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2022-01-09 · +1d

gru_s4 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 139 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.0219
139 of 139 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+0.71%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
22.3%
in alpha space · 20.9% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-0.13%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (139 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▾pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon1.04741.0554+0.76%0.9491-9.39%0.1050✗0.943.4M2022-01-10
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain4.0184.0388+0.52%3.8683-3.73%0.0416✗1.264.2M2022-01-10
CTKShentuOsmosis1.361.3663+0.47%1.327-2.43%0.0275✗1.335.2M2022-01-10
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.1504830.151174+0.46%0.143133-4.88%0.0533✗1.084.7M2022-01-10
AAVEAaveEthereum209.53210.4783+0.45%199.9-4.60%0.0502✗1.1217.6M2022-01-10
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana6.556.5766+0.41%6.41-2.14%0.0249✗0.63674k2022-01-10
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum1.461.4657+0.39%1.34-8.22%0.0876✗1.65790k2022-01-10
GTGateEthereum6.28546.3096+0.39%6.1496-2.16%0.0247✗0.793.5M2022-01-10
1INCH1INCHEthereum2.152.1582+0.38%2.07-3.72%0.0404✗1.043.5M2022-01-10
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain1.0651.069+0.38%1.031-3.19%0.0351✗0.942.2M2022-01-10
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana14.2714.322+0.36%14.26-0.07%0.0035✓0.651.1M2022-01-10
SUNSun TokenTron0.0189730.019041+0.36%0.018158-4.30%0.0459✗1.232.5M2022-01-10
BTCBitcoinBitcoin41,876.5242,024.24+0.35%41,824.07-0.13%0.0035✓1.00696.0M2022-01-10
LRCLoopringEthereum1.57571.5812+0.35%1.468-6.84%0.0719✗1.901.3M2022-01-10
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.016430.016485+0.34%0.0154-6.27%0.0673✗0.6129k2022-01-10
XYMSymbolnative0.18380.184412+0.33%0.1815-1.25%0.0151✗0.65428k2022-01-10
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.08970.089991+0.32%0.0772-13.94%0.1521✗1.0030.6M2022-01-10
DODODODOEthereum0.7490.75143+0.32%0.704-6.01%0.0634✗1.407.6M2022-01-10
TRXTRONTron0.0661210.066335+0.32%0.063485-3.99%0.0427✗0.94552k2022-01-10
DKAdKargoEthereum0.103460.103785+0.31%0.09834-4.95%0.0525✗1.1023k2022-01-10
XVGVergenative0.014030.014074+0.31%0.01312-6.49%0.0687✗1.202.1M2022-01-10
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum27.9828.0675+0.31%25.38-9.29%0.0983✗1.845.4M2022-01-10
ETCEthereum Classicnative29.7429.833+0.31%28.48-4.24%0.0452✗1.003.2M2022-01-10
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.891.8959+0.31%1.785-5.56%0.0588✗1.142.4M2022-01-10
SOLSolanaSolana140.83141.2688+0.31%135.89-3.51%0.0375✗1.02198.8M2022-01-10
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.17590.176442+0.31%0.1739-1.14%0.0134✗0.89484k2022-01-10
AUCTIONBounceEthereum20.920.9629+0.30%20.09-3.88%0.0416✗0.731.2M2022-01-10
COMPCompoundEthereum193.57194.144+0.30%182.25-5.85%0.0618✗1.13195k2022-01-10
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.58410.585821+0.29%0.5425-7.12%0.0753✗1.2012.2M2022-01-10
ETHEthereumEthereum3,151.663,160.81+0.29%3,083.51-2.16%0.0235✗1.03591.9M2022-01-10
SPELLSpellEthereum0.0150.015042+0.28%0.01395-7.00%0.0724✗2.3927.1M2022-01-10
XEMNEMnative0.11520.115515+0.27%0.1116-3.12%0.0332✗1.0167k2022-01-10
XMRMoneroMonero191191.5036+0.26%182.5-4.45%0.0470✗0.962.9M2022-01-10
DYDXdYdXCosmos6.8136.8308+0.26%6.4-6.06%0.0636✗1.22271k2022-01-10
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.0720.072188+0.26%0.06891-4.29%0.0449✗1.2118.4M2022-01-10
ARPAARPAEthereum0.08320.083415+0.26%0.0794-4.57%0.0476✗1.381.1M2022-01-10
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.0750.075193+0.26%0.0707-5.73%0.0603✗1.0316k2022-01-10
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.64730.648897+0.25%0.6318-2.39%0.0252✗1.234.4M2022-01-10
PHAPHALAEthereum0.3590.359874+0.24%0.343-4.46%0.0471✗0.7138k2022-01-10
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum71.8972.0648+0.24%68.4-4.85%0.0509✗1.046.3M2022-01-10
UOSUltraEthereum1.25031.2532+0.23%1.1319-9.47%0.1006✗1.013.3M2022-01-10
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.015420.015456+0.23%0.01401-9.14%0.0966✗1.282.2M2022-01-10
MANADecentralandEthereum2.93692.9438+0.23%2.818-4.05%0.0424✗1.005.5M2022-01-10
NANOnanopayBase3.00733.0143+0.23%2.8841-4.10%0.0428✗1.08699k2022-01-10
RLCiExec RLCEthereum2.872.8765+0.23%2.73-4.88%0.0506✗1.313.2M2022-01-10
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana7.847.8574+0.22%7.57-3.44%0.0365✗0.60760k2022-01-10
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.06180.061935+0.22%0.0556-10.03%0.1062✗1.351.5M2022-01-10
BATBasic AttentionEthereum1.03471.0369+0.21%0.99938-3.41%0.0346✗1.741.0M2022-01-10
SNXSynthetixEthereum5.095.1005+0.21%4.88-4.13%0.0428✗1.143.3M2022-01-10
ADACardanoCardano1.17071.1731+0.21%1.1235-4.03%0.0419✗1.0795.6M2022-01-10
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.049470.049572+0.21%0.0467-5.60%0.0583✗1.0816k2022-01-10
STORJStorjEthereum1.55811.5613+0.21%1.5156-2.73%0.0286✗0.86647k2022-01-10
LSKLiskEthereum2.0532.0572+0.20%2.0021-2.48%0.0259✗1.0390k2022-01-10
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum7.7597.7748+0.20%7.507-3.25%0.0342✗0.67231k2022-01-10
KSMKusamaHydration246.6247.0928+0.20%242.17-1.80%0.0187✗1.121.3M2022-01-10
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash376.94377.6876+0.20%363.56-3.55%0.0369✗1.008.5M2022-01-10
XVSVenusEthereum14.0914.1166+0.19%13.18-6.46%0.0672✗1.133.4M2022-01-10
QNTQuantEthereum170.38170.7004+0.19%166.33-2.38%0.0248✗0.937.6M2022-01-10
NMRNumeraireEthereum28.0728.1215+0.18%27.36-2.53%0.0266✗0.66370k2022-01-10
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.8232.8282+0.18%2.704-4.22%0.0429✗1.561.2M2022-01-10
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV108.94109.1382+0.18%105.99-2.71%0.0281✗0.932.6M2022-01-10
TRBTellor TributesEthereum29.9429.9942+0.18%28.01-6.45%0.0666✗1.461.0M2022-01-10
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana7.817.8235+0.17%7.61-2.56%0.0268✗0.73741k2022-01-10
COTICOTIEthereum0.33330.333873+0.17%0.3129-6.12%0.0631✗1.433.8M2022-01-10
AMPAmpEthereum0.04280.042869+0.16%0.04207-1.71%0.0177✗0.898.0M2022-01-10
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain2.93262.9372+0.16%2.8409-3.13%0.0319✗1.162.6M2022-01-10
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000028280.000028324+0.15%0.0000267-5.59%0.0575✗1.241.7M2022-01-10
CHZChilizEthereum0.2610.261398+0.15%0.251-3.83%0.0390✗1.304.5M2022-01-10
FTTFTXEthereum37.1537.2062+0.15%38.11+2.58%0.0253✓1.0419.4M2022-01-10
BELBella ProtocolEthereum1.2611.2629+0.15%1.188-5.79%0.0595✗1.323.1M2022-01-10
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum5.35375.3618+0.15%5.1021-4.70%0.0482✗1.13446k2022-01-10
CELLCellframeEthereum0.88480.886128+0.15%0.8077-8.71%0.0914✗1.00133k2022-01-10
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana3.773.7755+0.15%3.579-5.07%0.0526✗0.68514k2022-01-10
XECeCashnative0.000096170.000096305+0.14%0.00009039-6.01%0.0622✗0.996.7M2022-01-10
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.11260.112757+0.14%0.108-4.09%0.0417✗1.11280k2022-01-10
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.66070.661587+0.13%0.6017-8.93%0.0927✗1.7440.0M2022-01-10
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand1.40091.4027+0.13%1.3624-2.75%0.0278✗1.1030.5M2022-01-10
ZECZcashZcash144.28144.4629+0.13%141.24-2.11%0.0210✗1.2610.6M2022-01-10
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana4.6174.6228+0.13%4.513-2.25%0.0233✗0.62481k2022-01-10
LTCLitecoinLitecoin130.91131.0727+0.12%126.52-3.35%0.0337✗1.3335.1M2022-01-10
SKLSKALEEthereum0.16980.170009+0.12%0.1582-6.83%0.0705✗1.204.3M2022-01-10
QTUMQtumQtum7.66517.6743+0.12%7.2356-5.60%0.0572✗1.36263k2022-01-10
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.98060.981699+0.11%1.0287+4.91%0.0485✓1.401.5M2022-01-10
ZENHorizenBase55.9355.9882+0.10%53.33-4.65%0.0469✗1.41772k2022-01-10
FILFilecoinFilecoin30.1830.2114+0.10%28.14-6.76%0.0697✗1.0420.1M2022-01-10
XLMStellarStellar0.2611850.261447+0.10%0.253061-3.11%0.0313✗1.0124.0M2022-01-10
IOTAIOTAIOTA1.07121.0723+0.10%1.1115+3.76%0.0371✓0.9521.2M2022-01-10
RADRadworksEthereum8.568.5686+0.10%7.85-8.29%0.0865✗0.901.1M2022-01-10
UNIUniswapEthereum15.7915.8058+0.10%15.11-4.31%0.0434✗1.2713.1M2022-01-10
CTSICartesiEthereum0.58560.586155+0.09%0.55-6.08%0.0620✗1.342.7M2022-01-10
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.0292960.029324+0.09%0.027645-5.64%0.0577✗1.026.3M2022-01-10
HIVEHivenative1.33311.3344+0.09%1.2679-4.89%0.0494✗1.374.5M2022-01-10
API3Api3Ethereum3.823.8236+0.09%3.57-6.54%0.0677✗0.70646k2022-01-10
SCSiacoinnative0.013480.013492+0.09%0.01297-3.78%0.0383✗0.97756k2022-01-10
MASKMask NetworkEthereum9.599.5981+0.08%8.92-6.99%0.0724✗0.661.1M2022-01-10
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.7240630.724561+0.07%0.689086-4.83%0.0488✗1.092.6M2022-01-10
DOTPolkadotPolkadot24.6324.6458+0.06%23.72-3.69%0.0367✗1.2771.0M2022-01-10
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche89.3489.3964+0.06%84.46-5.46%0.0554✗1.09115.7M2022-01-10
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.092820.092875+0.06%0.08602-7.33%0.0758✗0.6948k2022-01-10
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum3.163.1618+0.06%3.13-0.95%0.0089✗0.96949k2022-01-10
CBKCobakEthereum2.872.8716+0.06%2.717-5.33%0.0542✗0.9032k2022-01-10
BANDBandEthereum5.325.3229+0.05%5.04-5.26%0.0533✗1.082.1M2022-01-10
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.5260.526199+0.04%0.497-5.51%0.0555✗1.272.1M2022-01-10
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0647490.064773+0.04%0.081082+25.23%0.2262✓1.277.1M2022-01-10
METRONOMEMETRONOME3.80393.8053+0.04%3.7258-2.05%0.0202✗0.693,8202022-01-10
IMXImmutableEthereum3.763.7613+0.04%3.79+0.80%0.0094✓1.432.4M2022-01-10
OGOG Fan TokenSolana4.2824.2835+0.04%4.203-1.84%0.0180✗0.771.1M2022-01-10
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum2.2982.2987+0.03%2.167-5.70%0.0577✗1.061.8M2022-01-10
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.31610.316192+0.03%0.299-5.41%0.0543✗1.262.2M2022-01-10
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana9.859.8527+0.03%9.84-0.10%0.0004✗0.741.0M2022-01-10
MOVRMoonriverBase160.3372160.3756+0.02%155.6792-2.91%0.0285✗0.98540k2022-01-10
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum42,503.1042,513.23+0.02%41,624.60-2.07%0.0199✗0.9810k2022-01-10
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum1.011.0102+0.02%0.94-6.93%0.0698✗1.761.6M2022-01-10
DEXEDeXeEthereum10.0110.0099-0.00%9.5-5.09%0.0524✓-0.061.8M2022-01-10
MINAMina Protocolnative3.353.3496-0.01%3.2-4.48%0.0444✓1.01715k2022-01-10
LEOLEO TokenEthereum3.76523.7648-0.01%3.7419-0.62%0.0062✓-0.08364k2022-01-10
CVCCivicEthereum0.32240.322364-0.01%0.3128-2.98%0.0289✓1.00340k2022-01-10
KCSKuCoinnative19.3219.3175-0.01%19.007-1.62%0.0142✓1.6113.0M2022-01-10
UMAUMAEthereum8.988.9787-0.01%8.37-6.79%0.0690✓0.964.4M2022-01-10
LUNATerraTerra 274.4874.4522-0.04%69.46-6.74%0.0682✓1.007.4M2022-01-10
CRVCurve DAOEthereum4.494.4874-0.06%4.32-3.79%0.0363✓1.3730.4M2022-01-10
BFCBifrostEthereum0.176350.176219-0.07%0.17081-3.14%0.0292✓1.554,9922022-01-10
XTZTezosTezos4.21644.2133-0.07%4.0324-4.36%0.0422✓1.334.6M2022-01-10
LCXLCXEthereum0.16760.167473-0.08%0.1409-15.93%0.1712✓1.252.1M2022-01-10
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum3.683.6769-0.09%3.13-14.95%0.1594✓1.303.2M2022-01-10
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.086150.086047-0.12%0.07934-7.90%0.0794✓1.442.5M2022-01-10
SUSHISushiEthereum6.936.9201-0.14%6.56-5.34%0.0518✓1.2818.2M2022-01-10
GITCOINGITCOIN11.30111.2849-0.14%10.645-5.80%0.0583✓0.0961k2022-01-10
LPTLivepeerEthereum37.0236.961-0.16%33.37-9.86%0.1002✓1.632.8M2022-01-10
DASHDashDash153.16152.9101-0.16%148.17-3.26%0.0300✓1.221.9M2022-01-10
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.48471.4823-0.16%1.3749-7.40%0.0741✓0.87922k2022-01-10
BICOBiconomyEthereum3.653.6435-0.18%3.48-4.66%0.0444✓1.259.8M2022-01-10
LINKChainlinkEthereum27.5427.4763-0.23%27.98+1.60%0.0196✗1.1569.2M2022-01-10
YFIyearn.financeEthereum32,662.9232,581.33-0.25%32,010.24-2.00%0.0169✓0.6525.2M2022-01-10
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos34.9934.8949-0.27%37.83+8.12%0.0819✗0.9149.1M2022-01-10
GTCGitcoinEthereum11.3811.3455-0.30%10.7-5.98%0.0584✓0.152.8M2022-01-10
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum36.1436.007-0.37%34.29-5.12%0.0471✓1.3925.8M2022-01-10
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0986650.09777-0.91%0.08637-12.46%0.1227✓1.003.3M2022-01-10
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.65390.640029-2.12%0.6249-4.43%0.0221✓1.48650k2022-01-10
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.