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2022-01-17 · +30d

gru_s4 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 139 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.1605
139 of 139 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+24.57%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
51.1%
in alpha space · 51.1% on raw price
BTC over horizon
+3.97%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (139 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▾pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
LRCLoopringEthereum1.22891.2867+4.71%0.9602-21.87%0.3677✗1.921.3M2022-02-16
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.80950.840685+3.85%0.625-22.79%0.3364✗1.022.7M2022-02-16
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum24.3325.0492+2.96%17.65-27.46%0.4230✗1.873.9M2022-02-16
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain4.19064.2973+2.55%3.6017-14.05%0.2257✗1.264.1M2022-02-16
XVGVergenative0.013140.013452+2.38%0.01171-10.88%0.1872✗1.242.0M2022-02-16
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain1.0161.0391+2.28%0.787-22.54%0.3159✗0.972.2M2022-02-16
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.54780.559919+2.21%0.4872-11.06%0.1903✗1.3112.2M2022-02-16
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.17550.178921+1.95%0.1678-4.39%0.0998✗0.91403k2022-02-16
XEMNEMnative0.11480.117023+1.94%0.1142-0.52%0.0657✗1.0649k2022-02-16
1INCH1INCHEthereum2.252.293+1.91%1.81-19.56%0.2783✗1.072.7M2022-02-16
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum1.351.3755+1.89%1.12-17.04%0.2705✗1.67556k2022-02-16
NANOnanopayBase3.01263.0693+1.88%2.2584-25.04%0.3514✗1.15665k2022-02-16
SOLSolanaSolana139.85142.4313+1.85%101.94-27.11%0.3787✗1.13152.8M2022-02-16
TRXTRONTron0.0708510.072151+1.83%0.066472-6.18%0.1192✗0.95511k2022-02-16
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana6.556.6665+1.78%5.47-16.49%0.2236✗0.66564k2022-02-16
RLCiExec RLCEthereum2.62.6459+1.76%2.13-18.08%0.2685✗1.323.1M2022-02-16
XYMSymbolnative0.19060.193571+1.56%0.1747-8.34%0.1291✗0.68536k2022-02-16
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.016520.016758+1.44%0.01389-15.92%0.2165✗0.7424k2022-02-16
AUCTIONBounceEthereum19.4619.7349+1.41%15.91-18.24%0.2567✗1.06841k2022-02-16
NMRNumeraireEthereum27.9528.3329+1.37%28.31+1.29%0.0285✗0.71353k2022-02-16
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.8291.8539+1.36%1.688-7.71%0.1388✗1.162.0M2022-02-16
CTKShentuOsmosis1.3911.4085+1.26%1.274-8.41%0.1539✗1.374.0M2022-02-16
SUNSun TokenTron0.0207230.020958+1.13%0.016969-18.12%0.2591✗1.232.7M2022-02-16
COMPCompoundEthereum181.47183.5101+1.12%136.01-25.05%0.3452✗1.17123k2022-02-16
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash380.79384.9645+1.10%334.55-12.14%0.1799✗1.026.6M2022-02-16
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.05330.053881+1.09%0.0335-37.15%0.5289✗1.381.4M2022-02-16
PHAPHALAEthereum0.350.353788+1.08%0.288-17.71%0.2357✗0.7745k2022-02-16
BTCBitcoinBitcoin42,218.0142,674.35+1.08%43,895.56+3.97%0.0108✗1.00636.6M2022-02-16
LCXLCXEthereum0.13150.132841+1.02%0.1052-20.00%0.2834✗1.292.4M2022-02-16
DODODODOEthereum0.7680.775455+0.97%0.539-29.82%0.4219✗1.498.0M2022-02-16
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum41,814.5042,202.58+0.93%43,960.80+5.13%0.0024✓0.9914k2022-02-16
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.049790.050239+0.90%0.04466-10.30%0.1606✗1.1021k2022-02-16
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.01450.014631+0.90%0.01344-7.31%0.1361✗1.312.2M2022-02-16
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana15.0315.1634+0.89%16.75+11.44%0.0729✓0.68998k2022-02-16
UMAUMAEthereum8.138.2019+0.88%6.53-19.68%0.2658✗0.974.1M2022-02-16
ARPAARPAEthereum0.08240.083103+0.85%0.09+9.22%0.0253✓1.40990k2022-02-16
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.10640.107239+0.79%0.0851-20.02%0.2751✗1.13269k2022-02-16
AMPAmpEthereum0.040110.04042+0.77%0.03216-19.82%0.2642✗0.918.4M2022-02-16
AAVEAaveEthereum226.66228.3895+0.76%170.44-24.80%0.3391✗1.1916.2M2022-02-16
BATBasic AttentionEthereum1.01631.0239+0.75%0.83537-17.80%0.2731✗1.79896k2022-02-16
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.1709440.172181+0.72%0.148737-12.99%0.1892✗1.105.6M2022-02-16
QTUMQtumQtum7.68797.7416+0.70%7.8678+2.34%0.0399✗1.44263k2022-02-16
DKAdKargoEthereum0.107180.107895+0.67%0.09789-8.67%0.1418✗1.1427k2022-02-16
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.066380.066755+0.57%0.03198-51.82%0.7840✗1.2313.3M2022-02-16
SKLSKALEEthereum0.15950.160347+0.53%0.1562-2.07%0.0756✗1.274.2M2022-02-16
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana7.967.9984+0.48%6.76-15.08%0.1981✗0.77682k2022-02-16
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.08260.082944+0.42%0.0757-8.35%0.1341✗1.1020k2022-02-16
UOSUltraEthereum1.22671.2318+0.41%1.4263+16.27%0.1055✓1.062.7M2022-02-16
DYDXdYdXCosmos7.4057.4309+0.35%7.454+0.66%0.0477✗1.30271k2022-02-16
ETCEthereum Classicnative3131.0988+0.32%32.25+4.03%0.0052✗1.072.9M2022-02-16
GTGateEthereum6.99687.0181+0.30%6.8827-1.63%0.0530✗0.864.1M2022-02-16
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV109.78110.0885+0.28%94.6-13.83%0.1889✗0.961.9M2022-02-16
LTCLitecoinLitecoin151.19151.5349+0.23%127.84-15.44%0.2229✗1.3631.1M2022-02-16
KSMKusamaHydration259.34259.8477+0.20%166.77-35.69%0.4900✗1.191.4M2022-02-16
QNTQuantEthereum159.74160.0356+0.19%129.55-18.90%0.2479✗0.946.4M2022-02-16
SCSiacoinnative0.013520.013544+0.18%0.01078-20.27%0.2672✗1.00654k2022-02-16
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana7.777.7829+0.17%6.52-16.09%0.2018✗0.63720k2022-02-16
XMRMoneroMonero214.7215.0409+0.16%179.36-16.46%0.2201✗0.993.1M2022-02-16
TRBTellor TributesEthereum28.9228.9528+0.11%24.03-16.91%0.2469✗1.551.0M2022-02-16
XECeCashnative0.000099540.000099643+0.10%0.00008539-14.22%0.1941✗1.026.5M2022-02-16
ETHEthereumEthereum3,210.983,214.07+0.10%3,124.45-2.69%0.0702✗1.08478.4M2022-02-16
LSKLiskEthereum2.00792.0085+0.03%1.8241-9.15%0.1396✗1.1189k2022-02-16
SNXSynthetixEthereum4.984.9809+0.02%4.9-1.61%0.0629✗1.193.2M2022-02-16
STORJStorjEthereum1.60181.6-0.12%1.1915-25.62%0.3293✓0.89445k2022-02-16
CHZChilizEthereum0.25690.256394-0.20%0.2202-14.29%0.2042✓1.333.9M2022-02-16
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana4.9844.9741-0.20%4.803-3.63%0.0612✓0.67469k2022-02-16
XVSVenusEthereum13.5913.5612-0.21%11.78-13.32%0.1854✓1.152.9M2022-02-16
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.69160.689984-0.23%0.5683-17.83%0.2441✓1.283.5M2022-02-16
MANADecentralandEthereum2.90532.8954-0.34%3.2632+12.32%0.0793✗1.034.9M2022-02-16
DOTPolkadotPolkadot25.6825.5847-0.37%19.78-22.98%0.3101✓1.3560.5M2022-02-16
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.7277760.724716-0.42%0.677091-6.96%0.1128✓1.152.4M2022-02-16
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum76.5576.2057-0.45%63.42-17.15%0.2259✓1.086.4M2022-02-16
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.077480.077059-0.54%0.05759-25.67%0.3469✓1.432.4M2022-02-16
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.3120.310034-0.63%0.2693-13.69%0.1908✓1.282.1M2022-02-16
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0540690.053721-0.64%0.056084+3.73%0.0040✓1.217.9M2022-02-16
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum7.3597.3102-0.66%6.358-13.60%0.1667✓0.70178k2022-02-16
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000028830.000028637-0.67%0.00003095+7.35%0.0247✗1.361.8M2022-02-16
DEXEDeXeEthereum9.389.3161-0.68%7.24-22.81%0.2517✓-0.011.4M2022-02-16
BANDBandEthereum5.35.2638-0.68%4.87-8.11%0.1211✓1.112.1M2022-02-16
XLMStellarStellar0.2561330.25431-0.71%0.21874-14.60%0.1910✓1.0424.2M2022-02-16
UNIUniswapEthereum16.6416.5177-0.74%11.22-32.57%0.4380✓1.3212.2M2022-02-16
MASKMask NetworkEthereum8.778.7039-0.75%6.08-30.67%0.3869✓0.72995k2022-02-16
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum3.073.0462-0.78%2.67-13.03%0.1704✓0.99891k2022-02-16
BELBella ProtocolEthereum1.2461.2359-0.81%0.983-21.11%0.2821✓1.362.4M2022-02-16
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.027860.027631-0.82%0.021773-21.85%0.2784✓1.035.7M2022-02-16
MOVRMoonriverBase137.7719136.5429-0.89%95.5515-30.65%0.4012✓1.13489k2022-02-16
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.088780.087959-0.92%0.08117-8.57%0.1088✓0.7345k2022-02-16
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand1.34151.3283-0.98%0.9791-27.01%0.3511✓1.1830.5M2022-02-16
CBKCobakEthereum2.7352.7053-1.09%2.452-10.35%0.1337✓0.9125k2022-02-16
OGOG Fan TokenSolana4.1884.1401-1.14%3.514-16.09%0.1949✓0.791.1M2022-02-16
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana3.7983.7545-1.15%3.217-15.30%0.1821✓0.71526k2022-02-16
DASHDashDash135.73133.9837-1.29%115.33-15.03%0.1966✓1.202.8M2022-02-16
TRACOriginTrailEthereum1.00770.994563-1.30%0.6989-30.64%0.4076✓1.411.5M2022-02-16
ZECZcashZcash138.84137.0006-1.32%125.58-9.55%0.1376✓1.3010.6M2022-02-16
CTSICartesiEthereum0.61910.610892-1.33%0.4754-23.21%0.3048✓1.392.7M2022-02-16
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.510.503231-1.33%0.373-26.86%0.3505✓1.311.8M2022-02-16
COTICOTIEthereum0.38880.383454-1.38%0.285-26.70%0.3545✓1.483.9M2022-02-16
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum1.021.0059-1.38%1.05+2.94%0.0320✓1.921.5M2022-02-16
ZENHorizenBase53.2752.4917-1.46%40.62-23.75%0.3146✓1.49642k2022-02-16
RADRadworksEthereum7.897.7747-1.46%6.07-23.07%0.2820✓0.891.1M2022-02-16
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana10.4710.3092-1.54%10.78+2.96%0.0154✓0.75808k2022-02-16
KCSKuCoinnative20.85120.5187-1.59%20.855+0.02%0.0466✓1.6110.7M2022-02-16
FTTFTXEthereum44.3843.6462-1.65%46.38+4.51%0.0173✗1.1122.8M2022-02-16
FILFilecoinFilecoin28.9928.505-1.67%23.08-20.39%0.2536✓1.0915.1M2022-02-16
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain3.34093.2829-1.74%3.9514+18.27%0.1392✗1.182.3M2022-02-16
HIVEHivenative1.25611.2329-1.85%1.1125-11.43%0.1574✓1.403.7M2022-02-16
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum6.27316.1567-1.86%4.8292-23.02%0.2905✓1.22457k2022-02-16
CVCCivicEthereum0.32040.314377-1.88%0.3067-4.28%0.0650✓1.03397k2022-02-16
IMXImmutableEthereum3.763.6877-1.92%2.4-36.17%0.4860✓1.452.2M2022-02-16
MINAMina Protocolnative3.413.3439-1.94%2.65-22.29%0.2749✓1.09808k2022-02-16
IOTAIOTAIOTA1.16161.1381-2.03%0.8933-23.10%0.2808✓0.9923.2M2022-02-16
LEOLEO TokenEthereum3.76993.6929-2.04%5.8668+55.62%0.4653✗-0.06361k2022-02-16
LPTLivepeerEthereum34.4433.7243-2.08%28.63-16.87%0.2286✓1.672.7M2022-02-16
XTZTezosTezos4.05383.9672-2.14%4.0382-0.38%0.0358✓1.373.3M2022-02-16
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum2.3252.2709-2.33%1.952-16.04%0.1954✓1.132.0M2022-02-16
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche86.6884.2893-2.76%95.39+10.05%0.0773✗1.19100.4M2022-02-16
LUNATerraTerra 277.0674.9306-2.76%56.02-27.30%0.3638✓1.877.5M2022-02-16
LINKChainlinkEthereum23.823.0804-3.02%17.14-27.98%0.3443✓1.2070.4M2022-02-16
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.06760.065439-3.20%0.0695+2.81%0.0212✓1.0025.5M2022-02-16
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum29.6228.6312-3.34%22.08-25.46%0.3149✓1.4134.3M2022-02-16
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum3.363.245-3.42%1.86-44.64%0.6051✓1.252.9M2022-02-16
ADACardanoCardano1.60271.5444-3.64%1.0833-32.41%0.3984✓1.1297.1M2022-02-16
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.2943.163-3.98%2.809-14.72%0.1857✓1.721.1M2022-02-16
API3Api3Ethereum43.8383-4.04%4.58+14.50%0.1408✗0.92471k2022-02-16
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.60761.5424-4.06%2.2822+41.96%0.3584✗0.861.1M2022-02-16
CELLCellframeEthereum0.98020.940057-4.10%1.6305+66.34%0.5093✗1.06108k2022-02-16
YFIyearn.financeEthereum31,588.0730,234.71-4.28%23,690.00-25.00%0.2704✓0.6822.2M2022-02-16
SPELLSpellEthereum0.013580.012934-4.75%0.00601-55.74%0.8615✓2.4424.2M2022-02-16
CRVCurve DAOEthereum4.784.5384-5.06%3.17-33.68%0.4137✓1.4132.4M2022-02-16
METRONOMEMETRONOME4.1953.9826-5.06%3.7402-10.84%0.0921✓0.752,2572022-02-16
BICOBiconomyEthereum3.533.3434-5.29%1.86-47.31%0.6362✓1.288.5M2022-02-16
GITCOINGITCOIN12.47711.7659-5.70%8.239-33.97%0.3599✓0.0944k2022-02-16
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.62140.585815-5.73%0.602-3.12%0.0270✓1.391.5M2022-02-16
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos39.1536.7328-6.17%28.51-27.18%0.2912✓0.9798.5M2022-02-16
SUSHISushiEthereum6.446.0407-6.20%4.3-33.23%0.3905✓1.3017.7M2022-02-16
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0789720.073769-6.59%0.028284-64.18%0.9976✓1.001.6M2022-02-16
BFCBifrostEthereum0.206250.19119-7.30%0.17624-14.55%0.1429✓1.586,3502022-02-16
GTCGitcoinEthereum12.5811.5886-7.88%8.24-34.50%0.3471✓0.162.6M2022-02-16
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.94320.781039-17.19%0.4482-52.48%0.6245✓1.7746.2M2022-02-16
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.