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2022-01-06 · +30d

gru_s4 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 138 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.2260
138 of 138 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+8.66%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
85.5%
in alpha space · 88.4% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-3.90%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (138 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▾pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
XVSVenusEthereum14.5314.7395+1.44%8.67-40.33%0.4854✗1.143.5M2022-02-05
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash400.02404.7533+1.18%320.74-19.82%0.1921✗1.029.0M2022-02-05
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum43,220.9043,483.60+0.61%41,460.80-4.07%0.0087✗0.9810k2022-02-05
XYMSymbolnative0.19190.192255+0.19%0.1855-3.34%0.0107✗0.63428k2022-02-05
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.080650.080761+0.14%0.05888-26.99%0.2585✗1.452.7M2022-02-05
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana6.776.7623-0.11%5.47-19.20%0.1867✓0.64743k2022-02-05
LTCLitecoinLitecoin135.9135.6339-0.20%121.8-10.38%0.0538✓1.3536.7M2022-02-05
DOTPolkadotPolkadot26.7126.6393-0.26%21.35-20.07%0.1699✓1.2971.0M2022-02-05
TRXTRONTron0.0710750.070713-0.51%0.064762-8.88%0.0502✓0.95589k2022-02-05
COMPCompoundEthereum204.52203.3707-0.56%136.68-33.17%0.3514✓1.16199k2022-02-05
AAVEAaveEthereum220.94219.4062-0.69%166.2-24.78%0.2317✓1.1616.0M2022-02-05
SOLSolanaSolana150.23148.9855-0.83%113.8-24.25%0.2263✓1.09203.4M2022-02-05
SNXSynthetixEthereum5.965.9026-0.96%5.76-3.36%0.0206✗1.133.3M2022-02-05
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana8.218.1257-1.03%6.46-21.32%0.2047✓0.62811k2022-02-05
SUNSun TokenTron0.0209680.020742-1.08%0.016433-21.63%0.1847✓1.212.5M2022-02-05
UNIUniswapEthereum17.0616.8701-1.11%11.27-33.94%0.3526✓1.2814.1M2022-02-05
BTCBitcoinBitcoin43,083.7642,600.87-1.12%41,404.85-3.90%0.0113✗1.00743.8M2022-02-05
DKAdKargoEthereum0.107790.106538-1.16%0.10107-6.23%0.0080✓1.1226k2022-02-05
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.18120.179084-1.17%0.1551-14.40%0.1073✓0.92490k2022-02-05
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.1600070.158101-1.19%0.147026-8.11%0.0289✓1.104.6M2022-02-05
MTLMetal DAOMetal L22.0262.0012-1.22%1.761-13.08%0.0830✓1.132.5M2022-02-05
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum79.0278.0315-1.25%56.8-28.12%0.2769✓1.026.3M2022-02-05
1INCH1INCHEthereum2.352.3203-1.26%1.79-23.83%0.2172✓1.063.7M2022-02-05
NANOnanopayBase3.36643.3229-1.29%2.1933-34.85%0.3725✓1.08754k2022-02-05
BELBella ProtocolEthereum1.421.4012-1.32%0.976-31.27%0.3092✓1.323.4M2022-02-05
OGOG Fan TokenSolana4.3384.2793-1.35%3.6-17.01%0.1422✓0.771.1M2022-02-05
PHAPHALAEthereum0.3860.380614-1.40%0.265-31.35%0.3335✓0.7239k2022-02-05
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana4.8054.7358-1.44%4.51-6.14%0.0239✓0.63498k2022-02-05
FTTFTXEthereum38.6438.0636-1.49%46.16+19.46%0.2351✗1.0620.0M2022-02-05
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.63650.626982-1.50%0.4481-29.60%0.2846✓1.2911.8M2022-02-05
FILFilecoinFilecoin32.9832.4853-1.50%21.97-33.38%0.3493✓1.0522.1M2022-02-05
RLCiExec RLCEthereum3.012.9628-1.57%2.17-27.91%0.2591✓1.323.0M2022-02-05
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana3.8763.8152-1.57%3.231-16.64%0.1390✓0.68454k2022-02-05
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain1.1631.1434-1.68%0.778-33.10%0.3481✓0.932.3M2022-02-05
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0621160.061048-1.72%0.040382-34.99%0.3616✓1.307.4M2022-02-05
ETHEthereumEthereum3,406.033,346.89-1.74%3,014.50-11.50%0.0630✓1.05619.8M2022-02-05
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain4.4514.373-1.75%3.3404-24.95%0.2191✓1.274.5M2022-02-05
ETCEthereum Classicnative31.6731.0989-1.80%29.42-7.10%0.0140✓1.043.4M2022-02-05
NMRNumeraireEthereum29.3528.8143-1.83%28.35-3.41%0.0110✓0.69385k2022-02-05
KSMKusamaHydration269.76264.5618-1.93%185.88-31.09%0.3077✓1.141.3M2022-02-05
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV111.16109.0084-1.94%96.73-12.98%0.0814✓0.962.8M2022-02-05
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.63850.625296-2.07%0.5995-6.11%0.0084✓1.274.7M2022-02-05
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum5.63885.5178-2.15%5.1203-9.20%0.0269✓1.20480k2022-02-05
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana14.514.1872-2.16%15.87+9.45%0.1396✗0.691.1M2022-02-05
TRACOriginTrailEthereum1.07041.0472-2.17%0.7727-27.81%0.2483✓1.401.6M2022-02-05
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum3.233.1595-2.18%2.66-17.65%0.1330✓0.98995k2022-02-05
XTZTezosTezos4.4554.3571-2.20%3.9423-11.51%0.0463✓1.354.9M2022-02-05
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum30.5929.8996-2.26%22.26-27.23%0.2393✓1.4024.4M2022-02-05
QTUMQtumQtum8.36218.1726-2.27%6.9281-17.15%0.1086✓1.42268k2022-02-05
DASHDashDash124.32121.4853-2.28%103.6-16.67%0.1082✓1.291.9M2022-02-05
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.076780.075016-2.30%0.0405-47.25%0.5671✓1.2420.3M2022-02-05
AUCTIONBounceEthereum22.5522.0309-2.30%15.3-32.15%0.3237✓1.031.2M2022-02-05
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana10.019.7773-2.32%10.1+0.90%0.0624✗0.751.2M2022-02-05
XECeCashnative0.000103440.000101034-2.33%0.0000839-18.89%0.1462✓1.007.0M2022-02-05
GTGateEthereum6.27766.1305-2.34%7.0234+11.88%0.1695✗0.843.9M2022-02-05
XEMNEMnative0.12320.120301-2.35%0.1129-8.36%0.0221✓1.04111k2022-02-05
LCXLCXEthereum0.16620.162277-2.36%0.1181-28.94%0.2693✓1.222.0M2022-02-05
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana8.157.9545-2.40%6.52-20.00%0.1684✓0.77771k2022-02-05
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.7980090.778762-2.41%0.652675-18.21%0.1315✓1.142.8M2022-02-05
SKLSKALEEthereum0.18710.182483-2.47%0.1293-30.89%0.2957✓1.234.6M2022-02-05
ADACardanoCardano1.27941.2463-2.59%1.1255-12.03%0.0585✓1.0997.2M2022-02-05
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.100880.098242-2.62%0.085-15.74%0.1182✓0.6755k2022-02-05
CTKShentuOsmosis1.5371.4968-2.62%1.519-1.17%0.0693✗1.375.5M2022-02-05
ARPAARPAEthereum0.09230.089766-2.75%0.069-25.24%0.2087✓1.371.4M2022-02-05
TRBTellor TributesEthereum33.1632.2378-2.78%22.45-32.30%0.3014✓1.521.1M2022-02-05
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain3.00212.9177-2.81%3.2266+7.48%0.1482✗1.202.7M2022-02-05
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.0306510.029786-2.82%0.02206-28.03%0.2596✓1.027.0M2022-02-05
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.3410.331227-2.87%0.2627-22.96%0.1819✓1.252.9M2022-02-05
DODODODOEthereum0.8220.798204-2.89%0.533-35.16%0.3460✓1.468.1M2022-02-05
QNTQuantEthereum178.46173.1521-2.97%132.93-25.51%0.2259✓0.977.9M2022-02-05
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.052120.050568-2.98%0.04465-14.33%0.0798✓1.1216k2022-02-05
CBKCobakEthereum2.8162.732-2.98%2.562-9.02%0.0290✓0.8936k2022-02-05
CHZChilizEthereum0.28110.272693-2.99%0.2088-25.72%0.2148✓1.314.6M2022-02-05
XMRMoneroMonero205.35199.118-3.03%168.71-17.84%0.1251✓1.023.2M2022-02-05
XLMStellarStellar0.26750.259331-3.05%0.213222-20.29%0.1554✓1.0224.9M2022-02-05
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum8.5088.2447-3.09%6.059-28.78%0.2826✓0.64272k2022-02-05
XVGVergenative0.015760.015272-3.10%0.01122-28.81%0.2607✓1.202.1M2022-02-05
KCSKuCoinnative20.96820.3147-3.12%19.686-6.11%0.0326✗1.6113.6M2022-02-05
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.08020.077689-3.13%0.0763-4.86%0.0242✓1.0616k2022-02-05
SUSHISushiEthereum7.457.2165-3.13%4.68-37.18%0.3812✓1.3118.2M2022-02-05
AMPAmpEthereum0.0460.044555-3.14%0.03104-32.52%0.3253✓0.918.2M2022-02-05
COTICOTIEthereum0.37080.358909-3.21%0.3102-16.34%0.0870✓1.483.4M2022-02-05
LEOLEO TokenEthereum3.773.6447-3.32%4.7941+27.16%0.2698✗-0.11364k2022-02-05
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.12150.117367-3.40%0.0869-28.48%0.2574✓1.09304k2022-02-05
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.017060.016477-3.42%0.01113-34.76%0.3411✓1.292.2M2022-02-05
IOTAIOTAIOTA1.18411.1431-3.47%0.9491-19.85%0.1473✓0.9721.2M2022-02-05
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.07010.067639-3.51%0.0368-47.50%0.5545✓1.361.5M2022-02-05
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.018160.017518-3.53%0.01353-25.50%0.2318✓0.6730k2022-02-05
ZECZcashZcash137.22132.2922-3.59%116.08-15.41%0.0768✓1.368.6M2022-02-05
DYDXdYdXCosmos7.6867.4099-3.59%6.514-15.25%0.0794✓1.25315k2022-02-05
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.30481.2563-3.72%2.054+57.42%0.5357✗1.11922k2022-02-05
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum1.121.0767-3.86%0.77-31.25%0.2676✓1.701.9M2022-02-05
LRCLoopringEthereum1.8411.7669-4.03%0.9682-47.41%0.5253✓1.921.4M2022-02-05
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum33.1131.7724-4.04%20.04-39.47%0.3880✓1.835.4M2022-02-05
RADRadworksEthereum9.599.202-4.05%5.48-42.86%0.4832✓0.881.2M2022-02-05
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.0642.9392-4.07%2.728-10.97%0.0120✓1.571.5M2022-02-05
ZENHorizenBase57.7955.4063-4.12%45.61-21.08%0.1351✓1.50805k2022-02-05
STORJStorjEthereum1.64761.579-4.16%1.3221-19.75%0.1440✓0.84663k2022-02-05
IMXImmutableEthereum4.153.9751-4.21%2.89-30.36%0.2790✓1.002.5M2022-02-05
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum1.651.5803-4.22%1.21-26.67%0.1998✓1.69881k2022-02-05
LINKChainlinkEthereum25.3924.3151-4.23%17.77-30.01%0.2646✓1.2369.2M2022-02-05
BANDBandEthereum5.835.5788-4.31%3.9-33.10%0.3148✓1.092.1M2022-02-05
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum2.5732.4559-4.55%1.921-25.34%0.2036✓1.061.9M2022-02-05
LSKLiskEthereum2.15242.0542-4.56%1.8014-16.31%0.0865✓1.13102k2022-02-05
LUNATerraTerra 278.3974.7237-4.68%55.39-29.34%0.2597✓1.007.2M2022-02-05
SCSiacoinnative0.01450.013814-4.73%0.01154-20.41%0.1415✓0.97777k2022-02-05
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000030790.000029328-4.75%0.00002254-26.79%0.2139✓1.241.7M2022-02-05
CELLCellframeEthereum0.95040.905098-4.77%0.9549+0.47%0.0933✗1.00143k2022-02-05
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche95.1490.5051-4.87%77.09-18.97%0.1156✓1.13114.6M2022-02-05
API3Api3Ethereum43.8047-4.88%3.57-10.75%0.0239✓1.00957k2022-02-05
MOVRMoonriverBase185.613176.4149-4.96%85.8205-53.76%0.6776✓1.08574k2022-02-05
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon1.22621.1648-5.01%0.4421-63.95%0.9339✓0.883.9M2022-02-05
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand1.56311.4835-5.09%1.0021-35.89%0.3474✓1.1330.0M2022-02-05
METRONOMEMETRONOME4.043.8337-5.11%3.4881-13.66%0.0647✓0.7514k2022-02-05
UOSUltraEthereum1.40751.3351-5.14%1.1381-19.14%0.1208✓0.983.6M2022-02-05
MINAMina Protocolnative3.683.4854-5.29%2.9-21.20%0.1434✓1.02626k2022-02-05
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.5910.558592-5.48%0.354-40.10%0.4052✓1.282.2M2022-02-05
UMAUMAEthereum9.769.2149-5.58%6.4-34.43%0.3264✓0.964.1M2022-02-05
BATBasic AttentionEthereum1.18021.1135-5.65%0.92529-21.60%0.1148✓1.771.1M2022-02-05
CTSICartesiEthereum0.64920.612286-5.69%0.4932-24.03%0.1629✓1.342.8M2022-02-05
DEXEDeXeEthereum10.329.7318-5.70%7.24-29.84%0.3004✓-0.121.9M2022-02-05
MANADecentralandEthereum3.38723.1913-5.78%3.0145-11.00%0.0182✓0.985.6M2022-02-05
SPELLSpellEthereum0.017050.016048-5.88%0.00674-60.47%0.7742✓2.3529.0M2022-02-05
LPTLivepeerEthereum41.8439.211-6.28%29.81-28.75%0.2104✓1.602.8M2022-02-05
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.10190.095265-6.51%0.1089+6.87%0.1735✗1.0033.0M2022-02-05
CRVCurve DAOEthereum5.415.0563-6.54%3.42-36.78%0.3353✓1.4029.4M2022-02-05
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.5530.51675-6.56%0.6186+11.86%0.2362✗1.42650k2022-02-05
BICOBiconomyEthereum3.493.2516-6.83%2.21-36.68%0.3340✓1.3110.7M2022-02-05
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum3.493.2514-6.84%2.31-33.81%0.3021✓1.003.2M2022-02-05
CVCCivicEthereum0.33460.311323-6.96%0.3148-5.92%0.0515✓1.02293k2022-02-05
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos40.0437.2177-7.05%30.76-23.18%0.1539✓0.9243.4M2022-02-05
GITCOINGITCOIN13.0912.1611-7.10%8.166-37.62%0.3971✓0.0378k2022-02-05
BFCBifrostEthereum0.182170.168963-7.25%0.20531+12.70%0.2572✗1.575,9572022-02-05
YFIyearn.financeEthereum35,933.6933,288.40-7.36%25,186.77-29.91%0.2528✓0.6621.4M2022-02-05
MASKMask NetworkEthereum10.910.059-7.72%6.67-38.81%0.3849✓0.651.2M2022-02-05
HIVEHivenative1.48681.3715-7.76%1.166-21.58%0.1075✓1.385.2M2022-02-05
GTCGitcoinEthereum13.111.8113-9.84%8.15-37.79%0.3674✓0.093.5M2022-02-05
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.77860.698758-10.25%0.5202-33.19%0.2254✓1.7535.9M2022-02-05
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.