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2022-01-04 · +30d

gru_s4 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 138 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.2129
138 of 138 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+24.89%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
82.6%
in alpha space · 94.2% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-18.52%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (138 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▾pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash427.38431.4916+0.96%281.46-34.14%0.2200✗1.019.0M2022-02-03
XVSVenusEthereum15.9216.0093+0.56%8.19-48.56%0.4350✗1.153.5M2022-02-03
XYMSymbolnative0.21010.210105+0.00%0.1775-15.52%0.0473✗0.59441k2022-02-03
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.089270.089121-0.17%0.05362-39.94%0.2104✓1.452.9M2022-02-03
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum46,006.0045,928.28-0.17%37,210.50-19.12%0.0105✓0.9810k2022-02-03
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana7.167.1291-0.43%5.17-27.79%0.1909✓0.64801k2022-02-03
DOTPolkadotPolkadot28.6928.548-0.49%18.93-34.02%0.1461✓1.2971.0M2022-02-03
LTCLitecoinLitecoin146.44145.4522-0.67%111.02-24.19%0.0057✓1.3536.7M2022-02-03
TRXTRONTron0.0759890.075295-0.91%0.05985-21.24%0.0371✓0.94556k2022-02-03
COMPCompoundEthereum223.02220.8735-0.96%125-43.95%0.3352✓1.14211k2022-02-03
1INCH1INCHEthereum2.482.4482-1.28%1.66-33.06%0.1713✓1.064.0M2022-02-03
SUNSun TokenTron0.0223170.022008-1.38%0.014662-34.30%0.1602✓1.202.4M2022-02-03
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.1684740.166075-1.42%0.13787-18.17%0.0393✗1.104.6M2022-02-03
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana8.768.6298-1.49%6.17-29.57%0.2117✓0.60828k2022-02-03
OGOG Fan TokenSolana4.6734.6003-1.56%3.456-26.04%0.1302✓0.761.1M2022-02-03
BTCBitcoinBitcoin45,814.6145,095.01-1.57%37,329.91-18.52%0.0158✓1.00727.0M2022-02-03
UNIUniswapEthereum18.2117.9209-1.59%10.39-42.94%0.2824✓1.2814.1M2022-02-03
FILFilecoinFilecoin36.1335.5513-1.60%20.37-43.62%0.3451✓1.0322.7M2022-02-03
AAVEAaveEthereum251.96247.8921-1.61%152.86-39.33%0.2506✓1.1414.7M2022-02-03
PHAPHALAEthereum0.4090.402332-1.63%0.254-37.90%0.3102✓0.7339k2022-02-03
MTLMetal DAOMetal L22.2282.1914-1.64%1.629-26.89%0.0668✓1.122.5M2022-02-03
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana5.1075.0221-1.66%4.136-19.01%0.0706✓0.60549k2022-02-03
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana4.1124.0433-1.67%3.09-24.85%0.1332✓0.66483k2022-02-03
SOLSolanaSolana167.72164.8484-1.71%101.93-39.23%0.2623✓1.07211.5M2022-02-03
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.19570.19223-1.77%0.139-28.97%0.1386✓0.91506k2022-02-03
BELBella ProtocolEthereum1.6461.6164-1.80%0.874-46.90%0.3513✓1.293.4M2022-02-03
ETCEthereum Classicnative34.1133.4814-1.84%27.88-18.26%0.0299✗1.043.7M2022-02-03
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain4.5074.423-1.86%3.2104-28.77%0.0561✓1.294.7M2022-02-03
DKAdKargoEthereum0.119720.117478-1.87%0.09321-22.14%0.0059✓1.1026k2022-02-03
ETHEthereumEthereum3,785.003,711.96-1.93%2,697.59-28.73%0.1070✓1.04619.8M2022-02-03
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV120.8118.3498-2.03%89.8-25.66%0.0808✓0.953.2M2022-02-03
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain1.2231.1981-2.03%0.718-41.29%0.3193✓0.942.4M2022-02-03
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.67840.664381-2.07%0.4067-40.05%0.2271✓1.2911.4M2022-02-03
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.06230.061005-2.08%0.036103-42.05%0.2396✓1.397.4M2022-02-03
NMRNumeraireEthereum31.2730.6136-2.10%23.46-24.98%0.1274✓0.68385k2022-02-03
NANOnanopayBase3.71433.6341-2.16%2.0772-44.08%0.3425✓1.06798k2022-02-03
SNXSynthetixEthereum6.66.4527-2.23%5.09-22.88%0.0021✓1.153.3M2022-02-03
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum3.393.3126-2.28%2.44-28.02%0.1013✓1.00995k2022-02-03
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.69450.67829-2.33%0.5436-21.73%0.0385✗1.275.2M2022-02-03
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana8.58.2961-2.40%6.12-28.00%0.1481✓0.76773k2022-02-03
FTTFTXEthereum41.3540.3251-2.48%42.77+3.43%0.2736✗1.0519.4M2022-02-03
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum92.8890.5546-2.50%48.5-47.78%0.4274✓0.966.3M2022-02-03
XEMNEMnative0.12520.122029-2.53%0.1027-17.97%0.0529✗1.10115k2022-02-03
QTUMQtumQtum8.99398.7646-2.55%6.0981-32.20%0.0727✓1.42268k2022-02-03
AUCTIONBounceEthereum24.0223.3998-2.58%13.95-41.92%0.3063✓1.031.2M2022-02-03
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana15.0414.6497-2.60%14.45-3.92%0.1266✗0.691.1M2022-02-03
DASHDashDash134.69131.0411-2.71%95.23-29.30%0.0592✓1.271.9M2022-02-03
KSMKusamaHydration296.29288.241-2.72%162.76-45.07%0.3440✓1.111.3M2022-02-03
CTKShentuOsmosis1.6781.6314-2.77%1.294-22.88%0.0467✗1.365.7M2022-02-03
QNTQuantEthereum179.48174.4937-2.78%135.16-24.69%0.0597✓0.968.3M2022-02-03
GTGateEthereum6.49016.3095-2.78%6.7329+3.74%0.2369✗0.843.9M2022-02-03
LINKChainlinkEthereum23.4322.768-2.83%16.31-30.39%0.0626✓1.3269.2M2022-02-03
RLCiExec RLCEthereum3.423.323-2.84%1.89-44.74%0.2989✓1.303.0M2022-02-03
ADACardanoCardano1.30921.272-2.84%1.061-18.96%0.0429✗1.0997.2M2022-02-03
XECeCashnative0.000112920.000109676-2.87%0.0000764-32.34%0.1601✓0.987.2M2022-02-03
SKLSKALEEthereum0.19950.193627-2.94%0.1138-42.96%0.2772✓1.244.8M2022-02-03
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana10.5610.248-2.95%9.57-9.37%0.0840✗0.741.2M2022-02-03
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum6.06175.8822-2.96%4.7256-22.04%0.0270✓1.20553k2022-02-03
XTZTezosTezos5.0394.8868-3.02%3.8358-23.88%0.0294✓1.334.9M2022-02-03
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.8884310.861581-3.02%0.613557-30.94%0.1093✓1.122.8M2022-02-03
XLMStellarStellar0.2793080.270441-3.17%0.19506-30.16%0.1178✓1.0224.9M2022-02-03
TRACOriginTrailEthereum1.18721.1495-3.18%0.6171-48.02%0.3349✓1.401.7M2022-02-03
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.083880.08121-3.18%0.03949-52.92%0.4715✓1.2220.9M2022-02-03
TRBTellor TributesEthereum35.8334.6722-3.23%19.28-46.19%0.2739✓1.531.1M2022-02-03
ARPAARPAEthereum0.09910.095836-3.29%0.0616-37.84%0.1629✓1.361.5M2022-02-03
DODODODOEthereum0.8730.84381-3.34%0.526-39.75%0.1708✓1.478.1M2022-02-03
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain3.09032.9864-3.36%3.0916+0.04%0.2794✗1.202.9M2022-02-03
XMRMoneroMonero222.22214.5982-3.43%146.89-33.90%0.1725✓1.013.2M2022-02-03
LEOLEO TokenEthereum3.77953.6496-3.44%4.1115+8.78%0.0966✗-0.11364k2022-02-03
SUSHISushiEthereum8.077.7889-3.48%4.09-49.32%0.3752✓1.3118.2M2022-02-03
DYDXdYdXCosmos8.2397.9517-3.49%6.085-26.14%0.0091✓1.26336k2022-02-03
LCXLCXEthereum0.19430.187412-3.54%0.1064-45.24%0.3237✓1.182.1M2022-02-03
KCSKuCoinnative22.04621.2603-3.56%17.927-18.68%0.1641✗1.6313.6M2022-02-03
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.36730.353913-3.64%0.2361-35.72%0.1440✓1.273.0M2022-02-03
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum33.8232.5793-3.67%20.81-38.47%0.1643✓1.3924.2M2022-02-03
COTICOTIEthereum0.39340.378884-3.69%0.2853-27.48%0.0205✓1.493.4M2022-02-03
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.08560.082432-3.70%0.0657-23.25%0.0076✓1.0718k2022-02-03
CHZChilizEthereum0.30250.291145-3.75%0.1839-39.21%0.1927✓1.304.6M2022-02-03
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.06950.066846-3.82%0.0321-53.81%0.4465✓1.401.6M2022-02-03
AMPAmpEthereum0.049290.047387-3.86%0.02918-40.80%0.2999✓0.908.2M2022-02-03
IOTAIOTAIOTA1.27881.2281-3.96%0.9279-27.44%0.0866✓0.9521.2M2022-02-03
BANDBandEthereum5.665.4353-3.97%3.38-40.28%0.2320✓1.192.1M2022-02-03
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.110.105602-4.00%0.07603-30.88%0.1972✓0.6455k2022-02-03
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum9.368.9845-4.01%5.773-38.32%0.3172✓0.61299k2022-02-03
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum1.151.1037-4.02%0.66-42.61%0.3094✓1.001.8M2022-02-03
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.055130.052888-4.07%0.04063-26.30%0.0381✓1.1015k2022-02-03
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.34271.288-4.07%2.0312+51.28%0.6815✗1.10922k2022-02-03
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.13240.126995-4.08%0.0807-39.05%0.2336✓1.07304k2022-02-03
CBKCobakEthereum3.153.0194-4.15%2.366-24.89%0.0691✓0.8541k2022-02-03
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.0334060.03197-4.30%0.020346-39.09%0.2421✓1.027.3M2022-02-03
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum1.641.5691-4.32%1.24-24.39%0.1174✗1.72964k2022-02-03
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.019730.018869-4.37%0.01236-37.35%0.2903✓0.6535k2022-02-03
ZECZcashZcash147.34140.8125-4.43%101.02-31.44%0.0554✓1.3510.1M2022-02-03
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.019470.018578-4.58%0.00935-51.98%0.4262✓1.272.2M2022-02-03
XVGVergenative0.017210.01641-4.65%0.00994-42.24%0.2573✓1.192.2M2022-02-03
IMXImmutableEthereum4.744.514-4.77%3.39-28.48%0.0816✓1.002.5M2022-02-03
MOVRMoonriverBase185.4543176.1865-5.00%74.5146-59.82%0.6222✓1.16574k2022-02-03
ZENHorizenBase64.4261.0918-5.17%38.69-39.94%0.1489✓1.50807k2022-02-03
LUNATerraTerra 284.5680.1055-5.27%51.23-39.42%0.2422✓1.006.3M2022-02-03
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000032450.000030736-5.28%0.00002075-36.06%0.1378✓1.251.7M2022-02-03
LSKLiskEthereum2.33982.2159-5.29%1.6279-30.43%0.0785✓1.12100k2022-02-03
STORJStorjEthereum1.79181.6957-5.36%1.1541-35.59%0.2195✓0.81668k2022-02-03
API3Api3Ethereum4.13.8797-5.37%3.4-17.07%0.0728✗1.00967k2022-02-03
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum2.6932.5466-5.43%1.695-37.06%0.1968✓1.031.9M2022-02-03
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand1.67141.5806-5.43%0.936-44.00%0.2946✓1.1230.0M2022-02-03
UMAUMAEthereum9.038.5325-5.51%5.71-36.77%0.1730✓1.123.9M2022-02-03
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.3633.1737-5.63%2.618-22.15%0.1338✗1.591.8M2022-02-03
MINAMina Protocolnative3.713.4997-5.67%2.49-32.88%0.1201✓1.08626k2022-02-03
RADRadworksEthereum11.2710.628-5.70%5.12-54.57%0.5588✓0.841.2M2022-02-03
CELLCellframeEthereum1.03510.974692-5.84%0.8308-19.74%0.0451✓1.00145k2022-02-03
LRCLoopringEthereum2.06511.9417-5.98%0.8505-58.82%0.4411✓1.881.4M2022-02-03
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum38.6736.3586-5.98%18.42-52.37%0.3119✓1.805.4M2022-02-03
SCSiacoinnative0.015470.014536-6.04%0.01026-33.68%0.1527✓0.96783k2022-02-03
METRONOMEMETRONOME4.724.4341-6.06%3.1745-32.74%0.1934✓0.6917k2022-02-03
UOSUltraEthereum1.46021.3714-6.08%1.0898-25.36%0.0336✓0.963.6M2022-02-03
BATBasic AttentionEthereum1.28291.204-6.15%0.8263-35.59%0.0153✓1.761.2M2022-02-03
DEXEDeXeEthereum11.5110.7877-6.28%6.88-40.23%0.4839✓-0.172.2M2022-02-03
MANADecentralandEthereum3.17442.972-6.38%2.6813-15.53%0.0908✗0.955.7M2022-02-03
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche103.396.6743-6.41%68.49-33.70%0.1152✓1.12115.7M2022-02-03
LPTLivepeerEthereum42.8339.941-6.75%25.37-40.77%0.1170✓1.642.8M2022-02-03
CTSICartesiEthereum0.71330.664506-6.84%0.4435-37.82%0.1342✓1.322.8M2022-02-03
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.6620.616699-6.84%0.328-50.45%0.3743✓1.262.2M2022-02-03
YFIyearn.financeEthereum36,282.4733,702.83-7.11%23,620.52-34.90%0.2302✓0.6117.3M2022-02-03
CRVCurve DAOEthereum6.085.6304-7.39%3.11-48.85%0.3148✓1.3629.4M2022-02-03
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.11920.110333-7.44%0.0779-34.65%0.1433✓1.0033.0M2022-02-03
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos42.0538.8433-7.63%29.72-29.32%0.0839✓0.9043.4M2022-02-03
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon1.44841.3338-7.91%0.3716-74.34%1.1097✓0.824.4M2022-02-03
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum3.893.5786-8.01%2.25-42.16%0.2592✓1.003.3M2022-02-03
SPELLSpellEthereum0.021110.019293-8.61%0.00612-71.01%0.9434✓1.0028.5M2022-02-03
CVCCivicEthereum0.35740.32598-8.79%0.2929-18.05%0.0976✗1.00293k2022-02-03
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.62060.565938-8.81%0.5612-9.57%0.2768✗1.39650k2022-02-03
GITCOINGITCOIN15.67214.2699-8.95%7.128-54.52%0.7093✓-0.0786k2022-02-03
HIVEHivenative1.59251.4477-9.09%1.0602-33.43%0.0284✓1.385.2M2022-02-03
MASKMask NetworkEthereum12.2911.1395-9.36%5.65-54.03%0.5544✓0.611.2M2022-02-03
BICOBiconomyEthereum3.923.5341-9.84%2.04-47.96%0.2810✓1.3110.7M2022-02-03
BFCBifrostEthereum0.204040.183842-9.90%0.19482-4.52%0.3779✗1.566,4462022-02-03
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.83810.741967-11.47%0.4765-43.15%0.0915✓1.7233.4M2022-02-03
GTCGitcoinEthereum15.713.6483-13.07%7.27-53.69%0.6338✓-0.023.9M2022-02-03
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.