02-22
DEXEDeXeEthereum6.526.6649+2.22%6.9+5.83%0.0219✓0.241.2M2022-02-22
QNTQuantEthereum109.75112.1418+2.18%115.85+5.56%0.0221✗1.037.0M2022-02-22
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.4211.4508+2.10%1.38-2.89%0.1136✗1.201.8M2022-02-22
SKLSKALEEthereum0.11390.116262+2.07%0.1318+15.72%0.0549✓1.334.2M2022-02-22
SCSiacoinnative0.009830.010021+1.95%0.00878-10.68%0.1899✗1.09630k2022-02-22
LCXLCXEthereum0.10690.108961+1.93%0.0886-17.12%0.2864✗1.502.0M2022-02-22
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.010320.010518+1.92%0.0104+0.78%0.0781✗1.262.2M2022-02-22
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.41510.423038+1.91%0.3823-7.90%0.1680✗1.2610.8M2022-02-22
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana5.855.961+1.90%5.83-0.34%0.0671✗0.85616k2022-02-22
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.14770.150498+1.89%0.1319-10.70%0.1830✗0.97346k2022-02-22
XMRMoneroMonero156.73159.6428+1.86%150.97-3.68%0.1102✗1.032.6M2022-02-22
MANADecentralandEthereum2.11452.1536+1.85%2.6533+25.48%0.1476✓1.163.7M2022-02-22
AMPAmpEthereum0.029050.029587+1.85%0.02671-8.06%0.1536✗0.978.4M2022-02-22
1INCH1INCHEthereum1.71.731+1.82%1.423-16.29%0.2527✗1.072.6M2022-02-22
ARPAARPAEthereum0.05760.058626+1.78%0.0708+22.92%0.1109✓1.47683k2022-02-22
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.5960.606451+1.75%0.4585-23.07%0.3611✗1.541.4M2022-02-22
UMAUMAEthereum6.386.4858+1.66%5.156-19.18%0.2855✗1.063.6M2022-02-22
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.06130.062303+1.64%0.0629+2.61%0.0504✗1.1321k2022-02-22
HIVEHivenative0.8390.852465+1.60%0.8466+0.91%0.0870✗1.523.7M2022-02-22
LSKLiskEthereum1.62891.6551+1.60%1.626-0.18%0.0765✗1.1195k2022-02-22
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana5.926.0118+1.55%5.38-9.12%0.1520✗0.78645k2022-02-22
TRXTRONTron0.0574990.058377+1.53%0.06264+8.94%0.0195✓0.96478k2022-02-22
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.3310.335946+1.49%0.295-10.88%0.2047✗1.411.8M2022-02-22
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.761010.772182+1.47%0.68391-10.13%0.2148✗1.77792k2022-02-22
SUNSun TokenTron0.0150190.015239+1.47%0.012503-16.75%0.2615✗1.202.7M2022-02-22
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.07830.079442+1.46%0.072-8.05%0.1639✗1.24308k2022-02-22
XYMSymbolnative0.16170.164024+1.44%0.1484-8.23%0.1374✗0.71536k2022-02-22
DODODODOEthereum0.5070.51412+1.40%0.454-10.45%0.2063✗1.558.0M2022-02-22
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana12.9713.1497+1.39%14.5+11.80%0.0605✓0.71813k2022-02-22
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.051840.052547+1.36%0.02-61.42%1.0326✗1.2611.6M2022-02-22
BTCBitcoinBitcoin36,282.4736,769.08+1.34%38,251.48+5.43%0.0133✓1.00648.0M2022-02-22
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.1417020.143589+1.33%0.13132-7.33%0.1489✗1.136.7M2022-02-22
NMRNumeraireEthereum22.322.5909+1.30%30.14+35.16%0.2484✓0.76353k2022-02-22
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.98951.0022+1.28%0.8111-18.03%0.2736✗1.1734.7M2022-02-22
GTGateEthereum6.11116.1832+1.18%6.1901+1.29%0.0487✗0.944.3M2022-02-22
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash302.74305.9888+1.07%293.48-3.06%0.0981✗1.077.0M2022-02-22
DKAdKargoEthereum0.084780.085669+1.05%0.08458-0.24%0.0767✗1.2143k2022-02-22
CHZChilizEthereum0.18550.187378+1.01%0.1778-4.15%0.1267✗1.414.3M2022-02-22
PHAPHALAEthereum0.2780.280811+1.01%0.24-13.67%0.2083✗0.9770k2022-02-22
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.53010.535374+0.99%0.5209-1.74%0.0969✗1.323.0M2022-02-22
ZECZcashZcash97.5898.5365+0.98%102.96+5.51%0.0280✗1.367.8M2022-02-22
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0399770.040364+0.97%0.051003+27.58%0.1631✓1.3410.8M2022-02-22
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.8810.889174+0.93%0.799-9.31%0.1801✗1.392.3M2022-02-22
RADRadworksEthereum5.215.2583+0.93%5.11-1.92%0.0829✗1.031.1M2022-02-22
XEMNEMnative0.09760.098497+0.92%0.0987+1.13%0.0548✗1.0841k2022-02-22
MOVRMoonriverBase84.969185.7332+0.90%69.8217-17.83%0.2731✗1.28465k2022-02-22
UNIUniswapEthereum11.4311.5238+0.82%8.86-22.48%0.3331✗1.3312.5M2022-02-22
XECeCashnative0.000074770.000075375+0.81%0.00007222-3.41%0.1016✗1.116.3M2022-02-22
DYDXdYdXCosmos6.0336.0781+0.75%5.611-6.99%0.1346✗1.03293k2022-02-22
COTICOTIEthereum0.26970.271687+0.74%0.2163-19.80%0.3125✗1.604.6M2022-02-22
TRBTellor TributesEthereum19.4519.5929+0.73%19.41-0.21%0.0916✗1.56944k2022-02-22
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.544630.548415+0.69%0.543354-0.23%0.0741✗1.232.7M2022-02-22
IMXImmutableEthereum2.492.507+0.68%1.656-33.49%0.4984✗1.582.2M2022-02-22
DOTPolkadotPolkadot18.8218.921+0.54%16.61-11.74%0.2030✗1.3858.5M2022-02-22
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.24140.242656+0.52%0.2269-6.01%0.1340✗1.271.9M2022-02-22
ETCEthereum Classicnative25.1725.2898+0.48%26.68+6.00%0.0052✗1.113.3M2022-02-22
ZENHorizenBase35.7735.9289+0.44%35.27-1.40%0.1021✗1.58613k2022-02-22
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.81560.819173+0.44%0.7509-7.93%0.1457✗1.1122.7M2022-02-22
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.00002250.000022596+0.43%0.00002495+10.89%0.0226✓1.451.7M2022-02-22
SNXSynthetixEthereum3.943.9564+0.42%4.004+1.62%0.0527✗1.223.1M2022-02-22
LPTLivepeerEthereum24.3724.4346+0.27%23.73-2.63%0.1176✗1.672.7M2022-02-22
LTCLitecoinLitecoin112.35112.6187+0.24%107.51-4.31%0.1171✗1.3431.3M2022-02-22
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.065140.065295+0.24%0.06248-4.08%0.0887✗0.8460k2022-02-22
KSMKusamaHydration191.51191.9608+0.24%129.85-32.20%0.4548✗1.211.3M2022-02-22
QTUMQtumQtum5.8155.8266+0.20%6.0072+3.30%0.0466✗1.46251k2022-02-22
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum6.1296.1409+0.19%5.266-14.08%0.1967✗0.81163k2022-02-22
ETHEthereumEthereum2,541.192,545.55+0.17%2,637.98+3.81%0.0242✗1.13535.4M2022-02-22
BANDBandEthereum3.593.5955+0.15%3.874+7.91%0.0115✓1.202.3M2022-02-22
XLMStellarStellar0.2010660.201313+0.12%0.18564-7.67%0.1378✗1.0725.3M2022-02-22
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana2.9452.9483+0.11%2.693-8.56%0.1330✗0.80523k2022-02-22
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum36,274.4036,298.85+0.07%38,333.50+5.68%0.0014✓1.0142k2022-02-22
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV93.7993.7808-0.01%83.42-11.06%0.1686✓0.971.7M2022-02-22
CBKCobakEthereum2.0952.0925-0.12%2.01-4.06%0.0986✓1.1024k2022-02-22
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana3.8443.8388-0.14%4.152+8.01%0.0367✗0.79436k2022-02-22
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.0226620.022624-0.17%0.01893-16.47%0.2399✓1.173.7M2022-02-22
CTSICartesiEthereum0.45460.453652-0.21%0.3853-15.24%0.2366✓1.392.6M2022-02-22
DASHDashDash99.5899.3429-0.24%93.56-6.05%0.1247✓1.222.8M2022-02-22
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum54.8154.6516-0.29%51.15-6.68%0.1304✓1.216.3M2022-02-22
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum2.412.4011-0.37%2.25-6.64%0.1192✓1.03798k2022-02-22
MINAMina Protocolnative2.442.4305-0.39%2.18-10.66%0.1714✓1.18667k2022-02-22
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.055080.05486-0.40%0.0466-15.40%0.2435✓1.521.9M2022-02-22
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.660.657346-0.40%0.71+7.58%0.0229✓1.891.2M2022-02-22
CVCCivicEthereum0.22450.223528-0.43%0.245+9.13%0.0326✗1.12419k2022-02-22
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum1.6111.6029-0.50%1.466-9.00%0.1564✓1.271.9M2022-02-22
GITCOINGITCOIN7.2437.2058-0.51%6.214-14.21%0.1667✓0.3537k2022-02-22
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain2.79812.7821-0.57%2.9222+4.44%0.0054✓1.032.1M2022-02-22
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum4.43464.3961-0.87%3.9847-10.15%0.1628✓1.22431k2022-02-22
FILFilecoinFilecoin19.5119.3347-0.90%19.18-1.69%0.0719✓1.2114.2M2022-02-22
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche64.8564.265-0.90%74.42+14.76%0.0774✗1.3187.3M2022-02-22
KCSKuCoinnative15.8815.7256-0.97%18.94+19.27%0.1026✗1.5810.7M2022-02-22
OGOG Fan TokenSolana3.1383.1073-0.98%2.996-4.53%0.0829✓0.881.1M2022-02-22
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana8.968.8442-1.29%9.51+6.14%0.0327✗0.75784k2022-02-22
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.03750.037-1.33%0.0502+33.87%0.2029✗1.9323.4M2022-02-22
XTZTezosTezos3.07533.029-1.50%3.0712-0.13%0.0589✓1.382.8M2022-02-22
FTTFTXEthereum35.9935.4329-1.55%41.51+15.34%0.0946✗1.2031.8M2022-02-22
SPELLSpellEthereum0.008410.00828-1.55%0.00452-46.25%0.7338✓2.4322.6M2022-02-22
LINKChainlinkEthereum16.6716.3877-1.69%13.98-16.14%0.2237✓1.2375.4M2022-02-22
GTCGitcoinEthereum7.337.1937-1.86%6.26-14.60%0.1605✓0.412.6M2022-02-22
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum2.572.5215-1.89%1.31-49.03%0.7390✓1.592.7M2022-02-22
CRVCurve DAOEthereum3.022.959-2.02%2.395-20.70%0.2850✓1.3932.4M2022-02-22
ADACardanoCardano1.12491.1019-2.04%0.8881-21.05%0.2765✓1.15108.9M2022-02-22
LEOLEO TokenEthereum3.55713.4828-2.09%5.8481+64.41%0.5178✗0.01371k2022-02-22
CELLCellframeEthereum0.84340.824604-2.23%1.72+103.94%0.6552✗1.51107k2022-02-22
BICOBiconomyEthereum2.242.1858-2.42%1.358-39.37%0.5554✓1.506.1M2022-02-22
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.6492.5781-2.68%2.372-10.46%0.1643✓1.531.2M2022-02-22
LUNATerraTerra 269.7367.7981-2.77%54.77-21.45%0.3104✓1.847.9M2022-02-22
BFCBifrostEthereum0.160770.155942-3.00%0.15134-5.87%0.1114✓1.547,0112022-02-22
YFIyearn.financeEthereum25,099.2024,342.45-3.02%20,636.07-17.78%0.2126✓0.9020.9M2022-02-22
METRONOMEMETRONOME2.99422.9036-3.03%2.1087-29.57%0.3654✓0.863,1162022-02-22
SUSHISushiEthereum4.664.5075-3.27%3.4-27.04%0.3534✓1.3514.5M2022-02-22
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum21.2820.5803-3.29%17.92-15.79%0.2072✓1.3034.3M2022-02-22
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0578460.055622-3.85%0.022348-61.37%0.9647✓1.00507k2022-02-22
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.45931.401-3.99%1.7886+22.57%0.2015✗0.811.9M2022-02-22
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.55470.529266-4.59%0.4976-10.29%0.1241✓1.182.1M2022-02-22
API3Api3Ethereum4.374.116-5.81%5.979+36.82%0.3585✗0.28471k2022-02-22
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos34.6532.6232-5.85%24.84-28.31%0.3297✓1.08111.1M2022-02-22
GLMRMoonbeamBase8.0187.5241-6.16%2.436-69.62%1.1806✓1.001.6M2022-02-22
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.6090.571009-6.24%0.3536-41.94%0.5789✓1.8950.8M2022-02-22
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.064980.060905-6.27%0.03997-38.49%0.4740✓1.0013.3M2022-02-22
PROPropyEthereum3.233.0049-6.97%1.83-43.34%0.5488✓1.005.9M2022-02-22
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum1.32421.2277-7.29%0.818-38.23%0.4589✓1.004.0M2022-02-22
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.