2022-01-10 · +1d

gru_s4 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 139 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.

+1d +7d +30d asset cohort only

rank IC

+0.1849

139 of 139 tokens assessed

long-short decile

+4.40%

realised beta-adjusted alpha

direction hit

75.5%

in alpha space · 85.6% on raw price

BTC over horizon

+2.22%

the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (139 rows, sorted by pred)

token	name	chain	anchor px	pred px ▾	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d	vol 30d	target
NAKA	Nakamoto Games	Polygon	0.9491	0.957654	+0.90%	0.9389	-1.07%	0.0404	✗	0.94	3.2M	2022-01-11
LAZIO	Lazio Fan Token	Binance Smart Chain	3.8683	3.8907	+0.58%	4.1768	+7.98%	0.0432	✓	1.26	4.2M	2022-01-11
DUSK	DUSK	Ethereum	0.6017	0.605153	+0.57%	0.6826	+13.45%	0.0822	✓	1.74	38.7M	2022-01-11
PEOPLE	ConstitutionDAO	Ethereum	0.0772	0.077624	+0.55%	0.077	-0.26%	0.0300	✗	1.00	33.0M	2022-01-11
AAVE	Aave	Ethereum	199.9	200.9746	+0.54%	213.29	+6.70%	0.0350	✓	1.11	17.6M	2022-01-11
DOGE	Dogecoin	Dogecoin	0.143133	0.143884	+0.52%	0.153722	+7.40%	0.0424	✓	1.08	4.8M	2022-01-11
AGLD	Adventure Gold	Ethereum	1.34	1.3466	+0.50%	1.36	+1.49%	0.0264	✗	1.65	764k	2022-01-11
CTK	Shentu	Osmosis	1.327	1.3335	+0.49%	1.398	+5.35%	0.0179	✓	1.33	5.2M	2022-01-11
ENS	Ethereum Name Service	Ethereum	25.38	25.4964	+0.46%	26.75	+5.40%	0.0078	✓	1.83	5.4M	2022-01-11
LRC	Loopring	Ethereum	1.468	1.4745	+0.44%	1.4915	+1.60%	0.0302	✗	1.90	1.4M	2022-01-11
ATM	Atletico Madrid Fan Token	Solana	6.41	6.4379	+0.43%	6.78	+5.77%	0.0379	✓	0.63	645k	2022-01-11
SPELL	Spell	Ethereum	0.01395	0.01401	+0.43%	0.01458	+4.52%	0.0123	✗	2.37	26.8M	2022-01-11
GT	Gate	Ethereum	6.1496	6.1758	+0.43%	6.4129	+4.28%	0.0204	✓	0.79	3.7M	2022-01-11
VSYS	V.SYSTEMS	native	0.0154	0.015465	+0.42%	0.01644	+6.75%	0.0477	✓	0.61	29k	2022-01-11
TKO	Tokocrypto	Binance Smart Chain	1.031	1.0354	+0.42%	1.045	+1.36%	0.0113	✗	0.94	2.2M	2022-01-11
1INCH	1INCH	Ethereum	2.07	2.0787	+0.42%	2.15	+3.86%	0.0110	✓	1.03	3.4M	2022-01-11
UOS	Ultra	Ethereum	1.1319	1.1366	+0.41%	1.2365	+9.24%	0.0623	✓	1.00	3.3M	2022-01-11
XVG	Verge	native	0.01312	0.013173	+0.41%	0.01386	+5.64%	0.0244	✓	1.20	2.1M	2022-01-11
SUN	Sun Token	Tron	0.018158	0.018231	+0.40%	0.018697	+2.97%	0.0018	✓	1.23	2.5M	2022-01-11
DODO	DODO	Ethereum	0.704	0.706795	+0.40%	0.747	+6.11%	0.0246	✓	1.40	7.7M	2022-01-11
GRT	The Graph	Ethereum	0.5425	0.544622	+0.39%	0.5691	+4.90%	0.0177	✓	1.20	12.5M	2022-01-11
TRX	TRON	Tron	0.063485	0.063726	+0.38%	0.064934	+2.28%	0.0017	✓	0.93	552k	2022-01-11
PSG	Paris Saint-Germain Fan Token	Solana	14.26	14.3142	+0.38%	14.78	+3.65%	0.0177	✓	0.65	1.1M	2022-01-11
GODS	Gods Unchained	Ethereum	3.13	3.1417	+0.37%	2.93	-6.39%	0.0979	✗	1.28	3.2M	2022-01-11
ETC	Ethereum Classic	native	28.48	28.5848	+0.37%	29.69	+4.25%	0.0160	✓	1.00	3.2M	2022-01-11
MTL	Metal DAO	Metal L2	1.785	1.7916	+0.37%	1.86	+4.20%	0.0126	✓	1.13	2.3M	2022-01-11
COMP	Compound	Ethereum	182.25	182.9193	+0.37%	188.96	+3.68%	0.0077	✓	1.13	180k	2022-01-11
DKA	dKargo	Ethereum	0.09834	0.098699	+0.37%	0.10496	+6.73%	0.0373	✓	1.10	23k	2022-01-11
SOL	Solana	Solana	135.89	136.3703	+0.35%	140.27	+3.22%	0.0059	✓	1.02	194.0M	2022-01-11
BTC	Bitcoin	Bitcoin	41,824.07	41,970.87	+0.35%	42,753.44	+2.22%	0.0035	✗	1.00	750.1M	2022-01-11
ORBS	Orbs	Ethereum	0.0707	0.070943	+0.34%	0.076	+7.50%	0.0462	✓	1.03	19k	2022-01-11
DYDX	dYdX	Cosmos	6.4	6.4217	+0.34%	7.094	+10.84%	0.0728	✓	1.22	271k	2022-01-11
AUCTION	Bounce	Ethereum	20.09	20.158	+0.34%	20.39	+1.49%	0.0045	✗	0.73	1.1M	2022-01-11
XYM	Symbol	native	0.1815	0.182111	+0.34%	0.2062	+13.61%	0.1099	✓	0.65	410k	2022-01-11
RIF	Rootstock Infrastructure Framework	Ethereum	0.1739	0.174468	+0.33%	0.1778	+2.24%	0.0007	✓	0.89	479k	2022-01-11
XPR	XPR Network	Ethereum	0.01401	0.014056	+0.33%	0.01475	+5.28%	0.0203	✓	1.27	2.2M	2022-01-11
XMR	Monero	Monero	182.5	183.0911	+0.32%	193.01	+5.76%	0.0318	✓	0.96	2.9M	2022-01-11
CERE	Cere Network	Ethereum	0.0556	0.055779	+0.32%	0.0574	+3.24%	0.0007	✓	1.34	1.5M	2022-01-11
ARPA	ARPA	Ethereum	0.0794	0.07965	+0.32%	0.0824	+3.78%	0.0036	✓	1.38	1.2M	2022-01-11
ETH	Ethereum	Ethereum	3,083.51	3,093.09	+0.31%	3,240.83	+5.10%	0.0240	✓	1.03	591.9M	2022-01-11
AXS	Axie Infinity	Ethereum	68.4	68.6085	+0.30%	72.75	+6.36%	0.0359	✓	1.03	6.4M	2022-01-11
XEM	NEM	native	0.1116	0.111938	+0.30%	0.1145	+2.60%	0.0005	✓	1.01	67k	2022-01-11
PHA	PHALA	Ethereum	0.343	0.34403	+0.30%	0.361	+5.25%	0.0325	✓	0.71	38k	2022-01-11
MANA	Decentraland	Ethereum	2.818	2.8265	+0.30%	2.9312	+4.02%	0.0145	✓	1.00	5.5M	2022-01-11
RLC	iExec RLC	Ethereum	2.73	2.7379	+0.29%	2.8	+2.56%	0.0063	✗	1.31	3.2M	2022-01-11
JASMY	JasmyCoin	Ethereum	0.06891	0.06911	+0.29%	0.07076	+2.68%	0.0030	✗	1.21	16.9M	2022-01-11
TWT	Trust Wallet	Binance Smart Chain	0.6318	0.633595	+0.28%	0.6511	+3.05%	0.0002	✓	1.23	4.4M	2022-01-11
MED	Medibloc	Osmosis	0.0467	0.046833	+0.28%	0.04765	+2.03%	0.0063	✗	1.07	17k	2022-01-11
NANO	nanopay	Base	2.8841	2.892	+0.27%	3.0312	+5.10%	0.0234	✓	1.07	665k	2022-01-11
LCX	LCX	Ethereum	0.1409	0.141284	+0.27%	0.1471	+4.40%	0.0132	✓	1.23	2.1M	2022-01-11
XVS	Venus	Ethereum	13.18	13.2157	+0.27%	13.71	+4.02%	0.0120	✓	1.13	3.4M	2022-01-11
CELL	Cellframe	Ethereum	0.8077	0.809855	+0.27%	0.8921	+10.45%	0.0747	✓	1.00	129k	2022-01-11
BAR	FC Barcelona Fan Token	Solana	7.57	7.5902	+0.27%	8	+5.68%	0.0394	✓	0.60	714k	2022-01-11
BAT	Basic Attention	Ethereum	0.99938	1.002	+0.26%	1.0548	+5.54%	0.0131	✓	1.74	1.0M	2022-01-11
COTI	COTI	Ethereum	0.3129	0.313723	+0.26%	0.3363	+7.48%	0.0382	✓	1.42	4.1M	2022-01-11
TRB	Tellor Tributes	Ethereum	28.01	28.0819	+0.26%	29.43	+5.07%	0.0149	✓	1.45	1.0M	2022-01-11
STORJ	Storj	Ethereum	1.5156	1.5195	+0.26%	1.5924	+5.07%	0.0281	✓	0.85	647k	2022-01-11
ADA	Cardano	Cardano	1.1235	1.1264	+0.26%	1.1879	+5.73%	0.0298	✓	1.07	95.6M	2022-01-11
SNX	Synthetix	Ethereum	4.88	4.8919	+0.24%	5.08	+4.10%	0.0128	✓	1.13	3.3M	2022-01-11
BCH	Bitcoin Cash	Bitcoin Cash	363.56	364.4417	+0.24%	369.84	+1.73%	0.0072	✗	1.00	8.5M	2022-01-11
SHIB	Shiba Inu	Ethereum	0.0000267	0.000026765	+0.24%	0.00002762	+3.45%	0.0043	✓	1.24	1.7M	2022-01-11
SANTOS	Santos FC Fan Token	Binance Smart Chain	2.704	2.7104	+0.24%	3.766	+39.28%	0.2947	✓	1.56	1.2M	2022-01-11
KSM	Kusama	Hydration	242.17	242.716	+0.23%	260.77	+7.68%	0.0471	✓	1.12	1.3M	2022-01-11
LSK	Lisk	Ethereum	2.0021	2.0066	+0.22%	2.1025	+5.02%	0.0241	✓	1.03	83k	2022-01-11
API3	Api3	Ethereum	3.57	3.5779	+0.22%	3.54	-0.84%	0.0260	✗	0.70	493k	2022-01-11
BEL	Bella Protocol	Ethereum	1.188	1.1906	+0.22%	1.273	+7.15%	0.0380	✓	1.32	2.9M	2022-01-11
RAD	Radworks	Ethereum	7.85	7.8672	+0.22%	8.01	+2.04%	0.0016	✓	0.89	1.1M	2022-01-11
QNT	Quant	Ethereum	166.33	166.6905	+0.22%	169.57	+1.95%	0.0033	✗	0.93	7.6M	2022-01-11
OMG	OMG Network	Ethereum	5.1021	5.113	+0.21%	5.328	+4.43%	0.0163	✓	1.13	446k	2022-01-11
BCHSV	Bitcoin Cash SV		105.99	106.2172	+0.21%	110.22	+3.99%	0.0166	✓	0.93	2.6M	2022-01-11
PORTO	FC Porto	Binance Smart Chain	2.8409	2.847	+0.21%	3.1857	+12.14%	0.0869	✓	1.16	2.5M	2022-01-11
NMR	Numeraire	Ethereum	27.36	27.4183	+0.21%	28.42	+3.87%	0.0213	✓	0.66	370k	2022-01-11
EWT	Energy Web Token	Ethereum	7.507	7.5228	+0.21%	8.221	+9.51%	0.0741	✓	0.67	231k	2022-01-11
JUV	Juventus Fan Token	Solana	7.61	7.6259	+0.21%	8.1	+6.44%	0.0444	✓	0.72	705k	2022-01-11
SKL	SKALE	Ethereum	0.1582	0.158525	+0.21%	0.1605	+1.45%	0.0140	✗	1.20	4.2M	2022-01-11
CHZ	Chiliz	Ethereum	0.251	0.251514	+0.20%	0.2641	+5.22%	0.0203	✓	1.30	4.6M	2022-01-11
XEC	eCash	native	0.00009039	0.000090575	+0.20%	0.00009356	+3.51%	0.0108	✓	0.99	6.7M	2022-01-11
ASR	AS Roma Fan Token	Solana	3.579	3.5861	+0.20%	3.818	+6.68%	0.0478	✓	0.68	514k	2022-01-11
DNT	district0x	Ethereum	0.108	0.108209	+0.19%	0.1102	+2.04%	0.0061	✗	1.11	296k	2022-01-11
AMP	Amp	Ethereum	0.04207	0.042149	+0.19%	0.04184	-0.55%	0.0270	✗	0.89	8.2M	2022-01-11
QTUM	Qtum	Qtum	7.2356	7.2485	+0.18%	7.521	+3.95%	0.0071	✓	1.36	268k	2022-01-11
MASK	Mask Network	Ethereum	8.92	8.9356	+0.17%	9.67	+8.41%	0.0647	✓	0.65	1.2M	2022-01-11
CTSI	Cartesi	Ethereum	0.55	0.550933	+0.17%	0.5799	+5.44%	0.0218	✓	1.34	2.7M	2022-01-11
FIL	Filecoin	Filecoin	28.14	28.187	+0.17%	28.89	+2.67%	0.0018	✓	1.04	18.5M	2022-01-11
ZEN	Horizen	Base	53.33	53.4176	+0.16%	56.11	+5.21%	0.0183	✓	1.40	736k	2022-01-11
XYO	XYO Network	Ethereum	0.027645	0.02769	+0.16%	0.029265	+5.86%	0.0329	✓	1.02	6.3M	2022-01-11
UNI	Uniswap	Ethereum	15.11	15.1346	+0.16%	15.98	+5.76%	0.0266	✓	1.26	13.1M	2022-01-11
LTC	Litecoin	Litecoin	126.52	126.7255	+0.16%	131.67	+4.07%	0.0091	✓	1.33	35.1M	2022-01-11
ANKR	Ankr Network	Ethereum	0.08602	0.086159	+0.16%	0.09134	+6.18%	0.0433	✓	0.68	52k	2022-01-11
HIVE	Hive	native	1.2679	1.2699	+0.16%	1.3102	+3.34%	0.0012	✓	1.37	4.5M	2022-01-11
AVAX	Avalanche	Avalanche	84.46	84.5906	+0.15%	89.66	+6.16%	0.0342	✓	1.09	115.7M	2022-01-11
ALGO	Algorand	Algorand	1.3624	1.3645	+0.15%	1.4467	+6.19%	0.0344	✓	1.10	32.1M	2022-01-11
ZEC	Zcash	Zcash	141.24	141.4547	+0.15%	141.38	+0.10%	0.0282	✗	1.26	10.9M	2022-01-11
ACM	AC Milan Fan Token	Solana	4.513	4.5196	+0.15%	4.814	+6.67%	0.0495	✓	0.62	474k	2022-01-11
BAND	Band	Ethereum	5.04	5.0474	+0.15%	5.14	+1.98%	0.0055	✗	1.08	2.2M	2022-01-11
SC	Siacoin	native	0.01297	0.012989	+0.14%	0.0135	+4.09%	0.0174	✓	0.97	756k	2022-01-11
XLM	Stellar	Stellar	0.253061	0.25342	+0.14%	0.263177	+4.00%	0.0156	✓	1.01	24.0M	2022-01-11
FTT	FTX	Ethereum	38.11	38.1611	+0.13%	39.78	+4.38%	0.0187	✓	1.04	20.0M	2022-01-11
CBK	Cobak	Ethereum	2.717	2.7205	+0.13%	2.765	+1.77%	0.0034	✗	0.89	31k	2022-01-11
LUNA	Terra	Terra 2	69.46	69.5446	+0.12%	73.57	+5.92%	0.0343	✓	1.00	7.2M	2022-01-11
ZRX	0x Protocol	Ethereum	0.689086	0.689921	+0.12%	0.718632	+4.29%	0.0169	✓	1.09	2.6M	2022-01-11
DEXE	DeXe	Ethereum	9.5	9.5102	+0.11%	9.73	+2.42%	0.0242	✓	-0.06	1.8M	2022-01-11
ENJ	Enjin Coin	Ethereum	2.167	2.1693	+0.11%	2.311	+6.65%	0.0400	✓	1.06	1.9M	2022-01-11
OGN	Origin Token	Ethereum	0.497	0.497521	+0.10%	0.516	+3.82%	0.0087	✓	1.27	2.1M	2022-01-11
DOT	Polkadot	Polkadot	23.72	23.7439	+0.10%	25.55	+7.72%	0.0454	✓	1.27	70.4M	2022-01-11
SUPER	SuperVerse	Ethereum	0.94	0.940919	+0.10%	0.96	+2.13%	0.0183	✗	1.75	1.6M	2022-01-11
OXT	Orchid Protocol	Ethereum	0.299	0.299288	+0.10%	0.3101	+3.71%	0.0079	✓	1.26	2.3M	2022-01-11
UMA	UMA	Ethereum	8.37	8.378	+0.10%	8.65	+3.35%	0.0109	✓	0.96	4.4M	2022-01-11
BNT	Bancor Network	Ethereum	3.13	3.1329	+0.09%	3.2	+2.24%	0.0000	✓	0.96	977k	2022-01-11
OG	OG Fan Token	Solana	4.203	4.2057	+0.07%	4.382	+4.26%	0.0242	✓	0.77	1.1M	2022-01-11
TRAC	OriginTrail	Ethereum	1.0287	1.0292	+0.05%	1.025	-0.36%	0.0350	✗	1.40	1.5M	2022-01-11
MOVR	Moonriver	Base	155.6792	155.7553	+0.05%	165.565	+6.35%	0.0397	✓	0.97	515k	2022-01-11
MINA	Mina Protocol	native	3.2	3.2014	+0.04%	3.45	+7.81%	0.0526	✓	1.01	715k	2022-01-11
CITY	Manchester City Fan Token	Solana	9.84	9.8437	+0.04%	10.19	+3.56%	0.0184	✓	0.74	994k	2022-01-11
METRONOME	METRONOME		3.7258	3.7271	+0.03%	3.8424	+3.13%	0.0154	✓	0.69	3,355	2022-01-11
IOTA	IOTA	IOTA	1.1115	1.1118	+0.03%	1.141	+2.65%	0.0050	✓	0.95	22.7M	2022-01-11
CWEB	Coinweb	Ethereum	0.08637	0.086394	+0.03%	0.086423	+0.06%	0.0216	✗	1.00	3.0M	2022-01-11
CVC	Civic	Ethereum	0.3128	0.312871	+0.02%	0.3228	+3.20%	0.0093	✓	1.00	397k	2022-01-11
WBTC	Wrapped Bitcoin	Ethereum	41,624.60	41,634.05	+0.02%	42,770.20	+2.75%	0.0055	✓	0.98	12k	2022-01-11
LEO	LEO Token	Ethereum	3.7419	3.7423	+0.01%	3.7323	-0.26%	0.0009	✗	-0.08	364k	2022-01-11
KCS	KuCoin	native	19.007	19.0082	+0.01%	19.378	+1.95%	0.0160	✗	1.60	13.0M	2022-01-11
IMX	Immutable	Ethereum	3.79	3.7895	-0.01%	3.61	-4.75%	0.0801	✓	1.44	2.4M	2022-01-11
XTZ	Tezos	Tezos	4.0324	4.0316	-0.02%	4.1752	+3.54%	0.0058	✗	1.33	4.6M	2022-01-11
LPT	Livepeer	Ethereum	33.37	33.3627	-0.02%	36.84	+10.40%	0.0635	✗	1.62	2.8M	2022-01-11
CRV	Curve DAO	Ethereum	4.32	4.3189	-0.03%	4.61	+6.71%	0.0351	✗	1.37	30.4M	2022-01-11
ASM	Assemble AI	Ethereum	0.07934	0.079319	-0.03%	0.07976	+0.53%	0.0260	✓	1.44	2.5M	2022-01-11
SUSHI	Sushi	Ethereum	6.56	6.5579	-0.03%	6.99	+6.55%	0.0356	✗	1.28	18.2M	2022-01-11
GITCOIN	GITCOIN		10.645	10.6404	-0.04%	11.203	+5.24%	0.0497	✗	0.08	56k	2022-01-11
DASH	Dash	Dash	148.17	148.0979	-0.05%	141.85	-4.27%	0.0698	✓	1.22	2.1M	2022-01-11
BFC	Bifrost	Ethereum	0.17081	0.170725	-0.05%	0.17303	+1.30%	0.0206	✓	1.55	4,992	2022-01-11
KNC	Kyber Network Crystal	Ethereum	1.3749	1.374	-0.06%	1.3709	-0.29%	0.0214	✓	0.87	922k	2022-01-11
BICO	Biconomy	Ethereum	3.48	3.4763	-0.11%	3.57	+2.59%	0.0007	✓	1.24	9.3M	2022-01-11
GTC	Gitcoin	Ethereum	10.7	10.6818	-0.17%	11.23	+4.95%	0.0469	✗	0.14	2.8M	2022-01-11
ICP	Internet Computer	Ethereum	34.29	34.221	-0.20%	34.45	+0.47%	0.0237	✓	1.38	28.0M	2022-01-11
LINK	Chainlink	Ethereum	27.98	27.9171	-0.22%	26.6	-4.93%	0.0736	✓	1.15	69.7M	2022-01-11
YFI	yearn.finance	Ethereum	32,010.24	31,937.27	-0.23%	32,768.96	+2.37%	0.0115	✗	0.65	26.4M	2022-01-11
ATOM	Cosmos Hub	Cosmos	37.83	37.6582	-0.45%	38.71	+2.33%	0.0074	✗	0.92	57.0M	2022-01-11
POWR	Powerledger	Ethereum	0.6249	0.618426	-1.04%	0.6261	+0.19%	0.0200	✓	1.47	650k	2022-01-11
ACH	Alchemy Pay	Ethereum	0.081082	0.080178	-1.11%	0.064925	-19.93%	0.2393	✓	1.29	7.3M	2022-01-11

Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.