2022-01-11 · +30d

gru_s4 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 139 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.

+1d +7d +30d asset cohort only

rank IC

+0.1490

139 of 139 tokens assessed

long-short decile

+12.73%

realised beta-adjusted alpha

direction hit

82.0%

in alpha space · 81.9% on raw price

BTC over horizon

+1.81%

the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (139 rows, sorted by pred)

token	name	chain	anchor px	pred px ▴	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d	vol 30d	target
DUSK	DUSK	Ethereum	0.6826	0.611768	-10.38%	0.5138	-24.73%	0.2066	✓	1.79	38.7M	2022-02-10
POWR	Powerledger	Ethereum	0.6261	0.569334	-9.07%	0.5753	-8.11%	0.0157	✓	1.45	736k	2022-02-10
GTC	Gitcoin	Ethereum	11.23	10.3279	-8.03%	8.52	-24.13%	0.1947	✓	0.13	2.8M	2022-02-10
CWEB	Coinweb	Ethereum	0.086423	0.080226	-7.17%	0.035501	-58.92%	0.8332	✓	1.00	2.8M	2022-02-10
ATOM	Cosmos Hub	Cosmos	38.71	35.9956	-7.01%	29.1	-24.83%	0.2291	✓	0.92	65.3M	2022-02-10
SANTOS	Santos FC Fan Token	Binance Smart Chain	3.766	3.5093	-6.82%	2.821	-25.09%	0.2507	✓	1.80	1.2M	2022-02-10
BFC	Bifrost	Ethereum	0.17303	0.161317	-6.77%	0.2098	+21.25%	0.2348	✗	1.56	5,360	2022-02-10
YFI	yearn.finance	Ethereum	32,768.96	30,597.22	-6.63%	24,454.91	-25.37%	0.2356	✓	0.64	26.4M	2022-02-10
CVC	Civic	Ethereum	0.3228	0.301767	-6.52%	0.3045	-5.67%	0.0090	✓	1.00	397k	2022-02-10
BICO	Biconomy	Ethereum	3.57	3.3468	-6.25%	2.07	-42.02%	0.5031	✓	1.26	9.3M	2022-02-10
HIVE	Hive	native	1.3102	1.2294	-6.17%	1.1096	-15.31%	0.1274	✓	1.39	4.5M	2022-02-10
MASK	Mask Network	Ethereum	9.67	9.0853	-6.05%	6.43	-33.51%	0.3580	✓	0.68	1.2M	2022-02-10
METRONOME	METRONOME		3.8424	3.6141	-5.94%	3.5386	-7.91%	0.0346	✓	0.75	3,116	2022-02-10
CRV	Curve DAO	Ethereum	4.61	4.3437	-5.78%	3.2	-30.59%	0.3308	✓	1.41	30.4M	2022-02-10
GODS	Gods Unchained	Ethereum	2.93	2.7609	-5.77%	2.07	-29.35%	0.3095	✓	1.19	3.2M	2022-02-10
GITCOIN	GITCOIN		11.203	10.5803	-5.56%	8.495	-24.17%	0.2208	✓	0.07	56k	2022-02-10
DEXE	DeXe	Ethereum	9.73	9.2032	-5.41%	7.67	-21.17%	0.1812	✓	-0.06	1.6M	2022-02-10
PEOPLE	ConstitutionDAO	Ethereum	0.077	0.072868	-5.37%	0.0744	-3.38%	0.0029	✓	1.00	30.6M	2022-02-10
LPT	Livepeer	Ethereum	36.84	35.0565	-4.84%	33.86	-8.09%	0.0642	✓	1.64	2.8M	2022-02-10
SPELL	Spell	Ethereum	0.01458	0.013883	-4.78%	0.00696	-52.26%	0.7329	✓	2.36	26.8M	2022-02-10
ALGO	Algorand	Algorand	1.4467	1.3781	-4.74%	0.9822	-32.11%	0.3593	✓	1.15	32.1M	2022-02-10
BAT	Basic Attention	Ethereum	1.0548	1.0051	-4.71%	0.88264	-16.32%	0.1618	✓	1.78	1.0M	2022-02-10
API3	Api3	Ethereum	3.54	3.3754	-4.65%	4.48	+26.55%	0.2709	✗	0.68	486k	2022-02-10
LINK	Chainlink	Ethereum	26.6	25.3672	-4.63%	17.51	-34.17%	0.3920	✓	1.19	70.9M	2022-02-10
MINA	Mina Protocol	native	3.45	3.2946	-4.50%	2.76	-20.00%	0.1960	✓	1.05	715k	2022-02-10
LUNA	Terra	Terra 2	73.57	70.2689	-4.49%	52.32	-28.88%	0.3129	✓	1.00	7.4M	2022-02-10
ENJ	Enjin Coin	Ethereum	2.311	2.209	-4.41%	1.987	-14.02%	0.1254	✓	1.09	1.9M	2022-02-10
LSK	Lisk	Ethereum	2.1025	2.0103	-4.39%	1.8836	-10.42%	0.0851	✓	1.12	83k	2022-02-10
CTSI	Cartesi	Ethereum	0.5799	0.554513	-4.38%	0.5118	-11.74%	0.1045	✓	1.36	2.7M	2022-02-10
OGN	Origin Token	Ethereum	0.516	0.493848	-4.29%	0.408	-20.93%	0.2141	✓	1.29	2.1M	2022-02-10
CELL	Cellframe	Ethereum	0.8921	0.853986	-4.27%	1.3202	+47.99%	0.4209	✗	0.82	122k	2022-02-10
KNC	Kyber Network Crystal	Ethereum	1.3709	1.3139	-4.16%	1.874	+36.70%	0.3395	✗	0.87	922k	2022-02-10
UMA	UMA	Ethereum	8.65	8.3037	-4.00%	6.28	-27.40%	0.2965	✓	0.95	4.4M	2022-02-10
MOVR	Moonriver	Base	165.565	159.06	-3.93%	94.3677	-43.00%	0.5423	✓	1.13	540k	2022-02-10
ZEN	Horizen	Base	56.11	53.9134	-3.91%	45.02	-19.76%	0.2071	✓	1.49	736k	2022-02-10
AVAX	Avalanche	Avalanche	89.66	86.1564	-3.91%	91.18	+1.70%	0.0359	✓	1.16	115.7M	2022-02-10
IMX	Immutable	Ethereum	3.61	3.4692	-3.90%	2.59	-28.25%	0.3167	✓	1.36	2.4M	2022-02-10
UOS	Ultra	Ethereum	1.2365	1.1886	-3.88%	1.2095	-2.18%	0.0009	✓	1.02	3.3M	2022-02-10
SUSHI	Sushi	Ethereum	6.99	6.7231	-3.82%	4.41	-36.91%	0.4451	✓	1.31	18.2M	2022-02-10
MANA	Decentraland	Ethereum	2.9312	2.8194	-3.82%	3.1401	+7.13%	0.0898	✗	1.00	5.4M	2022-02-10
SC	Siacoin	native	0.0135	0.012987	-3.80%	0.01138	-15.70%	0.1497	✓	0.98	756k	2022-02-10
BAND	Band	Ethereum	5.14	4.9476	-3.74%	3.9	-24.12%	0.2579	✓	1.11	2.2M	2022-02-10
ICP	Internet Computer	Ethereum	34.45	33.1732	-3.71%	21.59	-37.33%	0.4545	✓	1.39	29.9M	2022-02-10
DYDX	dYdX	Cosmos	7.094	6.8316	-3.70%	7.756	+9.33%	0.1038	✗	1.29	271k	2022-02-10
STORJ	Storj	Ethereum	1.5924	1.5356	-3.57%	1.2595	-20.91%	0.2137	✓	0.86	610k	2022-02-10
SHIB	Shiba Inu	Ethereum	0.00002762	0.000026703	-3.32%	0.00003081	+11.55%	0.1207	✗	1.24	1.7M	2022-02-10
ZEC	Zcash	Zcash	141.38	136.7252	-3.29%	124.85	-11.69%	0.1145	✓	1.32	10.9M	2022-02-10
SUPER	SuperVerse	Ethereum	0.96	0.929302	-3.20%	1	+4.17%	0.0422	✗	1.73	1.6M	2022-02-10
IOTA	IOTA	IOTA	1.141	1.1045	-3.20%	0.9488	-16.84%	0.1696	✓	0.98	23.2M	2022-02-10
LEO	LEO Token	Ethereum	3.7323	3.6173	-3.08%	6.1336	+64.34%	0.5295	✗	-0.08	371k	2022-02-10
AGLD	Adventure Gold	Ethereum	1.36	1.3193	-2.99%	1.22	-10.29%	0.1083	✓	1.67	738k	2022-02-10
EWT	Energy Web Token	Ethereum	8.221	7.9776	-2.96%	6.466	-21.35%	0.2220	✓	0.66	221k	2022-02-10
XLM	Stellar	Stellar	0.263177	0.25547	-2.93%	0.23172	-11.95%	0.1159	✓	1.02	24.9M	2022-02-10
CBK	Cobak	Ethereum	2.765	2.6842	-2.92%	2.505	-9.40%	0.0853	✓	0.90	29k	2022-02-10
DASH	Dash	Dash	141.85	137.7343	-2.90%	111.66	-21.28%	0.2318	✓	1.22	2.2M	2022-02-10
XPR	XPR Network	Ethereum	0.01475	0.014325	-2.88%	0.01337	-9.36%	0.0925	✓	1.31	2.2M	2022-02-10
NAKA	Nakamoto Games	Polygon	0.9389	0.912181	-2.85%	0.6635	-29.33%	0.3343	✓	0.89	3.1M	2022-02-10
PORTO	FC Porto	Binance Smart Chain	3.1857	3.0956	-2.83%	3.654	+14.70%	0.1441	✗	1.21	2.5M	2022-02-10
ORBS	Orbs	Ethereum	0.076	0.073856	-2.82%	0.076	+0.00%	0.0092	✓	1.08	19k	2022-02-10
QNT	Quant	Ethereum	169.57	164.81	-2.81%	140.08	-17.39%	0.1796	✓	0.95	7.5M	2022-02-10
DNT	district0x	Ethereum	0.1102	0.107118	-2.80%	0.0919	-16.61%	0.1731	✓	1.10	304k	2022-02-10
CITY	Manchester City Fan Token	Solana	10.19	9.9121	-2.73%	10.6	+4.02%	0.0537	✗	0.75	994k	2022-02-10
DODO	DODO	Ethereum	0.747	0.726716	-2.72%	0.562	-24.77%	0.2830	✓	1.44	7.7M	2022-02-10
XMR	Monero	Monero	193.01	187.8351	-2.68%	179.36	-7.07%	0.0647	✓	1.03	3.0M	2022-02-10
MED	Medibloc	Osmosis	0.04765	0.046378	-2.67%	0.04451	-6.59%	0.0613	✓	1.12	17k	2022-02-10
RAD	Radworks	Ethereum	8.01	7.8004	-2.62%	5.69	-28.96%	0.3315	✓	0.89	1.1M	2022-02-10
TRB	Tellor Tributes	Ethereum	29.43	28.6912	-2.51%	23.69	-19.50%	0.2189	✓	1.52	1.0M	2022-02-10
KCS	KuCoin	native	19.378	18.8984	-2.47%	20.473	+5.65%	0.0510	✗	1.61	13.0M	2022-02-10
GT	Gate	Ethereum	6.4129	6.256	-2.45%	6.9043	+7.66%	0.0834	✗	0.85	3.7M	2022-02-10
JUV	Juventus Fan Token	Solana	8.1	7.9019	-2.45%	6.84	-15.56%	0.1582	✓	0.77	741k	2022-02-10
AMP	Amp	Ethereum	0.04184	0.04084	-2.39%	0.03045	-27.22%	0.3098	✓	0.91	8.4M	2022-02-10
ADA	Cardano	Cardano	1.1879	1.1598	-2.36%	1.1515	-3.06%	0.0270	✓	1.11	95.6M	2022-02-10
COTI	COTI	Ethereum	0.3363	0.328465	-2.33%	0.3093	-8.03%	0.0871	✓	1.50	3.8M	2022-02-10
XTZ	Tezos	Tezos	4.1752	4.0811	-2.25%	4.1273	-1.15%	0.0130	✓	1.35	4.6M	2022-02-10
PSG	Paris Saint-Germain Fan Token	Solana	14.78	14.4488	-2.24%	18.01	+21.85%	0.2083	✗	0.67	1.1M	2022-02-10
CTK	Shentu	Osmosis	1.398	1.3669	-2.23%	1.323	-5.36%	0.0570	✓	1.36	5.2M	2022-02-10
CHZ	Chiliz	Ethereum	0.2641	0.258289	-2.20%	0.2242	-15.11%	0.1653	✓	1.32	4.6M	2022-02-10
VSYS	V.SYSTEMS	native	0.01644	0.016087	-2.15%	0.01369	-16.73%	0.1738	✓	0.70	27k	2022-02-10
XYO	XYO Network	Ethereum	0.029265	0.02864	-2.14%	0.023319	-20.32%	0.2240	✓	1.03	6.3M	2022-02-10
FTT	FTX	Ethereum	39.78	38.9509	-2.08%	44.55	+11.99%	0.1147	✗	1.10	20.7M	2022-02-10
ARPA	ARPA	Ethereum	0.0824	0.080734	-2.02%	0.1041	+26.33%	0.2295	✗	1.38	1.2M	2022-02-10
ACH	Alchemy Pay	Ethereum	0.064925	0.063643	-1.97%	0.050395	-22.38%	0.2555	✓	1.23	7.3M	2022-02-10
CERE	Cere Network	Ethereum	0.0574	0.05627	-1.97%	0.035	-39.02%	0.4989	✓	1.34	1.5M	2022-02-10
NMR	Numeraire	Ethereum	28.42	27.8619	-1.96%	28.06	-1.27%	0.0055	✓	0.70	363k	2022-02-10
BNT	Bancor Network	Ethereum	3.2	3.1376	-1.95%	2.7	-15.62%	0.1679	✓	0.98	977k	2022-02-10
JASMY	JasmyCoin	Ethereum	0.07076	0.069403	-1.92%	0.0397	-43.89%	0.5805	✓	1.22	16.9M	2022-02-10
SKL	SKALE	Ethereum	0.1605	0.157502	-1.87%	0.1482	-7.66%	0.0830	✓	1.23	4.2M	2022-02-10
XEM	NEM	native	0.1145	0.112362	-1.87%	0.1139	-0.52%	0.0052	✓	1.05	67k	2022-02-10
AUCTION	Bounce	Ethereum	20.39	20.01	-1.86%	16.26	-20.26%	0.2262	✓	1.04	1.0M	2022-02-10
ASR	AS Roma Fan Token	Solana	3.818	3.7469	-1.86%	3.241	-15.11%	0.1575	✓	0.70	526k	2022-02-10
LAZIO	Lazio Fan Token	Binance Smart Chain	4.1768	4.0994	-1.85%	3.5527	-14.94%	0.1662	✓	1.28	4.2M	2022-02-10
ANKR	Ankr Network	Ethereum	0.09134	0.089672	-1.83%	0.0828	-9.35%	0.0922	✓	0.70	52k	2022-02-10
BCHSV	Bitcoin Cash SV		110.22	108.2423	-1.79%	98.35	-10.77%	0.1130	✓	0.95	2.6M	2022-02-10
OXT	Orchid Protocol	Ethereum	0.3101	0.304615	-1.77%	0.2774	-10.54%	0.1162	✓	1.26	2.2M	2022-02-10
TRAC	OriginTrail	Ethereum	1.025	1.007	-1.76%	0.7205	-29.71%	0.3598	✓	1.39	1.6M	2022-02-10
ZRX	0x Protocol	Ethereum	0.718632	0.706077	-1.75%	0.677039	-5.79%	0.0625	✓	1.14	2.6M	2022-02-10
TWT	Trust Wallet	Binance Smart Chain	0.6511	0.639744	-1.74%	0.6038	-7.26%	0.0803	✓	1.25	4.4M	2022-02-10
KSM	Kusama	Hydration	260.77	256.3042	-1.71%	179.15	-31.30%	0.3791	✓	1.17	1.3M	2022-02-10
FIL	Filecoin	Filecoin	28.89	28.3992	-1.70%	23.14	-19.90%	0.2236	✓	1.05	18.5M	2022-02-10
XEC	eCash	native	0.00009356	0.000092006	-1.66%	0.0000925	-1.13%	0.0126	✓	1.00	6.7M	2022-02-10
ETH	Ethereum	Ethereum	3,240.83	3,187.55	-1.64%	3,074.85	-5.12%	0.0551	✓	1.06	591.9M	2022-02-10
DKA	dKargo	Ethereum	0.10496	0.103256	-1.62%	0.10255	-2.30%	0.0272	✓	1.14	23k	2022-02-10
ENS	Ethereum Name Service	Ethereum	26.75	26.3193	-1.61%	18.94	-29.20%	0.3619	✓	1.83	5.0M	2022-02-10
QTUM	Qtum	Qtum	7.521	7.4014	-1.59%	7.1425	-5.03%	0.0612	✓	1.42	273k	2022-02-10
RIF	Rootstock Infrastructure Framework	Ethereum	0.1778	0.175008	-1.57%	0.1649	-7.26%	0.0759	✓	0.91	463k	2022-02-10
OG	OG Fan Token	Solana	4.382	4.3148	-1.53%	3.584	-18.21%	0.1998	✓	0.79	1.1M	2022-02-10
LRC	Loopring	Ethereum	1.4915	1.4702	-1.43%	1.0404	-30.24%	0.3800	✓	1.91	1.4M	2022-02-10
RLC	iExec RLC	Ethereum	2.8	2.7617	-1.37%	2.16	-22.86%	0.2694	✓	1.32	3.2M	2022-02-10
LCX	LCX	Ethereum	0.1471	0.145112	-1.35%	0.1163	-20.94%	0.2437	✓	1.24	2.1M	2022-02-10
BTC	Bitcoin	Bitcoin	42,753.44	42,195.40	-1.31%	43,527.71	+1.81%	0.0131	✗	1.00	754.4M	2022-02-10
MTL	Metal DAO	Metal L2	1.86	1.8358	-1.30%	1.719	-7.58%	0.0864	✓	1.15	2.3M	2022-02-10
ETC	Ethereum Classic	native	29.69	29.3073	-1.29%	34.39	+15.83%	0.1411	✗	1.05	3.2M	2022-02-10
AXS	Axie Infinity	Ethereum	72.75	71.825	-1.27%	63.35	-12.92%	0.1443	✓	1.05	6.4M	2022-02-10
XVG	Verge	native	0.01386	0.013684	-1.27%	0.01219	-12.05%	0.1374	✓	1.22	2.1M	2022-02-10
BAR	FC Barcelona Fan Token	Solana	8	7.9052	-1.18%	6.86	-14.25%	0.1530	✓	0.62	714k	2022-02-10
TKO	Tokocrypto	Binance Smart Chain	1.045	1.0328	-1.16%	0.845	-19.14%	0.2179	✓	0.95	2.2M	2022-02-10
PHA	PHALA	Ethereum	0.361	0.356875	-1.14%	0.281	-22.16%	0.2522	✓	0.73	39k	2022-02-10
BEL	Bella Protocol	Ethereum	1.273	1.2585	-1.14%	1.029	-19.17%	0.2254	✓	1.34	2.9M	2022-02-10
OMG	OMG Network	Ethereum	5.328	5.2718	-1.06%	5.0692	-4.86%	0.0607	✓	1.20	446k	2022-02-10
COMP	Compound	Ethereum	188.96	186.9782	-1.05%	132.68	-29.78%	0.3640	✓	1.17	161k	2022-02-10
1INCH	1INCH	Ethereum	2.15	2.1282	-1.01%	1.8	-16.28%	0.1869	✓	1.08	3.3M	2022-02-10
ACM	AC Milan Fan Token	Solana	4.814	4.7673	-0.97%	4.61	-4.24%	0.0453	✓	0.65	481k	2022-02-10
XYM	Symbol	native	0.2062	0.204464	-0.84%	0.1806	-12.42%	0.1364	✓	0.69	428k	2022-02-10
UNI	Uniswap	Ethereum	15.98	15.8458	-0.84%	11.41	-28.60%	0.3518	✓	1.30	13.1M	2022-02-10
GRT	The Graph	Ethereum	0.5691	0.56439	-0.83%	0.4615	-18.91%	0.2246	✓	1.30	12.5M	2022-02-10
DOGE	Dogecoin	Dogecoin	0.153722	0.152687	-0.67%	0.151631	-1.36%	0.0268	✓	1.11	5.1M	2022-02-10
SOL	Solana	Solana	140.27	139.3901	-0.63%	106.25	-24.25%	0.2914	✓	1.11	194.0M	2022-02-10
SUN	Sun Token	Tron	0.018697	0.01858	-0.62%	0.017169	-8.17%	0.1008	✓	1.22	2.5M	2022-02-10
AAVE	Aave	Ethereum	213.29	212.0828	-0.57%	175.4	-17.76%	0.2109	✓	1.17	17.6M	2022-02-10
DOT	Polkadot	Polkadot	25.55	25.4072	-0.56%	20.51	-19.73%	0.2377	✓	1.32	70.4M	2022-02-10
NANO	nanopay	Base	3.0312	3.0144	-0.55%	2.3689	-21.85%	0.2608	✓	1.10	699k	2022-02-10
SNX	Synthetix	Ethereum	5.08	5.0529	-0.53%	5.23	+2.95%	0.0137	✗	1.15	3.3M	2022-02-10
ATM	Atletico Madrid Fan Token	Solana	6.78	6.7509	-0.43%	5.75	-15.19%	0.1722	✓	0.65	645k	2022-02-10
TRX	TRON	Tron	0.064934	0.064755	-0.28%	0.068608	+5.66%	0.0408	✗	0.95	552k	2022-02-10
WBTC	Wrapped Bitcoin	Ethereum	42,770.20	42,690.05	-0.19%	43,566.60	+1.86%	0.0027	✗	0.98	14k	2022-02-10
ASM	Assemble AI	Ethereum	0.07976	0.080101	+0.43%	0.05799	-27.29%	0.3486	✗	1.43	2.6M	2022-02-10
LTC	Litecoin	Litecoin	131.67	132.4303	+0.58%	134.59	+2.22%	0.0080	✗	1.35	35.0M	2022-02-10
XVS	Venus	Ethereum	13.71	13.8848	+1.27%	9.7	-29.25%	0.3792	✗	1.14	3.3M	2022-02-10
BCH	Bitcoin Cash	Bitcoin Cash	369.84	376.8055	+1.88%	341.1	-7.77%	0.1177	✗	1.01	8.5M	2022-02-10

Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.