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2022-01-20 · +30d

gru_s4 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 140 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.1248
140 of 140 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+6.15%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
83.6%
in alpha space · 84.3% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-1.40%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (140 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▾pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash357.74362.7492+1.40%312.05-12.77%0.1361✗1.036.6M2022-02-19
XVSVenusEthereum11.3611.5189+1.40%9.99-12.06%0.1260✗1.172.9M2022-02-19
LRCLoopringEthereum1.06531.0741+0.82%0.8878-16.66%0.1631✗1.941.2M2022-02-19
NANOnanopayBase2.82032.8367+0.58%2.071-26.57%0.2983✗1.16665k2022-02-19
LTCLitecoinLitecoin129.8130.4106+0.47%115.59-10.95%0.1015✗1.3630.5M2022-02-19
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum21.1221.177+0.27%16.06-23.96%0.2503✗1.874.1M2022-02-19
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.068850.0689+0.07%0.05154-25.14%0.2710✗1.372.1M2022-02-19
SOLSolanaSolana127.52127.1238-0.31%91.34-28.37%0.3142✓1.16142.2M2022-02-19
XYMSymbolnative0.17820.177375-0.46%0.1581-11.28%0.1053✓0.69573k2022-02-19
XVGVergenative0.012340.01228-0.49%0.01032-16.37%0.1562✓1.261.8M2022-02-19
UNIUniswapEthereum14.4914.396-0.65%10.03-30.78%0.3427✓1.3212.4M2022-02-19
LCXLCXEthereum0.11410.113326-0.68%0.0963-15.60%0.1446✓1.292.0M2022-02-19
DOTPolkadotPolkadot2322.8303-0.74%17.86-22.35%0.2262✓1.3758.5M2022-02-19
TRXTRONTron0.0676940.067173-0.77%0.063482-6.22%0.0431✓0.95486k2022-02-19
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.9390.930508-0.90%0.749-20.23%0.2030✓0.992.0M2022-02-19
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.67210.666015-0.91%0.4814-28.37%0.3094✓1.082.5M2022-02-19
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0506370.050155-0.95%0.059376+17.26%0.1857✗1.208.4M2022-02-19
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana6.146.079-0.99%5.28-14.01%0.1315✓0.67505k2022-02-19
RLCiExec RLCEthereum2.352.3266-0.99%1.82-22.55%0.2268✓1.333.1M2022-02-19
SUNSun TokenTron0.0183780.018194-1.00%0.015145-17.59%0.1662✓1.222.7M2022-02-19
BELBella ProtocolEthereum1.1431.1308-1.06%0.861-24.67%0.2530✓1.392.3M2022-02-19
OGOG Fan TokenSolana3.8613.8117-1.28%3.281-15.02%0.1386✓0.801.1M2022-02-19
BTCBitcoinBitcoin40,670.9740,125.54-1.34%40,101.94-1.40%0.0135✓1.00636.6M2022-02-19
ETHEthereumEthereum3,000.942,960.39-1.35%2,764.44-7.88%0.0533✓1.08485.8M2022-02-19
AAVEAaveEthereum198.37195.6763-1.36%146.18-26.31%0.2745✓1.2217.6M2022-02-19
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.50010.493124-1.39%0.4172-16.58%0.1487✓1.3110.8M2022-02-19
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum41,418.1040,814.32-1.46%39,901.00-3.66%0.0088✓0.9816k2022-02-19
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana7.387.2724-1.46%5.92-19.78%0.1967✓0.64652k2022-02-19
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.081570.080357-1.49%0.07126-12.64%0.1097✓0.7456k2022-02-19
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.04520.044512-1.52%0.03-33.63%0.3752✓1.381.2M2022-02-19
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.0260390.025642-1.52%0.020617-20.82%0.2034✓1.043.9M2022-02-19
ETCEthereum Classicnative29.3728.9206-1.53%28.7-2.28%0.0077✓1.093.3M2022-02-19
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.28320.278821-1.55%0.2512-11.30%0.0862✓1.291.9M2022-02-19
SNXSynthetixEthereum4.784.7029-1.61%4.37-8.58%0.0564✓1.213.2M2022-02-19
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.86820.854042-1.63%0.5475-36.94%0.4248✓1.411.4M2022-02-19
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.6791.6516-1.63%1.491-11.20%0.0858✓1.171.8M2022-02-19
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum69.0967.9565-1.64%54.84-20.63%0.1988✓1.116.3M2022-02-19
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum1.111.0918-1.64%0.99-10.81%0.0742✓1.68556k2022-02-19
CHZChilizEthereum0.23460.230746-1.64%0.198-15.60%0.1339✓1.364.0M2022-02-19
QNTQuantEthereum132.32130.1021-1.68%110.71-16.33%0.1481✓0.946.7M2022-02-19
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum5.21135.1236-1.68%4.2985-17.51%0.1583✓1.23443k2022-02-19
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.1555090.152817-1.73%0.141002-9.33%0.0649✓1.116.5M2022-02-19
DKAdKargoEthereum0.09640.094672-1.79%0.08925-7.42%0.0427✓1.1634k2022-02-19
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum2.82.7493-1.81%2.38-15.00%0.1302✓1.00855k2022-02-19
NMRNumeraireEthereum25.4324.9684-1.82%30.94+21.67%0.2246✗0.72342k2022-02-19
COMPCompoundEthereum162.17159.202-1.83%121.25-25.23%0.2556✓1.1995k2022-02-19
ARPAARPAEthereum0.07360.072249-1.84%0.0806+9.51%0.1293✗1.42826k2022-02-19
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.6555470.64343-1.85%0.594043-9.38%0.0635✓1.162.3M2022-02-19
KSMKusamaHydration239.61235.1545-1.86%151.15-36.92%0.4250✓1.201.3M2022-02-19
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.64420.632101-1.88%0.5576-13.44%0.1071✓1.303.2M2022-02-19
SKLSKALEEthereum0.14840.145554-1.92%0.1472-0.81%0.0291✗1.274.2M2022-02-19
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.16660.163352-1.95%0.1444-13.33%0.1104✓0.91362k2022-02-19
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum6.926.7831-1.98%5.766-16.68%0.1525✓0.71163k2022-02-19
XECeCashnative0.000090530.00008872-2.00%0.00007811-13.72%0.1130✓1.026.5M2022-02-19
AMPAmpEthereum0.035330.034604-2.05%0.02878-18.54%0.1712✓0.938.3M2022-02-19
CTKShentuOsmosis1.2721.2456-2.08%1.132-11.01%0.0760✓1.394.0M2022-02-19
AUCTIONBounceEthereum18.3417.9585-2.08%14.06-23.34%0.2305✓1.01807k2022-02-19
XTZTezosTezos3.7153.6371-2.10%3.6074-2.90%0.0114✓1.393.1M2022-02-19
KCSKuCoinnative19.42919.0187-2.11%19.839+2.11%0.0651✗1.6210.7M2022-02-19
1INCH1INCHEthereum2.031.9862-2.16%1.58-22.17%0.2137✓1.072.7M2022-02-19
MOVRMoonriverBase119.9355117.3057-2.19%84.5568-29.50%0.3110✓1.16489k2022-02-19
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.012270.011999-2.21%0.01191-2.93%0.0112✓1.322.1M2022-02-19
STORJStorjEthereum1.39451.3638-2.21%1.0275-26.32%0.2704✓0.91402k2022-02-19
PHAPHALAEthereum0.3280.320557-2.27%0.254-22.56%0.2215✓0.8051k2022-02-19
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.045370.044336-2.28%0.04064-10.43%0.0715✓1.1024k2022-02-19
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.07230.070637-2.30%0.0679-6.09%0.0239✓1.1121k2022-02-19
MANADecentralandEthereum2.63852.5776-2.31%2.8917+9.60%0.1297✗1.054.3M2022-02-19
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana7.47.2289-2.31%6.41-13.38%0.1094✓0.77638k2022-02-19
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000026480.000025867-2.32%0.0000275+3.85%0.0803✗1.351.7M2022-02-19
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana4.7314.6214-2.32%4.472-5.47%0.0233✓0.68445k2022-02-19
FILFilecoinFilecoin26.1925.576-2.34%20.82-20.50%0.1901✓1.1114.5M2022-02-19
QTUMQtumQtum7.0576.8912-2.35%6.787-3.83%0.0052✓1.45251k2022-02-19
ZECZcashZcash118.84116.0424-2.35%112.33-5.48%0.0138✓1.338.4M2022-02-19
CBKCobakEthereum2.5392.4767-2.46%2.168-14.61%0.1189✓1.0124k2022-02-19
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.890.867182-2.56%0.85-4.49%0.0070✓1.911.3M2022-02-19
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.98383.8807-2.59%3.0416-23.65%0.2270✓1.183.9M2022-02-19
TRBTellor TributesEthereum24.3923.7539-2.61%20.48-16.03%0.1263✓1.561.0M2022-02-19
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.067850.066073-2.62%0.02516-62.92%0.9477✓1.2612.0M2022-02-19
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche79.3577.2684-2.62%85.07+7.21%0.1134✗1.2287.3M2022-02-19
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV104.32101.5771-2.63%87.64-15.99%0.1340✓0.961.8M2022-02-19
UOSUltraEthereum1.13131.1014-2.64%1.1527+1.89%0.0607✗1.072.4M2022-02-19
RADRadworksEthereum6.896.7074-2.65%5.31-22.93%0.2211✓0.891.0M2022-02-19
XEMNEMnative0.10950.106579-2.67%0.1018-7.03%0.0309✓1.0741k2022-02-19
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.4280.416523-2.68%0.325-24.07%0.2293✓1.341.8M2022-02-19
DEXEDeXeEthereum7.977.7558-2.69%7.27-8.78%0.0646✓0.011.2M2022-02-19
XLMStellarStellar0.2314980.225179-2.73%0.204174-11.80%0.0831✓1.0524.4M2022-02-19
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum24.9824.2943-2.74%20-19.94%0.1742✓1.4434.3M2022-02-19
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.10020.097397-2.80%0.0784-21.76%0.2012✓1.12244k2022-02-19
ADACardanoCardano1.25891.2235-2.81%0.9969-20.81%0.1887✓1.14100.6M2022-02-19
UMAUMAEthereum7.757.5309-2.83%5.69-26.58%0.2665✓0.983.9M2022-02-19
XMRMoneroMonero188.73183.3786-2.84%161.12-14.63%0.1153✓1.002.7M2022-02-19
SCSiacoinnative0.012170.011819-2.89%0.00967-20.54%0.1863✓1.02641k2022-02-19
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.015510.015058-2.91%0.01266-18.38%0.1619✓0.8221k2022-02-19
ZENHorizenBase47.646.1988-2.94%38.13-19.89%0.1707✓1.51620k2022-02-19
LEOLEO TokenEthereum3.70883.5988-2.97%5.7961+56.28%0.4759✗-0.05371k2022-02-19
GTGateEthereum7.03226.8225-2.98%6.6548-5.37%0.0127✓0.864.3M2022-02-19
IOTAIOTAIOTA1.01730.986874-2.99%0.827-18.71%0.1625✓1.0122.7M2022-02-19
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana3.5833.4751-3.01%2.973-17.02%0.1460✓0.71523k2022-02-19
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana14.5914.1488-3.02%15.11+3.56%0.0753✗0.68813k2022-02-19
DASHDashDash121.15117.4696-3.04%102.42-15.46%0.1201✓1.202.8M2022-02-19
LPTLivepeerEthereum30.2529.3216-3.07%25.4-16.03%0.1199✓1.682.7M2022-02-19
DODODODOEthereum0.6820.660679-3.13%0.489-28.30%0.2796✓1.518.0M2022-02-19
LINKChainlinkEthereum20.1819.5415-3.16%15.52-23.09%0.2132✓1.2273.6M2022-02-19
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana10.099.7693-3.18%9.9-1.88%0.0238✓0.75800k2022-02-19
MASKMask NetworkEthereum7.967.7064-3.19%5.08-36.18%0.4063✓0.741.0M2022-02-19
LSKLiskEthereum1.87071.8094-3.28%1.6691-10.78%0.0646✓1.1489k2022-02-19
GITCOINGITCOIN9.4329.1164-3.35%6.873-27.13%0.2808✓0.1238k2022-02-19
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum2.792.6955-3.39%1.58-43.37%0.5159✓1.302.7M2022-02-19
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.906580.875306-3.45%0.75237-17.01%0.1259✓1.80866k2022-02-19
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.0952.9878-3.46%2.586-16.45%0.1201✓1.731.1M2022-02-19
HIVEHivenative1.06991.0327-3.48%0.9635-9.94%0.0492✓1.433.7M2022-02-19
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand1.16141.121-3.48%0.9001-22.50%0.2024✓1.2230.5M2022-02-19
IMXImmutableEthereum3.363.24-3.57%1.98-41.07%0.4718✓1.472.2M2022-02-19
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain3.15983.0467-3.58%3.0659-2.97%0.0227✓1.172.1M2022-02-19
CTSICartesiEthereum0.56060.539851-3.70%0.4201-25.06%0.2312✓1.392.6M2022-02-19
COTICOTIEthereum0.36930.355347-3.78%0.247-33.12%0.3424✓1.514.3M2022-02-19
BICOBiconomyEthereum3.062.937-4.02%1.57-48.69%0.6080✓1.307.8M2022-02-19
FTTFTXEthereum45.1743.3377-4.06%42.78-5.29%0.0028✓1.1224.7M2022-02-19
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum2.1112.0246-4.09%1.664-21.17%0.1800✓1.151.9M2022-02-19
SPELLSpellEthereum0.012070.011554-4.27%0.0051-57.75%0.7842✓2.3823.2M2022-02-19
BANDBandEthereum4.684.4796-4.28%4.93+5.34%0.1117✗1.132.3M2022-02-19
LUNATerraTerra 277.4173.999-4.41%50.46-34.81%0.3564✓1.887.7M2022-02-19
CVCCivicEthereum0.28250.269932-4.45%0.273-3.36%0.0260✓1.04397k2022-02-19
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.05290.0505-4.54%0.0593+12.10%0.1747✗1.0023.9M2022-02-19
MINAMina Protocolnative3.353.1834-4.97%2.42-27.76%0.2588✓1.09752k2022-02-19
DYDXdYdXCosmos7.4817.088-5.25%6.265-16.25%0.1053✓1.29301k2022-02-19
CRVCurve DAOEthereum3.973.7505-5.53%2.81-29.22%0.2681✓1.4632.4M2022-02-19
CELLCellframeEthereum1.08391.0239-5.53%1.8854+73.95%0.6248✗1.01108k2022-02-19
API3Api3Ethereum4.193.9436-5.88%7.47+78.28%0.6527✗0.99471k2022-02-19
SUSHISushiEthereum5.815.4592-6.04%3.87-33.39%0.3257✓1.3017.0M2022-02-19
GTCGitcoinEthereum9.528.9006-6.51%6.99-26.58%0.2391✓0.183.1M2022-02-19
YFIyearn.financeEthereum31,414.3029,309.49-6.70%21,669.76-31.02%0.2923✓0.6921.5M2022-02-19
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.58151.4744-6.78%1.9802+25.21%0.3068✗0.841.3M2022-02-19
BFCBifrostEthereum0.189140.176212-6.84%0.15998-15.42%0.0744✓1.586,6112022-02-19
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.070940.066028-6.92%0.02609-63.22%0.9144✓1.00682k2022-02-19
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos38.9736.1526-7.23%26.69-31.51%0.2900✓0.96104.1M2022-02-19
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.57760.535501-7.29%0.5485-5.04%0.0434✓1.381.7M2022-02-19
GLMRMoonbeamBase9.779.0345-7.53%3.675-62.38%0.8854✓1.001.9M2022-02-19
METRONOMEMETRONOME3.81143.5192-7.67%2.3136-39.30%0.4087✓0.762,2572022-02-19
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.7570.673355-11.05%0.419-44.65%0.4491✓1.8046.2M2022-02-19
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.