2022-01-08 · +30d

gru_s4 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 139 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.

+1d +7d +30d asset cohort only

rank IC

+0.0672

139 of 139 tokens assessed

long-short decile

+8.77%

realised beta-adjusted alpha

direction hit

82.7%

in alpha space · 71.2% on raw price

BTC over horizon

+5.24%

the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (139 rows, sorted by pred)

token	name	chain	anchor px	pred px ▴	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d	vol 30d	target
DUSK	DUSK	Ethereum	0.6336	0.577301	-8.89%	0.602	-4.99%	0.0484	✓	1.77	40.0M	2022-02-07
GTC	Gitcoin	Ethereum	10.76	9.9608	-7.43%	9.06	-15.80%	0.1004	✓	0.11	2.8M	2022-02-07
CWEB	Coinweb	Ethereum	0.0767	0.07119	-7.18%	0.038389	-49.95%	0.6686	✓	1.00	3.0M	2022-02-07
BFC	Bifrost	Ethereum	0.17662	0.164638	-6.78%	0.22724	+28.66%	0.2420	✗	1.57	5,957	2022-02-07
KNC	Kyber Network Crystal	Ethereum	1.6022	1.4988	-6.46%	1.9987	+24.75%	0.2424	✗	0.89	922k	2022-02-07
YFI	yearn.finance	Ethereum	33,111.98	30,980.65	-6.44%	26,559.72	-19.79%	0.1867	✓	0.64	23.0M	2022-02-07
HIVE	Hive	native	1.3208	1.239	-6.19%	1.2317	-6.75%	0.0771	✓	1.39	4.8M	2022-02-07
ATOM	Cosmos Hub	Cosmos	35.87	33.6489	-6.19%	31.63	-11.82%	0.1088	✓	0.92	45.6M	2022-02-07
BICO	Biconomy	Ethereum	3.52	3.3156	-5.81%	2.26	-35.80%	0.4460	✓	1.23	10.4M	2022-02-07
MASK	Mask Network	Ethereum	9.44	8.894	-5.78%	7.38	-21.82%	0.2205	✓	0.66	1.2M	2022-02-07
CVC	Civic	Ethereum	0.3125	0.294832	-5.65%	0.3267	+4.54%	0.0517	✓	1.00	293k	2022-02-07
GODS	Gods Unchained	Ethereum	3.06	2.8925	-5.47%	2.38	-22.22%	0.2578	✓	1.23	3.2M	2022-02-07
CRV	Curve DAO	Ethereum	4.61	4.3601	-5.42%	3.56	-22.78%	0.2746	✓	1.41	30.4M	2022-02-07
PEOPLE	ConstitutionDAO	Ethereum	0.0944	0.08937	-5.33%	0.0901	-4.56%	0.0429	✓	1.00	33.0M	2022-02-07
GITCOIN	GITCOIN		10.839	10.2715	-5.24%	8.971	-17.23%	0.1380	✓	0.05	68k	2022-02-07
POWR	Powerledger	Ethereum	0.4941	0.468296	-5.22%	0.6257	+26.63%	0.2175	✗	1.41	650k	2022-02-07
DEXE	DeXe	Ethereum	9.47	8.9833	-5.14%	7.41	-21.75%	0.1889	✓	-0.07	1.8M	2022-02-07
METRONOME	METRONOME		3.7251	3.5408	-4.95%	3.7993	+1.99%	0.0323	✓	0.75	4,332	2022-02-07
LPT	Livepeer	Ethereum	35	33.396	-4.58%	32.06	-8.40%	0.1239	✓	1.63	2.8M	2022-02-07
API3	Api3	Ethereum	3.81	3.6391	-4.48%	3.79	-0.52%	0.0048	✓	0.70	848k	2022-02-07
CTSI	Cartesi	Ethereum	0.5755	0.549998	-4.43%	0.535	-7.04%	0.0966	✓	1.35	2.8M	2022-02-07
OGN	Origin Token	Ethereum	0.515	0.492407	-4.39%	0.384	-25.44%	0.3145	✓	1.29	2.1M	2022-02-07
ALGO	Algorand	Algorand	1.3854	1.3257	-4.31%	1.0706	-22.72%	0.2720	✓	1.14	30.5M	2022-02-07
LINK	Chainlink	Ethereum	25.31	24.2204	-4.30%	18.88	-25.40%	0.3106	✓	1.20	69.2M	2022-02-07
BAT	Basic Attention	Ethereum	1.0197	0.976794	-4.21%	0.96686	-5.18%	0.1012	✓	1.78	1.0M	2022-02-07
LSK	Lisk	Ethereum	2.0509	1.9682	-4.03%	1.9231	-6.23%	0.0797	✓	1.11	90k	2022-02-07
MINA	Mina Protocol	native	3.24	3.1096	-4.03%	3.09	-4.63%	0.0592	✓	1.04	715k	2022-02-07
SPELL	Spell	Ethereum	0.01469	0.014107	-3.97%	0.00701	-52.28%	0.8211	✓	2.38	27.8M	2022-02-07
LUNA	Terra	Terra 2	66.84	64.209	-3.94%	59.48	-11.01%	0.1276	✓	1.00	7.2M	2022-02-07
MANA	Decentraland	Ethereum	2.933	2.8178	-3.93%	3.2878	+12.10%	0.1028	✗	1.01	5.5M	2022-02-07
CELL	Cellframe	Ethereum	0.8854	0.850865	-3.90%	1.2268	+38.56%	0.3149	✗	1.00	137k	2022-02-07
ENJ	Enjin Coin	Ethereum	2.257	2.1692	-3.89%	2.094	-7.22%	0.0903	✓	1.08	1.8M	2022-02-07
UMA	UMA	Ethereum	8.86	8.517	-3.87%	6.61	-25.40%	0.3021	✓	0.95	4.3M	2022-02-07
IMX	Immutable	Ethereum	3.42	3.2906	-3.78%	2.86	-16.37%	0.2118	✓	1.40	2.5M	2022-02-07
UOS	Ultra	Ethereum	1.1998	1.1549	-3.74%	1.3002	+8.37%	0.0672	✗	1.01	3.4M	2022-02-07
SC	Siacoin	native	0.01326	0.012776	-3.65%	0.01211	-8.67%	0.1034	✓	0.98	764k	2022-02-07
AVAX	Avalanche	Avalanche	83.91	81.0161	-3.45%	83.23	-0.81%	0.0317	✓	1.15	115.7M	2022-02-07
ZEN	Horizen	Base	54.36	52.4868	-3.45%	48.2	-11.33%	0.1612	✓	1.49	802k	2022-02-07
ZEC	Zcash	Zcash	143.63	138.7328	-3.41%	128.86	-10.28%	0.1419	✓	1.33	10.6M	2022-02-07
NAKA	Nakamoto Games	Polygon	1.07	1.0337	-3.39%	0.6483	-39.41%	0.5131	✓	0.91	3.7M	2022-02-07
SHIB	Shiba Inu	Ethereum	0.00002775	0.000026825	-3.33%	0.00003255	+17.30%	0.1302	✗	1.24	1.7M	2022-02-07
DASH	Dash	Dash	141.79	137.081	-3.32%	115.9	-18.26%	0.2312	✓	1.24	1.9M	2022-02-07
LEO	LEO Token	Ethereum	3.7737	3.6501	-3.27%	4.8233	+27.81%	0.2827	✗	-0.08	364k	2022-02-07
SUPER	SuperVerse	Ethereum	1.01	0.977224	-3.25%	0.95	-5.94%	0.1180	✓	1.76	1.7M	2022-02-07
STORJ	Storj	Ethereum	1.515	1.4661	-3.23%	1.3981	-7.72%	0.0910	✓	0.85	663k	2022-02-07
ICP	Internet Computer	Ethereum	32.9	31.854	-3.18%	24.04	-26.93%	0.3527	✓	1.40	24.8M	2022-02-07
MOVR	Moonriver	Base	156.3963	151.4417	-3.17%	105.8832	-32.30%	0.4146	✓	1.11	560k	2022-02-07
BAND	Band	Ethereum	4.93	4.7742	-3.16%	4.06	-17.65%	0.2184	✓	1.10	2.1M	2022-02-07
SANTOS	Santos FC Fan Token	Binance Smart Chain	2.815	2.7298	-3.03%	2.945	+4.62%	0.0036	✓	1.56	1.3M	2022-02-07
DYDX	dYdX	Cosmos	6.84	6.6348	-3.00%	7.753	+13.35%	0.0914	✗	1.26	291k	2022-02-07
AGLD	Adventure Gold	Ethereum	1.44	1.3975	-2.95%	1.24	-13.89%	0.2055	✓	1.68	831k	2022-02-07
RAD	Radworks	Ethereum	8.4	8.1536	-2.93%	6	-28.57%	0.3524	✓	0.89	1.1M	2022-02-07
IOTA	IOTA	IOTA	1.0756	1.0448	-2.86%	0.9985	-7.17%	0.0953	✓	0.98	21.4M	2022-02-07
XLM	Stellar	Stellar	0.255091	0.247955	-2.80%	0.239623	-6.06%	0.0861	✓	1.02	24.9M	2022-02-07
QNT	Quant	Ethereum	172.86	168.0776	-2.77%	154.1	-10.85%	0.1354	✓	0.95	7.7M	2022-02-07
DNT	district0x	Ethereum	0.1115	0.108501	-2.69%	0.0948	-14.98%	0.1915	✓	1.11	296k	2022-02-07
EWT	Energy Web Token	Ethereum	8.088	7.8716	-2.68%	6.962	-13.92%	0.1557	✓	0.64	231k	2022-02-07
AMP	Amp	Ethereum	0.04346	0.042299	-2.67%	0.03323	-23.54%	0.2882	✓	0.92	8.2M	2022-02-07
SUSHI	Sushi	Ethereum	6.56	6.3854	-2.66%	4.96	-24.39%	0.3186	✓	1.29	18.2M	2022-02-07
XPR	XPR Network	Ethereum	0.01495	0.014556	-2.64%	0.01584	+5.95%	0.0183	✓	1.30	2.2M	2022-02-07
PORTO	FC Porto	Binance Smart Chain	2.875	2.7996	-2.62%	3.4602	+20.35%	0.1528	✗	1.16	2.6M	2022-02-07
ORBS	Orbs	Ethereum	0.0739	0.071997	-2.58%	0.079	+6.90%	0.0384	✗	1.07	16k	2022-02-07
KCS	KuCoin	native	18.946	18.4821	-2.45%	20.309	+7.19%	0.0113	✓	1.63	13.6M	2022-02-07
MED	Medibloc	Osmosis	0.04885	0.047665	-2.43%	0.04657	-4.67%	0.0808	✓	1.13	16k	2022-02-07
XMR	Monero	Monero	183.67	179.3198	-2.37%	185.08	+0.77%	0.0205	✓	1.02	3.0M	2022-02-07
CBK	Cobak	Ethereum	2.604	2.543	-2.34%	2.656	+2.00%	0.0022	✓	0.89	33k	2022-02-07
CITY	Manchester City Fan Token	Solana	9.77	9.5437	-2.32%	10.4	+6.45%	0.0484	✗	0.74	1.1M	2022-02-07
CHZ	Chiliz	Ethereum	0.2557	0.249865	-2.28%	0.2345	-8.29%	0.1307	✓	1.32	4.6M	2022-02-07
DODO	DODO	Ethereum	0.742	0.725411	-2.24%	0.583	-21.43%	0.2919	✓	1.44	7.7M	2022-02-07
JUV	Juventus Fan Token	Solana	7.81	7.6359	-2.23%	6.79	-13.06%	0.1561	✓	0.76	771k	2022-02-07
CTK	Shentu	Osmosis	1.377	1.3466	-2.21%	1.495	+8.57%	0.0355	✗	1.35	5.2M	2022-02-07
XYO	XYO Network	Ethereum	0.029005	0.028365	-2.21%	0.023054	-20.52%	0.2595	✓	1.02	6.6M	2022-02-07
VSYS	V.SYSTEMS	native	0.01623	0.015878	-2.17%	0.01354	-16.57%	0.1941	✓	0.68	30k	2022-02-07
GT	Gate	Ethereum	6.1789	6.0452	-2.16%	7.3085	+18.28%	0.1468	✗	0.84	3.7M	2022-02-07
TRB	Tellor Tributes	Ethereum	28.84	28.2368	-2.09%	25.54	-11.44%	0.1779	✓	1.52	1.0M	2022-02-07
XEM	NEM	native	0.1141	0.111736	-2.07%	0.1175	+2.98%	0.0032	✓	1.05	69k	2022-02-07
TWT	Trust Wallet	Binance Smart Chain	0.6366	0.623601	-2.04%	0.6374	+0.13%	0.0421	✓	1.25	4.5M	2022-02-07
JASMY	JasmyCoin	Ethereum	0.07317	0.071697	-2.01%	0.04107	-43.87%	0.6201	✓	1.23	19.5M	2022-02-07
OXT	Orchid Protocol	Ethereum	0.3129	0.306605	-2.01%	0.2714	-13.26%	0.1863	✓	1.26	2.2M	2022-02-07
ENS	Ethereum Name Service	Ethereum	27.71	27.1528	-2.01%	21.81	-21.29%	0.3129	✓	1.84	5.4M	2022-02-07
ADA	Cardano	Cardano	1.1827	1.159	-2.01%	1.1991	+1.39%	0.0220	✓	1.10	97.2M	2022-02-07
XEC	eCash	native	0.00009632	0.000094502	-1.89%	0.00009007	-6.49%	0.0990	✓	1.00	6.8M	2022-02-07
PSG	Paris Saint-Germain Fan Token	Solana	14.24	13.9712	-1.89%	16.23	+13.97%	0.1162	✗	0.66	1.1M	2022-02-07
AUCTION	Bounce	Ethereum	20.95	20.5708	-1.81%	16.8	-19.81%	0.2557	✓	1.04	1.2M	2022-02-07
BNT	Bancor Network	Ethereum	3.07	3.0147	-1.80%	2.82	-8.14%	0.1169	✓	0.98	977k	2022-02-07
SKL	SKALE	Ethereum	0.164	0.161073	-1.79%	0.1382	-15.73%	0.2162	✓	1.24	4.5M	2022-02-07
QTUM	Qtum	Qtum	7.5972	7.4638	-1.76%	7.4703	-1.67%	0.0718	✓	1.42	263k	2022-02-07
ANKR	Ankr Network	Ethereum	0.09231	0.090741	-1.70%	0.08985	-2.66%	0.0449	✓	0.69	52k	2022-02-07
COTI	COTI	Ethereum	0.3151	0.309766	-1.69%	0.3247	+3.05%	0.0289	✓	1.49	3.8M	2022-02-07
NMR	Numeraire	Ethereum	27.94	27.4748	-1.67%	28.02	+0.29%	0.0158	✓	0.69	385k	2022-02-07
ARPA	ARPA	Ethereum	0.0811	0.079754	-1.66%	0.0915	+12.82%	0.0673	✗	1.37	1.2M	2022-02-07
CERE	Cere Network	Ethereum	0.0592	0.058221	-1.65%	0.0369	-37.67%	0.5243	✓	1.34	1.5M	2022-02-07
BCHSV	Bitcoin Cash SV		107.28	105.5397	-1.62%	101.78	-5.13%	0.0846	✓	0.95	2.8M	2022-02-07
LRC	Loopring	Ethereum	1.5246	1.4999	-1.62%	1.1664	-23.49%	0.3499	✓	1.93	1.3M	2022-02-07
XTZ	Tezos	Tezos	4.0005	3.9364	-1.60%	4.1408	+3.51%	0.0181	✓	1.35	4.7M	2022-02-07
OG	OG Fan Token	Solana	4.303	4.2342	-1.60%	3.76	-12.62%	0.1588	✓	0.78	942k	2022-02-07
OMG	OMG Network	Ethereum	5.3573	5.2738	-1.56%	5.4029	+0.85%	0.0367	✓	1.19	457k	2022-02-07
ASM	Assemble AI	Ethereum	0.1003	0.098821	-1.47%	0.06292	-37.27%	0.5260	✓	1.46	2.5M	2022-02-07
TRAC	OriginTrail	Ethereum	0.9606	0.946452	-1.47%	0.7902	-17.74%	0.2517	✓	1.40	1.6M	2022-02-07
ASR	AS Roma Fan Token	Solana	3.657	3.6039	-1.45%	3.306	-9.60%	0.1208	✓	0.68	483k	2022-02-07
ZRX	0x Protocol	Ethereum	0.708399	0.698153	-1.45%	0.67955	-4.07%	0.0850	✓	1.14	2.8M	2022-02-07
ACM	AC Milan Fan Token	Solana	4.613	4.5465	-1.44%	4.576	-0.80%	0.0259	✓	0.63	488k	2022-02-07
ETC	Ethereum Classic	native	29.37	28.9737	-1.35%	32.66	+11.20%	0.0666	✗	1.04	3.3M	2022-02-07
DKA	dKargo	Ethereum	0.10244	0.101076	-1.33%	0.10441	+1.92%	0.0249	✓	1.12	23k	2022-02-07
ETH	Ethereum	Ethereum	3,080.48	3,040.36	-1.30%	3,141.89	+1.99%	0.0210	✓	1.05	619.8M	2022-02-07
XVG	Verge	native	0.01392	0.01374	-1.30%	0.01222	-12.21%	0.1789	✓	1.21	2.1M	2022-02-07
FIL	Filecoin	Filecoin	29.46	29.0836	-1.28%	24.52	-16.77%	0.2241	✓	1.05	21.2M	2022-02-07
ACH	Alchemy Pay	Ethereum	0.059866	0.059139	-1.21%	0.042745	-28.60%	0.3911	✓	1.30	7.3M	2022-02-07
LAZIO	Lazio Fan Token	Binance Smart Chain	3.9971	3.9498	-1.18%	3.5646	-10.82%	0.1670	✓	1.26	4.4M	2022-02-07
MTL	Metal DAO	Metal L2	1.886	1.8644	-1.14%	1.868	-0.95%	0.0567	✓	1.15	2.4M	2022-02-07
RIF	Rootstock Infrastructure Framework	Ethereum	0.1747	0.172919	-1.02%	0.1593	-8.82%	0.1287	✓	0.91	490k	2022-02-07
PHA	PHALA	Ethereum	0.354	0.350479	-0.99%	0.285	-19.49%	0.2436	✓	0.72	39k	2022-02-07
KSM	Kusama	Hydration	240.09	237.7066	-0.99%	198.23	-17.44%	0.2403	✓	1.15	1.3M	2022-02-07
BAR	FC Barcelona Fan Token	Solana	7.85	7.7723	-0.99%	6.65	-15.29%	0.1870	✓	0.61	788k	2022-02-07
1INCH	1INCH	Ethereum	2.12	2.0992	-0.98%	1.93	-8.96%	0.1389	✓	1.08	3.6M	2022-02-07
RLC	iExec RLC	Ethereum	2.75	2.7247	-0.92%	2.27	-17.45%	0.2500	✓	1.32	3.2M	2022-02-07
BTC	Bitcoin	Bitcoin	41,684.84	41,309.69	-0.90%	43,868.07	+5.24%	0.0090	✓	1.00	743.8M	2022-02-07
TKO	Tokocrypto	Binance Smart Chain	1.04	1.0314	-0.83%	0.854	-17.88%	0.2375	✓	0.95	2.2M	2022-02-07
DOGE	Dogecoin	Dogecoin	0.15079	0.149568	-0.81%	0.165291	+9.62%	0.0441	✗	1.09	4.6M	2022-02-07
COMP	Compound	Ethereum	189.37	187.8635	-0.80%	145.96	-22.92%	0.3117	✓	1.16	195k	2022-02-07
BEL	Bella Protocol	Ethereum	1.23	1.2208	-0.75%	1.073	-12.76%	0.1968	✓	1.33	3.3M	2022-02-07
NANO	nanopay	Base	3.0541	3.0318	-0.73%	2.3627	-22.64%	0.3054	✓	1.10	710k	2022-02-07
LCX	LCX	Ethereum	0.1327	0.131757	-0.71%	0.1248	-5.95%	0.1159	✓	1.21	2.1M	2022-02-07
AXS	Axie Infinity	Ethereum	70.29	69.8897	-0.57%	68.32	-2.80%	0.0754	✓	1.03	6.3M	2022-02-07
GRT	The Graph	Ethereum	0.5732	0.569945	-0.57%	0.5065	-11.64%	0.1842	✓	1.30	12.2M	2022-02-07
FTT	FTX	Ethereum	35.22	35.0259	-0.55%	47.22	+34.07%	0.2435	✗	1.08	20.0M	2022-02-07
SUN	Sun Token	Tron	0.018696	0.018603	-0.50%	0.01721	-7.95%	0.1399	✓	1.22	2.5M	2022-02-07
SOL	Solana	Solana	142.17	141.6072	-0.40%	117.62	-17.27%	0.2424	✓	1.11	203.4M	2022-02-07
AAVE	Aave	Ethereum	212.32	211.6723	-0.31%	182.29	-14.14%	0.2086	✓	1.16	17.6M	2022-02-07
ATM	Atletico Madrid Fan Token	Solana	6.55	6.5346	-0.23%	5.62	-14.20%	0.1832	✓	0.63	686k	2022-02-07
UNI	Uniswap	Ethereum	14.92	14.8988	-0.14%	12.38	-17.02%	0.2509	✓	1.29	13.4M	2022-02-07
TRX	TRON	Tron	0.065402	0.065338	-0.10%	0.068517	+4.76%	0.0009	✓	0.95	556k	2022-02-07
DOT	Polkadot	Polkadot	24	24.0272	+0.11%	22.37	-6.79%	0.1378	✗	1.30	71.0M	2022-02-07
XYM	Symbol	native	0.185	0.185326	+0.18%	0.1916	+3.57%	0.0002	✓	0.65	441k	2022-02-07
WBTC	Wrapped Bitcoin	Ethereum	41,892.20	41,985.39	+0.22%	43,893.50	+4.78%	0.0057	✗	0.98	9,204	2022-02-07
LTC	Litecoin	Litecoin	129.51	129.8667	+0.28%	137.43	+6.12%	0.0120	✗	1.34	36.2M	2022-02-07
SNX	Synthetix	Ethereum	5.02	5.0339	+0.28%	5.9	+17.53%	0.1001	✓	1.15	3.3M	2022-02-07
XVS	Venus	Ethereum	13.92	14.1268	+1.49%	10.33	-25.79%	0.3711	✗	1.14	3.4M	2022-02-07
BCH	Bitcoin Cash	Bitcoin Cash	372.84	379.3331	+1.74%	343.12	-7.97%	0.1522	✗	1.02	8.8M	2022-02-07

Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.