2022-01-14 · +1d

gru_s4 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 139 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.

+1d +7d +30d asset cohort only

rank IC

+0.1549

139 of 139 tokens assessed

long-short decile

+0.97%

realised beta-adjusted alpha

direction hit

66.2%

in alpha space · 68.4% on raw price

BTC over horizon

+0.02%

the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (139 rows, sorted by pred)

token	name	chain	anchor px	pred px ▾	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d	vol 30d	target
NAKA	Nakamoto Games	Polygon	0.9779	0.983411	+0.56%	0.9833	+0.55%	0.0003	✓	1.04	3.0M	2022-01-15
LRC	Loopring	Ethereum	1.4707	1.4767	+0.41%	1.4232	-3.23%	0.0372	✗	1.89	1.4M	2022-01-15
LAZIO	Lazio Fan Token	Binance Smart Chain	4.3463	4.3639	+0.40%	4.3614	+0.35%	0.0008	✓	1.26	4.1M	2022-01-15
AGLD	Adventure Gold	Ethereum	1.38	1.3855	+0.40%	1.38	+0.00%	0.0043	✗	1.64	569k	2022-01-15
PSG	Paris Saint-Germain Fan Token	Solana	14.96	15.0137	+0.36%	15.07	+0.74%	0.0036	✓	0.68	1.1M	2022-01-15
ATM	Atletico Madrid Fan Token	Solana	6.68	6.7036	+0.35%	6.7	+0.30%	0.0006	✓	0.66	602k	2022-01-15
ENS	Ethereum Name Service	Ethereum	26.28	26.3673	+0.33%	26.68	+1.52%	0.0115	✓	1.84	4.1M	2022-01-15
XVG	Verge	native	0.01389	0.013936	+0.33%	0.01388	-0.07%	0.0042	✗	1.23	2.0M	2022-01-15
TKO	Tokocrypto	Binance Smart Chain	1.055	1.0584	+0.32%	1.074	+1.80%	0.0145	✓	0.95	2.2M	2022-01-15
GRT	The Graph	Ethereum	0.5792	0.581064	+0.32%	0.5948	+2.69%	0.0232	✓	1.21	12.2M	2022-01-15
AUCTION	Bounce	Ethereum	20.29	20.3549	+0.32%	20.62	+1.63%	0.0128	✓	0.74	958k	2022-01-15
TRX	TRON	Tron	0.067658	0.067872	+0.32%	0.068548	+1.32%	0.0098	✓	0.95	552k	2022-01-15
VSYS	V.SYSTEMS	native	0.01666	0.016712	+0.31%	0.01703	+2.22%	0.0187	✓	0.66	24k	2022-01-15
GT	Gate	Ethereum	6.8128	6.8337	+0.31%	7.09	+4.07%	0.0367	✓	0.81	3.5M	2022-01-15
CTK	Shentu	Osmosis	1.509	1.5136	+0.31%	1.538	+1.92%	0.0157	✓	1.35	4.4M	2022-01-15
RLC	iExec RLC	Ethereum	2.77	2.7781	+0.29%	2.76	-0.36%	0.0068	✗	1.31	3.2M	2022-01-15
MTL	Metal DAO	Metal L2	1.853	1.8584	+0.29%	1.875	+1.19%	0.0087	✓	1.14	2.2M	2022-01-15
1INCH	1INCH	Ethereum	2.38	2.3867	+0.28%	2.39	+0.42%	0.0012	✓	1.02	2.9M	2022-01-15
BTC	Bitcoin	Bitcoin	43,090.72	43,206.99	+0.27%	43,098.20	+0.02%	0.0027	✗	1.00	679.0M	2022-01-15
RIF	Rootstock Infrastructure Framework	Ethereum	0.1798	0.180283	+0.27%	0.1806	+0.44%	0.0016	✓	0.89	432k	2022-01-15
XYM	Symbol	native	0.1929	0.193397	+0.26%	0.1939	+0.52%	0.0025	✓	0.68	464k	2022-01-15
SUN	Sun Token	Tron	0.02049	0.020539	+0.24%	0.020821	+1.62%	0.0134	✓	1.25	2.5M	2022-01-15
COMP	Compound	Ethereum	189.59	190.0382	+0.24%	192.18	+1.37%	0.0110	✓	1.13	149k	2022-01-15
PHA	PHALA	Ethereum	0.366	0.366861	+0.24%	0.379	+3.55%	0.0324	✓	0.75	43k	2022-01-15
DODO	DODO	Ethereum	0.802	0.803884	+0.23%	0.81	+1.00%	0.0073	✓	1.45	8.0M	2022-01-15
AAVE	Aave	Ethereum	224.05	224.5762	+0.23%	238.63	+6.51%	0.0605	✓	1.14	17.6M	2022-01-15
LCX	LCX	Ethereum	0.1392	0.139523	+0.23%	0.1398	+0.43%	0.0018	✓	1.28	2.4M	2022-01-15
SOL	Solana	Solana	146.17	146.5058	+0.23%	147.78	+1.10%	0.0085	✓	1.04	177.1M	2022-01-15
DKA	dKargo	Ethereum	0.10933	0.109578	+0.23%	0.11024	+0.83%	0.0058	✓	1.12	23k	2022-01-15
XPR	XPR Network	Ethereum	0.015	0.015033	+0.22%	0.01503	+0.20%	0.0004	✓	1.29	2.2M	2022-01-15
ETH	Ethereum	Ethereum	3,310.45	3,317.71	+0.22%	3,328.12	+0.53%	0.0030	✓	1.05	556.2M	2022-01-15
GODS	Gods Unchained	Ethereum	2.92	2.9264	+0.22%	3.25	+11.30%	0.1047	✓	1.26	3.1M	2022-01-15
CERE	Cere Network	Ethereum	0.0557	0.055821	+0.22%	0.0544	-2.33%	0.0260	✗	1.37	1.5M	2022-01-15
AMP	Amp	Ethereum	0.04111	0.041199	+0.22%	0.04139	+0.68%	0.0045	✓	0.89	8.4M	2022-01-15
BAT	Basic Attention	Ethereum	1.0526	1.0548	+0.21%	1.0653	+1.21%	0.0096	✓	1.74	974k	2022-01-15
BAR	FC Barcelona Fan Token	Solana	7.91	7.9265	+0.21%	8.02	+1.39%	0.0116	✓	0.62	680k	2022-01-15
JASMY	JasmyCoin	Ethereum	0.0707	0.070848	+0.21%	0.07028	-0.59%	0.0083	✗	1.21	16.4M	2022-01-15
PEOPLE	ConstitutionDAO	Ethereum	0.079	0.079163	+0.21%	0.0756	-4.30%	0.0462	✗	1.00	27.8M	2022-01-15
ETC	Ethereum Classic	native	31.98	32.0455	+0.20%	32.86	+2.75%	0.0249	✓	1.02	2.9M	2022-01-15
MANA	Decentraland	Ethereum	2.955	2.9609	+0.20%	2.9986	+1.48%	0.0125	✓	1.01	5.2M	2022-01-15
ARPA	ARPA	Ethereum	0.0865	0.08667	+0.20%	0.0869	+0.46%	0.0024	✓	1.40	1.2M	2022-01-15
TWT	Trust Wallet	Binance Smart Chain	0.7107	0.712043	+0.19%	0.7349	+3.41%	0.0314	✓	1.26	3.7M	2022-01-15
XEM	NEM	native	0.1192	0.119424	+0.19%	0.1187	-0.42%	0.0063	✗	1.02	57k	2022-01-15
BCH	Bitcoin Cash	Bitcoin Cash	385.65	386.3707	+0.19%	390.86	+1.35%	0.0114	✓	1.00	7.6M	2022-01-15
QNT	Quant	Ethereum	165.39	165.6985	+0.19%	167.6	+1.34%	0.0113	✓	0.91	6.9M	2022-01-15
AXS	Axie Infinity	Ethereum	73.7	73.8343	+0.18%	75.35	+2.24%	0.0201	✓	1.07	6.2M	2022-01-15
JUV	Juventus Fan Token	Solana	8.04	8.0546	+0.18%	8.04	+0.00%	0.0019	✗	0.74	737k	2022-01-15
NMR	Numeraire	Ethereum	28.42	28.4707	+0.18%	28.79	+1.30%	0.0110	✓	0.68	360k	2022-01-15
XVS	Venus	Ethereum	14	14.0242	+0.17%	14.16	+1.14%	0.0094	✓	1.13	3.1M	2022-01-15
TRB	Tellor Tributes	Ethereum	29.7	29.7507	+0.17%	30.61	+3.06%	0.0282	✓	1.48	1.0M	2022-01-15
COTI	COTI	Ethereum	0.335	0.335565	+0.17%	0.3416	+1.97%	0.0176	✓	1.45	3.8M	2022-01-15
STORJ	Storj	Ethereum	1.6069	1.6095	+0.16%	1.6962	+5.56%	0.0523	✓	0.88	502k	2022-01-15
NANO	nanopay	Base	3.1511	3.1561	+0.16%	3.1231	-0.89%	0.0107	✗	1.12	699k	2022-01-15
UOS	Ultra	Ethereum	1.2988	1.3008	+0.16%	1.3528	+4.16%	0.0390	✓	1.04	3.0M	2022-01-15
ORBS	Orbs	Ethereum	0.0813	0.081422	+0.15%	0.0805	-0.98%	0.0116	✗	1.07	19k	2022-01-15
SNX	Synthetix	Ethereum	5.22	5.2275	+0.14%	5.28	+1.15%	0.0098	✓	1.17	3.3M	2022-01-15
EWT	Energy Web Token	Ethereum	7.757	7.7682	+0.14%	8.117	+4.64%	0.0438	✓	0.72	192k	2022-01-15
DNT	district0x	Ethereum	0.113	0.113161	+0.14%	0.1141	+0.97%	0.0081	✓	1.12	303k	2022-01-15
RAD	Radworks	Ethereum	7.92	7.9308	+0.14%	8.39	+5.93%	0.0561	✓	0.88	1.1M	2022-01-15
BCHSV	Bitcoin Cash SV		113.04	113.1867	+0.13%	112.76	-0.25%	0.0039	✗	0.94	2.2M	2022-01-15
LSK	Lisk	Ethereum	2.0924	2.0951	+0.13%	2.089	-0.16%	0.0031	✗	1.03	95k	2022-01-15
ZEN	Horizen	Base	53.8	53.8666	+0.12%	55.11	+2.43%	0.0226	✓	1.41	667k	2022-01-15
DYDX	dYdX	Cosmos	7.673	7.6825	+0.12%	7.871	+2.58%	0.0240	✓	1.26	271k	2022-01-15
CHZ	Chiliz	Ethereum	0.2668	0.267116	+0.12%	0.2669	+0.04%	0.0010	✓	1.31	4.0M	2022-01-15
UMA	UMA	Ethereum	8.39	8.3999	+0.12%	8.47	+0.95%	0.0081	✓	0.97	4.3M	2022-01-15
XEC	eCash	native	0.00009702	0.000097134	+0.12%	0.00010109	+4.20%	0.0397	✓	1.00	6.5M	2022-01-15
DEXE	DeXe	Ethereum	9.84	9.8512	+0.11%	9.81	-0.30%	0.0042	✗	-0.01	1.5M	2022-01-15
SHIB	Shiba Inu	Ethereum	0.00003084	0.000030873	+0.11%	0.00003082	-0.06%	0.0020	✗	1.35	1.8M	2022-01-15
UNI	Uniswap	Ethereum	15.87	15.8869	+0.11%	16.49	+3.91%	0.0370	✓	1.27	12.4M	2022-01-15
XMR	Monero	Monero	229.78	230.0227	+0.11%	218.2	-5.04%	0.0529	✗	0.93	3.1M	2022-01-15
KSM	Kusama	Hydration	281.84	282.1338	+0.10%	289.7	+2.79%	0.0263	✓	1.16	1.4M	2022-01-15
QTUM	Qtum	Qtum	7.8442	7.8523	+0.10%	8.3025	+5.84%	0.0555	✓	1.37	263k	2022-01-15
ADA	Cardano	Cardano	1.2931	1.2944	+0.10%	1.2922	-0.07%	0.0019	✗	1.12	95.6M	2022-01-15
LTC	Litecoin	Litecoin	144.84	144.9768	+0.09%	147.73	+2.00%	0.0186	✓	1.35	32.2M	2022-01-15
XYO	XYO Network	Ethereum	0.028431	0.028458	+0.09%	0.028908	+1.68%	0.0155	✓	1.03	5.7M	2022-01-15
BEL	Bella Protocol	Ethereum	1.308	1.3092	+0.09%	1.324	+1.22%	0.0110	✓	1.34	2.7M	2022-01-15
MASK	Mask Network	Ethereum	9.5	9.5088	+0.09%	9.46	-0.42%	0.0053	✗	0.70	1.0M	2022-01-15
SPELL	Spell	Ethereum	0.01434	0.014353	+0.09%	0.01441	+0.49%	0.0035	✓	2.37	26.1M	2022-01-15
ANKR	Ankr Network	Ethereum	0.09336	0.093446	+0.09%	0.09328	-0.09%	0.0019	✗	0.73	52k	2022-01-15
XLM	Stellar	Stellar	0.265375	0.265615	+0.09%	0.259056	-2.38%	0.0252	✗	1.03	24.2M	2022-01-15
ALGO	Algorand	Algorand	1.3822	1.3834	+0.09%	1.3785	-0.27%	0.0038	✗	1.13	30.5M	2022-01-15
ZEC	Zcash	Zcash	142.55	142.6757	+0.09%	144.36	+1.27%	0.0115	✓	1.23	10.9M	2022-01-15
SC	Siacoin	native	0.01386	0.013872	+0.08%	0.01405	+1.37%	0.0126	✓	0.98	656k	2022-01-15
CBK	Cobak	Ethereum	2.857	2.8594	+0.08%	2.843	-0.49%	0.0059	✗	0.89	26k	2022-01-15
TRAC	OriginTrail	Ethereum	1.0305	1.0313	+0.08%	1.0846	+5.25%	0.0502	✓	1.40	1.5M	2022-01-15
ASR	AS Roma Fan Token	Solana	3.845	3.8478	+0.07%	3.846	+0.03%	0.0006	✓	0.71	526k	2022-01-15
OMG	OMG Network	Ethereum	6.0352	6.0393	+0.07%	6.757	+11.96%	0.1121	✓	1.16	457k	2022-01-15
WBTC	Wrapped Bitcoin	Ethereum	43,294.10	43,323.37	+0.07%	42,685.80	-1.41%	0.0150	✗	0.98	14k	2022-01-15
ACM	AC Milan Fan Token	Solana	4.867	4.8703	+0.07%	4.944	+1.58%	0.0149	✓	0.66	469k	2022-01-15
BNT	Bancor Network	Ethereum	3.19	3.1921	+0.07%	3.19	+0.00%	0.0008	✗	0.96	918k	2022-01-15
OG	OG Fan Token	Solana	4.269	4.2718	+0.07%	4.222	-1.10%	0.0119	✗	0.79	1.1M	2022-01-15
BAND	Band	Ethereum	5.7	5.7037	+0.06%	5.71	+0.18%	0.0009	✓	1.07	2.3M	2022-01-15
MED	Medibloc	Osmosis	0.05342	0.053453	+0.06%	0.05243	-1.85%	0.0195	✗	1.05	19k	2022-01-15
IMX	Immutable	Ethereum	3.55	3.5519	+0.05%	3.61	+1.69%	0.0160	✓	1.39	2.2M	2022-01-15
FIL	Filecoin	Filecoin	29.72	29.7353	+0.05%	29.69	-0.10%	0.0017	✗	1.07	15.5M	2022-01-15
ZRX	0x Protocol	Ethereum	0.748205	0.748588	+0.05%	0.757762	+1.28%	0.0120	✓	1.10	2.5M	2022-01-15
LEO	LEO Token	Ethereum	3.7699	3.7714	+0.04%	3.7698	-0.00%	0.0004	✗	-0.07	364k	2022-01-15
DASH	Dash	Dash	141.12	141.1725	+0.04%	141.33	+0.15%	0.0009	✓	1.17	2.8M	2022-01-15
SKL	SKALE	Ethereum	0.1754	0.175465	+0.04%	0.1719	-2.00%	0.0207	✗	1.23	4.2M	2022-01-15
HIVE	Hive	native	1.31	1.3105	+0.03%	1.3273	+1.32%	0.0125	✓	1.37	4.0M	2022-01-15
ACH	Alchemy Pay	Ethereum	0.059654	0.059674	+0.03%	0.057912	-2.92%	0.0302	✗	1.17	7.5M	2022-01-15
MOVR	Moonriver	Base	157.2002	157.2353	+0.02%	154.3287	-1.83%	0.0188	✗	0.99	515k	2022-01-15
FTT	FTX	Ethereum	44.73	44.7367	+0.02%	46	+2.84%	0.0277	✓	1.06	21.6M	2022-01-15
MINA	Mina Protocol	native	3.46	3.4605	+0.01%	3.5	+1.16%	0.0112	✓	1.06	808k	2022-01-15
DOGE	Dogecoin	Dogecoin	0.183317	0.183341	+0.01%	0.184596	+0.70%	0.0066	✓	1.09	5.4M	2022-01-15
IOTA	IOTA	IOTA	1.1223	1.1224	+0.01%	1.1257	+0.30%	0.0028	✓	0.97	23.2M	2022-01-15
OGN	Origin Token	Ethereum	0.521	0.521033	+0.01%	0.534	+2.50%	0.0244	✓	1.28	2.0M	2022-01-15
PORTO	FC Porto	Binance Smart Chain	3.3204	3.3205	+0.00%	3.3546	+1.03%	0.0100	✓	1.19	2.6M	2022-01-15
KCS	KuCoin	native	20.08	20.0805	+0.00%	20.344	+1.31%	0.0128	✓	1.59	11.0M	2022-01-15
CVC	Civic	Ethereum	0.3291	0.329101	+0.00%	0.3345	+1.64%	0.0161	✓	1.02	397k	2022-01-15
CITY	Manchester City Fan Token	Solana	10.52	10.5195	-0.00%	10.66	+1.33%	0.0131	✗	0.75	955k	2022-01-15
ASM	Assemble AI	Ethereum	0.08072	0.080713	-0.01%	0.08027	-0.56%	0.0058	✓	1.42	2.6M	2022-01-15
ENJ	Enjin Coin	Ethereum	2.415	2.4143	-0.03%	2.458	+1.78%	0.0177	✗	1.10	2.0M	2022-01-15
OXT	Orchid Protocol	Ethereum	0.3321	0.332	-0.03%	0.3248	-2.20%	0.0221	✓	1.28	2.2M	2022-01-15
AVAX	Avalanche	Avalanche	90.41	90.3813	-0.03%	93.08	+2.95%	0.0292	✗	1.12	108.4M	2022-01-15
API3	Api3	Ethereum	3.92	3.9187	-0.03%	5.09	+29.85%	0.2614	✗	0.80	471k	2022-01-15
SUPER	SuperVerse	Ethereum	1.09	1.0896	-0.04%	1.12	+2.75%	0.0272	✗	1.91	1.6M	2022-01-15
LPT	Livepeer	Ethereum	36.25	36.2314	-0.05%	36.22	-0.08%	0.0006	✓	1.65	2.7M	2022-01-15
DOT	Polkadot	Polkadot	27.76	27.741	-0.07%	27.64	-0.43%	0.0039	✓	1.32	64.3M	2022-01-15
CELL	Cellframe	Ethereum	1.0647	1.0639	-0.07%	1.0618	-0.27%	0.0022	✓	1.01	108k	2022-01-15
XTZ	Tezos	Tezos	4.285	4.2814	-0.08%	4.282	-0.07%	0.0001	✓	1.35	4.3M	2022-01-15
LUNA	Terra	Terra 2	81.47	81.3991	-0.09%	87.55	+7.46%	0.0727	✗	1.00	7.4M	2022-01-15
CTSI	Cartesi	Ethereum	0.7145	0.713777	-0.10%	0.677	-5.25%	0.0531	✓	1.38	2.7M	2022-01-15
GITCOIN	GITCOIN		10.866	10.854	-0.11%	11.158	+2.69%	0.0276	✗	0.14	44k	2022-01-15
ICP	Internet Computer	Ethereum	32.54	32.4984	-0.13%	32.55	+0.03%	0.0013	✗	1.39	34.3M	2022-01-15
LINK	Chainlink	Ethereum	25.74	25.7042	-0.14%	25.19	-2.14%	0.0204	✓	1.13	74.2M	2022-01-15
KNC	Kyber Network Crystal	Ethereum	1.4198	1.4177	-0.15%	1.5259	+7.47%	0.0734	✗	0.86	922k	2022-01-15
BICO	Biconomy	Ethereum	3.62	3.6142	-0.16%	3.55	-1.93%	0.0182	✓	1.25	8.5M	2022-01-15
SANTOS	Santos FC Fan Token	Binance Smart Chain	3.372	3.3661	-0.17%	3.34	-0.95%	0.0081	✓	1.73	1.2M	2022-01-15
CWEB	Coinweb	Ethereum	0.083638	0.083485	-0.18%	0.087032	+4.06%	0.0414	✗	1.00	2.4M	2022-01-15
SUSHI	Sushi	Ethereum	7.03	7.0125	-0.25%	7.04	+0.14%	0.0037	✗	1.28	17.7M	2022-01-15
YFI	yearn.finance	Ethereum	32,239.49	32,146.83	-0.29%	33,487.36	+3.87%	0.0407	✗	0.67	26.4M	2022-01-15
GTC	Gitcoin	Ethereum	10.98	10.9473	-0.30%	11.13	+1.37%	0.0165	✗	0.21	2.8M	2022-01-15
POWR	Powerledger	Ethereum	0.6272	0.624834	-0.38%	0.6358	+1.37%	0.0172	✗	1.38	736k	2022-01-15
METRONOME	METRONOME		4.1356	4.1191	-0.40%	4.1369	+0.03%	0.0042	✗	0.70	2,257	2022-01-15
CRV	Curve DAO	Ethereum	5.35	5.3272	-0.43%	5.28	-1.31%	0.0091	✓	1.37	32.4M	2022-01-15
ATOM	Cosmos Hub	Cosmos	40.44	40.2506	-0.47%	39.16	-3.17%	0.0276	✓	0.94	86.7M	2022-01-15
BFC	Bifrost	Ethereum	0.22239	0.219534	-1.28%	0.20848	-6.25%	0.0519	✓	1.57	5,360	2022-01-15
DUSK	DUSK	Ethereum	0.9605	0.943035	-1.82%	0.8963	-6.68%	0.0511	✓	1.73	38.7M	2022-01-15

Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.