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2021-12-31 · +1d

gru_s4 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 137 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.0031
137 of 137 tokens assessed
long-short decile
-1.58%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
48.9%
in alpha space · 65.7% on raw price
BTC over horizon
+3.29%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (137 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▾pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana7.067.0861+0.37%7.24+2.55%0.0009✓0.641.1M2022-01-01
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana15.0715.1197+0.33%15.4+2.19%0.0039✗0.691.4M2022-01-01
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain4.60644.6215+0.33%4.7558+3.24%0.0133✗1.305.0M2022-01-01
COMPCompoundEthereum199.58200.2342+0.33%210.69+5.57%0.0136✓1.15210k2022-01-01
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum1.621.6253+0.32%1.7+4.94%0.0109✗1.721.1M2022-01-01
1INCH1INCHEthereum2.392.3974+0.31%2.53+5.86%0.0198✓1.054.1M2022-01-01
GTGateEthereum6.55556.5751+0.30%6.7635+3.17%0.0011✓0.844.0M2022-01-01
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.1702220.170727+0.30%0.173118+1.70%0.0221✗1.115.5M2022-01-01
XEMNEMnative0.12270.12304+0.28%0.126+2.69%0.0121✗1.11153k2022-01-01
DODODODOEthereum0.8430.845232+0.26%0.875+3.80%0.0134✗1.488.5M2022-01-01
MTLMetal DAOMetal L22.0582.0634+0.26%2.133+3.64%0.0036✗1.133.1M2022-01-01
RLCiExec RLCEthereum2.932.9374+0.25%3.1+5.80%0.0115✓1.313.2M2022-01-01
TRXTRONTron0.0754770.075666+0.25%0.076625+1.52%0.0182✗0.95607k2022-01-01
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon1.621.624+0.25%1.6281+0.50%0.0242✗0.824.6M2022-01-01
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.015790.015828+0.24%0.01654+4.75%0.0019✓1.302.3M2022-01-01
BANDBandEthereum5.015.0216+0.23%5.18+3.39%0.0082✗1.212.4M2022-01-01
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.19840.198857+0.23%0.2061+3.88%0.0067✓0.90622k2022-01-01
SUNSun TokenTron0.0218220.021872+0.23%0.022463+2.94%0.0126✗1.212.4M2022-01-01
SNXSynthetixEthereum5.485.4925+0.23%5.98+9.12%0.0478✓1.154.3M2022-01-01
BTCBitcoinBitcoin46,211.2446,316.57+0.23%47,733.43+3.29%0.0023✓1.00750.8M2022-01-01
ETCEthereum Classicnative34.0634.1348+0.22%34.87+2.38%0.0126✗1.054.7M2022-01-01
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain1.2591.2618+0.22%1.276+1.35%0.0195✗0.952.7M2022-01-01
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.08230.082477+0.21%0.0839+1.94%0.0180✗1.0820k2022-01-01
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.64210.643453+0.21%0.6647+3.52%0.0096✗1.3011.8M2022-01-01
DKAdKargoEthereum0.112710.112945+0.21%0.11476+1.82%0.0203✗1.1229k2022-01-01
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.70780.709245+0.20%0.7302+3.16%0.0121✗1.276.1M2022-01-01
DYDXdYdXCosmos8.18.1161+0.20%8.39+3.58%0.0078✗1.26391k2022-01-01
XYMSymbolnative0.19450.194883+0.20%0.2245+15.42%0.1244✓0.53410k2022-01-01
NANOnanopayBase3.40153.4079+0.19%3.58+5.25%0.0148✓1.06798k2022-01-01
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana8.88.8164+0.19%8.94+1.59%0.0058✗0.61999k2022-01-01
FTTFTXEthereum38.2538.3207+0.18%40.2+5.10%0.0138✓1.0520.7M2022-01-01
CTKShentuOsmosis1.6341.637+0.18%1.748+6.98%0.0220✓1.357.6M2022-01-01
ARPAARPAEthereum0.09710.097278+0.18%0.1001+3.09%0.0160✗1.381.8M2022-01-01
AUCTIONBounceEthereum24.4124.4536+0.18%24.52+0.45%0.0313✗1.051.5M2022-01-01
XVSVenusEthereum15.1415.1668+0.18%16.08+6.21%0.0215✓1.144.3M2022-01-01
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum24.4224.4631+0.18%25.61+4.87%0.0005✓1.4324.2M2022-01-01
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.085130.085279+0.17%0.08625+1.32%0.0288✗1.2421.7M2022-01-01
TRBTellor TributesEthereum33.0633.1177+0.17%35.27+6.68%0.0133✓1.531.3M2022-01-01
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.019080.019113+0.17%0.0202+5.87%0.0350✓0.6342k2022-01-01
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.27961.2817+0.16%1.3805+7.89%0.0392✓1.08987k2022-01-01
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana8.418.4225+0.15%8.65+2.85%0.0019✓0.761.1M2022-01-01
DASHDashDash133.78133.974+0.14%138.03+3.18%0.0115✗1.282.1M2022-01-01
AAVEAaveEthereum253.92254.2819+0.14%266.48+4.95%0.0102✓1.1311.5M2022-01-01
XMRMoneroMonero228.93229.2411+0.14%250.04+9.22%0.0554✓0.973.0M2022-01-01
LINKChainlinkEthereum19.5119.5361+0.13%20.75+6.36%0.0169✓1.3469.7M2022-01-01
COTICOTIEthereum0.35470.355163+0.13%0.3879+9.36%0.0403✓1.484.3M2022-01-01
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV121.02121.1743+0.13%123.03+1.66%0.0160✗0.963.7M2022-01-01
XVGVergenative0.017030.017052+0.13%0.01775+4.23%0.0015✓1.192.4M2022-01-01
QNTQuantEthereum179.22179.4376+0.12%179.87+0.36%0.0290✗0.979.4M2022-01-01
SOLSolanaSolana169.88170.0854+0.12%179.21+5.49%0.0181✓1.05236.5M2022-01-01
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash430.15430.6601+0.12%445.07+3.47%0.0002✓1.019.8M2022-01-01
ETHEthereumEthereum3,675.803,680.09+0.12%3,765.72+2.45%0.0109✗1.05716.9M2022-01-01
NMRNumeraireEthereum31.431.4367+0.12%32.46+3.38%0.0103✓0.67503k2022-01-01
KSMKusamaHydration276.22276.5423+0.12%289.04+4.64%0.0081✓1.111.4M2022-01-01
ADACardanoCardano1.30821.3097+0.12%1.3797+5.47%0.0170✓1.08106.2M2022-01-01
UNIUniswapEthereum16.9816.999+0.11%17.47+2.89%0.0148✗1.3015.5M2022-01-01
CHZChilizEthereum0.28330.283609+0.11%0.2952+4.20%0.0024✗1.315.5M2022-01-01
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.41390.41433+0.10%0.4264+3.02%0.0168✗1.40722k2022-01-01
ZECZcashZcash146.46146.607+0.10%150.36+2.66%0.0189✗1.3611.8M2022-01-01
CBKCobakEthereum2.8822.8849+0.10%2.914+1.11%0.0184✗0.8853k2022-01-01
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.053310.053361+0.10%0.05488+2.95%0.0078✗1.1115k2022-01-01
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana4.0184.0218+0.09%4.221+5.05%0.0273✓0.65502k2022-01-01
PHAPHALAEthereum0.4260.426394+0.09%0.43+0.94%0.0155✗0.7446k2022-01-01
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana5.0235.0275+0.09%5.211+3.74%0.0166✓0.59773k2022-01-01
XLMStellarStellar0.2664780.266712+0.09%0.276802+3.87%0.0040✓1.0227.7M2022-01-01
LTCLitecoinLitecoin146.15146.2769+0.09%150.83+3.20%0.0133✗1.3646.1M2022-01-01
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum5.88625.8912+0.08%6.1094+3.79%0.0026✗1.20649k2022-01-01
QTUMQtumQtum8.7368.7432+0.08%8.9613+2.58%0.0218✗1.43280k2022-01-01
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum46,060.2046,096.95+0.08%47,429.60+2.97%0.0032✗0.989,2042022-01-01
LSKLiskEthereum2.3972.3989+0.08%2.3965-0.02%0.0380✗1.14128k2022-01-01
XECeCashnative0.000108190.000108274+0.08%0.00011077+2.38%0.0095✗1.008.0M2022-01-01
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum3.213.2122+0.07%3.35+4.36%0.0096✓1.001.1M2022-01-01
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain3.14643.1485+0.07%3.2078+1.95%0.0205✗1.213.3M2022-01-01
AMPAmpEthereum0.048280.048305+0.05%0.04964+2.82%0.0023✗0.918.6M2022-01-01
FILFilecoinFilecoin34.2434.2569+0.05%35.88+4.79%0.0128✓1.0323.7M2022-01-01
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0635290.063558+0.05%0.064208+1.07%0.0356✗1.417.9M2022-01-01
ZENHorizenBase60.5760.5928+0.04%63.94+5.56%0.0049✓1.511.0M2022-01-01
UMAUMAEthereum9.119.1131+0.03%9.33+2.41%0.0129✗1.124.1M2022-01-01
DOTPolkadotPolkadot26.6726.6777+0.03%28.61+7.27%0.0283✓1.2875.1M2022-01-01
SKLSKALEEthereum0.20230.202353+0.03%0.2128+5.19%0.0104✓1.235.4M2022-01-01
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.8026110.802792+0.02%0.875736+9.11%0.0510✓1.112.8M2022-01-01
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.12830.128315+0.01%0.1339+4.36%0.0079✓1.07324k2022-01-01
BELBella ProtocolEthereum1.5421.5422+0.01%1.651+7.07%0.0268✓1.283.6M2022-01-01
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum8.8738.8738+0.01%9.193+3.61%0.0159✓0.60338k2022-01-01
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana10.1110.1099-0.00%10.37+2.57%0.0012✗0.751.3M2022-01-01
MOVRMoonriverBase181.8528181.8457-0.00%189.4715+4.19%0.0035✗1.16622k2022-01-01
OGOG Fan TokenSolana4.5084.5075-0.01%5.069+12.44%0.0945✗0.711.0M2022-01-01
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum4.344.3395-0.01%4.37+0.69%0.0254✓1.003.4M2022-01-01
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.07630.076289-0.01%0.0797+4.46%0.0012✓1.391.7M2022-01-01
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum93.2193.1953-0.02%94.1+0.95%0.0219✓0.977.0M2022-01-01
BATBasic AttentionEthereum1.20391.2037-0.02%1.2582+4.51%0.0135✓1.781.4M2022-01-01
LCXLCXEthereum0.17520.175166-0.02%0.1885+7.59%0.0358✗1.162.8M2022-01-01
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand1.65891.6586-0.02%1.7433+5.09%0.0135✗1.1231.7M2022-01-01
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.087670.087646-0.03%0.093+6.08%0.0123✗1.453.9M2022-01-01
MINAMina Protocolnative3.543.5389-0.03%3.73+5.37%0.0180✗1.07723k2022-01-01
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.10090.100865-0.03%0.10295+2.03%0.0004✓0.6564k2022-01-01
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.0338250.033813-0.03%0.033863+0.11%0.0323✓1.048.5M2022-01-01
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000033420.000033407-0.04%0.00003416+2.21%0.0187✓1.262.0M2022-01-01
STORJStorjEthereum1.74281.7421-0.04%1.835+5.29%0.0263✗0.79889k2022-01-01
LEOLEO TokenEthereum3.76133.7596-0.05%3.7989+1.00%0.0142✗-0.12409k2022-01-01
CVCCivicEthereum0.32790.327751-0.05%0.3671+11.95%0.0828✗0.94293k2022-01-01
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.36550.365304-0.05%0.3775+3.28%0.0086✓1.284.2M2022-01-01
SCSiacoinnative0.015180.015171-0.06%0.01554+2.37%0.0071✓0.96868k2022-01-01
TRACOriginTrailEthereum1.22821.2274-0.06%1.2912+5.13%0.0054✗1.402.1M2022-01-01
CELLCellframeEthereum0.90880.9082-0.07%0.9793+7.76%0.0430✗1.00146k2022-01-01
CTSICartesiEthereum0.68640.685928-0.07%0.715+4.17%0.0015✓1.333.1M2022-01-01
XTZTezosTezos4.34044.3363-0.09%4.7494+9.42%0.0482✗1.324.9M2022-01-01
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.6120.611408-0.10%0.633+3.43%0.0065✓1.272.5M2022-01-01
METRONOMEMETRONOME4.74254.7376-0.10%4.5517-4.02%0.0636✓0.7322k2022-01-01
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum2.5742.5713-0.11%2.681+4.16%0.0086✗1.032.1M2022-01-01
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.4963.492-0.11%3.609+3.23%0.0190✓1.602.5M2022-01-01
KCSKuCoinnative21.37621.3502-0.12%22.386+4.72%0.0059✓1.6516.6M2022-01-01
DEXEDeXeEthereum11.7811.7653-0.12%11.76-0.17%0.0052✗-0.173.4M2022-01-01
MANADecentralandEthereum3.26773.2635-0.13%3.3501+2.52%0.0046✓0.956.9M2022-01-01
LRCLoopringEthereum2.09082.0881-0.13%2.08-0.52%0.0662✓1.921.5M2022-01-01
RADRadworksEthereum10.8510.8348-0.14%11+1.38%0.0125✓0.851.2M2022-01-01
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum1.131.1284-0.14%1.17+3.54%0.0038✗1.002.2M2022-01-01
IOTAIOTAIOTA1.36581.3637-0.15%1.411+3.31%0.0036✗0.9423.6M2022-01-01
IMXImmutableEthereum4.914.9016-0.17%4.83-1.63%0.0471✓1.003.0M2022-01-01
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum38.9238.8487-0.18%40.17+3.21%0.0255✓1.826.6M2022-01-01
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos32.4332.3619-0.21%36.33+12.03%0.0869✗0.8942.6M2022-01-01
HIVEHivenative1.48961.4865-0.21%1.5238+2.30%0.0205✓1.405.8M2022-01-01
LUNATerraTerra 285.5685.3598-0.23%91.66+7.13%0.0388✗1.006.3M2022-01-01
LPTLivepeerEthereum39.6939.5929-0.24%41.07+3.48%0.0176✓1.672.9M2022-01-01
UOSUltraEthereum1.56661.5628-0.25%1.5787+0.77%0.0212✓0.974.3M2022-01-01
API3Api3Ethereum4.224.2093-0.25%4.36+3.32%0.0028✗1.001.1M2022-01-01
MASKMask NetworkEthereum12.2212.1876-0.26%13.2+8.02%0.0615✗0.561.3M2022-01-01
SUSHISushiEthereum9.429.391-0.31%9.14-2.97%0.0705✓1.3417.1M2022-01-01
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche109.4109.0141-0.35%114.26+4.44%0.0111✗1.11127.7M2022-01-01
BFCBifrostEthereum0.196880.19618-0.36%0.20032+1.75%0.0306✓1.598,4562022-01-01
CRVCurve DAOEthereum5.325.2998-0.38%6.21+16.73%0.1158✗1.3228.7M2022-01-01
GITCOINGITCOIN12.73412.6804-0.42%13.69+7.51%0.0800✗-0.10111k2022-01-01
YFIyearn.financeEthereum33,038.2832,890.09-0.45%36,545.69+10.62%0.0870✗0.5713.3M2022-01-01
BICOBiconomyEthereum4.554.5232-0.59%4.49-1.32%0.0510✓1.3412.3M2022-01-01
GTCGitcoinEthereum12.712.6197-0.63%13.58+6.93%0.0747✗-0.044.2M2022-01-01
SPELLSpellEthereum0.023460.023252-0.89%0.02333-0.55%0.0291✓1.0033.0M2022-01-01
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.93560.920552-1.61%1.0026+7.16%0.0304✗1.7030.1M2022-01-01
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.