2022-01-10 · +30d

gru_s4 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 139 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.

+1d +7d +30d asset cohort only

rank IC

+0.1079

139 of 139 tokens assessed

long-short decile

+15.90%

realised beta-adjusted alpha

direction hit

78.4%

in alpha space · 64.0% on raw price

BTC over horizon

+6.20%

the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (139 rows, sorted by pred)

token	name	chain	anchor px	pred px ▴	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d	vol 30d	target
POWR	Powerledger	Ethereum	0.6249	0.563818	-9.77%	0.6017	-3.71%	0.0234	✓	1.47	650k	2022-02-09
DUSK	DUSK	Ethereum	0.6017	0.547225	-9.05%	0.5665	-5.85%	0.0715	✓	1.76	38.7M	2022-02-09
GTC	Gitcoin	Ethereum	10.7	9.9246	-7.25%	9.31	-12.99%	0.0707	✓	0.11	2.8M	2022-02-09
CWEB	Coinweb	Ethereum	0.08637	0.080415	-6.89%	0.03747	-56.62%	0.8238	✓	1.00	3.0M	2022-02-09
ATOM	Cosmos Hub	Cosmos	37.83	35.242	-6.84%	30.94	-18.21%	0.1854	✓	0.92	57.0M	2022-02-09
YFI	yearn.finance	Ethereum	32,010.24	29,998.22	-6.29%	26,293.98	-17.86%	0.1702	✓	0.64	26.4M	2022-02-09
BFC	Bifrost	Ethereum	0.17081	0.160268	-6.17%	0.23058	+34.99%	0.2694	✗	1.57	4,992	2022-02-09
GODS	Gods Unchained	Ethereum	3.13	2.9459	-5.88%	2.21	-29.39%	0.3643	✓	1.28	3.2M	2022-02-09
CVC	Civic	Ethereum	0.3128	0.294453	-5.87%	0.3185	+1.82%	0.0184	✓	1.00	397k	2022-02-09
HIVE	Hive	native	1.2679	1.1957	-5.69%	1.1728	-7.50%	0.1030	✓	1.39	4.5M	2022-02-09
BICO	Biconomy	Ethereum	3.48	3.2828	-5.67%	2.28	-34.48%	0.4393	✓	1.24	9.3M	2022-02-09
ACH	Alchemy Pay	Ethereum	0.081082	0.076535	-5.61%	0.05819	-28.23%	0.3535	✓	1.32	7.3M	2022-02-09
LINK	Chainlink	Ethereum	27.98	26.427	-5.55%	18.7	-33.17%	0.4189	✓	1.21	69.7M	2022-02-09
METRONOME	METRONOME		3.7258	3.5221	-5.47%	3.8694	+3.85%	0.0490	✓	0.75	3,355	2022-02-09
GITCOIN	GITCOIN		10.645	10.0896	-5.22%	9.329	-12.36%	0.0815	✓	0.05	56k	2022-02-09
MASK	Mask Network	Ethereum	8.92	8.4551	-5.21%	7.06	-20.85%	0.2201	✓	0.66	1.2M	2022-02-09
CRV	Curve DAO	Ethereum	4.32	4.0976	-5.15%	3.5	-18.98%	0.2418	✓	1.40	30.4M	2022-02-09
DEXE	DeXe	Ethereum	9.5	9.0279	-4.97%	7.48	-21.26%	0.1842	✓	-0.07	1.8M	2022-02-09
PEOPLE	ConstitutionDAO	Ethereum	0.0772	0.073475	-4.83%	0.086	+11.40%	0.0973	✗	1.00	33.0M	2022-02-09
API3	Api3	Ethereum	3.57	3.4132	-4.39%	4.04	+13.17%	0.1267	✗	0.70	493k	2022-02-09
ALGO	Algorand	Algorand	1.3624	1.3027	-4.39%	1.0371	-23.88%	0.2965	✓	1.14	32.1M	2022-02-09
KNC	Kyber Network Crystal	Ethereum	1.3749	1.3168	-4.23%	1.9679	+43.13%	0.3491	✗	0.88	922k	2022-02-09
BAT	Basic Attention	Ethereum	0.99938	0.957274	-4.21%	0.94117	-5.82%	0.1239	✓	1.78	1.0M	2022-02-09
LPT	Livepeer	Ethereum	33.37	31.9712	-4.19%	33.92	+1.65%	0.0387	✓	1.63	2.8M	2022-02-09
LUNA	Terra	Terra 2	69.46	66.6385	-4.06%	57.56	-17.13%	0.2066	✓	1.00	7.2M	2022-02-09
IMX	Immutable	Ethereum	3.79	3.6373	-4.03%	2.81	-25.86%	0.3444	✓	1.44	2.4M	2022-02-09
SPELL	Spell	Ethereum	0.01395	0.013397	-3.97%	0.00744	-46.67%	0.7309	✓	2.37	26.8M	2022-02-09
OGN	Origin Token	Ethereum	0.497	0.477413	-3.94%	0.406	-18.31%	0.2395	✓	1.29	2.1M	2022-02-09
CTSI	Cartesi	Ethereum	0.55	0.52834	-3.94%	0.5406	-1.71%	0.0582	✓	1.35	2.7M	2022-02-09
MINA	Mina Protocol	native	3.2	3.074	-3.94%	2.94	-8.12%	0.1069	✓	1.04	715k	2022-02-09
LSK	Lisk	Ethereum	2.0021	1.9234	-3.93%	1.9982	-0.20%	0.0284	✓	1.11	83k	2022-02-09
ENJ	Enjin Coin	Ethereum	2.167	2.0828	-3.88%	2.16	-0.32%	0.0283	✓	1.08	1.9M	2022-02-09
ICP	Internet Computer	Ethereum	34.29	33.0459	-3.63%	23.1	-32.63%	0.4425	✓	1.40	28.0M	2022-02-09
DASH	Dash	Dash	148.17	142.8211	-3.61%	114.95	-22.42%	0.2921	✓	1.25	2.1M	2022-02-09
UMA	UMA	Ethereum	8.37	8.0756	-3.52%	6.66	-20.43%	0.2499	✓	0.95	4.4M	2022-02-09
ZEN	Horizen	Base	53.33	51.4697	-3.49%	47.83	-10.31%	0.1629	✓	1.49	736k	2022-02-09
BAND	Band	Ethereum	5.04	4.8648	-3.48%	4.17	-17.26%	0.2209	✓	1.11	2.2M	2022-02-09
MANA	Decentraland	Ethereum	2.818	2.7213	-3.43%	3.3415	+18.58%	0.1451	✗	1.00	5.5M	2022-02-09
SC	Siacoin	native	0.01297	0.012528	-3.41%	0.01205	-7.09%	0.0976	✓	0.98	756k	2022-02-09
AVAX	Avalanche	Avalanche	84.46	81.6053	-3.38%	90.18	+6.77%	0.0307	✓	1.15	115.7M	2022-02-09
MOVR	Moonriver	Base	155.6792	150.4918	-3.33%	107.0699	-31.22%	0.4073	✓	1.11	515k	2022-02-09
UOS	Ultra	Ethereum	1.1319	1.095	-3.26%	1.2907	+14.03%	0.1040	✗	1.00	3.3M	2022-02-09
STORJ	Storj	Ethereum	1.5156	1.4667	-3.22%	1.3519	-10.80%	0.1328	✓	0.85	647k	2022-02-09
CELL	Cellframe	Ethereum	0.8077	0.781829	-3.20%	1.3852	+71.50%	0.5118	✗	1.00	129k	2022-02-09
LEO	LEO Token	Ethereum	3.7419	3.6231	-3.17%	6.8052	+81.86%	0.6351	✗	-0.08	364k	2022-02-09
ZEC	Zcash	Zcash	141.24	136.8203	-3.13%	126.05	-10.75%	0.1620	✓	1.33	10.9M	2022-02-09
SUSHI	Sushi	Ethereum	6.56	6.3567	-3.10%	4.76	-27.44%	0.3672	✓	1.30	18.2M	2022-02-09
IOTA	IOTA	IOTA	1.1115	1.0779	-3.02%	1.0216	-8.09%	0.1126	✓	0.98	22.7M	2022-02-09
SHIB	Shiba Inu	Ethereum	0.0000267	0.000025897	-3.01%	0.00003298	+23.52%	0.1675	✗	1.24	1.7M	2022-02-09
SUPER	SuperVerse	Ethereum	0.94	0.911757	-3.00%	1.09	+15.96%	0.0736	✗	1.75	1.6M	2022-02-09
DYDX	dYdX	Cosmos	6.4	6.2166	-2.87%	8.263	+29.11%	0.2089	✗	1.26	271k	2022-02-09
SANTOS	Santos FC Fan Token	Binance Smart Chain	2.704	2.6278	-2.82%	3.083	+14.02%	0.0661	✗	1.56	1.2M	2022-02-09
CBK	Cobak	Ethereum	2.717	2.6425	-2.74%	2.609	-3.97%	0.0671	✓	0.90	31k	2022-02-09
XLM	Stellar	Stellar	0.253061	0.246168	-2.72%	0.238854	-5.61%	0.0913	✓	1.02	24.0M	2022-02-09
AGLD	Adventure Gold	Ethereum	1.34	1.304	-2.68%	1.43	+6.72%	0.0089	✓	1.68	764k	2022-02-09
PORTO	FC Porto	Binance Smart Chain	2.8409	2.765	-2.67%	3.885	+36.75%	0.2703	✗	1.16	2.5M	2022-02-09
QNT	Quant	Ethereum	166.33	161.9568	-2.63%	150.18	-9.71%	0.1325	✓	0.95	7.6M	2022-02-09
CITY	Manchester City Fan Token	Solana	9.84	9.5891	-2.55%	10.91	+10.87%	0.0847	✗	0.74	994k	2022-02-09
DNT	district0x	Ethereum	0.108	0.105268	-2.53%	0.0943	-12.69%	0.1765	✓	1.11	296k	2022-02-09
NAKA	Nakamoto Games	Polygon	0.9491	0.925474	-2.49%	0.8202	-13.58%	0.1751	✓	0.90	3.2M	2022-02-09
ORBS	Orbs	Ethereum	0.0707	0.068949	-2.48%	0.0794	+12.31%	0.0771	✗	1.06	19k	2022-02-09
AMP	Amp	Ethereum	0.04207	0.041036	-2.46%	0.0312	-25.84%	0.3291	✓	0.92	8.2M	2022-02-09
XPR	XPR Network	Ethereum	0.01401	0.013672	-2.42%	0.01509	+7.71%	0.0207	✓	1.30	2.2M	2022-02-09
KCS	KuCoin	native	19.007	18.5521	-2.39%	20.705	+8.93%	0.0121	✓	1.62	13.0M	2022-02-09
MED	Medibloc	Osmosis	0.0467	0.045614	-2.33%	0.0468	+0.21%	0.0420	✓	1.12	17k	2022-02-09
RAD	Radworks	Ethereum	7.85	7.6689	-2.31%	6.08	-22.55%	0.2858	✓	0.89	1.1M	2022-02-09
XMR	Monero	Monero	182.5	178.3659	-2.27%	185.83	+1.82%	0.0205	✓	1.02	2.9M	2022-02-09
DODO	DODO	Ethereum	0.704	0.688778	-2.16%	0.591	-16.05%	0.2393	✓	1.43	7.7M	2022-02-09
EWT	Energy Web Token	Ethereum	7.507	7.3458	-2.15%	6.897	-8.13%	0.1014	✓	0.64	231k	2022-02-09
TRB	Tellor Tributes	Ethereum	28.01	27.4293	-2.07%	25.8	-7.89%	0.1526	✓	1.52	1.0M	2022-02-09
CHZ	Chiliz	Ethereum	0.251	0.24588	-2.04%	0.2412	-3.90%	0.0984	✓	1.32	4.6M	2022-02-09
JUV	Juventus Fan Token	Solana	7.61	7.4558	-2.03%	7.18	-5.65%	0.0832	✓	0.76	705k	2022-02-09
GT	Gate	Ethereum	6.1496	6.0267	-2.00%	7.0423	+14.52%	0.1052	✗	0.84	3.7M	2022-02-09
CTK	Shentu	Osmosis	1.327	1.3007	-1.99%	1.43	+7.76%	0.0137	✓	1.35	5.2M	2022-02-09
TRAC	OriginTrail	Ethereum	1.0287	1.0086	-1.95%	0.7609	-26.03%	0.3662	✓	1.40	1.5M	2022-02-09
BNT	Bancor Network	Ethereum	3.13	3.0689	-1.95%	2.83	-9.58%	0.1403	✓	0.98	977k	2022-02-09
XTZ	Tezos	Tezos	4.0324	3.9556	-1.91%	4.4429	+10.18%	0.0351	✗	1.35	4.6M	2022-02-09
ADA	Cardano	Cardano	1.1235	1.1022	-1.89%	1.1947	+6.34%	0.0148	✓	1.09	95.6M	2022-02-09
PSG	Paris Saint-Germain Fan Token	Solana	14.26	13.9924	-1.88%	18.16	+27.35%	0.2210	✗	0.66	1.1M	2022-02-09
XEM	NEM	native	0.1116	0.109546	-1.84%	0.1212	+8.60%	0.0382	✗	1.05	67k	2022-02-09
TWT	Trust Wallet	Binance Smart Chain	0.6318	0.620674	-1.76%	0.6233	-1.35%	0.0711	✓	1.25	4.4M	2022-02-09
NMR	Numeraire	Ethereum	27.36	26.8912	-1.71%	28.48	+4.09%	0.0157	✓	0.69	370k	2022-02-09
COTI	COTI	Ethereum	0.3129	0.307593	-1.70%	0.3218	+2.84%	0.0445	✓	1.49	4.1M	2022-02-09
JASMY	JasmyCoin	Ethereum	0.06891	0.067743	-1.69%	0.041	-40.50%	0.5759	✓	1.23	16.9M	2022-02-09
ARPA	ARPA	Ethereum	0.0794	0.078058	-1.69%	0.0867	+9.19%	0.0224	✗	1.37	1.2M	2022-02-09
SKL	SKALE	Ethereum	0.1582	0.155536	-1.68%	0.1429	-9.67%	0.1591	✓	1.24	4.2M	2022-02-09
AUCTION	Bounce	Ethereum	20.09	19.7721	-1.58%	16.51	-17.82%	0.2429	✓	1.04	1.1M	2022-02-09
FTT	FTX	Ethereum	38.11	37.5076	-1.58%	47.97	+25.87%	0.1806	✗	1.09	20.0M	2022-02-09
BCHSV	Bitcoin Cash SV		105.99	104.3706	-1.53%	101.5	-4.24%	0.0848	✓	0.95	2.6M	2022-02-09
VSYS	V.SYSTEMS	native	0.0154	0.015169	-1.50%	0.01324	-14.03%	0.1769	✓	0.68	29k	2022-02-09
ASR	AS Roma Fan Token	Solana	3.579	3.5257	-1.49%	3.347	-6.48%	0.0927	✓	0.68	514k	2022-02-09
ZRX	0x Protocol	Ethereum	0.689086	0.678852	-1.49%	0.706728	+2.56%	0.0281	✓	1.14	2.6M	2022-02-09
XYO	XYO Network	Ethereum	0.027645	0.027235	-1.48%	0.024233	-12.34%	0.1781	✓	1.02	6.3M	2022-02-09
XEC	eCash	native	0.00009039	0.00008907	-1.46%	0.00009721	+7.55%	0.0276	✗	1.00	6.7M	2022-02-09
ETH	Ethereum	Ethereum	3,083.51	3,039.68	-1.42%	3,246.22	+5.28%	0.0023	✓	1.05	591.9M	2022-02-09
QTUM	Qtum	Qtum	7.2356	7.1334	-1.41%	7.2042	-0.43%	0.0756	✓	1.42	268k	2022-02-09
OXT	Orchid Protocol	Ethereum	0.299	0.294854	-1.39%	0.2963	-0.90%	0.0708	✓	1.26	2.3M	2022-02-09
FIL	Filecoin	Filecoin	28.14	27.7533	-1.37%	24.32	-13.57%	0.1950	✓	1.05	18.5M	2022-02-09
CERE	Cere Network	Ethereum	0.0556	0.054841	-1.36%	0.0337	-39.39%	0.5673	✓	1.34	1.5M	2022-02-09
RIF	Rootstock Infrastructure Framework	Ethereum	0.1739	0.171633	-1.30%	0.1678	-3.51%	0.0775	✓	0.91	479k	2022-02-09
DKA	dKargo	Ethereum	0.09834	0.097087	-1.27%	0.10785	+9.67%	0.0377	✗	1.12	23k	2022-02-09
OG	OG Fan Token	Solana	4.203	4.1501	-1.26%	3.796	-9.68%	0.1363	✓	0.78	1.1M	2022-02-09
ACM	AC Milan Fan Token	Solana	4.513	4.4585	-1.21%	4.801	+6.38%	0.0359	✗	0.63	474k	2022-02-09
LAZIO	Lazio Fan Token	Binance Smart Chain	3.8683	3.8218	-1.20%	3.8968	+0.74%	0.0564	✓	1.26	4.2M	2022-02-09
BTC	Bitcoin	Bitcoin	41,824.07	41,337.75	-1.16%	44,416.35	+6.20%	0.0117	✓	1.00	750.1M	2022-02-09
KSM	Kusama	Hydration	242.17	239.3708	-1.16%	192.22	-20.63%	0.2886	✓	1.15	1.3M	2022-02-09
ETC	Ethereum Classic	native	28.48	28.1541	-1.14%	33.84	+18.82%	0.1214	✗	1.04	3.2M	2022-02-09
ANKR	Ankr Network	Ethereum	0.08602	0.08504	-1.14%	0.08573	-0.34%	0.0330	✓	0.68	52k	2022-02-09
LRC	Loopring	Ethereum	1.468	1.4513	-1.14%	1.0976	-25.23%	0.3950	✓	1.92	1.4M	2022-02-09
ENS	Ethereum Name Service	Ethereum	25.38	25.1216	-1.02%	21.27	-16.19%	0.2764	✓	1.83	5.4M	2022-02-09
MTL	Metal DAO	Metal L2	1.785	1.7669	-1.01%	1.832	+2.63%	0.0327	✓	1.15	2.3M	2022-02-09
BAR	FC Barcelona Fan Token	Solana	7.57	7.4942	-1.00%	7.14	-5.68%	0.0850	✓	0.61	714k	2022-02-09
RLC	iExec RLC	Ethereum	2.73	2.7029	-0.99%	2.28	-16.48%	0.2497	✓	1.32	3.2M	2022-02-09
TKO	Tokocrypto	Binance Smart Chain	1.031	1.0211	-0.96%	0.827	-19.79%	0.2683	✓	0.96	2.2M	2022-02-09
LCX	LCX	Ethereum	0.1409	0.139573	-0.94%	0.1237	-12.21%	0.1950	✓	1.23	2.1M	2022-02-09
1INCH	1INCH	Ethereum	2.07	2.0508	-0.93%	1.93	-6.76%	0.1254	✓	1.08	3.4M	2022-02-09
OMG	OMG Network	Ethereum	5.1021	5.0561	-0.90%	5.3633	+5.12%	0.0127	✓	1.19	446k	2022-02-09
PHA	PHALA	Ethereum	0.343	0.340056	-0.86%	0.288	-16.03%	0.2095	✓	0.72	38k	2022-02-09
BEL	Bella Protocol	Ethereum	1.188	1.179	-0.76%	1.086	-8.59%	0.1619	✓	1.33	2.9M	2022-02-09
AXS	Axie Infinity	Ethereum	68.4	67.9181	-0.70%	67.62	-1.14%	0.0665	✓	1.03	6.4M	2022-02-09
XVG	Verge	native	0.01312	0.013041	-0.60%	0.01253	-4.50%	0.1125	✓	1.21	2.1M	2022-02-09
DOGE	Dogecoin	Dogecoin	0.143133	0.142434	-0.49%	0.159048	+11.12%	0.0447	✗	1.09	4.8M	2022-02-09
SUN	Sun Token	Tron	0.018158	0.018074	-0.46%	0.017007	-6.34%	0.1340	✓	1.22	2.5M	2022-02-09
COMP	Compound	Ethereum	182.25	181.4738	-0.43%	144.23	-20.86%	0.2996	✓	1.16	180k	2022-02-09
GRT	The Graph	Ethereum	0.5425	0.540393	-0.39%	0.4877	-10.10%	0.1805	✓	1.29	12.5M	2022-02-09
NANO	nanopay	Base	2.8841	2.8735	-0.37%	2.4	-16.79%	0.2458	✓	1.09	665k	2022-02-09
UNI	Uniswap	Ethereum	15.11	15.06	-0.33%	12.33	-18.40%	0.2776	✓	1.29	13.1M	2022-02-09
SOL	Solana	Solana	135.89	135.5425	-0.26%	114.04	-16.08%	0.2394	✓	1.11	194.0M	2022-02-09
ATM	Atletico Madrid Fan Token	Solana	6.41	6.3937	-0.25%	6	-6.40%	0.1017	✓	0.63	645k	2022-02-09
DOT	Polkadot	Polkadot	23.72	23.6992	-0.09%	21.97	-7.38%	0.1539	✓	1.30	70.4M	2022-02-09
XYM	Symbol	native	0.1815	0.181382	-0.06%	0.1868	+2.92%	0.0095	✓	0.65	410k	2022-02-09
TRX	TRON	Tron	0.063485	0.063511	+0.04%	0.069943	+10.17%	0.0395	✓	0.95	552k	2022-02-09
SNX	Synthetix	Ethereum	4.88	4.8821	+0.04%	5.84	+19.67%	0.1101	✓	1.15	3.3M	2022-02-09
AAVE	Aave	Ethereum	199.9	200.0769	+0.09%	188.2	-5.85%	0.1307	✗	1.16	17.6M	2022-02-09
WBTC	Wrapped Bitcoin	Ethereum	41,624.60	41,797.60	+0.42%	44,492.60	+6.89%	0.0034	✓	0.98	12k	2022-02-09
ASM	Assemble AI	Ethereum	0.07934	0.079713	+0.47%	0.05941	-25.12%	0.3803	✗	1.44	2.5M	2022-02-09
LTC	Litecoin	Litecoin	126.52	127.3552	+0.66%	140.21	+10.82%	0.0154	✓	1.34	35.1M	2022-02-09
XVS	Venus	Ethereum	13.18	13.3869	+1.57%	10.06	-23.67%	0.3540	✗	1.14	3.4M	2022-02-09
BCH	Bitcoin Cash	Bitcoin Cash	363.56	370.4684	+1.90%	346.21	-4.77%	0.1288	✗	1.01	8.5M	2022-02-09

Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.