2022-01-17 · +30d

gru_s4 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 139 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.

+1d +7d +30d asset cohort only

rank IC

+0.1194

139 of 139 tokens assessed

long-short decile

+11.39%

realised beta-adjusted alpha

direction hit

88.5%

in alpha space · 81.3% on raw price

BTC over horizon

+3.97%

the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (139 rows, sorted by pred)

token	name	chain	anchor px	pred px ▴	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d	vol 30d	target
DUSK	DUSK	Ethereum	0.9432	0.830246	-11.98%	0.4482	-52.48%	0.6856	✓	1.77	46.2M	2022-02-16
BFC	Bifrost	Ethereum	0.20625	0.184593	-10.50%	0.17624	-14.55%	0.1077	✓	1.58	6,350	2022-02-16
GTC	Gitcoin	Ethereum	12.58	11.3558	-9.73%	8.24	-34.50%	0.3269	✓	0.16	2.6M	2022-02-16
METRONOME	METRONOME		4.195	3.8326	-8.64%	3.7402	-10.84%	0.0537	✓	0.75	2,257	2022-02-16
POWR	Powerledger	Ethereum	0.6214	0.569221	-8.40%	0.602	-3.12%	0.0017	✓	1.39	1.5M	2022-02-16
CWEB	Coinweb	Ethereum	0.078972	0.073032	-7.52%	0.028284	-64.18%	0.9876	✓	1.00	1.6M	2022-02-16
ATOM	Cosmos Hub	Cosmos	39.15	36.3139	-7.24%	28.51	-27.18%	0.2798	✓	0.97	98.5M	2022-02-16
GODS	Gods Unchained	Ethereum	3.36	3.1293	-6.87%	1.86	-44.64%	0.5688	✓	1.25	2.9M	2022-02-16
YFI	yearn.finance	Ethereum	31,588.07	29,514.17	-6.57%	23,690.00	-25.00%	0.2463	✓	0.68	22.2M	2022-02-16
KNC	Kyber Network Crystal	Ethereum	1.6076	1.5042	-6.43%	2.2822	+41.96%	0.3834	✗	0.86	1.1M	2022-02-16
CRV	Curve DAO	Ethereum	4.78	4.4755	-6.37%	3.17	-33.68%	0.3997	✓	1.41	32.4M	2022-02-16
GITCOIN	GITCOIN		12.477	11.6957	-6.26%	8.239	-33.97%	0.3539	✓	0.09	44k	2022-02-16
CVC	Civic	Ethereum	0.3204	0.301332	-5.95%	0.3067	-4.28%	0.0226	✓	1.03	397k	2022-02-16
API3	Api3	Ethereum	4	3.7684	-5.79%	4.58	+14.50%	0.1592	✗	0.92	471k	2022-02-16
PEOPLE	ConstitutionDAO	Ethereum	0.0676	0.063722	-5.74%	0.0695	+2.81%	0.0478	✓	1.00	25.5M	2022-02-16
SUSHI	Sushi	Ethereum	6.44	6.0738	-5.69%	4.3	-33.23%	0.3960	✓	1.30	17.7M	2022-02-16
BICO	Biconomy	Ethereum	3.53	3.3375	-5.45%	1.86	-47.31%	0.6344	✓	1.28	8.5M	2022-02-16
SPELL	Spell	Ethereum	0.01358	0.012842	-5.44%	0.00601	-55.74%	0.8544	✓	2.44	24.2M	2022-02-16
MINA	Mina Protocol	native	3.41	3.2384	-5.03%	2.65	-22.29%	0.2429	✓	1.09	808k	2022-02-16
HIVE	Hive	native	1.2561	1.194	-4.95%	1.1125	-11.43%	0.1253	✓	1.40	3.7M	2022-02-16
CELL	Cellframe	Ethereum	0.9802	0.932275	-4.89%	1.6305	+66.34%	0.5176	✗	1.06	108k	2022-02-16
DYDX	dYdX	Cosmos	7.405	7.0431	-4.89%	7.454	+0.66%	0.0059	✓	1.30	271k	2022-02-16
LUNA	Terra	Terra 2	77.06	73.3621	-4.80%	56.02	-27.30%	0.3426	✓	1.87	7.5M	2022-02-16
ADA	Cardano	Cardano	1.6027	1.5276	-4.68%	1.0833	-32.41%	0.3875	✓	1.12	97.1M	2022-02-16
ENJ	Enjin Coin	Ethereum	2.325	2.2169	-4.65%	1.952	-16.04%	0.1714	✓	1.13	2.0M	2022-02-16
CTSI	Cartesi	Ethereum	0.6191	0.59061	-4.60%	0.4754	-23.21%	0.2710	✓	1.39	2.7M	2022-02-16
DEXE	DeXe	Ethereum	9.38	8.9546	-4.54%	7.24	-22.81%	0.2121	✓	-0.01	1.4M	2022-02-16
BAND	Band	Ethereum	5.3	5.0627	-4.48%	4.87	-8.11%	0.0822	✓	1.11	2.1M	2022-02-16
MASK	Mask Network	Ethereum	8.77	8.3795	-4.45%	6.08	-30.67%	0.3490	✓	0.72	995k	2022-02-16
SANTOS	Santos FC Fan Token	Binance Smart Chain	3.294	3.1483	-4.42%	2.809	-14.72%	0.1810	✓	1.72	1.1M	2022-02-16
BAT	Basic Attention	Ethereum	1.0163	0.972448	-4.31%	0.83537	-17.80%	0.2216	✓	1.79	896k	2022-02-16
COTI	COTI	Ethereum	0.3888	0.372162	-4.28%	0.285	-26.70%	0.3246	✓	1.48	3.9M	2022-02-16
OGN	Origin Token	Ethereum	0.51	0.48873	-4.17%	0.373	-26.86%	0.3212	✓	1.31	1.8M	2022-02-16
LINK	Chainlink	Ethereum	23.8	22.8146	-4.14%	17.14	-27.98%	0.3327	✓	1.20	70.4M	2022-02-16
LSK	Lisk	Ethereum	2.0079	1.9263	-4.06%	1.8241	-9.15%	0.0978	✓	1.11	89k	2022-02-16
ALGO	Algorand	Algorand	1.3415	1.287	-4.06%	0.9791	-27.01%	0.3195	✓	1.18	30.5M	2022-02-16
IMX	Immutable	Ethereum	3.76	3.6099	-3.99%	2.4	-36.17%	0.4647	✓	1.45	2.2M	2022-02-16
LPT	Livepeer	Ethereum	34.44	33.1025	-3.88%	28.63	-16.87%	0.2100	✓	1.67	2.7M	2022-02-16
XMR	Monero	Monero	214.7	206.6381	-3.75%	179.36	-16.46%	0.1803	✓	0.99	3.1M	2022-02-16
ZEN	Horizen	Base	53.27	51.2992	-3.70%	40.62	-23.75%	0.2916	✓	1.49	642k	2022-02-16
PORTO	FC Porto	Binance Smart Chain	3.3409	3.2177	-3.69%	3.9514	+18.27%	0.1593	✗	1.18	2.3M	2022-02-16
IOTA	IOTA	IOTA	1.1616	1.1202	-3.57%	0.8933	-23.10%	0.2649	✓	0.99	23.2M	2022-02-16
ORBS	Orbs	Ethereum	0.0826	0.079668	-3.55%	0.0757	-8.35%	0.0938	✓	1.10	20k	2022-02-16
SC	Siacoin	native	0.01352	0.013042	-3.54%	0.01078	-20.27%	0.2294	✓	1.00	654k	2022-02-16
AGLD	Adventure Gold	Ethereum	1.35	1.3023	-3.53%	1.12	-17.04%	0.2159	✓	1.67	556k	2022-02-16
CITY	Manchester City Fan Token	Solana	10.47	10.1039	-3.50%	10.78	+2.96%	0.0355	✓	0.75	808k	2022-02-16
DASH	Dash	Dash	135.73	130.9931	-3.49%	115.33	-15.03%	0.1740	✓	1.20	2.8M	2022-02-16
DODO	DODO	Ethereum	0.768	0.741253	-3.48%	0.539	-29.82%	0.3768	✓	1.49	8.0M	2022-02-16
AVAX	Avalanche	Avalanche	86.68	83.6837	-3.46%	95.39	+10.05%	0.0845	✗	1.19	100.4M	2022-02-16
UOS	Ultra	Ethereum	1.2267	1.1851	-3.39%	1.4263	+16.27%	0.1441	✗	1.06	2.7M	2022-02-16
FTT	FTX	Ethereum	44.38	42.8929	-3.35%	46.38	+4.51%	0.0347	✗	1.11	22.8M	2022-02-16
STORJ	Storj	Ethereum	1.6018	1.5484	-3.34%	1.1915	-25.62%	0.2965	✓	0.89	445k	2022-02-16
PSG	Paris Saint-Germain Fan Token	Solana	15.03	14.5314	-3.32%	16.75	+11.44%	0.1154	✗	0.68	998k	2022-02-16
UMA	UMA	Ethereum	8.13	7.8608	-3.31%	6.53	-19.68%	0.2233	✓	0.97	4.1M	2022-02-16
DNT	district0x	Ethereum	0.1064	0.102954	-3.24%	0.0851	-20.02%	0.2343	✓	1.13	269k	2022-02-16
XPR	XPR Network	Ethereum	0.0145	0.014032	-3.22%	0.01344	-7.31%	0.0943	✓	1.31	2.2M	2022-02-16
ASR	AS Roma Fan Token	Solana	3.798	3.6759	-3.21%	3.217	-15.30%	0.1610	✓	0.71	526k	2022-02-16
SUPER	SuperVerse	Ethereum	1.02	0.987243	-3.21%	1.05	+2.94%	0.0133	✓	1.92	1.5M	2022-02-16
ZEC	Zcash	Zcash	138.84	134.3964	-3.20%	125.58	-9.55%	0.1184	✓	1.30	10.6M	2022-02-16
MANA	Decentraland	Ethereum	2.9053	2.8135	-3.16%	3.2632	+12.32%	0.1080	✗	1.03	4.9M	2022-02-16
SHIB	Shiba Inu	Ethereum	0.00002883	0.000027924	-3.14%	0.00003095	+7.35%	0.0499	✗	1.36	1.8M	2022-02-16
TRB	Tellor Tributes	Ethereum	28.92	28.017	-3.12%	24.03	-16.91%	0.2140	✓	1.55	1.0M	2022-02-16
LEO	LEO Token	Ethereum	3.7699	3.6526	-3.11%	5.8668	+55.62%	0.4763	✗	-0.06	361k	2022-02-16
MOVR	Moonriver	Base	137.7719	133.5062	-3.10%	95.5515	-30.65%	0.3787	✓	1.13	489k	2022-02-16
RAD	Radworks	Ethereum	7.89	7.6459	-3.09%	6.07	-23.07%	0.2653	✓	0.89	1.1M	2022-02-16
ICP	Internet Computer	Ethereum	29.62	28.7053	-3.09%	22.08	-25.46%	0.3175	✓	1.41	34.3M	2022-02-16
XLM	Stellar	Stellar	0.256133	0.248505	-2.98%	0.21874	-14.60%	0.1679	✓	1.04	24.2M	2022-02-16
OMG	OMG Network	Ethereum	6.2731	6.0868	-2.97%	4.8292	-23.02%	0.2791	✓	1.22	457k	2022-02-16
QNT	Quant	Ethereum	159.74	155.0029	-2.97%	129.55	-18.90%	0.2159	✓	0.94	6.4M	2022-02-16
MED	Medibloc	Osmosis	0.04979	0.04832	-2.95%	0.04466	-10.30%	0.1216	✓	1.10	21k	2022-02-16
GT	Gate	Ethereum	6.9968	6.7903	-2.95%	6.8827	-1.63%	0.0200	✓	0.86	4.1M	2022-02-16
LAZIO	Lazio Fan Token	Binance Smart Chain	4.1906	4.0675	-2.94%	3.6017	-14.05%	0.1708	✓	1.26	4.1M	2022-02-16
CBK	Cobak	Ethereum	2.735	2.6554	-2.91%	2.452	-10.35%	0.1150	✓	0.91	25k	2022-02-16
VSYS	V.SYSTEMS	native	0.01652	0.016055	-2.82%	0.01389	-15.92%	0.1736	✓	0.74	24k	2022-02-16
XEM	NEM	native	0.1148	0.111649	-2.74%	0.1142	-0.52%	0.0187	✓	1.06	49k	2022-02-16
EWT	Energy Web Token	Ethereum	7.359	7.161	-2.69%	6.358	-13.60%	0.1461	✓	0.70	178k	2022-02-16
JUV	Juventus Fan Token	Solana	7.96	7.7468	-2.68%	6.76	-15.08%	0.1661	✓	0.77	682k	2022-02-16
BCHSV	Bitcoin Cash SV		109.78	106.9026	-2.62%	94.6	-13.83%	0.1596	✓	0.96	1.9M	2022-02-16
AMP	Amp	Ethereum	0.04011	0.03906	-2.62%	0.03216	-19.82%	0.2299	✓	0.91	8.4M	2022-02-16
ARPA	ARPA	Ethereum	0.0824	0.080313	-2.53%	0.09	+9.22%	0.0594	✗	1.40	990k	2022-02-16
QTUM	Qtum	Qtum	7.6879	7.4952	-2.51%	7.8678	+2.34%	0.0075	✓	1.44	263k	2022-02-16
CTK	Shentu	Osmosis	1.391	1.3562	-2.50%	1.274	-8.41%	0.1161	✓	1.37	4.0M	2022-02-16
XEC	eCash	native	0.00009954	0.00009707	-2.48%	0.00008539	-14.22%	0.1679	✓	1.02	6.5M	2022-02-16
KCS	KuCoin	native	20.851	20.3429	-2.44%	20.855	+0.02%	0.0380	✓	1.61	10.7M	2022-02-16
XYO	XYO Network	Ethereum	0.02786	0.027188	-2.41%	0.021773	-21.85%	0.2623	✓	1.03	5.7M	2022-02-16
XTZ	Tezos	Tezos	4.0538	3.9602	-2.31%	4.0382	-0.38%	0.0340	✓	1.37	3.3M	2022-02-16
SKL	SKALE	Ethereum	0.1595	0.155823	-2.31%	0.1562	-2.07%	0.0470	✓	1.27	4.2M	2022-02-16
AUCTION	Bounce	Ethereum	19.46	19.0136	-2.29%	15.91	-18.24%	0.2195	✓	1.06	841k	2022-02-16
CHZ	Chiliz	Ethereum	0.2569	0.251043	-2.28%	0.2202	-14.29%	0.1831	✓	1.33	3.9M	2022-02-16
CERE	Cere Network	Ethereum	0.0533	0.052087	-2.28%	0.0335	-37.15%	0.4951	✓	1.38	1.4M	2022-02-16
ACM	AC Milan Fan Token	Solana	4.984	4.8712	-2.26%	4.803	-3.63%	0.0403	✓	0.67	469k	2022-02-16
1INCH	1INCH	Ethereum	2.25	2.1996	-2.24%	1.81	-19.56%	0.2367	✓	1.07	2.7M	2022-02-16
ZRX	0x Protocol	Ethereum	0.727776	0.711553	-2.23%	0.677091	-6.96%	0.0944	✓	1.15	2.4M	2022-02-16
PHA	PHALA	Ethereum	0.35	0.34222	-2.22%	0.288	-17.71%	0.2025	✓	0.77	45k	2022-02-16
NMR	Numeraire	Ethereum	27.95	27.3374	-2.19%	28.31	+1.29%	0.0072	✓	0.71	353k	2022-02-16
DKA	dKargo	Ethereum	0.10718	0.104833	-2.19%	0.09789	-8.67%	0.1130	✓	1.14	27k	2022-02-16
FIL	Filecoin	Filecoin	28.99	28.3564	-2.19%	23.08	-20.39%	0.2484	✓	1.09	15.1M	2022-02-16
JASMY	JasmyCoin	Ethereum	0.06638	0.064938	-2.17%	0.03198	-51.82%	0.7564	✓	1.23	13.3M	2022-02-16
OXT	Orchid Protocol	Ethereum	0.312	0.305302	-2.15%	0.2693	-13.69%	0.1754	✓	1.28	2.1M	2022-02-16
TRAC	OriginTrail	Ethereum	1.0077	0.986205	-2.13%	0.6989	-30.64%	0.3992	✓	1.41	1.5M	2022-02-16
ANKR	Ankr Network	Ethereum	0.08878	0.086888	-2.13%	0.08117	-8.57%	0.0966	✓	0.73	45k	2022-02-16
NAKA	Nakamoto Games	Polygon	0.8095	0.792253	-2.13%	0.625	-22.79%	0.2770	✓	1.02	2.7M	2022-02-16
AXS	Axie Infinity	Ethereum	76.55	74.9591	-2.08%	63.42	-17.15%	0.2094	✓	1.08	6.4M	2022-02-16
RIF	Rootstock Infrastructure Framework	Ethereum	0.1755	0.171876	-2.06%	0.1678	-4.39%	0.0596	✓	0.91	403k	2022-02-16
MTL	Metal DAO	Metal L2	1.829	1.7918	-2.04%	1.688	-7.71%	0.1048	✓	1.16	2.0M	2022-02-16
TWT	Trust Wallet	Binance Smart Chain	0.6916	0.678096	-1.95%	0.5683	-17.83%	0.2267	✓	1.28	3.5M	2022-02-16
BNT	Bancor Network	Ethereum	3.07	3.0113	-1.91%	2.67	-13.03%	0.1589	✓	0.99	891k	2022-02-16
KSM	Kusama	Hydration	259.34	254.4805	-1.87%	166.77	-35.69%	0.4691	✓	1.19	1.4M	2022-02-16
ETC	Ethereum Classic	native	31	30.4418	-1.80%	32.25	+4.03%	0.0161	✓	1.07	2.9M	2022-02-16
WBTC	Wrapped Bitcoin	Ethereum	41,814.50	41,072.88	-1.77%	43,960.80	+5.13%	0.0295	✗	0.99	14k	2022-02-16
AAVE	Aave	Ethereum	226.66	222.7557	-1.72%	170.44	-24.80%	0.3141	✓	1.19	16.2M	2022-02-16
BTC	Bitcoin	Bitcoin	42,218.01	41,493.80	-1.72%	43,895.56	+3.97%	0.0173	✓	1.00	636.6M	2022-02-16
COMP	Compound	Ethereum	181.47	178.3613	-1.71%	136.01	-25.05%	0.3168	✓	1.17	123k	2022-02-16
GRT	The Graph	Ethereum	0.5478	0.538521	-1.69%	0.4872	-11.06%	0.1514	✓	1.31	12.2M	2022-02-16
BAR	FC Barcelona Fan Token	Solana	7.77	7.6412	-1.66%	6.52	-16.09%	0.1834	✓	0.63	720k	2022-02-16
ETH	Ethereum	Ethereum	3,210.98	3,159.40	-1.61%	3,124.45	-2.69%	0.0531	✓	1.08	478.4M	2022-02-16
SNX	Synthetix	Ethereum	4.98	4.9036	-1.53%	4.9	-1.61%	0.0473	✓	1.19	3.2M	2022-02-16
UNI	Uniswap	Ethereum	16.64	16.3857	-1.53%	11.22	-32.57%	0.4300	✓	1.32	12.2M	2022-02-16
LCX	LCX	Ethereum	0.1315	0.129592	-1.45%	0.1052	-20.00%	0.2586	✓	1.29	2.4M	2022-02-16
TKO	Tokocrypto	Binance Smart Chain	1.016	1.0017	-1.40%	0.787	-22.54%	0.2793	✓	0.97	2.2M	2022-02-16
ACH	Alchemy Pay	Ethereum	0.054069	0.053331	-1.37%	0.056084	+3.73%	0.0033	✓	1.21	7.9M	2022-02-16
OG	OG Fan Token	Solana	4.188	4.1312	-1.36%	3.514	-16.09%	0.1928	✓	0.79	1.1M	2022-02-16
DOGE	Dogecoin	Dogecoin	0.170944	0.168649	-1.34%	0.148737	-12.99%	0.1685	✓	1.10	5.6M	2022-02-16
RLC	iExec RLC	Ethereum	2.6	2.5651	-1.34%	2.13	-18.08%	0.2375	✓	1.32	3.1M	2022-02-16
BEL	Bella Protocol	Ethereum	1.246	1.2301	-1.27%	0.983	-21.11%	0.2774	✓	1.36	2.4M	2022-02-16
SUN	Sun Token	Tron	0.020723	0.020475	-1.20%	0.016969	-18.12%	0.2358	✓	1.23	2.7M	2022-02-16
ATM	Atletico Madrid Fan Token	Solana	6.55	6.4723	-1.19%	5.47	-16.49%	0.1940	✓	0.66	564k	2022-02-16
DOT	Polkadot	Polkadot	25.68	25.4135	-1.04%	19.78	-22.98%	0.3034	✓	1.35	60.5M	2022-02-16
TRX	TRON	Tron	0.070851	0.070129	-1.02%	0.066472	-6.18%	0.0908	✓	0.95	511k	2022-02-16
XVG	Verge	native	0.01314	0.013007	-1.02%	0.01171	-10.88%	0.1535	✓	1.24	2.0M	2022-02-16
SOL	Solana	Solana	139.85	138.4584	-1.00%	101.94	-27.11%	0.3504	✓	1.13	152.8M	2022-02-16
XYM	Symbol	native	0.1906	0.188995	-0.84%	0.1747	-8.34%	0.1051	✓	0.68	536k	2022-02-16
ENS	Ethereum Name Service	Ethereum	24.33	24.1688	-0.66%	17.65	-27.46%	0.3872	✓	1.87	3.9M	2022-02-16
LTC	Litecoin	Litecoin	151.19	150.484	-0.47%	127.84	-15.44%	0.2160	✓	1.36	31.1M	2022-02-16
ASM	Assemble AI	Ethereum	0.07748	0.077212	-0.35%	0.05759	-25.67%	0.3489	✓	1.43	2.4M	2022-02-16
NANO	nanopay	Base	3.0126	3.0084	-0.14%	2.2584	-25.04%	0.3314	✓	1.15	665k	2022-02-16
LRC	Loopring	Ethereum	1.2289	1.2311	+0.18%	0.9602	-21.87%	0.3235	✗	1.92	1.3M	2022-02-16
XVS	Venus	Ethereum	13.59	13.6154	+0.19%	11.78	-13.32%	0.1894	✗	1.15	2.9M	2022-02-16
BCH	Bitcoin Cash	Bitcoin Cash	380.79	385.2615	+1.17%	334.55	-12.14%	0.1807	✗	1.02	6.6M	2022-02-16

Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.