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2022-01-13 · +1d

gru_s4 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 139 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
-0.0253
139 of 139 tokens assessed
long-short decile
-1.40%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
41.0%
in alpha space · 21.0% on raw price
BTC over horizon
+1.20%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (139 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▾pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
SPELLSpellEthereum0.014440.014473+0.23%0.01434-0.69%0.0376✗2.3926.8M2022-01-14
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum2.792.7944+0.16%2.92+4.66%0.0293✓1.243.2M2022-01-14
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon1.0191.0203+0.13%0.9779-4.03%0.0545✗1.023.1M2022-01-14
LCXLCXEthereum0.13880.138969+0.12%0.1392+0.29%0.0136✗1.282.4M2022-01-14
LRCLoopringEthereum1.49531.4967+0.09%1.4707-1.65%0.0404✗1.931.4M2022-01-14
AAVEAaveEthereum209.41209.5278+0.06%224.05+6.99%0.0531✓1.1717.6M2022-01-14
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash377.35377.5043+0.04%385.65+2.20%0.0093✓1.018.1M2022-01-14
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain1.0271.0272+0.02%1.055+2.73%0.0152✓0.972.2M2022-01-14
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum73.1273.1301+0.01%73.7+0.79%0.0050✗1.076.3M2022-01-14
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum25.6925.6904+0.00%26.28+2.30%0.0008✓1.844.3M2022-01-14
AUCTIONBounceEthereum19.7919.7892-0.00%20.29+2.53%0.0126✗1.051.0M2022-01-14
DOTPolkadotPolkadot25.8225.8189-0.00%27.76+7.51%0.0566✗1.3366.7M2022-01-14
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.07930.079291-0.01%0.079-0.38%0.0156✓1.0028.0M2022-01-14
FILFilecoinFilecoin28.5128.5055-0.02%29.72+4.24%0.0289✗1.0816.0M2022-01-14
SOLSolanaSolana146.24146.2096-0.02%146.17-0.05%0.0137✓1.13185.4M2022-01-14
UNIUniswapEthereum15.4615.456-0.03%15.87+2.65%0.0110✗1.3012.4M2022-01-14
ARPAARPAEthereum0.08270.082676-0.03%0.0865+4.59%0.0287✗1.391.2M2022-01-14
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV109.36109.3264-0.03%113.04+3.37%0.0221✗0.952.2M2022-01-14
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.8231.8224-0.03%1.853+1.65%0.0030✗1.152.2M2022-01-14
ETCEthereum Classicnative30.2830.2676-0.04%31.98+5.61%0.0425✗1.052.9M2022-01-14
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.1790.178926-0.04%0.1798+0.45%0.0060✓0.91439k2022-01-14
TRACOriginTrailEthereum1.01371.0133-0.04%1.0305+1.66%0.0002✓1.401.5M2022-01-14
SNXSynthetixEthereum5.085.0776-0.05%5.22+2.76%0.0137✗1.183.3M2022-01-14
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche89.7689.715-0.05%90.41+0.72%0.0064✓1.18109.3M2022-01-14
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.0285460.028531-0.05%0.028431-0.40%0.0157✓1.035.9M2022-01-14
RADRadworksEthereum8.048.0356-0.05%7.92-1.49%0.0250✓0.881.1M2022-01-14
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum7.7587.7537-0.05%7.757-0.01%0.0078✓0.69199k2022-01-14
LTCLitecoinLitecoin136.82136.7423-0.06%144.84+5.86%0.0414✗1.3632.2M2022-01-14
BELBella ProtocolEthereum1.3011.3003-0.06%1.308+0.54%0.0102✓1.362.8M2022-01-14
XVSVenusEthereum13.8513.8419-0.06%14+1.08%0.0022✓1.143.2M2022-01-14
TRXTRONTron0.0661580.066119-0.06%0.067658+2.27%0.0116✗0.96552k2022-01-14
BTCBitcoinBitcoin42,581.6542,555.29-0.06%43,090.72+1.20%0.0006✗1.00730.7M2022-01-14
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.06950.069454-0.07%0.0707+1.73%0.0032✗1.2316.9M2022-01-14
XVGVergenative0.013770.013761-0.07%0.01389+0.87%0.0054✓1.242.1M2022-01-14
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.05470.054663-0.07%0.0557+1.83%0.0025✗1.371.5M2022-01-14
CBKCobakEthereum2.8042.802-0.07%2.857+1.89%0.0087✗0.9026k2022-01-14
API3Api3Ethereum3.643.6374-0.07%3.92+7.69%0.0658✗0.76471k2022-01-14
XTZTezosTezos4.11614.113-0.07%4.285+4.10%0.0248✗1.364.4M2022-01-14
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.078970.078909-0.08%0.08072+2.22%0.0058✗1.422.6M2022-01-14
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.016230.016217-0.08%0.01666+2.65%0.0183✗0.7225k2022-01-14
CTKShentuOsmosis1.4511.4497-0.09%1.509+4.00%0.0239✗1.364.7M2022-01-14
ETHEthereumEthereum3,241.883,239.02-0.09%3,310.45+2.12%0.0091✗1.07560.6M2022-01-14
QTUMQtumQtum7.56097.5536-0.10%7.8442+3.75%0.0207✗1.43268k2022-01-14
CHZChilizEthereum0.2640.263745-0.10%0.2668+1.06%0.0043✓1.334.2M2022-01-14
XECeCashnative0.000094970.000094876-0.10%0.00009702+2.16%0.0103✗1.016.6M2022-01-14
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.3110.310692-0.10%0.3321+6.78%0.0515✗1.272.2M2022-01-14
COTICOTIEthereum0.33080.330457-0.10%0.335+1.27%0.0044✓1.523.8M2022-01-14
XYMSymbolnative0.19240.192199-0.10%0.1929+0.26%0.0044✓0.68441k2022-01-14
DEXEDeXeEthereum9.589.57-0.10%9.84+2.71%0.0281✗-0.021.6M2022-01-14
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.7374510.736626-0.11%0.748205+1.46%0.0020✗1.142.8M2022-01-14
IMXImmutableEthereum3.493.486-0.11%3.55+1.72%0.0018✗1.382.2M2022-01-14
SKLSKALEEthereum0.15670.156517-0.12%0.1754+11.93%0.0991✗1.244.2M2022-01-14
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.57110.570407-0.12%0.5792+1.42%0.0002✓1.3012.5M2022-01-14
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum1.371.3683-0.12%1.38+0.73%0.0114✓1.67582k2022-01-14
SUSHISushiEthereum7.037.0209-0.13%7.03+0.00%0.0141✓1.2917.7M2022-01-14
RLCiExec RLCEthereum2.732.7264-0.13%2.77+1.47%0.0001✓1.323.2M2022-01-14
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana7.927.9093-0.14%7.91-0.13%0.0074✓0.63694k2022-01-14
AMPAmpEthereum0.040680.040625-0.14%0.04111+1.06%0.0010✓0.918.4M2022-01-14
UOSUltraEthereum1.29591.2941-0.14%1.2988+0.22%0.0089✓1.053.2M2022-01-14
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum42,708.5042,644.60-0.15%43,294.10+1.37%0.0034✗0.9814k2022-01-14
STORJStorjEthereum1.57491.5725-0.15%1.6069+2.03%0.0112✗0.88558k2022-01-14
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.5120.511203-0.16%0.521+1.76%0.0036✗1.302.1M2022-01-14
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana6.716.6994-0.16%6.68-0.45%0.0108✓0.66643k2022-01-14
SUNSun TokenTron0.019260.019229-0.16%0.02049+6.39%0.0490✗1.222.5M2022-01-14
NMRNumeraireEthereum27.7227.6754-0.16%28.42+2.53%0.0181✗0.71360k2022-01-14
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana3.7833.7767-0.17%3.845+1.64%0.0095✗0.70526k2022-01-14
LEOLEO TokenEthereum3.80323.7967-0.17%3.7699-0.88%0.0064✓-0.06364k2022-01-14
KCSKuCoinnative19.58519.5515-0.17%20.08+2.53%0.0075✗1.6111.7M2022-01-14
OGOG Fan TokenSolana4.184.1728-0.17%4.269+2.13%0.0133✗0.801.1M2022-01-14
HIVEHivenative1.29021.2879-0.18%1.31+1.53%0.0004✓1.404.2M2022-01-14
NANOnanopayBase3.03953.034-0.18%3.1511+3.67%0.0243✗1.14699k2022-01-14
QNTQuantEthereum165.57165.2702-0.18%165.39-0.11%0.0104✓0.937.0M2022-01-14
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.05770.057591-0.19%0.059654+3.39%0.0210✗1.207.5M2022-01-14
ZENHorizenBase55.9955.8835-0.19%53.8-3.91%0.0559✓1.50686k2022-01-14
IOTAIOTAIOTA1.10861.1065-0.19%1.1223+1.24%0.0023✗1.0023.2M2022-01-14
TRBTellor TributesEthereum29.329.2428-0.20%29.7+1.37%0.0028✓1.541.0M2022-01-14
MANADecentralandEthereum2.89362.8879-0.20%2.955+2.12%0.0108✗1.025.3M2022-01-14
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.66450.663166-0.20%0.7107+6.95%0.0541✗1.274.0M2022-01-14
DKAdKargoEthereum0.108760.108541-0.20%0.10933+0.52%0.0063✓1.1425k2022-01-14
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana14.7114.6804-0.20%14.96+1.70%0.0108✗0.681.1M2022-01-14
UMAUMAEthereum8.38.2826-0.21%8.39+1.08%0.0014✓0.974.4M2022-01-14
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.10890.108664-0.22%0.113+3.76%0.0259✗1.11303k2022-01-14
PHAPHALAEthereum0.3570.356213-0.22%0.366+2.52%0.0181✗0.7643k2022-01-14
DODODODOEthereum0.770.768289-0.22%0.802+4.16%0.0253✗1.488.0M2022-01-14
KSMKusamaHydration266.15265.5584-0.22%281.84+5.90%0.0455✗1.181.4M2022-01-14
MASKMask NetworkEthereum9.549.5184-0.23%9.5-0.42%0.0104✓0.711.1M2022-01-14
COMPCompoundEthereum190189.5656-0.23%189.59-0.22%0.0138✓1.17153k2022-01-14
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.014820.014785-0.23%0.015+1.21%0.0012✓1.312.2M2022-01-14
MOVRMoonriverBase161160.6224-0.23%157.2002-2.36%0.0350✓1.13540k2022-01-14
GTGateEthereum6.77336.7574-0.23%6.8128+0.58%0.0021✓0.863.8M2022-01-14
SCSiacoinnative0.013480.013448-0.24%0.01386+2.82%0.0184✗0.99686k2022-01-14
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum3.143.1326-0.24%3.19+1.59%0.0064✗0.99923k2022-01-14
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana4.7884.7755-0.26%4.867+1.65%0.0110✗0.67474k2022-01-14
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum31.3931.3079-0.26%32.54+3.66%0.0219✗1.4133.4M2022-01-14
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.092470.092227-0.26%0.09336+0.96%0.0036✗0.7352k2022-01-14
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000029680.000029602-0.26%0.00003084+3.91%0.0250✗1.341.7M2022-01-14
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand1.36161.358-0.27%1.3822+1.51%0.0037✗1.1730.5M2022-01-14
BATBasic AttentionEthereum1.03371.0309-0.27%1.0526+1.83%0.0004✓1.79986k2022-01-14
GITCOINGITCOIN11.09111.0607-0.27%10.866-2.03%0.0191✓0.1250k2022-01-14
DASHDashDash141.37140.9717-0.28%141.12-0.18%0.0133✓1.212.8M2022-01-14
ZECZcashZcash143.25142.8453-0.28%142.55-0.49%0.0176✓1.3010.9M2022-01-14
ADACardanoCardano1.23281.2293-0.28%1.2931+4.89%0.0370✗1.1495.6M2022-01-14
1INCH1INCHEthereum2.352.3432-0.29%2.38+1.28%0.0030✗1.063.1M2022-01-14
MINAMina Protocolnative3.283.2704-0.29%3.46+5.49%0.0436✗1.08808k2022-01-14
XEMNEMnative0.11580.115459-0.29%0.1192+2.94%0.0194✗1.0557k2022-01-14
LSKLiskEthereum2.08772.0815-0.30%2.0924+0.23%0.0080✓1.1194k2022-01-14
LPTLivepeerEthereum35.7335.6237-0.30%36.25+1.46%0.0023✓1.662.7M2022-01-14
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana10.3410.3089-0.30%10.52+1.74%0.0113✗0.75994k2022-01-14
CVCCivicEthereum0.32040.319409-0.31%0.3291+2.72%0.0178✗1.02397k2022-01-14
XLMStellarStellar0.2694070.268571-0.31%0.265375-1.50%0.0244✓1.0424.2M2022-01-14
METRONOMEMETRONOME3.91533.9029-0.32%4.1356+5.63%0.0490✗0.752,2572022-01-14
YFIyearn.financeEthereum31,460.4531,354.68-0.34%32,239.49+2.48%0.0199✗0.6626.4M2022-01-14
LINKChainlinkEthereum24.8824.7908-0.36%25.74+3.46%0.0235✗1.1974.3M2022-01-14
BFCBifrostEthereum0.18010.179453-0.36%0.22239+23.48%0.1960✗1.565,3602022-01-14
FTTFTXEthereum40.9340.7807-0.36%44.73+9.28%0.0795✗1.0921.5M2022-01-14
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain4.34434.3283-0.37%4.3463+0.05%0.0108✓1.264.1M2022-01-14
CELLCellframeEthereum10.996208-0.38%1.0647+6.47%0.0550✗0.97110k2022-01-14
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum5.93555.9126-0.39%6.0352+1.68%0.0061✗1.21457k2022-01-14
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum2.3712.3618-0.39%2.415+1.86%0.0090✗1.122.0M2022-01-14
DYDXdYdXCosmos7.6117.5811-0.39%7.673+0.81%0.0034✓1.30291k2022-01-14
LUNATerraTerra 277.8577.543-0.39%81.47+4.65%0.0375✗1.007.4M2022-01-14
BICOBiconomyEthereum3.723.7052-0.40%3.62-2.69%0.0383✓1.269.0M2022-01-14
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana8.027.9879-0.40%8.04+0.25%0.0026✓0.77767k2022-01-14
GTCGitcoinEthereum11.0410.9943-0.41%10.98-0.54%0.0034✓0.182.8M2022-01-14
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum1.081.0748-0.48%1.09+0.93%0.0088✓1.911.7M2022-01-14
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.07920.078821-0.48%0.0813+2.65%0.0178✗1.1119k2022-01-14
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.38221.3756-0.48%1.4198+2.72%0.0214✗0.86922k2022-01-14
CRVCurve DAOEthereum5.035.0049-0.50%5.35+6.36%0.0501✗1.3931.8M2022-01-14
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.1715880.170727-0.50%0.183317+6.84%0.0582✗1.095.4M2022-01-14
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain3.2493.2325-0.51%3.3204+2.20%0.0127✗1.192.6M2022-01-14
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0815030.081077-0.52%0.083638+2.62%0.0192✗1.002.6M2022-01-14
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos37.6237.4174-0.54%40.44+7.50%0.0666✗0.9486.7M2022-01-14
XMRMoneroMonero223.84222.4012-0.64%229.78+2.65%0.0209✗0.993.0M2022-01-14
BANDBandEthereum5.845.8016-0.66%5.7-2.40%0.0309✓1.112.4M2022-01-14
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.3553.329-0.78%3.372+0.51%0.0078✓1.741.2M2022-01-14
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.054210.053567-1.19%0.05342-1.46%0.0158✓1.1019k2022-01-14
CTSICartesiEthereum0.70590.696903-1.27%0.7145+1.22%0.0085✓1.382.7M2022-01-14
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.64180.632168-1.50%0.6272-2.27%0.0245✓1.40736k2022-01-14
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.84020.827032-1.57%0.9605+14.32%0.1289✗1.7438.7M2022-01-14
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.