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2022-01-21 · +1d

gru_s4 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 141 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
-0.1124
141 of 141 tokens assessed
long-short decile
-2.81%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
10.6%
in alpha space · 4.3% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-3.81%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (141 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▾pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.51860.526475+1.52%0.4454-14.11%0.1196✗1.222.4M2022-01-22
LRCLoopringEthereum0.86780.878125+1.19%0.7316-15.69%0.1063✗1.961.1M2022-01-22
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.04170.042185+1.16%0.0376-9.83%0.0762✗1.0024.3M2022-01-22
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.03630.036675+1.03%0.0326-10.19%0.0611✗1.461.1M2022-01-22
SPELLSpellEthereum0.00920.009288+0.95%0.00793-13.80%0.0641✗2.4123.2M2022-01-22
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.7640.770892+0.90%0.711-6.94%0.0384✗1.092.0M2022-01-22
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.970.978536+0.88%0.9-7.22%0.0204✗1.63569k2022-01-22
AAVEAaveEthereum171.09172.5805+0.87%147.18-13.98%0.1114✗1.2317.6M2022-01-22
LCXLCXEthereum0.09390.094713+0.87%0.0799-14.91%0.1178✗1.352.0M2022-01-22
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum17.8818.0319+0.85%16.11-9.90%0.0422✗1.814.1M2022-01-22
MOVRMoonriverBase9595.7812+0.82%83.9941-11.59%0.0822✗1.26489k2022-01-22
CRVCurve DAOEthereum3.313.3346+0.74%2.89-12.69%0.0854✗1.4832.4M2022-01-22
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.67470.679713+0.74%0.5834-13.53%0.0936✗1.521.4M2022-01-22
UOSUltraEthereum0.917340.923939+0.72%0.80696-12.03%0.0888✗1.202.4M2022-01-22
RLCiExec RLCEthereum22.0143+0.72%1.77-11.50%0.0768✗1.353.1M2022-01-22
XVGVergenative0.010020.01009+0.70%0.00935-6.69%0.0243✗1.341.8M2022-01-22
RADRadworksEthereum5.685.7193+0.69%5.06-10.92%0.0837✗1.001.0M2022-01-22
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand1.03031.0374+0.69%0.9512-7.68%0.0402✗1.2032.1M2022-01-22
MASKMask NetworkEthereum6.496.5347+0.69%5.61-13.56%0.1182✗0.881.0M2022-01-22
DODODODOEthereum0.5610.564825+0.68%0.496-11.59%0.0699✗1.558.0M2022-01-22
HIVEHivenative0.9060.912134+0.68%0.7987-11.84%0.0762✗1.463.9M2022-01-22
MANADecentralandEthereum2.22192.2366+0.66%2.0434-8.04%0.0461✗1.144.3M2022-01-22
LINKChainlinkEthereum17.4417.5538+0.65%15.86-9.06%0.0538✗1.2275.4M2022-01-22
QNTQuantEthereum114.44115.1868+0.65%98.78-13.68%0.1154✗0.986.9M2022-01-22
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.3520.354259+0.64%0.319-9.37%0.0506✗1.391.8M2022-01-22
COMPCompoundEthereum139.37140.2474+0.63%120.3-13.68%0.1062✗1.2188k2022-01-22
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0416410.041902+0.63%0.036765-11.71%0.0809✗1.289.3M2022-01-22
GTCGitcoinEthereum7.978.0181+0.60%6.96-12.67%0.1274✗0.363.1M2022-01-22
XVSVenusEthereum9.9410+0.60%7.59-23.64%0.2304✗1.173.0M2022-01-22
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.43660.439231+0.60%0.4163-4.65%0.0028✓1.3110.8M2022-01-22
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.011110.011177+0.60%0.00998-10.17%0.0646✗1.252.2M2022-01-22
DKAdKargoEthereum0.083240.083728+0.59%0.07873-5.42%0.0156✗1.1838k2022-01-22
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.013940.014021+0.58%0.01275-8.54%0.0615✗0.8621k2022-01-22
TRBTellor TributesEthereum21.2321.3527+0.58%18.76-11.63%0.0699✗1.53944k2022-01-22
ARPAARPAEthereum0.06190.062256+0.58%0.0543-12.28%0.0806✗1.44684k2022-01-22
AMPAmpEthereum0.03030.030473+0.57%0.02985-1.49%0.0179✓0.998.3M2022-01-22
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.5553.5752+0.57%3.0068-15.42%0.1268✗1.193.9M2022-01-22
STORJStorjEthereum1.18481.1915+0.57%1.0381-12.38%0.0994✗0.99402k2022-01-22
AUCTIONBounceEthereum15.5515.6375+0.56%13.19-15.18%0.1283✗1.08841k2022-01-22
CHZChilizEthereum0.1980.199112+0.56%0.1764-10.91%0.0672✗1.394.3M2022-01-22
ZECZcashZcash102.35102.922+0.56%94.59-7.58%0.0328✗1.338.4M2022-01-22
GITCOINGITCOIN7.8267.8695+0.56%6.944-11.27%0.1127✗0.3238k2022-01-22
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum1.56611.5748+0.55%1.4442-7.78%0.0477✗1.004.2M2022-01-22
LPTLivepeerEthereum24.8624.9971+0.55%23.84-4.10%0.0193✓1.712.7M2022-01-22
NANOnanopayBase2.32652.3392+0.55%2.0461-12.05%0.0862✗1.23699k2022-01-22
CTKShentuOsmosis1.2091.2156+0.55%1.161-3.97%0.0037✓1.284.0M2022-01-22
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.055520.055823+0.55%0.05051-9.02%0.0482✗1.3312.0M2022-01-22
IMXImmutableEthereum2.712.7248+0.54%2.46-9.23%0.0401✗1.602.2M2022-01-22
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.1420570.142828+0.54%0.133158-6.26%0.0285✗1.076.7M2022-01-22
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana5.645.6703+0.54%4.8-14.89%0.1405✗0.67494k2022-01-22
SOLSolanaSolana112.32112.9138+0.53%94.78-15.62%0.1299✗1.16142.2M2022-01-22
GTGateEthereum6.2436.2756+0.52%5.6708-9.17%0.0661✗0.914.3M2022-01-22
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.4451.4525+0.52%1.366-5.47%0.0151✗1.191.8M2022-01-22
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.039770.039975+0.52%0.03631-8.70%0.0528✗1.1125k2022-01-22
BTCBitcoinBitcoin36,456.9436,644.31+0.51%35,066.43-3.81%0.0051✓1.00648.0M2022-01-22
SNXSynthetixEthereum4.174.1913+0.51%3.78-9.35%0.0564✗1.213.2M2022-01-22
SUNSun TokenTron0.0161710.016254+0.51%0.014961-7.48%0.0360✗1.202.7M2022-01-22
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000022260.000022373+0.51%0.00002053-7.77%0.0316✗1.401.7M2022-01-22
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche66.0766.3954+0.49%59.8-9.49%0.0545✗1.2987.3M2022-01-22
BANDBandEthereum3.963.9795+0.49%3.49-11.87%0.0858✗1.172.4M2022-01-22
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.810110.814094+0.49%0.71467-11.78%0.0633✗1.72848k2022-01-22
ZENHorizenBase38.9439.1313+0.49%35.28-9.40%0.0433✗1.55620k2022-01-22
DEXEDeXeEthereum6.726.7528+0.49%6.06-9.82%0.1011✗0.181.2M2022-01-22
ETHEthereumEthereum2,569.012,581.47+0.48%2,411.90-6.12%0.0246✗1.12502.4M2022-01-22
SUSHISushiEthereum4.964.984+0.48%4.42-10.89%0.0690✗1.3217.0M2022-01-22
PHAPHALAEthereum0.2710.272312+0.48%0.244-9.96%0.0745✗0.9160k2022-01-22
FILFilecoinFilecoin21.9822.086+0.48%19.01-13.51%0.1044✗1.1714.5M2022-01-22
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.14740.148107+0.48%0.1394-5.43%0.0240✗0.94362k2022-01-22
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.8570.861082+0.48%0.78-8.98%0.0567✗1.0922.7M2022-01-22
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum5.9575.9853+0.48%5.8-2.64%0.0008✓0.79163k2022-01-22
XMRMoneroMonero172.82173.6368+0.47%152.34-11.85%0.0928✗0.982.7M2022-01-22
DASHDashDash105.73106.2211+0.46%97.07-8.19%0.0430✗1.212.8M2022-01-22
SKLSKALEEthereum0.12060.121159+0.46%0.1135-5.89%0.0131✗1.344.3M2022-01-22
1INCH1INCHEthereum1.841.8485+0.46%1.62-11.96%0.0911✗1.052.7M2022-01-22
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.08340.083784+0.46%0.0732-12.23%0.0886✗1.20269k2022-01-22
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum2.292.3005+0.46%2.1-8.30%0.0359✗1.422.7M2022-01-22
LSKLiskEthereum1.66721.6748+0.46%1.65-1.03%0.0291✓1.1395k2022-01-22
COTICOTIEthereum0.29210.29341+0.45%0.2645-9.45%0.0416✗1.604.6M2022-01-22
UNIUniswapEthereum12.6312.6862+0.44%11.16-11.64%0.0773✗1.3112.7M2022-01-22
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.730.733182+0.44%0.64-12.33%0.0628✗1.881.3M2022-01-22
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.9840.988283+0.44%0.87-11.59%0.0738✗1.382.3M2022-01-22
YFIyearn.financeEthereum25,741.6425,853.02+0.43%22,897.64-11.05%0.0892✗0.8320.9M2022-01-22
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum58.3958.6424+0.43%50.17-14.08%0.1105✗1.176.3M2022-01-22
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana6.316.3373+0.43%5.63-10.78%0.0899✗0.73652k2022-01-22
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.06340.063672+0.43%0.0594-6.31%0.0259✗1.1221k2022-01-22
XLMStellarStellar0.2028620.203727+0.43%0.19237-5.17%0.0158✗1.0724.9M2022-01-22
ETCEthereum Classicnative25.9526.0605+0.43%24.23-6.63%0.0305✗1.093.3M2022-01-22
CVCCivicEthereum0.23960.240605+0.42%0.2179-9.06%0.0562✗1.10440k2022-01-22
BICOBiconomyEthereum2.452.4602+0.42%2.08-15.10%0.1128✗1.427.4M2022-01-22
DOTPolkadotPolkadot19.6719.7518+0.42%18.26-7.17%0.0250✗1.3858.5M2022-01-22
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana13.4213.4749+0.41%12.62-5.96%0.0387✗0.69813k2022-01-22
UMAUMAEthereum6.66.627+0.41%6.11-7.42%0.0407✗1.043.9M2022-01-22
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.558460.560742+0.41%0.518861-7.09%0.0309✗1.202.3M2022-01-22
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.56190.564188+0.41%0.5076-9.66%0.0551✗1.303.2M2022-01-22
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum1.7381.745+0.40%1.506-13.35%0.0993✗1.241.9M2022-01-22
SCSiacoinnative0.010440.010482+0.40%0.0094-9.96%0.0675✗1.07641k2022-01-22
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.053880.054089+0.39%0.04896-9.13%0.0414✗1.502.1M2022-01-22
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.0220820.022167+0.39%0.020108-8.94%0.0547✗1.103.7M2022-01-22
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.071970.072247+0.38%0.06237-13.34%0.1162✗0.7956k2022-01-22
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.63650.638912+0.38%0.5482-13.87%0.0831✗1.8046.2M2022-01-22
TRXTRONTron0.0611090.06134+0.38%0.05675-7.13%0.0408✗0.95486k2022-01-22
XYMSymbolnative0.16390.164506+0.37%0.1498-8.60%0.0671✗0.68536k2022-01-22
XEMNEMnative0.0970.097348+0.36%0.0944-2.68%0.0109✓1.0741k2022-01-22
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash315.04316.1666+0.36%291.88-7.35%0.0395✗1.047.0M2022-01-22
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum24.1924.2757+0.35%20.54-15.09%0.1166✗1.3034.9M2022-01-22
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum2.462.4687+0.35%2.33-5.28%0.0181✗1.02869k2022-01-22
KSMKusamaHydration213.87214.6073+0.34%190.08-11.12%0.0755✗1.181.3M2022-01-22
CTSICartesiEthereum0.48110.482745+0.34%0.4385-8.85%0.0415✗1.402.6M2022-01-22
NMRNumeraireEthereum23.3123.3886+0.34%21.51-7.72%0.0554✗0.73342k2022-01-22
CBKCobakEthereum2.1972.2039+0.32%1.979-9.92%0.0661✗1.0724k2022-01-22
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0614240.061616+0.31%0.054184-11.79%0.0896✗1.00644k2022-01-22
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana6.566.5804+0.31%5.66-13.72%0.1194✗0.80616k2022-01-22
OGOG Fan TokenSolana3.3923.4024+0.31%3.059-9.82%0.0735✗0.851.1M2022-01-22
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana3.1683.1776+0.30%2.804-11.49%0.0955✗0.76526k2022-01-22
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV95.6895.9709+0.30%89.24-6.73%0.0361✗0.941.8M2022-01-22
XECeCashnative0.000079680.000079921+0.30%0.00006839-14.17%0.1155✗1.046.5M2022-01-22
QTUMQtumQtum6.12256.14+0.29%5.5565-9.24%0.0443✗1.43263k2022-01-22
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum4.71864.7318+0.28%4.2394-10.16%0.0639✗1.18443k2022-01-22
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.25230.252992+0.27%0.2331-7.61%0.0331✗1.261.9M2022-01-22
LUNATerraTerra 264.9465.1162+0.27%62.89-3.16%0.0362✓1.837.7M2022-01-22
XTZTezosTezos3.34173.3497+0.24%2.9521-11.66%0.0742✗1.343.1M2022-01-22
CELLCellframeEthereum0.89130.893404+0.24%0.7106-20.27%0.1811✗1.23108k2022-01-22
ADACardanoCardano1.12111.1237+0.24%1.0713-4.44%0.0038✗1.13104.1M2022-01-22
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum36,607.8036,693.87+0.24%34,807.70-4.92%0.0138✗1.0018k2022-01-22
LTCLitecoinLitecoin114.51114.7769+0.23%108.41-5.33%0.0053✗1.3330.5M2022-01-22
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana4.124.1291+0.22%3.665-11.04%0.0902✗0.75445k2022-01-22
MINAMina Protocolnative2.92.9051+0.18%2.34-19.31%0.1726✗1.12737k2022-01-22
FTTFTXEthereum38.5238.5856+0.17%33.44-13.19%0.0978✗1.1625.7M2022-01-22
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.7952.7997+0.17%2.567-8.16%0.0272✗1.531.1M2022-01-22
KCSKuCoinnative16.80816.8346+0.16%15.129-9.99%0.0449✗1.5910.7M2022-01-22
GLMRMoonbeamBase8.6478.66+0.15%7.392-14.51%0.1194✗1.001.7M2022-01-22
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain3.113.1132+0.10%2.7227-12.45%0.0953✗0.992.2M2022-01-22
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana9.49.4087+0.09%8.68-7.66%0.0522✗0.73800k2022-01-22
LEOLEO TokenEthereum3.53453.5374+0.08%3.6015+1.90%0.0188✓0.02371k2022-01-22
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.43211.4322+0.01%1.5039+5.01%0.0819✓0.851.4M2022-01-22
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos34.6434.6314-0.02%29.27-15.50%0.1304✓0.97104.1M2022-01-22
BFCBifrostEthereum0.167040.166964-0.05%0.15638-6.38%0.0060✓1.536,8492022-01-22
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.53510.534605-0.09%0.5658+5.74%0.1059✗1.271.7M2022-01-22
METRONOMEMETRONOME3.22773.2212-0.20%2.9642-8.16%0.0499✓0.862,2572022-01-22
DYDXdYdXCosmos8.3518.3238-0.33%6.424-23.08%0.2200✓1.01301k2022-01-22
API3Api3Ethereum4.654.5987-1.10%4.82+3.66%0.0637✗0.43471k2022-01-22
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.