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2022-01-13 · +30d

gru_s4 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 139 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.1099
139 of 139 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+15.12%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
84.9%
in alpha space · 87.8% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-0.79%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (139 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▴pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.84020.737025-12.28%0.4544-45.92%0.4698✓1.7438.7M2022-02-12
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.64180.580957-9.48%0.5785-9.86%0.0068✓1.40736k2022-02-12
GTCGitcoinEthereum11.0410.1614-7.96%7.78-29.53%0.2656✓0.182.8M2022-02-12
BFCBifrostEthereum0.18010.166398-7.61%0.18496+2.70%0.1181✗1.565,3602022-02-12
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0815030.075698-7.12%0.028632-64.87%0.9643✓1.002.6M2022-02-12
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos37.6235.0116-6.93%27.07-28.04%0.2498✓0.9486.7M2022-02-12
YFIyearn.financeEthereum31,460.4529,381.97-6.61%23,131.85-26.47%0.2339✓0.6626.4M2022-02-12
CRVCurve DAOEthereum5.034.7028-6.50%2.87-42.94%0.4828✓1.3931.8M2022-02-12
METRONOMEMETRONOME3.91533.6636-6.43%3.527-9.92%0.0321✓0.752,2572022-02-12
CTSICartesiEthereum0.70590.660933-6.37%0.4604-34.78%0.3506✓1.382.7M2022-02-12
CVCCivicEthereum0.32040.300154-6.32%0.2852-10.99%0.0430✓1.02397k2022-02-12
BICOBiconomyEthereum3.723.4885-6.22%1.91-48.66%0.5924✓1.269.0M2022-02-12
HIVEHivenative1.29021.2153-5.80%1.052-18.46%0.1332✓1.404.2M2022-02-12
MASKMask NetworkEthereum9.549.0088-5.57%5.98-37.32%0.4041✓0.711.1M2022-02-12
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.07930.07497-5.46%0.0682-14.00%0.0867✓1.0028.0M2022-02-12
GITCOINGITCOIN11.09110.4948-5.38%7.781-29.84%0.2983✓0.1250k2022-02-12
CELLCellframeEthereum10.94745-5.25%1.2471+24.71%0.2825✗0.97110k2022-02-12
SPELLSpellEthereum0.014440.013697-5.14%0.00616-57.34%0.7802✓2.3926.8M2022-02-12
DEXEDeXeEthereum9.589.0914-5.10%7.93-17.22%0.1369✓-0.021.6M2022-02-12
API3Api3Ethereum3.643.4622-4.88%4.07+11.81%0.1677✗0.76471k2022-02-12
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum2.792.6549-4.84%1.92-31.18%0.3143✓1.243.2M2022-02-12
BANDBandEthereum5.845.5597-4.80%4.27-26.88%0.2551✓1.112.4M2022-02-12
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.3553.1949-4.77%2.76-17.73%0.1325✓1.741.2M2022-02-12
DYDXdYdXCosmos7.6117.2549-4.68%6.939-8.83%0.0342✓1.30291k2022-02-12
LUNATerraTerra 277.8574.2514-4.62%51.96-33.26%0.3490✓1.007.4M2022-02-12
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum2.3712.2632-4.55%1.812-23.58%0.2135✓1.122.0M2022-02-12
BATBasic AttentionEthereum1.03370.986715-4.55%0.80694-21.94%0.1869✓1.79986k2022-02-12
SUSHISushiEthereum7.036.7104-4.55%4.15-40.97%0.4703✓1.2917.7M2022-02-12
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.38221.3195-4.53%1.8422+33.28%0.3405✗0.86922k2022-02-12
LPTLivepeerEthereum35.7334.1705-4.36%28.49-20.26%0.1686✓1.662.7M2022-02-12
LSKLiskEthereum2.08771.9976-4.32%1.7725-15.10%0.1107✓1.1194k2022-02-12
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand1.36161.3035-4.27%0.9188-32.52%0.3404✓1.1730.5M2022-02-12
LINKChainlinkEthereum24.8823.8414-4.17%15.97-35.81%0.3913✓1.1974.3M2022-02-12
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.5120.490665-4.17%0.37-27.73%0.2720✓1.302.1M2022-02-12
XMRMoneroMonero223.84214.5901-4.13%173.82-22.35%0.2029✓0.993.0M2022-02-12
MINAMina Protocolnative3.283.1465-4.07%2.5-23.78%0.2215✓1.08808k2022-02-12
ZENHorizenBase55.9953.7343-4.03%40.89-26.97%0.2612✓1.50686k2022-02-12
UOSUltraEthereum1.29591.2437-4.03%1.0443-19.41%0.1664✓1.053.2M2022-02-12
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.054210.052063-3.96%0.04235-21.88%0.1977✓1.1019k2022-02-12
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon1.0190.979373-3.89%0.6015-40.97%0.4794✓1.023.1M2022-02-12
MOVRMoonriverBase161154.8075-3.85%85.8439-46.68%0.5807✓1.13540k2022-02-12
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche89.7686.3233-3.83%81.34-9.38%0.0501✓1.18109.3M2022-02-12
IMXImmutableEthereum3.493.3568-3.82%2.3-34.10%0.3671✓1.382.2M2022-02-12
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000029680.00002855-3.81%0.0000292-1.62%0.0331✓1.341.7M2022-02-12
UMAUMAEthereum8.37.9854-3.79%6.32-23.86%0.2262✓0.974.4M2022-02-12
SCSiacoinnative0.013480.012995-3.60%0.01068-20.77%0.1883✓0.99686k2022-02-12
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum1.081.0413-3.58%0.94-12.96%0.0871✓1.911.7M2022-02-12
MANADecentralandEthereum2.89362.7932-3.47%2.9115+0.62%0.0496✗1.025.3M2022-02-12
ZECZcashZcash143.25138.3995-3.39%117.83-17.75%0.1506✓1.3010.9M2022-02-12
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain3.2493.1421-3.29%3.7974+16.88%0.1988✗1.192.6M2022-02-12
LEOLEO TokenEthereum3.80323.6788-3.27%5.9446+56.31%0.4794✗-0.06364k2022-02-12
STORJStorjEthereum1.57491.5234-3.27%1.1541-26.72%0.2706✓0.88558k2022-02-12
DASHDashDash141.37136.8579-3.19%104.19-26.30%0.2632✓1.212.8M2022-02-12
IOTAIOTAIOTA1.10861.0733-3.18%0.8744-21.13%0.1970✓1.0023.2M2022-02-12
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.07920.07671-3.14%0.0717-9.47%0.0588✓1.1119k2022-02-12
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum1.371.327-3.14%1.12-18.25%0.1563✓1.67582k2022-02-12
CBKCobakEthereum2.8042.7171-3.10%2.354-16.05%0.1363✓0.9026k2022-02-12
XLMStellarStellar0.2694070.261074-3.09%0.218218-19.00%0.1710✓1.0424.2M2022-02-12
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana10.3410.0253-3.04%11.03+6.67%0.1015✗0.75994k2022-02-12
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum31.3930.4492-3.00%20.07-36.06%0.4057✓1.4133.4M2022-02-12
DODODODOEthereum0.770.746996-2.99%0.514-33.25%0.3621✓1.488.0M2022-02-12
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.014820.014382-2.95%0.01276-13.90%0.1093✓1.312.2M2022-02-12
GTGateEthereum6.77336.5775-2.89%6.758-0.23%0.0339✗0.863.8M2022-02-12
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.10890.105771-2.87%0.0857-21.30%0.2016✓1.11303k2022-02-12
QNTQuantEthereum165.57160.9844-2.77%133.7-19.25%0.1783✓0.937.0M2022-02-12
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum7.7587.5436-2.76%5.916-23.74%0.2376✓0.69199k2022-02-12
RADRadworksEthereum8.047.8187-2.75%5.34-33.58%0.3743✓0.881.1M2022-02-12
ADACardanoCardano1.23281.1999-2.67%1.0596-14.05%0.1153✓1.1495.6M2022-02-12
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana14.7114.3337-2.56%18.05+22.71%0.2359✗0.681.1M2022-02-12
XEMNEMnative0.11580.112884-2.52%0.1086-6.22%0.0303✓1.0557k2022-02-12
KCSKuCoinnative19.58519.0993-2.48%19.111-2.42%0.0134✓1.6111.7M2022-02-12
CTKShentuOsmosis1.4511.4151-2.48%1.267-12.68%0.0997✓1.364.7M2022-02-12
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana3.7833.6895-2.47%3.162-16.42%0.1487✓0.70526k2022-02-12
TRBTellor TributesEthereum29.328.5808-2.45%22.54-23.07%0.2252✓1.541.0M2022-02-12
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain4.34434.2378-2.45%3.5079-19.25%0.1790✓1.264.1M2022-02-12
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana8.027.8304-2.36%6.67-16.83%0.1543✓0.77767k2022-02-12
FTTFTXEthereum40.9340.0081-2.25%44.18+7.94%0.1079✗1.0921.5M2022-02-12
XTZTezosTezos4.11614.0236-2.25%4.109-0.17%0.0318✗1.364.4M2022-02-12
CHZChilizEthereum0.2640.258213-2.19%0.2064-21.82%0.2134✓1.334.2M2022-02-12
ARPAARPAEthereum0.08270.080889-2.19%0.0956+15.60%0.1781✗1.391.2M2022-02-12
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum5.93555.8071-2.16%4.7989-19.15%0.1811✓1.21457k2022-02-12
AMPAmpEthereum0.040680.039801-2.16%0.03125-23.18%0.2346✓0.918.4M2022-02-12
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.0285460.027933-2.15%0.021888-23.32%0.2357✓1.035.9M2022-02-12
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV109.36107.0184-2.14%94.11-13.94%0.1210✓0.952.2M2022-02-12
NMRNumeraireEthereum27.7227.1288-2.13%30.19+8.91%0.1125✗0.71360k2022-02-12
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.016230.015884-2.13%0.01362-16.08%0.1481✓0.7225k2022-02-12
COTICOTIEthereum0.33080.323817-2.11%0.2838-14.21%0.1199✓1.523.8M2022-02-12
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.092470.090555-2.07%0.07609-17.71%0.1683✓0.7352k2022-02-12
DKAdKargoEthereum0.108760.106518-2.06%0.09377-13.78%0.1184✓1.1425k2022-02-12
SKLSKALEEthereum0.15670.153628-1.96%0.1393-11.10%0.0880✓1.244.2M2022-02-12
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.06950.068158-1.93%0.03381-51.35%0.6913✓1.2316.9M2022-02-12
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.05470.053645-1.93%0.0322-41.13%0.4995✓1.371.5M2022-02-12
AUCTIONBounceEthereum19.7919.4145-1.90%15.16-23.40%0.2391✓1.051.0M2022-02-12
XECeCashnative0.000094970.000093201-1.86%0.0000823-13.34%0.1164✓1.016.6M2022-02-12
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum3.143.0817-1.86%2.56-18.47%0.1776✓0.99923k2022-02-12
TRACOriginTrailEthereum1.01370.995146-1.83%0.6501-35.87%0.4146✓1.401.5M2022-02-12
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.7374510.724007-1.82%0.617618-16.25%0.1499✓1.142.8M2022-02-12
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.1790.175848-1.76%0.1672-6.59%0.0432✓0.91439k2022-02-12
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.66450.652864-1.75%0.562-15.43%0.1398✓1.274.0M2022-02-12
FILFilecoinFilecoin28.5128.0122-1.75%20.86-26.83%0.2862✓1.0816.0M2022-02-12
QTUMQtumQtum7.56097.4307-1.72%6.7389-10.87%0.0864✓1.43268k2022-02-12
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.3110.305685-1.71%0.2514-19.16%0.1854✓1.272.2M2022-02-12
KSMKusamaHydration266.15261.7031-1.67%166.09-37.60%0.4453✓1.181.4M2022-02-12
ETHEthereumEthereum3,241.883,188.86-1.64%2,919.99-9.93%0.0796✓1.07560.6M2022-02-12
LRCLoopringEthereum1.49531.4712-1.61%0.9401-37.13%0.4326✓1.931.4M2022-02-12
1INCH1INCHEthereum2.352.3139-1.54%1.69-28.09%0.3058✓1.063.1M2022-02-12
COMPCompoundEthereum190187.1284-1.51%127.26-33.02%0.3763✓1.17153k2022-02-12
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana4.7884.7176-1.47%4.786-0.04%0.0197✗0.67474k2022-02-12
BTCBitcoinBitcoin42,581.6541,959.50-1.46%42,244.97-0.79%0.0147✓1.00730.7M2022-02-12
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana7.927.8046-1.46%6.4-19.19%0.1934✓0.63694k2022-02-12
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum73.1272.0555-1.46%59.18-19.06%0.1883✓1.076.3M2022-02-12
ETCEthereum Classicnative30.2829.848-1.43%31.67+4.59%0.0676✗1.052.9M2022-02-12
PHAPHALAEthereum0.3570.352061-1.38%0.338-5.32%0.0347✓0.7643k2022-02-12
RLCiExec RLCEthereum2.732.693-1.36%2.02-26.01%0.2770✓1.323.2M2022-02-12
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.8231.7991-1.31%1.618-11.25%0.0969✓1.152.2M2022-02-12
BELBella ProtocolEthereum1.3011.2844-1.27%0.942-27.59%0.2993✓1.362.8M2022-02-12
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.1715880.169419-1.26%0.144281-15.91%0.1520✓1.095.4M2022-02-12
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum42,708.5042,199.09-1.19%42,568.00-0.33%0.0165✗0.9814k2022-02-12
OGOG Fan TokenSolana4.184.1307-1.18%3.312-20.77%0.2146✓0.801.1M2022-02-12
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum25.6925.3904-1.17%17.04-33.67%0.3842✓1.844.3M2022-02-12
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain1.0271.0156-1.11%0.745-27.46%0.3022✓0.972.2M2022-02-12
XVGVergenative0.013770.01362-1.09%0.01149-16.56%0.1602✓1.242.1M2022-02-12
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.05770.057101-1.04%0.044288-23.24%0.2446✓1.207.5M2022-02-12
LCXLCXEthereum0.13880.137364-1.03%0.1035-25.43%0.2729✓1.282.4M2022-02-12
SOLSolanaSolana146.24144.7305-1.03%95.95-34.39%0.4021✓1.13185.4M2022-02-12
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.57110.56547-0.99%0.4191-26.62%0.2892✓1.3012.5M2022-02-12
XYMSymbolnative0.19240.190676-0.90%0.1736-9.77%0.0884✓0.68441k2022-02-12
DOTPolkadotPolkadot25.8225.5915-0.88%18.82-27.11%0.2968✓1.3366.7M2022-02-12
SNXSynthetixEthereum5.085.0401-0.79%4.89-3.74%0.0209✓1.183.3M2022-02-12
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana6.716.6587-0.76%5.48-18.33%0.1896✓0.66643k2022-02-12
UNIUniswapEthereum15.4615.3438-0.75%10.64-31.18%0.3558✓1.3012.4M2022-02-12
AAVEAaveEthereum209.41208.093-0.63%162.52-22.39%0.2379✓1.1717.6M2022-02-12
SUNSun TokenTron0.019260.019151-0.57%0.015897-17.46%0.1765✓1.222.5M2022-02-12
TRXTRONTron0.0661580.065849-0.47%0.063473-4.06%0.0292✓0.96552k2022-02-12
NANOnanopayBase3.03953.0314-0.27%2.1781-28.34%0.3215✓1.14699k2022-02-12
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.078970.079165+0.25%0.05601-29.07%0.3347✗1.422.6M2022-02-12
LTCLitecoinLitecoin136.82137.2107+0.29%126.78-7.34%0.0683✗1.3632.2M2022-02-12
XVSVenusEthereum13.8513.9715+0.88%8.98-35.16%0.4329✗1.143.2M2022-02-12
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash377.35383.6783+1.68%330.64-12.38%0.1407✗1.018.1M2022-02-12
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.