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2022-01-02 · +30d

gru_s4 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 138 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.3044
138 of 138 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+26.37%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
84.1%
in alpha space · 94.2% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-18.14%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (138 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▴pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.75680.650264-14.08%0.5575-26.33%0.1177✓1.36650k2022-02-01
GTCGitcoinEthereum14.7512.9361-12.30%8.06-45.36%0.4764✓-0.023.9M2022-02-01
BICOBiconomyEthereum4.223.7209-11.83%2.03-51.90%0.3430✓1.3111.9M2022-02-01
CVCCivicEthereum0.39570.349056-11.79%0.2826-28.58%0.0137✓0.99293k2022-02-01
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.94350.832514-11.76%0.5296-43.87%0.1134✓1.6931.1M2022-02-01
HIVEHivenative1.72491.5307-11.26%0.9549-44.64%0.1975✓1.375.5M2022-02-01
MASKMask NetworkEthereum13.9912.4886-10.73%6.27-55.18%0.5716✓0.591.3M2022-02-01
BFCBifrostEthereum0.20380.182294-10.55%0.20659+1.37%0.4391✗1.576,6152022-02-01
SPELLSpellEthereum0.024020.021621-9.99%0.00684-71.52%0.9507✓1.0029.5M2022-02-01
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon1.55871.4099-9.55%0.4327-72.24%1.0186✓0.814.6M2022-02-01
GITCOINGITCOIN14.89813.5342-9.15%8.052-45.95%0.5342✓-0.07111k2022-02-01
YFIyearn.financeEthereum39,116.5135,796.20-8.49%25,472.18-34.88%0.2196✓0.6015.7M2022-02-01
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.12080.111107-8.02%0.0861-28.73%0.0548✓1.0033.0M2022-02-01
MANADecentralandEthereum3.34013.0759-7.91%2.6803-19.75%0.0496✓0.946.2M2022-02-01
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche113.21104.4948-7.70%73.37-35.19%0.1319✓1.11121.7M2022-02-01
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum4.354.0231-7.51%2.1-51.72%0.4499✓1.003.4M2022-02-01
CRVCurve DAOEthereum6.055.5978-7.47%3.46-42.81%0.2072✓1.3729.3M2022-02-01
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.6420.595-7.32%0.328-48.91%0.3422✓1.272.2M2022-02-01
CTSICartesiEthereum0.7140.661916-7.29%0.4737-33.66%0.0696✓1.322.9M2022-02-01
UOSUltraEthereum1.55521.442-7.28%1.1475-26.21%0.0384✓0.954.0M2022-02-01
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum41.0838.1675-7.09%19.38-52.82%0.3187✓1.796.1M2022-02-01
LRCLoopringEthereum2.0951.9468-7.07%0.9652-53.93%0.3265✓1.871.5M2022-02-01
SCSiacoinnative0.016180.01504-7.04%0.01011-37.52%0.2065✓0.95847k2022-02-01
LPTLivepeerEthereum40.6437.8635-6.83%26.67-34.38%0.0185✓1.662.8M2022-02-01
UMAUMAEthereum9.498.8505-6.74%5.98-36.99%0.1690✓1.114.1M2022-02-01
BATBasic AttentionEthereum1.30011.2143-6.60%0.84367-35.11%0.0105✓1.771.3M2022-02-01
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.5643.3304-6.55%2.683-24.72%0.1051✗1.602.1M2022-02-01
STORJStorjEthereum1.92631.8016-6.48%1.1512-40.24%0.2884✓0.80741k2022-02-01
DEXEDeXeEthereum11.7110.9674-6.34%6.66-43.13%0.5328✓-0.172.3M2022-02-01
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum2.8592.6783-6.32%1.837-35.75%0.1729✓1.022.0M2022-02-01
MOVRMoonriverBase200.0687188.0206-6.02%76.2874-61.87%0.6701✓1.16586k2022-02-01
CELLCellframeEthereum1.0070.946867-5.97%0.8834-12.27%0.1308✗1.00146k2022-02-01
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000034050.000032037-5.91%0.00002176-36.09%0.1377✓1.241.7M2022-02-01
API3Api3Ethereum4.344.0883-5.80%3.57-17.74%0.0647✗1.001.1M2022-02-01
RADRadworksEthereum11.1410.4951-5.79%5.6-49.73%0.4592✓0.841.2M2022-02-01
ZENHorizenBase65.0661.3089-5.77%39.21-39.73%0.1451✓1.51872k2022-02-01
MINAMina Protocolnative3.783.5646-5.70%2.65-29.89%0.0813✓1.07643k2022-02-01
METRONOMEMETRONOME4.57654.3178-5.65%3.2091-29.88%0.1576✓0.7019k2022-02-01
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos35.5433.5432-5.62%28.86-18.80%0.0356✓0.9343.4M2022-02-01
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.0790.074569-5.61%0.0358-54.68%0.4558✓1.391.7M2022-02-01
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum1.831.7298-5.48%1.17-36.07%0.0478✓1.711.1M2022-02-01
LUNATerraTerra 289.3584.4655-5.47%52.21-41.57%0.2809✓1.005.3M2022-02-01
LSKLiskEthereum2.40892.2773-5.46%1.6048-33.38%0.1250✓1.12100k2022-02-01
XVGVergenative0.017670.01673-5.32%0.01018-42.39%0.2579✓1.192.2M2022-02-01
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.03460.032788-5.24%0.020954-39.44%0.2430✓1.027.8M2022-02-01
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand1.67391.5869-5.20%0.967-42.23%0.2695✓1.1330.0M2022-02-01
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.02080.019735-5.12%0.01283-38.32%0.3020✓0.6439k2022-02-01
ZECZcashZcash153.06145.4085-5.00%98.97-35.34%0.1143✓1.3510.9M2022-02-01
IMXImmutableEthereum4.964.7187-4.86%2.88-41.94%0.2935✓1.002.5M2022-02-01
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.057530.054764-4.81%0.04034-29.88%0.0854✓1.1015k2022-02-01
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum10.1259.6394-4.80%5.958-41.16%0.3612✓0.60310k2022-02-01
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.115310.109821-4.76%0.07836-32.04%0.2105✓0.6355k2022-02-01
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.42431.3591-4.58%1.8742+31.59%0.5414✗1.10947k2022-02-01
LCXLCXEthereum0.21210.202553-4.50%0.1189-43.94%0.2972✓1.182.4M2022-02-01
IOTAIOTAIOTA1.37231.3128-4.34%0.8391-38.85%0.2592✓0.9422.3M2022-02-01
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.38220.365977-4.24%0.2456-35.74%0.1441✓1.273.7M2022-02-01
AMPAmpEthereum0.048990.046927-4.21%0.03008-38.60%0.2623✓0.918.2M2022-02-01
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.13680.131039-4.21%0.0822-39.91%0.2513✓1.07315k2022-02-01
SUSHISushiEthereum8.938.554-4.21%4.35-51.29%0.4153✓1.3018.1M2022-02-01
CHZChilizEthereum0.31190.299206-4.07%0.1885-39.56%0.2015✓1.304.8M2022-02-01
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum1.171.123-4.01%0.7-40.17%0.2725✓1.002.0M2022-02-01
KCSKuCoinnative22.62421.7382-3.92%18.496-18.25%0.1657✗1.6314.9M2022-02-01
XMRMoneroMonero239.56230.306-3.86%146.32-38.92%0.2531✓1.003.2M2022-02-01
CBKCobakEthereum3.1273.0066-3.85%2.247-28.14%0.1185✓0.8641k2022-02-01
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum6.296.0525-3.78%4.8991-22.11%0.0295✓1.20621k2022-02-01
DODODODOEthereum0.9230.888292-3.76%0.488-47.13%0.3040✓1.478.1M2022-02-01
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.0880.08471-3.74%0.0658-25.23%0.0381✓1.0721k2022-02-01
BANDBandEthereum5.285.0847-3.70%3.49-33.90%0.1350✓1.212.1M2022-02-01
DYDXdYdXCosmos8.6988.3788-3.67%5.979-31.26%0.0850✓1.26367k2022-02-01
TRACOriginTrailEthereum1.2651.2192-3.62%0.7231-42.84%0.2417✓1.402.0M2022-02-01
ARPAARPAEthereum0.10010.09651-3.59%0.062-38.06%0.1685✓1.371.6M2022-02-01
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.084440.081453-3.54%0.0446-47.18%0.3578✓1.2220.9M2022-02-01
LEOLEO TokenEthereum3.78453.6529-3.48%4.2589+12.54%0.1311✗-0.11393k2022-02-01
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain3.17493.0654-3.45%3.0959-2.49%0.2507✗1.203.1M2022-02-01
SKLSKALEEthereum0.21210.204902-3.39%0.1161-45.26%0.3201✓1.244.9M2022-02-01
XLMStellarStellar0.2922730.282409-3.37%0.202028-30.88%0.1310✓1.0225.7M2022-02-01
COTICOTIEthereum0.38360.370672-3.37%0.3087-19.53%0.1167✗1.503.7M2022-02-01
XECeCashnative0.000113340.000109539-3.35%0.00007722-31.87%0.1512✓0.997.4M2022-02-01
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.016610.016053-3.35%0.00957-42.38%0.2562✓1.302.2M2022-02-01
TRBTellor TributesEthereum35.5534.3816-3.29%20.94-41.10%0.1877✓1.541.1M2022-02-01
DASHDashDash141.99137.5238-3.15%97.23-31.52%0.0929✓1.272.0M2022-02-01
ADACardanoCardano1.37791.3348-3.13%1.0965-20.42%0.0220✓1.09100.2M2022-02-01
CTKShentuOsmosis1.7761.7218-3.05%1.316-25.90%0.0025✓1.356.3M2022-02-01
XEMNEMnative0.13070.12673-3.04%0.104-20.43%0.0223✓1.10121k2022-02-01
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana10.5110.1925-3.02%9.72-7.52%0.1028✗0.751.3M2022-02-01
KSMKusamaHydration295.23286.3589-3.00%170.69-42.18%0.2940✓1.121.3M2022-02-01
QNTQuantEthereum187.33181.7029-3.00%104.95-43.98%0.3580✓0.958.8M2022-02-01
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum96.4293.5481-2.98%53.47-44.54%0.3670✓0.966.3M2022-02-01
GTGateEthereum6.60576.4118-2.94%6.9364+5.01%0.2465✗0.843.9M2022-02-01
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.8884520.862533-2.92%0.582133-34.48%0.1665✓1.132.8M2022-02-01
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana15.3114.8882-2.76%14.46-5.55%0.1083✗0.691.3M2022-02-01
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0650840.063311-2.72%0.03834-41.09%0.2233✓1.397.5M2022-02-01
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.7270.708319-2.57%0.565-22.28%0.0277✗1.275.6M2022-02-01
QTUMQtumQtum9.23639.0005-2.55%6.1797-33.09%0.0918✓1.42273k2022-02-01
AUCTIONBounceEthereum24.423.7905-2.50%14.66-39.92%0.2767✓1.041.4M2022-02-01
OGOG Fan TokenSolana5.0124.8893-2.45%3.337-33.42%0.2311✓0.751.0M2022-02-01
XTZTezosTezos4.67034.5611-2.34%3.7479-19.75%0.0729✗1.344.9M2022-02-01
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana8.568.361-2.32%6.28-26.64%0.1326✓0.77799k2022-02-01
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain1.2661.2367-2.32%0.756-40.28%0.3037✓0.942.6M2022-02-01
NMRNumeraireEthereum32.1831.4463-2.28%25.47-20.85%0.0753✓0.68402k2022-02-01
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.20550.200928-2.22%0.1425-30.66%0.1628✓0.90556k2022-02-01
AAVEAaveEthereum265.45259.6151-2.20%164.05-38.20%0.2316✓1.1412.6M2022-02-01
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.67650.661778-2.18%0.4393-35.06%0.1509✓1.2911.4M2022-02-01
RLCiExec RLCEthereum3.23.1316-2.14%1.98-38.12%0.1958✓1.313.2M2022-02-01
LINKChainlinkEthereum21.8821.4165-2.12%17-22.30%0.0380✗1.3469.2M2022-02-01
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum3.43.3297-2.07%2.53-25.59%0.0738✓1.00995k2022-02-01
DKAdKargoEthereum0.122510.120009-2.04%0.08902-27.34%0.0780✓1.1026k2022-02-01
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV124.05121.5449-2.02%91.69-26.09%0.0909✓0.953.7M2022-02-01
NANOnanopayBase3.57643.5043-2.02%2.1518-39.83%0.2735✓1.07798k2022-02-01
SOLSolanaSolana176.32172.8422-1.97%110.1-37.56%0.2382✓1.06220.6M2022-02-01
ETCEthereum Classicnative35.3834.6994-1.92%26.8-24.25%0.0501✓1.044.1M2022-02-01
MTLMetal DAOMetal L22.2252.1836-1.86%1.525-31.46%0.1330✓1.132.7M2022-02-01
ETHEthereumEthereum3,828.873,759.01-1.82%2,789.66-27.14%0.0904✓1.04679.6M2022-02-01
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain4.654.5656-1.82%3.1868-31.47%0.0996✓1.305.0M2022-02-01
FTTFTXEthereum40.1639.4324-1.81%45.2+12.55%0.3485✗1.0619.4M2022-02-01
BELBella ProtocolEthereum1.6671.6375-1.77%0.932-44.09%0.3053✓1.293.5M2022-02-01
BTCBitcoinBitcoin47,299.0746,491.26-1.71%38,716.88-18.14%0.0172✗1.00744.5M2022-02-01
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum27.3226.8654-1.66%20.15-26.24%0.0021✓1.4324.2M2022-02-01
UNIUniswapEthereum18.4118.1067-1.65%11.11-39.65%0.2305✓1.2914.1M2022-02-01
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.1744010.171604-1.60%0.142489-18.30%0.0344✗1.105.1M2022-02-01
SUNSun TokenTron0.022330.021984-1.55%0.015173-32.05%0.1292✓1.212.4M2022-02-01
PHAPHALAEthereum0.4170.41063-1.53%0.255-38.85%0.3295✓0.7343k2022-02-01
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana8.858.7183-1.49%6.24-29.49%0.2126✓0.61914k2022-02-01
SNXSynthetixEthereum6.246.1477-1.48%5.37-13.94%0.0989✗1.173.3M2022-02-01
FILFilecoinFilecoin35.7635.2368-1.46%20.92-41.50%0.3129✓1.0423.6M2022-02-01
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana4.1724.1124-1.43%3.125-25.10%0.1414✓0.67514k2022-02-01
1INCH1INCHEthereum2.562.5237-1.42%1.7-33.59%0.1823✓1.064.1M2022-02-01
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana5.1955.1265-1.32%4.228-18.61%0.0716✓0.60657k2022-02-01
TRXTRONTron0.0776430.076847-1.02%0.059831-22.94%0.0618✓0.94556k2022-02-01
COMPCompoundEthereum211.43209.4038-0.96%128.16-39.38%0.2589✓1.16210k2022-02-01
LTCLitecoinLitecoin151.2149.7681-0.95%115.11-23.87%0.0067✓1.3540.5M2022-02-01
DOTPolkadotPolkadot29.729.4663-0.79%19.58-34.07%0.1494✓1.3072.5M2022-02-01
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana7.197.1556-0.48%5.37-25.31%0.1586✓0.64948k2022-02-01
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum47,411.9047,337.37-0.16%38,691.90-18.39%0.0063✓0.9810k2022-02-01
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.092330.09221-0.13%0.05811-37.06%0.1705✓1.453.1M2022-02-01
XVSVenusEthereum16.0416.073+0.21%8.13-49.31%0.4507✗1.153.7M2022-02-01
XYMSymbolnative0.20930.210005+0.34%0.1825-12.80%0.0210✗0.60428k2022-02-01
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash447.91452.2083+0.96%287.95-35.71%0.2492✗1.019.4M2022-02-01
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.