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2022-01-19 · +1d

gru_s4 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 139 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.0398
139 of 139 tokens assessed
long-short decile
-0.82%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
33.1%
in alpha space · 16.5% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-2.41%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (139 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▾pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.75920.764722+0.73%0.6721-11.47%0.1036✗1.052.5M2022-01-20
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum1.171.1762+0.53%1.11-5.13%0.0172✗1.67556k2022-01-20
LRCLoopringEthereum1.18351.1897+0.53%1.0653-9.99%0.0639✗1.911.3M2022-01-20
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain44.0172+0.43%3.9838-0.40%0.0224✓1.264.0M2022-01-20
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.05750.057745+0.43%0.0529-8.00%0.0633✗1.0024.3M2022-01-20
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum22.1422.2337+0.42%21.12-4.61%0.0059✗1.873.9M2022-01-20
CTKShentuOsmosis1.2941.2992+0.40%1.272-1.70%0.0123✓1.373.8M2022-01-20
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.960.963798+0.40%0.939-2.19%0.0022✓0.982.1M2022-01-20
AAVEAaveEthereum210.15210.942+0.38%198.37-5.61%0.0320✗1.2117.6M2022-01-20
XVGVergenative0.012670.012717+0.37%0.01234-2.60%0.0003✓1.251.9M2022-01-20
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.015850.015903+0.33%0.01551-2.15%0.0068✗0.7522k2022-01-20
LCXLCXEthereum0.11910.119495+0.33%0.1141-4.20%0.0147✗1.292.1M2022-01-20
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana6.366.3806+0.32%6.14-3.46%0.0224✗0.66524k2022-01-20
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.52440.526072+0.32%0.5001-4.63%0.0187✗1.3111.3M2022-01-20
RLCiExec RLCEthereum2.472.4777+0.31%2.35-4.86%0.0207✗1.323.2M2022-01-20
AUCTIONBounceEthereum19.0319.0892+0.31%18.34-3.63%0.0142✗1.06841k2022-01-20
1INCH1INCHEthereum2.092.0963+0.30%2.03-2.87%0.0060✗1.072.7M2022-01-20
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana14.8514.8945+0.30%14.59-1.75%0.0041✗0.68862k2022-01-20
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.7091.7141+0.30%1.679-1.76%0.0076✓1.161.9M2022-01-20
QNTQuantEthereum135.59135.9923+0.30%132.32-2.41%0.0045✗0.946.7M2022-01-20
SUNSun TokenTron0.018950.019004+0.28%0.018378-3.02%0.0036✗1.232.7M2022-01-20
COMPCompoundEthereum172.8173.2804+0.28%162.17-6.15%0.0377✗1.1795k2022-01-20
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.17120.171675+0.28%0.1666-2.69%0.0077✗0.91380k2022-01-20
DODODODOEthereum0.7010.702944+0.28%0.682-2.71%0.0061✓1.498.0M2022-01-20
SPELLSpellEthereum0.011720.011752+0.27%0.01207+2.99%0.0861✓2.4423.2M2022-01-20
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.04860.04873+0.27%0.0452-7.00%0.0419✗1.371.3M2022-01-20
BTCBitcoinBitcoin41,674.2741,784.84+0.27%40,670.97-2.41%0.0026✗1.00636.6M2022-01-20
TRXTRONTron0.0691920.069374+0.26%0.067694-2.16%0.0014✓0.95489k2022-01-20
MANADecentralandEthereum2.73462.7417+0.26%2.6385-3.51%0.0131✗1.044.5M2022-01-20
GTGateEthereum7.17.1186+0.26%7.0322-0.95%0.0087✓0.864.3M2022-01-20
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.956760.959232+0.26%0.90658-5.24%0.0129✗1.79866k2022-01-20
UOSUltraEthereum1.16931.1723+0.26%1.1313-3.25%0.0097✗1.062.4M2022-01-20
SOLSolanaSolana135.33135.6725+0.25%127.52-5.77%0.0342✗1.14147.7M2022-01-20
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.1617050.162114+0.25%0.155509-3.83%0.0149✗1.106.4M2022-01-20
AMPAmpEthereum0.037180.037274+0.25%0.03533-4.98%0.0313✗0.918.4M2022-01-20
DKAdKargoEthereum0.100440.100682+0.24%0.0964-4.02%0.0156✗1.1431k2022-01-20
XMRMoneroMonero201.62202.1002+0.24%188.73-6.39%0.0444✗0.992.9M2022-01-20
STORJStorjEthereum1.4621.4654+0.24%1.3945-4.61%0.0279✗0.89423k2022-01-20
XEMNEMnative0.11260.112864+0.23%0.1095-2.75%0.0045✗1.0641k2022-01-20
NANOnanopayBase3.05553.0626+0.23%2.8203-7.70%0.0548✗1.13665k2022-01-20
ARPAARPAEthereum0.07740.077579+0.23%0.0736-4.91%0.0186✗1.40949k2022-01-20
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.013940.013972+0.23%0.01227-11.98%0.0979✗1.312.1M2022-01-20
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.10120.101428+0.23%0.1002-0.99%0.0153✓1.13240k2022-01-20
RADRadworksEthereum7.017.0257+0.22%6.89-1.71%0.0021✓0.891.1M2022-01-20
PHAPHALAEthereum0.3490.34978+0.22%0.328-6.02%0.0452✗0.7951k2022-01-20
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.046920.047024+0.22%0.04537-3.30%0.0091✗1.1023k2022-01-20
ETHEthereumEthereum3,085.273,092.04+0.22%3,000.94-2.73%0.0037✗1.08485.8M2022-01-20
XYMSymbolnative0.17860.178989+0.22%0.1782-0.22%0.0122✓0.68573k2022-01-20
XVSVenusEthereum12.5212.5462+0.21%11.36-9.27%0.0714✗1.142.7M2022-01-20
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000027260.000027316+0.21%0.00002648-2.86%0.0019✓1.351.7M2022-01-20
KSMKusamaHydration243.71244.1856+0.20%239.61-1.68%0.0102✓1.191.3M2022-01-20
DEXEDeXeEthereum8.358.366+0.19%7.97-4.55%0.0488✗-0.011.3M2022-01-20
TRBTellor TributesEthereum26.1326.1798+0.19%24.39-6.66%0.0330✗1.551.0M2022-01-20
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana7.677.6845+0.19%7.38-3.78%0.0250✗0.63660k2022-01-20
NMRNumeraireEthereum26.8126.8601+0.19%25.43-5.15%0.0374✗0.71353k2022-01-20
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana7.577.5841+0.19%7.4-2.25%0.0059✗0.77638k2022-01-20
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.07610.076241+0.19%0.0723-4.99%0.0263✗1.1021k2022-01-20
ETCEthereum Classicnative31.2731.3271+0.18%29.37-6.08%0.0383✗1.083.2M2022-01-20
HIVEHivenative1.13861.1406+0.18%1.0699-6.03%0.0298✗1.413.7M2022-01-20
MOVRMoonriverBase120.5322120.7468+0.18%119.9355-0.50%0.0208✓1.13489k2022-01-20
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.68380.685014+0.18%0.6442-5.79%0.0303✗1.283.3M2022-01-20
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash369.1369.7539+0.18%357.74-3.08%0.0082✗1.026.6M2022-01-20
MASKMask NetworkEthereum8.438.4449+0.18%7.96-5.58%0.0414✗0.73995k2022-01-20
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand1.26591.2681+0.18%1.1614-8.25%0.0591✗1.1830.5M2022-01-20
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum41,724.0041,797.07+0.18%41,418.10-0.73%0.0150✓0.9916k2022-01-20
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum7.2727.2847+0.17%6.92-4.84%0.0344✗0.70170k2022-01-20
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0511150.0512+0.17%0.050637-0.94%0.0183✓1.208.4M2022-01-20
DYDXdYdXCosmos7.0097.0206+0.17%7.481+6.73%0.0950✓1.29271k2022-01-20
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.08530.085434+0.16%0.08157-4.37%0.0284✗0.7355k2022-01-20
ZECZcashZcash125.87126.0567+0.15%118.84-5.59%0.0274✗1.309.5M2022-01-20
UNIUniswapEthereum15.1215.1423+0.15%14.49-4.17%0.0120✗1.3212.4M2022-01-20
SNXSynthetixEthereum4.94.9071+0.15%4.78-2.45%0.0029✓1.203.2M2022-01-20
QTUMQtumQtum7.40327.4135+0.14%7.057-4.68%0.0141✗1.44263k2022-01-20
CHZChilizEthereum0.24630.246638+0.14%0.2346-4.75%0.0174✗1.344.0M2022-01-20
SKLSKALEEthereum0.1510.151207+0.14%0.1484-1.72%0.0120✓1.264.2M2022-01-20
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum71.8271.9165+0.13%69.09-3.80%0.0137✗1.086.4M2022-01-20
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum5.44865.4559+0.13%5.2113-4.36%0.0160✗1.23446k2022-01-20
BANDBandEthereum4.914.9165+0.13%4.68-4.68%0.0223✗1.112.2M2022-01-20
SCSiacoinnative0.01270.012716+0.13%0.01217-4.17%0.0195✗1.00641k2022-01-20
XECeCashnative0.000092270.000092389+0.13%0.00009053-1.89%0.0045✓1.026.5M2022-01-20
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV109.45109.5866+0.12%104.32-4.69%0.0261✗0.951.8M2022-01-20
ZENHorizenBase49.9349.9908+0.12%47.6-4.67%0.0126✗1.49636k2022-01-20
LSKLiskEthereum2.05092.0533+0.12%1.8707-8.79%0.0660✗1.1189k2022-01-20
LTCLitecoinLitecoin136.2136.3549+0.11%129.8-4.70%0.0163✗1.3531.1M2022-01-20
IMXImmutableEthereum3.563.564+0.11%3.36-5.62%0.0235✗1.452.2M2022-01-20
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.92710.928126+0.11%0.8682-6.35%0.0326✗1.401.5M2022-01-20
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum3.13.1033+0.11%2.79-10.00%0.0760✗1.252.7M2022-01-20
XLMStellarStellar0.2455670.245822+0.10%0.231498-5.73%0.0348✗1.0423.9M2022-01-20
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.0266240.02665+0.10%0.026039-2.20%0.0019✓1.034.4M2022-01-20
CTSICartesiEthereum0.57840.578956+0.10%0.5606-3.08%0.0016✓1.392.7M2022-01-20
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.4690.469436+0.09%0.428-8.74%0.0604✗1.311.8M2022-01-20
CBKCobakEthereum2.6232.6253+0.09%2.539-3.20%0.0113✗0.9125k2022-01-20
BELBella ProtocolEthereum1.2221.223+0.08%1.143-6.46%0.0343✗1.372.4M2022-01-20
COTICOTIEthereum0.3660.366298+0.08%0.3693+0.90%0.0447✓1.504.1M2022-01-20
IOTAIOTAIOTA1.04921.05+0.08%1.0173-3.04%0.0076✗0.9923.2M2022-01-20
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum2.912.9122+0.08%2.8-3.78%0.0151✗0.99855k2022-01-20
DASHDashDash126.8126.8972+0.08%121.15-4.46%0.0172✗1.192.8M2022-01-20
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.6849680.685467+0.07%0.655547-4.30%0.0165✗1.152.3M2022-01-20
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.071620.071669+0.07%0.06785-5.26%0.0252✗1.2112.4M2022-01-20
OGOG Fan TokenSolana3.9563.9587+0.07%3.861-2.40%0.0056✗0.801.1M2022-01-20
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.930.930628+0.07%0.89-4.30%0.0021✓1.921.4M2022-01-20
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain3.14213.1442+0.07%3.1598+0.56%0.0337✓1.182.1M2022-01-20
UMAUMAEthereum8.268.2653+0.06%7.75-6.17%0.0410✗0.964.1M2022-01-20
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana4.7934.796+0.06%4.731-1.29%0.0028✓0.67457k2022-01-20
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.29820.298378+0.06%0.2832-5.03%0.0209✗1.292.0M2022-01-20
CVCCivicEthereum0.29830.298469+0.06%0.2825-5.30%0.0298✗1.03397k2022-01-20
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana3.6273.629+0.05%3.583-1.21%0.0045✓0.71523k2022-01-20
LEOLEO TokenEthereum3.65463.6562+0.04%3.7088+1.48%0.0128✓-0.06371k2022-01-20
FILFilecoinFilecoin27.5927.6008+0.04%26.19-5.07%0.0259✗1.0914.5M2022-01-20
ADACardanoCardano1.33661.3371+0.03%1.2589-5.81%0.0328✗1.1399.0M2022-01-20
GITCOINGITCOIN10.27410.2772+0.03%9.432-8.20%0.0834✗0.1040k2022-01-20
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.072180.072197+0.02%0.06885-4.61%0.0127✗1.432.3M2022-01-20
CRVCurve DAOEthereum4.194.1908+0.02%3.97-5.25%0.0197✗1.4132.4M2022-01-20
DOTPolkadotPolkadot24.0624.0637+0.02%23-4.41%0.0122✗1.3658.5M2022-01-20
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche82.6482.6496+0.01%79.35-3.98%0.0117✗1.1992.3M2022-01-20
KCSKuCoinnative19.95119.9529+0.01%19.429-2.62%0.0126✓1.6110.6M2022-01-20
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum2.2192.2192+0.01%2.111-4.87%0.0224✗1.131.9M2022-01-20
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana10.2210.2198-0.00%10.09-1.27%0.0055✗0.75808k2022-01-20
LPTLivepeerEthereum32.4332.4275-0.01%30.25-6.72%0.0289✓1.672.7M2022-01-20
MINAMina Protocolnative3.393.3897-0.01%3.35-1.18%0.0147✗1.09808k2022-01-20
XTZTezosTezos3.88493.8839-0.03%3.715-4.37%0.0108✓1.383.2M2022-01-20
LINKChainlinkEthereum21.5621.5505-0.04%20.18-6.40%0.0364✓1.2072.8M2022-01-20
LUNATerraTerra 281.2781.2298-0.05%77.41-4.75%0.0028✓1.867.7M2022-01-20
CELLCellframeEthereum1.04571.0452-0.05%1.0839+3.65%0.0624✗1.07108k2022-01-20
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum26.5326.5132-0.06%24.98-5.84%0.0249✓1.4234.3M2022-01-20
SUSHISushiEthereum6.056.0457-0.07%5.81-3.97%0.0082✓1.3017.7M2022-01-20
FTTFTXEthereum46.6746.6367-0.07%45.17-3.21%0.0050✓1.1124.3M2022-01-20
GTCGitcoinEthereum10.2110.2021-0.08%9.52-6.76%0.0652✓0.162.8M2022-01-20
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.2823.2793-0.08%3.095-5.70%0.0158✓1.721.2M2022-01-20
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.075110.07503-0.11%0.07094-5.55%0.0317✓1.00719k2022-01-20
BICOBiconomyEthereum3.333.3262-0.11%3.06-8.11%0.0520✓1.298.5M2022-01-20
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.5371.5342-0.18%1.5815+2.90%0.0508✗0.841.2M2022-01-20
YFIyearn.financeEthereum32,142.2932,060.76-0.25%31,414.30-2.26%0.0037✓0.6821.5M2022-01-20
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.57010.56864-0.26%0.5776+1.32%0.0496✗1.391.5M2022-01-20
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos37.0736.9528-0.32%38.97+5.13%0.0768✗0.9798.5M2022-01-20
BFCBifrostEthereum0.199130.198419-0.36%0.18914-5.02%0.0097✓1.576,5192022-01-20
API3Api3Ethereum4.354.3327-0.40%4.19-3.68%0.0096✓0.98471k2022-01-20
METRONOMEMETRONOME3.99393.9682-0.64%3.8114-4.57%0.0220✓0.752,2572022-01-20
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.84660.837425-1.08%0.757-10.58%0.0576✓1.7846.2M2022-01-20
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.