8=======>

2022-01-18 · +30d

gru_s4 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 139 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.1212
139 of 139 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+14.32%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
82.0%
in alpha space · 87.8% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-4.33%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (139 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▴pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.91540.805456-12.01%0.4073-55.51%0.6037✓1.7748.9M2022-02-17
BFCBifrostEthereum0.197790.179454-9.27%0.16982-14.14%0.0143✓1.576,4462022-02-17
GTCGitcoinEthereum11.4110.4275-8.61%7.1-37.77%0.3778✓0.152.8M2022-02-17
METRONOMEMETRONOME4.08033.7337-8.49%3.4641-15.10%0.0419✓0.752,2572022-02-17
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.60270.554953-7.92%0.5558-7.78%0.0629✓1.391.5M2022-02-17
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0760240.070224-7.63%0.026932-64.57%0.9142✓1.001.1M2022-02-17
API3Api3Ethereum4.644.2867-7.61%5+7.76%0.1962✗0.95471k2022-02-17
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos38.2735.5212-7.18%28.08-26.63%0.1923✓0.9798.5M2022-02-17
YFIyearn.financeEthereum32,596.4130,380.14-6.80%22,441.70-31.15%0.2727✓0.6822.2M2022-02-17
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum3.253.0413-6.42%1.66-48.92%0.5507✓1.242.8M2022-02-17
CRVCurve DAOEthereum4.564.276-6.23%2.91-36.18%0.3229✓1.4032.4M2022-02-17
SUSHISushiEthereum6.215.834-6.05%3.95-36.39%0.3327✓1.3017.7M2022-02-17
CVCCivicEthereum0.31280.294316-5.91%0.2746-12.21%0.0238✓1.03397k2022-02-17
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.06310.059377-5.90%0.0608-3.65%0.0679✗1.0024.6M2022-02-17
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.4731.3914-5.54%2.2781+54.66%0.5306✗0.851.1M2022-02-17
CELLCellframeEthereum1.03520.978882-5.44%1.4805+43.02%0.4617✗1.08108k2022-02-17
BICOBiconomyEthereum3.543.349-5.40%1.69-52.26%0.6272✓1.288.5M2022-02-17
MINAMina Protocolnative3.453.2683-5.27%2.56-25.80%0.1962✓1.09811k2022-02-17
SPELLSpellEthereum0.012740.012081-5.17%0.0054-57.61%0.6982✓2.4223.7M2022-02-17
GITCOINGITCOIN11.38210.7949-5.16%7.107-37.56%0.4143✓0.0844k2022-02-17
COTICOTIEthereum0.40920.389001-4.94%0.2558-37.49%0.3534✓1.494.1M2022-02-17
LUNATerraTerra 280.4976.5755-4.86%50.27-37.55%0.3377✓1.887.6M2022-02-17
HIVEHivenative1.21491.1588-4.62%1.0138-16.55%0.0718✓1.403.7M2022-02-17
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.3783.2234-4.58%2.668-21.02%0.1127✓1.731.2M2022-02-17
CTSICartesiEthereum0.60930.581575-4.55%0.4344-28.71%0.2306✓1.382.7M2022-02-17
BANDBandEthereum5.054.8218-4.52%4.44-12.08%0.0335✓1.112.1M2022-02-17
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum2.2772.175-4.48%1.741-23.54%0.1727✓1.132.0M2022-02-17
MASKMask NetworkEthereum8.788.3923-4.42%5.45-37.93%0.3997✓0.72995k2022-02-17
DYDXdYdXCosmos76.6946-4.36%6.499-7.16%0.0277✓1.30271k2022-02-17
LSKLiskEthereum2.08161.9926-4.27%1.6695-19.80%0.1276✓1.1189k2022-02-17
BATBasic AttentionEthereum1.00430.962029-4.21%0.76017-24.31%0.1566✓1.78896k2022-02-17
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.4990.4786-4.09%0.334-33.07%0.3019✓1.311.8M2022-02-17
IMXImmutableEthereum3.723.5719-3.98%2.13-42.74%0.4530✓1.452.2M2022-02-17
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand1.31791.2656-3.97%0.8983-31.84%0.2906✓1.1830.5M2022-02-17
DEXEDeXeEthereum8.798.4436-3.94%7.46-15.13%0.1246✓-0.021.3M2022-02-17
LINKChainlinkEthereum22.9822.0991-3.83%15.6-32.11%0.2954✓1.2072.8M2022-02-17
LPTLivepeerEthereum34.0932.8096-3.76%25.54-25.08%0.1770✓1.662.7M2022-02-17
ADACardanoCardano1.45891.4047-3.72%1.0203-30.06%0.2704✓1.1198.5M2022-02-17
FTTFTXEthereum44.9743.3376-3.63%43.72-2.78%0.0581✗1.1223.6M2022-02-17
SCSiacoinnative0.01330.012818-3.63%0.00987-25.79%0.2172✓1.00654k2022-02-17
ZENHorizenBase52.3250.4226-3.63%36.74-29.78%0.2506✓1.49642k2022-02-17
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain3.22333.1114-3.47%3.3132+2.79%0.1150✗1.182.3M2022-02-17
DODODODOEthereum0.7390.713479-3.45%0.493-33.29%0.3038✓1.498.0M2022-02-17
XMRMoneroMonero204.44197.389-3.45%163.89-19.83%0.1423✓0.993.1M2022-02-17
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche86.0283.0771-3.42%88.28+2.63%0.1133✗1.19100.4M2022-02-17
UOSUltraEthereum1.2361.1946-3.36%1.2511+1.22%0.0929✗1.062.6M2022-02-17
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.1050.101506-3.33%0.0849-19.14%0.1289✓1.12244k2022-02-17
IOTAIOTAIOTA1.10151.0652-3.30%0.8222-25.36%0.2154✓0.9823.2M2022-02-17
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana10.3410.0003-3.29%10.24-0.97%0.0569✗0.75872k2022-02-17
DASHDashDash130.54126.2615-3.28%104.76-19.75%0.1339✓1.192.8M2022-02-17
UMAUMAEthereum7.947.6799-3.28%6.03-24.06%0.1990✓0.973.9M2022-02-17
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum29.3828.4393-3.20%19.86-32.40%0.2966✓1.4134.3M2022-02-17
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.016790.016255-3.19%0.01258-25.07%0.2236✓0.7423k2022-02-17
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.014250.013797-3.18%0.01178-17.33%0.1001✓1.312.1M2022-02-17
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum1.281.2395-3.17%1.07-16.41%0.0735✓1.66556k2022-02-17
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana3.7273.6091-3.16%3.08-17.36%0.1272✓0.71526k2022-02-17
PHAPHALAEthereum0.3760.364138-3.15%0.268-28.72%0.2722✓0.7847k2022-02-17
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.07960.077114-3.12%0.0698-12.31%0.0513✓1.0921k2022-02-17
TRBTellor TributesEthereum27.8426.9796-3.09%21.3-23.49%0.1679✓1.551.0M2022-02-17
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana14.7414.2858-3.08%15.35+4.14%0.1020✗0.68916k2022-02-17
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.980.950266-3.03%0.94-4.08%0.0736✗1.911.5M2022-02-17
MANADecentralandEthereum2.8592.7723-3.03%3.0801+7.74%0.1508✗1.034.6M2022-02-17
STORJStorjEthereum1.55021.5034-3.02%1.0731-30.78%0.2982✓0.88423k2022-02-17
RADRadworksEthereum7.447.2157-3.01%5.54-25.54%0.2254✓0.881.1M2022-02-17
GTGateEthereum7.04646.8362-2.98%6.58-6.62%0.0002✓0.864.1M2022-02-17
ZECZcashZcash131.97128.0518-2.97%113.58-13.93%0.0628✓1.2910.6M2022-02-17
XLMStellarStellar0.2539950.2465-2.95%0.202261-20.37%0.1520✓1.0324.4M2022-02-17
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.86480.839721-2.90%0.5382-37.77%0.3993✓1.032.6M2022-02-17
LEOLEO TokenEthereum3.67093.5652-2.88%5.5502+51.19%0.4398✗-0.06361k2022-02-17
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000028110.000027301-2.88%0.00002821+0.36%0.0926✗1.351.8M2022-02-17
CBKCobakEthereum2.6912.6142-2.85%2.231-17.09%0.1185✓0.9125k2022-02-17
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain4.11974.0044-2.80%3.227-21.67%0.1601✓1.264.1M2022-02-17
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.048140.046824-2.73%0.04103-14.77%0.0836✓1.1023k2022-02-17
XEMNEMnative0.11420.111082-2.73%0.1047-8.32%0.0124✓1.0643k2022-02-17
QTUMQtumQtum7.83077.617-2.73%7.015-10.42%0.0187✓1.44263k2022-02-17
MOVRMoonriverBase126.385122.9671-2.70%85.9444-32.00%0.3084✓1.13489k2022-02-17
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum7.3557.1613-2.63%6.1-17.06%0.1296✓0.70170k2022-02-17
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV108.41105.5837-2.61%87.71-19.09%0.1432✓0.961.9M2022-02-17
ARPAARPAEthereum0.08080.07877-2.51%0.0825+2.10%0.1080✗1.40990k2022-02-17
AMPAmpEthereum0.038870.037894-2.51%0.02995-22.95%0.1951✓0.918.4M2022-02-17
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana7.817.6177-2.46%6.42-17.80%0.1372✓0.77652k2022-02-17
CTKShentuOsmosis1.3481.315-2.44%1.142-15.28%0.0805✓1.373.8M2022-02-17
XTZTezosTezos4.11624.0165-2.42%3.6686-10.87%0.0298✓1.373.3M2022-02-17
AUCTIONBounceEthereum19.5619.0929-2.39%14.58-25.46%0.2228✓1.06841k2022-02-17
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum5.94295.8022-2.37%4.3951-26.04%0.2239✓1.22457k2022-02-17
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana4.9364.8204-2.34%4.567-7.48%0.0243✓0.67469k2022-02-17
CHZChilizEthereum0.2590.25294-2.34%0.2015-22.20%0.1683✓1.334.0M2022-02-17
KCSKuCoinnative20.37119.9002-2.31%19.71-3.24%0.0615✗1.6110.7M2022-02-17
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.31290.305794-2.27%0.2525-19.30%0.1348✓1.282.0M2022-02-17
SKLSKALEEthereum0.15410.150604-2.27%0.1568+1.75%0.0962✗1.264.2M2022-02-17
QNTQuantEthereum146.04142.743-2.26%119.39-18.25%0.1376✓0.936.7M2022-02-17
FILFilecoinFilecoin28.4827.8411-2.24%20.54-27.88%0.2560✓1.0915.1M2022-02-17
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.17490.171005-2.23%0.1536-12.18%0.0670✓0.91397k2022-02-17
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.7200570.704193-2.20%0.62107-13.75%0.0748✓1.152.4M2022-02-17
XECeCashnative0.000095650.000093545-2.20%0.00007849-17.94%0.1306✓1.016.5M2022-02-17
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.064790.063379-2.18%0.02758-57.43%0.7777✓1.2312.4M2022-02-17
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.088430.086506-2.18%0.07416-16.14%0.1217✓0.7350k2022-02-17
AAVEAaveEthereum232.45227.4308-2.16%152.99-34.18%0.3437✓1.1917.6M2022-02-17
1INCH1INCHEthereum2.192.1428-2.16%1.65-24.66%0.2140✓1.072.7M2022-02-17
DKAdKargoEthereum0.105410.103191-2.11%0.0902-14.43%0.0842✓1.1430k2022-02-17
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.0271640.026602-2.07%0.020359-25.05%0.2221✓1.035.2M2022-02-17
NMRNumeraireEthereum27.2626.7006-2.05%26.61-2.38%0.0280✗0.71353k2022-02-17
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.04990.048886-2.03%0.0309-38.08%0.3982✓1.371.3M2022-02-17
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.7941.7579-2.01%1.541-14.10%0.0806✓1.162.0M2022-02-17
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.68160.668103-1.98%0.542-20.48%0.1524✓1.283.5M2022-02-17
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.95930.940401-1.97%0.6239-34.96%0.3484✓1.401.5M2022-02-17
COMPCompoundEthereum178.35174.9437-1.91%123.7-30.64%0.2949✓1.17100k2022-02-17
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum3.022.9625-1.91%2.47-18.21%0.1381✓0.99891k2022-02-17
ETCEthereum Classicnative32.6432.0264-1.88%29.43-9.83%0.0371✓1.073.0M2022-02-17
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum73.8672.4835-1.86%56.37-23.68%0.2037✓1.086.4M2022-02-17
KSMKusamaHydration253.4248.8982-1.78%155.14-38.78%0.4201✓1.191.4M2022-02-17
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum42,495.4041,750.19-1.75%40,651.20-4.34%0.0170✓0.9914k2022-02-17
SNXSynthetixEthereum5.034.9458-1.67%4.59-8.75%0.0218✓1.203.2M2022-02-17
BTCBitcoinBitcoin42,369.7441,667.89-1.66%40,536.73-4.33%0.0167✗1.00636.6M2022-02-17
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana7.797.6624-1.64%6.03-22.59%0.2115✓0.63680k2022-02-17
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.53090.522344-1.61%0.4369-17.71%0.1206✓1.3111.7M2022-02-17
ETHEthereumEthereum3,160.813,113.53-1.50%2,893.56-8.46%0.0258✓1.07496.9M2022-02-17
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain1.0080.993068-1.48%0.742-26.39%0.2484✓0.972.2M2022-02-17
LCXLCXEthereum0.12930.127446-1.43%0.0969-25.06%0.2172✓1.282.1M2022-02-17
BELBella ProtocolEthereum1.2731.2554-1.39%0.894-29.77%0.2790✓1.372.4M2022-02-17
RLCiExec RLCEthereum2.552.515-1.37%1.9-25.49%0.2220✓1.323.2M2022-02-17
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.1651550.162937-1.34%0.138407-16.20%0.1147✓1.106.0M2022-02-17
OGOG Fan TokenSolana4.1174.063-1.31%3.268-20.62%0.1827✓0.791.1M2022-02-17
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0520760.051398-1.30%0.051055-1.96%0.0465✗1.209.0M2022-02-17
XVGVergenative0.013220.013064-1.18%0.0107-19.06%0.1446✓1.242.0M2022-02-17
SOLSolanaSolana141.35139.8009-1.10%93.56-33.81%0.3514✓1.14152.8M2022-02-17
UNIUniswapEthereum15.9815.808-1.08%10.41-34.86%0.3598✓1.3112.4M2022-02-17
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana6.436.3615-1.07%5.36-16.64%0.1421✓0.66564k2022-02-17
SUNSun TokenTron0.0194690.019277-0.99%0.015816-18.76%0.1437✓1.232.7M2022-02-17
DOTPolkadotPolkadot25.1524.9234-0.90%18.16-27.79%0.2568✓1.3560.5M2022-02-17
TRXTRONTron0.0684190.067938-0.70%0.062402-8.79%0.0430✓0.95494k2022-02-17
XYMSymbolnative0.18640.185588-0.44%0.1642-11.91%0.0925✓0.68577k2022-02-17
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum23.423.3005-0.43%15.78-32.56%0.3073✓1.863.9M2022-02-17
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.075140.074999-0.19%0.05215-30.60%0.3003✓1.432.3M2022-02-17
LTCLitecoinLitecoin141.53141.6812+0.11%116.39-17.76%0.1369✗1.3531.1M2022-02-17
NANOnanopayBase2.92482.9352+0.36%2.1008-28.17%0.2840✗1.14665k2022-02-17
XVSVenusEthereum13.0413.0936+0.41%11.44-12.27%0.0845✗1.142.7M2022-02-17
LRCLoopringEthereum1.16121.1664+0.44%0.883-23.96%0.1936✗1.921.3M2022-02-17
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash381.47386.2434+1.25%313.15-17.91%0.1649✗1.027.0M2022-02-17
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.