2022-01-08 · +1d

gru_s4 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 139 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.

+1d +7d +30d asset cohort only

rank IC

+0.0814

139 of 139 tokens assessed

long-short decile

+1.67%

realised beta-adjusted alpha

direction hit

49.6%

in alpha space · 43.4% on raw price

BTC over horizon

+0.46%

the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (139 rows, sorted by pred)

token	name	chain	anchor px	pred px ▾	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d	vol 30d	target
SPELL	Spell	Ethereum	0.01469	0.014763	+0.50%	0.015	+2.11%	0.0050	✓	2.38	27.8M	2022-01-09
GODS	Gods Unchained	Ethereum	3.06	3.075	+0.49%	3.68	+20.26%	0.1740	✓	1.23	3.2M	2022-01-09
NAKA	Nakamoto Games	Polygon	1.07	1.074	+0.38%	1.0474	-2.11%	0.0293	✗	0.91	3.7M	2022-01-09
LCX	LCX	Ethereum	0.1327	0.133111	+0.31%	0.1676	+26.30%	0.2249	✓	1.21	2.1M	2022-01-09
LRC	Loopring	Ethereum	1.5246	1.528	+0.22%	1.5757	+3.35%	0.0219	✓	1.93	1.3M	2022-01-09
AVAX	Avalanche	Avalanche	83.91	84.0651	+0.18%	89.34	+6.47%	0.0556	✓	1.15	115.7M	2022-01-09
AXS	Axie Infinity	Ethereum	70.29	70.4111	+0.17%	71.89	+2.28%	0.0161	✓	1.03	6.3M	2022-01-09
LUNA	Terra	Terra 2	66.84	66.9541	+0.17%	74.48	+11.43%	0.1019	✓	1.00	7.2M	2022-01-09
SUSHI	Sushi	Ethereum	6.56	6.5692	+0.14%	6.93	+5.64%	0.0475	✓	1.29	18.2M	2022-01-09
DOT	Polkadot	Polkadot	24	24.0287	+0.12%	24.63	+2.62%	0.0188	✓	1.30	71.0M	2022-01-09
SOL	Solana	Solana	142.17	142.3374	+0.12%	140.83	-0.94%	0.0158	✗	1.11	203.4M	2022-01-09
UOS	Ultra	Ethereum	1.1998	1.2011	+0.11%	1.2503	+4.21%	0.0355	✓	1.01	3.4M	2022-01-09
ENS	Ethereum Name Service	Ethereum	27.71	27.7386	+0.10%	27.98	+0.97%	0.0002	✓	1.84	5.4M	2022-01-09
BCH	Bitcoin Cash	Bitcoin Cash	372.84	373.204	+0.10%	376.94	+1.10%	0.0053	✓	1.02	8.8M	2022-01-09
TKO	Tokocrypto	Binance Smart Chain	1.04	1.041	+0.10%	1.065	+2.40%	0.0184	✓	0.95	2.2M	2022-01-09
AAVE	Aave	Ethereum	212.32	212.5134	+0.09%	209.53	-1.31%	0.0195	✗	1.16	17.6M	2022-01-09
BEL	Bella Protocol	Ethereum	1.23	1.2311	+0.09%	1.261	+2.52%	0.0179	✓	1.33	3.3M	2022-01-09
UNI	Uniswap	Ethereum	14.92	14.9323	+0.08%	15.79	+5.83%	0.0499	✓	1.29	13.4M	2022-01-09
IMX	Immutable	Ethereum	3.42	3.4228	+0.08%	3.76	+9.94%	0.0875	✓	1.40	2.5M	2022-01-09
SNX	Synthetix	Ethereum	5.02	5.0236	+0.07%	5.09	+1.39%	0.0079	✓	1.15	3.3M	2022-01-09
ARPA	ARPA	Ethereum	0.0811	0.081157	+0.07%	0.0832	+2.59%	0.0186	✓	1.37	1.2M	2022-01-09
RIF	Rootstock Infrastructure Framework	Ethereum	0.1747	0.174813	+0.06%	0.1759	+0.69%	0.0020	✓	0.91	490k	2022-01-09
WBTC	Wrapped Bitcoin	Ethereum	41,892.20	41,918.20	+0.06%	42,503.10	+1.46%	0.0094	✓	0.98	9,204	2022-01-09
TRAC	OriginTrail	Ethereum	0.9606	0.961175	+0.06%	0.9806	+2.08%	0.0136	✓	1.40	1.6M	2022-01-09
ETC	Ethereum Classic	native	29.37	29.3845	+0.05%	29.74	+1.26%	0.0073	✓	1.04	3.3M	2022-01-09
CBK	Cobak	Ethereum	2.604	2.6053	+0.05%	2.87	+10.22%	0.0927	✓	0.89	33k	2022-01-09
SANTOS	Santos FC Fan Token	Binance Smart Chain	2.815	2.8163	+0.05%	2.823	+0.28%	0.0048	✗	1.56	1.3M	2022-01-09
BTC	Bitcoin	Bitcoin	41,684.84	41,703.32	+0.04%	41,876.52	+0.46%	0.0004	✓	1.00	743.8M	2022-01-09
XVG	Verge	native	0.01392	0.013926	+0.04%	0.01403	+0.79%	0.0019	✓	1.21	2.1M	2022-01-09
ZRX	0x Protocol	Ethereum	0.708399	0.708695	+0.04%	0.724063	+2.21%	0.0162	✓	1.14	2.8M	2022-01-09
CTK	Shentu	Osmosis	1.377	1.3776	+0.04%	1.36	-1.23%	0.0190	✗	1.35	5.2M	2022-01-09
1INCH	1INCH	Ethereum	2.12	2.1209	+0.04%	2.15	+1.42%	0.0087	✓	1.08	3.6M	2022-01-09
DUSK	DUSK	Ethereum	0.6336	0.63385	+0.04%	0.6607	+4.28%	0.0334	✓	1.77	40.0M	2022-01-09
LTC	Litecoin	Litecoin	129.51	129.557	+0.04%	130.91	+1.08%	0.0042	✓	1.34	36.2M	2022-01-09
FIL	Filecoin	Filecoin	29.46	29.469	+0.03%	30.18	+2.44%	0.0190	✓	1.05	21.2M	2022-01-09
NANO	nanopay	Base	3.0541	3.0549	+0.03%	3.0073	-1.53%	0.0207	✗	1.10	710k	2022-01-09
XVS	Venus	Ethereum	13.92	13.9237	+0.03%	14.09	+1.22%	0.0067	✓	1.14	3.4M	2022-01-09
TRX	TRON	Tron	0.065402	0.065419	+0.03%	0.066121	+1.10%	0.0063	✓	0.95	556k	2022-01-09
ETH	Ethereum	Ethereum	3,080.48	3,081.23	+0.02%	3,151.66	+2.31%	0.0178	✓	1.05	619.8M	2022-01-09
XYM	Symbol	native	0.185	0.18504	+0.02%	0.1838	-0.65%	0.0097	✗	0.65	441k	2022-01-09
XTZ	Tezos	Tezos	4.0005	4.0012	+0.02%	4.2164	+5.40%	0.0462	✓	1.35	4.7M	2022-01-09
RAD	Radworks	Ethereum	8.4	8.4012	+0.01%	8.56	+1.90%	0.0146	✓	0.89	1.1M	2022-01-09
COTI	COTI	Ethereum	0.3151	0.315121	+0.01%	0.3333	+5.78%	0.0493	✓	1.49	3.8M	2022-01-09
OMG	OMG Network	Ethereum	5.3573	5.3565	-0.01%	5.3537	-0.07%	0.0060	✓	1.19	457k	2022-01-09
XEC	eCash	native	0.00009632	0.000096307	-0.01%	0.00009617	-0.16%	0.0060	✓	1.00	6.8M	2022-01-09
BCHSV	Bitcoin Cash SV		107.28	107.2645	-0.01%	108.94	+1.55%	0.0112	✗	0.95	2.8M	2022-01-09
CHZ	Chiliz	Ethereum	0.2557	0.255655	-0.02%	0.261	+2.07%	0.0147	✗	1.32	4.6M	2022-01-09
LAZIO	Lazio Fan Token	Binance Smart Chain	3.9971	3.9964	-0.02%	4.018	+0.52%	0.0004	✓	1.26	4.4M	2022-01-09
QTUM	Qtum	Qtum	7.5972	7.5957	-0.02%	7.6651	+0.89%	0.0026	✗	1.42	263k	2022-01-09
SKL	SKALE	Ethereum	0.164	0.163965	-0.02%	0.1698	+3.54%	0.0293	✗	1.24	4.5M	2022-01-09
CERE	Cere Network	Ethereum	0.0592	0.059187	-0.02%	0.0618	+4.39%	0.0371	✗	1.34	1.5M	2022-01-09
XYO	XYO Network	Ethereum	0.029005	0.028998	-0.02%	0.029296	+1.00%	0.0055	✗	1.02	6.6M	2022-01-09
SUN	Sun Token	Tron	0.018696	0.018692	-0.02%	0.018973	+1.48%	0.0094	✗	1.22	2.5M	2022-01-09
KSM	Kusama	Hydration	240.09	240.024	-0.03%	246.6	+2.71%	0.0218	✗	1.15	1.3M	2022-01-09
EWT	Energy Web Token	Ethereum	8.088	8.0857	-0.03%	7.759	-4.07%	0.0442	✓	0.64	231k	2022-01-09
DKA	dKargo	Ethereum	0.10244	0.102409	-0.03%	0.10346	+1.00%	0.0051	✗	1.12	23k	2022-01-09
BAR	FC Barcelona Fan Token	Solana	7.85	7.8472	-0.04%	7.84	-0.13%	0.0037	✓	0.61	788k	2022-01-09
ACM	AC Milan Fan Token	Solana	4.613	4.6111	-0.04%	4.617	+0.09%	0.0016	✓	0.63	488k	2022-01-09
JASMY	JasmyCoin	Ethereum	0.07317	0.073134	-0.05%	0.072	-1.60%	0.0213	✓	1.23	19.5M	2022-01-09
DOGE	Dogecoin	Dogecoin	0.15079	0.150715	-0.05%	0.150483	-0.20%	0.0066	✓	1.09	4.6M	2022-01-09
ASR	AS Roma Fan Token	Solana	3.657	3.6552	-0.05%	3.77	+3.09%	0.0278	✗	0.68	483k	2022-01-09
XMR	Monero	Monero	183.67	183.5761	-0.05%	191	+3.99%	0.0350	✗	1.02	3.0M	2022-01-09
API3	Api3	Ethereum	3.81	3.808	-0.05%	3.82	+0.26%	0.0001	✓	0.70	848k	2022-01-09
AUCTION	Bounce	Ethereum	20.95	20.9382	-0.06%	20.9	-0.24%	0.0066	✓	1.04	1.2M	2022-01-09
ATM	Atletico Madrid Fan Token	Solana	6.55	6.5463	-0.06%	6.55	+0.00%	0.0023	✓	0.63	686k	2022-01-09
VSYS	V.SYSTEMS	native	0.01623	0.016221	-0.06%	0.01643	+1.23%	0.0097	✗	0.68	30k	2022-01-09
DYDX	dYdX	Cosmos	6.84	6.836	-0.06%	6.813	-0.39%	0.0092	✓	1.26	291k	2022-01-09
GRT	The Graph	Ethereum	0.5732	0.572838	-0.06%	0.5841	+1.90%	0.0135	✗	1.30	12.2M	2022-01-09
OGN	Origin Token	Ethereum	0.515	0.514673	-0.06%	0.526	+2.14%	0.0159	✗	1.29	2.1M	2022-01-09
ZEN	Horizen	Base	54.36	54.3248	-0.06%	55.93	+2.89%	0.0223	✗	1.49	802k	2022-01-09
IOTA	IOTA	IOTA	1.0756	1.0749	-0.07%	1.0712	-0.41%	0.0079	✓	0.98	21.4M	2022-01-09
CELL	Cellframe	Ethereum	0.8854	0.884813	-0.07%	0.8848	-0.07%	0.0046	✓	1.00	137k	2022-01-09
AGLD	Adventure Gold	Ethereum	1.44	1.439	-0.07%	1.46	+1.39%	0.0068	✗	1.68	831k	2022-01-09
OXT	Orchid Protocol	Ethereum	0.3129	0.31268	-0.07%	0.3161	+1.02%	0.0051	✗	1.26	2.2M	2022-01-09
MOVR	Moonriver	Base	156.3963	156.2813	-0.07%	160.3372	+2.52%	0.0205	✗	1.11	560k	2022-01-09
MASK	Mask Network	Ethereum	9.44	9.4329	-0.08%	9.59	+1.59%	0.0135	✗	0.66	1.2M	2022-01-09
COMP	Compound	Ethereum	189.37	189.223	-0.08%	193.57	+2.22%	0.0174	✗	1.16	195k	2022-01-09
MTL	Metal DAO	Metal L2	1.886	1.8845	-0.08%	1.89	+0.21%	0.0024	✓	1.15	2.4M	2022-01-09
SHIB	Shiba Inu	Ethereum	0.00002775	0.000027728	-0.08%	0.00002828	+1.91%	0.0140	✗	1.24	1.7M	2022-01-09
MED	Medibloc	Osmosis	0.04885	0.048811	-0.08%	0.04947	+1.27%	0.0082	✗	1.13	16k	2022-01-09
GT	Gate	Ethereum	6.1789	6.1738	-0.08%	6.2854	+1.72%	0.0141	✗	0.84	3.7M	2022-01-09
STORJ	Storj	Ethereum	1.515	1.5137	-0.08%	1.5581	+2.84%	0.0249	✗	0.85	663k	2022-01-09
TRB	Tellor Tributes	Ethereum	28.84	28.8151	-0.09%	29.94	+3.81%	0.0313	✗	1.52	1.0M	2022-01-09
FTT	FTX	Ethereum	35.22	35.1877	-0.09%	37.15	+5.48%	0.0493	✗	1.08	20.0M	2022-01-09
RLC	iExec RLC	Ethereum	2.75	2.7473	-0.10%	2.87	+4.36%	0.0376	✗	1.32	3.2M	2022-01-09
PHA	PHALA	Ethereum	0.354	0.353645	-0.10%	0.359	+1.41%	0.0117	✗	0.72	39k	2022-01-09
CTSI	Cartesi	Ethereum	0.5755	0.574911	-0.10%	0.5856	+1.75%	0.0122	✗	1.35	2.8M	2022-01-09
ANKR	Ankr Network	Ethereum	0.09231	0.09221	-0.11%	0.09282	+0.55%	0.0034	✗	0.69	52k	2022-01-09
PEOPLE	ConstitutionDAO	Ethereum	0.0944	0.094298	-0.11%	0.0897	-4.98%	0.0546	✓	1.00	33.0M	2022-01-09
DODO	DODO	Ethereum	0.742	0.741181	-0.11%	0.749	+0.94%	0.0039	✗	1.44	7.7M	2022-01-09
SC	Siacoin	native	0.01326	0.013245	-0.11%	0.01348	+1.66%	0.0131	✗	0.98	764k	2022-01-09
LSK	Lisk	Ethereum	2.0509	2.0485	-0.12%	2.053	+0.10%	0.0029	✓	1.11	90k	2022-01-09
BFC	Bifrost	Ethereum	0.17662	0.176407	-0.12%	0.17635	-0.15%	0.0075	✓	1.57	5,957	2022-01-09
KCS	KuCoin	native	18.946	18.9223	-0.12%	19.32	+1.97%	0.0133	✗	1.63	13.6M	2022-01-09
METRONOME	METRONOME		3.7251	3.7204	-0.13%	3.8039	+2.12%	0.0188	✗	0.75	4,332	2022-01-09
DEXE	DeXe	Ethereum	9.47	9.458	-0.13%	10.01	+5.70%	0.0571	✗	-0.07	1.8M	2022-01-09
HIVE	Hive	native	1.3208	1.319	-0.13%	1.3331	+0.93%	0.0042	✗	1.39	4.8M	2022-01-09
XPR	XPR Network	Ethereum	0.01495	0.014928	-0.15%	0.01542	+3.14%	0.0265	✗	1.30	2.2M	2022-01-09
ADA	Cardano	Cardano	1.1827	1.1809	-0.15%	1.1707	-1.01%	0.0137	✓	1.10	97.2M	2022-01-09
NMR	Numeraire	Ethereum	27.94	27.8958	-0.16%	28.07	+0.47%	0.0030	✗	0.69	385k	2022-01-09
CRV	Curve DAO	Ethereum	4.61	4.6026	-0.16%	4.49	-2.60%	0.0312	✓	1.41	30.4M	2022-01-09
TWT	Trust Wallet	Binance Smart Chain	0.6366	0.635543	-0.17%	0.6473	+1.68%	0.0126	✗	1.25	4.5M	2022-01-09
AMP	Amp	Ethereum	0.04346	0.043386	-0.17%	0.0428	-1.52%	0.0178	✓	0.92	8.2M	2022-01-09
ACH	Alchemy Pay	Ethereum	0.059866	0.059764	-0.17%	0.064749	+8.16%	0.0741	✗	1.30	7.3M	2022-01-09
CVC	Civic	Ethereum	0.3125	0.311957	-0.17%	0.3224	+3.17%	0.0284	✗	1.00	293k	2022-01-09
ORBS	Orbs	Ethereum	0.0739	0.073764	-0.18%	0.075	+1.49%	0.0117	✗	1.07	16k	2022-01-09
ALGO	Algorand	Algorand	1.3854	1.3828	-0.18%	1.4009	+1.12%	0.0077	✗	1.14	30.5M	2022-01-09
CITY	Manchester City Fan Token	Solana	9.77	9.7519	-0.19%	9.85	+0.82%	0.0066	✗	0.74	1.1M	2022-01-09
PSG	Paris Saint-Germain Fan Token	Solana	14.24	14.2135	-0.19%	14.27	+0.21%	0.0009	✓	0.66	1.1M	2022-01-09
DNT	district0x	Ethereum	0.1115	0.111291	-0.19%	0.1126	+0.99%	0.0066	✗	1.11	296k	2022-01-09
MANA	Decentraland	Ethereum	2.933	2.9275	-0.19%	2.9369	+0.13%	0.0014	✓	1.01	5.5M	2022-01-09
SUPER	SuperVerse	Ethereum	1.01	1.008	-0.20%	1.01	+0.00%	0.0061	✓	1.76	1.7M	2022-01-09
LPT	Livepeer	Ethereum	35	34.9273	-0.21%	37.02	+5.77%	0.0507	✗	1.63	2.8M	2022-01-09
PORTO	FC Porto	Binance Smart Chain	2.875	2.869	-0.21%	2.9326	+2.00%	0.0166	✗	1.16	2.6M	2022-01-09
BAND	Band	Ethereum	4.93	4.9196	-0.21%	5.32	+7.91%	0.0732	✗	1.10	2.1M	2022-01-09
MINA	Mina Protocol	native	3.24	3.233	-0.22%	3.35	+3.40%	0.0308	✗	1.04	715k	2022-01-09
GITCOIN	GITCOIN		10.839	10.8154	-0.22%	11.301	+4.26%	0.0437	✗	0.05	68k	2022-01-09
ENJ	Enjin Coin	Ethereum	2.257	2.2521	-0.22%	2.298	+1.82%	0.0152	✗	1.08	1.8M	2022-01-09
LEO	LEO Token	Ethereum	3.7737	3.7655	-0.22%	3.7652	-0.23%	0.0003	✓	-0.08	364k	2022-01-09
QNT	Quant	Ethereum	172.86	172.4815	-0.22%	170.38	-1.43%	0.0166	✓	0.95	7.7M	2022-01-09
BNT	Bancor Network	Ethereum	3.07	3.0631	-0.22%	3.16	+2.93%	0.0266	✗	0.98	977k	2022-01-09
XLM	Stellar	Stellar	0.255091	0.2545	-0.23%	0.261185	+2.39%	0.0213	✗	1.02	24.9M	2022-01-09
BICO	Biconomy	Ethereum	3.52	3.5117	-0.24%	3.65	+3.69%	0.0330	✗	1.23	10.4M	2022-01-09
XEM	NEM	native	0.1141	0.113821	-0.24%	0.1152	+0.96%	0.0072	✗	1.05	69k	2022-01-09
GTC	Gitcoin	Ethereum	10.76	10.7333	-0.25%	11.38	+5.76%	0.0580	✗	0.11	2.8M	2022-01-09
BAT	Basic Attention	Ethereum	1.0197	1.0167	-0.29%	1.0347	+1.47%	0.0094	✗	1.78	1.0M	2022-01-09
JUV	Juventus Fan Token	Solana	7.81	7.7856	-0.31%	7.81	+0.00%	0.0003	✓	0.76	771k	2022-01-09
OG	OG Fan Token	Solana	4.303	4.2882	-0.34%	4.282	-0.49%	0.0050	✓	0.78	942k	2022-01-09
ZEC	Zcash	Zcash	143.63	143.1314	-0.35%	144.28	+0.45%	0.0019	✓	1.33	10.6M	2022-01-09
YFI	yearn.finance	Ethereum	33,111.98	32,984.63	-0.38%	32,662.92	-1.36%	0.0127	✓	0.64	23.0M	2022-01-09
UMA	UMA	Ethereum	8.86	8.8228	-0.42%	8.98	+1.35%	0.0133	✗	0.95	4.3M	2022-01-09
ATOM	Cosmos Hub	Cosmos	35.87	35.6961	-0.48%	34.99	-2.45%	0.0242	✓	0.92	45.6M	2022-01-09
POWR	Powerledger	Ethereum	0.4941	0.491408	-0.54%	0.6539	+32.34%	0.2792	✗	1.41	650k	2022-01-09
CWEB	Coinweb	Ethereum	0.0767	0.076247	-0.59%	0.098665	+28.64%	0.2532	✗	1.00	3.0M	2022-01-09
DASH	Dash	Dash	141.79	140.93	-0.61%	153.16	+8.02%	0.0775	✗	1.24	1.9M	2022-01-09
LINK	Chainlink	Ethereum	25.31	25.1513	-0.63%	27.54	+8.81%	0.0852	✗	1.20	69.2M	2022-01-09
ICP	Internet Computer	Ethereum	32.9	32.6902	-0.64%	36.14	+9.85%	0.0939	✗	1.40	24.8M	2022-01-09
ASM	Assemble AI	Ethereum	0.1003	0.099033	-1.26%	0.08615	-14.11%	0.1461	✓	1.46	2.5M	2022-01-09
KNC	Kyber Network Crystal	Ethereum	1.6022	1.5738	-1.77%	1.4847	-7.33%	0.0624	✓	0.89	922k	2022-01-09

Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.