2022-01-20 · +1d

gru_s4 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 140 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.

+1d +7d +30d asset cohort only

rank IC

-0.0354

140 of 140 tokens assessed

long-short decile

-2.66%

realised beta-adjusted alpha

direction hit

30.0%

in alpha space · 12.9% on raw price

BTC over horizon

-10.36%

the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (140 rows, sorted by pred)

token	name	chain	anchor px	pred px ▾	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d	vol 30d	target
NAKA	Nakamoto Games	Polygon	0.6721	0.678097	+0.89%	0.5186	-22.84%	0.1502	✗	1.08	2.5M	2022-01-21
LRC	Loopring	Ethereum	1.0653	1.0721	+0.63%	0.8678	-18.54%	0.0013	✓	1.94	1.2M	2022-01-21
AGLD	Adventure Gold	Ethereum	1.11	1.1164	+0.58%	0.97	-12.61%	0.0430	✓	1.68	556k	2022-01-21
PEOPLE	ConstitutionDAO	Ethereum	0.0529	0.053196	+0.56%	0.0417	-21.17%	0.1341	✗	1.00	23.9M	2022-01-21
AAVE	Aave	Ethereum	198.37	199.2823	+0.46%	171.09	-13.75%	0.0194	✗	1.22	17.6M	2022-01-21
ENS	Ethereum Name Service	Ethereum	21.12	21.2165	+0.46%	17.88	-15.34%	0.0333	✓	1.87	4.1M	2022-01-21
LAZIO	Lazio Fan Token	Binance Smart Chain	3.9838	4.0005	+0.42%	3.555	-10.76%	0.0112	✓	1.18	3.9M	2022-01-21
TKO	Tokocrypto	Binance Smart Chain	0.939	0.942916	+0.42%	0.764	-18.64%	0.1019	✗	0.99	2.0M	2022-01-21
CTK	Shentu	Osmosis	1.272	1.2772	+0.41%	1.209	-4.95%	0.0970	✓	1.39	4.0M	2022-01-21
XVG	Verge	native	0.01234	0.012386	+0.38%	0.01002	-18.80%	0.0746	✗	1.26	1.8M	2022-01-21
ATM	Atletico Madrid Fan Token	Solana	6.14	6.163	+0.37%	5.64	-8.14%	0.0158	✗	0.67	505k	2022-01-21
LCX	LCX	Ethereum	0.1141	0.11452	+0.37%	0.0939	-17.70%	0.0571	✗	1.29	2.0M	2022-01-21
CERE	Cere Network	Ethereum	0.0452	0.045362	+0.36%	0.0363	-19.69%	0.0724	✗	1.38	1.2M	2022-01-21
VSYS	V.SYSTEMS	native	0.01551	0.015565	+0.35%	0.01394	-10.12%	0.0206	✗	0.82	21k	2022-01-21
XPR	XPR Network	Ethereum	0.01227	0.012312	+0.34%	0.01111	-9.45%	0.0419	✓	1.32	2.1M	2022-01-21
RLC	iExec RLC	Ethereum	2.35	2.358	+0.34%	2	-14.89%	0.0189	✗	1.33	3.1M	2022-01-21
GRT	The Graph	Ethereum	0.5001	0.501755	+0.33%	0.4366	-12.70%	0.0044	✓	1.31	10.8M	2022-01-21
AUCTION	Bounce	Ethereum	18.34	18.3985	+0.32%	15.55	-15.21%	0.0577	✗	1.01	807k	2022-01-21
COMP	Compound	Ethereum	162.17	162.6828	+0.32%	139.37	-14.06%	0.0248	✗	1.19	95k	2022-01-21
PSG	Paris Saint-Germain Fan Token	Solana	14.59	14.6354	+0.31%	13.42	-8.02%	0.0122	✗	0.68	813k	2022-01-21
1INCH	1INCH	Ethereum	2.03	2.0361	+0.30%	1.84	-9.36%	0.0162	✓	1.07	2.7M	2022-01-21
MANA	Decentraland	Ethereum	2.6385	2.6464	+0.30%	2.2219	-15.79%	0.0603	✗	1.05	4.3M	2022-01-21
MTL	Metal DAO	Metal L2	1.679	1.684	+0.30%	1.445	-13.94%	0.0248	✗	1.17	1.8M	2022-01-21
QNT	Quant	Ethereum	132.32	132.7143	+0.30%	114.44	-13.51%	0.0448	✗	0.94	6.7M	2022-01-21
NANO	nanopay	Base	2.8203	2.8287	+0.30%	2.3265	-17.51%	0.0691	✗	1.16	665k	2022-01-21
SOL	Solana	Solana	127.52	127.8957	+0.29%	112.32	-11.92%	0.0028	✓	1.16	142.2M	2022-01-21
XVS	Venus	Ethereum	11.36	11.3934	+0.29%	9.94	-12.50%	0.0088	✗	1.17	2.9M	2022-01-21
ALGO	Algorand	Algorand	1.1614	1.1648	+0.29%	1.0303	-11.29%	0.0103	✓	1.22	30.5M	2022-01-21
SUN	Sun Token	Tron	0.018378	0.018431	+0.29%	0.016171	-12.01%	0.0031	✓	1.22	2.7M	2022-01-21
DOGE	Dogecoin	Dogecoin	0.155509	0.155956	+0.29%	0.142057	-8.65%	0.0279	✓	1.11	6.5M	2022-01-21
UOS	Ultra	Ethereum	1.1313	1.1346	+0.29%	0.91734	-18.91%	0.0951	✗	1.07	2.4M	2022-01-21
RIF	Rootstock Infrastructure Framework	Ethereum	0.1666	0.167074	+0.28%	0.1474	-11.52%	0.0253	✗	0.91	362k	2022-01-21
XMR	Monero	Monero	188.73	189.2631	+0.28%	172.82	-8.43%	0.0185	✓	1.00	2.7M	2022-01-21
BAT	Basic Attention	Ethereum	0.90658	0.90913	+0.28%	0.81011	-10.64%	0.0821	✓	1.80	866k	2022-01-21
BTC	Bitcoin	Bitcoin	40,670.97	40,785.27	+0.28%	36,456.94	-10.36%	0.0028	✗	1.00	636.6M	2022-01-21
GT	Gate	Ethereum	7.0322	7.0519	+0.28%	6.243	-11.22%	0.0274	✗	0.86	4.3M	2022-01-21
DODO	DODO	Ethereum	0.682	0.6839	+0.28%	0.561	-17.74%	0.0327	✗	1.51	8.0M	2022-01-21
AMP	Amp	Ethereum	0.03533	0.035427	+0.27%	0.0303	-14.24%	0.0547	✗	0.93	8.3M	2022-01-21
STORJ	Storj	Ethereum	1.3945	1.3983	+0.27%	1.1848	-15.04%	0.0665	✗	0.91	402k	2022-01-21
DKA	dKargo	Ethereum	0.0964	0.09666	+0.27%	0.08324	-13.65%	0.0229	✗	1.16	34k	2022-01-21
ARPA	ARPA	Ethereum	0.0736	0.073796	+0.27%	0.0619	-15.90%	0.0209	✗	1.42	826k	2022-01-21
TRX	TRON	Tron	0.067694	0.067873	+0.27%	0.061109	-9.73%	0.0007	✓	0.95	486k	2022-01-21
HIVE	Hive	native	1.0699	1.0726	+0.25%	0.906	-15.32%	0.0122	✗	1.43	3.7M	2022-01-21
PHA	PHALA	Ethereum	0.328	0.328809	+0.25%	0.271	-17.38%	0.1062	✗	0.80	51k	2022-01-21
MASK	Mask Network	Ethereum	7.96	7.9794	+0.24%	6.49	-18.47%	0.1255	✗	0.74	1.0M	2022-01-21
XEM	NEM	native	0.1095	0.109764	+0.24%	0.097	-11.42%	0.0070	✗	1.07	41k	2022-01-21
TRB	Tellor Tributes	Ethereum	24.39	24.448	+0.24%	21.23	-12.96%	0.0299	✓	1.56	1.0M	2022-01-21
RAD	Radworks	Ethereum	6.89	6.9064	+0.24%	5.68	-17.56%	0.0985	✗	0.89	1.0M	2022-01-21
MED	Medibloc	Osmosis	0.04537	0.045477	+0.24%	0.03977	-12.34%	0.0137	✗	1.10	24k	2022-01-21
SHIB	Shiba Inu	Ethereum	0.00002648	0.000026542	+0.23%	0.00002226	-15.94%	0.0281	✗	1.35	1.7M	2022-01-21
ETH	Ethereum	Ethereum	3,000.94	3,007.79	+0.23%	2,569.01	-14.39%	0.0399	✗	1.08	485.8M	2022-01-21
DEXE	DeXe	Ethereum	7.97	7.9876	+0.22%	6.72	-15.68%	0.1721	✗	0.01	1.2M	2022-01-21
ORBS	Orbs	Ethereum	0.0723	0.072458	+0.22%	0.0634	-12.31%	0.0123	✗	1.11	21k	2022-01-21
ETC	Ethereum Classic	native	29.37	29.4334	+0.22%	25.95	-11.64%	0.0070	✗	1.09	3.3M	2022-01-21
TWT	Trust Wallet	Binance Smart Chain	0.6442	0.645586	+0.22%	0.5619	-12.78%	0.0035	✓	1.30	3.2M	2022-01-21
EWT	Energy Web Token	Ethereum	6.92	6.9349	+0.22%	5.957	-13.92%	0.0746	✗	0.71	163k	2022-01-21
NMR	Numeraire	Ethereum	25.43	25.4843	+0.21%	23.31	-8.34%	0.0102	✗	0.72	342k	2022-01-21
SPELL	Spell	Ethereum	0.01207	0.012096	+0.21%	0.0092	-23.78%	0.0129	✗	2.38	23.2M	2022-01-21
BAR	FC Barcelona Fan Token	Solana	7.38	7.3956	+0.21%	6.31	-14.50%	0.0886	✗	0.64	652k	2022-01-21
JUV	Juventus Fan Token	Solana	7.4	7.4153	+0.21%	6.56	-11.35%	0.0386	✗	0.77	638k	2022-01-21
DNT	district0x	Ethereum	0.1002	0.100405	+0.20%	0.0834	-16.77%	0.0629	✗	1.12	244k	2022-01-21
ZEC	Zcash	Zcash	118.84	119.0831	+0.20%	102.35	-13.88%	0.0065	✗	1.33	8.4M	2022-01-21
XYM	Symbol	native	0.1782	0.178549	+0.20%	0.1639	-8.02%	0.0104	✗	0.69	573k	2022-01-21
LSK	Lisk	Ethereum	1.8707	1.8744	+0.19%	1.6672	-10.88%	0.0080	✓	1.14	89k	2022-01-21
KSM	Kusama	Hydration	239.61	240.0541	+0.19%	213.87	-10.74%	0.0159	✓	1.20	1.3M	2022-01-21
GODS	Gods Unchained	Ethereum	2.79	2.7951	+0.18%	2.29	-17.92%	0.0575	✗	1.30	2.7M	2022-01-21
IMX	Immutable	Ethereum	3.36	3.3662	+0.18%	2.71	-19.35%	0.0563	✗	1.47	2.2M	2022-01-21
OGN	Origin Token	Ethereum	0.428	0.428785	+0.18%	0.352	-17.76%	0.0511	✗	1.34	1.8M	2022-01-21
BCH	Bitcoin Cash	Bitcoin Cash	357.74	358.3786	+0.18%	315.04	-11.94%	0.0167	✗	1.03	6.6M	2022-01-21
MOVR	Moonriver	Base	119.9355	120.1476	+0.18%	95	-20.79%	0.1078	✗	1.16	489k	2022-01-21
CHZ	Chiliz	Ethereum	0.2346	0.235007	+0.17%	0.198	-15.60%	0.0226	✗	1.36	4.0M	2022-01-21
TRAC	OriginTrail	Ethereum	0.8682	0.869698	+0.17%	0.6747	-22.29%	0.0999	✗	1.41	1.4M	2022-01-21
ANKR	Ankr Network	Ethereum	0.08157	0.081711	+0.17%	0.07197	-11.77%	0.0459	✗	0.74	56k	2022-01-21
WBTC	Wrapped Bitcoin	Ethereum	41,418.10	41,486.49	+0.17%	36,607.80	-11.61%	0.0176	✗	0.98	16k	2022-01-21
JASMY	JasmyCoin	Ethereum	0.06785	0.067959	+0.16%	0.05552	-18.17%	0.0640	✗	1.26	12.0M	2022-01-21
SNX	Synthetix	Ethereum	4.78	4.7876	+0.16%	4.17	-12.76%	0.0061	✗	1.21	3.2M	2022-01-21
UNI	Uniswap	Ethereum	14.49	14.5131	+0.16%	12.63	-12.84%	0.0057	✓	1.32	12.4M	2022-01-21
ACH	Alchemy Pay	Ethereum	0.050637	0.050717	+0.16%	0.041641	-17.77%	0.0654	✗	1.20	8.4M	2022-01-21
QTUM	Qtum	Qtum	7.057	7.0678	+0.15%	6.1225	-13.24%	0.0150	✓	1.45	251k	2022-01-21
BCHSV	Bitcoin Cash SV		104.32	104.4796	+0.15%	95.68	-8.28%	0.0175	✓	0.96	1.8M	2022-01-21
SC	Siacoin	native	0.01217	0.012188	+0.15%	0.01044	-14.22%	0.0436	✗	1.02	641k	2022-01-21
ZEN	Horizen	Base	47.6	47.6705	+0.15%	38.94	-18.19%	0.0371	✗	1.51	620k	2022-01-21
XLM	Stellar	Stellar	0.231498	0.23184	+0.15%	0.202862	-12.37%	0.0185	✗	1.05	24.4M	2022-01-21
AXS	Axie Infinity	Ethereum	69.09	69.1921	+0.15%	58.39	-15.49%	0.0481	✗	1.11	6.3M	2022-01-21
GITCOIN	GITCOIN		9.432	9.4459	+0.15%	7.826	-17.03%	0.1752	✗	0.12	38k	2022-01-21
OMG	OMG Network	Ethereum	5.2113	5.2188	+0.14%	4.7186	-9.45%	0.0336	✓	1.23	443k	2022-01-21
SKL	SKALE	Ethereum	0.1484	0.148609	+0.14%	0.1206	-18.73%	0.0705	✗	1.27	4.2M	2022-01-21
BAND	Band	Ethereum	4.68	4.6864	+0.14%	3.96	-15.38%	0.0453	✗	1.13	2.3M	2022-01-21
BEL	Bella Protocol	Ethereum	1.143	1.1445	+0.13%	0.984	-13.91%	0.0010	✓	1.39	2.3M	2022-01-21
CRV	Curve DAO	Ethereum	3.97	3.9752	+0.13%	3.31	-16.62%	0.0229	✗	1.46	32.4M	2022-01-21
XEC	eCash	native	0.00009053	0.000090643	+0.13%	0.00007968	-11.98%	0.0171	✗	1.02	6.5M	2022-01-21
UMA	UMA	Ethereum	7.75	7.7591	+0.12%	6.6	-14.84%	0.0548	✗	0.98	3.9M	2022-01-21
IOTA	IOTA	IOTA	1.0173	1.0185	+0.12%	0.857	-15.76%	0.0622	✗	1.01	22.7M	2022-01-21
LTC	Litecoin	Litecoin	129.8	129.9523	+0.12%	114.51	-11.78%	0.0219	✓	1.36	30.5M	2022-01-21
CTSI	Cartesi	Ethereum	0.5606	0.561192	+0.11%	0.4811	-14.18%	0.0019	✗	1.39	2.6M	2022-01-21
XYO	XYO Network	Ethereum	0.026039	0.026066	+0.10%	0.022082	-15.20%	0.0519	✗	1.04	3.9M	2022-01-21
CBK	Cobak	Ethereum	2.539	2.5416	+0.10%	2.197	-13.47%	0.0356	✗	1.01	24k	2022-01-21
CVC	Civic	Ethereum	0.2825	0.282779	+0.10%	0.2396	-15.19%	0.0517	✗	1.04	397k	2022-01-21
BNT	Bancor Network	Ethereum	2.8	2.8027	+0.10%	2.46	-12.14%	0.0211	✗	1.00	855k	2022-01-21
DASH	Dash	Dash	121.15	121.2667	+0.10%	105.73	-12.73%	0.0053	✗	1.20	2.8M	2022-01-21
SUPER	SuperVerse	Ethereum	0.89	0.890783	+0.09%	0.73	-17.98%	0.0103	✓	1.91	1.3M	2022-01-21
ZRX	0x Protocol	Ethereum	0.655547	0.656123	+0.09%	0.55846	-14.81%	0.0339	✗	1.16	2.3M	2022-01-21
OXT	Orchid Protocol	Ethereum	0.2832	0.283442	+0.09%	0.2523	-10.91%	0.0246	✓	1.29	1.9M	2022-01-21
OG	OG Fan Token	Solana	3.861	3.8641	+0.08%	3.392	-12.15%	0.0427	✗	0.80	1.1M	2022-01-21
FIL	Filecoin	Filecoin	26.19	26.2078	+0.07%	21.98	-16.07%	0.0542	✗	1.11	14.5M	2022-01-21
PORTO	FC Porto	Binance Smart Chain	3.1598	3.1619	+0.07%	3.11	-1.58%	0.1109	✓	1.17	2.1M	2022-01-21
DYDX	dYdX	Cosmos	7.481	7.4856	+0.06%	8.351	+11.63%	0.2502	✓	1.29	301k	2022-01-21
ACM	AC Milan Fan Token	Solana	4.731	4.7339	+0.06%	4.12	-12.91%	0.0649	✗	0.68	445k	2022-01-21
AVAX	Avalanche	Avalanche	79.35	79.3927	+0.05%	66.07	-16.74%	0.0503	✗	1.22	87.3M	2022-01-21
ADA	Cardano	Cardano	1.2589	1.2596	+0.05%	1.1211	-10.95%	0.0085	✓	1.14	100.6M	2022-01-21
GTC	Gitcoin	Ethereum	9.52	9.5247	+0.05%	7.97	-16.28%	0.1585	✗	0.18	3.1M	2022-01-21
ENJ	Enjin Coin	Ethereum	2.111	2.112	+0.05%	1.738	-17.67%	0.0693	✗	1.15	1.9M	2022-01-21
DOT	Polkadot	Polkadot	23	23.0103	+0.04%	19.67	-14.48%	0.0069	✗	1.37	58.5M	2022-01-21
ASR	AS Roma Fan Token	Solana	3.583	3.5846	+0.04%	3.168	-11.58%	0.0455	✗	0.71	523k	2022-01-21
LPT	Livepeer	Ethereum	30.25	30.2625	+0.04%	24.86	-17.82%	0.0128	✗	1.68	2.7M	2022-01-21
COTI	COTI	Ethereum	0.3693	0.36945	+0.04%	0.2921	-20.90%	0.0698	✗	1.51	4.3M	2022-01-21
LINK	Chainlink	Ethereum	20.18	20.1854	+0.03%	17.44	-13.58%	0.0125	✗	1.22	73.6M	2022-01-21
ASM	Assemble AI	Ethereum	0.06885	0.068864	+0.02%	0.05388	-21.74%	0.0953	✗	1.37	2.1M	2022-01-21
SUSHI	Sushi	Ethereum	5.81	5.8107	+0.01%	4.96	-14.63%	0.0160	✗	1.30	17.0M	2022-01-21
KCS	KuCoin	native	19.429	19.431	+0.01%	16.808	-13.49%	0.0327	✓	1.62	10.7M	2022-01-21
LEO	LEO Token	Ethereum	3.7088	3.7092	+0.01%	3.5345	-4.70%	0.0538	✗	-0.05	371k	2022-01-21
CITY	Manchester City Fan Token	Solana	10.09	10.0906	+0.01%	9.4	-6.84%	0.0109	✓	0.75	800k	2022-01-21
XTZ	Tezos	Tezos	3.715	3.7147	-0.01%	3.3417	-10.05%	0.0465	✗	1.39	3.1M	2022-01-21
LUNA	Terra	Terra 2	77.41	77.4016	-0.01%	64.94	-16.11%	0.0302	✗	1.88	7.7M	2022-01-21
CWEB	Coinweb	Ethereum	0.07094	0.070932	-0.01%	0.061424	-13.41%	0.0345	✓	1.00	682k	2022-01-21
ICP	Internet Computer	Ethereum	24.98	24.976	-0.02%	24.19	-3.16%	0.1256	✗	1.44	34.3M	2022-01-21
MINA	Mina Protocol	native	3.35	3.3494	-0.02%	2.9	-13.43%	0.0247	✓	1.09	752k	2022-01-21
SANTOS	Santos FC Fan Token	Binance Smart Chain	3.095	3.0942	-0.03%	2.795	-9.69%	0.0871	✗	1.73	1.1M	2022-01-21
BICO	Biconomy	Ethereum	3.06	3.0589	-0.04%	2.45	-19.93%	0.0796	✓	1.30	7.8M	2022-01-21
FTT	FTX	Ethereum	45.17	45.1486	-0.05%	38.52	-14.72%	0.0362	✓	1.12	24.7M	2022-01-21
CELL	Cellframe	Ethereum	1.0839	1.083	-0.08%	0.8913	-17.77%	0.0840	✓	1.01	108k	2022-01-21
YFI	yearn.finance	Ethereum	31,414.30	31,346.05	-0.22%	25,741.64	-18.06%	0.1215	✓	0.69	21.5M	2022-01-21
API3	Api3	Ethereum	4.19	4.1803	-0.23%	4.65	+10.98%	0.2145	✗	0.99	471k	2022-01-21
BFC	Bifrost	Ethereum	0.18914	0.188676	-0.25%	0.16704	-11.68%	0.0510	✗	1.58	6,611	2022-01-21
GLMR	Moonbeam	Base	9.77	9.7444	-0.26%	8.647	-11.49%	0.0101	✓	1.00	1.9M	2022-01-21
POWR	Powerledger	Ethereum	0.5776	0.576083	-0.26%	0.5351	-7.36%	0.0769	✗	1.38	1.7M	2022-01-21
KNC	Kyber Network Crystal	Ethereum	1.5815	1.5773	-0.26%	1.4321	-9.45%	0.0049	✓	0.84	1.3M	2022-01-21
ATOM	Cosmos Hub	Cosmos	38.97	38.8205	-0.38%	34.64	-11.11%	0.0093	✓	0.96	104.1M	2022-01-21
METRONOME	METRONOME		3.8114	3.7916	-0.52%	3.2277	-15.31%	0.0779	✓	0.76	2,257	2022-01-21
DUSK	DUSK	Ethereum	0.757	0.751647	-0.71%	0.6365	-15.92%	0.0303	✗	1.80	46.2M	2022-01-21

Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.