8=======>

2022-01-19 · +1d

gru_s4 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 139 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.0280
139 of 139 tokens assessed
long-short decile
-1.51%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
70.5%
in alpha space · 85.6% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-2.41%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (139 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▾pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
SPELLSpellEthereum0.011720.011757+0.32%0.01207+2.99%0.0857✓2.4423.2M2022-01-20
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.75920.761335+0.28%0.6721-11.47%0.0992✗1.052.5M2022-01-20
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.05750.057636+0.24%0.0529-8.00%0.0614✗1.0024.3M2022-01-20
LRCLoopringEthereum1.18351.1863+0.23%1.0653-9.99%0.0610✗1.911.3M2022-01-20
LCXLCXEthereum0.11910.119295+0.16%0.1141-4.20%0.0130✗1.292.1M2022-01-20
SUSHISushiEthereum6.056.0547+0.08%5.81-3.97%0.0097✗1.3017.7M2022-01-20
DOTPolkadotPolkadot24.0624.0737+0.06%23-4.41%0.0126✗1.3658.5M2022-01-20
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.960.960413+0.04%0.939-2.19%0.0013✓0.982.1M2022-01-20
SOLSolanaSolana135.33135.3648+0.03%127.52-5.77%0.0319✗1.14147.7M2022-01-20
MOVRMoonriverBase120.5322120.5559+0.02%119.9355-0.50%0.0224✓1.13489k2022-01-20
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche82.6482.652+0.01%79.35-3.98%0.0117✗1.1992.3M2022-01-20
AAVEAaveEthereum210.15210.1705+0.01%198.37-5.61%0.0284✗1.2117.6M2022-01-20
RADRadworksEthereum7.017.0105+0.01%6.89-1.71%0.0042✓0.891.1M2022-01-20
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum1.171.17-0.00%1.11-5.13%0.0119✓1.67556k2022-01-20
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum22.1422.1397-0.00%21.12-4.61%0.0016✓1.873.9M2022-01-20
ARPAARPAEthereum0.07740.07739-0.01%0.0736-4.91%0.0161✓1.40949k2022-01-20
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash369.1369.0415-0.02%357.74-3.08%0.0063✓1.026.6M2022-01-20
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.92710.926933-0.02%0.8682-6.35%0.0313✓1.401.5M2022-01-20
UNIUniswapEthereum15.1215.117-0.02%14.49-4.17%0.0103✓1.3212.4M2022-01-20
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.0266240.026618-0.02%0.026039-2.20%0.0031✗1.034.4M2022-01-20
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.7091.7086-0.03%1.679-1.76%0.0108✗1.161.9M2022-01-20
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.072180.072157-0.03%0.06885-4.61%0.0121✓1.432.3M2022-01-20
UOSUltraEthereum1.16931.1689-0.04%1.1313-3.25%0.0068✓1.062.4M2022-01-20
AUCTIONBounceEthereum19.0319.0232-0.04%18.34-3.63%0.0107✓1.06841k2022-01-20
XVGVergenative0.012670.012665-0.04%0.01234-2.60%0.0044✗1.251.9M2022-01-20
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum71.8271.7914-0.04%69.09-3.80%0.0120✓1.086.4M2022-01-20
FILFilecoinFilecoin27.5927.5783-0.04%26.19-5.07%0.0251✓1.0914.5M2022-01-20
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.17120.171126-0.04%0.1666-2.69%0.0045✓0.91380k2022-01-20
BELBella ProtocolEthereum1.2221.2214-0.05%1.143-6.46%0.0330✓1.372.4M2022-01-20
CTKShentuOsmosis1.2941.2934-0.05%1.272-1.70%0.0168✗1.373.8M2022-01-20
XVSVenusEthereum12.5212.5139-0.05%11.36-9.27%0.0689✓1.142.7M2022-01-20
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.04860.048576-0.05%0.0452-7.00%0.0387✓1.371.3M2022-01-20
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000027260.000027245-0.05%0.00002648-2.86%0.0045✗1.351.7M2022-01-20
CBKCobakEthereum2.6232.6216-0.05%2.539-3.20%0.0099✓0.9125k2022-01-20
1INCH1INCHEthereum2.092.0888-0.06%2.03-2.87%0.0024✓1.072.7M2022-01-20
XTZTezosTezos3.88493.8827-0.06%3.715-4.37%0.0105✓1.383.2M2022-01-20
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.6849680.68456-0.06%0.655547-4.30%0.0152✓1.152.3M2022-01-20
DEXEDeXeEthereum8.358.3449-0.06%7.97-4.55%0.0462✓-0.011.3M2022-01-20
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0511150.05108-0.07%0.050637-0.94%0.0206✗1.208.4M2022-01-20
KSMKusamaHydration243.71243.5304-0.07%239.61-1.68%0.0128✗1.191.3M2022-01-20
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum5.44865.4445-0.08%5.2113-4.36%0.0139✓1.23446k2022-01-20
QNTQuantEthereum135.59135.4851-0.08%132.32-2.41%0.0008✓0.946.7M2022-01-20
XECeCashnative0.000092270.000092197-0.08%0.00009053-1.89%0.0065✗1.026.5M2022-01-20
BTCBitcoinBitcoin41,674.2741,641.19-0.08%40,670.97-2.41%0.0008✓1.00636.6M2022-01-20
CHZChilizEthereum0.24630.246099-0.08%0.2346-4.75%0.0152✓1.344.0M2022-01-20
LTCLitecoinLitecoin136.2136.081-0.09%129.8-4.70%0.0143✓1.3531.1M2022-01-20
SNXSynthetixEthereum4.94.8956-0.09%4.78-2.45%0.0053✗1.203.2M2022-01-20
TRXTRONTron0.0691920.069129-0.09%0.067694-2.16%0.0021✗0.95489k2022-01-20
COMPCompoundEthereum172.8172.6409-0.09%162.17-6.15%0.0340✓1.1795k2022-01-20
RLCiExec RLCEthereum2.472.4677-0.09%2.35-4.86%0.0166✓1.323.2M2022-01-20
ETHEthereumEthereum3,085.273,082.24-0.10%3,000.94-2.73%0.0005✓1.08485.8M2022-01-20
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV109.45109.3377-0.10%104.32-4.69%0.0238✓0.951.8M2022-01-20
CRVCurve DAOEthereum4.194.1855-0.11%3.97-5.25%0.0184✓1.4132.4M2022-01-20
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana6.366.353-0.11%6.14-3.46%0.0180✓0.66524k2022-01-20
STORJStorjEthereum1.4621.4603-0.12%1.3945-4.61%0.0244✓0.89423k2022-01-20
OGOG Fan TokenSolana3.9563.9514-0.12%3.861-2.40%0.0038✓0.801.1M2022-01-20
HIVEHivenative1.13861.1373-0.12%1.0699-6.03%0.0268✓1.413.7M2022-01-20
AMPAmpEthereum0.037180.037135-0.12%0.03533-4.98%0.0276✓0.918.4M2022-01-20
MASKMask NetworkEthereum8.438.4196-0.12%7.96-5.58%0.0384✓0.73995k2022-01-20
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.4690.468422-0.12%0.428-8.74%0.0583✓1.311.8M2022-01-20
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.52440.523749-0.12%0.5001-4.63%0.0143✓1.3111.3M2022-01-20
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.29820.297827-0.12%0.2832-5.03%0.0190✓1.292.0M2022-01-20
XYMSymbolnative0.17860.178376-0.13%0.1782-0.22%0.0156✗0.68573k2022-01-20
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana7.677.6602-0.13%7.38-3.78%0.0218✓0.63660k2022-01-20
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum7.2727.2622-0.13%6.92-4.84%0.0313✓0.70170k2022-01-20
ZENHorizenBase49.9349.8598-0.14%47.6-4.67%0.0100✓1.49636k2022-01-20
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain43.9944-0.14%3.9838-0.40%0.0280✗1.264.0M2022-01-20
DKAdKargoEthereum0.100440.100293-0.15%0.0964-4.02%0.0117✓1.1431k2022-01-20
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.015850.015827-0.15%0.01551-2.15%0.0020✓0.7522k2022-01-20
IOTAIOTAIOTA1.04921.0476-0.15%1.0173-3.04%0.0053✓0.9923.2M2022-01-20
QTUMQtumQtum7.40327.3922-0.15%7.057-4.68%0.0112✓1.44263k2022-01-20
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum3.13.0954-0.15%2.79-10.00%0.0735✓1.252.7M2022-01-20
LEOLEO TokenEthereum3.65463.649-0.15%3.7088+1.48%0.0147✗-0.06371k2022-01-20
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum26.5326.4887-0.16%24.98-5.84%0.0240✓1.4234.3M2022-01-20
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana3.6273.6213-0.16%3.583-1.21%0.0066✗0.71523k2022-01-20
GITCOINGITCOIN10.27410.2576-0.16%9.432-8.20%0.0815✓0.1040k2022-01-20
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand1.26591.2639-0.16%1.1614-8.25%0.0557✓1.1830.5M2022-01-20
SKLSKALEEthereum0.1510.150756-0.16%0.1484-1.72%0.0150✗1.264.2M2022-01-20
NMRNumeraireEthereum26.8126.7662-0.16%25.43-5.15%0.0339✓0.71353k2022-01-20
SUNSun TokenTron0.018950.018919-0.16%0.018378-3.02%0.0009✓1.232.7M2022-01-20
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.046920.046842-0.17%0.04537-3.30%0.0052✓1.1023k2022-01-20
MANADecentralandEthereum2.73462.7299-0.17%2.6385-3.51%0.0088✓1.044.5M2022-01-20
DASHDashDash126.8126.5789-0.17%121.15-4.46%0.0147✓1.192.8M2022-01-20
TRBTellor TributesEthereum26.1326.0843-0.17%24.39-6.66%0.0293✓1.551.0M2022-01-20
ZECZcashZcash125.87125.6479-0.18%118.84-5.59%0.0241✓1.309.5M2022-01-20
KCSKuCoinnative19.95119.9138-0.19%19.429-2.62%0.0146✗1.6110.6M2022-01-20
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.1617050.161403-0.19%0.155509-3.83%0.0105✓1.106.4M2022-01-20
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum2.912.9045-0.19%2.8-3.78%0.0125✓0.99855k2022-01-20
LINKChainlinkEthereum21.5621.519-0.19%20.18-6.40%0.0349✓1.2072.8M2022-01-20
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.930.928221-0.19%0.89-4.30%0.0047✗1.921.4M2022-01-20
LSKLiskEthereum2.05092.047-0.19%1.8707-8.79%0.0629✓1.1189k2022-01-20
DODODODOEthereum0.7010.699596-0.20%0.682-2.71%0.0109✗1.498.0M2022-01-20
SCSiacoinnative0.01270.012674-0.20%0.01217-4.17%0.0162✓1.00641k2022-01-20
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.956760.954831-0.20%0.90658-5.24%0.0083✓1.79866k2022-01-20
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.68380.682396-0.21%0.6442-5.79%0.0264✓1.283.3M2022-01-20
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.08530.085117-0.21%0.08157-4.37%0.0247✓0.7355k2022-01-20
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.013940.01391-0.21%0.01227-11.98%0.0935✓1.312.1M2022-01-20
XMRMoneroMonero201.62201.1846-0.22%188.73-6.39%0.0398✓0.992.9M2022-01-20
DYDXdYdXCosmos7.0096.9938-0.22%7.481+6.73%0.0989✗1.29271k2022-01-20
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.10120.10098-0.22%0.1002-0.99%0.0197✗1.13240k2022-01-20
XEMNEMnative0.11260.112352-0.22%0.1095-2.75%0.0001✓1.0641k2022-01-20
XLMStellarStellar0.2455670.245024-0.22%0.231498-5.73%0.0315✓1.0423.9M2022-01-20
IMXImmutableEthereum3.563.552-0.22%3.36-5.62%0.0201✓1.452.2M2022-01-20
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana14.8514.8162-0.23%14.59-1.75%0.0012✓0.68862k2022-01-20
GTGateEthereum7.17.0833-0.24%7.0322-0.95%0.0137✗0.864.3M2022-01-20
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana10.2210.1959-0.24%10.09-1.27%0.0078✗0.75808k2022-01-20
LPTLivepeerEthereum32.4332.3531-0.24%30.25-6.72%0.0266✓1.672.7M2022-01-20
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum41,724.0041,624.56-0.24%41,418.10-0.73%0.0191✗0.9916k2022-01-20
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain3.14213.1344-0.25%3.1598+0.56%0.0368✗1.182.1M2022-01-20
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana7.577.5513-0.25%7.4-2.25%0.0015✓0.77638k2022-01-20
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana4.7934.781-0.25%4.731-1.29%0.0059✗0.67457k2022-01-20
CTSICartesiEthereum0.57840.57692-0.26%0.5606-3.08%0.0051✗1.392.7M2022-01-20
CVCCivicEthereum0.29830.297525-0.26%0.2825-5.30%0.0266✓1.03397k2022-01-20
BANDBandEthereum4.914.8969-0.27%4.68-4.68%0.0183✓1.112.2M2022-01-20
BICOBiconomyEthereum3.333.3206-0.28%3.06-8.11%0.0503✓1.298.5M2022-01-20
GTCGitcoinEthereum10.2110.1788-0.31%9.52-6.76%0.0629✓0.162.8M2022-01-20
UMAUMAEthereum8.268.2347-0.31%7.75-6.17%0.0373✓0.964.1M2022-01-20
NANOnanopayBase3.05553.0453-0.33%2.8203-7.70%0.0491✓1.13665k2022-01-20
PHAPHALAEthereum0.3490.347825-0.34%0.328-6.02%0.0395✓0.7951k2022-01-20
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum2.2192.2115-0.34%2.111-4.87%0.0190✓1.131.9M2022-01-20
ETCEthereum Classicnative31.2731.1629-0.34%29.37-6.08%0.0330✓1.083.2M2022-01-20
YFIyearn.financeEthereum32,142.2932,029.89-0.35%31,414.30-2.26%0.0028✓0.6821.5M2022-01-20
MINAMina Protocolnative3.393.3772-0.38%3.35-1.18%0.0184✗1.09808k2022-01-20
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.07610.075781-0.42%0.0723-4.99%0.0203✓1.1021k2022-01-20
LUNATerraTerra 281.2780.9194-0.43%77.41-4.75%0.0011✓1.867.7M2022-01-20
COTICOTIEthereum0.3660.364408-0.43%0.3693+0.90%0.0499✗1.504.1M2022-01-20
CELLCellframeEthereum1.04571.0411-0.44%1.0839+3.65%0.0663✗1.07108k2022-01-20
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.071620.071303-0.44%0.06785-5.26%0.0201✓1.2112.4M2022-01-20
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.2823.2673-0.45%3.095-5.70%0.0122✓1.721.2M2022-01-20
ADACardanoCardano1.33661.3305-0.46%1.2589-5.81%0.0279✓1.1399.0M2022-01-20
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.075110.074758-0.47%0.07094-5.55%0.0281✓1.00719k2022-01-20
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos37.0736.887-0.49%38.97+5.13%0.0786✗0.9798.5M2022-01-20
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.57010.5672-0.51%0.5776+1.32%0.0521✗1.391.5M2022-01-20
FTTFTXEthereum46.6746.3702-0.64%45.17-3.21%0.0008✓1.1124.3M2022-01-20
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.5371.5262-0.70%1.5815+2.90%0.0561✗0.841.2M2022-01-20
BFCBifrostEthereum0.199130.1974-0.87%0.18914-5.02%0.0045✓1.576,5192022-01-20
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.84660.839089-0.89%0.757-10.58%0.0596✓1.7846.2M2022-01-20
API3Api3Ethereum4.354.298-1.20%4.19-3.68%0.0016✓0.98471k2022-01-20
METRONOMEMETRONOME3.99393.9318-1.56%3.8114-4.57%0.0128✓0.752,2572022-01-20
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.