2022-01-23 · +30d

gru_s4 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 143 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.

+1d +7d +30d asset cohort only

rank IC

+0.1488

143 of 143 tokens assessed

long-short decile

+31.30%

realised beta-adjusted alpha

direction hit

63.6%

in alpha space · 58.7% on raw price

BTC over horizon

+5.43%

the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (143 rows, sorted by pred)

token	name	chain	anchor px	pred px ▴	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d	vol 30d	target
POKT	Pocket Network	Ethereum	1.3242	1.2176	-8.05%	0.818	-38.23%	0.4506	✓	1.00	4.0M	2022-02-22
PRO	Propy	Ethereum	3.23	2.9837	-7.62%	1.83	-43.34%	0.5417	✓	1.00	5.9M	2022-02-22
DUSK	DUSK	Ethereum	0.609	0.562756	-7.59%	0.3536	-41.94%	0.5643	✓	1.89	50.8M	2022-02-22
GLMR	Moonbeam	Base	8.018	7.4563	-7.01%	2.436	-69.62%	1.1715	✓	1.00	1.6M	2022-02-22
POWR	Powerledger	Ethereum	0.5547	0.520242	-6.21%	0.4976	-10.29%	0.1069	✓	1.18	2.1M	2022-02-22
API3	Api3	Ethereum	4.37	4.1073	-6.01%	5.979	+36.82%	0.3606	✗	0.28	471k	2022-02-22
ATOM	Cosmos Hub	Cosmos	34.65	32.7195	-5.57%	24.84	-28.31%	0.3327	✓	1.08	111.1M	2022-02-22
KNC	Kyber Network Crystal	Ethereum	1.4593	1.3832	-5.22%	1.7886	+22.57%	0.2143	✗	0.81	1.9M	2022-02-22
NCT	PolySwarm	Ethereum	0.06498	0.061837	-4.84%	0.03997	-38.49%	0.4892	✓	1.00	13.3M	2022-02-22
YFI	yearn.finance	Ethereum	25,099.20	23,937.36	-4.63%	20,636.07	-17.78%	0.1958	✓	0.90	20.9M	2022-02-22
CWEB	Coinweb	Ethereum	0.057846	0.0552	-4.57%	0.022348	-61.37%	0.9571	✓	1.00	507k	2022-02-22
METRONOME	METRONOME		2.9942	2.8847	-3.66%	2.1087	-29.57%	0.3589	✓	0.86	3,116	2022-02-22
SUSHI	Sushi	Ethereum	4.66	4.5116	-3.18%	3.4	-27.04%	0.3543	✓	1.35	14.5M	2022-02-22
LUNA	Terra	Terra 2	69.73	67.5223	-3.17%	54.77	-21.45%	0.3064	✓	1.84	7.9M	2022-02-22
PORTO	FC Porto	Binance Smart Chain	2.7981	2.7229	-2.69%	2.9222	+4.44%	0.0161	✓	1.03	2.1M	2022-02-22
CRV	Curve DAO	Ethereum	3.02	2.9473	-2.41%	2.395	-20.70%	0.2810	✓	1.39	32.4M	2022-02-22
DYDX	dYdX	Cosmos	6.033	5.8962	-2.27%	5.611	-6.99%	0.1042	✓	1.03	293k	2022-02-22
GTC	Gitcoin	Ethereum	7.33	7.1639	-2.27%	6.26	-14.60%	0.1563	✓	0.41	2.6M	2022-02-22
CELL	Cellframe	Ethereum	0.8434	0.824425	-2.25%	1.72	+103.94%	0.6554	✗	1.51	107k	2022-02-22
LEO	LEO Token	Ethereum	3.5571	3.4779	-2.23%	5.8481	+64.41%	0.5192	✗	0.01	371k	2022-02-22
BAND	Band	Ethereum	3.59	3.514	-2.12%	3.874	+7.91%	0.0344	✗	1.20	2.3M	2022-02-22
BFC	Bifrost	Ethereum	0.16077	0.157687	-1.92%	0.15134	-5.87%	0.1225	✓	1.54	7,011	2022-02-22
CITY	Manchester City Fan Token	Solana	8.96	8.7974	-1.81%	9.51	+6.14%	0.0380	✗	0.75	784k	2022-02-22
IMX	Immutable	Ethereum	2.49	2.4457	-1.78%	1.656	-33.49%	0.4736	✓	1.58	2.2M	2022-02-22
ADA	Cardano	Cardano	1.1249	1.1049	-1.77%	0.8881	-21.05%	0.2792	✓	1.15	108.9M	2022-02-22
XEM	NEM	native	0.0976	0.095914	-1.73%	0.0987	+1.13%	0.0283	✓	1.08	41k	2022-02-22
ALGO	Algorand	Algorand	0.9895	0.97267	-1.70%	0.8111	-18.03%	0.2437	✓	1.17	34.7M	2022-02-22
1INCH	1INCH	Ethereum	1.7	1.6712	-1.69%	1.423	-16.29%	0.2175	✓	1.07	2.6M	2022-02-22
BAT	Basic Attention	Ethereum	0.76101	0.748352	-1.66%	0.68391	-10.13%	0.1835	✓	1.77	792k	2022-02-22
PEOPLE	ConstitutionDAO	Ethereum	0.0375	0.036884	-1.64%	0.0502	+33.87%	0.2060	✗	1.93	23.4M	2022-02-22
ENJ	Enjin Coin	Ethereum	1.611	1.5847	-1.64%	1.466	-9.00%	0.1449	✓	1.27	1.9M	2022-02-22
LSK	Lisk	Ethereum	1.6289	1.6023	-1.63%	1.626	-0.18%	0.0441	✓	1.11	95k	2022-02-22
XLM	Stellar	Stellar	0.201066	0.197841	-1.60%	0.18564	-7.67%	0.1204	✓	1.07	25.3M	2022-02-22
BCHSV	Bitcoin Cash SV		93.79	92.3236	-1.56%	83.42	-11.06%	0.1529	✓	0.97	1.7M	2022-02-22
MINA	Mina Protocol	native	2.44	2.4026	-1.53%	2.18	-10.66%	0.1598	✓	1.18	667k	2022-02-22
ASR	AS Roma Fan Token	Solana	2.945	2.9004	-1.51%	2.693	-8.56%	0.1166	✓	0.80	523k	2022-02-22
FTT	FTX	Ethereum	35.99	35.4453	-1.51%	41.51	+15.34%	0.0943	✗	1.20	31.8M	2022-02-22
UMA	UMA	Ethereum	6.38	6.2864	-1.47%	5.156	-19.18%	0.2543	✓	1.06	3.6M	2022-02-22
CTK	Shentu	Osmosis	1.154	1.1372	-1.45%	1.078	-6.59%	0.1193	✓	1.25	3.8M	2022-02-22
SANTOS	Santos FC Fan Token	Binance Smart Chain	2.649	2.6112	-1.43%	2.372	-10.46%	0.1771	✓	1.53	1.2M	2022-02-22
ORBS	Orbs	Ethereum	0.0613	0.060457	-1.38%	0.0629	+2.61%	0.0203	✓	1.13	21k	2022-02-22
GT	Gate	Ethereum	6.1111	6.0271	-1.37%	6.1901	+1.29%	0.0232	✓	0.94	4.3M	2022-02-22
HIVE	Hive	native	0.839	0.827701	-1.35%	0.8466	+0.91%	0.0575	✓	1.52	3.7M	2022-02-22
DOGE	Dogecoin	Dogecoin	0.141702	0.139799	-1.34%	0.13132	-7.33%	0.1222	✓	1.13	6.7M	2022-02-22
PSG	Paris Saint-Germain Fan Token	Solana	12.97	12.8049	-1.27%	14.5	+11.80%	0.0870	✗	0.71	813k	2022-02-22
ICP	Internet Computer	Ethereum	21.28	21.0206	-1.22%	17.92	-15.79%	0.2284	✓	1.30	34.3M	2022-02-22
COTI	COTI	Ethereum	0.2697	0.26646	-1.20%	0.2163	-19.80%	0.2930	✓	1.60	4.6M	2022-02-22
IOTA	IOTA	IOTA	0.8156	0.805924	-1.19%	0.7509	-7.93%	0.1294	✓	1.11	22.7M	2022-02-22
DKA	dKargo	Ethereum	0.08478	0.083797	-1.16%	0.08458	-0.24%	0.0547	✓	1.21	43k	2022-02-22
TWT	Trust Wallet	Binance Smart Chain	0.5301	0.524256	-1.10%	0.5209	-1.74%	0.0760	✓	1.32	3.0M	2022-02-22
LPT	Livepeer	Ethereum	24.37	24.1023	-1.10%	23.73	-2.63%	0.1039	✓	1.67	2.7M	2022-02-22
FIL	Filecoin	Filecoin	19.51	19.3022	-1.07%	19.18	-1.69%	0.0702	✓	1.21	14.2M	2022-02-22
LINK	Chainlink	Ethereum	16.67	16.4952	-1.05%	13.98	-16.14%	0.2302	✓	1.23	75.4M	2022-02-22
CTSI	Cartesi	Ethereum	0.4546	0.450023	-1.01%	0.3853	-15.24%	0.2285	✓	1.39	2.6M	2022-02-22
BNT	Bancor Network	Ethereum	2.41	2.3864	-0.98%	2.25	-6.64%	0.1130	✓	1.03	798k	2022-02-22
GODS	Gods Unchained	Ethereum	2.57	2.5461	-0.93%	1.31	-49.03%	0.7487	✓	1.59	2.7M	2022-02-22
DASH	Dash	Dash	99.58	98.6613	-0.92%	93.56	-6.05%	0.1178	✓	1.22	2.8M	2022-02-22
OG	OG Fan Token	Solana	3.138	3.1093	-0.92%	2.996	-4.53%	0.0835	✓	0.88	1.1M	2022-02-22
JUV	Juventus Fan Token	Solana	5.85	5.7979	-0.89%	5.83	-0.34%	0.0393	✓	0.85	616k	2022-02-22
KCS	KuCoin	native	15.88	15.7392	-0.89%	18.94	+19.27%	0.1017	✗	1.58	10.7M	2022-02-22
PHA	PHALA	Ethereum	0.278	0.275575	-0.87%	0.24	-13.67%	0.1895	✓	0.97	70k	2022-02-22
VSYS	V.SYSTEMS	native	0.01258	0.012471	-0.86%	0.01237	-1.67%	0.0539	✓	0.86	21k	2022-02-22
TRB	Tellor Tributes	Ethereum	19.45	19.2834	-0.86%	19.41	-0.21%	0.0757	✓	1.56	944k	2022-02-22
SUPER	SuperVerse	Ethereum	0.66	0.654716	-0.80%	0.71	+7.58%	0.0189	✓	1.89	1.2M	2022-02-22
XTZ	Tezos	Tezos	3.0753	3.0515	-0.77%	3.0712	-0.13%	0.0663	✓	1.38	2.8M	2022-02-22
XMR	Monero	Monero	156.73	155.5188	-0.77%	150.97	-3.68%	0.0841	✓	1.03	2.6M	2022-02-22
ETC	Ethereum Classic	native	25.17	24.9757	-0.77%	26.68	+6.00%	0.0073	✓	1.11	3.3M	2022-02-22
QTUM	Qtum	Qtum	5.815	5.7717	-0.74%	6.0072	+3.30%	0.0371	✓	1.46	251k	2022-02-22
NMR	Numeraire	Ethereum	22.3	22.1373	-0.73%	30.14	+35.16%	0.2686	✗	0.76	353k	2022-02-22
SPELL	Spell	Ethereum	0.00841	0.008349	-0.72%	0.00452	-46.25%	0.7422	✓	2.43	22.6M	2022-02-22
UOS	Ultra	Ethereum	0.90224	0.895966	-0.70%	1.272	+40.98%	0.2828	✗	1.28	2.4M	2022-02-22
ETH	Ethereum	Ethereum	2,541.19	2,523.79	-0.68%	2,637.98	+3.81%	0.0156	✓	1.13	535.4M	2022-02-22
ZEC	Zcash	Zcash	97.58	96.9406	-0.66%	102.96	+5.51%	0.0117	✓	1.36	7.8M	2022-02-22
DODO	DODO	Ethereum	0.507	0.503842	-0.62%	0.454	-10.45%	0.1861	✓	1.55	8.0M	2022-02-22
BICO	Biconomy	Ethereum	2.24	2.2263	-0.61%	1.358	-39.37%	0.5737	✓	1.50	6.1M	2022-02-22
OGN	Origin Token	Ethereum	0.331	0.328998	-0.60%	0.295	-10.88%	0.1838	✓	1.41	1.8M	2022-02-22
EWT	Energy Web Token	Ethereum	6.129	6.0924	-0.60%	5.266	-14.08%	0.1888	✓	0.81	163k	2022-02-22
CVC	Civic	Ethereum	0.2245	0.223291	-0.54%	0.245	+9.13%	0.0336	✗	1.12	419k	2022-02-22
JASMY	JasmyCoin	Ethereum	0.05184	0.051567	-0.53%	0.02	-61.42%	1.0138	✓	1.26	11.6M	2022-02-22
RIF	Rootstock Infrastructure Framework	Ethereum	0.1477	0.146944	-0.51%	0.1319	-10.70%	0.1591	✓	0.97	346k	2022-02-22
XEC	eCash	native	0.00007477	0.000074461	-0.41%	0.00007222	-3.41%	0.0894	✓	1.11	6.3M	2022-02-22
ACM	AC Milan Fan Token	Solana	3.844	3.8285	-0.40%	4.152	+8.01%	0.0394	✗	0.79	436k	2022-02-22
XPR	XPR Network	Ethereum	0.01032	0.010279	-0.40%	0.0104	+0.78%	0.0550	✓	1.26	2.2M	2022-02-22
MTL	Metal DAO	Metal L2	1.421	1.4153	-0.40%	1.38	-2.89%	0.0888	✓	1.20	1.8M	2022-02-22
AVAX	Avalanche	Avalanche	64.85	64.5905	-0.40%	74.42	+14.76%	0.0723	✗	1.31	87.3M	2022-02-22
SHIB	Shiba Inu	Ethereum	0.0000225	0.000022412	-0.39%	0.00002495	+10.89%	0.0308	✗	1.45	1.7M	2022-02-22
SC	Siacoin	native	0.00983	0.009792	-0.39%	0.00878	-10.68%	0.1667	✓	1.09	630k	2022-02-22
SUN	Sun Token	Tron	0.015019	0.014971	-0.32%	0.012503	-16.75%	0.2437	✓	1.20	2.7M	2022-02-22
OMG	OMG Network	Ethereum	4.4346	4.4207	-0.31%	3.9847	-10.15%	0.1684	✓	1.22	431k	2022-02-22
KSM	Kusama	Hydration	191.51	190.9966	-0.27%	129.85	-32.20%	0.4498	✓	1.21	1.3M	2022-02-22
DNT	district0x	Ethereum	0.0783	0.078108	-0.25%	0.072	-8.05%	0.1469	✓	1.24	308k	2022-02-22
TRAC	OriginTrail	Ethereum	0.596	0.594633	-0.23%	0.4585	-23.07%	0.3414	✓	1.54	1.4M	2022-02-22
LCX	LCX	Ethereum	0.1069	0.106658	-0.23%	0.0886	-17.12%	0.2650	✓	1.50	2.0M	2022-02-22
CERE	Cere Network	Ethereum	0.0335	0.033426	-0.22%	0.0265	-20.90%	0.3097	✓	1.47	1.0M	2022-02-22
BTC	Bitcoin	Bitcoin	36,282.47	36,204.19	-0.22%	38,251.48	+5.43%	0.0022	✗	1.00	648.0M	2022-02-22
MANA	Decentraland	Ethereum	2.1145	2.111	-0.17%	2.6533	+25.48%	0.1676	✗	1.16	3.7M	2022-02-22
CBK	Cobak	Ethereum	2.095	2.0928	-0.11%	2.01	-4.06%	0.0987	✓	1.10	24k	2022-02-22
NAKA	Nakamoto Games	Polygon	0.5018	0.501287	-0.10%	0.453	-9.72%	0.1711	✓	1.32	2.3M	2022-02-22
MASK	Mask Network	Ethereum	5.9	5.8942	-0.10%	4.43	-24.92%	0.3345	✓	0.93	995k	2022-02-22
DEXE	DeXe	Ethereum	6.52	6.5143	-0.09%	6.9	+5.83%	0.0447	✗	0.24	1.2M	2022-02-22
ZEN	Horizen	Base	35.77	35.7459	-0.07%	35.27	-1.40%	0.0970	✓	1.58	613k	2022-02-22
COMP	Compound	Ethereum	128.28	128.2007	-0.06%	112.33	-12.43%	0.1986	✓	1.26	88k	2022-02-22
BAR	FC Barcelona Fan Token	Solana	5.92	5.9167	-0.06%	5.38	-9.12%	0.1361	✓	0.78	645k	2022-02-22
GITCOIN	GITCOIN		7.243	7.2418	-0.02%	6.214	-14.21%	0.1717	✓	0.35	37k	2022-02-22
LAZIO	Lazio Fan Token	Binance Smart Chain	3.1436	3.1445	+0.03%	2.8677	-8.78%	0.1522	✗	1.14	3.9M	2022-02-22
RAD	Radworks	Ethereum	5.21	5.212	+0.04%	5.11	-1.92%	0.0741	✗	1.03	1.1M	2022-02-22
XYO	XYO Network	Ethereum	0.022662	0.022679	+0.08%	0.01893	-16.47%	0.2423	✗	1.17	3.7M	2022-02-22
XYM	Symbol	native	0.1617	0.161824	+0.08%	0.1484	-8.23%	0.1239	✗	0.71	536k	2022-02-22
AXS	Axie Infinity	Ethereum	54.81	54.8718	+0.11%	51.15	-6.68%	0.1344	✗	1.21	6.3M	2022-02-22
OXT	Orchid Protocol	Ethereum	0.2414	0.241714	+0.13%	0.2269	-6.01%	0.1301	✗	1.27	1.9M	2022-02-22
STORJ	Storj	Ethereum	1.0945	1.0964	+0.18%	0.92764	-15.25%	0.2217	✗	1.03	402k	2022-02-22
ARPA	ARPA	Ethereum	0.0576	0.057719	+0.21%	0.0708	+22.92%	0.1265	✓	1.47	683k	2022-02-22
ATM	Atletico Madrid Fan Token	Solana	5.02	5.0311	+0.22%	4.94	-1.59%	0.0567	✗	0.73	483k	2022-02-22
AMP	Amp	Ethereum	0.02905	0.029128	+0.27%	0.02671	-8.06%	0.1380	✗	0.97	8.4M	2022-02-22
SKL	SKALE	Ethereum	0.1139	0.114227	+0.29%	0.1318	+15.72%	0.0725	✓	1.33	4.2M	2022-02-22
QNT	Quant	Ethereum	109.75	110.1129	+0.33%	115.85	+5.56%	0.0038	✗	1.03	7.0M	2022-02-22
ZRX	0x Protocol	Ethereum	0.54463	0.546877	+0.41%	0.543354	-0.23%	0.0713	✗	1.23	2.7M	2022-02-22
SNX	Synthetix	Ethereum	3.94	3.9566	+0.42%	4.004	+1.62%	0.0527	✗	1.22	3.1M	2022-02-22
DOT	Polkadot	Polkadot	18.82	18.9032	+0.44%	16.61	-11.74%	0.2020	✗	1.38	58.5M	2022-02-22
MED	Medibloc	Osmosis	0.0379	0.038071	+0.45%	0.03793	+0.08%	0.0641	✗	1.14	26k	2022-02-22
MOVR	Moonriver	Base	84.9691	85.3771	+0.48%	69.8217	-17.83%	0.2690	✗	1.28	465k	2022-02-22
CHZ	Chiliz	Ethereum	0.1855	0.186424	+0.50%	0.1778	-4.15%	0.1216	✗	1.41	4.3M	2022-02-22
AUCTION	Bounce	Ethereum	14.05	14.1438	+0.67%	12.96	-7.76%	0.1448	✗	1.09	886k	2022-02-22
BEL	Bella Protocol	Ethereum	0.881	0.887794	+0.77%	0.799	-9.31%	0.1786	✗	1.39	2.3M	2022-02-22
TRX	TRON	Tron	0.057499	0.057943	+0.77%	0.06264	+8.94%	0.0270	✓	0.96	478k	2022-02-22
GRT	The Graph	Ethereum	0.4151	0.418365	+0.79%	0.3823	-7.90%	0.1569	✗	1.26	10.8M	2022-02-22
WBTC	Wrapped Bitcoin	Ethereum	36,274.40	36,584.27	+0.85%	38,333.50	+5.68%	0.0065	✓	1.01	42k	2022-02-22
AAVE	Aave	Ethereum	158.72	160.2816	+0.98%	134.74	-15.11%	0.2419	✗	1.29	16.2M	2022-02-22
RLC	iExec RLC	Ethereum	1.82	1.8379	+0.98%	1.69	-7.14%	0.1560	✗	1.36	3.1M	2022-02-22
ENS	Ethereum Name Service	Ethereum	17.17	17.3908	+1.29%	14.82	-13.69%	0.2566	✗	1.83	3.9M	2022-02-22
ASM	Assemble AI	Ethereum	0.05508	0.055799	+1.31%	0.0466	-15.40%	0.2605	✗	1.52	1.9M	2022-02-22
UNI	Uniswap	Ethereum	11.43	11.5873	+1.38%	8.86	-22.48%	0.3386	✗	1.33	12.5M	2022-02-22
TKO	Tokocrypto	Binance Smart Chain	0.731	0.742635	+1.59%	0.707	-3.28%	0.1079	✗	1.11	2.0M	2022-02-22
AGLD	Adventure Gold	Ethereum	0.85	0.863855	+1.63%	0.943	+10.94%	0.0035	✓	1.59	569k	2022-02-22
LTC	Litecoin	Litecoin	112.35	114.1914	+1.64%	107.51	-4.31%	0.1310	✗	1.34	31.3M	2022-02-22
ANKR	Ankr Network	Ethereum	0.06514	0.066236	+1.68%	0.06248	-4.08%	0.1030	✗	0.84	60k	2022-02-22
LRC	Loopring	Ethereum	0.8591	0.874245	+1.76%	0.8019	-6.66%	0.1955	✗	2.06	984k	2022-02-22
ACH	Alchemy Pay	Ethereum	0.039977	0.040709	+1.83%	0.051003	+27.58%	0.1545	✓	1.34	10.8M	2022-02-22
SOL	Solana	Solana	99.82	101.7297	+1.91%	86.43	-13.41%	0.2272	✗	1.22	142.2M	2022-02-22
NANO	nanopay	Base	2.227	2.274	+2.11%	1.964	-11.81%	0.2136	✗	1.27	739k	2022-02-22
XVG	Verge	native	0.00969	0.009924	+2.42%	0.00963	-0.62%	0.1011	✗	1.34	1.8M	2022-02-22
BCH	Bitcoin Cash	Bitcoin Cash	302.74	312.0878	+3.09%	293.48	-3.06%	0.1179	✗	1.07	7.0M	2022-02-22
XVS	Venus	Ethereum	8.17	8.6101	+5.39%	8.66	+6.00%	0.0621	✗	1.28	3.0M	2022-02-22

Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.