2022-01-03 · +30d

gru_s4 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 138 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.

+1d +7d +30d asset cohort only

rank IC

+0.2471

138 of 138 tokens assessed

long-short decile

+24.18%

realised beta-adjusted alpha

direction hit

80.4%

in alpha space · 94.9% on raw price

BTC over horizon

-20.53%

the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (138 rows, sorted by pred)

token	name	chain	anchor px	pred px ▴	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d	vol 30d	target
DUSK	DUSK	Ethereum	0.8413	0.741824	-11.82%	0.4666	-44.54%	0.0698	✓	1.71	31.9M	2022-02-02
GTC	Gitcoin	Ethereum	13.72	12.1928	-11.13%	7.54	-45.04%	0.4811	✓	-0.00	3.7M	2022-02-02
BICO	Biconomy	Ethereum	3.89	3.4819	-10.49%	1.9	-51.16%	0.3017	✓	1.32	11.2M	2022-02-02
BFC	Bifrost	Ethereum	0.19941	0.179252	-10.11%	0.19118	-4.13%	0.4246	✗	1.57	6,519	2022-02-02
HIVE	Hive	native	1.6303	1.4685	-9.93%	0.9455	-42.00%	0.1233	✓	1.38	5.5M	2022-02-02
MASK	Mask Network	Ethereum	12.81	11.5474	-9.86%	5.77	-54.96%	0.5554	✓	0.60	1.3M	2022-02-02
CVC	Civic	Ethereum	0.374	0.337428	-9.78%	0.278	-25.67%	0.0348	✓	0.99	293k	2022-02-02
POWR	Powerledger	Ethereum	0.64	0.57781	-9.72%	0.5361	-16.23%	0.2447	✗	1.39	650k	2022-02-02
SPELL	Spell	Ethereum	0.02216	0.020126	-9.18%	0.00607	-72.61%	0.9689	✓	1.00	29.0M	2022-02-02
NAKA	Nakamoto Games	Polygon	1.5062	1.3755	-8.68%	0.37	-75.43%	1.1253	✓	0.82	4.5M	2022-02-02
YFI	yearn.finance	Ethereum	38,753.93	35,552.32	-8.26%	23,029.36	-40.58%	0.2957	✓	0.60	15.7M	2022-02-02
GITCOIN	GITCOIN		13.612	12.4901	-8.24%	7.564	-44.43%	0.5144	✓	-0.06	98k	2022-02-02
CRV	Curve DAO	Ethereum	6.53	5.9996	-8.12%	3.11	-52.37%	0.3465	✓	1.35	29.3M	2022-02-02
GODS	Gods Unchained	Ethereum	4.17	3.8476	-7.73%	2.18	-47.72%	0.3384	✓	1.00	3.4M	2022-02-02
PEOPLE	ConstitutionDAO	Ethereum	0.1235	0.114319	-7.43%	0.0786	-36.36%	0.1449	✓	1.00	35.9M	2022-02-02
MANA	Decentraland	Ethereum	3.2506	3.0204	-7.08%	2.537	-21.95%	0.0419	✓	0.94	5.9M	2022-02-02
AVAX	Avalanche	Avalanche	108.09	100.5065	-7.02%	67.87	-37.21%	0.1365	✓	1.11	119.6M	2022-02-02
OGN	Origin Token	Ethereum	0.64	0.595625	-6.93%	0.316	-50.63%	0.3440	✓	1.26	2.2M	2022-02-02
CTSI	Cartesi	Ethereum	0.6942	0.646985	-6.80%	0.4277	-38.39%	0.1095	✓	1.32	2.9M	2022-02-02
ATOM	Cosmos Hub	Cosmos	39.29	36.6295	-6.77%	26.33	-32.99%	0.1216	✓	0.91	43.4M	2022-02-02
UOS	Ultra	Ethereum	1.5394	1.4358	-6.73%	1.0423	-32.29%	0.1019	✓	0.95	3.7M	2022-02-02
LPT	Livepeer	Ethereum	41.84	39.0297	-6.72%	26.55	-36.54%	0.0064	✓	1.65	2.8M	2022-02-02
SC	Siacoin	native	0.01573	0.014709	-6.49%	0.00983	-37.51%	0.1836	✓	0.96	817k	2022-02-02
BAT	Basic Attention	Ethereum	1.3019	1.2175	-6.49%	0.81012	-37.77%	0.0024	✓	1.76	1.3M	2022-02-02
ENS	Ethereum Name Service	Ethereum	39.23	36.7192	-6.40%	18.01	-54.09%	0.2993	✓	1.80	5.7M	2022-02-02
DEXE	DeXe	Ethereum	11.56	10.8315	-6.30%	6.53	-43.51%	0.5445	✓	-0.17	2.3M	2022-02-02
LRC	Loopring	Ethereum	2.0456	1.9182	-6.23%	0.8664	-57.65%	0.3635	✓	1.88	1.5M	2022-02-02
UMA	UMA	Ethereum	9.27	8.7046	-6.10%	5.49	-40.78%	0.2047	✓	1.12	3.9M	2022-02-02
SANTOS	Santos FC Fan Token	Binance Smart Chain	3.467	3.2564	-6.07%	2.582	-25.53%	0.1346	✗	1.60	1.9M	2022-02-02
ALGO	Algorand	Algorand	1.7949	1.6867	-6.03%	0.9235	-48.55%	0.3470	✓	1.11	30.0M	2022-02-02
METRONOME	METRONOME		4.605	4.3319	-5.93%	3.3042	-28.25%	0.1119	✓	0.69	18k	2022-02-02
STORJ	Storj	Ethereum	1.8521	1.7429	-5.89%	1.1125	-39.93%	0.2645	✓	0.80	689k	2022-02-02
ENJ	Enjin Coin	Ethereum	2.796	2.6315	-5.88%	1.696	-39.34%	0.2045	✓	1.02	1.9M	2022-02-02
CELL	Cellframe	Ethereum	1.0025	0.944274	-5.81%	0.8666	-13.56%	0.1439	✗	1.00	146k	2022-02-02
RAD	Radworks	Ethereum	11.29	10.6449	-5.71%	5.22	-53.76%	0.5199	✓	0.84	1.2M	2022-02-02
LSK	Lisk	Ethereum	2.3545	2.2225	-5.61%	1.6005	-32.02%	0.0701	✓	1.12	100k	2022-02-02
API3	Api3	Ethereum	4.13	3.8986	-5.60%	3.4	-17.68%	0.0929	✗	1.00	1.0M	2022-02-02
SHIB	Shiba Inu	Ethereum	0.00003307	0.000031227	-5.57%	0.00002064	-37.59%	0.1279	✓	1.25	1.7M	2022-02-02
CBK	Cobak	Ethereum	3.381	3.1956	-5.48%	2.235	-33.90%	0.1634	✓	0.85	41k	2022-02-02
ZEN	Horizen	Base	63.44	60.048	-5.35%	38.13	-39.90%	0.1077	✓	1.51	837k	2022-02-02
MOVR	Moonriver	Base	191.896	181.6498	-5.34%	73.5972	-61.65%	0.6366	✓	1.16	574k	2022-02-02
LUNA	Terra	Terra 2	88.92	84.1872	-5.32%	47.6	-46.47%	0.3405	✓	1.00	5.3M	2022-02-02
MINA	Mina Protocol	native	3.57	3.3882	-5.09%	2.46	-31.09%	0.0715	✓	1.08	626k	2022-02-02
XVG	Verge	native	0.01731	0.016464	-4.89%	0.00978	-43.50%	0.2468	✓	1.19	2.2M	2022-02-02
IMX	Immutable	Ethereum	4.57	4.3504	-4.81%	3.03	-33.70%	0.1320	✓	1.00	2.5M	2022-02-02
XYO	XYO Network	Ethereum	0.033837	0.032222	-4.77%	0.020246	-40.17%	0.2294	✓	1.02	7.8M	2022-02-02
AGLD	Adventure Gold	Ethereum	1.72	1.6387	-4.73%	1.36	-20.93%	0.2087	✗	1.72	1.0M	2022-02-02
ZEC	Zcash	Zcash	150.55	143.4473	-4.72%	98.35	-34.67%	0.0672	✓	1.35	10.3M	2022-02-02
VSYS	V.SYSTEMS	native	0.02023	0.019285	-4.67%	0.0126	-37.72%	0.2773	✓	0.65	36k	2022-02-02
AMP	Amp	Ethereum	0.05248	0.05009	-4.55%	0.02927	-44.23%	0.3314	✓	0.90	8.2M	2022-02-02
MED	Medibloc	Osmosis	0.05659	0.054027	-4.53%	0.03913	-30.85%	0.0699	✓	1.10	15k	2022-02-02
CERE	Cere Network	Ethereum	0.0731	0.069807	-4.50%	0.034	-53.49%	0.3982	✓	1.40	1.7M	2022-02-02
IOTA	IOTA	IOTA	1.3842	1.3234	-4.39%	0.8404	-39.29%	0.2389	✓	0.94	21.2M	2022-02-02
KNC	Kyber Network Crystal	Ethereum	1.3948	1.3342	-4.34%	1.8613	+33.45%	0.5856	✗	1.10	926k	2022-02-02
ANKR	Ankr Network	Ethereum	0.11092	0.10622	-4.24%	0.07379	-33.47%	0.2171	✓	0.64	55k	2022-02-02
EWT	Energy Web Token	Ethereum	9.436	9.0395	-4.20%	5.754	-39.02%	0.3114	✓	0.61	302k	2022-02-02
DNT	district0x	Ethereum	0.1352	0.12957	-4.16%	0.0794	-41.27%	0.2433	✓	1.07	310k	2022-02-02
SUPER	SuperVerse	Ethereum	1.14	1.0947	-3.97%	0.64	-43.86%	0.3070	✓	1.00	1.9M	2022-02-02
OXT	Orchid Protocol	Ethereum	0.3721	0.357498	-3.92%	0.2314	-37.81%	0.1424	✓	1.27	3.4M	2022-02-02
BAND	Band	Ethereum	5.56	5.3424	-3.91%	3.37	-39.39%	0.1871	✓	1.19	2.1M	2022-02-02
SUSHI	Sushi	Ethereum	8.51	8.18	-3.88%	4.09	-51.94%	0.3926	✓	1.31	17.7M	2022-02-02
SNX	Synthetix	Ethereum	7.19	6.9136	-3.84%	5.33	-25.87%	0.0015	✓	1.14	3.3M	2022-02-02
ORBS	Orbs	Ethereum	0.086	0.082782	-3.74%	0.0643	-25.23%	0.0063	✓	1.07	20k	2022-02-02
KCS	KuCoin	native	22.363	21.5283	-3.73%	17.776	-20.51%	0.1838	✗	1.63	14.1M	2022-02-02
CHZ	Chiliz	Ethereum	0.3005	0.289318	-3.72%	0.1803	-40.00%	0.1731	✓	1.30	4.6M	2022-02-02
XMR	Monero	Monero	231.81	223.3447	-3.65%	145.08	-37.41%	0.2006	✓	1.00	3.2M	2022-02-02
XPR	XPR Network	Ethereum	0.01736	0.016729	-3.63%	0.00952	-45.16%	0.2674	✓	1.29	2.2M	2022-02-02
LCX	LCX	Ethereum	0.197	0.189941	-3.58%	0.11	-44.16%	0.2740	✓	1.19	2.4M	2022-02-02
DODO	DODO	Ethereum	0.904	0.871674	-3.58%	0.465	-48.56%	0.2902	✓	1.47	8.1M	2022-02-02
COTI	COTI	Ethereum	0.3888	0.374907	-3.57%	0.2783	-28.42%	0.0441	✗	1.49	3.4M	2022-02-02
ZRX	0x Protocol	Ethereum	0.94026	0.907493	-3.48%	0.5718	-39.19%	0.2050	✓	1.12	2.8M	2022-02-02
LEO	LEO Token	Ethereum	3.7914	3.6595	-3.48%	4.1355	+9.08%	0.0967	✗	-0.11	374k	2022-02-02
ARPA	ARPA	Ethereum	0.1004	0.096912	-3.47%	0.0599	-40.34%	0.1679	✓	1.36	1.6M	2022-02-02
TRAC	OriginTrail	Ethereum	1.2437	1.2007	-3.46%	0.6281	-49.50%	0.3265	✓	1.40	1.9M	2022-02-02
DYDX	dYdX	Cosmos	8.316	8.0312	-3.43%	5.883	-29.26%	0.0209	✓	1.26	354k	2022-02-02
JASMY	JasmyCoin	Ethereum	0.0855	0.082577	-3.42%	0.0418	-51.11%	0.4013	✓	1.22	20.9M	2022-02-02
TRB	Tellor Tributes	Ethereum	36.41	35.1721	-3.40%	20.09	-44.82%	0.2087	✓	1.53	1.1M	2022-02-02
PORTO	FC Porto	Binance Smart Chain	3.1177	3.0121	-3.39%	3.0352	-2.65%	0.2830	✗	1.20	3.1M	2022-02-02
XLM	Stellar	Stellar	0.290288	0.280472	-3.38%	0.193151	-33.46%	0.1394	✓	1.02	24.9M	2022-02-02
XEC	eCash	native	0.00011648	0.000112543	-3.38%	0.00007582	-34.91%	0.1695	✓	0.98	7.4M	2022-02-02
OMG	OMG Network	Ethereum	6.1828	5.976	-3.35%	4.6307	-25.10%	0.0209	✓	1.20	577k	2022-02-02
SKL	SKALE	Ethereum	0.2052	0.198802	-3.12%	0.1092	-46.78%	0.3142	✓	1.24	4.8M	2022-02-02
LINK	Chainlink	Ethereum	23.72	23.0059	-3.01%	15.79	-33.43%	0.0723	✓	1.32	69.2M	2022-02-02
DASH	Dash	Dash	139.05	134.8667	-3.01%	93.05	-33.08%	0.0800	✓	1.27	1.9M	2022-02-02
CITY	Manchester City Fan Token	Solana	10.51	10.2022	-2.93%	9.36	-10.94%	0.0854	✗	0.75	1.3M	2022-02-02
ADA	Cardano	Cardano	1.3186	1.2806	-2.88%	1.0268	-22.13%	0.0310	✗	1.10	98.5M	2022-02-02
KSM	Kusama	Hydration	289.65	281.4594	-2.83%	162.31	-43.96%	0.2941	✓	1.12	1.3M	2022-02-02
CTK	Shentu	Osmosis	1.682	1.6351	-2.79%	1.279	-23.96%	0.0671	✗	1.36	6.0M	2022-02-02
XTZ	Tezos	Tezos	4.8156	4.6842	-2.73%	3.7524	-22.08%	0.0848	✗	1.33	4.9M	2022-02-02
GT	Gate	Ethereum	6.4392	6.265	-2.71%	6.8016	+5.63%	0.2755	✗	0.84	3.9M	2022-02-02
PSG	Paris Saint-Germain Fan Token	Solana	15.18	14.7694	-2.71%	14.09	-7.18%	0.1104	✗	0.69	1.2M	2022-02-02
AUCTION	Bounce	Ethereum	24.7	24.034	-2.70%	13.76	-44.29%	0.3213	✓	1.03	1.3M	2022-02-02
AXS	Axie Infinity	Ethereum	94.38	91.8395	-2.69%	49.12	-47.96%	0.4049	✓	0.96	6.3M	2022-02-02
XEM	NEM	native	0.127	0.123621	-2.66%	0.1015	-20.08%	0.0556	✗	1.10	115k	2022-02-02
QNT	Quant	Ethereum	178.99	174.2379	-2.65%	113.54	-36.57%	0.2081	✓	0.96	8.7M	2022-02-02
QTUM	Qtum	Qtum	9.2052	8.977	-2.48%	6.025	-34.55%	0.0736	✓	1.42	273k	2022-02-02
JUV	Juventus Fan Token	Solana	8.6	8.3879	-2.47%	6.05	-29.65%	0.1515	✓	0.76	773k	2022-02-02
TWT	Trust Wallet	Binance Smart Chain	0.7048	0.687703	-2.43%	0.5398	-23.41%	0.0494	✗	1.27	5.3M	2022-02-02
ACH	Alchemy Pay	Ethereum	0.0636	0.062091	-2.37%	0.035872	-43.60%	0.2292	✓	1.39	7.5M	2022-02-02
RLC	iExec RLC	Ethereum	3.25	3.1741	-2.33%	1.87	-42.46%	0.2293	✓	1.30	3.0M	2022-02-02
AAVE	Aave	Ethereum	267.25	261.0815	-2.31%	151.26	-43.40%	0.2860	✓	1.13	12.6M	2022-02-02
BNT	Bancor Network	Ethereum	3.43	3.3526	-2.26%	2.41	-29.74%	0.1008	✓	1.00	995k	2022-02-02
ICP	Internet Computer	Ethereum	29.28	28.6254	-2.24%	21.59	-26.26%	0.0414	✗	1.41	24.2M	2022-02-02
NMR	Numeraire	Ethereum	31.64	30.9455	-2.19%	23.57	-25.51%	0.1166	✓	0.68	385k	2022-02-02
TKO	Tokocrypto	Binance Smart Chain	1.24	1.2131	-2.17%	0.719	-42.02%	0.3068	✓	0.94	2.5M	2022-02-02
BCHSV	Bitcoin Cash SV		122.18	119.6885	-2.04%	90	-26.34%	0.0660	✓	0.95	3.2M	2022-02-02
FTT	FTX	Ethereum	40.22	39.4243	-1.98%	42.9	+6.66%	0.3268	✗	1.05	19.4M	2022-02-02
NANO	nanopay	Base	3.5792	3.5092	-1.96%	2.1064	-41.15%	0.2655	✓	1.07	754k	2022-02-02
DKA	dKargo	Ethereum	0.12106	0.118733	-1.92%	0.08941	-26.14%	0.0306	✓	1.10	26k	2022-02-02
ETC	Ethereum Classic	native	34.72	34.0573	-1.91%	26.29	-24.28%	0.0200	✓	1.04	3.9M	2022-02-02
GRT	The Graph	Ethereum	0.6582	0.645692	-1.90%	0.4048	-38.50%	0.1697	✓	1.29	11.4M	2022-02-02
RIF	Rootstock Infrastructure Framework	Ethereum	0.1984	0.194666	-1.88%	0.1348	-32.06%	0.1592	✓	0.91	527k	2022-02-02
ETH	Ethereum	Ethereum	3,766.04	3,695.44	-1.87%	2,682.66	-28.77%	0.0817	✓	1.04	654.8M	2022-02-02
LAZIO	Lazio Fan Token	Binance Smart Chain	4.6279	4.5426	-1.84%	3.1357	-32.24%	0.0739	✓	1.29	5.0M	2022-02-02
MTL	Metal DAO	Metal L2	2.265	2.2234	-1.84%	1.589	-29.85%	0.0783	✓	1.12	2.7M	2022-02-02
SOL	Solana	Solana	170.13	167.1492	-1.75%	101.99	-40.05%	0.2490	✓	1.07	217.0M	2022-02-02
UNI	Uniswap	Ethereum	18.47	18.1465	-1.75%	10.53	-42.99%	0.2494	✓	1.28	14.1M	2022-02-02
OG	OG Fan Token	Solana	4.777	4.6935	-1.75%	3.166	-33.72%	0.2192	✓	0.76	1.2M	2022-02-02
ASR	AS Roma Fan Token	Solana	4.152	4.0798	-1.74%	3.03	-27.02%	0.1452	✓	0.66	483k	2022-02-02
BEL	Bella Protocol	Ethereum	1.616	1.5884	-1.71%	0.883	-45.36%	0.2904	✓	1.29	3.4M	2022-02-02
BTC	Bitcoin	Bitcoin	46,459.56	45,665.30	-1.71%	36,923.39	-20.53%	0.0172	✗	1.00	727.0M	2022-02-02
PHA	PHALA	Ethereum	0.414	0.407299	-1.62%	0.25	-39.61%	0.3200	✓	0.73	41k	2022-02-02
DOGE	Dogecoin	Dogecoin	0.170103	0.167446	-1.56%	0.137104	-19.40%	0.0531	✗	1.10	4.7M	2022-02-02
BAR	FC Barcelona Fan Token	Solana	8.89	8.7516	-1.56%	6.02	-32.28%	0.2352	✓	0.60	869k	2022-02-02
ACM	AC Milan Fan Token	Solana	5.152	5.0736	-1.52%	3.998	-22.40%	0.0996	✓	0.60	598k	2022-02-02
FIL	Filecoin	Filecoin	35.08	34.5534	-1.50%	20.19	-42.45%	0.2983	✓	1.04	22.7M	2022-02-02
1INCH	1INCH	Ethereum	2.56	2.5232	-1.44%	1.63	-36.33%	0.1938	✓	1.06	4.0M	2022-02-02
SUN	Sun Token	Tron	0.022053	0.021741	-1.41%	0.014783	-32.97%	0.1089	✓	1.20	2.4M	2022-02-02
COMP	Compound	Ethereum	222.2	219.7467	-1.10%	121.22	-45.45%	0.3317	✓	1.15	210k	2022-02-02
TRX	TRON	Tron	0.076988	0.076188	-1.04%	0.058639	-23.83%	0.0459	✓	0.94	552k	2022-02-02
DOT	Polkadot	Polkadot	30.09	29.81	-0.93%	18.76	-37.65%	0.1671	✓	1.29	72.5M	2022-02-02
LTC	Litecoin	Litecoin	148.43	147.241	-0.80%	108.36	-27.00%	0.0029	✓	1.35	38.3M	2022-02-02
ATM	Atletico Madrid Fan Token	Solana	7.21	7.1762	-0.47%	5.04	-30.10%	0.2068	✓	0.64	861k	2022-02-02
WBTC	Wrapped Bitcoin	Ethereum	46,018.20	45,943.12	-0.16%	37,883.40	-17.68%	0.0319	✗	0.98	10k	2022-02-02
ASM	Assemble AI	Ethereum	0.09008	0.089953	-0.14%	0.05325	-40.89%	0.1901	✓	1.45	3.0M	2022-02-02
XYM	Symbol	native	0.2058	0.206265	+0.23%	0.1756	-14.67%	0.0239	✗	0.60	428k	2022-02-02
XVS	Venus	Ethereum	15.52	15.606	+0.55%	7.83	-49.55%	0.4244	✗	1.15	3.5M	2022-02-02
BCH	Bitcoin Cash	Bitcoin Cash	434.61	438.3662	+0.86%	278	-36.03%	0.2229	✗	1.01	9.1M	2022-02-02

Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.