8=======>

2022-01-18 · +1d

gru_s4 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 139 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.0832
139 of 139 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+1.68%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
27.3%
in alpha space · 21.6% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-1.64%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (139 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▾pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.86480.869766+0.57%0.7592-12.21%0.1184✗1.062.6M2022-01-19
LRCLoopringEthereum1.16121.1677+0.56%1.1835+1.92%0.0447✓1.891.3M2022-01-19
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum1.281.2858+0.45%1.17-8.59%0.0673✗1.63556k2022-01-19
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain4.11974.1374+0.43%4-2.91%0.0129✗1.264.1M2022-01-19
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum23.423.492+0.39%22.14-5.38%0.0284✗1.863.9M2022-01-19
CTKShentuOsmosis1.3481.353+0.37%1.294-4.01%0.0222✗1.353.8M2022-01-19
XVGVergenative0.013220.013266+0.35%0.01267-4.16%0.0255✗1.242.0M2022-01-19
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.53090.532753+0.35%0.5244-1.22%0.0043✓1.2111.7M2022-01-19
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain1.0081.0115+0.34%0.96-4.76%0.0364✗0.962.2M2022-01-19
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana6.436.4515+0.33%6.36-1.09%0.0034✗0.66564k2022-01-19
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana14.7414.7878+0.32%14.85+0.75%0.0153✓0.67916k2022-01-19
NANOnanopayBase2.92482.9342+0.32%3.0555+4.47%0.0591✓1.12665k2022-01-19
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.06310.0633+0.32%0.0575-8.87%0.0795✗1.0024.6M2022-01-19
RLCiExec RLCEthereum2.552.558+0.31%2.47-3.14%0.0134✗1.313.2M2022-01-19
AUCTIONBounceEthereum19.5619.6198+0.31%19.03-2.71%0.0180✗0.75841k2022-01-19
1INCH1INCHEthereum2.192.1965+0.30%2.09-4.57%0.0326✗1.032.7M2022-01-19
TRXTRONTron0.0684190.068618+0.29%0.069192+1.13%0.0238✓0.94494k2022-01-19
SUNSun TokenTron0.0194690.019524+0.28%0.01895-2.67%0.0093✗1.242.7M2022-01-19
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.016790.016837+0.28%0.01585-5.60%0.0494✗0.6723k2022-01-19
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.7941.7989+0.28%1.709-4.74%0.0324✗1.142.0M2022-01-19
GTGateEthereum7.04647.0655+0.27%7.1+0.76%0.0182✓0.814.1M2022-01-19
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.17490.175374+0.27%0.1712-2.12%0.0093✗0.89397k2022-01-19
DODODODOEthereum0.7390.740953+0.26%0.701-5.14%0.0314✗1.458.0M2022-01-19
BTCBitcoinBitcoin42,369.7442,481.13+0.26%41,674.27-1.64%0.0026✗1.00636.6M2022-01-19
LCXLCXEthereum0.12930.129638+0.26%0.1191-7.89%0.0635✗1.282.1M2022-01-19
COMPCompoundEthereum178.35178.8146+0.26%172.8-3.11%0.0154✗1.14100k2022-01-19
QNTQuantEthereum146.04146.4174+0.26%135.59-7.16%0.0618✗0.916.7M2022-01-19
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.1651550.165574+0.25%0.161705-2.09%0.0057✗1.096.0M2022-01-19
AMPAmpEthereum0.038870.038965+0.24%0.03718-4.35%0.0322✗0.898.4M2022-01-19
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.04990.050021+0.24%0.0486-2.61%0.0062✗1.371.3M2022-01-19
XEMNEMnative0.11420.11447+0.24%0.1126-1.40%0.0004✓1.0243k2022-01-19
AAVEAaveEthereum232.45232.9937+0.23%210.15-9.59%0.0841✗1.1517.6M2022-01-19
XMRMoneroMonero204.44204.9179+0.23%201.62-1.38%0.0010✓0.923.1M2022-01-19
BATBasic AttentionEthereum1.00431.0066+0.23%0.95676-4.73%0.0220✗1.74896k2022-01-19
SOLSolanaSolana141.35141.6742+0.23%135.33-4.26%0.0285✗1.04152.8M2022-01-19
MANADecentralandEthereum2.8592.8654+0.22%2.7346-4.35%0.0298✗1.024.6M2022-01-19
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.014250.014282+0.22%0.01394-2.18%0.0029✗1.292.1M2022-01-19
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.064790.064934+0.22%0.07162+10.54%0.1181✓1.2112.4M2022-01-19
ETHEthereumEthereum3,160.813,167.81+0.22%3,085.27-2.39%0.0090✗1.05496.9M2022-01-19
DKAdKargoEthereum0.105410.105635+0.21%0.10044-4.71%0.0319✗1.1230k2022-01-19
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.048140.048242+0.21%0.04692-2.53%0.0105✗1.0523k2022-01-19
UOSUltraEthereum1.2361.2386+0.21%1.1693-5.40%0.0402✗1.052.6M2022-01-19
ARPAARPAEthereum0.08080.080968+0.21%0.0774-4.21%0.0219✗1.40990k2022-01-19
STORJStorjEthereum1.55021.5534+0.21%1.462-5.69%0.0461✗0.88423k2022-01-19
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.1050.105216+0.21%0.1012-3.62%0.0203✗1.12244k2022-01-19
KSMKusamaHydration253.4253.9169+0.20%243.71-3.82%0.0218✗1.161.4M2022-01-19
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000028110.000028166+0.20%0.00002726-3.02%0.0103✗1.351.8M2022-01-19
XYMSymbolnative0.18640.186768+0.20%0.1786-4.18%0.0334✗0.68577k2022-01-19
NMRNumeraireEthereum27.2627.3126+0.19%26.81-1.65%0.0073✗0.68353k2022-01-19
DYDXdYdXCosmos77.0135+0.19%7.009+0.13%0.0202✓1.26271k2022-01-19
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.68160.682909+0.19%0.6838+0.32%0.0222✓1.263.5M2022-01-19
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana7.817.8248+0.19%7.57-3.07%0.0209✗0.73652k2022-01-19
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana7.797.8047+0.19%7.67-1.54%0.0070✗0.63680k2022-01-19
XVSVenusEthereum13.0413.0644+0.19%12.52-3.99%0.0238✗1.132.7M2022-01-19
RADRadworksEthereum7.447.4533+0.18%7.01-5.78%0.0468✗0.881.1M2022-01-19
SPELLSpellEthereum0.012740.012762+0.18%0.01172-8.01%0.0451✗2.4223.7M2022-01-19
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash381.47382.1336+0.17%369.1-3.24%0.0182✗1.007.0M2022-01-19
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0520760.052166+0.17%0.051115-1.85%0.0010✓1.179.0M2022-01-19
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum7.3557.3677+0.17%7.272-1.13%0.0011✓0.72170k2022-01-19
DEXEDeXeEthereum8.798.805+0.17%8.35-5.01%0.0533✗-0.011.3M2022-01-19
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum42,495.4042,567.40+0.17%41,724.00-1.82%0.0037✗0.9814k2022-01-19
TRBTellor TributesEthereum27.8427.8864+0.17%26.13-6.14%0.0405✗1.481.0M2022-01-19
MOVRMoonriverBase126.385126.5887+0.16%120.5322-4.63%0.0326✗0.99489k2022-01-19
ETCEthereum Classicnative32.6432.6909+0.16%31.27-4.20%0.0274✗1.033.0M2022-01-19
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.07960.079723+0.15%0.0761-4.40%0.0290✗1.0621k2022-01-19
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV108.41108.575+0.15%109.45+0.96%0.0236✓0.941.9M2022-01-19
MASKMask NetworkEthereum8.788.7933+0.15%8.43-3.99%0.0305✗0.71995k2022-01-19
PHAPHALAEthereum0.3760.376553+0.15%0.349-7.18%0.0633✗0.7747k2022-01-19
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.088430.088554+0.14%0.0853-3.54%0.0253✗0.7350k2022-01-19
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum73.8673.9635+0.14%71.82-2.76%0.0115✗1.086.4M2022-01-19
SNXSynthetixEthereum5.035.0369+0.14%4.9-2.58%0.0080✗1.183.2M2022-01-19
BANDBandEthereum5.055.0569+0.14%4.91-2.77%0.0117✗1.082.1M2022-01-19
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand1.31791.3197+0.13%1.2659-3.95%0.0228✗1.1430.5M2022-01-19
SKLSKALEEthereum0.15410.154304+0.13%0.151-2.01%0.0013✓1.234.2M2022-01-19
UNIUniswapEthereum15.9815.9996+0.12%15.12-5.38%0.0353✗1.2912.4M2022-01-19
QTUMQtumQtum7.83077.8401+0.12%7.4032-5.46%0.0345✗1.38263k2022-01-19
HIVEHivenative1.21491.2163+0.12%1.1386-6.28%0.0433✗1.373.7M2022-01-19
UMAUMAEthereum7.947.9494+0.12%8.26+4.03%0.0545✓0.973.9M2022-01-19
XECeCashnative0.000095650.000095762+0.12%0.00009227-3.53%0.0205✗1.016.5M2022-01-19
LTCLitecoinLitecoin141.53141.6939+0.12%136.2-3.77%0.0175✗1.3331.1M2022-01-19
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.95930.960366+0.11%0.9271-3.36%0.0121✗1.401.5M2022-01-19
CHZChilizEthereum0.2590.259282+0.11%0.2463-4.90%0.0296✗1.314.0M2022-01-19
SCSiacoinnative0.01330.013314+0.11%0.0127-4.51%0.0309✗0.99654k2022-01-19
ZECZcashZcash131.97132.1107+0.11%125.87-4.62%0.0282✗1.2210.6M2022-01-19
LSKLiskEthereum2.08162.0837+0.10%2.0509-1.47%0.0014✓1.0489k2022-01-19
ZENHorizenBase52.3252.3718+0.10%49.93-4.57%0.0245✗1.41642k2022-01-19
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.0271640.027189+0.09%0.026624-1.99%0.0040✗1.035.2M2022-01-19
XLMStellarStellar0.2539950.25422+0.09%0.245567-3.32%0.0177✗1.0324.4M2022-01-19
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum5.94295.948+0.08%5.4486-8.32%0.0685✗1.16457k2022-01-19
CBKCobakEthereum2.6912.6932+0.08%2.623-2.53%0.0116✗0.9025k2022-01-19
DASHDashDash130.54130.6441+0.08%126.8-2.87%0.0106✗1.162.8M2022-01-19
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum3.023.0224+0.08%2.91-3.64%0.0219✗0.97891k2022-01-19
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana3.7273.7296+0.07%3.627-2.68%0.0162✗0.71526k2022-01-19
CTSICartesiEthereum0.60930.609732+0.07%0.5784-5.07%0.0300✗1.382.7M2022-01-19
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum3.253.2522+0.07%3.1-4.62%0.0274✗1.242.8M2022-01-19
BELBella ProtocolEthereum1.2731.2739+0.07%1.222-4.01%0.0191✗1.362.4M2022-01-19
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.7200570.720504+0.06%0.684968-4.87%0.0323✗1.102.4M2022-01-19
OGOG Fan TokenSolana4.1174.1195+0.06%3.956-3.91%0.0276✗0.781.1M2022-01-19
IMXImmutableEthereum3.723.7222+0.06%3.56-4.30%0.0206✗1.452.2M2022-01-19
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana4.9364.9388+0.06%4.793-2.90%0.0191✗0.66469k2022-01-19
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain3.22333.2251+0.06%3.1421-2.52%0.0066✗1.182.3M2022-01-19
LEOLEO TokenEthereum3.67093.6726+0.05%3.6546-0.44%0.0060✗-0.07361k2022-01-19
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.980.980433+0.04%0.93-5.10%0.0212✗1.911.5M2022-01-19
IOTAIOTAIOTA1.10151.102+0.04%1.0492-4.75%0.0332✗0.9623.2M2022-01-19
FILFilecoinFilecoin28.4828.4911+0.04%27.59-3.12%0.0143✗1.0815.1M2022-01-19
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.4990.499193+0.04%0.469-6.01%0.0411✗1.281.8M2022-01-19
CVCCivicEthereum0.31280.31292+0.04%0.2983-4.64%0.0308✗1.03397k2022-01-19
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.31290.312997+0.03%0.2982-4.70%0.0272✗1.282.0M2022-01-19
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.075140.07516+0.03%0.07218-3.94%0.0169✗1.432.3M2022-01-19
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum2.2772.2772+0.01%2.219-2.55%0.0076✗1.112.0M2022-01-19
KCSKuCoinnative20.37120.3729+0.01%19.951-2.06%0.0054✓1.5910.7M2022-01-19
MINAMina Protocolnative3.453.4503+0.01%3.39-1.74%0.0001✗1.06811k2022-01-19
DOTPolkadotPolkadot25.1525.1509+0.00%24.06-4.33%0.0224✗1.3260.5M2022-01-19
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana10.3410.3403+0.00%10.22-1.16%0.0007✓0.75872k2022-01-19
FTTFTXEthereum44.9744.9698-0.00%46.67+3.78%0.0548✗1.0723.6M2022-01-19
ADACardanoCardano1.45891.4586-0.02%1.3366-8.38%0.0694✓1.0998.5M2022-01-19
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche86.0286.0051-0.02%82.64-3.93%0.0212✓1.13100.4M2022-01-19
LPTLivepeerEthereum34.0934.0813-0.03%32.43-4.87%0.0223✓1.662.7M2022-01-19
LUNATerraTerra 280.4980.4554-0.04%81.27+0.97%0.0412✗1.887.6M2022-01-19
CELLCellframeEthereum1.03521.0347-0.04%1.0457+1.01%0.0285✗1.08108k2022-01-19
XTZTezosTezos4.11624.1139-0.06%3.8849-5.62%0.0348✓1.363.3M2022-01-19
LINKChainlinkEthereum22.9822.9633-0.07%21.56-6.18%0.0443✓1.1372.8M2022-01-19
GITCOINGITCOIN11.38211.37-0.11%10.274-9.73%0.0995✓0.1144k2022-01-19
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.4731.4714-0.11%1.537+4.34%0.0576✗0.841.1M2022-01-19
SUSHISushiEthereum6.216.2033-0.11%6.05-2.58%0.0038✓1.2817.7M2022-01-19
CRVCurve DAOEthereum4.564.555-0.11%4.19-8.11%0.0608✓1.3732.4M2022-01-19
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum29.3829.3473-0.11%26.53-9.70%0.0779✓1.3934.3M2022-01-19
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.3783.3738-0.12%3.282-2.84%0.0010✓1.731.2M2022-01-19
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0760240.075929-0.12%0.07511-1.20%0.0057✗1.001.1M2022-01-19
COTICOTIEthereum0.40920.408642-0.14%0.366-10.56%0.0866✓1.424.1M2022-01-19
BICOBiconomyEthereum3.543.5349-0.14%3.33-5.93%0.0385✓1.288.5M2022-01-19
YFIyearn.financeEthereum32,596.4132,507.16-0.27%32,142.29-1.39%0.0001✓0.6922.2M2022-01-19
GTCGitcoinEthereum11.4111.3782-0.28%10.21-10.52%0.1054✓0.182.8M2022-01-19
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.60270.600873-0.30%0.5701-5.41%0.0296✓1.391.5M2022-01-19
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos38.2738.143-0.33%37.07-3.14%0.0126✓0.9698.5M2022-01-19
BFCBifrostEthereum0.197790.197116-0.34%0.19913+0.68%0.0358✗1.556,4462022-01-19
METRONOMEMETRONOME4.08034.0549-0.62%3.9939-2.12%0.0038✓0.692,2572022-01-19
API3Api3Ethereum4.644.6089-0.67%4.35-6.25%0.0420✓0.95471k2022-01-19
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.91540.902689-1.39%0.8466-7.52%0.0353✓1.7448.9M2022-01-19
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.