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2022-01-19 · +30d

gru_s4 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 139 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.0864
139 of 139 tokens assessed
long-short decile
-2.07%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
80.6%
in alpha space · 87.8% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-4.06%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (139 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▾pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash369.1374.1157+1.36%310.22-15.95%0.1451✗1.026.6M2022-02-18
XVSVenusEthereum12.5212.6109+0.73%10.35-17.33%0.1502✗1.142.7M2022-02-18
LTCLitecoinLitecoin136.2136.5906+0.29%114.85-15.68%0.1173✗1.3531.1M2022-02-18
LRCLoopringEthereum1.18351.1867+0.27%0.877-25.90%0.2233✗1.911.3M2022-02-18
NANOnanopayBase3.05553.0564+0.03%2.0548-32.75%0.3502✗1.13665k2022-02-18
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.072180.072156-0.03%0.04965-31.21%0.3147✓1.432.3M2022-02-18
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum22.1422.1325-0.03%15.77-28.77%0.2615✓1.873.9M2022-02-18
XYMSymbolnative0.17860.17818-0.23%0.1609-9.91%0.0738✓0.68573k2022-02-18
UNIUniswapEthereum15.1215.0161-0.69%10.16-32.80%0.3362✓1.3212.4M2022-02-18
XVGVergenative0.012670.012572-0.77%0.01063-16.10%0.1162✓1.251.9M2022-02-18
SOLSolanaSolana135.33134.2708-0.78%89.9-33.57%0.3540✓1.14147.7M2022-02-18
DOTPolkadotPolkadot24.0623.8591-0.84%17.83-25.89%0.2352✓1.3658.5M2022-02-18
TRXTRONTron0.0691920.068585-0.88%0.063085-8.83%0.0444✓0.95489k2022-02-18
LCXLCXEthereum0.11910.117973-0.95%0.0978-17.88%0.1340✓1.292.1M2022-02-18
SUNSun TokenTron0.018950.018759-1.01%0.015984-15.65%0.1093✓1.232.7M2022-02-18
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.960.948917-1.15%0.771-19.69%0.1671✓0.982.1M2022-02-18
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0511150.050513-1.18%0.0487-4.72%0.0133✗1.208.4M2022-02-18
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana6.366.2849-1.18%5.25-17.45%0.1526✓0.66524k2022-02-18
RLCiExec RLCEthereum2.472.4402-1.21%1.82-26.32%0.2384✓1.323.2M2022-02-18
BELBella ProtocolEthereum1.2221.2063-1.28%0.86-29.62%0.2817✓1.372.4M2022-02-18
OGOG Fan TokenSolana3.9563.9051-1.29%3.181-19.59%0.1721✓0.801.1M2022-02-18
ETHEthereumEthereum3,085.273,041.40-1.42%2,780.08-9.89%0.0453✓1.08485.8M2022-02-18
BTCBitcoinBitcoin41,674.2741,041.27-1.52%39,983.56-4.06%0.0153✓1.00636.6M2022-02-18
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana7.677.5508-1.55%5.97-22.16%0.2086✓0.63660k2022-02-18
SNXSynthetixEthereum4.94.8236-1.56%4.37-10.82%0.0492✓1.203.2M2022-02-18
AAVEAaveEthereum210.15206.7921-1.60%145.64-30.70%0.3006✓1.2117.6M2022-02-18
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.1617050.15912-1.60%0.138612-14.28%0.0925✓1.106.4M2022-02-18
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.52440.515702-1.66%0.4126-21.32%0.1688✓1.3111.3M2022-02-18
ETCEthereum Classicnative31.2730.7443-1.68%28.96-7.39%0.0152✓1.083.2M2022-02-18
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum5.44865.3568-1.69%4.35-20.16%0.1574✓1.23446k2022-02-18
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.0266240.026166-1.72%0.019599-26.39%0.2464✓1.034.4M2022-02-18
QNTQuantEthereum135.59133.2067-1.76%113.58-16.23%0.1206✓0.946.7M2022-02-18
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.7091.6789-1.76%1.518-11.18%0.0527✓1.161.9M2022-02-18
KSMKusamaHydration243.71239.2736-1.82%150.07-38.42%0.4171✓1.191.3M2022-02-18
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.75920.74535-1.82%0.5205-31.44%0.3157✓1.052.5M2022-02-18
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum71.8270.5038-1.83%55.59-22.60%0.1929✓1.086.4M2022-02-18
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum41,724.0040,946.60-1.86%40,196.70-3.66%0.0225✗0.9916k2022-02-18
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum2.912.8555-1.87%2.38-18.21%0.1411✓0.99855k2022-02-18
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.92710.909694-1.88%0.5682-38.71%0.4126✓1.401.5M2022-02-18
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.04860.047674-1.90%0.0302-37.86%0.3999✓1.371.3M2022-02-18
CHZChilizEthereum0.24630.241606-1.91%0.1967-20.14%0.1501✓1.344.0M2022-02-18
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.29820.292485-1.92%0.2543-14.72%0.0866✓1.292.0M2022-02-18
DKAdKargoEthereum0.100440.098488-1.94%0.09046-9.94%0.0377✓1.1431k2022-02-18
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.17120.167815-1.98%0.1446-15.54%0.1110✓0.91380k2022-02-18
COMPCompoundEthereum172.8169.3535-1.99%121.52-29.68%0.2834✓1.1795k2022-02-18
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.6849680.671162-2.02%0.594984-13.14%0.0727✓1.152.3M2022-02-18
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.08530.083578-2.02%0.07167-15.98%0.1233✓0.7355k2022-02-18
XECeCashnative0.000092270.000090402-2.02%0.0000786-14.82%0.0978✓1.026.5M2022-02-18
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.68380.669695-2.06%0.5229-23.53%0.1944✓1.283.3M2022-02-18
NMRNumeraireEthereum26.8126.2462-2.10%29.08+8.47%0.1319✗0.71353k2022-02-18
1INCH1INCHEthereum2.092.046-2.11%1.59-23.92%0.2077✓1.072.7M2022-02-18
XTZTezosTezos3.88493.8019-2.14%3.6234-6.73%0.0090✓1.383.2M2022-02-18
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum1.171.1442-2.20%0.99-15.38%0.0755✓1.67556k2022-02-18
SKLSKALEEthereum0.1510.147654-2.22%0.1365-9.60%0.0262✓1.264.2M2022-02-18
KCSKuCoinnative19.95119.5071-2.23%19.552-2.00%0.0689✗1.6110.6M2022-02-18
CTKShentuOsmosis1.2941.2648-2.26%1.104-14.68%0.0791✓1.373.8M2022-02-18
ARPAARPAEthereum0.07740.075639-2.28%0.0812+4.91%0.1288✗1.40949k2022-02-18
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana4.7934.6836-2.28%4.716-1.61%0.0348✗0.67457k2022-02-18
AUCTIONBounceEthereum19.0318.5945-2.29%14.44-24.12%0.2090✓1.06841k2022-02-18
FILFilecoinFilecoin27.5926.9559-2.30%21.02-23.81%0.2036✓1.0914.5M2022-02-18
AMPAmpEthereum0.037180.036321-2.31%0.02928-21.25%0.1776✓0.918.4M2022-02-18
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana7.577.3901-2.38%6.37-15.85%0.1168✓0.77638k2022-02-18
MOVRMoonriverBase120.5322117.5675-2.46%83.1979-30.97%0.2990✓1.13489k2022-02-18
PHAPHALAEthereum0.3490.340411-2.46%0.261-25.21%0.2331✓0.7951k2022-02-18
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.046920.045756-2.48%0.04101-12.60%0.0641✓1.1023k2022-02-18
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum7.2727.0892-2.51%5.881-19.13%0.1580✓0.70170k2022-02-18
STORJStorjEthereum1.4621.4245-2.56%1.0419-28.73%0.2759✓0.89423k2022-02-18
QTUMQtumQtum7.40327.2087-2.63%7.2333-2.29%0.0632✗1.44263k2022-02-18
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000027260.000026541-2.64%0.00002815+3.26%0.1149✗1.351.7M2022-02-18
MANADecentralandEthereum2.73462.6622-2.65%2.97+8.61%0.1523✗1.044.5M2022-02-18
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain43.8938-2.65%3.076-23.10%0.1836✓1.264.0M2022-02-18
ZECZcashZcash125.87122.4775-2.70%109.21-13.24%0.0610✓1.309.5M2022-02-18
CBKCobakEthereum2.6232.5523-2.70%2.222-15.29%0.1010✓0.9125k2022-02-18
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.071620.069679-2.71%0.02552-64.37%0.9542✓1.2112.4M2022-02-18
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.07610.074028-2.72%0.0682-10.38%0.0366✓1.1021k2022-02-18
XEMNEMnative0.11260.109531-2.73%0.1011-10.21%0.0363✓1.0641k2022-02-18
LEOLEO TokenEthereum3.65463.5539-2.76%5.708+56.19%0.4712✗-0.06371k2022-02-18
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.930.904031-2.79%0.89-4.30%0.0638✗1.921.4M2022-02-18
RADRadworksEthereum7.016.8112-2.84%5.3-24.39%0.2142✓0.891.1M2022-02-18
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV109.45106.316-2.86%87.44-20.11%0.1560✓0.951.8M2022-02-18
XLMStellarStellar0.2455670.23843-2.91%0.200634-18.30%0.1296✓1.0423.9M2022-02-18
UOSUltraEthereum1.16931.1353-2.91%1.196+2.28%0.0961✗1.062.4M2022-02-18
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.015850.015387-2.92%0.01279-19.31%0.1539✓0.7522k2022-02-18
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum26.5325.749-2.94%19.61-26.08%0.2134✓1.4234.3M2022-02-18
TRBTellor TributesEthereum26.1325.3573-2.96%20.51-21.51%0.1478✓1.551.0M2022-02-18
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche82.6480.1146-3.06%83.75+1.34%0.0938✗1.1992.3M2022-02-18
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.013940.013512-3.07%0.01204-13.63%0.0611✓1.312.1M2022-02-18
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.10120.098078-3.09%0.0797-21.25%0.1608✓1.13240k2022-02-18
GTGateEthereum7.16.8803-3.10%6.6403-6.47%0.0000✓0.864.3M2022-02-18
ADACardanoCardano1.33661.2951-3.11%0.9958-25.50%0.2162✓1.1399.0M2022-02-18
IOTAIOTAIOTA1.04921.016-3.17%0.8015-23.61%0.1961✓0.9923.2M2022-02-18
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana14.8514.3741-3.21%15.2+2.36%0.0840✗0.68862k2022-02-18
DASHDashDash126.8122.6896-3.24%105.32-16.94%0.1032✓1.192.8M2022-02-18
UMAUMAEthereum8.267.99-3.27%5.92-28.33%0.2601✓0.964.1M2022-02-18
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana3.6273.5079-3.28%3.02-16.74%0.1204✓0.71523k2022-02-18
XMRMoneroMonero201.62194.9876-3.29%160.94-20.18%0.1510✓0.992.9M2022-02-18
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana10.229.8831-3.30%10.17-0.49%0.0597✗0.75808k2022-02-18
DODODODOEthereum0.7010.677839-3.30%0.494-29.53%0.2546✓1.498.0M2022-02-18
ZENHorizenBase49.9348.2769-3.31%37.11-25.68%0.2012✓1.49636k2022-02-18
DEXEDeXeEthereum8.358.0731-3.32%7.67-8.14%0.0517✓-0.011.3M2022-02-18
SCSiacoinnative0.01270.012277-3.33%0.00961-24.33%0.2035✓1.00641k2022-02-18
COTICOTIEthereum0.3660.353486-3.42%0.247-32.51%0.2963✓1.504.1M2022-02-18
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain3.14213.033-3.47%3.1093-1.04%0.0736✗1.182.1M2022-02-18
LPTLivepeerEthereum32.4331.3012-3.48%25.01-22.88%0.1553✓1.672.7M2022-02-18
LINKChainlinkEthereum21.5620.8029-3.51%15.2-29.50%0.2640✓1.2072.8M2022-02-18
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.4690.452489-3.52%0.322-31.34%0.2859✓1.311.8M2022-02-18
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.956760.920676-3.77%0.75452-21.14%0.1250✓1.79866k2022-02-18
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand1.26591.2174-3.83%0.895-29.30%0.2587✓1.1830.5M2022-02-18
IMXImmutableEthereum3.563.4224-3.86%2.05-42.42%0.4523✓1.452.2M2022-02-18
MASKMask NetworkEthereum8.438.1005-3.91%5.29-37.25%0.3960✓0.73995k2022-02-18
LSKLiskEthereum2.05091.9695-3.97%1.6654-18.80%0.1216✓1.1189k2022-02-18
HIVEHivenative1.13861.0927-4.03%0.9999-12.18%0.0306✓1.413.7M2022-02-18
CTSICartesiEthereum0.57840.554871-4.07%0.4211-27.20%0.2184✓1.392.7M2022-02-18
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.2823.1469-4.12%2.581-21.36%0.1268✓1.721.2M2022-02-18
GITCOINGITCOIN10.2749.8471-4.16%6.903-32.81%0.3511✓0.1040k2022-02-18
FTTFTXEthereum46.6744.6432-4.34%43.09-7.67%0.0104✓1.1124.3M2022-02-18
SPELLSpellEthereum0.011720.011205-4.39%0.00516-55.97%0.6744✓2.4423.2M2022-02-18
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum2.2192.1215-4.39%1.674-24.56%0.1901✓1.131.9M2022-02-18
DYDXdYdXCosmos7.0096.6974-4.45%6.389-8.85%0.0064✓1.29271k2022-02-18
BANDBandEthereum4.914.6917-4.45%4.7-4.28%0.0477✗1.112.2M2022-02-18
LUNATerraTerra 281.2777.4457-4.71%50.61-37.73%0.3483✓1.867.7M2022-02-18
BICOBiconomyEthereum3.333.1686-4.85%1.58-52.55%0.6426✓1.298.5M2022-02-18
MINAMina Protocolnative3.393.2158-5.14%2.43-28.32%0.2352✓1.09808k2022-02-18
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum3.12.939-5.19%1.61-48.06%0.5502✓1.252.7M2022-02-18
CVCCivicEthereum0.29830.282543-5.28%0.2677-10.26%0.0111✓1.03397k2022-02-18
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.05750.054442-5.32%0.0602+4.70%0.1420✗1.0024.3M2022-02-18
CELLCellframeEthereum1.04570.989417-5.38%1.6049+53.48%0.5279✗1.07108k2022-02-18
CRVCurve DAOEthereum4.193.9478-5.78%2.81-32.94%0.2815✓1.4132.4M2022-02-18
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.5371.4436-6.08%2.1176+37.77%0.4180✗0.841.2M2022-02-18
SUSHISushiEthereum6.055.675-6.20%3.91-35.37%0.3189✓1.3017.7M2022-02-18
YFIyearn.financeEthereum32,142.2929,972.18-6.75%21,934.46-31.76%0.2839✓0.6821.5M2022-02-18
API3Api3Ethereum4.354.0563-6.75%6.01+38.16%0.4337✗0.98471k2022-02-18
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos37.0734.435-7.11%26.85-27.57%0.2086✓0.9798.5M2022-02-18
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.57010.529295-7.16%0.5612-1.56%0.1162✗1.391.5M2022-02-18
GTCGitcoinEthereum10.219.4513-7.43%6.93-32.13%0.3035✓0.162.8M2022-02-18
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.075110.069498-7.47%0.026937-64.14%0.9064✓1.00719k2022-02-18
METRONOMEMETRONOME3.99393.661-8.33%2.9795-25.40%0.1749✓0.752,2572022-02-18
BFCBifrostEthereum0.199130.181988-8.61%0.17101-14.12%0.0027✓1.576,5192022-02-18
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.84660.748254-11.62%0.4198-50.41%0.5043✓1.7846.2M2022-02-18
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.