2022-01-11 · +1d

gru_s4 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 139 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.

+1d +7d +30d asset cohort only

rank IC

+0.1265

139 of 139 tokens assessed

long-short decile

+3.07%

realised beta-adjusted alpha

direction hit

68.3%

in alpha space · 78.4% on raw price

BTC over horizon

+2.73%

the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (139 rows, sorted by pred)

token	name	chain	anchor px	pred px ▾	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d	vol 30d	target
NAKA	Nakamoto Games	Polygon	0.9389	0.946381	+0.80%	1.1869	+26.41%	0.2014	✓	0.93	3.1M	2022-01-12
LAZIO	Lazio Fan Token	Binance Smart Chain	4.1768	4.1957	+0.45%	4.2739	+2.32%	0.0161	✗	1.28	4.2M	2022-01-12
PEOPLE	ConstitutionDAO	Ethereum	0.077	0.077345	+0.45%	0.0819	+6.36%	0.0303	✓	1.00	30.6M	2022-01-12
AGLD	Adventure Gold	Ethereum	1.36	1.366	+0.44%	1.43	+5.15%	0.0015	✓	1.64	738k	2022-01-12
LRC	Loopring	Ethereum	1.4915	1.4972	+0.38%	1.6281	+9.16%	0.0332	✓	1.88	1.4M	2022-01-12
GODS	Gods Unchained	Ethereum	2.93	2.9412	+0.38%	3.02	+3.07%	0.0057	✗	1.19	3.2M	2022-01-12
CTK	Shentu	Osmosis	1.398	1.4033	+0.38%	1.49	+6.58%	0.0238	✓	1.34	5.2M	2022-01-12
DOGE	Dogecoin	Dogecoin	0.153722	0.154305	+0.38%	0.162908	+5.98%	0.0247	✓	1.10	5.1M	2022-01-12
1INCH	1INCH	Ethereum	2.15	2.1579	+0.37%	2.24	+4.19%	0.0093	✓	1.04	3.3M	2022-01-12
TKO	Tokocrypto	Binance Smart Chain	1.045	1.0488	+0.37%	1.084	+3.73%	0.0078	✓	0.94	2.2M	2022-01-12
GT	Gate	Ethereum	6.4129	6.4361	+0.36%	6.8813	+7.30%	0.0456	✓	0.79	3.7M	2022-01-12
PSG	Paris Saint-Germain Fan Token	Solana	14.78	14.8316	+0.35%	15.33	+3.72%	0.0153	✓	0.66	1.1M	2022-01-12
TRX	TRON	Tron	0.064934	0.065156	+0.34%	0.068101	+4.88%	0.0191	✓	0.93	552k	2022-01-12
SUN	Sun Token	Tron	0.018697	0.01876	+0.34%	0.01979	+5.85%	0.0203	✓	1.23	2.5M	2022-01-12
AAVE	Aave	Ethereum	213.29	213.9955	+0.33%	218.61	+2.49%	0.0090	✗	1.13	17.6M	2022-01-12
GRT	The Graph	Ethereum	0.5691	0.570963	+0.33%	0.5942	+4.41%	0.0075	✓	1.20	12.5M	2022-01-12
ENS	Ethereum Name Service	Ethereum	26.75	26.8361	+0.32%	27.99	+4.64%	0.0073	✗	1.83	5.0M	2022-01-12
ATM	Atletico Madrid Fan Token	Solana	6.78	6.8017	+0.32%	6.98	+2.95%	0.0084	✓	0.65	645k	2022-01-12
XVG	Verge	native	0.01386	0.013904	+0.31%	0.01475	+6.42%	0.0265	✓	1.21	2.1M	2022-01-12
AUCTION	Bounce	Ethereum	20.39	20.454	+0.31%	20.88	+2.40%	0.0010	✓	0.73	1.0M	2022-01-12
MTL	Metal DAO	Metal L2	1.86	1.8657	+0.31%	1.905	+2.42%	0.0098	✗	1.14	2.3M	2022-01-12
BTC	Bitcoin	Bitcoin	42,753.44	42,883.20	+0.30%	43,920.37	+2.73%	0.0030	✗	1.00	754.4M	2022-01-12
VSYS	V.SYSTEMS	native	0.01644	0.01649	+0.30%	0.01729	+5.17%	0.0305	✓	0.63	27k	2022-01-12
DODO	DODO	Ethereum	0.747	0.749216	+0.30%	0.833	+11.51%	0.0681	✓	1.41	7.7M	2022-01-12
RIF	Rootstock Infrastructure Framework	Ethereum	0.1778	0.17832	+0.29%	0.1826	+2.70%	0.0004	✓	0.89	463k	2022-01-12
ETC	Ethereum Classic	native	29.69	29.7753	+0.29%	31.15	+4.92%	0.0180	✓	1.01	3.2M	2022-01-12
COMP	Compound	Ethereum	188.96	189.4932	+0.28%	196.42	+3.95%	0.0054	✓	1.13	161k	2022-01-12
SOL	Solana	Solana	140.27	140.6563	+0.28%	151.56	+8.05%	0.0472	✓	1.02	194.0M	2022-01-12
DKA	dKargo	Ethereum	0.10496	0.105249	+0.27%	0.11114	+5.89%	0.0244	✓	1.11	23k	2022-01-12
TWT	Trust Wallet	Binance Smart Chain	0.6511	0.652743	+0.25%	0.6995	+7.43%	0.0360	✓	1.23	4.4M	2022-01-12
CERE	Cere Network	Ethereum	0.0574	0.057544	+0.25%	0.0604	+5.23%	0.0123	✓	1.34	1.5M	2022-01-12
RLC	iExec RLC	Ethereum	2.8	2.807	+0.25%	2.89	+3.21%	0.0060	✗	1.30	3.2M	2022-01-12
ARPA	ARPA	Ethereum	0.0824	0.082604	+0.25%	0.0875	+6.19%	0.0203	✓	1.38	1.2M	2022-01-12
MED	Medibloc	Osmosis	0.04765	0.047767	+0.25%	0.0507	+6.40%	0.0307	✓	1.07	17k	2022-01-12
XPR	XPR Network	Ethereum	0.01475	0.014786	+0.24%	0.01542	+4.54%	0.0074	✓	1.28	2.2M	2022-01-12
JASMY	JasmyCoin	Ethereum	0.07076	0.070928	+0.24%	0.07298	+3.14%	0.0040	✗	1.21	16.9M	2022-01-12
XMR	Monero	Monero	193.01	193.4645	+0.24%	199.2	+3.21%	0.0032	✓	0.97	3.0M	2022-01-12
ETH	Ethereum	Ethereum	3,240.83	3,248.46	+0.24%	3,373.64	+4.10%	0.0098	✓	1.04	591.9M	2022-01-12
XEM	NEM	native	0.1145	0.11476	+0.23%	0.1192	+4.10%	0.0108	✓	1.01	67k	2022-01-12
MANA	Decentraland	Ethereum	2.9312	2.9376	+0.22%	3.0897	+5.41%	0.0237	✓	1.00	5.4M	2022-01-12
XVS	Venus	Ethereum	13.71	13.7393	+0.21%	14.23	+3.79%	0.0046	✓	1.13	3.3M	2022-01-12
BCH	Bitcoin Cash	Bitcoin Cash	369.84	370.6276	+0.21%	383.83	+3.78%	0.0082	✓	0.99	8.5M	2022-01-12
PHA	PHALA	Ethereum	0.361	0.361764	+0.21%	0.379	+4.99%	0.0270	✓	0.72	39k	2022-01-12
UOS	Ultra	Ethereum	1.2365	1.239	+0.20%	1.3521	+9.35%	0.0599	✓	1.02	3.3M	2022-01-12
AMP	Amp	Ethereum	0.04184	0.041924	+0.20%	0.04277	+2.22%	0.0038	✗	0.88	8.4M	2022-01-12
NANO	nanopay	Base	3.0312	3.037	+0.19%	3.2877	+8.46%	0.0501	✓	1.08	699k	2022-01-12
AXS	Axie Infinity	Ethereum	72.75	72.8888	+0.19%	78.16	+7.44%	0.0416	✓	1.05	6.4M	2022-01-12
BAR	FC Barcelona Fan Token	Solana	8	8.0151	+0.19%	8.19	+2.38%	0.0050	✓	0.62	714k	2022-01-12
SPELL	Spell	Ethereum	0.01458	0.014607	+0.19%	0.01576	+8.09%	0.0124	✓	2.36	26.8M	2022-01-12
BAT	Basic Attention	Ethereum	1.0548	1.0567	+0.19%	1.1158	+5.79%	0.0076	✓	1.74	1.0M	2022-01-12
SHIB	Shiba Inu	Ethereum	0.00002762	0.00002767	+0.18%	0.0000315	+14.05%	0.0961	✓	1.24	1.7M	2022-01-12
QNT	Quant	Ethereum	169.57	169.8738	+0.18%	168.76	-0.48%	0.0316	✗	0.93	7.5M	2022-01-12
ORBS	Orbs	Ethereum	0.076	0.076135	+0.18%	0.0825	+8.55%	0.0521	✓	1.05	19k	2022-01-12
API3	Api3	Ethereum	3.54	3.5462	+0.18%	3.79	+7.06%	0.0481	✓	0.68	486k	2022-01-12
TRB	Tellor Tributes	Ethereum	29.43	29.4807	+0.17%	31.51	+7.07%	0.0272	✓	1.46	1.0M	2022-01-12
ADA	Cardano	Cardano	1.1879	1.1899	+0.17%	1.313	+10.53%	0.0694	✓	1.08	95.6M	2022-01-12
STORJ	Storj	Ethereum	1.5924	1.5951	+0.17%	1.667	+4.68%	0.0209	✓	0.86	610k	2022-01-12
NMR	Numeraire	Ethereum	28.42	28.4681	+0.17%	28.89	+1.65%	0.0034	✗	0.67	363k	2022-01-12
LCX	LCX	Ethereum	0.1471	0.147341	+0.16%	0.1554	+5.64%	0.0197	✓	1.24	2.1M	2022-01-12
DNT	district0x	Ethereum	0.1102	0.11038	+0.16%	0.1144	+3.81%	0.0060	✓	1.10	304k	2022-01-12
SKL	SKALE	Ethereum	0.1605	0.16076	+0.16%	0.1668	+3.93%	0.0046	✓	1.20	4.2M	2022-01-12
SNX	Synthetix	Ethereum	5.08	5.0882	+0.16%	5.43	+6.89%	0.0343	✓	1.14	3.3M	2022-01-12
DYDX	dYdX	Cosmos	7.094	7.1053	+0.16%	7.779	+9.66%	0.0570	✓	1.25	271k	2022-01-12
XYM	Symbol	native	0.2062	0.206519	+0.15%	0.2011	-2.47%	0.0452	✗	0.69	428k	2022-01-12
OMG	OMG Network	Ethereum	5.328	5.3362	+0.15%	5.895	+10.64%	0.0689	✓	1.14	446k	2022-01-12
XEC	eCash	native	0.00009356	0.000093703	+0.15%	0.00009819	+4.95%	0.0201	✓	0.99	6.7M	2022-01-12
LSK	Lisk	Ethereum	2.1025	2.1057	+0.15%	2.1488	+2.20%	0.0078	✗	1.04	83k	2022-01-12
BCHSV	Bitcoin Cash SV		110.22	110.3789	+0.14%	112.64	+2.20%	0.0049	✗	0.94	2.6M	2022-01-12
KSM	Kusama	Hydration	260.77	261.1339	+0.14%	275.54	+5.66%	0.0231	✓	1.14	1.3M	2022-01-12
RAD	Radworks	Ethereum	8.01	8.021	+0.14%	8.13	+1.50%	0.0105	✗	0.89	1.1M	2022-01-12
LTC	Litecoin	Litecoin	131.67	131.8408	+0.13%	142.02	+7.86%	0.0386	✓	1.33	35.0M	2022-01-12
COTI	COTI	Ethereum	0.3363	0.336724	+0.13%	0.3542	+5.32%	0.0119	✓	1.44	3.8M	2022-01-12
ZEC	Zcash	Zcash	141.38	141.557	+0.13%	144.49	+2.20%	0.0131	✗	1.25	10.9M	2022-01-12
QTUM	Qtum	Qtum	7.521	7.5305	+0.13%	7.9176	+5.27%	0.0135	✓	1.36	273k	2022-01-12
BAND	Band	Ethereum	5.14	5.1463	+0.12%	5.64	+9.73%	0.0626	✓	1.08	2.2M	2022-01-12
CHZ	Chiliz	Ethereum	0.2641	0.264422	+0.12%	0.2778	+5.19%	0.0143	✓	1.30	4.6M	2022-01-12
FTT	FTX	Ethereum	39.78	39.8255	+0.11%	41.43	+4.15%	0.0113	✓	1.05	20.7M	2022-01-12
CBK	Cobak	Ethereum	2.765	2.768	+0.11%	2.853	+3.18%	0.0062	✓	0.89	29k	2022-01-12
BEL	Bella Protocol	Ethereum	1.273	1.2743	+0.11%	1.363	+7.07%	0.0314	✓	1.33	2.9M	2022-01-12
ZEN	Horizen	Base	56.11	56.168	+0.10%	59.25	+5.60%	0.0155	✓	1.41	736k	2022-01-12
JUV	Juventus Fan Token	Solana	8.1	8.1084	+0.10%	8.19	+1.11%	0.0100	✗	0.74	741k	2022-01-12
ASR	AS Roma Fan Token	Solana	3.818	3.8217	+0.10%	3.922	+2.72%	0.0072	✓	0.70	526k	2022-01-12
CTSI	Cartesi	Ethereum	0.5799	0.580437	+0.09%	0.6859	+18.28%	0.1306	✓	1.35	2.7M	2022-01-12
XLM	Stellar	Stellar	0.263177	0.26342	+0.09%	0.282353	+7.29%	0.0421	✓	1.01	24.9M	2022-01-12
SC	Siacoin	native	0.0135	0.013512	+0.09%	0.01401	+3.78%	0.0100	✓	0.97	756k	2022-01-12
EWT	Energy Web Token	Ethereum	8.221	8.2283	+0.09%	8.452	+2.81%	0.0082	✓	0.69	221k	2022-01-12
FIL	Filecoin	Filecoin	28.89	28.9152	+0.09%	30.77	+6.51%	0.0342	✓	1.04	18.5M	2022-01-12
DEXE	DeXe	Ethereum	9.73	9.7384	+0.09%	10.07	+3.49%	0.0349	✓	-0.05	1.6M	2022-01-12
HIVE	Hive	native	1.3102	1.3113	+0.09%	1.3807	+5.38%	0.0148	✓	1.36	4.5M	2022-01-12
XYO	XYO Network	Ethereum	0.029265	0.02929	+0.08%	0.029842	+1.97%	0.0091	✗	1.03	6.3M	2022-01-12
UNI	Uniswap	Ethereum	15.98	15.9928	+0.08%	16.29	+1.94%	0.0159	✗	1.27	13.1M	2022-01-12
ANKR	Ankr Network	Ethereum	0.09134	0.091411	+0.08%	0.09754	+6.79%	0.0461	✓	0.70	52k	2022-01-12
BNT	Bancor Network	Ethereum	3.2	3.2024	+0.08%	3.27	+2.19%	0.0050	✗	0.96	977k	2022-01-12
CELL	Cellframe	Ethereum	0.8921	0.892754	+0.07%	1.0214	+14.49%	0.1126	✓	0.82	122k	2022-01-12
TRAC	OriginTrail	Ethereum	1.025	1.0257	+0.07%	1.0716	+4.55%	0.0063	✓	1.39	1.6M	2022-01-12
ZRX	0x Protocol	Ethereum	0.718632	0.719118	+0.07%	0.752838	+4.76%	0.0164	✓	1.09	2.6M	2022-01-12
UMA	UMA	Ethereum	8.65	8.6547	+0.05%	8.89	+2.77%	0.0009	✓	0.96	4.4M	2022-01-12
IMX	Immutable	Ethereum	3.61	3.6117	+0.05%	3.73	+3.32%	0.0044	✗	1.36	2.4M	2022-01-12
MASK	Mask Network	Ethereum	9.67	9.6744	+0.05%	10.21	+5.58%	0.0358	✓	0.67	1.2M	2022-01-12
ALGO	Algorand	Algorand	1.4467	1.4473	+0.04%	1.4989	+3.61%	0.0051	✓	1.11	32.1M	2022-01-12
DASH	Dash	Dash	141.85	141.905	+0.04%	143.32	+1.04%	0.0222	✗	1.19	2.2M	2022-01-12
SUPER	SuperVerse	Ethereum	0.96	0.960371	+0.04%	1.17	+21.88%	0.1507	✓	1.73	1.6M	2022-01-12
OXT	Orchid Protocol	Ethereum	0.3101	0.310211	+0.04%	0.3269	+5.42%	0.0185	✓	1.26	2.2M	2022-01-12
ACH	Alchemy Pay	Ethereum	0.064925	0.064945	+0.03%	0.060875	-6.24%	0.0970	✗	1.20	7.3M	2022-01-12
OG	OG Fan Token	Solana	4.382	4.3832	+0.03%	4.416	+0.78%	0.0135	✗	0.78	1.1M	2022-01-12
OGN	Origin Token	Ethereum	0.516	0.516133	+0.03%	0.539	+4.46%	0.0092	✓	1.27	2.1M	2022-01-12
LEO	LEO Token	Ethereum	3.7323	3.7332	+0.03%	3.8595	+3.41%	0.0355	✓	-0.08	371k	2022-01-12
WBTC	Wrapped Bitcoin	Ethereum	42,770.20	42,771.14	+0.00%	43,982.00	+2.83%	0.0016	✓	0.98	14k	2022-01-12
ENJ	Enjin Coin	Ethereum	2.311	2.311	+0.00%	2.521	+9.09%	0.0582	✓	1.07	1.9M	2022-01-12
CITY	Manchester City Fan Token	Solana	10.19	10.1895	-0.00%	10.52	+3.24%	0.0118	✗	0.75	994k	2022-01-12
KCS	KuCoin	native	19.378	19.377	-0.01%	20.372	+5.13%	0.0071	✗	1.59	13.0M	2022-01-12
AVAX	Avalanche	Avalanche	89.66	89.6518	-0.01%	96.02	+7.09%	0.0390	✗	1.10	115.7M	2022-01-12
CVC	Civic	Ethereum	0.3228	0.322751	-0.02%	0.3384	+4.83%	0.0203	✗	1.00	397k	2022-01-12
MINA	Mina Protocol	native	3.45	3.4495	-0.02%	3.59	+4.06%	0.0122	✗	1.03	715k	2022-01-12
DOT	Polkadot	Polkadot	25.55	25.546	-0.02%	27.32	+6.93%	0.0325	✗	1.29	70.4M	2022-01-12
METRONOME	METRONOME		3.8424	3.8416	-0.02%	3.9279	+2.23%	0.0036	✗	0.69	3,116	2022-01-12
MOVR	Moonriver	Base	165.565	165.5214	-0.03%	169.994	+2.68%	0.0000	✓	0.99	540k	2022-01-12
IOTA	IOTA	IOTA	1.141	1.1407	-0.03%	1.1883	+4.15%	0.0152	✗	0.95	23.2M	2022-01-12
ASM	Assemble AI	Ethereum	0.07976	0.079734	-0.03%	0.08196	+2.76%	0.0109	✓	1.43	2.6M	2022-01-12
BFC	Bifrost	Ethereum	0.17303	0.17297	-0.03%	0.18305	+5.79%	0.0152	✗	1.54	5,360	2022-01-12
LUNA	Terra	Terra 2	73.57	73.5327	-0.05%	81.93	+11.36%	0.0812	✗	1.00	7.4M	2022-01-12
ACM	AC Milan Fan Token	Solana	4.814	4.8113	-0.06%	5.032	+4.53%	0.0277	✗	0.64	481k	2022-01-12
PORTO	FC Porto	Binance Smart Chain	3.1857	3.1835	-0.07%	3.2451	+1.86%	0.0134	✓	1.21	2.5M	2022-01-12
CWEB	Coinweb	Ethereum	0.086423	0.086359	-0.07%	0.081805	-5.34%	0.0811	✓	1.00	2.8M	2022-01-12
XTZ	Tezos	Tezos	4.1752	4.1721	-0.07%	4.3843	+5.01%	0.0137	✗	1.33	4.6M	2022-01-12
KNC	Kyber Network Crystal	Ethereum	1.3709	1.3695	-0.10%	1.4029	+2.33%	0.0009	✓	0.86	922k	2022-01-12
LINK	Chainlink	Ethereum	26.6	26.5641	-0.13%	26.76	+0.60%	0.0229	✓	1.12	70.9M	2022-01-12
LPT	Livepeer	Ethereum	36.84	36.7891	-0.14%	39.17	+6.32%	0.0186	✗	1.64	2.8M	2022-01-12
BICO	Biconomy	Ethereum	3.57	3.5645	-0.15%	3.75	+5.04%	0.0168	✗	1.26	9.3M	2022-01-12
ICP	Internet Computer	Ethereum	34.45	34.3904	-0.17%	34.99	+1.57%	0.0197	✓	1.37	29.9M	2022-01-12
GITCOIN	GITCOIN		11.203	11.179	-0.21%	11.904	+6.26%	0.0601	✗	0.10	56k	2022-01-12
SUSHI	Sushi	Ethereum	6.99	6.9731	-0.24%	7.12	+1.86%	0.0140	✓	1.29	18.2M	2022-01-12
CRV	Curve DAO	Ethereum	4.61	4.5986	-0.25%	4.91	+6.51%	0.0284	✗	1.38	30.4M	2022-01-12
YFI	yearn.finance	Ethereum	32,768.96	32,669.06	-0.30%	33,839.55	+3.27%	0.0177	✗	0.65	26.4M	2022-01-12
GTC	Gitcoin	Ethereum	11.23	11.191	-0.35%	12	+6.86%	0.0655	✗	0.16	2.8M	2022-01-12
DUSK	DUSK	Ethereum	0.6826	0.679786	-0.41%	0.7422	+8.73%	0.0405	✗	1.76	38.7M	2022-01-12
ATOM	Cosmos Hub	Cosmos	38.71	38.5369	-0.45%	40.25	+3.98%	0.0188	✗	0.92	65.3M	2022-01-12
POWR	Powerledger	Ethereum	0.6261	0.622141	-0.63%	0.6228	-0.53%	0.0381	✓	1.45	736k	2022-01-12
SANTOS	Santos FC Fan Token	Binance Smart Chain	3.766	3.6966	-1.84%	3.605	-4.28%	0.0736	✓	1.80	1.2M	2022-01-12

Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.