8=======>

2022-01-04 · +1d

gru_s4 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 138 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.2070
138 of 138 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+2.90%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
72.5%
in alpha space · 92.8% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-5.19%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (138 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▾pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum3.893.8917+0.04%3.69-5.14%0.0001✓1.003.3M2022-01-05
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum46,006.0046,004.71-0.00%43,367.50-5.74%0.0070✓0.9810k2022-01-05
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon1.44841.448-0.03%1.2813-11.54%0.0785✓0.824.4M2022-01-05
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash427.38427.2496-0.03%399.79-6.46%0.0125✓1.019.0M2022-01-05
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.089270.089218-0.06%0.08369-6.25%0.0135✗1.452.9M2022-01-05
LTCLitecoinLitecoin146.44146.3443-0.07%135.32-7.59%0.0065✓1.3536.7M2022-01-05
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV120.8120.7187-0.07%114.04-5.60%0.0061✓0.953.2M2022-01-05
SOLSolanaSolana167.72167.5982-0.07%154.44-7.92%0.0249✓1.07211.5M2022-01-05
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.19570.195556-0.07%0.1832-6.39%0.0169✓0.91506k2022-01-05
ETCEthereum Classicnative34.1134.0837-0.08%31.96-6.30%0.0089✓1.043.7M2022-01-05
DOTPolkadotPolkadot28.6928.6669-0.08%26.71-6.90%0.0018✓1.2971.0M2022-01-05
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain1.2231.2218-0.09%1.178-3.68%0.0136✗0.942.4M2022-01-05
BTCBitcoinBitcoin45,814.6145,770.64-0.10%43,436.04-5.19%0.0010✗1.00727.0M2022-01-05
1INCH1INCHEthereum2.482.4776-0.10%2.32-6.45%0.0092✓1.064.0M2022-01-05
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain4.5074.5019-0.11%4.2873-4.87%0.0200✗1.294.7M2022-01-05
TRXTRONTron0.0759890.075901-0.12%0.071153-6.36%0.0145✓0.94556k2022-01-05
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana8.768.7488-0.13%8.19-6.51%0.0338✓0.60828k2022-01-05
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana7.167.1506-0.13%6.84-4.47%0.0105✓0.64801k2022-01-05
TRACOriginTrailEthereum1.18721.1856-0.13%1.099-7.43%0.0011✓1.401.7M2022-01-05
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana5.1075.1-0.14%4.727-7.44%0.0438✓0.60549k2022-01-05
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.1684740.168237-0.14%0.158936-5.66%0.0018✗1.104.6M2022-01-05
AUCTIONBounceEthereum24.0223.9841-0.15%22.63-5.79%0.0032✓1.031.2M2022-01-05
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.06230.062205-0.15%0.067553+8.43%0.1567✗1.397.4M2022-01-05
AAVEAaveEthereum251.96251.5593-0.16%230.12-8.67%0.0285✓1.1414.7M2022-01-05
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum92.8892.7305-0.16%80.37-13.47%0.0918✓0.966.3M2022-01-05
XYMSymbolnative0.21010.209755-0.16%0.1904-9.38%0.0652✓0.59441k2022-01-05
BFCBifrostEthereum0.204040.203702-0.17%0.18607-8.81%0.0073✓1.566,4462022-01-05
ETHEthereumEthereum3,785.003,778.68-0.17%3,539.00-6.50%0.0103✓1.04619.8M2022-01-05
MTLMetal DAOMetal L22.2282.2242-0.17%2.079-6.69%0.0077✓1.122.5M2022-01-05
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.69450.693265-0.18%0.646-6.98%0.0030✓1.275.2M2022-01-05
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum6.06176.0508-0.18%5.6004-7.61%0.0133✓1.20553k2022-01-05
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana15.0415.0125-0.18%14.28-5.05%0.0135✓0.691.1M2022-01-05
XVSVenusEthereum15.9215.8903-0.19%15.17-4.71%0.0148✗1.153.5M2022-01-05
GTGateEthereum6.49016.478-0.19%6.1854-4.69%0.0015✓0.843.9M2022-01-05
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.083880.08372-0.19%0.07653-8.76%0.0249✓1.2220.9M2022-01-05
DYDXdYdXCosmos8.2398.223-0.19%7.866-4.53%0.0229✗1.26336k2022-01-05
CTKShentuOsmosis1.6781.6747-0.20%1.533-8.64%0.0159✓1.365.7M2022-01-05
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain3.09033.0841-0.20%2.8503-7.77%0.0151✓1.202.9M2022-01-05
XEMNEMnative0.12520.124948-0.20%0.1297+3.59%0.0960✗1.10115k2022-01-05
UOSUltraEthereum1.46021.4572-0.20%1.3601-6.85%0.0179✓0.963.6M2022-01-05
QNTQuantEthereum179.48179.1076-0.21%166.2-7.40%0.0238✓0.968.3M2022-01-05
DASHDashDash134.69134.4061-0.21%122.47-9.07%0.0253✓1.271.9M2022-01-05
LEOLEO TokenEthereum3.77953.7715-0.21%3.7977+0.48%0.0010✓-0.11364k2022-01-05
PHAPHALAEthereum0.4090.40813-0.21%0.4-2.20%0.0189✗0.7339k2022-01-05
ARPAARPAEthereum0.09910.098886-0.22%0.0912-7.97%0.0083✓1.361.5M2022-01-05
NANOnanopayBase3.71433.7062-0.22%3.3854-8.86%0.0341✓1.06798k2022-01-05
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum9.369.3386-0.23%8.683-7.23%0.0402✓0.61299k2022-01-05
XECeCashnative0.000112920.000112661-0.23%0.00010469-7.29%0.0209✓0.987.2M2022-01-05
LCXLCXEthereum0.19430.193846-0.23%0.1723-11.32%0.0547✓1.182.1M2022-01-05
UNIUniswapEthereum18.2118.1671-0.24%17.11-6.04%0.0084✗1.2814.1M2022-01-05
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.06950.069336-0.24%0.0676-2.73%0.0494✗1.401.6M2022-01-05
BELBella ProtocolEthereum1.6461.6421-0.24%1.465-11.00%0.0455✓1.293.4M2022-01-05
DEXEDeXeEthereum11.5111.4827-0.24%10.74-6.69%0.0758✓-0.172.2M2022-01-05
KCSKuCoinnative22.04621.9933-0.24%21.226-3.72%0.0516✗1.6313.6M2022-01-05
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.36730.366415-0.24%0.3554-3.24%0.0374✗1.273.0M2022-01-05
NMRNumeraireEthereum31.2731.1939-0.24%29.76-4.83%0.0109✓0.68385k2022-01-05
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana10.5610.5342-0.24%10-5.30%0.0124✓0.741.2M2022-01-05
QTUMQtumQtum8.99398.9718-0.25%8.2328-8.46%0.0105✓1.42268k2022-01-05
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.3633.3547-0.25%3.067-8.80%0.0048✓1.591.8M2022-01-05
LRCLoopringEthereum2.06512.0599-0.25%1.8048-12.60%0.0322✓1.881.4M2022-01-05
CHZChilizEthereum0.30250.301723-0.26%0.2787-7.87%0.0100✓1.304.6M2022-01-05
ADACardanoCardano1.30921.3058-0.26%1.2304-6.02%0.0011✓1.0997.2M2022-01-05
SKLSKALEEthereum0.19950.19898-0.26%0.1904-4.56%0.0221✗1.244.8M2022-01-05
MOVRMoonriverBase185.4543184.9556-0.27%198.6558+7.12%0.1335✗1.16574k2022-01-05
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum38.6738.5656-0.27%33.82-12.54%0.0355✓1.805.4M2022-01-05
FILFilecoinFilecoin36.1336.0322-0.27%33.09-8.41%0.0300✓1.0322.7M2022-01-05
ZENHorizenBase64.4264.2445-0.27%60.33-6.35%0.0173✗1.50807k2022-01-05
SUNSun TokenTron0.0223170.022256-0.27%0.020489-8.19%0.0187✓1.202.4M2022-01-05
XLMStellarStellar0.2793080.27853-0.28%0.26604-4.75%0.0085✗1.0224.9M2022-01-05
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000032450.000032358-0.28%0.00003037-6.41%0.0030✗1.251.7M2022-01-05
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.34271.3389-0.28%1.2498-6.92%0.0100✓1.10922k2022-01-05
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana4.1124.1002-0.29%3.808-7.39%0.0386✓0.66483k2022-01-05
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.8884310.885858-0.29%0.826502-6.97%0.0094✓1.122.8M2022-01-05
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum1.641.6352-0.29%1.56-4.88%0.0448✗1.72964k2022-01-05
DKAdKargoEthereum0.119720.119369-0.29%0.10913-8.85%0.0310✓1.1026k2022-01-05
KSMKusamaHydration296.29295.4078-0.30%266.77-9.96%0.0427✓1.111.3M2022-01-05
XMRMoneroMonero222.22221.5504-0.30%206.96-6.87%0.0144✓1.013.2M2022-01-05
DODODODOEthereum0.8730.870366-0.30%0.829-5.04%0.0299✗1.478.1M2022-01-05
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.08560.085337-0.31%0.0819-4.32%0.0160✗1.0718k2022-01-05
UMAUMAEthereum9.039.0022-0.31%11.01+21.93%0.2609✗1.123.9M2022-01-05
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.0334060.033303-0.31%0.03194-4.39%0.0128✗1.027.3M2022-01-05
MANADecentralandEthereum3.17443.1646-0.31%2.9141-8.20%0.0320✓0.955.7M2022-01-05
IOTAIOTAIOTA1.27881.2748-0.32%1.171-8.43%0.0345✓0.9521.2M2022-01-05
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana8.58.4725-0.32%8.07-5.06%0.0080✓0.76773k2022-01-05
XVGVergenative0.017210.017154-0.32%0.01601-6.97%0.0055✓1.192.2M2022-01-05
STORJStorjEthereum1.79181.7859-0.33%1.6291-9.08%0.0489✓0.81668k2022-01-05
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.67840.676142-0.33%0.6298-7.16%0.0024✓1.2911.4M2022-01-05
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.13240.131953-0.34%0.1229-7.18%0.0138✓1.07304k2022-01-05
COTICOTIEthereum0.39340.392068-0.34%0.3671-6.69%0.0134✗1.493.4M2022-01-05
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum1.151.1461-0.34%1.11-3.48%0.0213✗1.001.8M2022-01-05
API3Api3Ethereum4.14.086-0.34%4.14+0.98%0.0664✗1.00967k2022-01-05
ZECZcashZcash147.34146.8262-0.35%136.6-7.29%0.0002✓1.3510.1M2022-01-05
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.019730.019661-0.35%0.01856-5.93%0.0231✓0.6535k2022-01-05
SCSiacoinnative0.015470.015416-0.35%0.01446-6.53%0.0130✓0.96783k2022-01-05
IMXImmutableEthereum4.744.7227-0.36%4.41-6.96%0.0152✓1.002.5M2022-01-05
TRBTellor TributesEthereum35.8335.6926-0.38%33.42-6.73%0.0157✗1.531.1M2022-01-05
COMPCompoundEthereum223.02222.1569-0.39%204.79-8.17%0.0205✓1.14211k2022-01-05
LSKLiskEthereum2.33982.3306-0.39%2.1886-6.46%0.0030✓1.12100k2022-01-05
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche103.3102.8909-0.40%97.36-5.75%0.0045✗1.12115.7M2022-01-05
LINKChainlinkEthereum23.4323.3368-0.40%25.22+7.64%0.1482✗1.3269.2M2022-01-05
SUSHISushiEthereum8.078.0375-0.40%7.64-5.33%0.0193✗1.3118.2M2022-01-05
RADRadworksEthereum11.2711.2236-0.41%10.08-10.56%0.0628✓0.841.2M2022-01-05
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum3.393.3757-0.42%3.3-2.65%0.0305✗1.00995k2022-01-05
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.055130.054896-0.42%0.0501-9.12%0.0327✓1.1015k2022-01-05
CELLCellframeEthereum1.03511.0306-0.44%0.9503-8.19%0.0278✓1.00145k2022-01-05
OGOG Fan TokenSolana4.6734.652-0.45%4.395-5.95%0.0163✓0.761.1M2022-01-05
METRONOMEMETRONOME4.724.6981-0.46%4.1357-12.38%0.0909✓0.6917k2022-01-05
MASKMask NetworkEthereum12.2912.232-0.47%11.18-9.03%0.0575✓0.611.2M2022-01-05
LUNATerraTerra 284.5684.1602-0.47%78.41-7.27%0.0175✓1.006.3M2022-01-05
BATBasic AttentionEthereum1.28291.2768-0.47%1.1756-8.37%0.0114✗1.761.2M2022-01-05
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum2.6932.68-0.48%2.442-9.32%0.0383✓1.031.9M2022-01-05
CTSICartesiEthereum0.71330.70978-0.49%0.643-9.86%0.0285✓1.322.8M2022-01-05
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.6620.658704-0.50%0.595-10.12%0.0348✓1.262.2M2022-01-05
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand1.67141.663-0.50%1.5562-6.89%0.0067✓1.1230.0M2022-01-05
CBKCobakEthereum3.153.1341-0.50%2.861-9.17%0.0457✓0.8541k2022-01-05
XTZTezosTezos5.0395.0134-0.51%4.5093-10.51%0.0353✓1.334.9M2022-01-05
BICOBiconomyEthereum3.923.8995-0.52%3.55-9.44%0.0240✓1.3110.7M2022-01-05
CVCCivicEthereum0.35740.355508-0.53%0.3305-7.53%0.0197✓1.00293k2022-01-05
HIVEHivenative1.59251.584-0.53%1.5149-4.87%0.0291✗1.385.2M2022-01-05
AMPAmpEthereum0.049290.04902-0.55%0.04681-5.03%0.0020✓0.908.2M2022-01-05
SNXSynthetixEthereum6.66.5633-0.56%6.37-3.48%0.0313✗1.153.3M2022-01-05
BANDBandEthereum5.665.6283-0.56%6.23+10.07%0.1648✗1.192.1M2022-01-05
RLCiExec RLCEthereum3.423.3981-0.64%3.1-9.36%0.0227✓1.303.0M2022-01-05
SPELLSpellEthereum0.021110.020975-0.64%0.01834-13.12%0.0809✓1.0028.5M2022-01-05
YFIyearn.financeEthereum36,282.4736,041.26-0.66%32,578.76-10.21%0.0684✓0.6117.3M2022-01-05
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.11920.118402-0.67%0.1017-14.68%0.0987✓1.0033.0M2022-01-05
MINAMina Protocolnative3.713.6842-0.70%3.86+4.04%0.1040✗1.08626k2022-01-05
CRVCurve DAOEthereum6.086.0365-0.72%5.4-11.18%0.0389✓1.3629.4M2022-01-05
FTTFTXEthereum41.3541.0526-0.72%38.06-7.96%0.0198✓1.0519.4M2022-01-05
LPTLivepeerEthereum42.8342.5186-0.73%42.44-0.91%0.0858✗1.642.8M2022-01-05
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.019470.01932-0.77%0.01768-9.19%0.0209✓1.272.2M2022-01-05
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.110.109136-0.79%0.10219-7.10%0.0316✓0.6455k2022-01-05
GITCOINGITCOIN15.67215.5212-0.96%13.46-14.11%0.1464✓-0.0786k2022-01-05
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.83810.82992-0.98%0.7389-11.84%0.0247✓1.7233.4M2022-01-05
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum33.8233.447-1.10%30.63-9.43%0.0141✓1.3924.2M2022-01-05
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos42.0541.4994-1.31%38.67-8.04%0.0228✓0.9043.4M2022-01-05
GTCGitcoinEthereum15.715.4544-1.56%13.31-15.22%0.1504✓-0.023.9M2022-01-05
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.62060.604563-2.58%0.5593-9.88%0.0036✓1.39650k2022-01-05
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.