2022-01-01 · +1d

gru_s4 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 138 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.

+1d +7d +30d asset cohort only

rank IC

+0.0439

138 of 138 tokens assessed

long-short decile

-0.34%

realised beta-adjusted alpha

direction hit

55.8%

in alpha space · 51.5% on raw price

BTC over horizon

-0.91%

the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (138 rows, sorted by pred)

token	name	chain	anchor px	pred px ▾	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d	vol 30d	target
ATM	Atletico Madrid Fan Token	Solana	7.24	7.2647	+0.34%	7.19	-0.69%	0.0045	✗	0.64	1.1M	2022-01-02
PSG	Paris Saint-Germain Fan Token	Solana	15.4	15.447	+0.31%	15.31	-0.58%	0.0026	✓	0.69	1.4M	2022-01-02
LAZIO	Lazio Fan Token	Binance Smart Chain	4.7558	4.7699	+0.30%	4.65	-2.22%	0.0136	✗	1.30	5.0M	2022-01-02
COMP	Compound	Ethereum	210.69	211.2934	+0.29%	211.43	+0.35%	0.0113	✓	1.16	210k	2022-01-02
AGLD	Adventure Gold	Ethereum	1.7	1.7047	+0.28%	1.83	+7.65%	0.0866	✓	1.72	1.1M	2022-01-02
1INCH	1INCH	Ethereum	2.53	2.537	+0.28%	2.56	+1.19%	0.0187	✓	1.06	4.1M	2022-01-02
DOGE	Dogecoin	Dogecoin	0.173118	0.173589	+0.27%	0.174401	+0.74%	0.0147	✓	1.10	5.5M	2022-01-02
GT	Gate	Ethereum	6.7635	6.78	+0.24%	6.6057	-2.33%	0.0184	✗	0.84	4.0M	2022-01-02
TRX	TRON	Tron	0.076625	0.076809	+0.24%	0.077643	+1.33%	0.0194	✓	0.94	589k	2022-01-02
MTL	Metal DAO	Metal L2	2.133	2.138	+0.23%	2.225	+4.31%	0.0502	✓	1.13	2.9M	2022-01-02
XEM	NEM	native	0.126	0.126282	+0.22%	0.1307	+3.73%	0.0445	✓	1.10	137k	2022-01-02
RLC	iExec RLC	Ethereum	3.1	3.1064	+0.21%	3.2	+3.23%	0.0417	✓	1.32	3.2M	2022-01-02
DKA	dKargo	Ethereum	0.11476	0.114995	+0.20%	0.12251	+6.75%	0.0734	✓	1.11	26k	2022-01-02
RIF	Rootstock Infrastructure Framework	Ethereum	0.2061	0.206515	+0.20%	0.2055	-0.29%	0.0033	✓	0.90	585k	2022-01-02
DODO	DODO	Ethereum	0.875	0.876749	+0.20%	0.923	+5.49%	0.0649	✓	1.48	8.1M	2022-01-02
SUN	Sun Token	Tron	0.022463	0.022507	+0.20%	0.02233	-0.59%	0.0031	✓	1.21	2.4M	2022-01-02
XPR	XPR Network	Ethereum	0.01654	0.016572	+0.19%	0.01661	+0.42%	0.0142	✓	1.31	2.2M	2022-01-02
ORBS	Orbs	Ethereum	0.0839	0.084062	+0.19%	0.088	+4.89%	0.0556	✓	1.08	20k	2022-01-02
AUCTION	Bounce	Ethereum	24.52	24.5664	+0.19%	24.4	-0.49%	0.0027	✓	1.04	1.5M	2022-01-02
TKO	Tokocrypto	Binance Smart Chain	1.276	1.2784	+0.19%	1.266	-0.78%	0.0011	✓	0.94	2.6M	2022-01-02
BAND	Band	Ethereum	5.18	5.1896	+0.19%	5.28	+1.93%	0.0283	✓	1.21	2.2M	2022-01-02
ETC	Ethereum Classic	native	34.87	34.9344	+0.18%	35.38	+1.46%	0.0222	✓	1.04	4.3M	2022-01-02
BAR	FC Barcelona Fan Token	Solana	8.94	8.9562	+0.18%	8.85	-1.01%	0.0064	✗	0.61	998k	2022-01-02
GRT	The Graph	Ethereum	0.6647	0.665901	+0.18%	0.6765	+1.78%	0.0276	✓	1.30	11.8M	2022-01-02
BTC	Bitcoin	Bitcoin	47,733.43	47,818.40	+0.18%	47,299.07	-0.91%	0.0018	✗	1.00	750.8M	2022-01-02
JASMY	JasmyCoin	Ethereum	0.08625	0.086399	+0.17%	0.08444	-2.10%	0.0118	✗	1.22	21.1M	2022-01-02
TWT	Trust Wallet	Binance Smart Chain	0.7302	0.731427	+0.17%	0.727	-0.44%	0.0055	✓	1.27	6.0M	2022-01-02
NANO	nanopay	Base	3.58	3.586	+0.17%	3.5764	-0.10%	0.0071	✓	1.07	819k	2022-01-02
ARPA	ARPA	Ethereum	0.1001	0.100259	+0.16%	0.1001	+0.00%	0.0109	✓	1.37	1.6M	2022-01-02
PHA	PHALA	Ethereum	0.43	0.430649	+0.15%	0.417	-3.02%	0.0255	✗	0.73	45k	2022-01-02
NAKA	Nakamoto Games	Polygon	1.6281	1.6305	+0.15%	1.5587	-4.26%	0.0377	✗	0.81	4.6M	2022-01-02
SNX	Synthetix	Ethereum	5.98	5.9885	+0.14%	6.24	+4.35%	0.0519	✓	1.17	3.8M	2022-01-02
FTT	FTX	Ethereum	40.2	40.2551	+0.14%	40.16	-0.10%	0.0073	✓	1.06	20.0M	2022-01-02
ICP	Internet Computer	Ethereum	25.61	25.6444	+0.13%	27.32	+6.68%	0.0764	✓	1.43	24.2M	2022-01-02
XVS	Venus	Ethereum	16.08	16.1006	+0.13%	16.04	-0.25%	0.0068	✓	1.15	3.8M	2022-01-02
DYDX	dYdX	Cosmos	8.39	8.4007	+0.13%	8.698	+3.67%	0.0463	✓	1.27	379k	2022-01-02
CTK	Shentu	Osmosis	1.748	1.7501	+0.12%	1.776	+1.60%	0.0271	✓	1.36	6.8M	2022-01-02
VSYS	V.SYSTEMS	native	0.0202	0.020224	+0.12%	0.0208	+2.97%	0.0340	✓	0.64	41k	2022-01-02
QNT	Quant	Ethereum	179.87	180.0834	+0.12%	187.33	+4.15%	0.0482	✓	0.96	8.9M	2022-01-02
JUV	Juventus Fan Token	Solana	8.65	8.6602	+0.12%	8.56	-1.04%	0.0046	✗	0.77	979k	2022-01-02
TRB	Tellor Tributes	Ethereum	35.27	35.3105	+0.11%	35.55	+0.79%	0.0208	✓	1.54	1.2M	2022-01-02
BCH	Bitcoin Cash	Bitcoin Cash	445.07	445.5682	+0.11%	447.91	+0.64%	0.0145	✓	1.01	9.8M	2022-01-02
BCHSV	Bitcoin Cash SV		123.03	123.1654	+0.11%	124.05	+0.83%	0.0159	✓	0.96	3.7M	2022-01-02
DASH	Dash	Dash	138.03	138.1739	+0.10%	141.99	+2.87%	0.0389	✓	1.27	2.1M	2022-01-02
NMR	Numeraire	Ethereum	32.46	32.4917	+0.10%	32.18	-0.86%	0.0035	✗	0.68	463k	2022-01-02
ETH	Ethereum	Ethereum	3,765.72	3,769.30	+0.10%	3,828.87	+1.68%	0.0252	✓	1.04	685.0M	2022-01-02
LINK	Chainlink	Ethereum	20.75	20.7684	+0.09%	21.88	+5.45%	0.0645	✓	1.35	69.7M	2022-01-02
LTC	Litecoin	Litecoin	150.83	150.9587	+0.09%	151.2	+0.25%	0.0139	✓	1.35	41.9M	2022-01-02
XVG	Verge	native	0.01775	0.017765	+0.09%	0.01767	-0.45%	0.0055	✓	1.19	2.3M	2022-01-02
KSM	Kusama	Hydration	289.04	289.2784	+0.08%	295.23	+2.14%	0.0306	✓	1.12	1.3M	2022-01-02
WBTC	Wrapped Bitcoin	Ethereum	47,429.60	47,467.80	+0.08%	47,411.90	-0.04%	0.0077	✓	0.98	10k	2022-01-02
CBK	Cobak	Ethereum	2.914	2.9163	+0.08%	3.127	+7.31%	0.0777	✓	0.87	44k	2022-01-02
UNI	Uniswap	Ethereum	17.47	17.4838	+0.08%	18.41	+5.38%	0.0634	✓	1.29	14.5M	2022-01-02
ACM	AC Milan Fan Token	Solana	5.211	5.2151	+0.08%	5.195	-0.31%	0.0017	✓	0.61	738k	2022-01-02
SOL	Solana	Solana	179.21	179.3334	+0.07%	176.32	-1.61%	0.0072	✗	1.06	226.4M	2022-01-02
QTUM	Qtum	Qtum	8.9613	8.9675	+0.07%	9.2363	+3.07%	0.0426	✓	1.42	278k	2022-01-02
POWR	Powerledger	Ethereum	0.4264	0.426689	+0.07%	0.7568	+77.49%	0.5859	✓	1.40	650k	2022-01-02
ADA	Cardano	Cardano	1.3797	1.3806	+0.07%	1.3779	-0.13%	0.0080	✓	1.09	102.6M	2022-01-02
OMG	OMG Network	Ethereum	6.1094	6.1134	+0.06%	6.29	+2.96%	0.0395	✓	1.21	649k	2022-01-02
AAVE	Aave	Ethereum	266.48	266.6514	+0.06%	265.45	-0.39%	0.0059	✓	1.14	12.0M	2022-01-02
XEC	eCash	native	0.00011077	0.000110839	+0.06%	0.00011334	+2.32%	0.0314	✓	0.99	7.6M	2022-01-02
LSK	Lisk	Ethereum	2.3965	2.398	+0.06%	2.4089	+0.52%	0.0148	✓	1.12	111k	2022-01-02
MED	Medibloc	Osmosis	0.05488	0.054913	+0.06%	0.05753	+4.83%	0.0566	✓	1.10	15k	2022-01-02
KNC	Kyber Network Crystal	Ethereum	1.3805	1.3813	+0.06%	1.4243	+3.17%	0.0407	✓	1.10	987k	2022-01-02
ACH	Alchemy Pay	Ethereum	0.064208	0.064243	+0.05%	0.065084	+1.36%	0.0257	✓	1.39	7.6M	2022-01-02
XLM	Stellar	Stellar	0.276802	0.276951	+0.05%	0.292273	+5.59%	0.0632	✓	1.02	26.4M	2022-01-02
CHZ	Chiliz	Ethereum	0.2952	0.295356	+0.05%	0.3119	+5.66%	0.0664	✓	1.31	5.0M	2022-01-02
ASR	AS Roma Fan Token	Solana	4.221	4.223	+0.05%	4.172	-1.16%	0.0061	✗	0.67	514k	2022-01-02
XMR	Monero	Monero	250.04	250.1347	+0.04%	239.56	-4.19%	0.0341	✗	1.00	3.2M	2022-01-02
PORTO	FC Porto	Binance Smart Chain	3.2078	3.2089	+0.04%	3.1749	-1.03%	0.0003	✓	1.20	3.3M	2022-01-02
AMP	Amp	Ethereum	0.04964	0.049657	+0.03%	0.04899	-1.31%	0.0052	✗	0.91	8.4M	2022-01-02
BNT	Bancor Network	Ethereum	3.35	3.351	+0.03%	3.4	+1.49%	0.0237	✓	1.00	1.0M	2022-01-02
COTI	COTI	Ethereum	0.3879	0.387982	+0.02%	0.3836	-1.11%	0.0023	✓	1.50	4.0M	2022-01-02
ZEC	Zcash	Zcash	150.36	150.3856	+0.02%	153.06	+1.80%	0.0300	✓	1.35	11.0M	2022-01-02
FIL	Filecoin	Filecoin	35.88	35.8854	+0.01%	35.76	-0.33%	0.0060	✓	1.04	23.7M	2022-01-02
UMA	UMA	Ethereum	9.33	9.3296	-0.00%	9.49	+1.71%	0.0273	✗	1.12	4.1M	2022-01-02
CITY	Manchester City Fan Token	Solana	10.37	10.3693	-0.01%	10.51	+1.35%	0.0203	✗	0.75	1.3M	2022-01-02
SKL	SKALE	Ethereum	0.2128	0.212771	-0.01%	0.2121	-0.33%	0.0082	✗	1.24	5.1M	2022-01-02
DNT	district0x	Ethereum	0.1339	0.133873	-0.02%	0.1368	+2.17%	0.0315	✗	1.08	315k	2022-01-02
ZEN	Horizen	Base	63.94	63.9211	-0.03%	65.06	+1.75%	0.0315	✗	1.51	924k	2022-01-02
ANKR	Ankr Network	Ethereum	0.10295	0.102919	-0.03%	0.11531	+12.01%	0.1196	✗	0.64	55k	2022-01-02
MOVR	Moonriver	Base	189.4715	189.4135	-0.03%	200.0687	+5.59%	0.0654	✗	1.16	600k	2022-01-02
BEL	Bella Protocol	Ethereum	1.651	1.6505	-0.03%	1.667	+0.97%	0.0218	✗	1.29	3.6M	2022-01-02
AXS	Axie Infinity	Ethereum	94.1	94.0651	-0.04%	96.42	+2.47%	0.0335	✗	0.96	6.5M	2022-01-02
DOT	Polkadot	Polkadot	28.61	28.5987	-0.04%	29.7	+3.81%	0.0497	✗	1.30	74.7M	2022-01-02
LEO	LEO Token	Ethereum	3.7989	3.7974	-0.04%	3.7845	-0.38%	0.0044	✓	-0.11	405k	2022-01-02
XYO	XYO Network	Ethereum	0.033863	0.033849	-0.04%	0.0346	+2.18%	0.0313	✗	1.02	7.8M	2022-01-02
ASM	Assemble AI	Ethereum	0.093	0.092959	-0.04%	0.09233	-0.72%	0.0065	✗	1.45	3.5M	2022-01-02
ZRX	0x Protocol	Ethereum	0.875736	0.875351	-0.04%	0.888452	+1.45%	0.0252	✗	1.13	2.8M	2022-01-02
EWT	Energy Web Token	Ethereum	9.193	9.1886	-0.05%	10.125	+10.14%	0.1026	✗	0.61	324k	2022-01-02
CERE	Cere Network	Ethereum	0.0797	0.079661	-0.05%	0.079	-0.88%	0.0044	✗	1.39	1.7M	2022-01-02
MINA	Mina Protocol	native	3.73	3.7273	-0.07%	3.78	+1.34%	0.0239	✗	1.08	667k	2022-01-02
OXT	Orchid Protocol	Ethereum	0.3775	0.377231	-0.07%	0.3822	+1.25%	0.0247	✗	1.27	3.9M	2022-01-02
SHIB	Shiba Inu	Ethereum	0.00003416	0.000034135	-0.07%	0.00003405	-0.32%	0.0089	✗	1.25	1.8M	2022-01-02
METRONOME	METRONOME		4.5517	4.5478	-0.08%	4.5765	+0.54%	0.0126	✗	0.70	19k	2022-01-02
TRAC	OriginTrail	Ethereum	1.2912	1.29	-0.09%	1.265	-2.03%	0.0067	✓	1.40	2.1M	2022-01-02
BAT	Basic Attention	Ethereum	1.2582	1.257	-0.10%	1.3001	+3.33%	0.0499	✗	1.77	1.3M	2022-01-02
ALGO	Algorand	Algorand	1.7433	1.7416	-0.10%	1.6739	-3.98%	0.0293	✓	1.13	30.5M	2022-01-02
LCX	LCX	Ethereum	0.1885	0.188309	-0.10%	0.2121	+12.52%	0.1298	✗	1.19	2.4M	2022-01-02
SC	Siacoin	native	0.01554	0.015524	-0.11%	0.01618	+4.12%	0.0501	✗	0.96	859k	2022-01-02
CTSI	Cartesi	Ethereum	0.715	0.714065	-0.13%	0.714	-0.14%	0.0120	✗	1.32	3.0M	2022-01-02
LRC	Loopring	Ethereum	2.08	2.0772	-0.13%	2.095	+0.72%	0.0256	✗	1.87	1.5M	2022-01-02
XTZ	Tezos	Tezos	4.7494	4.7429	-0.14%	4.6703	-1.67%	0.0031	✓	1.34	5.2M	2022-01-02
DEXE	DeXe	Ethereum	11.76	11.7429	-0.15%	11.71	-0.43%	0.0044	✓	-0.17	2.8M	2022-01-02
RAD	Radworks	Ethereum	11	10.9839	-0.15%	11.14	+1.27%	0.0218	✗	0.85	1.2M	2022-01-02
STORJ	Storj	Ethereum	1.835	1.8322	-0.15%	1.9263	+4.98%	0.0574	✗	0.80	828k	2022-01-02
KCS	KuCoin	native	22.386	22.3528	-0.15%	22.624	+1.06%	0.0270	✗	1.64	15.7M	2022-01-02
OGN	Origin Token	Ethereum	0.633	0.631893	-0.17%	0.642	+1.42%	0.0275	✗	1.27	2.3M	2022-01-02
ENJ	Enjin Coin	Ethereum	2.681	2.676	-0.19%	2.859	+6.64%	0.0755	✗	1.02	2.0M	2022-01-02
SUPER	SuperVerse	Ethereum	1.17	1.1678	-0.19%	1.17	+0.00%	0.0111	✗	1.00	2.1M	2022-01-02
XYM	Symbol	native	0.2245	0.224055	-0.20%	0.2093	-6.77%	0.0627	✓	0.59	428k	2022-01-02
IMX	Immutable	Ethereum	4.83	4.8199	-0.21%	4.96	+2.69%	0.0378	✗	1.00	2.8M	2022-01-02
GODS	Gods Unchained	Ethereum	4.37	4.3609	-0.21%	4.35	-0.46%	0.0066	✗	1.00	3.4M	2022-01-02
IOTA	IOTA	IOTA	1.411	1.408	-0.21%	1.3723	-2.74%	0.0171	✓	0.94	23.0M	2022-01-02
MANA	Decentraland	Ethereum	3.3501	3.3415	-0.26%	3.3401	-0.30%	0.0081	✗	0.93	6.6M	2022-01-02
SUSHI	Sushi	Ethereum	9.14	9.1162	-0.26%	8.93	-2.30%	0.0087	✓	1.30	18.1M	2022-01-02
PEOPLE	ConstitutionDAO	Ethereum	0.1249	0.124574	-0.26%	0.1208	-3.28%	0.0216	✓	1.00	35.9M	2022-01-02
SANTOS	Santos FC Fan Token	Binance Smart Chain	3.609	3.5995	-0.26%	3.564	-1.25%	0.0048	✗	1.61	2.3M	2022-01-02
CVC	Civic	Ethereum	0.3671	0.366132	-0.26%	0.3957	+7.79%	0.0867	✗	0.99	293k	2022-01-02
ENS	Ethereum Name Service	Ethereum	40.17	40.0616	-0.27%	41.08	+2.27%	0.0415	✗	1.80	6.3M	2022-01-02
OG	OG Fan Token	Solana	5.069	5.0551	-0.27%	5.012	-1.12%	0.0017	✓	0.75	1.0M	2022-01-02
LUNA	Terra	Terra 2	91.66	91.3986	-0.29%	89.35	-2.52%	0.0135	✓	1.00	5.3M	2022-01-02
LPT	Livepeer	Ethereum	41.07	40.9491	-0.29%	40.64	-1.05%	0.0076	✗	1.66	2.8M	2022-01-02
CELL	Cellframe	Ethereum	0.9793	0.976332	-0.30%	1.007	+2.83%	0.0401	✗	1.00	146k	2022-01-02
ATOM	Cosmos Hub	Cosmos	36.33	36.218	-0.31%	35.54	-2.17%	0.0104	✓	0.93	43.4M	2022-01-02
UOS	Ultra	Ethereum	1.5787	1.5738	-0.31%	1.5552	-1.49%	0.0032	✓	0.95	4.2M	2022-01-02
API3	Api3	Ethereum	4.36	4.3444	-0.36%	4.34	-0.46%	0.0081	✗	1.00	1.1M	2022-01-02
HIVE	Hive	native	1.5238	1.518	-0.38%	1.7249	+13.20%	0.1404	✗	1.38	5.5M	2022-01-02
AVAX	Avalanche	Avalanche	114.26	113.8232	-0.38%	113.21	-0.92%	0.0047	✗	1.11	123.8M	2022-01-02
MASK	Mask Network	Ethereum	13.2	13.1426	-0.44%	13.99	+5.98%	0.0679	✗	0.59	1.3M	2022-01-02
BFC	Bifrost	Ethereum	0.20032	0.199408	-0.46%	0.2038	+1.74%	0.0361	✗	1.57	7,281	2022-01-02
YFI	yearn.finance	Ethereum	36,545.69	36,348.84	-0.54%	39,116.51	+7.03%	0.0789	✗	0.61	15.4M	2022-01-02
GITCOIN	GITCOIN		13.69	13.615	-0.55%	14.898	+8.82%	0.0894	✗	-0.07	111k	2022-01-02
BICO	Biconomy	Ethereum	4.49	4.4588	-0.70%	4.22	-6.01%	0.0430	✓	1.31	11.9M	2022-01-02
CRV	Curve DAO	Ethereum	6.21	6.1661	-0.71%	6.05	-2.58%	0.0065	✓	1.37	29.2M	2022-01-02
GTC	Gitcoin	Ethereum	13.58	13.4678	-0.83%	14.75	+8.62%	0.0908	✗	-0.01	3.9M	2022-01-02
SPELL	Spell	Ethereum	0.02333	0.023124	-0.88%	0.02402	+2.96%	0.0472	✗	1.00	31.2M	2022-01-02
DUSK	DUSK	Ethereum	1.0026	0.986214	-1.63%	0.9435	-5.89%	0.0289	✓	1.69	31.1M	2022-01-02

Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.