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2022-01-14 · +1d

gru_s4 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 139 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.2083
139 of 139 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+3.82%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
36.0%
in alpha space · 33.8% on raw price
BTC over horizon
+0.02%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (139 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▾pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
SPELLSpellEthereum0.014340.014363+0.16%0.01441+0.49%0.0029✓2.3726.1M2022-01-15
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.97790.979324+0.15%0.9833+0.55%0.0039✓1.013.0M2022-01-15
LCXLCXEthereum0.13920.139331+0.09%0.1398+0.43%0.0031✓1.282.4M2022-01-15
LRCLoopringEthereum1.47071.4717+0.07%1.4232-3.23%0.0338✗1.911.4M2022-01-15
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum2.922.9203+0.01%3.25+11.30%0.1067✓1.263.1M2022-01-15
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash385.65385.66+0.00%390.86+1.35%0.0132✓1.027.6M2022-01-15
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum73.773.691-0.01%75.35+2.24%0.0221✗1.076.2M2022-01-15
SOLSolanaSolana146.17146.1334-0.03%147.78+1.10%0.0110✗1.13177.1M2022-01-15
RADRadworksEthereum7.927.9165-0.04%8.39+5.93%0.0579✗0.881.1M2022-01-15
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.8531.8522-0.05%1.875+1.19%0.0121✗1.152.2M2022-01-15
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.17980.179717-0.05%0.1806+0.44%0.0047✗0.91432k2022-01-15
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain1.0551.0545-0.05%1.074+1.80%0.0181✗0.972.2M2022-01-15
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum26.2826.266-0.05%26.68+1.52%0.0153✗1.844.1M2022-01-15
AUCTIONBounceEthereum20.2920.2776-0.06%20.62+1.63%0.0166✗1.05958k2022-01-15
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum7.7577.7521-0.06%8.117+4.64%0.0459✗0.69192k2022-01-15
UNIUniswapEthereum15.8715.8589-0.07%16.49+3.91%0.0388✗1.3012.4M2022-01-15
BELBella ProtocolEthereum1.3081.3071-0.07%1.324+1.22%0.0126✗1.352.7M2022-01-15
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.0284310.028409-0.08%0.028908+1.68%0.0172✗1.035.7M2022-01-15
TRXTRONTron0.0676580.067602-0.08%0.068548+1.32%0.0137✗0.96552k2022-01-15
TRACOriginTrailEthereum1.03051.0296-0.08%1.0846+5.25%0.0518✗1.401.5M2022-01-15
FILFilecoinFilecoin29.7229.6952-0.08%29.69-0.10%0.0004✓1.0915.5M2022-01-15
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche90.4190.3342-0.08%93.08+2.95%0.0297✗1.18108.4M2022-01-15
BTCBitcoinBitcoin43,090.7243,054.48-0.08%43,098.20+0.02%0.0008✓1.00679.0M2022-01-15
XVSVenusEthereum1413.9882-0.08%14.16+1.14%0.0120✗1.143.1M2022-01-15
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.080720.080651-0.09%0.08027-0.56%0.0050✓1.422.6M2022-01-15
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.0790.078932-0.09%0.0756-4.30%0.0433✓1.0027.8M2022-01-15
XVGVergenative0.013890.013877-0.09%0.01388-0.07%0.0000✓1.242.0M2022-01-15
AAVEAaveEthereum224.05223.8458-0.09%238.63+6.51%0.0638✗1.1817.6M2022-01-15
ARPAARPAEthereum0.08650.086415-0.10%0.0869+0.46%0.0054✗1.401.2M2022-01-15
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.07070.070628-0.10%0.07028-0.59%0.0052✓1.2316.4M2022-01-15
SNXSynthetixEthereum5.225.2147-0.10%5.28+1.15%0.0122✗1.183.3M2022-01-15
ETHEthereumEthereum3,310.453,306.93-0.11%3,328.12+0.53%0.0062✗1.07556.2M2022-01-15
COTICOTIEthereum0.3350.334642-0.11%0.3416+1.97%0.0203✗1.513.8M2022-01-15
CHZChilizEthereum0.26680.266496-0.11%0.2669+0.04%0.0013✗1.334.0M2022-01-15
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana7.917.901-0.11%8.02+1.39%0.0148✗0.63680k2022-01-15
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.7482050.747329-0.12%0.757762+1.28%0.0137✗1.142.5M2022-01-15
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV113.04112.907-0.12%112.76-0.25%0.0015✓0.962.2M2022-01-15
UOSUltraEthereum1.29881.2972-0.12%1.3528+4.16%0.0418✗1.053.0M2022-01-15
QTUMQtumQtum7.84427.8345-0.12%8.3025+5.84%0.0578✗1.43263k2022-01-15
XECeCashnative0.000097020.000096896-0.13%0.00010109+4.20%0.0422✗1.016.5M2022-01-15
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana6.686.6714-0.13%6.7+0.30%0.0042✗0.66602k2022-01-15
CTKShentuOsmosis1.5091.507-0.13%1.538+1.92%0.0201✗1.374.4M2022-01-15
DOTPolkadotPolkadot27.7627.7229-0.13%27.64-0.43%0.0032✓1.3564.3M2022-01-15
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.05570.055625-0.13%0.0544-2.33%0.0225✓1.371.5M2022-01-15
CBKCobakEthereum2.8572.8531-0.14%2.843-0.49%0.0037✓0.9026k2022-01-15
XTZTezosTezos4.2854.2791-0.14%4.282-0.07%0.0004✓1.374.3M2022-01-15
SUSHISushiEthereum7.037.0202-0.14%7.04+0.14%0.0026✗1.2917.7M2022-01-15
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.57920.578356-0.15%0.5948+2.69%0.0278✗1.3012.2M2022-01-15
DEXEDeXeEthereum9.849.825-0.15%9.81-0.30%0.0015✓-0.021.5M2022-01-15
IMXImmutableEthereum3.553.5445-0.16%3.61+1.69%0.0181✗1.392.2M2022-01-15
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.016660.016634-0.16%0.01703+2.22%0.0234✗0.7324k2022-01-15
AMPAmpEthereum0.041110.041045-0.16%0.04139+0.68%0.0082✗0.918.4M2022-01-15
NANOnanopayBase3.15113.146-0.16%3.1231-0.89%0.0075✓1.14699k2022-01-15
XYMSymbolnative0.19290.19258-0.17%0.1939+0.52%0.0067✗0.68464k2022-01-15
RLCiExec RLCEthereum2.772.7654-0.17%2.76-0.36%0.0022✓1.323.2M2022-01-15
ZENHorizenBase53.853.7083-0.17%55.11+2.43%0.0255✗1.49667k2022-01-15
LTCLitecoinLitecoin144.84144.5932-0.17%147.73+2.00%0.0212✗1.3732.2M2022-01-15
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum1.381.3776-0.17%1.38+0.00%0.0014✓1.67569k2022-01-15
DKAdKargoEthereum0.109330.109139-0.17%0.11024+0.83%0.0098✗1.1423k2022-01-15
MOVRMoonriverBase157.2002156.9213-0.18%154.3287-1.83%0.0169✓1.12515k2022-01-15
QNTQuantEthereum165.39165.0951-0.18%167.6+1.34%0.0149✗0.936.9M2022-01-15
COMPCompoundEthereum189.59189.2484-0.18%192.18+1.37%0.0152✗1.16149k2022-01-15
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.5210.52005-0.18%0.534+2.50%0.0262✗1.302.0M2022-01-15
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum43,294.1043,215.11-0.18%42,685.80-1.41%0.0125✓0.9814k2022-01-15
STORJStorjEthereum1.60691.6039-0.18%1.6962+5.56%0.0558✗0.88502k2022-01-15
NMRNumeraireEthereum28.4228.3667-0.19%28.79+1.30%0.0147✗0.71360k2022-01-15
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana3.8453.8377-0.19%3.846+0.03%0.0020✗0.71526k2022-01-15
LEOLEO TokenEthereum3.76993.7625-0.20%3.7698-0.00%0.0020✓-0.06364k2022-01-15
GTGateEthereum6.81286.7989-0.20%7.09+4.07%0.0418✗0.863.5M2022-01-15
KCSKuCoinnative20.0820.0387-0.21%20.344+1.31%0.0148✗1.6111.0M2022-01-15
TRBTellor TributesEthereum29.729.6361-0.22%30.61+3.06%0.0321✗1.541.0M2022-01-15
IOTAIOTAIOTA1.12231.1199-0.22%1.1257+0.30%0.0050✗1.0023.2M2022-01-15
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana14.9614.927-0.22%15.07+0.74%0.0094✗0.681.1M2022-01-15
HIVEHivenative1.311.3071-0.22%1.3273+1.32%0.0151✗1.404.0M2022-01-15
MANADecentralandEthereum2.9552.9483-0.23%2.9986+1.48%0.0167✗1.025.2M2022-01-15
UMAUMAEthereum8.398.3709-0.23%8.47+0.95%0.0116✗0.974.3M2022-01-15
OGOG Fan TokenSolana4.2694.2593-0.23%4.222-1.10%0.0089✓0.801.1M2022-01-15
PHAPHALAEthereum0.3660.365155-0.23%0.379+3.55%0.0371✗0.7643k2022-01-15
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana4.8674.8557-0.23%4.944+1.58%0.0179✗0.68469k2022-01-15
KSMKusamaHydration281.84281.1832-0.23%289.7+2.79%0.0296✗1.181.4M2022-01-15
1INCH1INCHEthereum2.382.3744-0.24%2.39+0.42%0.0064✗1.062.9M2022-01-15
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum3.193.1823-0.24%3.19+0.00%0.0023✓0.99918k2022-01-15
MASKMask NetworkEthereum9.59.4769-0.24%9.46-0.42%0.0019✓0.711.0M2022-01-15
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0596540.059508-0.24%0.057912-2.92%0.0274✓1.207.5M2022-01-15
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.0150.014962-0.25%0.01503+0.20%0.0043✗1.312.2M2022-01-15
ETCEthereum Classicnative31.9831.8983-0.26%32.86+2.75%0.0295✗1.062.9M2022-01-15
GITCOINGITCOIN10.86610.8382-0.26%11.158+2.69%0.0291✗0.1144k2022-01-15
LSKLiskEthereum2.09242.0871-0.26%2.089-0.16%0.0007✓1.1195k2022-01-15
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.71070.708829-0.26%0.7349+3.41%0.0359✗1.283.7M2022-01-15
ZECZcashZcash142.55142.1727-0.26%144.36+1.27%0.0150✗1.3010.9M2022-01-15
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand1.38221.3785-0.27%1.3785-0.27%0.0002✓1.1730.5M2022-01-15
DODODODOEthereum0.8020.799839-0.27%0.81+1.00%0.0124✗1.498.0M2022-01-15
SCSiacoinnative0.013860.013821-0.28%0.01405+1.37%0.0163✗0.99656k2022-01-15
BATBasic AttentionEthereum1.05261.0496-0.29%1.0653+1.21%0.0146✗1.78974k2022-01-15
SUNSun TokenTron0.020490.020431-0.29%0.020821+1.62%0.0187✗1.232.5M2022-01-15
XEMNEMnative0.11920.118853-0.29%0.1187-0.42%0.0015✓1.0557k2022-01-15
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain4.34634.3336-0.29%4.3614+0.35%0.0062✗1.264.1M2022-01-15
API3Api3Ethereum3.923.9082-0.30%5.09+29.85%0.2641✗0.80471k2022-01-15
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana10.5210.4881-0.30%10.66+1.33%0.0161✗0.75955k2022-01-15
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum32.5432.4398-0.31%32.55+0.03%0.0031✗1.4134.3M2022-01-15
XLMStellarStellar0.2653750.264539-0.32%0.259056-2.38%0.0211✓1.0424.2M2022-01-15
DASHDashDash141.12140.6729-0.32%141.33+0.15%0.0045✗1.202.8M2022-01-15
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.33210.33101-0.33%0.3248-2.20%0.0192✓1.282.2M2022-01-15
LPTLivepeerEthereum36.2536.1298-0.33%36.22-0.08%0.0022✓1.662.7M2022-01-15
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana8.048.0129-0.34%8.04+0.00%0.0032✓0.77737k2022-01-15
DYDXdYdXCosmos7.6737.6462-0.35%7.871+2.58%0.0287✗1.30271k2022-01-15
ADACardanoCardano1.29311.2885-0.36%1.2922-0.07%0.0027✓1.1595.6M2022-01-15
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.1130.112584-0.37%0.1141+0.97%0.0132✗1.12303k2022-01-15
CVCCivicEthereum0.32910.32786-0.38%0.3345+1.64%0.0199✗1.02397k2022-01-15
YFIyearn.financeEthereum32,239.4932,118.00-0.38%33,487.36+3.87%0.0416✗0.6726.4M2022-01-15
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000030840.000030724-0.38%0.00003082-0.06%0.0029✓1.351.8M2022-01-15
MINAMina Protocolnative3.463.4469-0.38%3.5+1.16%0.0151✗1.09808k2022-01-15
BICOBiconomyEthereum3.623.6061-0.38%3.55-1.93%0.0159✓1.258.5M2022-01-15
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum6.03526.0116-0.39%6.757+11.96%0.1167✗1.21457k2022-01-15
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum1.091.0856-0.40%1.12+2.75%0.0308✗1.911.6M2022-01-15
LINKChainlinkEthereum25.7425.634-0.41%25.19-2.14%0.0177✓1.1974.2M2022-01-15
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.093360.092975-0.41%0.09328-0.09%0.0031✓0.7352k2022-01-15
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum2.4152.4047-0.43%2.458+1.78%0.0217✗1.122.0M2022-01-15
GTCGitcoinEthereum10.9810.931-0.45%11.13+1.37%0.0180✗0.182.8M2022-01-15
BANDBandEthereum5.75.6744-0.45%5.71+0.18%0.0061✗1.102.3M2022-01-15
LUNATerraTerra 281.4781.0999-0.45%87.55+7.46%0.0764✗1.007.4M2022-01-15
SKLSKALEEthereum0.17540.174599-0.46%0.1719-2.00%0.0158✓1.264.2M2022-01-15
CELLCellframeEthereum1.06471.0596-0.48%1.0618-0.27%0.0019✓1.01108k2022-01-15
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.41981.4129-0.49%1.5259+7.47%0.0768✗0.87922k2022-01-15
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.08130.080844-0.56%0.0805-0.98%0.0045✓1.1119k2022-01-15
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0836380.083142-0.59%0.087032+4.06%0.0456✗1.002.4M2022-01-15
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain3.32043.3001-0.61%3.3546+1.03%0.0162✗1.192.6M2022-01-15
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.3723.351-0.62%3.34-0.95%0.0036✓1.731.2M2022-01-15
XMRMoneroMonero229.78228.3262-0.63%218.2-5.04%0.0455✓0.993.1M2022-01-15
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.053420.053079-0.64%0.05243-1.85%0.0125✓1.1019k2022-01-15
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos40.4440.1747-0.66%39.16-3.17%0.0257✓0.9586.7M2022-01-15
CRVCurve DAOEthereum5.355.314-0.67%5.28-1.31%0.0067✓1.4032.4M2022-01-15
FTTFTXEthereum44.7344.3816-0.78%46+2.84%0.0356✗1.1121.6M2022-01-15
CTSICartesiEthereum0.71450.70878-0.80%0.677-5.25%0.0461✓1.382.7M2022-01-15
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.62720.620952-1.00%0.6358+1.37%0.0234✗1.38736k2022-01-15
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.1833170.181203-1.15%0.184596+0.70%0.0184✗1.105.4M2022-01-15
METRONOMEMETRONOME4.13564.081-1.32%4.1369+0.03%0.0135✗0.762,2572022-01-15
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.96050.941997-1.93%0.8963-6.68%0.0500✓1.7638.7M2022-01-15
BFCBifrostEthereum0.222390.216881-2.48%0.20848-6.25%0.0398✓1.595,3602022-01-15
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.