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2022-01-07 · +1d

gru_s4 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 138 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.2231
138 of 138 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+4.29%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
71.7%
in alpha space · 72.8% on raw price
BTC over horizon
+0.29%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (138 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▾pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum3.073.0872+0.56%3.06-0.33%0.0117✗1.003.2M2022-01-08
SPELLSpellEthereum0.015090.015157+0.45%0.01469-2.65%0.0382✗2.4029.0M2022-01-08
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon1.08821.0926+0.41%1.07-1.67%0.0236✗0.913.8M2022-01-08
BFCBifrostEthereum0.172550.172957+0.24%0.17662+2.36%0.0164✓1.575,9572022-01-08
SOLSolanaSolana136.37136.6642+0.22%142.17+4.25%0.0363✓1.11203.4M2022-01-08
DEXEDeXeEthereum9.269.2741+0.15%9.47+2.27%0.0211✓-0.071.8M2022-01-08
LUNATerraTerra 268.6968.7789+0.13%66.84-2.69%0.0315✗1.007.4M2022-01-08
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche86.7986.8966+0.12%83.91-3.32%0.0383✗1.15119.5M2022-01-08
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum73.4273.5092+0.12%70.29-4.26%0.0478✗1.046.3M2022-01-08
LCXLCXEthereum0.15430.154482+0.12%0.1327-14.00%0.1555✗1.232.1M2022-01-08
AAVEAaveEthereum211.6211.8436+0.12%212.32+0.34%0.0011✓1.1616.2M2022-01-08
XYMSymbolnative0.18050.180686+0.10%0.185+2.49%0.0217✓0.65428k2022-01-08
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain1.0541.0549+0.08%1.04-1.33%0.0169✗0.962.3M2022-01-08
DOTPolkadotPolkadot24.8824.8992+0.08%24-3.54%0.0405✗1.3071.0M2022-01-08
LRCLoopringEthereum1.6681.6692+0.07%1.5246-8.60%0.0962✗1.941.4M2022-01-08
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.17630.176402+0.06%0.1747-0.91%0.0123✗0.91490k2022-01-08
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash385.43385.6339+0.05%372.84-3.27%0.0367✗1.029.0M2022-01-08
UOSUltraEthereum1.26221.2628+0.05%1.1998-4.95%0.0541✗1.013.5M2022-01-08
BELBella ProtocolEthereum1.3061.3066+0.05%1.23-5.82%0.0642✗1.333.3M2022-01-08
BTCBitcoinBitcoin41,565.1841,583.31+0.04%41,684.84+0.29%0.0004✗1.00748.4M2022-01-08
ARPAARPAEthereum0.08550.085528+0.03%0.0811-5.15%0.0571✗1.381.2M2022-01-08
XVSVenusEthereum13.9213.9246+0.03%13.92+0.00%0.0036✗1.143.5M2022-01-08
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum30.0130.0185+0.03%27.71-7.66%0.0853✗1.855.4M2022-01-08
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.8571.8575+0.03%1.886+1.56%0.0119✓1.152.4M2022-01-08
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.078950.07897+0.02%0.1003+27.04%0.2350✓1.442.5M2022-01-08
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.8892.8896+0.02%2.815-2.56%0.0306✗1.561.4M2022-01-08
NANOnanopayBase3.09093.0915+0.02%3.0541-1.19%0.0153✗1.10715k2022-01-08
TRACOriginTrailEthereum1.00671.0069+0.02%0.9606-4.58%0.0511✗1.401.7M2022-01-08
CBKCobakEthereum2.6612.6615+0.02%2.604-2.14%0.0244✗0.9034k2022-01-08
LTCLitecoinLitecoin131.34131.3589+0.01%129.51-1.39%0.0180✗1.3536.7M2022-01-08
UNIUniswapEthereum15.7515.752+0.01%14.92-5.27%0.0580✗1.2913.8M2022-01-08
1INCH1INCHEthereum2.182.1802+0.01%2.12-2.75%0.0311✗1.083.6M2022-01-08
XVGVergenative0.014540.014541+0.01%0.01392-4.26%0.0472✗1.212.1M2022-01-08
ETCEthereum Classicnative30.4530.4527+0.01%29.37-3.55%0.0392✗1.043.4M2022-01-08
AUCTIONBounceEthereum20.920.9003+0.00%20.95+0.24%0.0006✗1.041.2M2022-01-08
SNXSynthetixEthereum5.45.3997-0.01%5.02-7.04%0.0762✓1.163.3M2022-01-08
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum8.1838.1816-0.02%8.088-1.16%0.0134✓0.65251k2022-01-08
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana4.5974.5959-0.02%4.613+0.35%0.0019✗0.63489k2022-01-08
IMXImmutableEthereum3.773.7687-0.03%3.42-9.28%0.1000✓1.002.5M2022-01-08
API3Api3Ethereum3.793.7887-0.04%3.81+0.53%0.0027✗1.00929k2022-01-08
ETHEthereumEthereum3,198.823,197.57-0.04%3,080.48-3.70%0.0403✓1.06619.8M2022-01-08
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.0295570.029545-0.04%0.029005-1.87%0.0214✓1.026.8M2022-01-08
XECeCashnative0.000098550.00009851-0.04%0.00009632-2.26%0.0254✓1.006.9M2022-01-08
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.7525580.752238-0.04%0.708399-5.87%0.0633✓1.142.8M2022-01-08
TRXTRONTron0.0681280.068098-0.04%0.065402-4.00%0.0431✓0.95589k2022-01-08
KSMKusamaHydration250.4250.278-0.05%240.09-4.12%0.0449✓1.151.3M2022-01-08
DKAdKargoEthereum0.103460.103408-0.05%0.10244-0.99%0.0126✓1.1324k2022-01-08
SUSHISushiEthereum7.177.1663-0.05%6.56-8.51%0.0921✓1.3018.2M2022-01-08
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV109.72109.6625-0.05%107.28-2.22%0.0247✓0.952.8M2022-01-08
RADRadworksEthereum8.98.8953-0.05%8.4-5.62%0.0599✓0.901.2M2022-01-08
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.07490.074856-0.06%0.07317-2.31%0.0263✓1.2420.3M2022-01-08
FILFilecoinFilecoin31.5331.5114-0.06%29.46-6.57%0.0703✓1.0522.1M2022-01-08
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana6.646.6354-0.07%6.55-1.36%0.0148✓0.64713k2022-01-08
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum5.49475.4909-0.07%5.3573-2.50%0.0281✓1.20480k2022-01-08
SKLSKALEEthereum0.1730.172874-0.07%0.164-5.20%0.0563✓1.244.6M2022-01-08
SUNSun TokenTron0.0196250.01961-0.08%0.018696-4.73%0.0512✓1.222.5M2022-01-08
CTKShentuOsmosis1.5061.5048-0.08%1.377-8.57%0.0927✓1.365.3M2022-01-08
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.31920.318949-0.08%0.3129-1.97%0.0228✓1.262.6M2022-01-08
QTUMQtumQtum7.86797.8615-0.08%7.5972-3.44%0.0383✓1.43268k2022-01-08
COMPCompoundEthereum192.9192.7433-0.08%189.37-1.83%0.0210✓1.16195k2022-01-08
ZENHorizenBase55.5755.5247-0.08%54.36-2.18%0.0255✓1.49805k2022-01-08
CHZChilizEthereum0.26380.263584-0.08%0.2557-3.07%0.0342✓1.324.6M2022-01-08
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana8.188.1731-0.08%7.85-4.03%0.0421✓0.61801k2022-01-08
COTICOTIEthereum0.33780.337492-0.09%0.3151-6.72%0.0730✓1.503.4M2022-01-08
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.1548350.154682-0.10%0.15079-2.61%0.0286✓1.104.6M2022-01-08
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana3.8113.8072-0.10%3.657-4.04%0.0422✓0.68483k2022-01-08
GTGateEthereum6.17376.1675-0.10%6.1789+0.08%0.0006✓0.843.9M2022-01-08
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.049460.049409-0.10%0.04885-1.23%0.0146✓1.1316k2022-01-08
IOTAIOTAIOTA1.11441.1132-0.10%1.0756-3.48%0.0372✓0.9822.3M2022-01-08
XTZTezosTezos4.25644.2516-0.11%4.0005-6.01%0.0648✓1.354.9M2022-01-08
CELLCellframeEthereum0.92150.920438-0.12%0.8854-3.92%0.0417✓1.00141k2022-01-08
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum41,663.1041,612.02-0.12%41,892.20+0.55%0.0039✗0.9810k2022-01-08
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0593080.059235-0.12%0.059866+0.94%0.0069✗1.307.3M2022-01-08
DYDXdYdXCosmos6.9896.9803-0.12%6.84-2.13%0.0239✓1.26315k2022-01-08
XMRMoneroMonero194.72194.4732-0.13%183.67-5.67%0.0601✓1.033.0M2022-01-08
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.01690.016878-0.13%0.01623-3.96%0.0411✓0.6930k2022-01-08
MOVRMoonriverBase163.2907163.0678-0.14%156.3963-4.22%0.0450✓1.11574k2022-01-08
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.59360.592789-0.14%0.5732-3.44%0.0373✓1.3011.8M2022-01-08
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain4.19284.187-0.14%3.9971-4.67%0.0501✓1.264.5M2022-01-08
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.5460.545245-0.14%0.515-5.68%0.0608✓1.302.2M2022-01-08
STORJStorjEthereum1.56361.5614-0.14%1.515-3.11%0.0326✓0.86663k2022-01-08
LEOLEO TokenEthereum3.57143.5662-0.15%3.7737+5.66%0.0568✗-0.08364k2022-01-08
SCSiacoinnative0.013580.01356-0.15%0.01326-2.36%0.0252✓0.98777k2022-01-08
KCSKuCoinnative19.1919.1609-0.15%18.946-1.27%0.0160✓1.6313.6M2022-01-08
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.6380.63703-0.15%0.6366-0.22%0.0043✓1.254.5M2022-01-08
FTTFTXEthereum35.5135.4557-0.15%35.22-0.82%0.0098✓1.0820.0M2022-01-08
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.09420.094053-0.16%0.09231-2.01%0.0207✓0.6955k2022-01-08
HIVEHivenative1.36121.3591-0.16%1.3208-2.97%0.0326✓1.405.0M2022-01-08
AMPAmpEthereum0.043490.043421-0.16%0.04346-0.07%0.0017✓0.928.2M2022-01-08
PHAPHALAEthereum0.3690.368412-0.16%0.354-4.07%0.0420✓0.7239k2022-01-08
TRBTellor TributesEthereum30.9730.9206-0.16%28.84-6.88%0.0740✓1.531.1M2022-01-08
NMRNumeraireEthereum27.9427.8951-0.16%27.94+0.00%0.0004✓0.69385k2022-01-08
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.06690.066792-0.16%0.0592-11.51%0.1246✓1.361.5M2022-01-08
CTSICartesiEthereum0.59990.598921-0.16%0.5755-4.07%0.0438✓1.362.8M2022-01-08
OGOG Fan TokenSolana4.1274.1201-0.17%4.303+4.26%0.0412✗0.78942k2022-01-08
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.69830.697128-0.17%0.6336-9.27%0.1007✓1.7835.9M2022-01-08
RLCiExec RLCEthereum2.832.8252-0.17%2.75-2.83%0.0308✓1.323.2M2022-01-08
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000028950.000028899-0.18%0.00002775-4.15%0.0442✓1.251.7M2022-01-08
MASKMask NetworkEthereum10.1510.132-0.18%9.44-7.00%0.0727✓0.671.2M2022-01-08
ADACardanoCardano1.20931.2071-0.18%1.1827-2.20%0.0236✓1.1097.2M2022-01-08
METRONOMEMETRONOME3.90993.9027-0.19%3.7251-4.73%0.0487✓0.758,5232022-01-08
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.015620.015591-0.19%0.01495-4.29%0.0457✓1.302.2M2022-01-08
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum1.551.5471-0.19%1.44-7.10%0.0766✓1.69862k2022-01-08
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum10.998057-0.19%1.01+1.00%0.0068✗1.761.9M2022-01-08
LSKLiskEthereum2.13922.1347-0.21%2.0509-4.13%0.0432✓1.1194k2022-01-08
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.11110.110866-0.21%0.1115+0.36%0.0025✗1.11304k2022-01-08
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.10040.100179-0.22%0.0944-5.98%0.0623✓1.0034.7M2022-01-08
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana10.019.9856-0.24%9.77-2.40%0.0240✓0.741.2M2022-01-08
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum2.3442.3381-0.25%2.257-3.71%0.0384✓1.081.9M2022-01-08
DODODODOEthereum0.8020.799959-0.25%0.742-7.48%0.0794✓1.448.1M2022-01-08
XLMStellarStellar0.2570210.256353-0.26%0.255091-0.75%0.0079✓1.0224.9M2022-01-08
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand1.4451.4412-0.26%1.3854-4.12%0.0428✓1.1530.5M2022-01-08
BICOBiconomyEthereum3.623.6102-0.27%3.52-2.76%0.0288✓1.2310.6M2022-01-08
CRVCurve DAOEthereum54.9861-0.28%4.61-7.80%0.0825✓1.4230.4M2022-01-08
ZECZcashZcash139.74139.3507-0.28%143.63+2.78%0.0264✗1.339.6M2022-01-08
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.0760.075788-0.28%0.0739-2.76%0.0283✓1.0716k2022-01-08
MANADecentralandEthereum3.053.0413-0.29%2.933-3.84%0.0392✓1.015.6M2022-01-08
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum3.113.101-0.29%3.07-1.29%0.0129✓0.98995k2022-01-08
MINAMina Protocolnative3.363.3495-0.31%3.24-3.57%0.0362✓1.04715k2022-01-08
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana15.0915.0408-0.33%14.24-5.63%0.0566✓0.671.1M2022-01-08
LPTLivepeerEthereum37.0236.8992-0.33%35-5.46%0.0575✓1.642.8M2022-01-08
QNTQuantEthereum177.7177.1175-0.33%172.86-2.72%0.0271✓0.957.9M2022-01-08
XEMNEMnative0.11660.116211-0.33%0.1141-2.14%0.0214✓1.0589k2022-01-08
CVCCivicEthereum0.33090.329794-0.33%0.3125-5.56%0.0568✓1.01293k2022-01-08
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain3.02723.016-0.37%2.875-5.03%0.0512✓1.162.7M2022-01-08
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana8.038-0.37%7.81-2.74%0.0262✓0.76771k2022-01-08
GITCOINGITCOIN12.09812.0516-0.38%10.839-10.41%0.1062✓0.0674k2022-01-08
BANDBandEthereum5.275.2494-0.39%4.93-6.45%0.0660✓1.112.1M2022-01-08
DASHDashDash134.68134.128-0.41%141.79+5.28%0.0520✗1.241.9M2022-01-08
GTCGitcoinEthereum12.1212.0654-0.45%10.76-11.22%0.1149✓0.123.0M2022-01-08
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum30.2230.072-0.49%32.9+8.87%0.0859✗1.3924.4M2022-01-08
BATBasic AttentionEthereum1.07121.0645-0.63%1.0197-4.81%0.0481✓1.791.1M2022-01-08
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.51620.512529-0.71%0.4941-4.28%0.0407✓1.42650k2022-01-08
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos38.5438.2541-0.74%35.87-6.93%0.0670✓0.9343.4M2022-01-08
YFIyearn.financeEthereum35,821.0835,552.82-0.75%33,111.98-7.56%0.0730✓0.6521.5M2022-01-08
UMAUMAEthereum9.419.339-0.75%8.86-5.84%0.0554✓0.964.1M2022-01-08
LINKChainlinkEthereum25.9725.7448-0.87%25.31-2.54%0.0205✓1.2169.2M2022-01-08
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum2.051.9747-3.67%1.6022-21.84%0.2117✓0.92922k2022-01-08
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.